“Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory. Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat.” – Sun Tzu
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Preparedness Notes for Thursday — October 14, 2021
I just received word that my mother, Barbara Marie Rawles, has passed away peacefully at her home, at age 89. She was just two weeks from her 90th birthday. She died of congestive heart failure. (And, for the record,, she had no respiratory illnesses in the past three years. She never had the Wu Flu.) For the past 3-1/2 years, I had been taking turns caring for my mom at her home, alternating monthly with my brother and sister. We kept her quite isolated from flus and colds. I was just there with her for the month of September.
Because of my upcoming travel back to California to make funeral arrangements, to attend a family memorial gathering, and to help with the logistics of closing up her house, my blog posts may be sporadic for the next several weeks. I already have several days of posts written and edited in advance, but there will probably be some gaps — most likely starting October 19th. Apologies to my readers. I’ve also suspended taking any new orders at Elk Creek Company. The Elk Creek shopping cart won’t be reactivated until around November 5th. Sorry!

I’ve only missed a few days of posting SurvivalBlog in the past 16 years. Most notably, that was following the death of my first wife, Linda, in 2009. An aside: Linda very selflessly picked me out a new wife, while she was on her deathbed. Less than a year later, a very happy union followed with Avalanche Lily — a lovely young widow with two children of her own. By God’s Grace, that has been a good match, and she has proven herself an amazing Help Meet.
I take comfort in the fact my mother was a saved woman. She is now with Jesus (Yeshua). I pray that you too, my dear readers, have accepted salvation in Christ Jesus. You’ve surely heard this before, but it bears repeating: We only have two destinations: The eternal bliss of Heaven or the eternal torment of Hell. Make yourself ready, because you never know what day will be your last. Of all of your preparedness measures, that is by far the most important. – JWR
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SurvivalBlog Writing Contest
Today we present another entry for Round 97 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:
First Prize:
- The photovoltaic power specialists at Quantum Harvest LLC are providing a store-wide 10% off coupon. Depending on the model chosen, this could be worth more than $2000.
- A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any of their one, two, or three-day course (a $1,095 value),
- A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three-day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
- Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
- A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
- American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.
- Two sets of The Civil Defense Manual, (in two volumes) — a $193 value — kindly donated by the author, Jack Lawson.
Second Prize:
- A Front Sight Lifetime Diamond Membership, providing lifetime free training at any Front Sight Nevada course, with no limit on repeating classes. This prize is courtesy of a SurvivalBlog reader who prefers to be anonymous.
- A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, that have a combined retail value of $589,
- Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
- Naturally Cozy is donating a “Prepper Pack” Menstrual Kit. This kit contains 18 pads and it comes vacuum-sealed for long term storage or slips easily into a bugout bag. The value of this kit is $220.
Third Prize:
- Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
- A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
- Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
- A transferable $150 purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun. There is no paperwork required for delivery of pre-1899 guns into most states, making them the last bastion of firearms purchasing privacy!
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More than $725,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 97 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.
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The Lord Will Judge America – Part 1, by The Watchman
I am writing this work as a watchman so that my conscience will be clean and so that I will be free of the blood guilt of any American that reads it. It is my sincere hope that you will heed the warning that this message contains. Our nation will shortly be judged, and the watchman is waking you while there is still time to act. When the judgment is over, the United States that we have known will be gone, along with many of its people. The survivors will have to carry on with whatever is left, and I pray that they will rebuild on the foundation of God’s word. But if you want your family to have that chance to rebuild, you must respond to the Lord’s warning now. Only those who entered the ark with Noah survived, and only those who take heed to the Lord’s warning today will be spared. “He who has ears to hear, let him hear.” (Matthew 11:15)
Our founding fathers were given two wonderful gifts: the gospel of Jesus Christ, and the chance to forge a new nation in a virgin country. Seldom, if ever, have any people been given such a chance. The richness of this land exceeds that of the promised land of Israel. Think of the fertile farmland of the Midwest, the redwood forests, the coal seams of West Virginia, the vast herds of buffalo and elk, the beauty of Yellowstone and Yosemite valley, etc. And our fathers had not only the Biblical Law and the Prophets (the old testament) to guide them, but the knowledge of the risen Savior as well! And the United States of America became a truly mighty nation. Blessed with great natural resources and the protection of two large oceans to our east and west, our nation went on to achieve unparalleled heights of economic and military success. The current dollar GDP of the USA is a staggering $20,930,000,000,000.
