Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at grocery price inflation. (See the Inflation Watch section.)

Precious Metals:

Radomski: Gold: The Breakout That’s Really Important.

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Gold Trade Between East And West Follows 90 Year-Old Pattern.

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Russian gold removed from some Western funds after Ukraine.

Economy & Finance:

A year-end reminder: Don’t lose sight of the inexorable growth of the U.S. National Debt.

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Shale Giant Pioneer Explains Why U.S. Drillers Won’t Drill More.

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At Zero Hedge: IRS Delays $600 Gig-Tax Rule.

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USPS, Amazon, And FedEx All Closing Down Locations.

Continue reading“Economics & Investing For Preppers”

Preparedness Notes for Thursday — December 29, 2022

Today is the birthday of actor Jude Law, born in 1972. Many moviegoers remember him from Enemy at The Gates and Sky Captain.

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This is also the birthday of inventor Charles Goodyear (1800–1860.)

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SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

Today we present another entry for Round 104 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. The photovoltaic power specialists at Quantum Harvest LLC  are providing a store-wide 10% off coupon. Depending on the model chosen, this could be worth more than $2000.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any of their one, two, or three-day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  4. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  5. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.
  6. Two sets of The Civil Defense Manual, (in two volumes) — a $193 value — kindly donated by the author, Jack Lawson.

Second Prize:

  1. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three-day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  2. A SIRT STIC AR-15/M4 Laser Training Package, courtesy of Next Level Training, that has a combined retail value of $679
  3. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. A transferable $150 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun. There is no paperwork required for delivery of pre-1899 guns into most states, making them the last bastion of firearms purchasing privacy!

Third Prize:

  1. Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
  2. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  3. A transferable $150 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun.

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More than $775,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 104 ends on January 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.

 

 

Lessons Learned From a Winter Storm – Part 2, by Michael X.

(Continued from Part 1. This concludes the article.)

Generators: TWO is NONE

In all this time my second biggest concern, after the generator, was our outside hot tub. When the power is out it becomes a liability. 250 fifty gallons of hot (warm but cooling) water, waiting to freeze and wreck the tub…. The hot tub water temp was down to 74 degrees after one night. My choices were to get the generator going, or drain the tub. Part of the equation for this decision was the availability of the hot tub’s water for toilet flushing. I had only hours to make that decision before the cold made my decision for me.

Friday dawned bright and sunny. In the afternoon it was so sunny that I could see well in the garage and began to check out the starting system for the generator again. The choke linkage was not working right. Apparently, a small piece of plastic in the linkage had broken off. By reaching under the gas tank I could pump the choke. I gave it one more try and it started! It was a great relief! However, now a new learning curve started. Before I plugged the house into the generator, I changed the settings on the house electrical panel. I flipped the main house breaker off from the commercial system, and flipped the generator breaker on. (A built-in, required safety feature — to prevent a back-feed). At the same time I shut off the AC unit breaker, as well as the breakers for the electric hot water heater, several rooms that we don’t use, and the hot tub. Then I plugged in the generator to the line to the panel.Continue reading“Lessons Learned From a Winter Storm – Part 2, by Michael X.”

The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods

SurvivalBlog presents another edition of The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods— a collection of news bits and pieces that are relevant to the modern survivalist and prepper from “JWR”. Our goal is to educate our readers, to help them to recognize emerging threats, and to be better prepared for both disasters and negative societal trends. You can’t mitigate a risk if you haven’t first identified a risk. Today, we look at the trend toward small town and rural relocation that developed during the Wu Flu pandemic, but that is continuing in late 2022.

Going Rural: Where are Homebuyers Moving?

Over at the NAR website: Where are Homebuyers Moving? JWR’s Comments: Clearly, small towns and rural regions are increasingly favored.

A related article, published in August: FBA: Fiber a factor in move decisions as more head for rural areas. Here is a quote:

“The survey found consumers across rural, suburban and urban living preferences cited “very high speed/reliable internet access” as a top priority, ranking this the third most important community attribute behind “safe streets/low crime” and affordable housing. Interestingly, it also noted more consumers now say they would prefer to live in a remote small town if they were able to get the level of internet access they need.

According to the report, 23.6% said rural living was their preference in 2022, compared to 14.3% previously. Another 44.7% said they’d prefer suburban living, up from 38.3%. Interest in urban living dropped from 32.6% to 18.3% while farm or wilderness living as a preference dropped from 14.3% to 13.4%.”

Lurking in the Omnibus Is a Blitzkrieg on Gun Rights

Reader Alexandra H. mentioned this, reported by The Independent Sentinel: Lurking in the Omnibus Is a Blitzkrieg on Gun Rights.

Millions of Americans Have Left the Country

Reader D.N. sent this piece about expatriation: Millions of Americans have left the country. Where are they going, and why?

CDC Report: U.S. Life Expectancy Falls, Opioids and Covid Blamed

As reported by CBS News: Life expectancy falls for second straight year due to COVID-19, drug overdoses, CDC report finds.

