Economics and Investing:

Largest U.S. Coal Producer Skips Interest Payment, Warns Of Bankruptcy; Stock Crashes – B.B.

o o o

Companies to reduce employment in 2016? – P.S.

o o o

Items from Professor Preponomics:

US News

The Liquidity Endgame Begins: Whitings Revolver Cut by $1.2B as Banks Start Slashing Credit Lines (Zero Hedge) Excerpt: “But while lender banks are all too eager to take advantage of the brief surge in equity prices just so they can “help” their clients dilute their shareholder base so to repay the very same lender banks, they know quite well that the equity offering window is rapidly closing; in fact it will slam shut as soon as the price of oil resumes its downward trajectory.” Warning: Commentary following the article may contain bad language and/or inappropriate avatar images.

Court Decision Could Accelerate Oil and Gas Bankruptcies (Oil Price) Excerpt: “…Where a New York judge ruled that bankruptcy allows Sabine to cancel contracts it holds with midstream firms on the company’s petroleum licenses in Texas. Here’s why this is a sea change….”

International News

One of the Top Hedge Funds of 2016 is Betting on a Crisis that Blindsides Everyone (Business Insider) Excerpt: “Japan has been an economy that’s living on borrowed time via hidden nonperforming loans and irregular accounting of equity gains as interest income.” Read on….

Japan January Core Machinery Orders Leap, Underlying Trend Seen Flat (Reuters)

Italy Sells 3-Year Debt with Negative Yield for the First Time (Bloomberg) Excerpt: “With bonds supported by the latest package of stimulus from the European Central Bank, the October 2018 securities were sold with an average yield of minus 0.05 percent.”

Italy’s BPER to Sell Bad Loans Worth About 900 Million Euros: Sources (Reuters)

Personal Economics and Household Finance

How to Avoid Newbie Fruit Gardener Mistakes and Save Money (Little House Living)

Pea Pointers (Learn2Grow) Excerpt: “Snap and snow peas have their advocates, but for me, a large bowl of freshly and lightly cooked green garden peas is nothing short of pure luxury.”

o o o

SurvivalBlog and its editors are not paid investment counselors or advisers. Please see our Provisos page for details.



Odds ‘n Sods:

Wondering how to generate a little extra cash to top off your preps? Do you really need those old VHS tapes? 5 eBay hot sellers that are collecting dust in your home right now – B.L.

o o o

Computers are great until they have a “glitch”. Seems that’s what it’s always called when there’s an issue, not that they are broken! Mechanical really is better in the long run, but it seems the whole infrastructure system of everything relies on computers now. Mystery glitch’s return knocks out BART cars, snarls commute – D.S.

o o o

Your Data Footprint Is Affecting Your Life In Ways You Can’t Even Imagine. Big brother really is watching, but it’s more than just big government. It’s big business. – P.S.

o o o

This is the phone NSA suggested Clinton use: A $4,750 Windows CE PDA – T.Z.

o o o

Government database abused! Call the cops! Oh, wait… Confidential Database Use By Cops to Stalk Women is Widespread and Goes Unpunished – D.B.





Notes for Friday – March 18, 2016

March 18th is the birthday of novelist John Updike. (He was born in 1932. He died in 2009.)

It is also the birthday of Luc Besson .

o o o

Seed for Security is having a great sale. Their Super Survival pack is now 20% off. It contains a total of four pounds of survival seeds and two pints of healthful grains. All of their seed is heirloom, non GMO, and none are hybrid. In these uncertain times heirloom seeds just may be more valuable than gold! This offer is for a limited time.

o o o

Today, we present another entry for Round 63 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The nearly $12,000 worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A Tactical Self-Contained 2-Series Solar Power Generator system from Always Empowered. This compact starter power system is packaged in a wheeled O.D. green EMP-shielded Pelican hard case (a $1,700 value),
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate that is good for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,195 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper with a hammer forged, chrome-lined barrel and a hard case to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR-type rifle to have a quick change barrel, which can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools and a compact carry capability in a hard case or 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  5. Gun Mag Warehouse is providing 20 Magpul PMAG 30-rd Magazines (a value of $300) and a Gun Mag Warehouse T-Shirt; (an equivalent prize will be awarded for residents in states with magazine restrictions),
  6. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  7. The Ark Institute is donating a non-GMO, non-hybrid vegetable seed package (enough for two families of four) plus seed storage materials, a CD-ROM of Geri Guidetti’s book “Build Your Ark! How to Prepare for Self Reliance in Uncertain Times”, and two bottles of Potassium Iodate (a $325 retail value),
  8. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  9. KellyKettleUSA.com is donating both an AquaBrick water filtration kit with a retail value of $250, and
  10. Two cases of meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Second Prize:

