Category: Economics & Investing

Barron’s mentioned a “Buy” indicator on Smith and Wesson. I second the motion, but to be more specific: Make it one of the early stainless steel S&Ws with the pinned barrel and recessed cylinder. (“Pinned and recessed.”) For revolvers, you can’t go wrong with an early production Model 629. I like the 6″ barrel length, (except for concealed carry), but the Barron’s didn’t give any details. What? You say he only owns S&W stock? You can’t stop a charging grizzly with a stock certificate. Invest in tangibles! Fed is Said to Seek Capital for at Least Six Banks Swine Flu …

From reader GC: Economy Shrinks at 6.1 Percent Pace in First Quarter Unemployment Up Again in Chicago In March, But Many Cities Fare Much Worse (thanks to Ray L. for the link) Linked at The Drudge Report: Phoenix leads nation in home price declines in February (Down 51%!) Commentary from Michael Pento: It’s Stagflation, Not Hyperinflation-For Now Items from The Economatrix: Government, Chrysler Lenders Reportedly Reach Deal to Avert Bankruptcy Shares of BofA, Citi Drop on Stress Test Concerns GM to Force Over 1,000 Dealers to Close China Admits to Building Up Gold Stockpile Small Caps Rally, Lifting Stocks

From G.L: US Housing Market Heading for a Bigger Crash Ted spotted this: US Home Prices Fall, But Pace of Decline Eased Slightly Courtesy of Lee H.: Falsifying Bank Balance Sheets Items from The Economatrix: Oil Drops Below $50 on Flu Fears The Economy Looks Beyond The Recession to Disease and Terrorism Two key quotes: “The stock market responded with a shudder yesterday but at least did not collapse in response to the weekend media blitz about the Swine Flu outbreak. The reaction of the world’s markets is likely to be close to panic if this disease becomes widespread and …

Reader Greg C. found this: Treasury needs record $361 Billion April-June borrowing. (Greg’s comment: “And while we are all watching a little flu bug down south….”) From G.N.C.: Roubini: ‘Suckers Rally’ In Stocks To Fade. “It’s not a true recovery. It’s just a bear-market rally, it’s a suckers’ rally.” Steve in southern Oregon sent this item: Jim Rogers Isn’t Buying a U.S. Stock Recovery Items from The Economatrix: Chrysler Reaches Deal With Union, Fiat Before Deadline Flu could boost government intervention further From Michael Panzner’s blog: Evidence to the Contrary. “Despite all the evidence to the contrary, mainstream types keep …

From Z.T.:Finance officials at odds over IMF funding plan Spotted over at Gold-Eagle: At the Heart of America’s Economic Problems, by Paul Mladjenovic Items from The Economatrix: Bank Industry Await Results of Stress Tests GM and Chrysler: Goodnight G-8’s First Bankruptcy “To paraphrase Churchill, the UK economy is now a disaster, wrapped in a catastrophe inside a calamity. And someone just flushed the key down the proverbial…” Volcker Punctures the Nonsense (The Mogambo Guru) The Fed’s Cash Machine Fed Says Government Ready to Save Stress-Tested Banks Microsoft Has First Quarterly Fall in Revenue in 23 Years Germany’s Slump Risks “Explosive” …

Herb Dennenberg of the Philadelphia Bulletin warns: US Marches Toward a Financial Disaster Worse Than Anyone Thinks. (A tip of the hat to “The Other Jim R.”) GG flagged a Forbes column by Steve H. Hanke, warning that inflation will roar back with a vengeance: Fed Up Items from The Economatrix: Rush to Universities to Escape Recession GM to Default on $1 Billion Bond Payment IMF Predicts World Recession Will Deepen Morgan Stanley Reports Four-Month Losses of $1.47 Billion Geithner: Worst Trade Bust Since WWII Soaring US Budget Deficit Will Mean Billions in Bond Sales “Millions of lost jobs mean …

