Because of some power outages and power spikes at our ISP, we’ve been having some serious problems accessing the Internet for the past couple of days. So rather than keeping you waiting for your daily dose of SurvivalBlog, I am posting a couple of days worth of posts in advance, whenever our connection sporadically comes up. So don’t be alarmed if in the next few days you see a future date on any posts.
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Letter Re: A Reader’s Tale of Survival on Alaskan Rivers
In reading your last few days posts on preparedness for disaster, etc, it brought to mind an experience I had twenty plus years ago in Alaska’s wilderness. I am only here to relate this story for one reason – I listened to my father as a young man, one of the few times that I did, but it saved my life.
In 1985 I was on a moose hunting trip on a river boat with a close friend, whose nickname is Dangerous Don. We had put in our boat at the town of Nenana and proceeded up river to a smaller tributary, about 60′ wide. As we made the tributary, we got hung up on a sandbar. While we were stuck, Don decided to fill the gas tank on the boat motor from a jerry can. I was in the bow keeping us stable in the river with an oar. He filled the motor, and then used a battery cable from the battery to touch the lead on the motor. He had spilled gas in the back of the boat. As soon as he touched the post on the motor, it sparked and the gas immediately exploded. I heard the explosion and felt the heat on my neck at the same time. I turned and saw Don engulfed in the flames. At that moment, I panicked. I jumped out of the boat, and in the process, flipped my glasses into the river. I grabbed the rope and went towards shore. I was able to tie the boat off on a dead snag next to the river. Don was able to get out of the boat. We stood on shore watching the boat burn.
After watching the boat burn for what seemed like an eternity, we realized the boat was our only way out. We managed to salvage our clothes, a thermos of hot water, a bag of sugar and Don’s rifle. By then the fire was out of control, burning the wood transoms, seats and floorboards. We managed to swamp the fire out of the boat by pulling it up the bank and swamping the stern into the river. As we did this, an oar floated down river.
Don immediately dived in, swam down river and retrieved the oar. We then had to pull the boat out of the river after swamping it. By then 10-12 minutes had passed. We were soaking wet and chilled to the bone in the 35 degree drizzle. We were starting to exhibit hypothermia, and knew we were racing a clock. We decided one of us should immediately change to get into dry clothes, and the other start a fire. I changed to dry clothes while Don chopped dry branches off the dead snag, and found some somewhat dry plywood out of the boat. We found some tinder from some dry game bags. But nothing to start the fire. This was the most ironic situation I had ever faced – just put out a fire that was trying to kill us, only to not be able to start one so we could stay alive. Don finally got a spark off of his lighter to ignite the game bags we had soaked in white stove gas we had salvaged.
Once the fire was roaring, Don was turning white from the cold. I had to change his clothes, as he could barely stand. We found a blanket, tied it up as a windbreak and sat in front of the fire, feeding it branches until they ran out. We poured the baggie of sugar into the hot water thermos and drank it. I was sitting on a stump and was starting to doze off – which I knew was trouble.
I must digress here to relate the reference earlier of listening to my father as a young man. When I was 6 years old, my father’s brother-in-law was on an elk hunting trip with him and others in the Coeur d’ Alene mountains, when he became separated from the party during a snow storm that set in. My father looked until late and went to town to the sheriff’s office, only to be turned down by the sheriff – he said it would have till wait until morning. They found my uncle dead the next morning sitting on a stump with his glasses off and his wallet next to them. He was 19. (This happened in 1961.)
For the next ten years, I was schooled by my father in the woods, when we went hunting, fishing, camping, working on the farm etc. When I was twelve and old enough to hunt, I never left his sight for the first three years. After that he would put me on stands until he was certain I knew what I was doing. Most of my hunting was in the rugged Coeur d’Alene Mountains. His number one mantra “If you are in trouble and cold and have no shelter, and no means to make one, don’t ever sit down until you can find shelter.”
As I was sitting on that stump after the boat fire, my father’s words came back to me. I remember in my daze telling Don to “kick me” I woke up on the ground. I jumped up, grabbed Don by the lapels and told him we were leaving. We were going to somehow fix the boat, load everything back in it and float back to the truck. I told him I would rather die on the river attempting to get out, than I would of hypothermia sitting along the river bank. We had no fire, no shelter, no food – he agreed.
We patched the holes along the transom in the boat with foam from under the seats. We loaded all our gear in the front so as not to swamp the back where the holes were. We then shoved off and began to float back to Nenana. As I had lost my glasses, we switched off with Don’s glasses to read the river. Once we got to the Tanana which is over a 1/2-mile wide of glacial silt, we felt confident we could make it back.