  1. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  2. A transferable certificate for a two-day Ultimate Bug Out Course from Florida Firearms Training (a $400 value),
  3. A Model 175 Series Solar Generator provided by Quantum Harvest LLC (a $439 value),
  4. A Trekker IV™ Four-Person Emergency Kit from Emergency Essentials (a $250 value),
  5. A $200 gift certificate good towards any books published by PrepperPress.com,
  6. A pre-selected assortment of military surplus gear from CJL Enterprize (a $300 value),
  7. RepackBox is providing a $300 gift certificate to their site, and
  8. Safecastle is providing a package of 10 LifeStraws (a $200 value)

Third Prize:

  1. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  2. A $245 gift certificate from custom knife-maker Jon Kelly Designs, of Eureka, Montana,
  3. A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard, and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206,
  4. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  5. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  6. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances,
  7. Montie Gear is donating a Precision Rest (a $249 value), and
  8. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).

Round 63 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



The Fallacy of Hunting as a Survival Technique, by D.V.

Many people rely on wild game as a regular part of their diet. In Michigan, where I live, deer season is a holiday with schools and companies at minimal staff, as a healthy part of the population is out in the woods partaking in one of our oldest traditions. And like all great endeavors, some hunters are successful and some are not, depending upon skill, preparation, and just a little bit of luck. For those hunters who were able to kill a deer (if they are traditionalist), they are able to provide their families with meat. For some, this can be the majority of their meat throughout the year.

During our lifetimes, whether you’re a hunter or not, it is easy to recognize that the overall deer population has been steadily growing. In the news, there are occasional stories about the deer wandering into human dwellings or the suburbs who must have a culling (with the routine senseless protests) due to overpopulation. This deer population has been growing steady since the early 1900’s, starting from a count of under five million (including mule deer and blacktail) and growing to around a peak of over 40 million. Today it is estimated that there are approximately 35 million deer in the lower 48 states. The same population growth can be attributed to most wild game (aside from pheasants) due to good game laws and a civil populace that not only adheres to these laws but also actively promotes healthy game levels. Older hunters tell stories of not seeing deer for years. A generation ago, deer hunting was a greater challenge and as much about comradery and tradition as the hunt itself.

Again, we will use deer hunting as an example. The laws designed around deer hunting are designed to ensure a growing population. A larger amount of tags are given around bucks during the rut (mating season) with a very limited amount of doe tags. This allows the deer to breed and reproduce, and the population does not diminish and could potentially grow as a doe can have multiple fawns. If the buck population dwindles, a single buck can impregnate several does, and nature will remedy the situation. These laws have been enacted since the 1900’s and continue to get stronger. States have made an effort to restock animals, allowing wild game to return to areas where they were completely wiped out. These population have grown and expanded and moved into other regions. There are government agencies dedicated to managing this population and making sure hunters have every opportunity to bag game, and it is clear that today’s deer population is very healthy, not only because of these laws but hunters who follow them.

Many preppers, homesteaders, and just regular people are counting on this abundance of game to continue. However, if you are counting on this as one of your key survival methods, I would urge you to reconsider. There is an ancient proverb that is almost too relevant: “a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.” Realize that having your own animals will be a much more consistent source of protein instead of hunting. During a TEOTWAWKI event, game animals will become sparse.

During TEOTWAWKI, it is expected that government agencies will either be non-existent or in an extreme state of panic and enforcement. Funding for all but the essentials disappear. Any funding for non-critical programs, such as game management and land development, will end. This would not impact the animal population immediately but will cause a reduction in the health of the herds and be detrimental overall. In addition, game wardens would be drafted into full-time law enforcement or be unemployed. There will be no one to determine the amount of deer tags allowed, much less population enhancement. The local DNR also does a fairly good job of minimizing disease in the herd. These issues would be unchecked in a TEOTWAWKI event.

Another key consideration for TEOTWAWKI would be the lack of food. There will be many people looking to feed their families. With other laws being disregarded, it would not be difficult to poach a deer and provide meat for their families. Many will be wantonly wasteful as the first few deer will be easy; there will be a lack of skill at cleaning the game and a dearth of refrigeration. Some may believe people will be nobler and not poach, but history proves otherwise. The last time our country was in a situation that was even close to TEOTWAWKI was the Great Depression. It was during this time that the deer population fell to the lowest levels in history. It was only through great efforts that the deer were able to rebound, and while they have returned to pre-1900 levels, the human population which was below 100 million in the early 1900’s is now over 300 million. If a tenth of the human population can successfully hunt deer the entire population would be completely wiped out. This has happened before, and there is no reason to believe it would not happen again. Some animals, such as the bison, will most likely never recover. If the great cities are starving, think about all the Canadian Geese sitting on a golf courses and suburban water retention ponds that people constantly complain about. How many would disappear in a day or in a week?

