Retreat Owner Profile–Mr. & Mrs. Tico in Costa Rica

Present home : Farm in Northern Costa Rica
Ages : 54 & 57
Two sons 30 & 32, who are living in North Carolina.
Income $50,000 USD/year secure (many diverse overseas investments) and a tourism business currently at $120,000 or so per year ( I own a botanical garden) .
Additional income from fruit groves and tilapia ponds $15,000/year.

Profession : Gunsmith, nursery grower, waterscaper, fish farmer .

Vehicles : Two 1970s Toyota Land Cruiser BJ40’s with 2.4 diesel engines, kept in top-notch condition and a 2 cycle Ez-Go golf cart set up [with tires and suspension] for all terrain.

Firearms : 2 Mossberg Maverick 8 shot 12 gauge shotguns (best pump gun ever made, never saw many broken in my 30 years of repair work ), Stainless Ruger 10/22, Stainless .223 bolt action in a custom bullpup stock, 2 Security Six 357 4-inch Rugers.
Ammo. 2,500 of each caliber and have reloading equipment-supplies.

Fuel : 235 gallons of diesel and 55 gallons of premium (stabilized)

Water : Gravity fed springs and 18,000 gallons of storage tanks, year round river, roof water capture system, 25 foot deep well

Improvements : 4,800 square foot main house, all high efficiency lighting and appliances.
Full wood and metal working shop.
Canning room, meat grinders, corn grinders, shrink wrappers, dehydrator etc.
One bedroom cabin with full kitchen near the main gate.
Rancho (like a tiki hut) seats 30 with a huge concrete smoker / barbeque and baking oven.
Another cabin with views down to the river and pasture below.
These structures are located so armed men can take out anyone entering the farm with ease. Big Iron gate out front surrounded by Bougainvillea (thorny flowering shrub-vines.)

Property tax: $90/year (Sorry guys, you’re paying for imperialism)
Gardens: extensive. One of the largest collections of exotic fruit and vegetables anywhere.
Livestock. 1,000 lbs of Tilapia and 500 lbs of Pacu at any given time. Five Goats. (2 milk goats, 3 goats for slaughter), 15 chickens at all times and 4 egg laying hens. 6 rabbits (so far..LOL)
Cattle are not sustainable. Too big to store the meat and use way too much water and acreage per head. I have one good trail horse.
There’s plenty of wild game and fish here but no need in harvesting.We all have livestock and many folks have ponds
Dogs: 2 American bull dogs that will shred anything I tell them to.

Security : Various cameras and motion detectors throughout the property with an early warning to me before the sirens alert. Its a full perimeter system with indicators so I can know precisely where the target(s) are.It has full battery back up
Food storage: Maybe one year for us and the critters but not really necessary here.

Communication : Cell phones, full intercoms throughout the farm.

Hobbies : Taking care of my exotic plant collection and building everything I need.

Next project. We have good, strong year round wind here, so I am working with the boys from Southwest on setting up a Skystream 3.7 [grid-tied wind generator]. Once that is done I’m doing an underground walk in freezer.

Background : Grew up in semi-literate southwestern Virginia, escaped 25 years ago to semi-literate rural Miami. I got tired of the political lies and (designed) ignorance of the average American voter and bailed to a truly free country that has no Nazis running it or nuclear weapons pointed at it. This is the most mellow, real place I have ever experienced. It’s like Fiji without being so remote. I first came here in 1986 for an orchid show and I knew this was my escape spot.18 years later I sold everything I had, put my money in real currencies, and took off! A one way trip. Pura Vida! (pure life)

Side note : When living in any Latin American country the rules are [essentially] the same as up there [in the US]. Even Nicaragua, Honduras and Guatemala are no problem provided you find the right spot and immerse yourself into the culture.
Stay far, far away from large towns and beaches. Get in the mountains in a small farming community. Where I live there is very little poverty since everyone has a chunk of land and most are craftsman and farmers. There are many Costa Rican and South American medical professionals here and many are retired but own farmacias and even make house calls! My neighbor is a cardiovascular surgeon with a huge macadamia farm.

Another plus down here is there is no need for heat or air conditioning, and nearly all of the water systems are gravity fed. No need for electric!
Fish, chicken, rabbits ( small meals) and fruits and veggies. No refrigerator required.



Letter Re: Buying Just One Gun?

Mr. Rawles:
I’m a survivalist newbie. I’m thinking about purchasing a gun. I don’t know anything about guns, but I have had a negative opinion about them for a long time. But [now] I’m thinking I might need to get one. What would you recommend for a total novice who would prefer to not have to own more than one?