We then encountered Mr. Murphy. (“Murphy’s Law.”]After thirty minutes or so on the big river, we saw a tugboat headed up to Fairbanks pulling a barge, and throwing a big wake. As we had a leaky boat on the stern, we knew if we took a wake, we were sunk, literally. We rowed frantically to the far side of the river, turned into the wake and crossed over behind the tug and barge without mishap. We made it to Nenana with no further trouble.
As I have related this story over the years, and am now preparing everyday for “The Crunch” I realize that no matter how prepared we are, how many books we read, how many exercises we drill at, we have to all at times rely on Divine intervention, first and foremost. Yes we were prepared that day for emergency, but not completely. We made mistakes, and we got things right. But without the intervention of YHWH, we would be dead.
During the times ahead of us, which I believe to be the unfolding of events that will usher in the return of our Messiah, we must be so tight with YHWH, that we will know what to do ahead of time prompted by his spirit. I pray that all that have read this, will understand we can be prepared, but if we aren’t redeemed, we don’t stand a chance with the Almighty when the last trumpet sounds. – Kepha in Idaho
JWR Replies: Thanks for sharing that story with us. As background, I should mention that I attended Northern Warfare School in Alaska, in 1980. It was the three week summer course for West Point and ROTC cadets. (It had nearly all of the fun of the winter course, but very little of the misery.) The first phase of the course was a week of riverine operations, on the Tanana River. What many readers that are unfamiliar with glacial rivers would not realize from reading your account is the depth of the peril you were in. For their benefit, let me add this: If Kepha’s expedient boat patches had not held and the boat had sunk mid-channel in the Tanana, he and Don probably would not have lived for more than 20 minutes, even wearing life vests. Glacial rivers are bitter cold–so cold that if you fall in, you can lose consciousness within 10 minutes. Their waters are also so silt-laden (which is what gives them their liquid chocolate appearance) that anyone that falls in very quickly has their pockets and every crevice of their clothing fill up with silt, weighing them down. This is often enough to drown even a very strong swimmer. Kepha’s survival was indeed a providential gift from God.
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Two Letters Re: A Warning on Kelly Kettles
Jim:
I finally heard from manufacturer. They wrote: “Firstly, my sincerest apologies for the delay in coming back to you – I was traveling a lot over the past week so apologies again.
All of our kettles are manufactured by skilled tradesmen. During the spinning process a small amount of grease is applied to one side of the aluminum sheet to make spinning easier – particularly when attaching the spout for pouring. This greasy side should be the outside of the kettle and this is subsequently wiped clean. I have seen two occasions within the past
two years where this greasy side seems to have ended up forming the inside of the water chamber (totally human error, I’m afraid).
In this case, we have successfully cleaned the kettles by either boiling the kettle using washing up liquid or alternatively, filling the kettle and using a little bit of Milton (as used to sterilize baby’s bottles) – let
stand for about 30 minutes and then boil the kettle. Any lubricant should come clean with either of the above methods.
If it does not work, come back to me and I will immediately replace the body of your kettle for you – I will just need your full shipping address and the size of your kettle (2.5 Pint or 1 Pint).
Please accept my sincerest apologies for any inconvenience caused due to this error.” I was glad to hear this. – Jesse [JWR Adds: Sounds like good customer service to me.]
Mr. Rawles,
In response to a post concerning aluminum particles emanating from their Kelly Kettle (Volcano Kettle) I thought I’d dig around and see if anyone made a stainless steel one. One of the first things I did find out was that in the country of origin for this product (New Zealand) they call it a Thermette. It’s also commonly called a “Volcano kettle” [or a “Benghazi Boiler”]. I think I’ve stumbled upon boilers/cookers like this before some time ago when looking at small pack stoves. Here’s what I’ve found so far: Copper Thermette, and Tin Thermette.
Unfortunately, I never did find a stainless steel one. Please let me (and us all) know if you find any others. Thank you so much! – Tanker
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Odds ‘n Sods:
Commercial real estate lending close to a standstill. (Another link courtesy of RBS.)
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Thanks to Eric B. for sending this link: FBI Investigates Subprime
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Hawaiian K. suggested an article on homemade vegetable oil lamps.
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Yishai found an article with some tips on urban gardening.
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Jim’s Quote of the Day:
“There are going to be situations where people are going to go without assistance. That’s just the facts of life.” – Los Angeles Police Chief Daryl Gates
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Notes from JWR:
Because of some power outages and power spikes at our ISP, we’ve been having some serious problems accessing the Internet for the past couple of days. So rather than keeping you waiting for your daily dose of SurvivalBlog, I am posting a couple of days worth of posts in advance, whenever our connection sporadically comes up. So don’t be alarmed if in the next few days you see a future date on any posts.