There is also a small portion of the human population that are pirates. They have no respect or consideration for anything and will use the lack of regulation and oversight to abuse the world around them. There are concerns about the golden horde and other permeations of this group and how they will treat people and property in their path. They will have the same impact on the natural world around them and will kill for sport and pleasure. While they are in the minority, the longer they persist without rules, the greater their negative impact which will outweigh the average person by far.

As any good deer hunter will tell you, opening day is the best day of the hunt. This is the single largest day for number of kills. Why? Deer are survivalist as well, and up here they become rare once they realize there are hunters in the woods. We call it “spooked”. They know something is hunting them, and the smartest and oldest of the deer become nocturnal or extra careful. Because of the rut, they still make mistakes and are harvested, but even then they can still be jittery. Living in the country, the deer remained spooked for several months and really do not start to relax until the following spring and summer. If the deer were continually hunted, they would become much warier of humans. Unfortunately, this would not stop hungry people who could use means that are now illegal, including spotlighting, dog running, snares, and even night vision gear to hunt deer, driving the surviving population to remote areas where there are fewer humans. Deer have very good senses and can also run exceedingly quick. The more they are spooked, the less you will see of them.

For non-deer hunters, hunting appears easy, especially if you watch hunting shows on TV, but the reality is that it takes a lot of time and energy to hunt a deer. Most successful deer hunters invest time and money in preparing for and carrying out the hunt. In a TEOTWAWKI situation, the time and energy will be multiplied for all the reasons discussed above. Hunting today is a way to relax as a hobby or pastime; however, when your survival is on the line, you will need to make wiser decisions on how to spend your time. In addition it can be frustrating and taxing during an already difficult time when potential days are wasted on hopes for food that is unfulfilled.

Interestingly, predators have greatly expanded their range as well, following the growth of game population. Coyotes can be found almost anywhere, including within the big cities, where they follow the waterways to the greenspaces. There are only a small handful of people that I know who eat predator meat, even among hunters. In the past, there were bounties on coyotes and wolves by states and local hunting groups. Today, only a few states have a bounty system, and it is mostly ignored. While the game populations will be hunted for food, it will be only under extreme hunger that a predator will be hunted for food. In modern culture predators are romanticized by most people, and they will only be hunted by those who are raising livestock or by those who understand their impact on wildlife populations, or lastly by those who are in fear of them due to the current situation. Attacks on humans are fairly rare now with only one death attributed to coyotes and several attacks over the last decade. This is already changing, as the true coyote is being replaced by the coywolf– a natural coyote wolf cross breed. According to the science behind it, coyotes reproduce faster and the coywolf is filling the gap of the larger predator that is fairly vacant. Coyotes and coywolves also have little fear of humans, although they keep their distance. While the stay away from hunters, they will take advantage of easy targets, and again it is documented that they live alongside humans even in places like Chicago. In TEOTWAWKI the coyotes, especially in urban areas, will have rats and turned out unwanted pets to continue to live off of, but as game is hunted for food there will be an unpleasant combination of greater demand for the game as well as greater opportunities for coyotes and humans to cross paths.

My last consideration with any game is that it will require you to be proficient with a weapon and use ammo. Again, most hunters take time to scope in their weapons and practice a few times a year. While feeding yourself and your family is primary importance, the ammunition that you would otherwise use may have greater value in trade or defense than in providing additional game. This is really the least of my concerns but is worth mentioning as this will be a highly unpredictable time and SurvivalBlog is about allowing us to think through as many scenarios as possible.

With all the above considered, location will be helpful and allow a longer potential for game. The more remote you are from a population, the less pressure on the game animals. Additionally, in remote areas people tend to have homesteader traits with food stocks and gardens. While the pressure would surely increase on the game, it will not be as dramatic as to the areas with heavy human populations.

Mental flexibility will also be key. Many people will be hunting for deer and turkey, elk and rabbit, letting opossums and raccoons go by. Squirrels are a great source of protein and very tasty. It would be my expectation that the non-traditional game animals will be around longer. Better than hunting would be the knowledge of trapping and snaring. This would eliminate the need for time and greatly minimize the expense of ammunition. This, too, is a skill that does not come easy and would still feel the impacts of a dwindling population.

To close, hunting is truly a variable, not a constant and cannot be relied upon. In the short term, especially for established and experienced hunters, you will be able to supplement your pantry with wild game. However, as a TEOTWAWKI event endures, game populations will be dramatically reduced. Like farmers of old, the only reliable source of protein is that which you yourself have raised. This does not mean that all game will be unavailable. This does not mean that you will not occasionally be able to supplement your larder. It does mean that you should not count on it as a preparation technique. Hunting will still exist, but it will require greater costs for diminishing returns.