Continue reading“The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods”

Preparedness Notes for Wednesday — December 28, 2022

December 28, 1793 is the day that Thomas Paine was arrested for treason in France. The charges against him were never fully detailed, but he was tried in absentia on December 26 and convicted. Best known as the author of Common Sense, he moved to Paris to be part of the French revolution. Initially welcomed, the tide soon turned against him, because he was opposed to the death penalty and the French revolutionaries were sending hundreds to the guillotine.

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SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

Today we present another entry for Round 104 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. The photovoltaic power specialists at Quantum Harvest LLC  are providing a store-wide 10% off coupon. Depending on the model chosen, this could be worth more than $2000.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any of their one, two, or three-day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  4. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  5. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.
  6. Two sets of The Civil Defense Manual, (in two volumes) — a $193 value — kindly donated by the author, Jack Lawson.

Second Prize:

  1. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three-day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  2. A SIRT STIC AR-15/M4 Laser Training Package, courtesy of Next Level Training, that has a combined retail value of $679
  3. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. A transferable $150 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun. There is no paperwork required for delivery of pre-1899 guns into most states, making them the last bastion of firearms purchasing privacy!

Third Prize:

  1. Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
  2. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  3. A transferable $150 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun.

—

More than $775,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 104 ends on January 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.

 

Lessons Learned From a Winter Storm – Part 1, by Michael X.

I have often bugged my wife to let us try a “long weekend without power”. I wanted to test my preps, byt so far she has not taken me up on my offer. However, recently Fate stepped in and gave me what I wanted. I am writing this to document my experience and my analysis of what I need to do to further my readiness.

I have been interested in Prepping for many years. My early introduction to prepping was on this website, and by reading the Patriots novel series by James Wesley, Rawles. Many, many books followed that rounded out my prepping education. My go-to book is “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It”. I also like “The Prepper’s Blueprint” by Tess Pennington. I have the List of Lists and I had thought that I was making progress. But using the preparedness tools and supplies is much different than checking the items off a list.

We live in Northwest Wisconsin in a recreational area popular for fishing, canoeing, ATV riding, and snowmobiling. We bought a small lake cabin about 20 years ago, and then built on to the cabin 10 years later, making it a year-round home. Snow is on the ground about five months a year. The nearest village of 400 souls is four miles away, and a town over 6,000, with services and major retailers, is 25 miles away.

As an aspiring prepper and a civil engineer, when we decided to build a permanent year-round home, and potentially our final retirement home, I designed some elements into the plans that would help us in troubled times, primarily loss of power and thus loss of heating capability. I put in a high-end wood stove in the basement. We put in two LP gas fireplaces that do not need electricity to operate. I added vents from the warm wood stove area to the master bedroom, with an in-wall fan to move the warm air at a higher volume. I designed in a whole-house generator option, with power provided by a large portable generator outside. The house electrical panel uses a master switch to move between commercial power and generator power.Continue reading“Lessons Learned From a Winter Storm – Part 1, by Michael X.”

SurvivalBlog Readers’ & Editors’ Snippets

This weekly column is a collection of short snippets: responses to posted articles, practical self-sufficiency items, how-tos, lessons learned, tips and tricks, and news items — both from readers and from SurvivalBlog’s editors. Note that we may select some long e-mails for posting as separate letters.

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SurvivalBlog reader Celeste wrote:

“I’ve read several recent articles on hand washing clothes.  All use bar soap as a base and agitate the clothing.  As a long-time [wool] spinner and dyer, I use Orvus (sodium lauryl sulfate) as a base.  It is found in most feed and seed stores and at Tractor Supply.  It is a pure surfactant with no fats or oils like soap. One tub is super concentrated and by mixing just a bit with water, goes a long way.  You can add soda ash, and/or Borax for whites and really dirty clothes.

We were without power for 10 days after Hurricane Michael and we ran the generator for a bit in the morning to pump water.  I would put the previous day’s clothes in a kitty litter bucket of cold soapy water and just let it soak till late afternoon, occasionally swishing my hand to stir around the clothes and liquid.

Soaking for a couple of hours allows the surfactant to loosen up dirt and dissolve oils.  I rub clothes with a bar of Lava [brand soap] on stubborn spots. My favorite method is to just soak over time and rinse. I think it is easier on the clothes and much easier on me.  You can use Orvus as a base for any liquid soap too.

I love reading SurvivalBlog and pick up lots of useful information. Thank you for hosting it.”

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Some great news for Canadian gun onwers! Alberta Takes Back Constitutional Jurisdiction Effective January 1st, 2023. JWR’s Comment: I hope that the other western provinces follow suit.

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Greg sent us this follow-up to Tom Christianson’s “Jeep Cap” review article:

“I researched the NSN.  This NSN was set up in 1975.  The original specification was Mil-C-16472.  Mil-C-16472 was cancelled and replaced by Commercial Item Description (CID) A-A-50369.  A cap per the CID is made of wool, one size fits all. The color shall be Blue Shade 3346.  Its made for the Navy.

It likely had an earlier NSN but I couldn’t find records linking the Mil Spec or an older NSN to the current NSN.  It was an educational search for me.
DLA  Assist Quicksearch is the place to look up government specifications.  It is open to the public.”