Today we present the first article for Round 15 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The writer of the best non-fiction article will win a valuable four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate. (Worth up to $2,000!) Second prize is a copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, generously donated by Jake Stafford of Arbogast Publishing. Round 15 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entries. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival will have an advantage in the judging.
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AA Cells and Mobile Power, by Brandon in Utah
The size AA battery is the ubiquitous form of mobile power that is presently available. There is a large amount of off the shelf devices that use AA cells. They are available everywhere at low cost. They are cost effective and very safe for lighting. The breadth and depth of equipment available in a portable format is unparalleled by any other type of battery. I will cover the known factors on how to care for and use this resource to help end users get the most out of their equipment.
To start, some general information that covers all types of cells. Cells do not like heat. Heat increases the chemical reactions occurring inside the cell, and thus the self-discharge and other chemical reactions in cell. A cell will lose it’s charge and lower it’s life span. Keep them cool.
Cells shouldn’t get wet. Keep them away from moisture. You should avoid circumstances that will result in condensation on the cell.
Do not drop or roughly handle them. Especially in the case of rechargeables, you can break the separator inside the cell and you may end up with complete cell failure. Inside of a device they’re a little more durable, your device will provide some impact protection and buffering.
Do not store your batteries inside of your device for long term readiness. There is a good reason they never come this way from the manufacture in the package. It’s not good for your battery and you run a much larger risk of cells leaking or venting into your device. On a short term basis in a device that sees regular use, leaving the battery in is fine.
Matched cells perform better. A battery will only perform as well as the weakest cell. Avoid mixing brands, dates, and especially chemistries and you will get the most out of your cells. The more cells a device has, the more matches cells you need to provide. So it’s easier to feed devices that use a smaller number of cells.
In general, take care of them and they’ll serve you well.
Primary (use once) cells are the most straight forward. They usually have expiration dates printed on the cell or package. It’s important to note that this date is an average amount of time for a specified failure rate. “Fail” is defined as having less than ~85% capacity (depends on manufacture), thought it can also mean complete failure with 0% recoverable capacity. The closer a battery is to it’s expiration date, the less capacity it will have and the more likely you are to encounter completely failed cells. Even with expired cells though, they often work. I wouldn’t choose to use them in really important applications, but they are still useful.
“Heavy duty” cells generally are not worth messing with – they are cheap, light weight, and low capacity. They seem to only be made to sell to the “lowest possible price” consumers. I would never buy or store them.
Alkaline are the best bang for the buck primary cells. You can pick up a pack of 48 cells for around $10 at COSTCO last I checked (Duracell is believed to be the OEM for Kirkland brand cells). The price has gone up approximate 10-15% in the last year, which seems likely to continue. Alkaline’s are good performers under “average” conditions. They do not like low temperatures, and they do not like high current draw (cameras, some flashlights, and possibly other devices). Once you place a battery into a device, I recommend you use it up. Do not return [primary] cells into storage once you’ve started to use them.
Lithium cells provide the widest temperature and current rating of all primary cells, though you pay the most for the best performance. I do recommend having a few for important gear, red dot sights, night vision,and so forth, [reserving them] especially for emergency winter use.
Rechargeable cells are much more economical for the regular user. Unfortunately they require better understanding to maximize their useful life. So I’ll go over NiMH extensively and also address NiCd.
In a quick overview of the current tech of AA cells. NiCd is the most durable battery chemistry, it has capacities ranging from 600-1000 [mil-Amp Hours] (mAH) It has the best temperature performance envelope, endures heat and over charge best, will operate with more cycles. NiMH is the most common consumer cell these days, mostly due to the capacity advantage which run in the 1800-2700 mAH range at present. NiMH also has a new variant on the market I will dub low self discharge (LSD) cells. LSD cells are in the range of 2000-2100 mAH as of this writing and have many advantages over traditional NiMH that mostly come from an effort to stabilize it. They are new, so some data points are not borne out over years, but current evidence indicates that they perform as advertised. I recommend LSD cells for most people over all other varieties, I’ll go into more detail why below. First, the brands and types currently on the market. The top brand in my opinion is Eneloops (2000 mAH) from Sanyo, it simply does the low-self-discharge thing better than the competition. The rest of the field seems to originate from a single manufacture or the same licensed design, but there are a bunch of competing cells. Rayovac Hybrids, Hybrios, Titanium Enduros, and a bunch of others (2100 mAH). Given equivalent, or near equivalent prices, I’d pick the eneloops.
