Letter Re: Signs of Potential Currency Hyperinflation, by Lee Rogers

Jim,
The article on currency hyperinflation [by Lee Roger, posted on November 30th] was interesting. However, trying to keep the puny penny alive to prevent hyperinflation is like trying to prevent floods by banning depth gauges.

Someone will need to explain to me why we need any coinage with a denomination less than the value of a minute of a minimum wage worker’s time. For decades in earlier times, our smallest coin was worth about as much as out current dime.

How many billions in wasted time would be saved if we had a simple coinage system that reflected real current prices, instead of living in denial about past and current inflation?

I propose that we could optimally operate with fewer coins: dimes, halves, and dollars, plus $5 coins. All transactions transacted in tenth dollars (drop the whole darn penny digit) Four useful coins for daily transactions, instead of the current six. Drop the wallet-bursting $1 bill, and the silly $2 bill, and keep the $5 as the lowest [denomination] bill. Add a $500 bill to allow more portable wealth, and the system makes as much sense as it used to.

Anyone who worries that this will cause more inflation is well-advised to buy precious metals. And of course, it would be better if the coinage and currency reflected real value. But that is no reason to live in denial about the reality of inflation. A pocket full of worthless change will not change economic reality.

Also, note that www.coinflation.com is an interesting source to determine the theoretical “value” of coins based on their metal content. But be cautioned that no one is paying these prices. They reflect the value if the metals were separated and pure. The cost of the mint to buy the metal to produce a coin does not mean that it has that value to any buyer. Sure, you can “double your money” by picking out pre-1982 copper pennies. But if it takes you only 6 seconds to find each one, you are earning only minimum wage. Never mind that the cost to transport it to copper buyers would eat much of your profits.- Mr. Bravo



Letter Re: Muzzleloaders for Long Term TEOTWAWKI

Dear Mr Rawles,
It is possible that I am simply not an attentive reader of the Survival Blog, so I may have missed this.
However, it seems to me that rather than getting into technically very difficult and potentially very dangerous pursuits involving home-made brass & home-made primers, why not become proficient with a flintlock rifle?
Flintlocks never went completely out of style, and there are many, many excellent makers today.
In the hands of a practiced marksman, a flintlock is certainly the equal of any modern rifle out to 100 or 200 yards, and at the Battle of New Orleans, Kentucky riflemen brought down redcoats at 400 yards or more.
Firing a flintlock requires no fancy chemical primers: just black powder. Black powder is dangerous to make yourself, but it is chemically simpler than percussion primer powder. Round balls are convenient to cast from lead. And flints can be hand-knapped. A good rifle will be nearly 100% in ignition. The only drawback it seems to me is that it is a single shot per barrel per load, but two barrel rifles are not unknown.
All the very best, – Dr. W.A.

JWR Replies: We have covered blackpowder (BP) muzzleloaders on SurvivalBlog, but not nearly to the extent that the subject deserves. Back in February of Aught Six, I posted the following in reply to another letter on blackpowder arms: “I agree that BP guns do have a place in survival planning. However, if someone’s main goal is getting guns that are outside of Federal jurisdiction (with no purchase paperwork required in most locales), from a practical standpoint they are better off buying pre-1899 cartridge guns from the 1890s, such as
the Mausers and the S&W top break revolvers that are sold by dealers such as The Pre-1899 Specialist. If, in contrast, the intent is to have guns that will remain useful in the event of a multi-generational societal collapse, them BP guns make a lot of sense. Lead for bullet/ball casting can be stored in quantity, and even salvaged wheel weights or battery plate lead could be
substituted.
Black powder and percussion caps could conceivably be “home brewed”–although there are some serious safety considerations.

BP arms have lower velocity and hence less stopping power than modern smokeless powder cartridge guns. However, they can still be fairly reliable stoppers. I would NOT want to be a burglar confronted by a homeowner that is holding a pair of Ruger Old Army .44 percussion cap revolvers! OBTW, since black powder leaves a hygroscopic residue that is inherently corrosive, I recommend buying stainless steel guns whenever possible. So make that a pair of stainless steel Ruger Old Army .44 percussion cap revolvers. If you ever envision BP guns being pressed into service for self-defense, then get models that optimize fast follow-up shots and fast reloading.
For example, consider the the Kodiak double rifle. (Up to .72 caliber rifles,. plus 12 and 10 gauge shotgun variants.) Some brands of BP revolvers have cylinders that are relatively quick to change. For those, it makes sense to buy two or three spare cylinders for each gun that can be kept loaded. Of course be sure to have each gun tested with all of the cylinders to make sure that they all function and “register” correctly.



