Economics and Investing:

HPD mentioned a piece in Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis: Bartering Services to Combat the Recession

David V. sent this: Social Security Bomb About To Explode

Items from The Economatrix:

Economic Crisis: No End In Sight; Worse Than The Great Depression. “Today five US banks according to data in the just-released Federal Office of Comptroller of the Currency’s Quarterly Report on Bank Trading and Derivatives Activity, hold 96% of all US bank derivatives positions in terms of nominal values, and an eye-popping 81% of the total net credit risk exposure in event of default.” (JPMorganChase, BofA, Citibank, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, Wells Fargo/Wachovia, which really makes Wells Fargo’s “profit” highly suspicious.)

A Tale of Two Depressions

Top Five Financially Happy States.

America’s 20+% Unemployment Rate

Geithner, Paulson Named in $200 Billion Lawsuit. The class action lawsuit filed in Federal court in Los Angeles is a “wide reaching” claim that will do what Congress cannot…”

Positive Signs Stir Hopes Crisis is Bottoming Out
“Government examinations of the finances of the nation’s largest banks – the so-called stress tests – are finding the weakened banking system in better shape than expected…” Playing on a well-known saying, you can’t just be a “little bit bankrupt.” You are or you aren’t.

New Jersey Bank to Return Bailout, Sixth One to Do So

Job Cuts Needed to Stop New York City Bankruptcy

1st Time Jobless Overwhelm Job Center

Federal Budget Deficit Sets March Record, $192.3 Billion (Significantly higher than the $150 Billion that economists expected)

76% Say Let Carmakers Fail



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

Joshua S. found a link on the “Kyoto Box” stove.

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From Cheryl: New Food Crisis Looms

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I found a good piece on edible and useful Cattail plants.

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Beginning at Sunrise, Easter morning, the folks at Everlasting Seeds are offering a 20% discount on all products except the Medicinal Garden, just for SurvivalBlog readers. You’ll have to use this link to get the Special price. The sale ends at sundown on Saturday, April 18th



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

And when I think, that God, His Son not sparing;
Sent Him to die, I scarce can take it in;
That on the Cross, my burden gladly bearing,
He bled and died to take away my sin.

When Christ shall come, with shout of acclamation,
And take me home, what joy shall fill my heart.
Then I shall bow, in humble adoration,
And then proclaim: "My God, how great Thou art!"

– Excerpt from the Hymn How Great Thou Art, based on the poem O Store Gud, written by Carl Gustav Boberg, in 1885. Translated from the Swedish by Stuart K. Hine.



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 22 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The contest prizes include:

First Prize: Two transferable Front Sight  “Gray” Four Day Training Course Certificates. This is an up to $4,000 value!
Second Prize: A three day course certificate from OnPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses.
Third Prize: A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing

Round 22 ends on May 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Good Fences Make Good Neighbors: Reinforcing Your Retreat for Long Term Survival on the Cheap, by Q.T.

We’ve all heard that particular proverb. For those of us reading this venue, we all have a specific mindset that probably keeps that at the forefront of our minds. We have our space. We have our preps. We have spent time and effort placing a lot of emphasis on keeping ourselves one step ahead. So how do we keep out everyone else?. Better yet… how do we keep prying eyes out? Still best, how do we create our sanctuary without drawing any attention to ourselves whatsoever?

We can build a fence, but a fence can be cut. Fences cost money. …Money that perhaps we would like to spend on other things. We could conceivably dig a moat, but if our land isn’t flat (let’s face it, it’s probably not). A moat also isn’t much of a deterrent unless it’s filled with something particularly unsavory, like crocodiles or piranhas. Furthermore, a moat is going to take a lot of effort, probably employing heavy equipment, and again, costing a great deal of money.

What we really need is something that serves as a hardy physical and psychological barrier, screens what is behind it, costs very little, and mostly takes care of itself. Maybe it could even get more robust as time goes on… Impossible, you say? Perhaps not.

In Europe, one long standing tradition of creating a fence against neighboring property is to plant a hedge. Now before you scoff, push out of your mind the juniper bushes freshly trimmed at waist height. What you want is something a bit more robust. Something wooly and wild and impenetrable…

A customary European hedge is initially a row of one particular type of woody shrub or tree planted about 1-2 feet apart. Once the tree reaches approximately 10 feet in height, an axe or hatchet is used to notch the tree at the base so that it can be bent over, and it is laid over at about a 35 degree angle from horizontal. When the entire row is done this way, the branches are woven and tangled together to form a rough and difficult to penetrate screen. As time passes, new vegetation grows up through the toppled trees and adds height to the hedge, further screening from the neighbors. This was primarily designed to contain livestock.

