SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt

This weekly column features news stories and event announcements from around the American Redoubt region. (Idaho, Montana, eastern Oregon, eastern Washington, and Wyoming.) Much of the region is also more commonly known as The Inland Northwest. We also mention companies of interest to preppers and survivalists that are located in the American Redoubt region. Today, we focus on the glaciers of Glacier National Park. (See the Montana section.)

Idaho

This new web site looks interesting:  Boiseleaks.

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Crews working to remove derailed BNSF train leaking fuel into Kootenai River

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Reader C.B. sent us this: Idaho cold case of outlaw missing since 1916 solved by DNA, genetic genealogy

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Three dead, four injured in Silver Mountain avalanche: What we know

Continue reading“SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt”







Blackhawk 6-inch Trident Ultralite Boots, by Pat Cascio

I’m sure a lot of our readers have heard this muttered, “if I had known I was going to live this long, I would have taken better care of myself.” Well, I can certainly relate to that phrase. When I was younger – much younger – I was totally indestructible, nothing could stand in my way – except for life itself. I will readily admit that, before I became a born again Christian, I didn’t lead the most honorable life – it was actually pretty wild in a lot of ways. Roger Simon, a newspaper reporter in Chicago, Illinois, once wrote a couple articles about me. I was quoted in one of those articles as saying: “I do the things that others dream of.” I’m not exactly sure if I said that or not at this point, but Simon was pretty dead-on when he included that in the article.

I once ran an organization called “Rescue One” and we had offices in the USA, Athens, Greece and Cape Town, South Africa. We were listed with INTERPOL, as a private intelligence organization. And at the time we had the only one in the world. The International Criminal Police Organization (ICPO-INTERPOL) actually came to us, wanting to know what we were all about. And we were soon listed is as a private intel agency. We really did do the things that others only dreamed about. At one point, we were all set to rescue some nuns held behind the Iron Curtain, who were being held in one of the Soviet Bloc countries.

I hold Black Belt rank in five different martial arts, with the highest rank being a 6th Degree Black Belt – not bragging in the least – just trying to lay some ground work. I’m listed in the Third Edition of Who’s Who In American Martial Arts, right in there with the likes of Chuck Norris, so you know I’ve been around the block a few times, and it has taken its toll on my body as I approach yet another birthday shortly.

With one medical issue after another, it has caused me to be more careful and selective when it comes to a lot of things. Osteoarthritis is but one medical issue I must deal with on a daily basis, and some days, it is a real chore to get out of bed to face another day in pain – I live in pain, no days off. So, with that said, I choose things differently than a lot of people do. I stopped teaching firearms classes some years back, because of a bad hip – it has since been replaced – if only the rest of my body worked like my new hip does, I’d be happy. I couldn’t stand long enough to teach firearms classes all day. And, even with the new hip, my time is limited when it comes to standing because of arthritis in the lower back. A word of advice: “Don’t ever get old.”

One thing that is an absolute must, is proper footwear. And I don’t mean big box store $10 shoes or boots, or from some cheap national shoe source outlets. I learned a long, long time ago, to be extremely picky, when it comes to footwear. I don’t even own a pair of dress shoes these days. My footwear consists of either hiking shoes or boots – period, end of story! Now, with that out of the way, I also only wear lightweight footwear these days. And I must note: not cheaply made footwear, but quality footwear that is lightweight.Continue reading“Blackhawk 6-inch Trident Ultralite Boots, by Pat Cascio”



Recipe of the Week: Health Cookies

This week’s recipe is for Health Cookies. It is a recipe excerpted from the scarce book Nine Hundred Successful Recipes, by Lulu Thompson Silvernail. This book, from my own book collection, was published in 1923. A recent change in U.S. copyright law now puts most pre-1925 books in the public domain.

Lulu Thompson Silvernail’s emphasis in this book was recipes that included hard red winter wheat flour. This entire recipe book will be just part of the more than 4,000 pages of bonus content that is being added to the SurvivalBlog archive waterproof USB stick. That should be orderable within the next week. (Watch for an announcement in the blog’s Top Note.)