JWR Replies: Owning one gun is like owning one carpenter’s tool, and expecting it to handle all of your construction and repair needs. What single tool would you choose? A hammer, a pair of pliers, a saw, or a screwdriver? That may be oversimplifying, but I’m sure that you get my point.

I suppose that some could get by with two guns, namely: one shotgun (for both big game and bird hunting and self defense) and a .22 rimfire rifle (for small game hunting). But you’d still lack having a compact gun for concealment, and you’d also lack a long range rifle to defend yourself or hunt at long distance. (Shotguns don’t “reach” beyond about 80 yards, even with slug shells.)



Letter Re: Becoming a Food Warrior

James:
I appreciate your web site. It suits me right to the ground. I’d like to be an occasional contributor. Congratulations on your fastidious maintenance of this meaningful site. Just like farming isn’t it.

Guerrilla food shopping (part one)
I’m no conventional warrior, I couldn’t force myself to take a life, but I am a survivalist. Not to put too fine a point on this: I am a food warrior. As I write this, one of our battles is escalating food prices, isn’t it? What can we do as individuals to protect ourselves? Plenty! We aren’t hostages you know. Not yet.

I think we all agree that inflation has dug its claws into us. We know from experience that this ongoing dilemma never reverses itself. What was two dollars yesterday will be three dollars soon. Looking ahead to the prospects of mega-inflation of our commodities with flat-lined wages, lay-offs, firings as potential results; these trends will likely reduce our present life-style options. Let’s cover this in chapters beginning with our second greatest threat: the grocery store:

All other survival issues aside, our grocery dollar has been attacked and bloodied greatly. Before we can successfully protect our family food stream, we must understand just what’s happening. Many unrelated issues combine to make our food needs imperiled and, at this same time, our dollar’s buying power is shrinking. This is a War.

It might interest you to know that not that many years ago, food was the responsibility of the family. Here, in New England, families produced most of their needs at home. They only bought or traded for a few food basics: flour, salt, some grain products, spices, cocoa, molasses, baking soda, cream of tartar, some white sugar, extracts, salt-peter. This short list was purchased by the season, month, or year depending on how a family’s trading goods harvested or how other amounts of currency came to them.

The general store was small. It offered little choice in any of these necessary products. A bag of flour was just that: a fifty-weight of pure flour packed in a colorful sack, which would become a daughter’s new dress when empty. Sugar was weighed into the bags customers brought with them. How absurdly simple the shopping experience was. (At home the daily routine was infinitely more complicated.)
Packaging, advertising, transportation, handling and storage were minimal. Things arrived in large barrels and bags aboard a freight wagon and were handled by the family that owned the store. Licenses, inspections, salesmen callers, employees, FICA, Social Security withholdings, health insurance, 401(k)s and other issues to burden the grocer, hadn’t been invented then. The dollar was backed by a gold standard. Buyers could predict, within cents, what their future costs would be. They could plan their cash crops according to their anticipated needs. Everything made sense.
In a hundred years the entire American mentality has changed from near total family independence to near total dependence on industry, business, and government. Buddy, that is more scary than anything else happening in this country today. However, I don’t find it hard to understand why this gradual shift occurred considering the tough, committed life-style my grandmother lived.
Today, most of us aren’t equipped to produce all our products, so guerrilla shopping is our recourse.

The battlefield is our grocery store. Consider now the terrain: Blind row upon row of six-foot-tall gondolas crammed, presently, with so-called food. Our mission is to determine what foods have real value. Our trophy for winning this battle will be life-sustaining human fuel: real food.
In order to win this war we must know what is actually real food. The other stuff: decoys, useless, non-issue, and costly, empty-food-value-just-packaging. Today, most shoppers’ carts carry little or no food of substance. (Example: a can of chicken broth, presently $.89. is water, salt, a bullion cube and a glob of chicken fat. The can takes up valuable storage space where more important articles could go. Chicken broth is a simple by-product of cooking a chicken. How tough can that be?)
Going into this battle will require training, equipment, planning and the will to survive, so before we go on the attack we must ask ourselves important questions:
Am I willing to make the commitment to reduce my grocery bill, or will I continue to shake my head, complain and continue to support this fufu industry?
What part of my family’s needs can I or will I be able to produce?
What can I successfully introduce to my family?
What do I know about food values?
How much of what product do I need, to ensure that my family will be well-fed?
What can I afford to accumulate immediately, against continually rising prices.
How much space can I dedicate to this most important effort?
Where will my food reserves be in one year? Think through: Space, place, amounts.