What we need is a system to keep out a much more ingenious invader than neighboring livestock. We want something that will stop anything short of a bulldozer or perhaps a tank. And best of all, if it’s all the same, we want something that looks nondescript and uninteresting to the passerby. If the hungry refugee has nothing to stop and look at, he likely will keep on going. The roving gang isn’t even going to slow down if they see nothing of interest. So what we need is something much more robust than the European hedge.

European hedges are often grown from the local native shrubs and trees. Locally, here in the midwest US we have several tree species that would work especially well for this type of application. Your local flora may differ a great deal where you are. My particular favorites for my location are the honey-locust, Osage orange (notably named the “hedge tree”, locally), and western red cedar. All three of these are known throughout the region as a pest. They are all fairly prolific and fast growing. The best bet is to look around and see what grows where you don’t want it to. Those will grow into the most robust living fence you can imagine.

I have not made these three tree choices lightly. These trees are chosen because of their quick growth ability, resistance to insects and blights, and ability to interplant very closely with other trees. Hardwoods such as Oak, hickory, and especially walnut, tend to crowd out other trees with chemicals secreted by their roots. However, you can interplant fruits such as mulberry, apples and pears among the locusts, Osage, and cedars.

Now, plant your trees spacing them out in a row approximately 12 to 18 inches apart. Water them. Fertilize them if necessary. Let them grow to about 5 feet in height (tree tubes may help them achieve this height but are by no means necessary). Make sure that all trees are trimmed of most side branches and splits split trunks are pruned to one side or another. This makes the final arrangement easier.

Once the trees have reached the appropriate height ( I said 5 feet, but this is not necessarily the case) you will need to notch the trunks approximately 3 inches above ground level. To notch the trunk, you should take a sturdy knife and carve approximately 2/3 of the trunk out. Alternate which side of the tree you notch, as you will be weaving the trunks together.

Once you have notched your trees, beginning with one pair, lay your trees over to about 30-to-45 degrees crossing in the middle. Go to the next set, doing the same, making sure that you achieve a true weave (in front of one, behind the next, etc). Once done, make sure that where the trees cross the second row is done in the same manner. What you end up with should look a little something like a chain link fence.

Next you need to wait for the tree to grow some more, and repeat the process as it gets taller. Since trees don’t grow at angles, it’s likely that either your initial stem will grow straight up, or perhaps a side branch will take the initiative to take off. But either way, you will be trimming from a ladder and weaving in the same way.

Obviously, one should grow other things outside the wall. Poison ivy, stinging nettles, thick brambles and rose bushes all serve as a primary deterrent long before anyone actually comes to the hedge. Making it look natural helps all that much better. Eventually your hedge will bush out and look less like a giant lattice and more like an impenetrable wall of vegetation.

Like anything, this process can be as big or as small as you want it to be, and it’s all about how much you put into it. I envision two hedges side by side about ten feet tall. The inner hedge mostly fruit trees and honey locust, while the outer hedge is made up primarily of cedar and Osage orange. Between the two is a wall made up of old tires with one sidewall cut out, filled with sand. The tire wall is about 5 feet tall and serves as a bullet stop for stray small arms fire. Above the tire wall the two hedges have been intertwined to hold it all together. The occasional observation post (OP) has been fashioned into the design and only accessible from the private side (inside) of the wall.

With a setup like this and an alleyway to a locked gate, access could be controlled in such a way that the vagrant who wandered in would automatically be covered and unable to escape. In the same respect, anyone who attempted to raid a place reinforced in such a way, would encounter a lot more resistance than they would want to, if in fact they even knew it existed.

Obviously this process takes time. Lots of time. And that is its primary downfall. Time may be something we all lack in these uncertain and trying times. It also takes a lot of work. Hard work. Expect to have scars. Consider that as better than the alternative.

For those of us who may have that place in the woods, and are just biding our time, this might be a thing worth doing, even if just for facing a public road. If one life is saved because of this information, then it has all been worth it. Good luck and God bless to all of you.