Avalanche Lily’s Morning Dew: The Mark of the Beast Explained

Good Morning! Since high school, I have been aware that we’re living in the last days. Through the years I’ve been a watchwoman reading many prophetic articles and magazines. I’ve also been a news junkie watching world events, and Israel in particular. In doing this, I’ve continually sifted through the information, watched the times, and measured the progress of the One World Order, the Mark of the Beast, and Cashless society.

I’ve always wondered how and when it would happen. Nearly all of the world’s population has electricity and can go digital with the enabling technologies of wireless Internet, cell phones, and cell phone card readers. With our horrendous out-of-control National Debt, the slowing economy, and negative interest rates, I see clearly that we are right now on the cusp of going cashless. This would allow the ushering in of the Mark of the Beast. If you’ve been paying attention to the mainstream news and alternative new websites, there have been a whole slew of articles written in the last month which explore the coming cashless society and Mark of the Beast. The best of these that I’ve read is Ann Barnhardt’s article, that expounds on amongst other reasons why Satan wants us to receive the Mark.

I found her essay to be so incredibly insightful that I read it aloud to our children, since we’re currently studying economics using Richard Mayberry’s text Whatever Happened to Penny Candy?. Ann’s essay wonderfully dovetailed into these economics studies and our interest in Last Days events.

Here are some specific passages that she wrote that I wish to emphasize, which illustrates the truth of how the use of cash is a gift of God and facilitates man’s God–given freedom versus how a cashless society is the tool of Satan, which will be used to monitor, enslave, control, and force many to worship him. (Please take the time to read Ann’s entire article. I have quoted her extensively—pushing the limits of our Fair Use privilege–because she articulated so many important truths, which we need to remember and understand.)

Ann’s thoughts on our economic mess:

“This is an equation, (MV=PQ: money times velocity equals price times quantity) and thus it must ALWAYS, ALWAYS BALANCE.  This is mathematical reality. To deny it is to deny the very metaphysical foundations of the universe.  But, in today’s sick, depraved world, people have been contra-educated and indoctrinated to believe that even the laws of mathematics are non-rigid and malleable according to the whims of man.  But mathematics is a subset of reality, and reality is God, so to cross math is to spit at God Himself.  And God will not be mocked. Math always wins.”[Emphasis added}

We have already established that money itself is a fungible proxy for man’s capacity to labor, produce and create through time.  Let’s call that MAN’S EXISTENCE. We are created by God, and we exist through time.  We can labor, produce and create and be paid MONEY for our labor or production in time.  When we save money, we are saving up weeks, months and years of our life.  When we spend money, we are exchanging periods of time in our life for goods and services that we need (such as food, clothing and shelter) or want (like everything else). When we give money away in an act of charity, we are giving someone else a piece of our very life.”

“Do you realize what VELOCITY is? VELOCITY OF MONEY is nothing less than a manifestation of man’s God-given FREE WILL.   Velocity is a manifestation of man’s freedom to choose what he does with the fruits of his labor and creativity – his very existence through time. [Emphasis added] Does he spend?  Does he save? Does he invest? Does he tithe or give alms?”

Velocity speaks to the dignity of man in the sense that God created man with free will, and thus able to love – and even though we are talking about Monetary Theory, when you drill down on these concepts, where you always, always end up is at LOVE”

“In a cashless environment where all money and all transactions are electronic, the state can dictate HOW MUCH you can spend, and WHAT YOU CAN SPEND IT ON.  Oh, yes.  They fully intend to keep printing Money – the lion’s share of which winds up in their pockets – by CONTROLLING VELOCITY, WHICH MEANS CONTROLLING ALL SPENDING BY FORCE.”  

“Satan, the father of all lies, and the father of all of this, hiding in the shadows, would like nothing more than to pummel all of humanity into believing that they are nothing more than chattel who can only submit to him and serve his cult like dumb animals, and certainly never achieve that which he himself can never, ever have: the Beatific Vision.  Heaven.  God”[emphasis added]

These truths should be taught diligently to your children…memorized, in fact. The scriptures command us to get wisdom and get understanding! I highly recommend that you read Ann’s article in full to your older children. I also very highly recommend that from greater economic understanding that you read Richard Mayberry’s book Whatever Happened to Penny Candy?, also for ages 12 to adult. This book is a great introductory course in Austrian Economics, which is written in a very easy to understand manner. Once you’ve read this first book in his series, then I’m sure that you’ll want to read all of them.

