Odds and Sods:

More silver ETF news: The Street.com

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Update on Peak Oil: http://mondediplo.com/2006/03/03oilfields

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I’ve heard that there is now just one slot left for the next specialized Tactical Lifesaver Course. This class will be held on April 15-16, 2006, in Douglas, Georgia. A Iraq war vet Physician’s Assistant (PA) will teach you a lot of skills that the American Red Cross doesn’t. (Such as: how to prep an intravenous infusion, how to insert and orthopharyngeal airway, wound debridement, suturing, how to treat a sucking chest wound, and much more.) Don’t neglect taking this course. See:http://www.survivalreportblog.com/Tactical_Lifesaver_Course.html Because this is a true “hands-on” course, space is limited. (Unlike pure lecture classes, which can be over-booked.)





Letter from Rourke Re: Safe Room Doors on Budget

A vault door may not be necessary unless you really need a blast door or you are very worried about theft. If you are far enough from a likely ground zero and able to at least somewhat hide your door, a steel fire door will probably suffice nicely. For bargains, look for commercial demolitions, or contact people or companies who do this. Tell them you are looking for a swinging conventional doorway sized steel fire door, preferably with the steel frame, dent and scratch is fine. If you must buy new, find a 90 minute rated steel fire door. They have cheaper ones for residential use, commercial is always at a premium. Consistent with the recommendations for safe room doors, you want minimum of six points of attachment from door to frame. Best way to do this is three strong hinges with really heavy and deep screws on one side, and three deadbolts on the other side. You should space your deadbolts top, center, and bottom of the door handle side. To really be secure, add two more, top center and bottom center of the door. Go to a lock store or home hardware suppliers and get all deadbolts keyed the same. That can provide good security and protection at a more reasonable price. For combination entry, there are combination deadbolt locks also. For EMP concerns I would stay away from electronic ones. Those little key boxes that real estate agents use are nice, and can be hidden easily so you are never without a key. http://www.nokey.com/comlocbox.html – Rourke (http://groups.yahoo.com/group/survivalretreat)



Letter Re: A Bucket Clothing Storage Idea, and the Importance of Lanyards

Sir:

I think that you could use the five gallon bucket to put your clothing in and treat it like we store the wheat–with a dry ice or nitrogen purge.

Lanyards are a great idea for a lot of gear. For example, I use foam ear plugs with string between them for less chance of losing them. At the retreat I use them in conjunction use the ear muffs over the ears. The uses of the nylon cord are limitless when you are out in the boonies: “Where are my glasses? For gloves, run string between them just like our moms did, down the sleeves in our coats. A lot of our equipment already has holes in the handles. as appropriate, make use of them for lanyards. You can pre-set the available radius with pinch [plastic sliding cord] locks. My dad once dropped an aluminum pipe wrench down a well. I told him: “Now you know what the hole in handle is for!” On my $ 3,000 Gen 3 night vision goggles, I never neglect to tie and tape a cord! Thanks for you time and effort, – Gordon P.S.: The $20 that I promised you for the “Ten Cent Challenge” is headed your way.



Letter Re: Choosing Between a Shotgun and a Rifle for Retreat Defense

Hi,
I was wondering if the following items that I already have are a good start on a survival kit and what else would be good to add on. Ruger .22/45 pistol, two 10 round magazines, stainless steel blade fishing knife with regular blade, gutting blade, small scissors, probe, and flashlight, cell phone with flashlight, Savage Arms .22 bolt action rifle with scope, salt packets, duct tape, cold cereal in a good sealed case, and a standard military issue canteen. Also, I was looking at a 12 gauge pump action over a .30-06 bolt action. Which would be better? Thank you for your time, I know I have a lot of work to do, but better safe than sorry. – Declan

JWR Replies: It sounds like you have made a good start at getting squared away. Keep up the good work. Build up your food storage systematically.

The choice of a rifle versus a shotgun involves your expected range of engagements. If you live in densely wooded country or an urban environment, the versatility of a shotgun makes sense. Otherwise, a .308 or .30-06 is more appropriate. As your budget allows, you will probably want to own both a large caliber rifle and a riot shotgun. Most likely in the interim between those two purchases you will want to get a major caliber handgun–at least a .40 S&W, but preferably a .45 ACP. Since you have been training with a Ruger .22/45, a M1911 probably makes sense. (The Ruger has its safety, slide release, and magazine release in the same locations as found on the venerable M1911.)