Letter Re: How to Spot a Front Sight Graduate

Jim,
I get e-mails from Front Sight students all the time reporting to me how they often draw a crowd at shooting ranges as people marvel at their marksmanship, speed, and gun handling. The question they are always asked is,
“Where did you learn how to shoot like that?” Of course they respond with “Front Sight!”
Well here is a twist on that experience from someone who recently e-mailed me:

Dr. Piazza,
I just wanted to send you this e-mail and let you know
about an experience I had several months ago.
I work part time at a shooting range in Wheat Ridge, Colorado and my sister hosts Ladies’ Night there.
I was invited as a guest speaker teaching the ladies how to clear rooms in a structure with a weapon and a light.
During a break, one of the ladies went into the range to shoot her handgun. I was walking by and glanced in the window and noticed her well placed shots… two to the thoracic cavity and one to the ocular cavity.
Immediately after her shots I saw her blonde pony tail swing from side to side, demonstrating an obvious
trademark of fine training… She was doing an After Action Drill.
I put on some “ears and eyes” and went into the range to observe her flawless techniques.
When she was done she turned and saw me watching her and smiled.
I said, “You’ve been to Front Sight, haven’t you?”
She replied, “Yes. How did you know?”
I told her I could tell from the professional techniques she was using.
She started talking to me about how proud of herself she was and her increased self confidence since attending your Four Day Defensive Handgun Class.
She told me about the Color Codes of Awareness that you teach and that she is now always in Condition Yellow… relaxed, but alert.
She said that she didn’t want to brag but she felt she had now reached a level of Unconsciously Competent in her weapons handling– meaning her skills were now reflexive.
I told the other ladies to watch her and learn, or better yet, attend Front Sight.
I just wanted to pass this along to you.
Keep up the good work.

Kelley “Badger” Sands
Wheat Ridge, Colorado

Well there you go… If you want to spot a Front Sight graduate look for the smiling, confident, relaxed yet alert person with the well placed shots and flawless, professional technique!
And if you want to be that person, (or you want your spouse to be that person) take advantage of my “Get a Gun” training & gear offer before the price increase. – Dr. Ignatius Piazza



Economics and Investing:

I heard about this piece over at the Dr. Housing Bubble blog: Marketing Consumerism in the Boom and Bust Economy: Four Advertisements Showing the Shift in Consumer Buying Habits: Pizza, Airlines, Real Estate, Toxic Assets, and the Simpsons. The bit about Homer Simpson’s home equity line of credit (HELOC) was priceless.

Eric H. flagged this one: Chinese re-embracing Marx and Mao in face of economic woes. Eric’s comment: “So much for all those ‘relax, they are becoming more like us and our differences are disappearing’ stories we were told in the past decade or so.”

HPD alerted us to a piece in Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis: Close Look at the Accelerating Rate of Unemployment

Items from The Economatrix:

Recession Slows Some State Income Tax Refunds

Fed Downgrades View of Economy

Number of Adult Children Returning to Live with Parents Triple

New Car Prices Undercut Used Models

Moody’s Strips Buffet’s Corporation of AAA Rating

Is the US the Future Argentina?

Obama Says Economy Showing “Glimmers of Hope”

Seven Misconceptions About the Stimulus

Pentagon Preps for Economic Warfare

More People Scrap Gold Jewelry for Cash

Michigan Facing Economic Katrina if GM Files Bankruptcy

Obamarket Update #57: BMBS = PMBS + CMBS

Howard Ruff: Why I Prefer the Silver Lining

Wasting a Good Crisis: Result–$200 Oil

Vacancies at US Retail Centers Hit 10-Year High

Cities Collapsing Throughout the US



Odds ‘n Sods:

DD forwarded this link, from MSN: Five foods that are cheaper to grow

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From Cheryl: Ammo Shortages Have Police Scrambling for Sufficient Rounds

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More news for the Whack ‘n Stack tally: Armed Ohio couple stops home robbers

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M.O.B. sent this: Feinstein will not pursue assault weapons ban for now. Is this supposed to give me a warm, fuzzy feeling? Rather, it strikes me more like a “Hitler plans to stop his army’s advance at The Sudetenland For Now” sorta news story.





Notes from JWR:

I’ve just signed a publishing contract with Penguin Books to complete a manuscript for a non-fiction paperback that will be titled “How to Survive The End of the World as We Know It.” Rather than the 12- to 18-month production cycle that is typical for most books from major New York publishing houses, this book will be a “instant book” with a release date possibly as early as August of Aught Nine. There are also now two big New York publishers that have expressed interest in publishing a mass-market edition of “Patriots“. I’ll post more details as they become available.