Getting Ready

I don’t hold the Rapture View that God will take us out of here before a time of tribulation. I truly wish God would, but I expect we’ll be living through this time in history. Therefore, as believers in God the Father and His Son Jesus Christ, we know we absolutely cannot take the “chip/biometrics”. And so we must count the cost. We will not be able to buy or sell, hold a job, receive medical care, or perhaps even be allowed to retain our property—since we won’t be able to pay property tax without the mark. Therefore we must prepare accordingly: spiritually and physically. We must grow our own fruits and vegetables, raise our own meat, stock up on canned goods and other items that can be bartered. Jim’s favorite: ammo!

We need to develop friends and connections to barter with to help us survive. We must know first aid and have medical supplies, et cetera on hand, and be prepared for home birth, homeschooling, home doctoring, and emergency dentistry, home dairying, home apiaries, and practical home-based businesses with bartering potential. (Think in terms of items people want and need, other than arts and crafts.) We must know our Declaration of Independence, Constitution, and Bill of Rights so that we can know what freedom truly is and continue to fight for it. My fellow Americans: Redeem your education and memorize these important documents. Teach them diligently to your children. Most importantly, we must know God’s Word and His ways and trust in Him for our very lives. Ask Him for guidance every day, and He will show you His path for you. – Avalanche Lily



Letter: AR-15 Improvements

Hugh,

When the M16A2 was introduced, many of us felt it was not an improvement. The heavy match barrel made the rifle feel about the same weight loaded as the old M1 Garand. Additionally, it offered no real improvement in accuracy. I could argue that many shot worse, due to the additional weight. The need for a heavy barrel is non existent unless you are doing about 10 or so full auto mag dumps. The heavy barrel came to be when somebody, most likely the USMC, wanted to use a heavier grained bullet for further range and accuracy. Combat effectiveness was found to be reduced though. And now we have what we have in the M16A3, M16A4, and the M4 series. For most preppers I highly recommend a standard weight barrel, which most call a pencil weight. They are starting to make a comeback and for good reason. I went backwards also and my go-to AR is an old SP1 Colt collapsible. It works and weighs nothing. I got it cheap, as it has cosmetic blems on the receiver. Try a pencil weight; you can carry more ammo. – An old paratrooper



Economics and Investing:

AEP: US inflation rears its ugly head as global cycle nears danger zone – G.G.

o o o

What Happens When Walmart Dumps You – RBS

o o o

Items from Professor Preponomics:

US News

US Tornadoes, Storms in February May Cost More than $1B (Bloomberg) Excerpt: “The U.S. suffered the most February tornadoes since 2008, with storms hitting the Plains, Midwest, Southeast, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, the London-based insurance broker said Tuesday in a report. Heavy snow, ice and hail also caused wreckage across the country.”

Our Dangerous Reality (US News & World Report) Excerpt: “In terms of potentially large-to-catastrophic events, there are five possible incidents that could meaningfully impact the economy, cause deep uncertainty for business and consumers and result in significant loss of life and property. The likelihood of these events happening is low, but, because the consequences are high, we need to be prepared to deal with them.”

International News

China Economy: Slow Output Fuels Global Economic Recovery Fears (BBC) Excerpt: “Production rose by 5.4% in January and February – the worst since 2008.”

China’s Looming Currency Crisis (The Wall Street Journal) Excerpt: “Mass capital outflows continue despite stymied Beijing’s efforts to boost the economy. Expect the yuan to tumble.” Note: The Wall Street Journal requires sign-on and/or subscription service for access to some content.

China Weights Letting Banks Sell Bad Debt to Investors (New York Times)

Personal Economics and Household Finance

The Average American’s Saving Habits – 9 Scary Statistics (Fox News Business)

Financial Advisers Worry Fiduciary-Duty Rule to Have Negative Impact (The Wall Street Journal) Excerpt: “Nearly three-quarters of financial advisers surveyed by Fidelity Investments, or 73%, are concerned the Labor Department’s coming fiduciary-duty rule will have a negative impact on how they do business.” Note: The Wall Street Journal requires sign-on and/or subscription service for access to some content. Forbes.com is also following this story and may be an alternative access point for information, but Forbes does require that site visitors disable Ad-Blocker software.

Bank of America Phone Scam (Identity Theft Resource Center) Be very careful. Do not give out your financial information including but not limited to, account numbers and routing details.

o o o

SurvivalBlog and its editors are not paid investment counselors or advisers. Please see our Provisos page for details.