Letter Re: A Further Slide For The US Dollar?

Jim,
I wonder how many other folks have read this: ” …Ritholtz told WorldNetDaily that yesterday’s downward move “was a major market correction that points to the risk of subsequent downside to the dollar,” and “… but the recent fall suggests “the probabilities have increased of a major dollar correction, or even of a collapse.”The whole story can be found at the WorldNetDaily web site. – Joe from Tennessee



Odds ‘n Sods:

 Reader S.P. mentioned this interesting new photovoltaic power technology. Could a price breakthrough on solar panels be coming soon?

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In a recent phone conversation, The Chartist Gnome told me that there are now rumors of a U.S. Dollar collapse circulating on Wall Street. Echoing this sentiment came this article:
about the dollar’s slide
. The Dollar lost 1.7% against the Euro jut last week. (Thanks to Mike the Blacksmith for that article link.) My advice: Be like the Boy Scout. If you haven’t already, diversify out of dollars and into tangibles.

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Ben. L. recommended an interesting retrospective about the Swine Flu scare of ’74/’75, comparing the world today, and the relatively greater threat posed by Asian Avian Flu.



The Memsahib’s Quote of the Day:

#2 Son, in the back seat of the car: "What was that I just saw run across the road? I just caught a glimpse."

#1 Son: "I think it was a chipmunk."

JWR, at the wheel: "To be precise, that was a Lesser Western Black Deathwish Chipmunk."

#2 Son: "How can you tell the variety?"

JWR: "Ah! Good question. The Deathwish subspecies nearly always starts to cross the road but then displays its second thoughts by stopping and rushing back from whence it came. Their odds of making it across a road are slightly better than playing Russian roulette."



Note From JWR:

In response to those that asked for details, my newly-released nonfiction book, Rawles on Retreat and Relocation is 225 pages, in 8-1/2×11 format, and wire-o bound, so that it will lay flat when open. There are lots of maps and a comparative table. In answer to those of you that asked for details about the contents, here is how it is organized:
Introduction
Chapter 1: Population Density and The Golden Horde
Chapter 2: The Self-Sufficient Retreat
Chapter 3: Climate and Growing Season
Chapter 4: Water, Power, and Fuel Sources
Chapter 5: Property, Income, and Sales Taxes
Chapter 6: Weapons Laws
Chapter 7: Zoning Laws and Other Nuisances
Chapter 8: Terrorist Target Structures
Chapter 9: World War Three Target Structures
Chapter 10: Offshore Options
Chapter 11: Privacy is Paramount
Chapter 12: Narrowing Your Search
Chapter 13: Making The Purchase
Chapter 14: Building (or Remodeling) a Retreat
Chapter 15: Stocking Your Retreat
Chapter 16: Food Storage
Chapter 17: Friends, Relatives, and Neighbors
Appendix A: Retreat Owner Profiles
Appendix B: Sources, Suppliers, and Consultants
Appendix C: References
Appendix D: Acronyms and Terms
Index

 



Book Reviews: Last Light and Night Light, by Terri Blackstock

James:
I am writing to recommend two novels that may be interest to your readers. Written by Terri Blackstock, I would like to recommend a series of two novels: Last Light and Night Light. These are novels that are written in a series, and while they can be read one at a time, are better read in sequence. As survival junkies, we are always in search of decent fiction centered around survival motifs – a rare genre of writing. Terri does a pretty good job of producing some entertaining and page-turning yarns. I will admit for those of us that are truly hard core, you may find yourself reverting to thoughts of primordial survival logistics as you read these novels (e.g., ” well, why didn’t they do this, or why didn’t they do that….), but written for the lay person, they have a high entertainment quotient., Also, they are really written as religious novels, more so than as a study in the art of survival pre se. As many of us are faith-based, this style of writing should not detract, but instead actually add to the enjoyment of the experience. From an editorial perspective, Terri’s writing style is fairly basic ( no long. protracted descriptions of the scene, or massive amounts of internal dialogue of the characters), which at first was a little difficult to get used to, but ultimately provided for a brisk read. As with any survival-related work, there are lessons to be learned here. As a born again Christian, I appreciated the underlying message in each work. Terri’s imagination is well preserved as she describes the trials and tribulations of the average upper middle-class family that is caught up in the unexpected circumstances of TEOTWAWKI caused by a mysterious EMP that renders all transistor and chip based mechanical devices inoperable. And, I must admit, that the origin of this EMP is a source that most of your Blog readers have not considered – and is absolutely insidious in its destructive capability. I would rate her at a solid “B” in entertainment value, and a must read for those of us that enjoy the celebration of our Savior in apocalyptic-based fiction. Zondervan Press, ISBN – 10: 0-310-25768-9 (book 1).and ISBN – 13: 978-0-310-25768-4 (book 2). Regards, – REM



Letter Re: Communications for Disasters–Are Scanners Useful?