The high bid in the SurvivalBlog Benefit Auction is now at $1,160. This auction ends on April 15th. It is for a large mixed lot, which includes::

1.) A Warrior Aid and Litter Kit, donated by Ready Made Resources. This is an advanced medic kit package that includes a Talon II 90C folding handle collapsible litter, which normally retails for $560, just by itself. This truly a “full up” tactical trauma kit! This sophisticated medic kit normally retails for $1,500.

2.) A “be ready to barter” box of 26 full-capacity firearms magazines, from my personal collection in JASBORR. This box includes: 4 – Brand new “smoke gray” polymer original Bulgarian 40 rd. AK-47 magazines, 10 – brand new AR-15/M16 USGI black Teflon coated alloy 30 round magazines with stainless steel springs and the latest gray anti-tilt followers, 6 – new condition original USGI M14/M1A 20 round parkerized steel magazines, from CMI (the current military prime contractor) 6 – new condition original Glock Model 20 (10mm) 15 round pistol magazines–the latest production type with “SF” front magazine catch notch . All of these magazines are of recent manufacture (and hence are NOT legal to possess in New York.) These magazines have a combined value of approximately $750, in today’s market. Note: If you live in a state where full capacity magazines are banned, then you must choose to: refrain from bidding, or designate a recipient in an unrestricted state, or re-donate the magazines for a subsequent auction.

3.) A large Bury ‘Em Tube (# 6L, 43″ x 6″ with a 5.1 gallon capacity), donated by Safecastle. (a $199.95 retail value)

4.) A NukAlert compact radiation detector donated by at KI4U.com (a $160 retail value). 

5.) An OPTIMUS Terra Cookset for backpacking, tent camping or even WTSHTF, donated by Safecastle. It includes the ultra-compact Crux stove, plus a special small cookset–all very portable and lightweight. (Fuel canister not included.) (a $95 retail value)

6.) A fresh, sealed case of full mil-spec MRE rations with ration heaters, courtesy of CampingSurvival.com. (a $94.95 value)

Thus, this auction has a combined value in excess of $2,800. This auction ends on April 15th. Please e-mail us your bid. Your bid will be for the entire mixed lot.



Letter Re: Home-Made Super Cat Alcohol Stoves

Dear Mr. Rawles,

First, I would like to commend you on your “Patriots” novel. It is a “must read” for any American who believes in our Constitution and Bill of Rights. I bought the book a few months ago and have read it twice so far. The “crunch” scenario outlined is self-evident today, and a very real possibility.

I have never been of the “survivalist” mindset, however with the NWO now upon us – and my becoming ‘awake” as to the threat of the NWO and TEOTWAWKI – I am starting my preparations in earnest. Your book, and others, are now quickly becoming part of my reading in order to catch up on what I have to do to protect my family and myself when the Schumer hits the fan.

I have read many articles on your blog and the internet regarding what the contents of a G.O.O.D. bag should carry. Of interest is the subject of portable cooking stoves. I have found a quick and free option for a lightweight and portable “camp stove” that I would like to share. It is called the “Super Cat” Alcohol Stove found at the Jim Woods Base Camp web site. This “stove” is simply a cat food can that can easily be transformed into an denatured alcohol (or similar) fueled cooking stove that is a simple to make, takes up minimum space, and is fueled by easily carried and procured denatured alcohol. I find that carrying one or two of these stoves in a zip-loc bag takes up minimal space in a backpack. Denatured alcohol is readily available, and can be cached for future use in large quantity. The downloadable PDF file for the “Super Cat also shows the various ways that that the fuel can be carried in small containers for a backpack. There are also downloadable files on a windscreen and stove stand that are also easily self-fabricated.

I know that most of the folks that read your blog are more prepared than I am at this point, but I feel that all options should be presented for evaluation and testing in order to find out what best suits their needs. And the best thing about the “Super-Cat” is that it is free!

Thanks for your Patriotism and everything you do. – W.M.



Two Letters Re: Knob Creek Report on Ammunition, Magazines, and Parts

Jim, I also have been a regular attendee of the Knob Creek gun show in Fort Knox, Kentucky for the past 8 years and would like to add a little more insight. I always attend the October show and occasionally attend the April show. Times being as they are I made an extra effort to attend last week and bring some first timers with me. The shock started Friday morning when the booths opened at 9:00am. My first encounter was Hi-Tech Ammunition (St. Louis) table. They were already out of all rifle and pistol powder. Only remaining was some military surplus machine gun powder. The I went to a Wolf ammo supplier to only to find 7.62×39 was now $375/1,000. Their 9mm Federal was $325/1,000. I was not going to buy more since I already had an ample supply from the October show. ($185/1,000 for 7.62×39 and $175/1,000 for 9mm). In six months did the price really double? Yes it did and where will it be next month. I already new and expected .223 to be over $400/1,000 and was right. .223 is easy to reload for under $200/1,000 so its back to my basement married to my Dillon 550B.