Odds ‘n Sods:

SurvivalBlog reader A.D. sent in this online web search of short-wave radio stations. Now would be a good time to get hard copy printouts of stations you might be interested in.

o o o

Clinton IT specialist revealing server details to FBI, ‘devastating witness’. It’s a sad state of affairs when the vast majority recognizes Hillary as a liar but she can still cinch the votes.

o o o

The Oregonian has released this: Slow-motion video of gunshot FBI allegedly lied about in LaVoy Finicum confrontation. As you can see, Finicum had emerged with his hands up when the “highly trained” FBI HRT rifleman (men?) took those two shots. This was well before he allegedly lowered his hands to his waist. The FBI agents should be fired, criminally prosecuted, and sued in civil court. – JWR

o o o

John McPhee on quick range estimation – Sent in by G.P.

o o o

NATURE CURES on Bacteria Infections, Boils, & MRSA – Sent in by D.S.





Notes for Thursday – March 17, 2016

March 17th is the birthday of Józef Franczak (born 1917, died 21 October 1963), who was a Polish Army Corporal fighting in the World War II resistance against the invading Germans. He then carried on after the war, fighting against the occupying Soviets and their Polish communist stooges. Eventually, he was one of the last of the Cursed Soldiers resistance in Poland. His nom de guerre was Lalek.

o o o

Today, we present another entry for Round 63 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The nearly $12,000 worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A Tactical Self-Contained 2-Series Solar Power Generator system from Always Empowered. This compact starter power system is packaged in a wheeled O.D. green EMP-shielded Pelican hard case (a $1,700 value),
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate that is good for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,195 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper with a hammer forged, chrome-lined barrel and a hard case to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR-type rifle to have a quick change barrel, which can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools and a compact carry capability in a hard case or 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  5. Gun Mag Warehouse is providing 20 Magpul PMAG 30-rd Magazines (a value of $300) and a Gun Mag Warehouse T-Shirt; (an equivalent prize will be awarded for residents in states with magazine restrictions),
  6. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  7. The Ark Institute is donating a non-GMO, non-hybrid vegetable seed package (enough for two families of four) plus seed storage materials, a CD-ROM of Geri Guidetti’s book “Build Your Ark! How to Prepare for Self Reliance in Uncertain Times”, and two bottles of Potassium Iodate (a $325 retail value),
  8. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  9. KellyKettleUSA.com is donating both an AquaBrick water filtration kit with a retail value of $250, and
  10. Two cases of meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Second Prize:

  1. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  2. A transferable certificate for a two-day Ultimate Bug Out Course from Florida Firearms Training (a $400 value),
  3. A Model 175 Series Solar Generator provided by Quantum Harvest LLC (a $439 value),
  4. A Trekker IV™ Four-Person Emergency Kit from Emergency Essentials (a $250 value),
  5. A $200 gift certificate good towards any books published by PrepperPress.com,
  6. A pre-selected assortment of military surplus gear from CJL Enterprize (a $300 value),
  7. RepackBox is providing a $300 gift certificate to their site, and
  8. Safecastle is providing a package of 10 LifeStraws (a $200 value)

Third Prize:

  1. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  2. A $245 gift certificate from custom knife-maker Jon Kelly Designs, of Eureka, Montana,
  3. A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard, and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206,
  4. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  5. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  6. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances,
  7. Montie Gear is donating a Precision Rest (a $249 value), and
  8. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).

Round 63 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Friction Fire- Part 2, by N.E.

Some people like to carve this ember notch before the hearth and drill have mated. I do not. The reason I do not carve this ember notch earlier in the process is that you can ruin the ember notch before the drill and hearth have mated. This can happen from applying too much pressure too soon, causing the drill to kick out of the mate and then splitting the hearth or ruining the ember notch. Also, where the mate actually takes place may not be aligned perfectly with the ember notch, which means more carving. If you ruin the ember notch, then you just wasted a bunch of time and need to do it again. So instead, we carve the ember notch after the mate, which increases efficiency and makes the process much easier.

Your ember notch should be a “V” shape toward the middle of where the hearth mate happened (see figure 9). You want to make sure this notch allows the embers to fall out of the bottom of the hearth, but be careful to not make the notch too wide as the drill can kick out and ruin the notch. Pay attention to the pictures as they demonstrate different angles of how a working notch should look.

Picture-9-APicture-9-BPicture-9-C

Up to this point in the article, the process may sound complex. However, I promise you that within a short amount of time and practice you will have this process down to the point that you can easily do it correctly. Remember, there is no “failure”. There is only learning, and I find this process of learning to be absolutely worth the reward we experience after creating our first friction fire. So, try, try again. You can do it.

Now it is time to make fire.