The log cabins and mud thatch homes of our forebears have been superseded by megalopolis cities full of air-conditioned homes with running water, electricity, high-speed Internet, and every electronic appliance imaginable. Grocery stores are full of fresh food brought to us from all over the world. Every product we could ever wish for is available to us with the push of a button on our smartphones. And we haven’t kept all this abundance to ourselves – unaccountable sums of money have flowed from this land to humanitarian and evangelistic causes. Beyond our economic achievements, we fought a bloody civil war to end slavery. We fought to restore peace and order to Europe (twice). We helped liberate South Korea from communist aggression. And we fought a 20-year war against global terror. Indeed, we pride ourselves on always coming to the defense of peace and freedom across the world. And all this has been done under the aegis of ‘one nation under God.’ So why then would America be under judgment? The answer is that beneath the worldly success, the power, the noble causes, and the veneer of godliness, we have forsaken the Lord God and turned to idols. “For my people have committed two evils: they have forsaken Me, the fountain of living waters, to hew for themselves cisterns, broken cisterns that can hold no water.” (Jeremiah 2:13)Continue reading“The Lord Will Judge America – Part 1, by The Watchman”
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The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods
SurvivalBlog presents another edition of The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods— a collection of news bits and pieces that are relevant to the modern survivalist and prepper from “JWR”. Our goal is to educate our readers, to help them to recognize emerging threats, and to be better prepared for both disasters and negative societal trends. You can’t mitigate a risk if you haven’t first identified a risk. Today, there is more talk of state secession.
Lebanon Blackout: Whole Country Without Power
Linked over at the Whatfinger.com news aggregation site: Lebanon Blackout: Whole country without power. JWR’s Comment: This provides us a preview of economic collapse and infrastructure collapse.
Consequences If America Splits Apart
H.L. suggested this, at American Thinker: If America’s going to split apart, here’s what will happen to you. An excerpt:
“Secession does not necessarily need to be hard and formal as the South tried in 1861. It can be a United States evolving back to a true republic as it was initially meant to be. In that scenario, states would have more autonomy to enact laws that suit their citizens and not be ruled from the imperial capital on the Potomac. This would begin with states refusing to obey objectionable federal laws or decrees of the Supreme Court. This is not anti-democratic. It’s naïve to think Washington is beholden to the people of the country. That’s a façade put forth for public consumption. The politicians, with rare exception, dance to the tune of the big moneyed oligopoly. That’s why America’s once-mighty Midwestern industrial base was turned into the Rust Belt. And it’s also why despite laws to the contrary, illegal immigration flourishes and why U.S. blood and treasure are squandered in foreign adventures.”
Augason Farms Ceases Operations for 90 Days
First up, there is this headline: Major storable food supplier Augason Farms ceases operations for 90 days, citing collapsing supply chain.
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The Editors’ Quote of the Day:
“We will not prematurely or unnecessarily risk the costs of a worldwide nuclear war in which even the fruits of victory would be ashes in our mouth – but neither shall we shrink from that risk any time it must be faced.” – President John F. Kennedy
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Preparedness Notes for Wednesday — October 13, 2021
October 13, 2021 is the 80th birthday of singer-songwriter Paul Simon. (Born, 1941.)
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SurvivalBlog Writing Contest
Today we present another entry for Round 97 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:
First Prize:
- The photovoltaic power specialists at Quantum Harvest LLC are providing a store-wide 10% off coupon. Depending on the model chosen, this could be worth more than $2000.
- A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any of their one, two, or three-day course (a $1,095 value),
- A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three-day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
- Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
- A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
- American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.
- Two sets of The Civil Defense Manual, (in two volumes) — a $193 value — kindly donated by the author, Jack Lawson.
Second Prize:
- A Front Sight Lifetime Diamond Membership, providing lifetime free training at any Front Sight Nevada course, with no limit on repeating classes. This prize is courtesy of a SurvivalBlog reader who prefers to be anonymous.
- A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, that have a combined retail value of $589,
- Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
- Naturally Cozy is donating a “Prepper Pack” Menstrual Kit. This kit contains 18 pads and it comes vacuum-sealed for long term storage or slips easily into a bugout bag. The value of this kit is $220.
Third Prize:
- Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
- A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
- Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
- A transferable $150 purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun. There is no paperwork required for delivery of pre-1899 guns into most states, making them the last bastion of firearms purchasing privacy!
—
More than $725,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 97 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.
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Risk Mitigation: Strategies for the Prepper, by Dan S.
