Preparedness Notes for Tuesday – January 30, 2018

January 30th is the birthday of historian Barbara Tuchman (born 1912, died February 6, 1989). She wrote some of the most engaging history books JWR ever read.

January 30th is also the anniversary of the 1945 Great Raid on Cabanatuan Prison Camp where US Army Rangers and Filipino Guerrillas liberated Allied prisoners. See Rescue At Los Baños, by historian and bestselling author Bruce Henderson.

o o o

I recommend that SurvivalBlog readers take a look at the YouTube channel run by an earthquake tracker, who posts under the name Dutchsinse. In the past, most of the folks who have tried predicting earthquake locations have had about the same accuracy as a dartboard. But we’ve been watching Dutchsinse since last summer, and his predictions seem to be at least 70% accurate. On most days, he does a 24-hour livestream and jumps in with reports every evening around 10PM Central time. And on Sunday evenings he does a weekly forecast. He tracks the success of his predictions with a spreadsheet. He accurately predicted the Magnitude 7.9 earthquake in the Aleutians region, last week. Presently, he is predicting a Magnitude 6.0+ earthquake in Iran this week. Preppers living in earthquake-prone areas should definitely take a look! – JWR

o o o

SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

This has been another entry for Round 74 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The nearly $11,000 worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A $3000 gift certificate towards a Sol-Ark Solar Generator from Veteran owned Portable Solar LLC. The only EMP Hardened Solar Generator System available to the public.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper. These have hammer forged, chrome-lined barrels and a hard case, to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR-type rifle to have a quick change barrel. This can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools. It also provides a compact carry capability in a hard case or in 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  5. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  6. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  7. Two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of (a $180 value), and
  8. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.

Second Prize:

  1. A Model 175 Series Solar Generator provided by Quantum Harvest LLC (a $439 value),
  2. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  3. A gift certificate for any two or three-day class from Max Velocity Tactical (a $600 value),
  4. A transferable certificate for a two-day Ultimate Bug Out Course from Florida Firearms Training (a $400 value),
  5. A Trekker IV™ Four-Person Emergency Kit from Emergency Essentials (a $250 value),
  6. A $200 gift certificate good towards any books published by,
  7. RepackBox is providing a $300 gift certificate to their site.

Third Prize:

  1. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  2. A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard, and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206,
  3. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances, and
  6. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from (a $240 value).

Round 74 ends on January 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.


  1. Dutchsinse web site is really comprehensive. Thanks for the link.
    Earthquakes are always on my radar.
    One question I have always had is how do super moons and corresponding tides and gravities affect fault pressures. I have read where these potential correlations have been studied but I do not know if there is anything conclusive.

  2. I have been watching Dutch for about the same amount of time and am quite impressed with his efforts in forecasting something the MSM and scientists say isn’t possible. His system is logical and well developed, not perfect but offers a great correct percentage f correct calls.

    Having being brought up in and living in earthquake central all of my life before moving to the redoubt I find it quite refreshing to see such success. I have experienced about a half dozen 6.+ over the years.

  3. One of the best spy novels I have ever read was “The Zimmerman Telegram” by Barbara Tuchman. Except it is not a novel. It is the true story of America’s entry into WW1 and it reads like a novel with more twists and turns and more colorful characters than you can follow.

    I always call myself a quasi-conspiracy theorist or perhaps a 50% conspiracy theorist. I say that because I believe there is a lot going on in the shadows. It just isn’t as organized and ingenious as the full blown conspiracy theorists believe. It is much more like the messy chaos that goes on right out in the open IMO.

    To me the greatest conspiracy is not that there is some evil genius or group of geniuses running the world. It is that there are a bunch of bumbling fools running the world. Or if not bumbling fools, people who know no more what to do with all the complex issues that face our world than you or me.

    I come to this conclusion partly from reading history like the Zimmerman Telegram. About 90% of all conspiracy theories have already happened some time in the past and are recorded in history books somewhere. It is just that no one believes them until about 100 or 200 or more years later.

  4. The movie”The Great Raid” is about this incident. Shows how thoroughly the Japanese were defeated by US industry and manpower(large units without missions in forward deployed areas). This story is about “makework” for bored soldiers

Comments are closed.