Start by finding a dry leaf or a flat piece of dry bark that will serve as a plate that our hearth will rest upon. This is to ensure that, once an ember is created, it will fall below onto something dry and portable that allows us to place the ember in the bird’s nest. Just like we did when mating the drill to the hearth, string up your bow with your drill, take a knee, place your opposite foot on the hearth, take your socket in hand and attach it to the top of the drill, lock your wrist in to your shin, take a good posture, and we are ready. Your hand position on the bow is important to maintain efficiency. You will want to choke up a little higher on the end of the bow so the tips of your fingers and thumb are resting on the bowstring. This is done so that once we begin applying pressure while also applying speed, we can apply increased tension on the string of the bow by clinching our fingers and thumb together (see figure 10).

Picture-10-APicture-10-B

Begin moving the bow slowly and increase the speed over time. This is not a race, so going zero to sixty is not going to help you. Think of this speed acceleration as simply getting a green light at an intersection and you are in no hurry. As you increase the speed, slowly apply downward pressure with the socket hand. The goal is to maintain, as much as possible, an even increase of speed and an increased downward pressure of the drill. Make sure you use long strokes and use all of the string. Very important: Once you see some smoke, keep going while again increasing speed and pressure. Once a decent amount of smoking starts rising (use your best judgment, and the more smoke the better), you may have created an ember. To check if you have created an ember, stop moving the bow. Slowly, pick up the drill from the hearth while leaving your foot attached to the hearth. Place the drill, socket, and bow to your side, again while keeping your foot upon the hearth. If you are confident there is an ember, then maintain your balance and be careful when finally removing your foot from the hearth. This is important, because if you have created an ember then moving your foot from the hearth in a rapid fashion can very easily destroy the ember. Get on both knees and lean down to slowly peel away the hearth from the ember. You will know if you have an ember, because a little pile of dust will be smoking. Softly blow on the ember and it should put out a nice glow (see figure 11). We are in no real hurry here, as that ember will smolder for a little while on its own. Relax, and try not to get too excited.

Picture-11

Make sure your birds nest is very close. Pick up the dry bark or leaf that your ember is resting on and very carefully tap the ember into your bird’s nest. Taking the bird’s nest in to your hand, begin blowing on the ember. A trick I have found that helps during this process is to take a deep breath and blow softly, increasing the pressure of your blowing as the glowing intensifies. As you run out of breath, very quickly move the birds nest away from your face to full arms extension while you take another deep breath. This trick does two things for us. 1) If you are having success, the birds nest will be smoking pretty good and by moving the birds nest away from your face you are able to take a deep breath without inhaling the smoke. 2) The movement also provides more oxygen to the ember.

As the glowing of the ember increases, carefully fold the bird’s nest over the ember, without smothering the ember. This will increase the ember’s contact with dry tinder, helping to make a flame. Repeat this process with care and a flame will appear. Once a flame appears, you may feel compelled to scream “FREEDOM!” Try not to squeal or wiggle about. Also, put the bird’s nest down so you don’t burn yourself. Start applying more tinder and small sticks to allow your fire to mature.

Congratulations, you have just completed a friction fire! For demonstration purposes, I am using a yucca stalk. A yucca stalk is widely regarded as the easiest specimen to use for creating friction fire. As I am certified in permaculture design, which can be characterized as a sustainable form of agriculture that mimics nature with editable foods, I have also incorporated yucca plants in to my permaculture gardens. I believe this is a prudent idea as many of us understand the importance of growing our own food. And, by including yucca plants, we can also grow our own material for friction fire and utilize the leaves of the yucca plants for cordage. Cordage and fire are considered some of the cornerstones of a survival situation and growing them on your homestead is just as smart as growing your food, but it is often overlooked.

Keep in mind that once you have made your bow drill set, you can use it time and again until you have exhausted the hearth. Keep your hearth and drill dry and you can make many fires. Some key takeaways to help with your success are as follows:

  • Moisture is our enemy
  • Soft woods, fingernail test
  • Use sweat and oils from your nose/face as lubrication between the socket and drill (but do not lubricate the drill and hearth mate!)
  • Lock wrist to your shin
  • Good posture
  • Make long strokes with the bow, using all of the string
  • Take your time; go slow

Friction fire will work with most woods. However, the required pressure, speed, and length of time will increase with harder woods. Again, I suggest for practice purposes using a dried yucca stalk, if possible. As you perfect your technique, you can obtain an ember in around sixty seconds with a yucca stalk. Another tip: You may be better served to practice your technique on a surface other than concrete. Speaking from experience, your knuckles dragging along the concrete can get bloody when you are close to obtaining an ember.

In closing, when I first sat down to learn friction fire, I was intimidated and I rationalized that flint steel or a lighter is all I needed. Honestly, friction fire is not very hard. It can seem overwhelming during the learning process, but I promise you that this skill is invaluable. I now rank this skill as my second most important skill/item, second only to a proper fixed blade. With fire we can boil our water, make fire burned bowls to hold and transport our water, cook our food, along with many other necessities and comforts. Practice makes improvement, and also serves as a reason to get out in the woods to practice other skills. I find primitive skills to be the best survival skill set we can have—far more valuable than any store-bought item. Importantly, the more knowledge we obtain, the less stuff we need.