Ingredients

1 cup shortening
1 cup Sugar
2 eggs
2-1/2 cups uncooked rolled oats
2-1/2 cups flour
1 teaspoon cinnamon
1 teaspoon baking soda
1/4 teaspoon salt
1 teaspoon nutmeg
4 tablespoons sweet or sour milk
1/2 cup raisins
1/2 cup chopped nuts

Directions

Cream the shortening and sugar together. Add egg, and re-cream. Add rolled oats and mix all together. Sift flour, cinnamon, baking soda, salt, and nutmeg together and alternately to creamed mixture with milk. Roll cookie dough on a floured board as thin as can be handled. cut in desired shapes and bake in a moderately heated oven [350 degrees F.] If sugar coated cookies are wanted, then sprinkle sugar on the dough while rolling.

SERVING

Serve with a glass of milk or cream.

STORAGE

These cookies keep well and are better with age.

Do you have a favorite recipe that would be of interest to SurvivalBlog readers? In this weekly recipe column we place emphasis on recipes that use long term storage foods, recipes for wild game, dutch oven and slow cooker recipes, and any that use home garden produce. If you have any favorite recipes, then please send them via e-mail. Thanks!



Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at the Not QE phenomenon. (See the Economy & Finance section.)

Precious Metals:

Silver Price Forecast 2020

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I see that Perpetual Assets has re-launched their business web site, with the phrase: “Americas First Cryptocurrency and Precious Metals Dealer.” They are headquartered in Sheridan, Wyoming.

Economy & Finance:

Federal Reserve Admits It Pumped More than $6 Trillion to Wall Street in Recent Six Week Period. JWR’s Comment: With all this new magically-created “Not QE” money, how long will it be before we start to see substantial inflation at the consumer level? If it continues, “Not QE” is just another bubble–or should I say a bubble within a bubble.

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Over at Lew Rockwell’s site: Doug Casey’s Top 7 Predictions for the 2020s. (Thanks to DSV for the link.)

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At Zero Hedge: Tech Stocks Soar, Bonds Snore, As Oil Suffers Worst Week In Six Months

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The folks at Wolf Street are pointing out economic contraction indicators: Manufacturing Employment, New Orders & Production Fall Fastest Since Apr-Aug 2009

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Rob Langston: 10 investment themes set to dominate the 2020s

Continue reading“Economics & Investing For Preppers”





Preparedness Notes for Sunday — January 12, 2020

Today is the birthday of political philosopher Edmund Burke. (Born 1729, died 9 July 1797.)

And on January 12, 1888, the “Schoolchildren’s Blizzard” killed 235 people, many of whom were children on their way home from school, across the Northwest Plains region of the United States. The storm came with no warning and some accounts say that the temperature fell nearly 100 degrees in just 24 hours. There were many instances of teachers keeping or rescuing children who would have been caught in the storm while walking home.

SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

Today we present another entry for Round 86 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The more than $12,000 worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A $3,000 gift certificate towards a Sol-Ark Solar Generator from veteran-owned Portable Solar LLC. The only EMP Hardened Solar Generator System available to the public.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper. These have hammer forged, chrome-lined barrels and a hard case, to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR-type rifle to have a quick change barrel. This can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools. It also provides a compact carry capability in a hard case or in 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  5. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  6. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  7. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.

Second Prize:

  1. A gift certificate from Quantum Harvest LLC (up to a $2,200 value) good for 12% off the purchase of any of their sun-tracking models, and 10% off the purchase price of any of their other models.
  2. A Front Sight Lifetime Diamond Membership, providing lifetime free training at any Front Sight Nevada course, with no limit on repeating classes. This prize is courtesy of a SurvivalBlog reader who prefers to be anonymous.
  3. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  4. A $300 purchase credit for any of the products from EMPShield.com
  5. A Three-Day Deluxe Emergency Kit from Emergency Essentials (a $190 value),
  6. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
  7. An assortment of products along with a one hour consultation on health and wellness from Pruitt’s Tree Resin (a $265 value).

Third Prize:

  1. Good2GoCo.com is providing a $400 purchase credit at regular prices for the prize winner’s choice of either Wise Foods or Augason long term storage foods, in stackable buckets.
  2. Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
  3. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  4. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  5. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  6. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances.

Round 86 ends on January 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



A Clash of Cultures, by B.H.