In both types of chemistry, the higher capacity cells are more fragile than the lower capacity cells. It’s an engineering trade off. The 2700 mAH whiz bang top-of-the-line cells are not your best bet for good durable cells, they are actually fairly fragile (chemically and physically) because of this trade off. Around 2000 mAH is not only cheaper (usually) but yields a cell that will see a longer service life, more cycles, and less likely to fail if dropped. Lower than 2000 in NiMH does not appear to hold significant advantage in durability in most respects. LSD cells appear to be at least as durable as their 2000 mAH NiMH counterparts.
Standard NiMH cells have an approximately life span of 3 years. Cheaper brands may have less. NiCd cells have an estimated 5+ year life span. Much beyond these points or even before them (especially with high capacity cells), increased internal resistance, lowered capacities, and higher self discharge are the norm. NiCd doesn’t exhibit a large amount of this and usually fails with internal shorts (complete failure) or excessively high resistance. These numbers are very temperature dependant, colder storage conditions will lengthen the time, warmer will lower it. LSD NiMH cells currently have no data in this regard, they’re advertised as having better longevity than NiMH cells, and I would tend to believe them due to the engineering trade offs picked. However, they’ve only been out for about 1.5-2 years now. To date, my oldest cells (1.5 years old), lightly used, perform like new – so far so good.
Self discharge is one of the biggest inconvenient things about rechargeable cell use. NiMH cells discharge by themselves very quickly. They discharge on the order of a couple of months when new and the rate increases significantly with age and use. NiCd cells have about half the self discharge rate and this usually won’t vary much up until cell death. LSD cells shine in this regard, the self discharge slows down after a charge to almost a stand still in a little over a months time. LSD cells will retain around 85% (Eneloops) to 80% (rest of the field) charge after a year of storage at around 70 degrees.
Keeping the voltages up during use is important for many devices and one of the principle reasons rechargeables deliver poor performance in some devices. Standard NiMH suffers from voltage sag over time. It will start out at a nice high 1.4 volts fresh off the charger. Soon it finds it’s way to 1.3-to-1.2 v open voltage. If left on the shelf it will fall over time. Many devices require a minimum voltage to operate correctly, if this minimum is above what your battery can deliver under load your device will shut down (can be 1.2v per cell, and NiMH will often fail to meet this under less than ideal circumstances!) If you experience significant performance difference between primary cells and rechargeable cells (especially older ones) this is likely the problem, especially combined with self discharge “usable capacity” drops very quickly. NiCd cells can suffer from a form of voltage sag, it is not as pronounced as NiMH but it can also happen in mid-discharge and is related the over marketed term cell “memory”. This problem can usually be corrected with a couple exercise cycles and a good top off charge. LSD cells retain their voltage very well on the shelf, like their charge, and also deliver better than average voltages in normal use anyway. You will usually see much better performance from LSD cells in these voltage sensitive devices than NiMH or even NiCd. If you’ve been frustrated with rechargeables in the past in some of your devices give some LSD cells a try!
The most common method to kill cells is poor charging practices. I can’t stress this enough, especially with NiMH cells, buy a good [“smart”] charger. Usually cells are allowed to “cook” on a standard charger for far, far too long. Remember, heat is bad! It’s normal for them to get warm at the end of a charge cycle (not burning hot!). If they continue to stay warm (or worse, hot) for several hours later, you have a [traditional “dumb”] charger that is cooking your cells. I recommend a Maha-C9000 as a good high end charger. On a lower budget I recommend a Duracell 15 minute charger. {To be ready for various circumstances,] I prefer to have both chargers available. The C9000 is a slower charger (relatively) but it will not cook your cells, you can leave them in the unit. The unit has options that allow you to easily exercise cells and see if they are improving. You can match cells to obtain the best performance from them and identify poor performing cells quickly. It also charges individual cells rather than pairs, which is better for them – especially a mismatched pair. The Duracell 15 minute charger is a quality unit that also allows “busy you” to not walk away for hours waiting for, and forgetting about, your batteries. You will be less likely to forget about them and allow them to be cooked on the charger. Some good charging technology goes into the 15 minute chargers, so while they are a little rough compared to a good slower charge – they are actually very good at what they do, especially compared to the cheap junk [chargers] on the market. Fast charging is also fairly energy efficient, reducing the power required to get a full charge. Both of these chargers run on 12 volt DC input so they can plug directly into 12 volt systems allowing for use in a car or directly off a battery based [alternative energy] system (PV, wind, etc).
Do not charge cells when they are below freezing (32 F/0 C). You will damage them. If you really need a charged cell, warm it up in your pocket (preferably the charger too) and use the 15 minute charger. The charge cycle should provide enough heat to keep it above freezing until it’s done. Avoid chargers that come with your cells, generally they are poor.