Have you answered these questions? Good! Put on your “game-face” and let’s attack.
As you survey the landscape, you’ll see hundred-foot-long isle of cereals. Okay, we’ll begin with cereal. Consider that the decorator cereals cost more per-pound than meat! Why would you turn your hard-earned dollar into puffed oats that have been processed so many times that the food value, if ever there was, is gone?
As you warily survey this isle of worthless kid-incentives, several small items, concealed on high shelves, come to your eye. Farina: a solid hot cereal with good food-value. It requires cooking. Old-fashioned rolled oats: they are better than the dusty quick oats being that the heavy oats are the premium while the quick oats are what is left after the premium oats have been selected. Cream of Wheat, another solid cereal that can be used as hot cereal or cooked, formed, cooled, sliced and fried for an add-on to other meals. (Grits are a good choice too, but I’ve never acquired a taste for them.). Corn meal makes a fine cereal and can be as useful as the Cream of Wheat as an add-on fried. Add raisins and other dry fruits to any of these for an enticing, substantial meal. Recipes and cookbooks are available for any one of these cereals. You’ll be amazed at the versatility of just these four products.

Note: Cereal: flakes come in all kinds. The food-value is questionable. Pick a generic brand. If your family won’t settle for something different, camouflage these flakes in the family’s favorite-brand box. I’ve known children that wouldn’t eat anything that didn’t come in some kind of familiar package.)
Our trophies from the vast cereal isle: corn meal, old-fashioned oats, farina and Cream of Wheat will cook up to multiples of their dry weight. They all store reasonably well. Here are four cereals from the 100-foot row of decorator cereals, and these all have other uses besides breakfast. Do you see why it is important to review your grocery habits with a critical eye? With just these four cereals you’ve now wisely increased your inventory, increased your savings and greatly increased your per-pound-nutritional-food-values.
Every isle has its story. Every isle is designed for eye-appeal rather than solid nutritional choices. Marketers play on convenience, on price, on low-this and high-that, and popularity to move their product into your kitchen. Don’t buy into the marketing game. Chances are the best products are not at eye-level, do not have fancy boxes or gimmicks. The food containers that we are looking for will probably have dust on their tops.

If grocery food is our second biggest threat, then what is the first? : As a nation, we are so ill-equipped to handle today’s events. Few people can really cook, fewer can garden, and still fewer know even the basics of animal husbandry, farming, logging, wild-crafting all the wonders that I, as a child, took for granted. All these amazing things I learned, as a child, from my parents, and grandparents. These incredible people are gone forever, taking much of their knowledge and wisdom with them. Boy-oh-boy do we need them today!

I’m much older than most of you reading this. In the four decades since I reached adulthood, I’ve kept to the old ways, in spite of the ridicule I’ve endured from family and friends. Practicing and learning the old ways has given me much quiet joy, a feeling of accomplishment beyond measure, and a great appreciation for my ancestors who made do with very little while enjoying good, long happy lives. I’m sure they would say they wanted for nothing.

For a number of years now I’ve felt guilty about not being able to share my experience and knowledge. Each time I shared, my listeners wanted me to do their home-work for them. I wasn’t making a dent in the ignorance that would one day founder this nation.

Side note: Dozens of books are offered to make you an instant expert. These books are written by authors who read someone else’s book, digesting major points then spit them back with great color photos. No good. The knowledge you need isn’t available in a condensed “how-to” volume for $20 plus $3.99 shipping. In fact, these books can be dangerous. I once read a rather well-appointed field guide to wild edibles. It pictured a fern; they called it an edible fiddlehead. This furry fern was no more edible than the tires on your car. Please beware of these knock-offs in fancy formats.
Well, here we are in rocky times with a future in the fog. Now, finally, folks are showing some interest in becoming independent. Reminds me of college days when if it weren’t for the eleventh hour rule, little would have ever been done. Unlike academics, this isn’t about passing mid-terms. This is about survival of the human race. Does this frighten you at all? It should. The learning curve to self-sufficiency is great with many backward steps. And we are, indeed, into the eleventh hour.



Odds ‘n Sods:

Matthew R. found a link to a great video that has brief interviews with some cave dwellers in Idaho.