Letter Re: Why I Started Prepping, by KB

Sirs,

We, as a country, have run our financial cycle; reference KB’s timely article. I have one addition: the reference to $19 plus trillion is for funded U.S. debt. In addition, folks, there is over $200 trillion in unfunded debt, which the current POTUS has added almost 50% to that portion since his time on the golf course. We are led to believe that $19 trillion is the true bottom line total debt number. Like Mark Twain once said, “Politicians like diapers should be changed often…and for the same reason”. I have only heard Trump and Carson address the true numbers. God help us, we can no longer even pay the interest on the 19 trillion. The unfunded portion, 200 plus trillion, is the hand grenade that keeps being kicked down the road by both parties. Check out the real time National debt clock to verify for yourself and your own education how we are being taken for the long ride over the financial cliff. So do your own research, our 2-party system is both corrupt and scheming for even more power; do not give up your freedoms. After all, that is what they work for, not us. – John in Nv



Economics and Investing:

12 Frugal Lessons From the Great Depression – D.S.

o o o

What The Smart Money Is Most Worried About

o o o

Items from Professor Preponomics:

US News

We are Headed Toward a Cashless Society? (Mises)

House GOP Conference Chair Unveils Bill to Fight Government “Zombies” (Washington Free Beacon) Excerpt: “The legislation would pressure Congress to reexamine government programs whose authorizations have expired by subjecting such programs to a rolling sequester, which would take place over three years and end with a complete elimination of funding if lawmakers have not acted to reauthorize the program. Currently, the federal government funds 256 unauthorized programs costing $310.4 billion, including entire agencies such as the State Department….”

Congress Faces Prolonged Spending Fight (Washington Examiner) Excerpt: “…once again, Congress is facing a prolonged spending fight that results in the last-minute passage of an unpopular ‘omnibus’ bill.”

Solid Job Growth For February, But Shadows Remain Hovering Over the Economy (Outside the Beltway)

International News

More Wretched News in the World’s 7th-Largest Economy (Business Insider) Excerpt: “Brazil is in free fall.”

As the Olympics Loom, Brazil Lurches from One Crisis to the Next (NPR) Excerpt: “Economists say it’s the worst recession here for 100 years — and possibly ever.”

Global Recession Risk Rises to 30pc this Year, Warns Morgan Stanley (The Telegraph) Excerpt: “The US investment bank said a ‘low growth environment’ had made the world vulnerable to a litany of shocks, including fears that central banks have lost control over domestic financial conditions, while rising political risks from Europe to the Middle East threaten to overwhelm governments.”

Personal Economics and Household Finance

Fraud Prevention (Looks Too Good To Be True) Excerpt: “An interesting point about fraud is that it is a crime in which you decide on whether to participate. Hanging up the phone or not responding to shady mailings or emails makes it difficult for the scammer to commit fraud. But con artists are very persuasive, using all types of excuses, explanations, and offers to lead you — and your money — away from common sense.”

o o o

SurvivalBlog and its editors are not paid investment counselors or advisers. Please see our Provisos page for details.



Odds ‘n Sods:

New Gov’t Operation Denies Citizens Access to Guns & Gold – Not exactly new to SurvivalBlog readers but an interesting read nonetheless. – D.S.

o o o

From SurvivalBlog reader J.N.:

A bit of reading required here, but well worth it. Much of it can be considered “Problem Two”– what to do AFTER your physical preps are in place.

Okay, you’ve already got the nine B’s– Berkey (i.e. water), beans, bullets, bandaids, batteries, bullion, books, barter, beliefs. Then it’s time to think about the tenth B– “buddies”. Lone wolves, no matter how well equipped, will get picked off early in the upcoming festivities.

  1. How to find people who think like you
  2. People who will be a threat to you
  3. Why you (a) should keep OPSEC and (b) MUST NOT keep all your preps in one obvious place

I admit I have not dispersed my preps as well as I should. Working on that. Your suggestions are cordially solicited.

o o o

Another reason to get off social media: Facebook Monitors Your Private Messages for the Police. Of course if-you-have-nothing-to-hide-you-have-nothing-to-fear. Ja, und Arbeit Macht Frei, citizen. – Mr Natural

HJL notes: http://translate.google.com refused to translate this phrase; however, Wikipedia has a complete article on it.

o o o

This Is Why You Shouldn’t Shelter Your Children From Guns – D.S.

o o o

Ukraine grid hack – Unprecedented attack shows how vulnerable all power grids are. – T.Z.