When brought out of long term storage, cells will usually need “exercise”. NiCds especially need fairly significant exercise before returning to full capacity. 5+ full cycles may be required, rule of thumb is exercise until you stop seeing capacity gains. This is easiest with a charger like the C9000 with capacity readouts. NiCds should be stored discharged. NiMH cells should be stored with a charge. LSD cells require significantly less maintenance and may not need any exercise at all and will likely have a serviceable charge intact after storage, depending on the length of time in storage and at what temperature.
NiMH cells like to be treated gently. When you’re done with your device, recharge the cells. The more shallow the cycle the better. Full cycles will wear on them the most. Keep NiMH cells topped off and they’ll last the longest. Occasionally you may need to perform a deep cycle to restore some performance if the cell appears to be waning. The more advanced NiMH care systems like on the Toyota Prius reportedly keep cells at 60-80% capacity and only use about 20% depth in discharge cycles, which seems to be the most chemically repeatable and stable region. NiCds stand up to abuse a lot better, in fact a regular full discharge is good for them and will help you avoid issues with the cells. It’s not required for every charge, but once a month or so should keep it’s performance high.
I suggest avoiding C and D size rechargeable cells. They are expensive, there are no LSD variants at present, your charging options are more limited, they take forever to charge, and there are adapter sleeves readily available to make AA cells fit these sizes. D sized alkaline cells are reasonable for storage and use for the price. C size cells are usually overpriced and are often repackaged AA cells anyway – use the adapters. COSTCO presently sells an excellent Eneloop kit that includes 8 AAs, 4 AAAs, 2 AA->C adapters, 2 AA->D adapters, and a cheap charger for $26.
Earlier generation NiMH cells had a very poor temperature envelope. There are evidences that this has improved and the LSD introduction advertised even better cold temperature performance. Unfortunately, to date, I am unable to find information or a datasheet to quantify this. I’ve done a bit of my own testing down to 0 F, the limit of my freezer, and have found no appreciable drop in capacity (old NiMH tech struggled below freezing). I can’t really quantify if LSD NiMH is inferior or superior to NiCds at present, so suffice it to say they both do reasonably well in the cold (just remember not to charge them when they are below freezing).
In summary, I don’t see any reason to buy any non-LSD NiMH cells these days. LSD tech has dramatically improve the performance and user friendliness of the cells, and hopefully longevity, durability, and cycle life too. However, it is new and relatively unproven tech. NiCd is the old known workhorse and there is good reason why power tools and similar equipment still ship with NiCd cells. It’s worth having a few NiCds around as a backup because of their track record. For general use, the Sanyo Eneloops are the way to go.
Letter Re: Frozen Livestock Water Tank Woes
Hi Jim,
I wanted to ask the vast readership for their help with winter water needs for livestock when we don’t have the luxury of electric tank heaters. I had done some research in the past and the only way I found to keep a livestock tank from freezing up with arctic winds was a wood fired Chofu, (Japanese), tank heater. The capacity much too small to handle the trick.
We have just survived another arctic blast with buckets and stock tanks freezing over immediately. The thought of relocating the livestock to open water does not seem viable unless it is open moving water as it would be froze over as well. I am seeking the knowledge of an old rancher that has dealt with this situation. I was hoping to find some sort of tank heater that could be coal fired for heat and ease of lighting if wet, at the very least compare designs and fabricate my own.
Any help? Thanks a bunch, – The Wanderer
JWR Replies: Here at our ranch we have two large stock tanks, both with electric heaters. But of course we have access to backup power. One solution you might consider for the long term: I’ve read passive ground heating has been used successfully in much of North America: Here is the method in a nutshell: Rent a power auger dig an overgrown posthole and bury a 8 foot (or longer) length of 18 to 24 diameter galvanized culvert pipe in the hole, with just 5 or 6 inches of the pipe showing above ground. Then attach some brackets to the top of the pipe (by welding or nuts and bolts to hold a small stock tank (90 gallons or less), so that the bottom of the stock tank completely covers the open end of the pipe. (The stock tank will appear to be mounted on a low pedestal.) The vertical pipe acts as a conduit for the warmer ambient ground temperature from the soil below the frost line. The beauty of this design is that it is essentially passive and there is no significant maintenance, once installed.
In the short term, however, you might do some searches on Craig’s List, and other Internet source for US Army surplus immersion heaters. These crank out a lot more BTUs than typical Chofus, and since they burn liquid fuel (mist were multi-fuel models, IIRC), they require less tending than a wood-fired heater. Of course all the usual safety provisos for liquid fuel burners apply.
Perhaps some SurvivalBlog readers will have some suggestions on other tank heater designs. (Hopefully including something that you can implement without having to wait until next summer.)