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The newspaper headlines are sounding like something out of my novel. Randy F. sent us this: Panic engulfs global stock markets. And then Cheryl (our Economic Editor) sent us this mountain of news and commentary: Investors Expect Market Volatility As Global Credit Woes PersistAnalysis: More Banks To Fail Next Year Despite BailoutEuro Crisis Deepens: Officials Vow To Save BanksEuro Unity Collapses: Every Country For Itself$700 Billion Printing Of Bailout Monopoly Money: Hedge Your WealthCredit Chaos Next? The Mother Of All Bank RunsFear Grips Stock Markets As Economies Tip Into RecessionAsia Stocks, US Futures Drop As Europe Forced To Help BanksYen Unbeatable As Credit Seizure Kills Carry TradePanicked Global Markets Reel; Dow Slumps Below 10,000 (“There is all-out panic,” said ING senior strategist Adrian van Tiggelen.”) — Veteran Wall Street Adviser Gives Advice For Surviving CrisisFed Sees States, Companies As Next Crisis PointsHank Paulson Has One Month Left To Get Banks Lending AgainLondon Plunges As Banks Pump Billions Into MarketsEuro And Pound Dive As Banks FalterIceland Sinking As Bank Rescues Evaporate (Trading in Icelandic Banks Halted) — Savers Frozen Out As IceSave Website CollapsesAsian, Euro Markets Dive On Fears Crisis Is SpreadingPrices Of 16 Basic Food Items Rocket In 3QBolling: Nowhere To Run (” …now is not the time to take chances.) — Tent Cities Rising Up Across America‘Hoarding’ Is Out (The Mogambo Guru) — Settlement Day Approaches For DerivativesOvernight Commercial Paper Rates Advance As Bailouts Spread GloballyFed Doubles Cash Sales To $900bn, Plans More Steps To Unlock MarketDeflation Threats Mount As Commodities Tumble By Most In Half-CenturyBush Predicts Restoring Confidence Will ‘Take A While‘ — Bailout Bill Will Do Nothing For The Real EconomyStock Market Investing Safety Over 5yr and 10yr? “) Meanwhile, in addition to the congressionally-funded TARP bailout, the Fed is pumping liquidity like there is no tomorrow, promising $900 billion in TAF lending: U.S. urges global action on credit crisis. And even the perennial bulls are sounding bearish: Jim Cramer: Time to get out of the stock market. Cramer has also declared this a worldwide crash. Lastly, it is quite indicative that spot gold jumped $35+ per ounce. That in itself is not too unusual, but this is happened at the same time that other commodities were dropping, and while the US dollar was gaining against the Euro and British Pound. Here, we can see that gold truly is the island of safety in the economic maelstrom.

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As of October 1st, journalist Glenn Beck reported brisk sales of guns and home gun vaults in the US. Given the recent economic news, I wouldn’t doubt it. Speaking of Glenn Beck, reader F.A.J. said that we should take a look at Beck’s analysis of what caused the liquidity crisis, in a letter to his family members: What happened?

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Frequent contributor Michael Z. Williamson sent us the link to this newspaper article from Atlanta, Georgia: Many stories surround gas shortage. Human nature, in action

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Cheryl also sen us this one, on Monday evening: Germany takes hot seat as Europe falls into the abyss It begins with this ominous tone: “We face extreme danger. Unless there is immediate intervention on every front by all the major powers acting in concert, we risk a disintegration of global finance within days. Nobody will be spared, unless they own gold bars.”



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“Keynes explicitly classified the two components in the money supply as ‘industrial circulation’ versus ‘financial circulation.’ The distinction is important; it is like the difference between a woman and a female impersonator. They may be alike in almost every respect, except the essential ones.” – Bill Bonner



Notes from JWR:

I’m pleased to announce that starting today a special “Pre-Election” sale price is now being offered on the “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course. It is being sold at 33% off the normal retail price! Sale pricing on the course is a rare occasion, so be sure to take advantage of it. This sale ends at midnight on Tuesday, November 4th (Election Day, in the U.S.)

Today we present the first entry for Round 19 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The contest prizes include:

First Prize: The writer of the best contributed article in the next 60 days will be awarded two transferable Front Sight  “Gray” Four Day Training Course Certificates. This is an up to $4,000 value!
Second Prize: A three day course certificate from OnPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses.
Third Prize: A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing

Round 19 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entries–either for this round or for the next. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival will have an advantage in the judging.



Sustainable Food Preservation, by Jen W.

A number of preparedness books and web sites talk about preserved food as part of an emergency food storage plan. There can be immense satisfaction in seeing the rows and rows of gleaming canning jars, full of autumn’s bounty. I’ve done it for years, and thoroughly enjoyed the fruits of my kitchen labor. But what happens when Mason jar lids (which are supposed to be used only once in canning) are no longer readily available? Unless you have the more expensive European canning jars, with the reusable rubber gasket, you may be out of luck. Or when you can’t spare the water, electricity, or fuel to keep that water bath simmering for hours and hours (and you don’t have a pressure canner or steam canner)? And while those #10 cans might be handy for the first year of an emergency, freeze-drying requires a background of high technology.

Then it’s time to turn to older methods of preserving food. Or you can use these methods right along with canning to make things even easier (and use the same jars). Old preserving methods fall into the following general categories: salt, vinegar, fat/oil, sugar, alcohol, dehydration, fermentation, and culturing.