Rifle and pistol prices are also hair raising issues. I have been tracking the costs of AK-47s extensively for the past two years. Since the October 2008 show AK-47s went up 50%. What used to be $375 for a Romanian WASR-10 is now $600. Any Hungarian or Bulgarian varieties that were $500 to $650 are now $700 to $950 and I did not see one Yugo AK in the three days at the show. SKSes were selling for $300 and up.

Your earlier Knob Creek reporter summed up the magazine market perfectly. Mags were available but the prices were all over the place, but mostly up. Once fired brass was very hard to find. I also heard that the dealers bought everything up on Thursday before the show started. Everything I wanted was gone, extremely limited or twice the price. What a depressing show. I had to the same conclusion to start shooting the AK-74 round (5.45 mm) but when everybody catches on its going to be the same problem we have right now. – John at the Trading Post

Dear James,
Yesterday you included a note from a reader who had attended the Knob Creek Shoot. In it he wrote: “On the whole, the current situation seems to favor those moving into the AK-74 realm. AK-74 [parts] kits were $495, receiver flats were $12, transferable receivers were $60 and the ammo was $300 per 1,300 rounds (in sealed tins). There never seems to be much competition for that ammo. I am thinking about getting a 5.45mm AK.”

If you have standardized with the AR-15 platform, you can still use the 5.45×39 ammo which is still relatively cheap these days. Smith & Wesson makes both a full carbine and an upper in 5.45×39. AIM Surplus has the upper only available for $569. They also have the Russian 53 grain FMJ available for $149 per 1080-round can. This is where I bought my S&W flat-top upper.
I know there are other companies which make uppers in 5.45×39. If you already have an AR lower and want to take advantage of the price differential, this may be the way to go. – John R. in North Carolina

JWR Replies: That is a good point. For someone that does a lot of .223 target shooting, this os presently a good option. Let’s do the math: Typical 5.56mm NATO ball (such as Winchester white box was $5 a box three years ago. It is now $15 per box. Suppose that you were to buy three 1,080-round cans of 5.45×39 ammo for $450. The equivalent quantity of 5.56 ball would cost a whopping $2,430. That is almost a $2,000 difference! Even after the expense of buying a dedicated 5.45×39 upper receiver assembly (around $800 for a nice one, presently), you’d still be nearly $1,200 ahead and would significantly reduce wear to your original 5.56.barrel.. It is also just the trick for that Red Dawn scenario.

It won’t be long until folks catch on, and the supply of 5.45mm ammo dries up, so don’t dawdle. If you currently own an AR-15 or M4, buy several cans of 5.45 ammo now. Just be willing to be on the back order list for a 5.45×39 upper receiver assembly for several months. Come next Fall, you’ll be laughing all the way to the bank shooting range



Economics and Investing:

From reader H.P.D. Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis: Treasury to Delay Reporting Bank Stress Test Results

G.G. sent this: Businesses Gird for Depression

Also from G.G.: IMF gold sale may push down prices below $800

Items from The Economatrix:

Wed. Stocks End With Modest Gain

CEOs Expect More Job Cuts Through End of Year

Coupons.com Sees 190% Increase Over Last Year Cereal and baby food top the list

Few US Cities Escape Recession’s Reach

Treasury to Offer Limited Aid to Certain Insurers (Only if the insurers own banks or savings & loans)

New Jobless Claims Fall More Than Expected to 654,000

Stocks Surge as Profits at Well Fargo Jump “The fact that Wells Fargo can have record profits despite the troubles facing the banking system tells you something…” Yes, it certainly does.

As Home Values Fall, Property Tax Revolt Brews

The Recession Has Gotten So Bad, Even the Repo Man’s Singing the Blues

The Penny Drops (The Mogambo Guru)

GM Pensions May Be “Garbage” With $16 Billion at Risk



Odds ‘n Sods:

For the past month, I’ve been monitoring a great new open-source intelligence blog that is available to the public. Be sure to bookmark it!

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Dale Williams, the host of a popular conservative talk radio show in Salt Lake City has started to put his show archives online at Free West Radio. (One of JWR’s interviews is archived there.)

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Cheryl sent this: TWIC–A Backdoor Real ID Card

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Reader MMJ recommended this article on solar ovens