Letter Re: Birdshot Ineffective as a Home Defense Load
Dear Jim,
Over the years I’ve probably given away five cases of your novel to friends and family, and I think the updated version is outstanding! Thank you so much for all that you’ve done to promote personal responsibility.
Regarding the post on your home page about birdshot versus buckshot, I couldn’t agree more! I’m an instructor with [name of major firearms training school deleted for OPSEC] and this myth of birdshot being the best home defense round is a constant battle with many of our new shotgun students. As you already know, birdshot, when fired within 5′ of drywall will act just like a slug, and tag anything directly on the other side full-on. However, at 8 yards, it won’t even penetrate a leather jacket. You might as well use slugs! All one needs to do is ask Dick Cheney about the lethality of birdshot when applied to humans.
However, if there ever was a small arms munition which has a proven track record of ending people, it’s 00 [“double aught”] buckshot. Granted, it may not end them now (which is the immediate issue in a defensive situation), but of the emergency room doctors I’ve polled, none have ever had to treat buckshot wounds to the torso because those all go to the morgue.
Lastly, there is a brand of shotgun round called Polyshok which has officially become the only thing I load in my defensive shotguns. Rather than bore you with two pages of opinion, got to the web site and check out all of the demo videos. No one lives when hit with it. A hit in a limb will mean, at the very least, loss of it – but anywhere near the chest cavity or head is instant death. You’ll see in the demos how it is also perfect for home defense (no over penetration), and it recoils like birdshot! The only catch is that the manufacturer will only sell to police and military. It’s not illegal to own, just a company rule. I’m sure, however, you know a cop or two who can get hold of a box to demo. It’s $2 a round, but worth every penny. Thanks again! – Fergie
Odds ‘n Sods:
Merco suggested the Build it Solar web site–that has lots of of alternative energy projects that you can build yourself, from beginner to advanced.
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This comes as no surprise: Broke homeowners linked to arsons
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U.S. slump spreading around the globe, IMF warns
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Eric suggested this Newsday article: U.S. loses its status as an economic world power
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
"Bushido is all very well in its way, but it is no match for a .30-06." – The Late Col. Jeff Cooper
Notes from JWR:
Because of some power outages and power spikes at our ISP, we’ve been having some serious problems accessing the Internet for the past couple of days. So rather than keeping you waiting for your daily dose of SurvivalBlog, I am planning to post a couple of days worth of posts in advance, whenever our connection sporadically comes up. So don’t be alarmed if in the next few days you see a future date on any posts.
We have finished the judging… The winner of Round 14 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. is J. Britely, for his lengthy article “Prepare or Die”. He gets the top prize–a four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate. These certificates are worth up to $2,000! Our thanks to Front Sight’s director, Naish Piazza, for generously donating the course certificate. Check out the Front Sight web site and take advantage of their great training opportunities.
Second prize goes to K.L. In Alaska for his article “Sources for Free Survival and Preparedness Information on the Internet”. His prize is is a copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, generously donated by Jake Stafford of Arbogast Publishing.
I’m also sending out two honorable mention prizes to Robert R. for his article “How to Win with Asymmetric Warfare”, and to Dim Tim for his article “Constructing an Improvised CB Radio Antenna Both of them will be sent autographed copies of my novel “Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse”.
Note to all the prize winners: Send me an e-mail to let me know your snail mail addresses, and your prizes will be mailed to you shortly. Thanks gents, and congratulations!
Today we start Round 15 of the contest. Send your non-fiction articles via e-mail for a chance to win some great prizes! The first prize will again be a four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate!
Making Well-Balanced Preparations for Uncertain Times
I have been a “prepper” since 1975. In those 32+ years, I have met all sorts of “prepared” people. Some of them have been casual acquaintances. Some I’ve corresponded with but have never met face to face. Some have been fellow church members. Some have been consulting clients. A few of these have been close and trusted friends. But only a subset of all of them have pursued what I consider well-balanced preparedness. I don’t intend the following to be a castigation of anyone in particular. I’m merely trying to illustrate that many of us could benefit from better balance. Here are some of the extremes that I have encountered:
Kruger-centrics. These folks put the majority of their funds into Krugerrands, American Eagles, and numismatic rarities, at the expense of food storage and other practical preparedness measures.
Electronic Gadgeteers. The gadgeteers usually drift into survivalism by way of amateur (“ham”) radio. Typically, they spend their evenings chatting with fellow survivalists hams. Hopefully they’ll have an “Ah-ha” moment that leads them to the conclusion that true preparedness means more than just keeping 10 gallons of gas on hand for their generator set for The Big Field Day.