Cover goat cheese rounds in a jar with oil, or feta with brine and you’ve got cheese that will not need refrigeration. Some methods blend well with each other, like making brine for cucumbers which then ferment right in the jar. Six weeks later, dill pickles! Or combine sugar and alcohol to preserve chopped fruit, for a great sauce on cakes or ice cream.
Salt – use dry on vegetables in layers, or a brine on chopped or shredded vegetables to make pickles
Vinegar – an alternate method for pickles; also good for herbs and some fruits (sweet & sour)
Fats/oil – cover thick sauces like pesto or tomato with a thin layer to prevent mold; also, marinate fresh and dried vegetables, cheeses, and herbs
Sugar/honey – the most popular preservative; fruit butters and pastes don’t need canning to stay fresh
Alcohol – make wines to capture herb and fruit flavors; cover fruit with sugar and brandy
Dehydration – dry herbs, fruits, vegetables (including leafy greens like chard and kale which can add some super nutrition to eggs, soups, stews, breads, etc.), meats, and some cheeses at temperatures at or less than 120 Degrees F. for greatest nutritional benefit
Fermentation – ferment whole, chopped, or shredded vegetables; juices and fruits
Culturing – add some easily-found bacteria to make your own kombucha, miso, soy sauce, tempeh, natto, kefir, yogurt, buttermilk, sour cream, and most cheeses
Add to this list the concepts of root cellaring, when you store fruits and vegetables in a cool place in your own home or garden instead of in a commercial cold room with carbon dioxide; foraging for wild greens, fruits, and various herbs; and four season gardening, when you keep growing those healthy greens and root vegetables over the winter. Then you’ve got ways to keep your family fed through the winter and spring (or some tough times), without having to trust that the stores will stay fully stocked.

Of course, some of these ideas require a little time and patience before you can reap the rewards. It’s helpful to believe that not everything has to be boiled within an inch of its life or refrigerated every moment to be safe to eat (of course, you should use your best judgment on when food is safe and ‘throw it out when in doubt’). Maybe you’ll even stretch your culinary horizons, as you discover what fabulous dishes and combinations can be made from your preserved foods. It’s probable that you and your household will be eating better than you ever have before.
Here are half a dozen items in my pantry right now, sitting on the shelf without any refrigeration whatsoever:
Rewaxed cheese – you can buy a regular block of cheese from the store, dip it in a really strong brine (salt and water), and let it sit out for a day or two until it develops a rind. Then dip it in melted wax several times (letting the wax harden between coats), and your cheese can be stored in a cool area for several years. It will get harder and sharper as time goes on, but that’s okay with me as long as I don’t have to do without cheese.
Canned butter – melt butter and simmer gently for five minutes. Then pour into glass Mason jars (one pound will fill slightly more than a pint) and cover with a regular lid and ring. As the butter cools, it will create a seal on the lid. Shake the butter every few minutes as it cools, to create a smoother blend. Ghee is another butter product that will keep on a shelf (you remove the milk solids after simmering longer).
Jerky – cut relatively lean meat into 1” cubes, then marinate overnight in regular soy sauce and a sprinkling of black pepper (or any other sufficiently salty marinade). Dehydrate at 120oF until the desired texture is reached (less dry for snacks, more dry for long-term storage). Jerky can be rehydrated in soups, stews, and creamed chipped beef on toast (among other things).
Pemmican – dry thin slices of lean beef until brittle; shred in a food processor, blender, or mortar; then mix in equal proportions with liquid rendered suet. Add some dried berries for extra vitamin C. Let cool and cut into bars. Can be eaten as is for an excellent travel ration (a favorite of early Arctic travelers), or used in soups and stews.
Sauerkraut – shred one cabbage and mix with 1 tbsp salt (caraway seeds optional). Pack it tightly in a quart jar until the cabbage juice covers the cabbage. Cover loosely for 3-4 days until the fermentation slows down. Then tighten the lid and store for a month before eating. This works with all kinds of shredded vegetables.
Pickles – put a couple of garlic cloves and some fresh/dried dill in a quart jar, add some small cucumbers, and cover with a brine (about 2 tbsp per quart of water). Cover loosely for 3-4 days until the fermentation slows down. Then tighten the lid and store for six weeks before eating. This works with carrot sticks, asparagus, and all kinds of other vegetables.
Vegetable Stock – chop or grind together 1 lb. each of leeks, tomatoes, onions, turnips, parsley, and salt. You can also add carrots, celery, chard, chervil, and other herbs and vegetables as desired (just keep the proportion of salt the same).Let it stand overnight in a bowl, then remix and store in jars. Store in a cool place and it will last for up to three years. Use for a base in soups, sauces, stock, stir-fries, etc.
This is just the start; there are so many options for preserving food without canning or freezing that one book would be hard-pressed to cover them all. Personally, I haven’t really even explored all the ways to preserve meat, like curing, smoking, and potting (covering with fat). Anyway, here are a few books to get you started:

Keeping Food Fresh: Old World Techniques and Recipes (The Gardeners and Farmers of Terre Vivante, Chelsea Green)
Dry It! You’ll Like It (Gen MacManiman, Living Foods Dehydrators)
Wild Fermentation (Sandor Katz, Chelsea Green)
Nourishing Traditions: The Cookbook that Challenges Politically Correct Nutrition and the Diet Dictocrats
(Sally Fallon, New Trends Publishing)
Jerky (A.D. Livingston, The Lyons Press)



Letter Re: The Afghan Walled Courtyard Design for Retreat Architecture

James,
My daily internet traipsing brought me across a photoset of Afghan walled compounds.

It seems that the basic unit of Afghan country life is the extended family, all of whom live within a 12 foot walled compound. Since Afghanistan has lacked real sovereignty for centuries, this seems to be the logical endpoint of the evolution of retreat/farms. Note that they are not unlike the early spanish missions in the American Southwest. – Isaac R.



Letter Re: In a Tight Spot with Long Distance Travel Plans

Jim,
Thanks again for all you do. I am in a tight spot and need some good advice. I have to travel to the Washington, DC area this weekend for a two week class at a Federal facility. I have tried (unsuccessfully) to cancel my plans. This will put me thousands of miles from home and family during times of mounting crisis. Due to the areas draconian gun laws, and the classes location I will be unable to travel with a firearm. I have some loose family in the New York City area, but no other regional contacts. I plan on bringing my Surefire light, a small “last ditch” kit, folding knife, and an ASP [collapsing baton] in my checked luggage. I have been re-reading “Patriots” and archived SurvivalBlog posts about air travel contingencies. I have a little emergency cash, silver bullion, and junk silver, plus the usual credit cards. Two of my friends will keep an eye on my house and family in my absence. She is armed and trained (Front Sight First Family) but is somewhat in denial about our current state of affairs. She and I have a bug-out plan in place. Any further advice you could offer to me or other travelers who face the possibility of Schumer Hitting the Fan while absent from family, friends, and equipment would be greatly appreciated. OBTW, look for my 10 Cent Challenge renewal, directly. – Jason in Montana .

JWR Replies: That was bad timing, indeed. But take heart in the fact that this is starting to looking like a slow slide, rather than a sudden onset catastrophe. (A “whimper, not a bang.”) So don’t worry too much. But pack some comfortable low-top boots, a heavy winter coat, a pile cap, and gloves just in case you end up hitchhiking or taking a bus home.



Odds ‘n Sods:

I’ve recently had a lot of inquiries via e-mail, asking about bank runs, and the possibility of a national “bank holiday”. For many months I have warned that both are possible. Even mainstream news outlets like Forbes magazine are discussing it. But keep in mind that with the growing prevalence of online banking, your bank could get cleaned out by depositors without a queue of people forming in front of the bank. People can empty there accounts while sitting at the their home PCs, with fuzzy slippers on their feet. This is an invisible bank run. It is essentially what happened to Washington Mutual (WaMu). In their case, it was mainly big institutional depositors that had more than $100,000 in their accounts. Be sure to check your bank or S&L’s safety rating at least once a week. If it drops below a “C” rating, then transfer your funds to a safer bank, ASAP. And, needless to say, never keep more than the FDIC limit in any one institution.

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Reader “Redclay” mentioned that in April 2008 as ammo prices were spiking, the US CMP began limiting the amount of ammunition that one customer could purchase, but those limits have just been abolished. Current offerings can be found at the CMP web site. In my opinion, the US Lake City Arsenal noncorrosive .30-06 ball ammo is a bargain, in today’s market. Stock up.

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“Bee prepared” sent us this article that describes a synergy of bailouts, Peak Oil, and hyperinflation: Hunger for oil could mean hunger for real? The same day, Katya kindly sent us a slew of global economic news: Germany acts to guarantee savingsBrussels moves to salvage FortisIceland’s financial freezeTimeline: Global credit crunchZimbabwe Currency Crisis Peaks (11 Million Percent Inflation Annually!) — Prudence pays off in Ethiopia — and French save money for a rainy day. Meanwhile, Jack B. sent this from The Jerusalem Post: Stocks plunge during hard day of trading at Tel Aviv Exchange. And for a double dose of gloom and doom, Cheryl sent us these: Key German Bank RescuedCredit Crisis Threatens To Send Car Dealerships Out Of BusinessNow Wall Street May Refuse The BailoutLIBOR Gone Crazy As Commercial Paper Implodes

