What To Do and Not Do When a Pandemic Starts- Part 2, by Scientist69

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In part 1 of this article series, I explained the difference between a pandemic and an epidemic as well as virus transmissions. We also went through some basic biosecurity measures, including items to have on hand and how to use them, including some detail on various disinfectants. Now, let’s move forward in our discussion on dealing with pandemic-causes viruses.

Vaccination

Vaccinations have gotten a bad reputation, unfortunately due to the occurrence of some rare issues such as allergies to vaccines, autoimmune responses, et cetera and a whole lot of misinformation. Generally, if you had regular vaccinations, you might have some protection against any other flu, but it most likely will not be enough to prevent disease; however, it might give you a leg up in regards to dying. The reason for this is in the biology of the virus and the biology of your immune response.

Vaccinations against the seasonal flu are typically weakened or mostly killed influenza virus strains, with the vaccine companies trying to guess which strains are actively circulating next winter. They guess by looking at what is emerging in other parts of the world, particularly the southern hemisphere where winter and flu season is in June, July, and August. They then produce the vaccine against those strains and hope for the best. Obviously, that does not always work, which is why you sometimes have low rates of protection.

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Economics & Investing For Preppers

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Here are the latest items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. And it bears mention that most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of JWR. (SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor.) Today’s focus is on investing in Rhodium.

Precious Metals (Rhodium):

Rhodium is a metal that is substantially more rare than platinum. Back in February of 2016, I recommended investing in rhodium, because it had declined to just to $670 per Troy ounce, in defiance of price fundamentals. But what a difference we’ve seen, in 23 months! When I last checked at Kitco, rhodium had risen to $1,570. That is not a bad return on investment! The restoration of the price of rhodium to its historic norms vis-a-vis the other precious metals is instructive. Watch the long term norms and trends. Buy in the bargain basement. Sell when things are clearly over-priced. (By the way, I won’t consider rhodium truly overpriced until it gets above $4,000 per Troy ounce again.)

When a commodity price bucks a trend, it usually returns to the trend within a year or two. The old saying in the commodities pits is: “The trend is your friend.”  Just keep in mind that rhodium has seen some huge price swings since 2000, so it should just be a small part of your portfolio. There are of course some exceptions to relying on measured long term price trends. For example, the advent of hybrid cars and pure electric cars is creating new paradigms in the metals markets.  New battery technologies will create new demands for particular metals. And it is presently difficult to predict which battery technology will eventually predominate. Clearly, some trends gradually morph, over time.

Here is another example: The ratio of silver to gold found in the earth’s crust is essentially a constant–around 18-to-one. But what is available above ground is another matter.  The amount of silver industrially recovered (recycled) from the electronics industry is trivial compared to the standard practice recovery of gold, in all industries. So in the long term, a lot of silver is ending up in landfills. By the year 2100, I anticipate that the price ratio of silver to gold will decline to around 15-to-one. Even by the year 2040, it should be below 40-to-one.  It is presently a whopping 78-to-one. So I’m primarily investing in silver, not gold.

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The S.S. Central America Hoard, Round 2: Gold treasure recovered from 1857 shipwreck to make debut. (Thanks to Gregg P. for the link.)

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JWR’s Recommendations of the Week

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Here are JWR’s Recommendations of the Week for various media and tools of interest to SurvivalBlog readers. This week the focus is on learning about sewing machine belt replacement. (See the Vlogs and Instructional Videos section.)

Books:

Great Book of Woodworking Projects: 50 Projects for Indoor Improvements and Outdoor Living from the Experts at American Woodworker

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Pacific Northwest Foraging: 120 Wild and Flavorful Edibles from Alaska Blueberries to Wild Hazelnuts (Note: The same publisher has companion books on foraging in the Northeast, Midwest, and Southeast.)

Movies:

The Cocoanuts. The zany comedy of the Marx Brothers is hard to describe. You will either love it or hate it. I’m one those who love it.

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AGI Glock Pistols Armorer’s Course

 

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The Editors’ Quote of the Day:

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“I developed a problem with authority. Any time that authority was what I interpreted as being unjust, I stood up to it, and that became my personality.” – The Late Singer-Songwriter Tom Petty

Preparedness Notes for Tuesday – January 30, 2018

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January 30th is the birthday of historian Barbara Tuchman (born 1912, died February 6, 1989). She wrote some of the most engaging history books JWR ever read.

January 30th is also the anniversary of the 1945 Great Raid on Cabanatuan Prison Camp where US Army Rangers and Filipino Guerrillas liberated Allied prisoners. See Rescue At Los Baños, by historian and bestselling author Bruce Henderson.