Secret Squirrels. About once or twice a month, I get an envelope with no return address. Inside it is a five dollar bill, often wrapped in aluminum foil. Usually there is no explanatory note. Without a return address, there is no way for me to sent a thank you. (So let me say here and now: Thanks for your donations!)
I have one friend in another state that I have not been able to contact for more than five years because he is afraid that even if I use a cash-purchased calling card and if I call him from a pay phone, that we might be “monitored”. By isolating themselves, Secret Squirrels cannot take advantage if teamwork and strength in numbers. There is risk versus reward ratio for associating with others. Weigh it carefully.
Eschatologists. Then there are the folks that spend more time studying John’s Revelation than they do all of the other books of the Bible. Eschatology (the study of “End Times”) is all well and good, but it has become an obsession to some. They forward me umpteen e-mails with modern prophecies: “I had a vivid dream about cities on fire…” They quiz me as to whether or not I believe in a pre-Tribulation Rapture and whether I’m pre-millennial, post-millennial, or a-millennial. Here is my answer, short and sweet: I’m Pan-millennial. Having read the Bible, I believe that it will all pan out in the end. Seriously, the Bible teaches that there will be a time of tribulation. Be ready for it.
As for the modern-day prophets and their adherents: To the best of my knowledge the gift of prophecy ended with the death of the last of the Disciples. Trust in God’s providence, but don’t expect absolute protection for the faithful. The Bible does not promise that. If you have doubts about that, read Foxes’s Book of Martyrs. Rowland Taylor, one of my great grandfathers (16 generations back) is described there. He was burned at the stake for holding to the inerrancy of scripture. But he died singing hymns.
Gun Nuts. I’ve known lots of people that own dozens of guns, but that have hardly have any storage food or medical gear set aside. Sadly, when things get Schumeresque, some of them may resort to looting once their scanty food supplies have been exhausted.(“When the only tool you have is a hammer, every problem start to look like a nail.”) Instead of being part of the solution in restoring commerce and and law & order, they will be part of the problem. I used to be a bit of a gun nut. But thankfully, after marrying the Memsahib I have become far more balanced in my preps. I gradually pared down my gun collection by more than half. (And I made a tidy profit in the process, since guns only seem to go up in value.) Just don’t ask me to part with my shelves full of ammo cans. That ammo is better than money in the bank. And, hey, it even doubles as good gamma shielding.
Granola Idealists. The other end of the spectrum from the Gun Nuts are the incredibly naive folks who eschew all means of self-defense. Many new converts in the Peak Oil camp fall into this category. Some of them profess that merely living in a tight-knit community will protect them. Others hope that extreme geographic isolation will spare them from the depredations of looters.
Conspiracy Theorists. I get an amazing number of conspiracy e-mails every day, and they all sound so sincere. Among other things, they describe: mysterious lingering chem trails, lack of plane wreckage at the Pentagon, black helicopters, thermite and cutting charges in the World Trade Center buildings, George Bush is actually a Gray Alien, railroad box cars equipped with handcuffs and shackles, Area 51 anti-gravitation hovercraft, MK-ULTRA mind-controlled assassins, the CFR, chupacabras, massive underground bases and tunnels excavated by atomic power, Chinese troops stationed in North Dakota, the secret base on the dark side of the moon, you name it. My advice for the Conspiracy Theorists is to stop spending so much time analyzing and re-analyzing the threats and start actively preparing.
Mall Ninjas. You probably know at least one Mall Ninja. To them, looks more important than substance. They insist on having all of their gear in a matching camouflage pattern. Typically they own several guns, but have never zeroed any of them. They have research files full of magazine clippings from Soldier of Fortune about martial arts and isometric exercises, but they never seem to find the time to actually exercise. They own dozens of “tactical” knives and bayonets, but own no water filters. I even heard of a “survival expert” that had one case (12 meals) of MREs, but no other storage food. My friend Keith calls these folks “Tommy Tacticals.” Others call them Armchair commandos. The Mall Ninjas are in desperate need of balance.
The preceding may have offended some of my readers. But I felt that it was important to point out that some people have allowed their preparations to get unbalanced. All that I can suggest is: 1.) Don’t pin yourself down to just one pet scenario. Instead, be ready for a wide range of potential eventualities. 2.) Stock up in a logical manner that will allow your family to live for an extended period of time with no outside assistance. This means having a good balance of food storage, gardening seed and supplies, means of self defense, alternative energy, communications gear, medical gear, OTC pharmaceuticals, tools, livestock feed, fencing supplies, and so forth. Do your best to be dispassionate, and work though the logical “what-ifs”. Develop your lists accordingly.
