Here are the latest items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. And it bears mention that most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of JWR. (SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor.) Today’s focus is on the future of the Euro as a currency unit.
Precious Metals:
Peter Hug: Gold Reacts To A Perceived Hawkish Fed
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Gold Has “Room To Move” – Osisko CEO
Stocks:
Earlier this week, we saw: Dow falls 299 points after Powell signals Fed will keep raising rates to contain inflation. Yes, The Federal Reserve banking cartel is now worried about inflation and higher wages, so they will keep raising interest rates. This will slow the economy, put a damper on the current irrational exuberance of the stock market.
In essence, when The Federal raises the Federal Funds Rate, banks raise their prime rates, to match. That in turn raises business loan rates, mortgage rates, and car loan rates. So if The Fed keeps this up, look for a slowing home building industry, and a slowing car-making industry. The secondary effects are higher bond yields, higher credit card rates, less consumer spending, lower business profits, and less borrowing, in general. Rates have been held artificially low for so long that any substantial rise in interest rates will have magnified effects, compared to what had previously been seen in the normal business cycle. I see a stock slump and recession on the horizon, folks!
Forex (Future of the Euro):
The Euro has been around as an electronic currency unit since 1999 and subsequently as a printed/minted currency since 2002. It has been fairly stable on the foreign exchange (Forex) market for most of its life. But cracks began to appear when chronic over-spending led to a sovereign debt crisis in Europe’s Southern Tier countries. Then, citing oppressive trade regulation from the European Union (EU), British voters wisely opted to leave the EU. (Commonly called Brexit). Most recently, a few other EU countries have been making similar “exit” noises. (Most notably some in Poland there is now hope for “Polexit”.) In all, the future of both the EU as an organization and the Euro as a currency unit are far from certain.
Even with the Trump Administration’s quite clear Weak Dollar policy, I have avoided buying Euros (EUR). I instead hedge by buying Swiss Francs (CHF). That currency is the better bet, in my humble opinion. I’ve done my best to buy CHF during dips in the market. For any SurvivalBlog readers who already have their survival preps squared away, and who already have some barter silver coins, I recommend that you do likewise.
I’ll post some details on how and where to buy Swiss Francs in this column on March 9th.