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F.T. in Tucson wrote me to ask why I’m so “worked up” about hedge funds? He mentioned that he has no money invested in hedge funds, so it is “not a big deal” to him. Well, it should be. There is now more than $3 trillion USD invested in hedge funds. Most of that is not Federally insured. There is the potential for huge losses and investment market turmoil, in the event that hedge funds begin to suspend redemptions and then fail in large numbers. Never underestimate the power of a herd of investors to panic and start a stampede for the exits. A hedge fund collapse could easily trigger a stock market collapse, a banking collapse, a money market collapse, a commercial real estate collapse, municipal bond collapse, and conceivably even a collapse in the US Dollar as a currency unit. But even just in the short term, consider what is covered in this Financial Week article: Hedge funds wilt in credit drought–Investor redemptions could cull herd of hedgies; 700 to 1,000 funds may disappear by year-end.

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Michael H. mentioned an uncharacteristic piece by a mainstream commentator Bill Engdahl: Financial Tsunami: The End of the World as we Knew it.



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"When all is said and done, Civilizations do not fall because of the barbarians at the gates. Nor does a great city fall from the death wish of bored and morally bankrupt stewards presumably sworn to its defense. Civilizations fall only because each citizen of the city comes to accept that nothing can be done to rally and rebuild broken walls; that ground lost may never be recovered; and that greatness lived in our grandparents but not our grandchildren. Yes, our betters tell us these things daily. But that doesn’t mean we have to believe it.- Bill Whittle



Notes from JWR:

The high bid in the SurvivalBlog Benefit Auction is now at $770. The auction for a large mixed lot that includes: A Special Mixed Vegetable Case-Six #10 Dehydrated Food Cans (Retail Price $105.95) This special Mixed Vegetable Case contains six #10 (96-ounce) cans–one can of each of the following: Mixed Vegetable Blend, Green Beans, Sweet Garden Peas, Mixed Peppers, Potato Dices, and Sweet Potatoes and a EZ-Towels 10 Pack Combo (10 bags of 50 towels. Retail value: $99.95). These items were donated by Jan at Healthy Harvest Foods. An assortment of world class loose leaf teas, and a box of Bellagio hot chocolate (25 individual packs), with a combined value of approximately $100. These items were courtesy of Charlie at CMEBrew.com. A NukAlert radiation detector (a $160 value), donated by at KI4U.com. And, a Katadyn VARIO water filter, donated by Ready Made Resources. (An $89 retail value.) The auction ends on Monday October 15, 2008. Please e-mail us your bid.

Today’s first article comes from SurvivalBlog’s correspondent in Argentina, who posts under the pen-name FerFAL:



From Our Correspondent in Argentina: What to Expect

SurvivalBlog’s correspondent in Argentina received the following e-mail:

FerFAL:
I greatly value your experience in Argentina. Since you have traveled in the U.S., I would like to know what you think will be the impact of our relative lack of corruption, at least at local levels, to what we may face in our coming economic crisis. Perhaps a separate post on the subject, if you have time?

Here was his reply:

This is where things get more into the “guesstimating” territory.
Nothing is for sure and all we have is certain situations being more probable than others.

Inflation
That is already occurring and will likely get worse. Not only in actual prices going up, but in more “hidden” ways, such as servings and packs getting suspiciously smaller but keeping their old price, which will later rise even more.
Here for example, small pudding chocolate desert cups, called Danet and made by Nestle, are surprisingly small, something that you empty in 4 or 5 teaspoons.
But the advertisement on TV, says something like “The perfect size to keep your figure!”
These marketing guys aren’t exactly rocket scientists.:)
You can imagine our surprise when we traveled to Spain and found the exact same chocolate desert/snack cup, Danet by Nestle, but with a cup nearly 4 times bigger!
Inflation at first just pisses you off. But as it gets out of control it turns into a serious problem: Suddenly you find that you already ran out of money a few days or a week before the end of the month.
That’s when you see that due to inflation, you can’t keep on going like this you need to reduce expenses.
But what happens when you reduce them as much as you can, inflation is still going up and your salary just doesn’t compensate.
That’s what I mean when I said you should already start looking for new ways of making money.