James:
The hot thing in scanners right now is digital trunking. Most public-safety services use this approach, without scrambling or encryption. Analog scanners are useless, but the new generation of scanners include direct support for digital trunking.
I recently bought a Uniden/Bearcat BCD 396T, which totally restored my ability to listen to common public-safety traffic where I live.
Some more sensitive government agencies use encryption on top of digital trunking, but there’s no strong survival-oriented motivation to listen to their transmissions. Unless you’re trying to survive an FBI manhunt, I suppose. In an emergency, being able to monitor fire and police agencies should be enough for most people, and these new scanners can do that in most areas. Regards, – PNG



Letter Re: Yukon Gen 1 Night Vision Rifle Scope – A Product Review

Jim,
I had delayed writing a review of the Yukon night vision rifle scope because I have to wonder who else is reading your site. I don’t want to do a disservice to all the good folks that visit your [blog] site. I surely don’t want the bad guys knowing the following. Unless they stumble on it themselves. If they are going to use one I would rather they use one of these gems. I may buy a few
other night vision scopes just to see if the problem is in the design or I got a bad one. Here’s what I
found:
The scope is a Yukon Gen 1 with a illuminated circle/dot reticle, 1.5x42mm NVRS. It has an IR illuminator that supposedly gives it a 350 yd. range. I found that when the scope is first turned on with the illuminator off the operation is normal. The resolution is poor…it was a challenge seeing a 4×6 foot target board 100 yards down range. I had an equally difficult time
finding my (black) horse in the pasture 50-60 yards out with fresh batteries. With the illuminator on targets were easier to spot and maintain.
Now the fun part: After the illuminator was switched off the IR source continued to produce an output albeit at a LOWER INTENSITY but VERY visible.
So, not sure what I was dealing with, I ran a test. While in a very dark closet the NVRS was switched on nv only and I donned a NVG to “see” what I
would find. Nothing. Okay. I then switched on the illuminator which functioned fine. I then switched off the illuminator and sure enough there was a healthy glow emanating from the IR diode. I waited quite a while and re-checked the IR just to be certain I was not seeing some persistence in the diode and/or circuit that drives the diode and it was still producing an
output. I shut off the NVRS and the IR glow was still present. If the batteries were removed from the NVRS and after the IR circuit discharged the NVRS and illuminator would function normally until the IR switch was again out in the “on” position.
I can assume that either the IR driver has a component leaking current to the diode, a very long time constant on a capacitor or the “problem” is in the design. Either way this is one accessory I would not want to have on me in a TEOTWAWKI situation. The green “power on” indicator LED is bad enough. It lights up the operator’s face as a beacon in the night!
So, as you can see – if the problem is in the design and not confined to the one that I had – I would rather the bad guys have the scope. I do tell those I trust, respect and would like to see remain at 98.6 degrees F. – Joe



Odds ‘n Sods:

Thad K. suggested this link on how to grow your own luffa sponges. His comment: “What a great survival plant, eat them when young, wash with them when they are mature!”

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The previously mentioned special promotion at Northern Tool & Equipment (one of our affiliate advertisers) ends tomorrow. (December 4th) Northern is offering sitewide Free Gift Cards with purchases over $100. You will need to enter keycode 94660 in order to receive their free gift card.

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I got a note from Freeze Dry Guy, with good news: They are extending their November 10% off sale on selected Mountain House freeze dried foods, to the end of December.See their web site under “Freeze Dried Foods By The Case.” The web page lists the standard prices, so you will have to CALL to get the special prices: (530) 265-8333. Please mention that you are SurvivalBlog reader. For example, Cooked Diced Beef, normally $273.18, is on sale for $245.86. There are similar discounts on Cooked Diced Chicken and Cooked Ground Beef (the latter is a new item not on price list, with 162 servings of 1/2 cup each per case ) They still pay shipping within the Continental U.S., even with these prices!