I wrote the following back in the early days of SurvivalBlog. For the sake of the many new readers (since our readership has more than doubled in the past 12 months), it bears repeating:
Just as important as finding a town that fits your needs is re-making you to fit your new town. For someone accustomed to the Big City pace of life, this can be a major adjustment.
Get to know the local way of doing things in your new town. Get accustomed to the pace of life. Don’t expect to get a lot done during deer season. (Nearly every building contractor, plumber, and electrician will be out in the woods, with tags to fill!) Dress like the natives. Don’t be ostentatious. Don’t whine about the lack of “good shopping” or culture. Learn how to pronounce the local names quickly. Don’t stand out. Join the local church.
Don’t just talk about preparedness. If you have concerns about the future, do something about it: Plant a vegetable garden, get weapons training at Front Sight, learn how to can your own vegetables, change your own motor oil, learn how to knit and darn, take up hiking, help a friend (or a local church) with a building or remodeling project, et cetera.
The difference between a genuine survivalist and an armchair commando (a.k.a. “Tommy Tactical”) is that a genuine survivalist collects useful skills whereas an Armchair Commando collects gadgets that he doesn’t know how to use.
Rethink your budget and your priorities in life. Here are some examples:
Cut out unnecessary travel.
Sell your jet ski and buy a canoe. Sell your television(s) and buy a general coverage short wave receiver.
Sell your fancy engraved guns, and commemorative guns, and customized “race” guns. Replace them with practical guns in non-reflective durable finishes.
Make sure to buy guns from a private party with no paper trail.
Sell off your guns that are chambered in oddball calibers such as 16 gauge, 28 gauge, .280 Remington, .240 Weatherby Magnum, .35 Whelen, .25-20, and .41 Magnum. Replace them with guns in the most common standard calibers like: .30-06. .308, .223, .45 ACP, .40 S&W, 12 gauge, and .22 Long Rifle. (In Canada and Oz, that list should also include the venerable .303 British rifle cartridge.)
Sell your Beanie Baby (or whatever) collection on eBay and use that money to buy storage food.
Sell your Rolex and buy a half dozen inexpensive used (refurbished) self-winding watches. (These will come in handy for coordinating tactical rendezvous and guard shift changes.)
Sell your fancy late models cars and replace them with 5 to 10 year old low mileage American-made 4WDs with good ground clearance. When you move to the country you don’t want to stick out or be the focus of envy, so it is better to have older and dinged up vehicles than to have ones that look nearly new.
Get out of debt.
Live frugally.
Dress down.
Prepare for the worst case Schumeresque situation. Thus, you will always be ready for less severe circumstances and you can take them in stride. Such preparations will take a lot of money, but ask yourself:: What is your life and the lives of your loved ones worth to you? If being truly prepared requires moving to a small town in a lightly populated region, then so be it!
Odds ‘n Sods:
Nine readers all suggested the same article: Barton Biggs’s Tips for Rich: Expect War, Study Blitz, Mind Markets. The article begins: “Insure yourself against war and disaster by buying a remote farm or ranch and stocking it with “seed, fertilizer, canned food, wine, medicine, clothes, etc.” The “etc.” must mean guns, because Biggs is also quoted as stating: “A few rounds [fired] over the approaching brigands’ heads would probably be a compelling persuader that there are easier farms to pillage,” he writes in his new book, “Wealth, War and Wisdom.” Note that this is coming from a well-known fairly mainstream market analyst! When folks of his stature can start making what most would consider alarmist statements without fear of being branded as a “whacko” by the mainstream media, then there is almost assuredly a change in the weather coming.
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Hawaiian K. pointed out this Federal Reserve chart, showing that the Net Free or Borrowed Reserves (NFORBRES) of Depository Institutions just fell off a cliff. Let’s pray that there aren’t any bank runs soon, because the till is empty. It is a jolly good thing that the Fed is handing out so much cheap money these days, so the member banks can list part of these funds as “reserves.”
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For the month of February, Ready Made Resources is offering a 10% discount on all of their food storage packages. Be sure to get your ordering this month, before the inevitable price increases. Wholesale food prices are rising, and most of the storage food canners are no longer re-pricing annually. Most them are now re-pricing “as needed”, without any warning. Stock up during this sale!
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Eric suggested this: Banks’ bad loans hit level of S&L Crisis
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
“The hardest part about gaining any new idea is sweeping out the false idea occupying that niche. As long as that niche is occupied, evidence and proof and logical demonstration get nowhere. But once the niche is emptied of the wrong idea that has been filling it — once you can honestly say, “I don’t know”, then it becomes possible to get at the truth.” – Robert A. Heinlein, The Cat Who Walks Through Walls (1985)