I have been following SurvivalBlog for several years now after reading the first book in the Patriots novel series. From those books, other post apocalyptic novels, and this blog we have generally followed the advice and warnings. The situations causing huge retrogrades in our society have been put into several categories:

  • EMP. This is generally referenced as a weaponized attack using a detonation of a nuclear device to electronically fry just about all our systems of communication, Internet, banking, defense, power grids and anything electronic to include anything with computers or microprocessors. Most refer to this event as a return to early 18th century technology.
  • Solar flare eruptions. These have effects similar to an EMP but also could cause massive changes to our climate such a massive typhoons, tidal surges, etc.
  • Nuclear war/Dirty bombs. Always a possibility since the invention of nuclear weapons. The expectations that a group could essentially commit to using such devices for the destruction of their enemies.
  • Economic Destruction. The crashing of world economies resulting in either deflation of mass inflation, huge layoffs and hence no monthly checks, no withdrawals from banks, a return to a barter system for survival.

Of all the apocalyptic novels, most involve EMP, economic crash, solar eruptions, etc. Some or all of those things may occur during the rest of my lifetime. But I am increasing concerned that regardless of where you are in the United States, the clash of cultures will be the starting point of no return. I fear the next few years will be breaking point of our Union.

I pondered how radically different we have become to try and understand how living in the greatest nation has now reached a point of no return. The American people have not known the direct impact of war on this soil for too long. The tragedy of war had not touched our land for generations. Our people have not experienced bombed-out cities, where finding a field of rotten potatoes would be considered a gold mine for survival. This I learned from a German woman who was a child during WWII. The scavenging for food was the first and only thing people did to survive.Continue reading“A Clash of Cultures, by B.H.”



The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods

SurvivalBlog presents another edition of The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods— a collection of news bits and pieces that are relevant to the modern survivalist and prepper from “JWR”. Our goal is to educate our readers, to help them to recognize emerging threats and to be better prepared for both disasters and negative societal trends. You can’t mitigate a risk if you haven’t first identified a risk. Today, we look at Antifa’s latest bullying.

A Homestead for Sale in Vermont

My #1 Son alerted me to this new listing over at his SurvivalRealty.com site: Homestead & 31+ Acres w/ House Off-Grid.

Terrorist Warned Off By Facebook

Mike Williamson (our Editor At Large), sent us this: Police Tracked a Terror Suspect — Until His Phone Went Dark After a Facebook Warning

Is Mikey Buying the Election?

Regular link contributor DSV sent this article that shows how Mike Bloomberg is trying to buy the presidency: National Poll: Michael Bloomberg Ties Elizabeth Warren for Third Place. And even more recently, this was reported: Bloomberg drops $10 million on campaign ad to air during Superbowl LIV

New Laws Now in Effect

More of the annual litany: New laws on guns, privacy, electric cars go into effect across US. Here is a snippet:

“In Colorado, a new ‘red flag law’ will allow family members and law enforcement to request guns be seized from people who are ultimately deemed to be a threat to themselves or to others. The seizure can last up to a year, and the burden of proof is on the gun owner to have it revoked.”Continue reading“The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods”



The Editors’ Quote of the Day:

“And he said unto them, Verily I say unto you, That there be some of them that stand here, which shall not taste of death, till they have seen the kingdom of God come with power.

And after six days Jesus taketh with him Peter, and James, and John, and leadeth them up into an high mountain apart by themselves: and he was transfigured before them.

And his raiment became shining, exceeding white as snow; so as no fuller on earth can white them.

And there appeared unto them Elias with Moses: and they were talking with Jesus.

And Peter answered and said to Jesus, Master, it is good for us to be here: and let us make three tabernacles; one for thee, and one for Moses, and one for Elias.

For he wist not what to say; for they were sore afraid.

And there was a cloud that overshadowed them: and a voice came out of the cloud, saying, This is my beloved Son: hear him.

And suddenly, when they had looked round about, they saw no man any more, save Jesus only with themselves.

And as they came down from the mountain, he charged them that they should tell no man what things they had seen, till the Son of man were risen from the dead.

And they kept that saying with themselves, questioning one with another what the rising from the dead should mean.

And they asked him, saying, Why say the scribes that Elias must first come?

And he answered and told them, Elias verily cometh first, and restoreth all things; and how it is written of the Son of man, that he must suffer many things, and be set at nought.

But I say unto you, That Elias is indeed come, and they have done unto him whatsoever they listed, as it is written of him.

And when he came to his disciples, he saw a great multitude about them, and the scribes questioning with them.

And straightway all the people, when they beheld him, were greatly amazed, and running to him saluted him.

