Category: Economics & Investing

Pessimist or a Realist? Our Present Situation – Part 2, by The Lone Canadian

(Continued from Part 1.) While we’re on the subject of interest rates, lets explore low interest rates. I’ve mentioned that the government, through the Fed, has kept them artificially low since about 2008. Now, the general thought was that low interest rates would stimulate the economy. Low interest rates mean that you can buy that bigger house, or new car. It also means that businesses can expand because the risk on a loan is lower. It means that new businesses can start up because people can more easily qualify for a loan, and their payments are relatively low, so its …


Pessimist or a Realist? Our Present Situation – Part 1, by The Lone Canadian

“My wife calls me a pessimist. I claim I’m a realist. Chances are, I’m just an a** with an attitude problem.” That’s my tag line on one of the sites that I belong to. Now, you may take offense at my wording, but if you knew me, you’d have to agree that the sentiment is pretty accurate. I’m writing this in the final few days of 2022, and I’ve had to go back and examine that tag line. I’ve had to question whether I am a pessimist, or am I simply well-informed when it comes to current events, and honest …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. In this column, JWR also covers hedges, derivatives, and various obscura. Most of these items are from JWR’s “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective. Today, we look at the current chicken egg shortage, and food price inflation. Precious Metals: The spot and futures prices of silver and gold broke out late Friday (January 13, 2023.) Though there will probably be a bit of profit-taking in the short term, I expect to see some solid gains for precious metals in coming …


Economics & Investing: JWR’s Predictions for 2023

Today, in a special edition of this column are JWR‘s economic, finance, and market predictions for 2023 and beyond. — Bottom line up front (BLUF), I believe that  2023 will be seen as a year of recession, layoffs, and stagflation. Consumer inflation will be rampant, but some assets will deflate, as the economy contracts. In the longer term, the recession starting in 2023 may develop into a general economic depression. Perhaps the era will someday be characterized as “The Depression of the late 2020s and early 2030s.”  Now, for the details: Precious Metals: With inflation continuing at a rapid clip, …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at the rising price of gold. (See the Precious Metals section.) Precious Metals: Gold price rallies to six-month high on safe-haven buying. o  o  o Will Gold Return to All-time Highs in 2023? o  o  o Silver Price 2023 Outlook: Will Silver Underperform Gold in 2023? Economy & Finance: Forget recession — …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

In place of my usual news items and commentary on economics and the markets, I have some annual housekeeping to do: My Annual Financial/Investing/Foreign Interests Disclosures: By Federal law, I am obliged to make the following annual public disclosures. For the record: I am presently the sole author of SurvivalBlog’s Economics & Investing For Preppers column. I am not a paid investment counselor or adviser. Please see our Provisos page for our detailed disclaimers. My paid consulting is primarily on preparedness, relocation, retreat property development, and related topics–not on investing, per se. SurvivalBlog is a private information service and not a …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at crashing home sales. (See the Tangibles Investing section.) Precious Metals: Reuters: Supreme dollar rules the roost in gold market. o  o  o Central banks buy gold at fastest pace in 55 years. “Analysts are pinning China and Russia as big buyers.” Equities: ‘Worst Year Ever’ For Stocks & Bonds – Global …


December 2022 in Precious Metals, by Steven Cochran

Welcome to SurvivalBlog’s Precious Metals Month in Review, where we take a look at “the month that was” in precious metals. Each month, we cover gold’s performance and the factors that affected gold prices. What Did Gold Do in December? The gold market was a volatile battlefield in December, with bulls and bears waging war around the $1,800 level. Rallies were routinely sold into, which bulls saw as a buying opportunity. Some of this selling, best seen in gold ETF outflows, was likely due to margin calls as stocks stumbled under the dual expectations of recession and stagflation as the …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at grocery price inflation. (See the Inflation Watch section.) Precious Metals: Radomski: Gold: The Breakout That’s Really Important. o  o  o Gold Trade Between East And West Follows 90 Year-Old Pattern. o  o  o Russian gold removed from some Western funds after Ukraine. Economy & Finance: A year-end reminder: Don’t lose sight …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we examine some planned cryptocurrency regulations. (See the Forex & Cryptos section.) Precious Metals: Keith Weiner: The Current Yield Curve Inversion, Explained. o  o  o Kelsey Williams: Gold, Inflation, and The Federal Reserve. Economy & Finance: How high will interest rates rise in 2023? Economists, markets are skeptical of Fed hike plan. o  o  …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at the prospects for copper prices, in 2023. (See the Commodities section.) Precious Metals: Reported on Tuesday: Gold price up amid bullish outside markets. o  o  o At the Von Mises Institute website: The “Barbarous Relic” Helped Enable a World More Civilized than Today’s. Economy & Finance: The chief investment officer at …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at the likely recession in 2023. (See the Economy & Finance section.) Precious Metals: Michael Pento: Fiscal and Monetary Policy Shocks. o  o  o Video interview: Gold is ready to ‘explode’, 2023 will be a ‘commodities boom’ – Todd Bubba Horwitz. Economy & Finance: China’s retail sales shrink far more than expected, …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at the unfolding decline in the residential and commercial real estate markets. (See the Tangibles Investing Section.) Precious Metals: Downside risks for gold and silver prices in 2023 – Natixis’ Dahdah. o  o  o Gold, Silver to Shine as Dollar Weakens in 2023 & Beyond. Economy & Finance: Both the …


Gas Station Economics, by SwampFox

Fuel prices have been rising for a couple of years, and this past summer’s high cost was frustrating for almost everybody. Who profits, and why is the price so high? How does a gas station make money? How many steps are involved in getting oil from the ground, turning it into fuel, and putting it in your tank? It is more complicated than you might think. First, oil has to be found and removed from the earth. Drills, pipes, pumps, lots of metal, and heavy labor. Every part of that carries a very high cost that is passed along to …


Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we focus on full-capacity magazines as a tangible investment. (See the Tangibles Investing section.) Precious Metals: Gold/Silver: Are you positioned for another Silver squeeze? o  o  o India ATM Now Dispenses Gold Coins. o  o  o Kelsey: Demand For Gold – No New Highs. Economy & Finance: Brace for a recession in …