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"We have been the recipients of the choicest bounties of heaven; we have been preserved these many years in peace and prosperity; we have grown in numbers, wealth and power as no other nation has ever grown. But we have forgotten God. We have forgotten the gracious hand which preserved us in peace and multiplied and enriched and strengthened us, and we have vainly imagined, in the deceitfulness of our hearts, that all these blessings were produced by some superior wisdom and virtue of our own. Intoxicated with unbroken success, we have become too self-sufficient to feel the necessity of redeeming and preserving grace, too proud to pray to the God that made us." – Abraham Lincoln, Oct. 3, 1863



Special Note from JWR:

My much awaited non-fiction book, Rawles on Retreats and Relocation has just been released, in time to order for Christmas! It is available as a wire-o bound “print-on demand” book from CafePress – Click here for details Topics in the book include: Retreat Locales, Detailed State and Local Statistics, Weapons Laws, Climate Zones, Property Selection Criteria, Zoning and CC&Rs, Self-Sufficiency, Emerging Threats, Terrorist and WWIII Targets, Offshore Retreats, Privacy, Stocking Your Retreat, and Much More! 225 pages, fully indexed, with detailed maps and retreat locale analysis. Covers 19 western states. A considerable portion of the content in this book has never been posted on SurvivalBlog, including my heretofore “reserved for consulting clients only” recommendations on specific retreat areas in Idaho. $32.00. Click here for ordering details



Letter Re: Mapping Tools For Selecting Retreat Locales

Mr. Rawles,
I’ve been researching retreat areas and found a couple web site useful. National Geographic has a “MapMachine” program which allows for generating satellite, road, physical characteristics maps and, best of all, theme maps. The theme maps include weather, farming, vegetation, and population density. The MapMachine can be combined with [gardening] hardiness zone maps.

These may help others in their planning. Thanks, – John H.

 



Letter Re: Non-Nuclear Electro Magnetic Pulse Weapons

James:
One tidbit I recently learned less than a week ago: non-nuclear EMP bombs are actually easy and cheap to make Its a permanent magnet, a coil, an antenna, and a bomb to push the magnet past the coil. The enormous electrical energy is released through the antenna causes a powerful EMP to be released, depending on the size of the device used. These tend to be heavy so I doubt you’ll see big ones flying around but a truck or railcar sized bomb would be really potent, possibly covering a dozen mile radius. Shipping containers probably won’t work that well, as the metal walls would partially contain the energy. Keep in mind that the strength decreases with the distance, just like any radio signal. That’s your area of expertise. You’d probably be able to learn something about this for your readers and write up a quick report on the danger/effects. Its amazing to see how easy it is, though. A friend of mine in high tech told me: this is how First World countries will fight wars. Set these off in/over cities and take out the credit card [processing infrastructure], the cell phones, the computer networks and then sit back and watch them tear themselves apart. Best, – InyoKern



A Preliminary Analysis of the USDA’s NAIS User Guide of November 2006 by Mary Zanoni, Ph.D., J.D.

The following are preliminary points meant to contribute to the early and continuing discussion of this newly released (as of November 22, 2006) USDA document concerning the National Animal Identification System (NAIS). I plan to write further on some of the key issues related to the User Guide in the near future. At the close of the discussion is a list of suggestions for further action.