Logically think through the rest of what you might need in the event of a full scale collapse. Water storage and purification should be at the top of your list. For fixed site retreats, a British Berkefeld water filter is appropriate. In a tactical “on the move” situation, the smaller Katadyn filters work wonderfully. Both are available from Ready Made Resources and a number of other vendors.



Odds n’ Sods:

A gent on the FALFiles Forums recommended some potential sources for Surefire 123A lithium batteries:
Amondo Tech: http://www.amondotech.comt
Lighthound: http://lighthound.com/
Battery Station: http://www.batterystation.com/
Battery Junction: http://www.batteryjunction.com/index.html

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How the Asian Avian Flu May Affect Your Life: ABC News

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I mentioned last weekend that I had dropped by the gun show table run by Darryl Holland (of Holland’s of Oregon), and sent him home a Browning A-Bolt bolt action rifle for muzzle threading with 1/2″ x 28 threadsand installation of a Holland’s muzzle brake. I was delighted to see that the barreled action arrived at our mail forwarding station today. Talk about a fast turnaround! He must have had it in his hands less than three days. The work was done flawlessly, as usual. I highly recommend Darryl’s work. IMHO, “tacticalizing” your bolt action rifles (by threading their muzzles) is a must.The same threads can be used for Smith Enterprise Vortex flash hiders. (If it is for a .30 caliber rifle you will of course have to drill out the rear section of the flash hider for bullet clearance.) The folks at Holland’s of Oregon really know their stuff, and they’ve proven once again that they can complete a muzzle threading order very quickly.



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"All changes, even the most longed for, have their melancholy; for what we leave behind us is part of ourselves; we must die to one life before we can enter another." – Anatole France



Note from JWR:

We are gradually moving all of the existing SurvivalBlog posts into Moveable Type format, so that they will be full searchable archives. Until then, all of the posts up to March 15th will remain available as static archives at our old Archives page. Thanks for your patience!

Today we feature another entry in Round 3 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The writer of the best contest entry will win a four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate. The deadline for entries for Round 3 is March 31, 2006.

We have upgraded our ClustrMaps account, so that you can now zoom into see more precise locations for SurvivalBlog hits. For example, see our Ireland and UK map.



The Year Without A Summer (a.k.a. “Eighteen Hundred and Froze to Death” and “The Poverty Year”) By Tim P.

Since moving to Chenango County, New York in 2001, I have tried to do a bit of studying on the history of the area. My father lived in Fulton – North of Syracuse – as a boy and I spent the first 12 years of my life in Rhode Island with trips to the Upstate region for camping, family visits, etc. so I was not completely unfamiliar with the area. However, I had never really studied the history of the region and some of the things that I have found surprised me. I have always been fascinated by the catastrophes of the past – wars, epidemics, natural disasters, etc. and tend to study them. They can teach us about ourselves and of things to come. As they say, those who forget the past are doomed to repeat it. What I have found is one of those things.

Many people may not be aware of it, but there was a summer here – shortly after settlers first moved to this area – that was no summer at all. That summer had a killing frost every month of the year. The cause of this calamity was located practically on the other side of the earth from New York – Mount Tambora, on the Island of Sumbawa in what is modern Indonesia. This volcano erupted from April 5th through April 18th of 1815. During that time it ejected anywhere from 25 to 43 cubic miles of debris into the atmosphere. Only 25 of the island’s 12,000 inhabitants survived. As you will soon see the eruption of Tambora had worldwide effects.
For comparison, the Mount St. Helens eruption in 1980 ejected 0.67 cubic miles of debris – a piker! I was living 1,200 miles away from Mt. St. Helens – near Denver, Colorado – at the time and we had a fine layer of ash on everything and were informed that we should rinse things off before scrubbing them as the finish on a car – for example – could be ruined if one tried to scrub the ash off because it would act like sandpaper as it is essentially small particles of glass and stone. People with allergies and lung conditions were advised to avoid breathing the dust as it could aggravate their condition.

In any case, back to our story. The year 1816 started out to be a pretty easy one. The winter was slightly warmer than normal and fairly dry by most accounts I can find from New England and New York. When spring arrived, the temperature dropped somewhat, but nothing too severe and it remained dry. It was so dry, in fact, that local papers began to report on it. The Albany Advertiser stated they had ” …no recollection of so backward a season…the length and severity of drought checked progress of vegetation, grass withered.”
The dry, cold weather pattern continued until early May which delayed the start of planting in some places and the growth of crops that had been planted in others. However, the people suspected nothing because – as we all know – strange things can happen in springtime.