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Reader D.S.V. spotted this: National Strategy to Develop Distributed Ledger Technology for Digital ID Tucked into 2023 Defense Budget.

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Radio Hosts Exit After Soros Buys Hispanic Stations. JWR’s Comment:  In the war of words, sadly, the globalist statist-socialist billionaires are winning.

Continue reading“SurvivalBlog Readers’ & Editors’ Snippets”

Preparedness Notes for Tuesday — December 27, 2022

On this day in 1979, the Soviet Union sent 75,000 troops to Afghanistan to enforce the installation of Babrak Karmal as the new leader of the nation. The new government and the imposing Soviet presence, however, had little success in putting down anti-government rebels. Thus began nearly 10 years of an agonizing, destructive, and ultimately fruitless Soviet military intervention in Afghanistan. Death by a thousand cuts.

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SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

Today we present another entry for Round 104 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. The photovoltaic power specialists at Quantum Harvest LLC  are providing a store-wide 10% off coupon. Depending on the model chosen, this could be worth more than $2000.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any of their one, two, or three-day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  4. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  5. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.
  6. Two sets of The Civil Defense Manual, (in two volumes) — a $193 value — kindly donated by the author, Jack Lawson.

Second Prize:

  1. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three-day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  2. A SIRT STIC AR-15/M4 Laser Training Package, courtesy of Next Level Training, that has a combined retail value of $679
  3. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. A transferable $150 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun. There is no paperwork required for delivery of pre-1899 guns into most states, making them the last bastion of firearms purchasing privacy!

Third Prize:

  1. Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
  2. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  3. A transferable $150 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun.

—

More than $775,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 104 ends on January 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.

Assessing and Prioritizing Risks, by Francis Marion

One of the most common questions asked by new preppers is “What should I prepare for?”. The easy…and wrong…answer is “everything”. After all, as Frederick the Great said, “He who defends everything, defends nothing”. If one attempts to prepare for everything that can happen…from coastal erosion to Electro-Magnetic Pulse (EMP) to winter weather…one could quickly become overwhelmed. This is why the first steps in preparing should be to assess and prioritize risk.

For background purposes, I spent more than 25 years as a commissioned officer in the United States Army Reserve, including multiple deployments. When planning military training and operations, a formal risk assessment is always a requirement. In addition, I hold a Master of Arts in Emergency and Disaster Management, and I currently work in emergency management, where assessing risk is a significant part of my duties. I say this not to boast, but to offer the reader the context from which I approach this subject, as well as to maximize transparency to the greatest extent possible while maintaining a reasonable level of Operational Security.

Risk is an inherent part of life. Regardless of where one lives, or what one does, we all assume a certain level of risk every day. What is key is developing an accurate assessment of what risks one actually faces, in order to better mitigate and prepare for those risks. And no, mitigation and preparation are not the same thing, although there is certainly some overlap. In short, mitigation includes steps taken to reduce the impact of an event when it occurs, while preparation includes steps taken to respond to an event after it occurs. For example, if one buys a tarp, tape, and nails to cover any windows that might be broken during a windstorm, that’s preparation. If one puts plywood over the windows to reduce the chances of breakage during a windstorm, that’s mitigation.

Purchasing a generator to provide continuity of power during an outage could be considered both mitigation (since it reduces the impact of the power loss) and preparation (since it is engaged as part of the response to the event). Regardless, in order to better focus limited resources when developing mitigation and preparation measures, it is necessary to accurately identify potential hazards, assess risk, and then utilize that analysis to maximize effects in planning.Continue reading“Assessing and Prioritizing Risks, by Francis Marion”

SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt

This weekly column features news stories and event announcements from around the American Redoubt region. (Idaho, Montana, eastern Oregon, eastern Washington, and Wyoming.) Much of the region is also more commonly known as The Inland Northwest. We also mention companies of interest to preppers and survivalists that are located in the American Redoubt region. Today, we focus on some record-breaking low temperatures throughout the Redoubt region.

Idaho

An Idaho Farm Bureau video: Living in Idaho Back Country.

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Arctic air settles into region, dangerously cold conditions.

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Mourning in Moscow: The latest on the investigation into University of Idaho students murdered.

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Video and still photos from the west side of the Tetons: Driving Through the Idaho Countryside.

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Micron will cut 10% of workforce as glut of memory supply hits market; Company reports loss.

Continue reading“SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt”

The Editors’ Quote of the Day:

“The salvation of the common people of every race and of every land from war or servitude must be established on solid foundations and must be guarded by the readiness of all men and women to die rather than submit to tyranny.” – Winston Churchill

Preparedness Notes for Monday — December 26, 2022

On December 26, 2004, the Indian Ocean region Tsunami took more than 250,000 lives.

On December 26th, 1776, after crossing the Delaware River, Washington led his men against Hessian soldiers garrisoned at Trenton. After a brief battle, nearly the entire Hessian force was captured, with negligible losses to the Americans, significantly boosting their flagging morale.

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Today’s feature article is a review written by Field Gear Editor Thomas Christianson.

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We are still seeking entries for Round 104 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. More than $775,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 104 ends on January 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.