Welcome to SurvivalBlog’s Precious Metals Month in Review, where we take a look at “the month that was” in precious metals. Each month, we cover gold’s performance and the factors that affected gold prices.
What Did Gold Do in December?
The big news for December was gold, setting two new record highs to make 2023 the best year for gold since 2020. The sharp rally that began in late November continued into December, setting new record intra-day and closing highs for gold on December 1st. February gold futures hit a new intra-day high of $2,095.70, closing at $2,089.70. Spot gold posted a new all-time intra-day high of $2,076.10 before closing at $2,071.00.
Things changed in a flash the next Monday. Spot gold gained another astounding $80 to $2,149 before noon. February gold mirrored this trajectory, advancing another $60 to $2,152, both substantially higher than Friday’s record close.
Suddenly, gold prices reversed sharply, forming a blow-off top. Prices had gone “too far, too fast.” Spot gold had gained $136 over the previous week by noon on the 4th, and futures had gained $140.
When the dollar spiked on safe-haven demand over the escalation of the Israeli-Hamas war, it was enough to snap the speculative sentiment driving gold prices. Gold’s exuberant rally had priced it out of being a safe haven compared to a weakened dollar.
Everyone stampeded to the exits to lock in the massive profits gained over the previous few days. By 2 pm, both spot gold and futures had lost $45. Spot gold closed $80 lower than the day’s new record intra-day high, and futures had lost $60 from its own high.
Gold futures lost $96 over seven sessions. Spot gold lost $92. The good news was that the pain was over, thanks to the Fed. The December FOMC policy meeting ended on the 13th, giving the markets a far better Christmas present than they could have expected. The “dot plot” of anonymous rate forecasts by Fed leaders showed that they expected three rate cuts next year, and FOUR in 2025.
All the markets went nuts, gold included. Spot gold jumped $47.70 to $2,027.20. Gold futures, which had closed for the day just prior to the Fed statement, caught up the next day, notching a gain of $47.60 to $2,044. Aside from three minor adjustments, the rally to the end of the year was on.
The cherry on top of the extraordinary gains for December was another set of all-time highs on the 27th. February gold futures settled at $2,093.10, and spot gold closed at $2077.40.Continue reading“December 2023 in Precious Metals, by Steven Cochran”