On May 12th a wave of cold air rolled down over the region – the northeast from coastal Connecticut down into Pennsylvania and Virginia was gripped by a frost. This weather lasted until around May 18. Then it moderated and with the increase in temperature came rain – soon farmers began their yearly ritual of planting. However, the warmth was only passing and on May 29th came a blast of cold arctic air – so cold that there was an inch of ice on many bodies of water. This too passed and those that hadn’t already started began their planting in early June.
On the 5th of June New England was basking in temperatures in the high 70’s and low 80’s. However, the weather was changing again. At the same time – from Quebec to Pittsburgh – another cold front began to move in. This one brought frosts with it as well. June 6th brought snow and cold to most areas. It snowed for hours in Elizabethtown, NY and many places had killing frosts. Wild birds roosted inside barns to try to stay warm and many died where they sat. Newly shorn sheep died in the fields from the cold. Crops were killed by the frost, most fruit trees lost their blossoms and many trees lost their newly formed leaves. It was beginning to look very bad for the farmers of the region. In fact, the Quebec Gazette warned: ” . . . nothing which may provide sustenance for man or beast ought to be neglected…”
After this cold front passed farmers rapidly began planting crops such as Barley, potatoes and beets that could make it to maturity by the usual fall freezes.

Remember that this was before hybridized and genetically engineered crops that mature more rapidly.
The rest of June brought warm temperatures. July started off well but on the 6th of July another cold front came that brought frost to many areas. Lake and river ice was observed as far south as Pennsylvania and huge temperature fluctuations accompanied the front. Some places experienced temperatures of 95 degrees during the day and dropped to below freezing within hours. Overall it was a disaster for local farmers.
August had more of the same. On the 13th, frost returned again to central New York and most of the crops that were growing were killed off. Even pastures and hay were doing poorly. August 28th brought more frost and the drought continued.

By September farmers had all but given up, although some planted winter crops to have them ready as soon as possible the next spring. Corn and other grain prices soared. Oats, for example, rose from a high of 12 cents a bushel during 1815 to 92 cents a bushel in 1816! In the spring of 1817, the worst of the shortage appeared. For example in DeRuyter, a farmer was forced to dig up some of his newly planted potatoes to get food on the table. The town sent an agent to Onondaga County to look for wheat and corn. When he returned and it was learned that he had been successful, it brought a “great rejoicing to the citizenry and tears to strong men’s eyes.”

The spring of 1817 brought some very high prices indeed. Corn was four to five dollars per bushel (prices not seen again until the 1970’s – over 150 years later!), and in some places wheat sold for any price that was asked. Many people barely survived and this brought about the great western migration toward Ohio and Indiana as farmers sought places with better weather conditions.

The strange weather brought about all around the world that year also brought us two classics of fiction. A woman named Mary Shelly and a man named John Polidori were both vacationing at a literary gathering that summer on Lake Geneva in Switzerland and were forced inside by the cold and dreary weather. The group huddled around the fire and told each other stories to pass the time. Both ended up publishing their stories. Mary Shelly’s was entitled “The Modern Prometheus” which is better known as “Frankenstein” and John Polidori’s was entitled “The Vampyre” better known to many as the modern Count Dracula. Both have been immortalized in film a number of times.

These days we do sometimes see some strange weather, but nothing like this. In my experience, people tend to believe that weather and famines of this type are things of the past and cannot happen any more, but we are not immune. In fact, modern farmers support many more people per acre of land than those farmers did in 1816 so we would, in fact, be in worse condition. How well will we fare when God sends the next year without a summer our way?



Letter Re: Advice on Silver Investing?

Jim,
I’m just curious to your thoughts on this. Like you, I believe silver is going to gain a lot of momentum in the near future. The wife and I are out of debt and sitting on some paper investments that I’m unable to move out of for various reasons.
I’m thinking of taking a home equity loan (our house is paid off) out and purchasing approximately $30,000 in silver and turning around and selling throughout what I feel will be the climb in silver prices. Of course we would pay off the loan but hope to reap the profits and possibly purchasing retreat acreage. I understand land prices are bloated but see this an opportunity towards usable hard assets. I don’t have much in the way of free cash due to our lowly salaries but am thinking this might provide us some leverage. Of course I understand that your not liable for any advice I’d just like to bounce this off of someone else in the same mindset of what’s going on in the world. Thanks in advance, – JS

JWR Replies: I think that what you suggest would be unwise. In a deep recession or a depression you will want to be debt free. That is the conservative course of action. But of course, I’m very conservative in my investing…

Letter from The Army Aviator Re: Advice on Long Term Moth-Proof Clothing Storage?