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I recommend that SurvivalBlog readers take a look at the YouTube channel run by an earthquake tracker, who posts under the name Dutchsinse. In the past, most of the folks who have tried predicting earthquake locations have had about the same accuracy as a dartboard. But we’ve been watching Dutchsinse since last summer, and his predictions seem to be at least 70% accurate. On most days, he does a 24-hour livestream and jumps in with reports every evening around 10PM Central time. And on Sunday evenings he does a weekly forecast. He tracks the success of his predictions with a spreadsheet. He accurately predicted the Magnitude 7.9 earthquake in the Aleutians region, last week. Presently, he is predicting a Magnitude 6.0+ earthquake in Iran this week. Preppers living in earthquake-prone areas should definitely take a look! – JWR

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What To Do and Not Do When a Pandemic Starts- Part 1, by Scientist69

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The Basics (Science is Awesome)

What is the basic difference between an epidemic and a pandemic? In an epidemic, an infectious disease spreads quickly between people; however, this will be relatively confined to a geographic area, country, or even a continent. The Ebola epidemic in West Africa is an example. On the other hand, a pandemic means that this infectious disease spreads quickly to other continents, basically causing disease globally, most likely resulting in high fatality rates.

Examples of infections that can potentially cause a pandemic are the bird flu (avian influenza), SARS or MERS like infections that are caused by viruses in the coronavirus family, and of course Ebola and similar so-called hemorrhagic viruses.

Viruses More Likely to Cause a Pandemic

Why are these viruses more likely to cause a pandemic?

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SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt

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Here is SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt. This weekly column features news stories and event announcements from around the American Redoubt region. We also mention companies of interest to preppers that are located in the region. The emphasis this week is on pro-gun Wyoming.

Region-Wide

In recent data from The Tax Foundation, most of the American Redoubt States rank well, as usual: 2018 State Business Tax Climate Index

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Likewise, in safety rankings, most of the American Redoubt States rank very well: 2017’s Safest States in America. Note that Montana and Wyoming were dinged for road safety in part because they have so many long stretches of highway with 80-mile per hour speed limits, some severe winter weather at the higher elevations, and so many deer and elk collisions. Otherwise, they’d be near the top of the list.


Idaho

Wolf Trapper Certification Classes Scheduled in Coeur d’Alene

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Some video shot west of Coeur d’Alene: Air 4: Post Falls Dam. (Thanks to D.B. for the link.)

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Reader T.Z. sent news about a company headquartered in Ketchum, Idaho: Clothing Company Founder Finds Out it’s Not a Great Idea to Call His Fox Viewing Customers ‘Idiots’. JWR’s Comment: Something tells me that this company won’t be “getting rich off” many SurvivalBlog readers.

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The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods:

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SurvivalBlog presents another edition of The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods— a collection of news bits and pieces that are relevant to the modern survivalist and prepper from “HJL”. Mexican violence continues to escalate and now the Federal government has decided to get involved again. Must be election time.

Eating Freeze Dried Food

The latest from Commander Zero: Real world eating of decades old freeze-dried food. This is a collection of posts where various bloggers have opened and eaten older freeze dried foods and reported on it. If you have old freeze dried foods in your pantry that you are wondering about, you might want to check this out.

Venezuela

The Associated Press has an article (sent in by reader B.H.) that continues the update on how desperate Venezuelans are getting. Drivers of trucks are getting held at gunpoint while hordes of people loot the food they may be carrying to processing plants or distribution points. These truck drivers are only making the equivalent of $100/month and it is now one of the most dangerous jobs there is. Inflation has the price of foods doubling every few weeks and the government is showing its usual stupidity by blaming supermarkets and ordering them to lower their prices. Let’s blame the symptom for the illness.

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The Editors’ Quote of the Day:

“The Jacksonians were libertarians, plain and simple. Their program and ideology were libertarian; they strongly favored free enterprise and free markets, but they just as strongly opposed special subsidies and monopoly privileges conveyed by government to business or to any other group.” – Murray Rothbard

Ruger PC9, 9mm Carbine, by Pat Cascio

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The all-new and improved Ruger PC9, 9mm carbine is under review. And this may just be the hottest selling firearm on the market right now.

When Ruger Originally Came Out With PC9

Some years back, Ruger www.ruger.com came out with a PC9, 9mm carbine. However, the one draw back was that it only took magazines from Ruger handguns. While not necessarily a bad thing, many shooters wanted more; they wanted a compact little carbine that would take magazines from other gun makers. Still, the original PC9 was a hot-seller, and after it was discontinued demand was crazy. Used models were selling for more than a thousand dollars, believe it or not.

Demand for PC9

As I write this, in the middle of January, 2018, Ruger can’t begin to keep up with demand for the PC9, not even close. My local gun shop that I haunt has 20 of these firearms on order. However, the distributor has no idea when they will have the guns in stock and ready to ship. Yet, daily customers come in asking if they have a PC9. I will go out on a limb here and predict that, if Ruger can keep up with supply and demand, they will sell a million PC9 carbines this year!

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Economics & Investing For Preppers

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Here are the latest items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. And it bears mention that most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of JWR. (SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor.) Today’s focus is on some recent predictions from economist Peter Schiff.

Precious Metals:

The Precious Metals Week in Review — January 26, 2018

 

Forex:

Next, at Forex Crunch: EUR/USD Forecast Jan. 29 – Feb. 2 2018

 

Commodities:

Moving on to this as Seeking Alpha: Commodities Recap For The Week Of Jan. 26, 2018

 

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