Security
That’s probably our greatest problem and eventually crime will get worse in USA because of all this as well.
Here’s were the differences may come into play: America’s police isn’t nearly as corrupt as the police in Argentina, so that will work for your advantage.
But on the other hand, you guys have a more diverse population, which we don’t, and that may contribute to more social disorder.
Anyway, as mentioned in several posts, be prepared to take care of your own security. Safety habits are very important and it’s not goof enough that you are reading this, your entire family must be along with you in the same boat on this matter.
What’s the use in being Mr. Tactical killing machine when your 16 year old daughter doesn’t listen and will spend nearly an hour talking with her boyfriend at the front door–the door opened door for anyone that wants to force their way in.
Also if you are Mr. Tactical bad a**, chances are they won’t go after you, but after the weakest link of the chain ( your kids and wife)

Stress
As mentioned before, expect a lot of emotional problems from people. Suicides may become more common, at least that’s what happened here as well. It got to point were we had 2 or 3 guys killing themselves under the train each week. Total chaos to get to downtown.
I don’t know man, things just change a lot.
For example, I was telling the guys at Minionreport the other day.
We were talking with my son the other day and we talked about what he wants to be when he grows up. He’s six years old.
Doctor, soldier, fireman, astronaut, those were okay according to him, all those except policeman.
“Why not policeman” we asked puzzled.
“Because they get killed a lot, everyday a policeman dies on the news, a policeman got shot today, a policeman was killed today. No no policeman”
My wife ad I didn’t know what to say. I mean, it is true, we just didn’t expect him to notice. And children do notice even if grownups hope they don’t.All the small things
Impossible to mention them all, but one thing you can expect in a country that has little money to spend due to the crisis, is for services and infrastructure to suffer.
Expect power going down more often due to lack of maintenance. Store several LED lights and install emergency lights. A generator will be needed, also see about installing electric protections against high voltage surges when power comes back up.
Expect water to become of worse quality, get a filter even if you have supposedly potable tap water. One day it may not be that potable any more.
Roads are something that go bad surprisingly fast. Expect them to rot because of little maintenance due to lack of funds, specially after heavy rains.
Within a year or so, you may start seeing holes on the road, some of them real craters, and busting a tire in one of them is no joke.
I already spent a small fortune fixing everything that goes wrong in my car due to the poor conditions of the streets here.
What else? We’ll just have to wait and see. – FerFAL



Sometimes We Actually Get Through to Our Family Members

Jim –
I got this letter from my little sister:

“I used to think that you were so off the wall on your beliefs and how this country was falling apart. I would make little jokes because I had no idea what you had seen or done while you were in the military, but you thought that this world was coming to an end. Well, I am no longer laughing at you and it goes to show to not always think that because someone else’s ideas or a little extreme that they are crazy because they might turn out to be right. With having to research things for class and hearing people talk and seeing what I see on the TV, I realize that this country is in bad shape. I won’t even be able to go to Ireland like I planned to do in two years because our dollar will be worthless. So, one point for Dan, and zero points for me.”

She is pretty young, so this is a very significant leaving the ranks of the sheeple. Sad that “I am right”, but now I can help her to become self-reliant. It is good to get to start an new apprentice! – Dan B.



Odds ‘n Sods:

RL sent us this hard-hitting piece: The “Mark To Model” Lie

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Just as I predicted, things are looking grim for the hedge funds: Market chaos batters hedge-fund star. By borrowing short and lending long, they are at huge risk when credit markets fluctuate widely. And in a time of financial crisis like this, where liquidity has dried up almost completely, the hedgers will likely fail in large numbers. (A hat tip to Cyberiot for sending the article link.)

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Eric sent us this from the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review: Demand on pantries grows as food costs rise, jobs lost –

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More links from our Economic Editor, starting with a headline that I’ve been expecting: Bailout May Actually Run $1.8 TrillionWells Fargo’s Wachovia Bid Sparks Feud With CitigroupIt’s Wait And See After Bush Signs Bailout BillFor Bailout To Work, Housing Market Needs To MendFortis’ Dutch Assets NationalizedAsset Management Teams To Manage BailoutManipulation of Gold And Commodity Prices To Prevent Inflation And Higher Interest RatesAnatomy Of Financial And Economic Disaster, Part 1LIBOR Mystifies Americans as Mayor Reads `Doomsday’Special Report: The Credit Crisis: How We Got Here (A compilation of news stories starting in 2007 regarding the financial crisis) — CitiGroup Shares Fall 18% As Deal With Wachovia UnravelsJobs Data Show Broad DeclineSafe Harbor In Preferred Stocks?The Trouble With Harry (“The steep drop in the share prices of insurance companies Thursday destroyed wealth for uncounted middle-class investors holding onto stock in companies still considered healthy.”)

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I was recently interviewed by Kari Huus, a journalist with MSNBC. She is also interested in interviewing one or two SurvivalBlog readers in the Pacific Northwest, and taking some photographs –mostly of a family’s survival logistics shelves. She notes: “I will respect confidentiality. I worked for many years in China, where lots of reporting involved extreme discretion, and I never broke the rules or
got anyone in trouble there so I have a good track record with this.” She added: “Who knows? Maybe it would help other people get prepared for emergencies–economic or otherwise.” Contact: Kari Huus
Phone: (daytime) 425-706-1844, or e-mail: Kari.Huus@msnbc.com