Jim:

This might not be the most sterling principal advised on this forum but so far it’s worked for me: I pack my clean folded clothes in garbage bags for orderliness. I put a handful of mothballs in the bottom of a big plastic garbage can. (The typical green ones with a black lid.) Then goes a sheet of cardboard on top of the mothballs. Then I put the bags of clothes into it and for short term just slap on the lid and seal with good military fiber tape. For long term, I apply a thin seal of silicon on the lip between lid and can prior to taping. I may just be lucky but I haven’t lost anything in the last 20 years or so. No bugs, no mouse or rat damage., No holes eaten away. See what good clean living and luck will do for you? 🙂 Of course, I might mention, these cans are stored away from daylight, which helps.

As to Health and Human Services Michael Leavitt’s recommendation on “canned tuna and powdered milk under your bed” …I guess there will always be water available to reconstitute the milk with ______? Just like New Orleans, won’t there? Best regards to all, – The Army Aviator



Odds ‘n Sods:

SurvivalBlog reader J.K. mentioned that FEMA has a very informative booklet available, “Taking Shelter From The Storm” See: http://www.fema.gov/fima/tsfs02.shtm. This booklet includes case studies and engineering drawing for several different safe room locations.

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SurvivalBlog reader Overhill spotted this Asian Avian Flu planning guide from Uncle Sugar: http://www.pandemicflu.gov/planguide/

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And you thought that the U.S. 1994 “Assault Weapons” ban was dead and buried–or at least “sunsetted”? Guess again. The ultra-liberal wing of the U.S. Senate has re-introduced it, as new legislation. (S. 645) The sponsors are mostly “the usual suspects”: Lautenberg, Corzine, Schumer, Boxer, Kennedy, Durbin, Mikiluski, Sarbanes, Reed, Akaka, Dodd, and of course Hitlery Clinton. Time to call your senator’s office and get this piece of Schumer stopped, pronto.

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As cited in Wednesday’s issue of The Daily Reckoning, The Mortgage Bankers Association expects U.S. mortgage originations to drop off
by 20% this year; it says refinancing should fall by 40%.



Jim’s Quote of the Day

“I won’t be wronged, I won’t be insulted, and I won’t be laid a hand on. I don’t do these things to other people, and I require the same from them.” – John Wayne as J.B. Books in The Shootist



Letter Re: Shelf Life of NiMH Batteries?

No one seems to know about storing new NiMH batteries pre-charging for a long term, I wouldn’t try it with testing it for several years first as any chemicals of this type age with time. Here is some specific info on the storage and longevity of NiMH batteries, from Wikipedia and other battery FAQs. They are your best bet for power density and economy for rechargeables, but for really long term storage 5-10 years the single use Lithium type batteries are the best (and are available in AAA, AA, C, D and 9 volt sizes).

Disposable alkaline batteries are designed to be used only once. Even if never taken out of the original package, disposable (or “primary”) batteries can lose two to twenty-five percent of their original charge every year.

Many people believe that storing batteries at cool temperatures, such as in the refrigerator, reduces the rate of these side reactions and extends the storage life of the battery — this may have been true in the past with older technology batteries. Modern batteries should be stored in a dry place and at normal room temperatures.

All rechargeable batteries self-discharge more rapidly than disposable alkaline batteries. In fact, they can self-discharge up to three percent a day (again, depending on temperature).

With the exception of lead-acid batteries, most NiMH batteries can be recharged 500-1000 times while NiCd batteries can only be recharged about approximately 400 times. Nickel metal hydride batteries have a high self-discharge rate of approximately 30% per month and more. This is higher than that of NiCd batteries, which is around 20% per month.

Like any rechargeable battery, even the one in your car, some capacity will be lost after a certain amount of time when rechargeable batteries are stored and not used for extended periods of time.. Normally all that is required with most NiMH batteries is to run them through 3 charge / discharge cycles and normally this will revive them to full capacity. Also keep in mind that even when used on a regular basis, some capacity is lost with each cycle, although very small.