From GG: Borrowing puts UK’s AAA rating in danger after Budget 2009 Also from GG: China reveals huge rise in gold reserves JWR’s comment: Well, “huge” is a relative term. The population of Switzerland is 7.5 million, and the population of China is 1.3 billion. Yet, at 1,054 tons of gold, China’s gold horde is only slightly larger than Switzerland’s. Methinks China will be a big gold buyer in the decades to come, probably in excess of their domestic production. Items from The Economatrix: How Low Could the Stock Markets Go? 10 Charts Showing a Prolonged Global Recession Retirement Dreams …

This headline appeared yesterday: Stress Test Data to be Released May 4th. Since the pre-release rumors have been bad, Monday, May 4th could be a key event. Be ready for turmoil in the weeks following this announcement. Have plenty of cash on hand, since it will be difficult to predict what the sheeple will do on or after May 4th–when presumably the majority of US banks will be declared insolvent. From DD: March existing home sales fall by three percent. “The results were ‘a little disappointing’ given that homes are more affordable than they’ve been in years and mortgage rates …

From frequent content contributor G.G.: Gold rush in the suburbs as shine disappears from economy D.D. suggested this: Why the bank stress tests are bunk; The Obama team has put banks under the microscope and plans to release the results. If the findings are bad, expect more market turmoil. If they’re rosy, who’ll believe them? Some sobering news in The New York Times: I.M.F. Puts Bank Losses From Global Financial Crisis at $4.1 Trillion Items from The Economatrix: Freddie Mac CFO Apparent Suicide Global Economy Expected to Shrink this Year Leading Economist Decries Power of Wall Street “Oligarchs” Five Reasons …

Allen C. sent this: Most Bailed Out Banks Reduced Lending Since Getting Funds KAF sent this bit of news on the continuing nationalization of US banking: U.S. May Convert Bank Bailouts to Common Stock Items from The Economatrix: GM to Cut 1,600 Jobs in Next Few Days Bank Bailout Plan’s “Stress Test” Already Causing Stress Recession Pits Small Banks Against Big Banks Drivers Paying Highest Gas Prices So Far in 2009 Expect another 20 cent rise for the summer. Geithner Defends Bank Rescue Program Amid Warnings GM, Chrysler to Get $5B More A Backdoor Nationalization: The Latest Treasury Brainstorm Will …

News about the results of the Federal Reserve’s “Stress Test” got out, and it sent a shock wave through the financial world. The news was quite disturbing. Although with the caveat that it is not yet confirmed, I recommend reading the summary at Hal Turner’s web site. Reader “NDSS” mentioned this bit of much-needed common sense from Charles Hugh Smith: Why a 50% Drop in Housing is Not the Bottom. JWR’s comment: Anyone that thinks that the US real estate market will soon “recover” is dreaming. The peak in Alt-A and Option ARM mortgage rate resets won’t be until 2011. …

Charley keyed in on a piece in The Atlantic, where Jeffrey Goldberg contemplates survivalism: Why I Fired My Broker. The accompanying video clip, titled “The Con Game” is quite entertaining and has some snippets about his acquaintance Cody Lundin–a survivalist and author.(Cody is the author of When All H*ll Breaks Loose: Stuff You Need To Survive When Disaster Strikes — currently around #300 in the Amazon ranks.) Here is a quote from the print article: “For the record, I don’t think the grid is buckling under the weight of consumer debt or the mistakes of AIG. But we’re in a …

D.S. flagged this:Why There will be no other Bubble to Save us from this 40 Year Financial Bubble: From Manufacturing, Technology, and Financial Services. Real Estate Bubble. Drop in Corporate Tax Receipts D.S. also recommended an Op-Ed piece by Paul Krugman in The New York Times: Green Shoots and Glimmers Kern County, California unemployment jumps to 15.9 percent. (Thanks to JWP for the link.) Krys in Idaho sent us this article. US regulators close American Sterling Bank. Krys’s comment: “In case anyone’s counting, that’s an average of almost 1.5 banks closed every week so far this year. It is only …