And he asked the scribes, What question ye with them?

And one of the multitude answered and said, Master, I have brought unto thee my son, which hath a dumb spirit;

And wheresoever he taketh him, he teareth him: and he foameth, and gnasheth with his teeth, and pineth away: and I spake to thy disciples that they should cast him out; and they could not.

He answereth him, and saith, O faithless generation, how long shall I be with you? how long shall I suffer you? bring him unto me.

And they brought him unto him: and when he saw him, straightway the spirit tare him; and he fell on the ground, and wallowed foaming.

And he asked his father, How long is it ago since this came unto him? And he said, Of a child.

And ofttimes it hath cast him into the fire, and into the waters, to destroy him: but if thou canst do any thing, have compassion on us, and help us.

Jesus said unto him, If thou canst believe, all things are possible to him that believeth.

And straightway the father of the child cried out, and said with tears, Lord, I believe; help thou mine unbelief.

When Jesus saw that the people came running together, he rebuked the foul spirit, saying unto him, Thou dumb and deaf spirit, I charge thee, come out of him, and enter no more into him.

And the spirit cried, and rent him sore, and came out of him: and he was as one dead; insomuch that many said, He is dead.

But Jesus took him by the hand, and lifted him up; and he arose.

And when he was come into the house, his disciples asked him privately, Why could not we cast him out?

And he said unto them, This kind can come forth by nothing, but by prayer and fasting.

And they departed thence, and passed through Galilee; and he would not that any man should know it.

 For he taught his disciples, and said unto them, The Son of man is delivered into the hands of men, and they shall kill him; and after that he is killed, he shall rise the third day.

But they understood not that saying, and were afraid to ask him.” – Mark 9: 1-32 (KJV)



Preparedness Notes for Saturday — January 11, 2020

Today is the natal day of the late Gunnar Fridtjof Thurmann Sønsteby, who was born in 1918. He was the most decorated hero of the Norwegian resistance under the German occupation. He died May 10, 2012.

January 11th is also the birthday of statesman Alexander Hamilton (1757-1804.)

SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

Today we present another entry for Round 86 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The more than $12,000 worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A $3,000 gift certificate towards a Sol-Ark Solar Generator from veteran-owned Portable Solar LLC. The only EMP Hardened Solar Generator System available to the public.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper. These have hammer forged, chrome-lined barrels and a hard case, to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR-type rifle to have a quick change barrel. This can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools. It also provides a compact carry capability in a hard case or in 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  5. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  6. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  7. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.

Second Prize:

  1. A gift certificate from Quantum Harvest LLC (up to a $2,200 value) good for 12% off the purchase of any of their sun-tracking models, and 10% off the purchase price of any of their other models.
  2. A Front Sight Lifetime Diamond Membership, providing lifetime free training at any Front Sight Nevada course, with no limit on repeating classes. This prize is courtesy of a SurvivalBlog reader who prefers to be anonymous.
  3. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  4. A $300 purchase credit for any of the products from EMPShield.com
  5. A Three-Day Deluxe Emergency Kit from Emergency Essentials (a $190 value),
  6. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
  7. An assortment of products along with a one hour consultation on health and wellness from Pruitt’s Tree Resin (a $265 value).

Third Prize:

  1. Good2GoCo.com is providing a $400 purchase credit at regular prices for the prize winner’s choice of either Wise Foods or Augason long term storage foods, in stackable buckets.
  2. Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
  3. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  4. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  5. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  6. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances.

Round 86 ends on January 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Your Best Personal Defense In The Ongoing CyberWar, by AJS

One of claimed “time traveler” John Titor’s most alarming predictions was for a war beginning in 2015 between Russia and the United States. The prediction was made on the old Art Bell Coast-to-Coast AM radio show in the 1999-2000 era. The war would eventually go nuclear and be quite destructive resulting in great loss of life. The good news according to Titor was that the country weathered the physical destruction and came out stronger than ever. With some large cities destroyed it eliminated many governmental sectors and urbanite populations dependent upon government handouts.