Letter Re: Motorcycles as Bug-Out Vehicles

Dear James:
Since I am tied to the outer edge of a major metro area for business and family reasons I have been wrestling with an alternative to a car or truck as a bug out vehicle (BOV).I am very worried about an EMP strike sooner or later – it just makes too much sense from an enemy’s point of view, so EMP-proofing is critical in my book. By the way, the Lights Out online novel about an EMP strike is a very good read, and it gets you thinking of many factors that are not obvious at first glance. After thinking it through, motorcycles look to be the best “Get Out of Dodge” vehicle if the roads are all clogged with debris, crowds or stationery vehicles, etc., etc., as you can weave around obstacles, and go off-road if need be. You give up the carrying capacity and protection of a few thousand pounds of steel, but you get more mobility, the ability to squeeze through tight spots, and to go off-road on trails, sidewalks, utility rights of way, etc., etc.So I was looking for a motorcycle, specifically a diesel, because of the reduced fire hazard from diesel versus gas, so you can store it more safely (especially important when carrying fuel cans). And, if memory serves, diesel stores significantly longer to boot. The ideal situation: you fuel your EMP-proof diesel truck, and your motorcycle BOV out of the same fuel canister (and keep your bike BOV in the back of the truck, or on a trailer.) Once upon a time, there was a fair selection of diesel bikes, see:
http://journeytoforever.org/biodiesel_bikes.html Now you have the new military diesel motorbike:
http://www.dieselmotorcycles.com/newsletter/newsletter_nov_05.htm
but $19,000 :-O for one of 200 “collector bikes” made this year seems a little steep for a motorbike – diesel mil-spec or not.The only well-supported DIESEL bike I have found is a newer entry into the off-road bike market called the Ecorider (The Hippo model.)
http://www.ecorider.us/ Advantages: DIESEL, very robust, very reliable, quiet, light at 330 lbs., can tow 500+ lbs. (comes with tow bar), idiot-proof to ride (no shifting other than reverse, very low and High, all done when you are stationary) and the diesel engine gets 120 mpg!!! Made in Scotland, of all places, with high quality, mostly European parts. German Hatz engine which, I’m told is well supported in the US. http://www.hatzusa.com/home.php Disadvantages: Only goes 32 mph (maybe 35+ pushing it), but you probably don’t want to be speeding your way into TSHTF trouble anyway. Proceeding extremely cautiously is the best way, as is so well illustrated in the “road trip” in Patriots. Does have some EMP-vulnerable electronics in the Glow Plug controller. But, worst case, if these are fried and no battery, I’m told that some vigorous pull-starting should heat things up enough for a cold-weather start (electric AND pull start standard). Any engineers with expert opinion on this? There is also a fuel line solenoid, but this can be manually bypassed as well. Does not have power to BOTH wheels like the gas-powered Rokon (http://www.rokon.com), but unlike the Rokon, has no critical electronics in a gas engine ignition, and looks to be a higher quality design (and the Ecorider is $1,000 less expensive)
Just in case I sound like a salesman for Ecorider – I’m not! Just looking forward to adding one to my preparations. I’ll keep you posted on my experience riding and trailer hauling capabilities. Regards, OSOM – “Out of Sight, Out of Mind”



Letter Re: The Vault Room: Preparedness in Tornado Alley, and Beyond

JR-
Safes and safe doors are a statement of the times. I have to laugh and gasp when I see those old glass fronted, wood gun cabinets of our grandfathers generation. Today they make good bookshelves or curio cabinets… with that in mind, I would really appreciate it if you could sometime look into finding someone or some firm that makes an affordable "do it yourself" gun safe or a walk in safe door. Lets face it, many of us are on a shoestring budget, long on talent and time but short on money. Short of stumbling upon an absolute "steal" at an estate sale etc, (and I have been too late in all cases to buy them) there has to be an alternative to just "buying" a safe solution from a high dollar dealer. Even with several makers close by, I find their prices still too high for our budget. There are those of us not really interested in buying a safe designed to survive an encounter with the devils own firestorm, or one that is affordable but to small to provide any storage. Some simply want to prevent or slow down an intruder, and provide a greater peace of mind- there has to be an alternative. Perhaps if you or someone out there is knowledgeable and very creative, a reader perhaps could share their experiences with low, or no budget walk in safe door designs. Perhaps someone has converted a former Navy ship door or blast door for that purpose. And perhaps they would be willing to share how they constructed a good camouflage for that walk-in door… Going one step closer, I would encourage anyone out there with the skills and talents who has done such a project to consider marketing their idea and making it available to a niche of buyers who might be interested in such affordable products. Thanks. – Boosters