Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at China’s unsustainable debt bubble. (See the Economy & Finance section.)
Precious Metals:
Needless to say, look for a big breakout in the prices of gold, silver, and platinum if Russia fully invades Ukraine. Stack them deep, and stack them early. Commerzbank seems to agree.
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Neither Inflation Nor The Fed Moves Gold.
Economy & Finance:
Mainland China’s debt bubble implosion now seems to be getting fully underway. The collapse of Evergrande and other over-leveraged construction companies is in full swing. This implosion will very likely expand to many other sectors of the Chinese economy. The next sectors to fail? Most likely it will be high-speed rail lines, then car makers, and then perhaps their high technology sector. The debt-to-GDP ratio in China is seriously out of whack — somewhere around 270%. And the size of China’s bond market is second only to that in the United States. A lot of the Chinese debt was for Pie in the Sky boondoggles. This level of malinvestment needs to be “un-wound” before their economy can resume any real progress.
In the 19th Century and early 20th Century, China had a problem with the global opium trade. But now, in the early 21st Century, they have a problem with the global OPM market. What is OPM? Other People’s Money (OPM). Debt. There is simply too much debt. China has created a wholly unsustainable debt bubble. Many of the underlying “assets” of these loans are not sellable. They are ghost apartment complexes and entire ghost cities. Many of these buildings are just empty shells of apartment blocks and offices that were never completed. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is fully complicit with creating the debt bubble.
Again, what happened to Evergrande and Kaisa was just the beginning– just a precursor of a monumental debt crisis that could very quickly become globally contagious. Beware.
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Markets Are “Sea Of Red” Amid “Total Meltdown In Anything Tech And Pandemic Winners”.
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Treasury Yields Spike After Jamie Dimon Forecasts “Six Or Seven” Rate Hikes In 2022.
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Goldman Plunges After Trading Revenue Miss.
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