Now, in retrospect we know the war did start but not as expected. Some probably pictured ICBMs incoming then a flash of light and then …well you know the drill. Instead it was an invasion of the Ukraine territory of the Crimea by Russian forces. To disrupt defensive operations there was a cyber attack on business and government entities in the Ukraine. From a small room in a building in Moscow a staff of about 20 people released the malicious software that infected much more than operations in the Ukraine. It shut down many banks some even in Russia and most importantly international shipping giant Maersk. Maersk Line is a Danish international container shipping company. There was no flash of light but instead all the computer screens went black. Suddenly trucks were showing up to docks even in far away US with perishable foods and medicines yet could not be unloaded from trucks to ships or ships to trucks. There were thousands of trucks lined up and not moving around the world. Political authorities were notified but were of no use. Maersk from headquarters in Denmark worked 24/7 to get things back up. Obviously they succeeded but at great cost. The war had started. And we are still in it.

So how does this affect you? If you have a cell phone and computer you are vulnerable through your equipment, its operating software, and your personal habits.Continue reading“Your Best Personal Defense In The Ongoing CyberWar, by AJS”



Editors’ Prepping Progress

To be prepared for a crisis, every Prepper must establish goals and make long-term and short-term plans. In this column, the SurvivalBlog editors review their week’s prep activities and planned prep activities for the coming week. These range from healthcare and gear purchases to gardening, ranch improvements, bug out bag fine-tuning, and food storage. This is something akin to our Retreat Owner Profiles, but written incrementally and in detail, throughout the year. Note that as an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. We always welcome you to share your own successes and wisdom in the Comments. Let’s keep busy and be ready!

Jim Reports:

It felt so good to get back to the ranch!  I loathe being away from my wife and kids for anything more than an overnight trip. But I really feel strongly convicted to help out my elderly family members–even if it means making extended out-of-state trips.

When I got home, after unpacking, there was the usual pile of mail to go through, and a few packages. Then came catching up on projects around the ranch.  Oh, and some snow plowing.  And then I had to make the drive to our post office. (My sincere thanks to all of you who thoughtfully send 10 Cent Challenge subscription donations!) And on the same trip, Avalanche Lily had me pick up a bunch of sacks of poultry grower pellets. Now, back at home, I’ve been busy cutting some stockpiled wood into stove rounds, and slaughtering and gutting a few chickens. (Avalanche Lily and the girls do to scalding and plucking.) And of course I’m doing my usual daily blog writing. I’m also working on the text and layout of my mail order website.  That will be called Elk Creek Company. There, I’ll be selling hand-selected pre-1899 cartridge guns. The planned launch of that business will be February 1st–if all goes well.

So I can honestly say that I’ve been busy, busy, busy! I have a feeling that this winter will pass by very quickly. Now, over to Lily’s weekly report:

Continue reading“Editors’ Prepping Progress”



The Editors’ Quote of the Day:

Be not thou envious against evil men, neither desire to be with them.

For their heart studieth destruction, and their lips talk of mischief.

Through wisdom is an house builded; and by understanding it is established:

And by knowledge shall the chambers be filled with all precious and pleasant riches.

A wise man is strong; yea, a man of knowledge increaseth strength.

For by wise counsel thou shalt make thy war: and in multitude of counsellors there is safety.

Wisdom is too high for a fool: he openeth not his mouth in the gate.

He that deviseth to do evil shall be called a mischievous person.

The thought of foolishness is sin: and the scorner is an abomination to men.

If thou faint in the day of adversity, thy strength is small.

If thou forbear to deliver them that are drawn unto death, and those that are ready to be slain;

If thou sayest, Behold, we knew it not; doth not he that pondereth the heart consider it? and he that keepeth thy soul, doth not he know it? and shall not he render to every man according to his works?

My son, eat thou honey, because it is good; and the honeycomb, which is sweet to thy taste:

So shall the knowledge of wisdom be unto thy soul: when thou hast found it, then there shall be a reward, and thy expectation shall not be cut off.

Lay not wait, O wicked man, against the dwelling of the righteous; spoil not his resting place:

For a just man falleth seven times, and riseth up again: but the wicked shall fall into mischief.

Rejoice not when thine enemy falleth, and let not thine heart be glad when he stumbleth:

Lest the Lord see it, and it displease him, and he turn away his wrath from him.

Fret not thyself because of evil men, neither be thou envious at the wicked:

For there shall be no reward to the evil man; the candle of the wicked shall be put out.

My son, fear thou the Lord and the king: and meddle not with them that are given to change:

For their calamity shall rise suddenly; and who knoweth the ruin of them both?” – Proverbs 24: 1-22 (KJV)