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6 Comments

  1. The links between low interest rates and higher stock prices include (but are not limited to) the following: low rates drive individuals seeking income into dividend paying stocks, and these same low rates allow corporations to borrow cheaply and buy back their stock (Walmart just announced a $20 billion buyback). One further aspect of the link: historically, when the very short term federal funds rate exceeds the rate on the 10 year US treasury bond, the market has started a major downturn. We are not there yet, and it’s impossible to forecast the Fed’s projected rate increases, but the general feeling now is that we will be there by late 2019. We could have two more years of a generally rising market. This is not a prediction — i’m trying to be analytical and not be swayed by the rising tide of OMG I see online.

  2. Doc Strange:
    I would add a tidbit from my banker friend. I asked him “Are real estate prices bubble or debasement?” He says both. Guesses that one third is due to debasement. So … I have to go there “Don’t run and hide in de basement just make it comfy to you are prepared. Interestingly enough he also blamed government action (zoning, building departments and bank regs) for a reduced supply as a cause for the bubble. The other third was froth.

  3. Affordable starter houses and rentals are being demolished(with federal community development block grant money) with no viable redevelopment plans for the empty lots and a shortage of affordable housing. Local officals likely want Mcmansions on city lots(lots of tax money).
    Heard someone’s rooster today, the backyard chicken movement has come to my neighborhood.

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