  1. The only real “difference” from this year’s prior Implementation Plan documents is the absence of stated dates for certain target levels of participation. The document still envisions making everyone comply with NAIS eventually. (See, e.g., User Guide, p. 5, “The goal is to establish a complete record of all locations, or premises, in the United States that manage or hold livestock and/or poultry.”) (Emphasis added.)
  2. Note that Rep. Collin Peterson (D. Minnesota, 7th Dist.), expected to chair the House Agriculture Committee in the next Congress beginning in January 2007, lately has been quoted as favoring a “mandatory” NAIS. (Presumably Rep. Peterson does not yet understand the harms NAIS will cause to small farmers and animal owners, and the unfair boon it will be to the multinational meat industry and tech industry. Let’s help him realize the true state of affairs by contacting his office and pointing out the harms of NAIS.) The USDA’s increased (but misleading) emphasis on “voluntary” may well be nothing more than an attempt to shift blame to Rep. Peterson and some of his fellow party members for a “mandatory” plan that the present administration’s USDA really hopes will be implemented.
  3. Note that the User Guide was released late in the day on Thanksgiving Eve. This is a typical tactic for actions that bureaucrats hope might escape too much notice. Further, unlike the release of the Implementation Plan of April 2006, the release of the User Guide was not accompanied by a well-publicized news conference by Secretary Johanns.
  4. The User Guide subtly reveals some new tactics the USDA is planning to employ for imposing “creeping mandatory” NAIS on animal owners who do not actually “volunteer.” Note the following passage from p. 8 of the Guide: “USDA believes participation in the main components of NAIS can occur as a result of standard business practices. For example, in order for producers to obtain official identification devices, they first need to register for a premises identification number. Accordingly, the success of the premises registration component would be achieved through the participation of producers in longstanding disease management programs and compliance with interstate movement regulations.” Translation of the above bureaucratic verbiage: If you want to buy, sell, or move animals in interstate transactions, or if you participate in a required (e.g., for many dairy producers) or voluntary disease program such as TB or brucellosis testing or calfhood vaccination, the USDA is going to force you to use NAIS Animal Identification Numbers (AINs) for these programs, and will also force you to get a premises ID as a prerequisite to getting the forced AINs.
  5. The USDA propaganda machine really went into high gear to produce the User Guide. The main propaganda objective is falsely to paint any NAIS non-participants as somehow “antisocial.” Of course, the real facts are that people opposed to NAIS base their opposition on their positive religious, spiritual, social, and ethical values, and they want to create a more just world for all. NAIS opponents want a local, human-scaled economy that supports true family farming, offers fair compensation for producing food and other basic needs, and discourages greed, excessive commercialism, and materialism. In contrast, the pushers of NAIS — originally multinational meat packers and tech corporations — are driven by greed for undeserved profit and power. In particular, the tech corporations will happily microchip your grandmother or your baby if they think they can make a buck doing it — these corporations absolutely do not care about the obviously negative spiritual, social, and political consequences of their behavior. The USDA User Guide attempts to turn these true values of things upside down. Consider the following statement from the Guide (p. 2): “There are a number of reasons for producers to participate in NAIS. One of the most important reasons is to better protect animal health. People who own or work with animals, or depend on them for income, understand how absolutely important this is — for themselves, their neighbors, and their surrounding communities.” Thus the USDA spinmeisters falsely paint NAIS opponents — who in reality are religiously and socially dedicated people sacrificing their own time and money to promote a better future for all people, all animals, all of creation and nature — the USDA falsely paints these dedicated people as somehow not sufficiently attentive to “neighbors” and “communities.” Curiously, the USDA never seems to have anything bad to say about the CAFOs and CAFO-dependent multinational meat packers who pollute our air and water, create dangerous resistant bacteria by overuse of antibiotics, squander immense amounts of fossil fuels to produce and transport their products, treat animals like fungible “units of production” to be kept in total confinement, pay displaced foreign workers substandard wages, and drive family farmers and small local entrepreneurs out of business.

Suggested Actions
The issuance of the User Guide should not change the planned actions of NAIS opponents; rather, the Guide’s misleading propaganda should inspire NAIS opponents to continue their socially responsible work.

  • Do not rely on expressing your opinions to NAIS Working Groups or other “insiders” such as extension agents or government animal-health workers. Instead, make your opposition to NAIS known where it counts — to your U.S. Congressman and U.S. Senator and to state senators and representatives.
  • Seek an end to all federal funding of NAIS. Good organizations to support in this regard are the National Independent Consumer and Farmer Advocates Fund (NICFA) and the Virginia Independent Consumers and Farmers Association (VICFA) — check them out at www.vicfa.net
  • .Work for state legislation to prohibit acceptance of USDA NAIS funds by state agriculture and animal health departments, and legislation prohibiting state involvement in premises ID/animal ID/animal tracking.
  • Demand animal products produced without participation in NAIS.
  • Avoid purchasing industrially-produced animal products and encourage others to boycott such foods.
  • Obviously, do not sign up for any “voluntary” aspects of NAIS. Avoid any actions that might trigger “forced voluntary” NAIS, such as need for interstate shipping permits or participation in “voluntary” government-sponsored animal-related programs.
  • Avoid attending any animal-related fairs or shows that require NAIS premises ID or animal ID. Instead, arrange your own animal-related events with trusted neighbors or friends.
  • Oppose any attempts by the USDA or state agriculture departments to obtain statutory exemptions from freedom-of-information laws for NAIS information. Remember, bureaucrats will be unable to implement NAIS if they cannot get FOIA exemptions for their databases.
  • Work to repeal the already-mandatory premises ID in Wisconsin and Indiana, and the soon-to-be-mandatory RFID tagging for cattle in Michigan. Help your friends and family from these states to relocate, if necessary.
  • Refuse to buy any land that has a premises ID or any animals that have NAIS animal identification numbers.

Copyright 2006 by Mary Zanoni. The following article may be distributed solely for personal and non-commercial use without prior permission from the author. Non-commercial distribution and posting to assist in disseminating information about NAIS is, in fact, encouraged, so long as proper credit is given and the article is reproduced without changes or deletions. Any other distribution or republication requires the author’s permission in writing and requests for such permission should be directed to the author at the address/phone/e-mail address below.

Mary Zanoni, Ph.D., J.D.
P.O. Box 501
Canton, NY 13617
315-386-3199