Risk mitigation. Sounds fancy but all it means is “what are the most viable threats and what actions I can take to reduce the threats.” In this article, I am going to discuss risk mitigation strategies and provide practical examples of how this linear thought process can be used by the prepper in how they plan, provision, and train for WTSHTF. Risk mitigation differs from contingency planning by asking what can I do before a critical incident happens, versus what can I do after it happens.
A major aspect of continuity planning for large organizations (government, business, academia, health care, etc.) is examining potential threats, identifying vulnerabilities, and taking actions to reduce adverse results. Commonly known as risk mitigation, there are four general strategies
- Risk Acceptance: recognizing the risk as manageable
- Risk Avoidance: recognizing the risk as dangerous
- Risk Limitation: recognizing the risk is both manageable and dangerous
- Risk Transference: recognizing the risk is better assumed by other parties with proper skills or expertise.
In simplest terms, risk mitigation is the process of narrowing down what are the most likely threats to my safety and what information should I be focusing on, what should I be spending money on, and what skills do I need to obtain. With all that’s occurring right now in this crazy world, sometimes prepping is like drinking from a fire hose. Risk mitigation clarifies and illuminates and filters the real and imminent threats from the less real and more unlikely threats.
First Hand Experience
As a 27-year veteran of law enforcement, I often employed risk management in daily enforcement operations. If an investigation identified a business was involved in illegal activity, and probable cause existed for execution of a search warrant, prior to actual service of the warrant the person with tactical oversight undertook a process to identify risks and plan accordingly. For example, if the business were a chop shop for stolen cars with two aggressive Doberman pinchers guarding the building and fenced lot, the risk mitigation process would evaluate the level of danger and plan accordingly. In this example, the process would recognize the dogs present a clear risk of physical harm to officers executing the warrant, the result of no action could be officers getting bite, and the smartest course of action would be to have animal control officers present to control and contain the dogs at the beginning of the enforcement operation.
To parse this out a bit further, in this example, risk limitation identified the risk as both manageable and dangerous, and risk transference engaged the use of experts to reduce adverse outcomes.Continue reading“Risk Mitigation: Strategies for the Prepper, by Dan S.”
SurvivalBlog Readers’ & Editors’ Snippets
This weekly column is a collection of short snippets: practical self-sufficiency items, how-tos, lessons learned, tips and tricks, and news items — both from readers and from SurvivalBlog’s editors. We may select some long e-mails for posting as separate letters.
First up, over at Media Matters: Tucker Carlson gives his full endorsement for the use of illegal fake vaccination cards. “Buying a fake vaccination card is an act of desperation by decent, law-abiding Americans who have been forced into a corner by tyrants”
o o o
M.J. wrote:
“I enjoyed APD-4’s article and SaraSue’s article.
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Government Orders Google to Track Anyone Using Certain Names, Addresses, and Phone Numbers.
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The Editors’ Quote of the Day:
“Inflation is one form of taxation that can be imposed without legislation.” – Milton Friedman
Preparedness Notes for Tuesday — October 12, 2021
Today, in 1492, after sailing across the Atlantic Ocean, Italian explorer Christopher Columbus sighted a Bahamian island, mistakenly believing he had reached East Asia. His expedition went ashore the same day and claimed the land for Isabella and Ferdinand of Spain, who sponsored his attempt to find a western ocean route to China, India, and the fabled gold and spice islands of Asia.
—
SurvivalBlog Writing Contest
Today we present another entry for Round 97 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:
First Prize:
- The photovoltaic power specialists at Quantum Harvest LLC are providing a store-wide 10% off coupon. Depending on the model chosen, this could be worth more than $2000.
- A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any of their one, two, or three-day course (a $1,095 value),
- A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three-day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
- Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
- A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
- American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.
- Two sets of The Civil Defense Manual, (in two volumes) — a $193 value — kindly donated by the author, Jack Lawson.
Second Prize:
- A Front Sight Lifetime Diamond Membership, providing lifetime free training at any Front Sight Nevada course, with no limit on repeating classes. This prize is courtesy of a SurvivalBlog reader who prefers to be anonymous.
- A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, that have a combined retail value of $589,
- Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
- Naturally Cozy is donating a “Prepper Pack” Menstrual Kit. This kit contains 18 pads and it comes vacuum-sealed for long term storage or slips easily into a bugout bag. The value of this kit is $220.
Third Prize:
- Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
- A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
- Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
- A transferable $150 purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun. There is no paperwork required for delivery of pre-1899 guns into most states, making them the last bastion of firearms purchasing privacy!
—
More than $725,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 97 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.
More than Half-Past 2021, by A.E.
I have a love-hate relationship with prepping. I love the planning and preparation, playing the game of “What if?” for probable problems in my/our future; the ready access to supplies without running errands to pick up ‘stuff’ on a regular basis. I hate the prospect that preps are necessary due to possible life or death problems. It means things are not stable and therefore dangerous to me and mine. So let’s look at some of our instability that could lead to problems.
First of all, our government is being run, pretty much top to bottom, by political hacks who usually have never held down a real job. They may be good at political infighting, but forget about real planning and activities for the good of the republic. It appears they believe their own storylines or maybe they have been partaking of too much fairy dust. Their mantra seems to be: “Spend, spend, spend, and devil take the hindmost.” They also have no concept (or they don’t care) of unintended consequences. For all of that, they also look to be supporting the Mexican cartels by trying to ignore them while pumping a maximum number of illegal immigrants (future Democrats, they hope) into the US systems. I’m sure the Cartels love that, as it gives them greater control and access to and in the US.
Apparently, our disloyal leaders think that all immigrants are harmless souls needing a hand. The problem is, they don’t know. They don’t seem to care. Sexual predators, crooks, and people with totally unknown backgrounds come from multiple countries of the world to cross our border. Almost certainly there are people who have nothing good planned for the US that are using the southern border. Again, the problem is the current administration doesn’t know or care who comes into the country.Continue reading“More than Half-Past 2021, by A.E.”
SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt
This weekly column features news stories and event announcements from around the American Redoubt region. (Idaho, Montana, eastern Oregon, eastern Washington, and Wyoming.) Much of the region is also more commonly known as The Inland Northwest. We also mention companies of interest to preppers and survivalists that are located in the American Redoubt region. Today, details on the sentencing of an Illinois woman for her foolish behavior in a grizzly bear encounter at Yellowstone Park. (See the Montana section.)
Idaho
Free solo climber gets stranded halfway up 330-foot wall near Big Bend.
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Judge OK’s Chad Daybell’s request for change of venue, suggests Ada County.
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Police detail cultish beliefs of mom charged in kids’ deaths. An excerpt:
“The report said Lori and Chad Daybell believed in reincarnation, and that Lori Daybell was a “Goddess” sent to bring the second coming of Christ. The pair also allegedly believed they had special powers, with Lori Daybell telling one friend that she could teleport between Arizona and Hawaii. Chad Daybell reportedly told the group that he had a “portal” in his home where he could receive revelations and travel to other realms, the report said.”
Continue reading“SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt”
The Editors’ Quote of the Day:
Preparedness Notes for Monday — October 11, 2021
Today is the birthday of novelist William R. Forstchen (born, 1950.) He is best known for his survivalist novel One Second After.
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Today we are posting a gun review written by our redoubtable Field Gear Editor, Pat Cascio.
Smith & Wesson Shorty .40, by Pat Cascio
I used to be a huge fan of Smith & Wesson handguns. At one time, they were my preferred handgun for duty and concealed carry. However, after several bad experiences with their customer service/repair shop, I rarely look at S&W handguns these days. S&W used to have one of the best customer service departments bar none. So, these days, I don’t look at many of their handguns.
I remember when S&W came out with their Model 469, 9mm handgun. It was a winner in my book. At the time, they were a compact pistol, that held a lot of ammo – 12+1 rounds, and they were a great concealed carry pistol – light-weight, compact and reliable. Over the years, S&W made a number of improvements and came out with second generation and third generation models. One of the best improvements was upgraded sights, in particular the rear sight. The earlier models had a very small, rounded-off rear sight, and they were hard to pick-up quickly. The newer generations had a much nicer, combat rear sight/ This made a huge difference in speed shooting. Of course, we had the three white dot aiming system, and that helped for faster and more accurate shooting as well. The trigger pull was another improvement – the trigger pull on the original 469 models were “okay” at best, but the later generation pistols had a much nicer trigger pull.
When the .40 S&W caliber came on the scene, everyone was quick to jump on this round, and S&W started producing some of their little 469 models in .40 S&W. Nice guns, with the exception that, for the most part, all S&W did was install a bigger barrel, in .40 S&W and made a few changes to the magazines, and they only held 10-rds of .40 S&W instead of 12-rounds of 9mm. The recoil spring was a bit stouter as well. The .40 S&W is a punishing round in a little gun – a lot of recoil, to say the least. Many shooters couldn’t accurately shoot the little .40 S&W guns because of the “kick” and soon traded them off.Continue reading“Smith & Wesson Shorty .40, by Pat Cascio”