The Top Five Lethal Infections — How to Prevent and How to Treat

In choosing the top five infections in which preppers should be well-versed, I have employed the following criteria: 

  • The infection must be potentially life-threatening
  • The infection must be potentially reversible with treatment
  • The infection must be common now and likely to continue into the future.

Based on the preceding, these five are a good place to start educating yourself.

Pneumonia Pneumonia is often confused with bronchitis.  Both cause cough, fever, and difficulty breathing.  However, with bronchitis, the breathing tubes are narrowed, thus decreasing airflow.  Occasionally (primarily in patients with asthma or COPD) the airways will be so swollen that sufficient air cannot enter the lungs.  In these already-compromised patients, bronchitis may be life-threatening, but for the most part, acute bronchitis is self-limited and will resolve without antibiotics. In contrast, with pneumonia the tiny air sacs where gas exchange occurs are filled with infected fluid.  If fluid obstructs the membrane which allows oxygen to enter and carbon dioxide to escape our blood stream, the body may be deprived of life-giving oxygen.  Untreated, pneumonia is frequently life-threatening, especially in the elderly, the young, and those with other chronic breathing difficulties.  Sometimes bronchitis leads to pneumonia, or both problems can be present simultaneously (bronchopneumonia). 

As with most illnesses, there is a broad spectrum of pneumonia illnesses.  Some pneumonia is viral, and antibiotics do not help.  Pneumonia where only one lung is involved is usually bacterial and has a high enough fatality rate to warrant the use of antibiotics.  Untreated, the bacteria (commonly pneumococcus) may invade the blood stream, causing sepsis, widespread infection, and death.  Death may also occur from hypoxia (lack of oxygen causing suffocation).  It will be difficult for the layman to distinguish viral versus bacterial pneumonia (it’s difficult enough for doctors, who don’t always know either).  Diagnosing pneumonia by physical examination alone and distinguishing it from bronchitis is a whole article in itself, but one-sided chest pain is a strong argument for pneumonia in a patient with fever and cough.  (Blood clots, pleurisy, and heart problems may cause similar symptoms, however.)  Prevention of community-acquired pneumonia is 2-fold:  limiting spread via droplets and/or direct contact, and prevention of aspiration.  In the elderly, who have a decreased ability to clear their lungs, inhaling food particles or microbes frequently leads to pneumonia.  Having these folks eat slowly and remaining upright until the stomach clears after eating may decrease the likelihood of pneumonia.  Proper hand-washing for everyone and isolation of any infected patient should decrease the spread within the community. 

As for treatment, there is no single antibiotic guaranteed to work. What you have on hand may influence your choice of antibiotic.  Hospital doctors frequently prescribe IV medication, later switching to oral meds when the patient begins to improve.  You probably won’t have this luxury.  The strongest antibiotics (which you should probably reserve for the sickest patients) are Avelox, Levaquin, Biaxin, and Augmentin.  Appropriate first-line choices to treat pneumonia include erythromycin, clarithromycin, azithromycin, doxycycline, amoxicillin, and cephalexin.  Other possibilities include penicillin, ciprofloxacin, any cephalosporin, possibly trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole or tetracycline.  The length of treatment is another concern.  Five days may be sufficient in a patient making a rapid recovery, but 7-10 days is more typical, and a very sick patient, or one with underlying asthma or COPD may require two weeks of continuous, full-dose therapy.  With a limited supply of antibiotics, rationing will likely be a necessity, and you’ll have to decide early on what criteria you plan to use.

Kidney infection Kidney infection (pyelonephritis) is primarily a disease of women and the elderly, and occasionally children.  Usually, but not always, kidney infection starts with a bladder infection, with symptoms of frequent urination, burning, or abdominal pain.  The bacteria may ascend the ureter and lodge in the kidney, commonly causing one-sided back pain, just under the lower posterior ribs.  Untreated, the bacteria create a cesspool of infection, which may enter the bloodstream, causing sepsis and death.  In older men, the underlying cause is often an enlarged prostate.  Elderly men and women (and sometimes younger people as well) with a kidney infection may not exhibit specific signs, but rather simply appear ill or not themselves. 
Prevention is aimed at cleansing the urinary system by drinking plenty of fluids.  Having a more-than-adequate supply of potable water may be life-saving for the patient prone to kidney infection.  Women should always empty the bladder after intercourse, and should never hold the urine when they feel the need to go.

Appropriate antibiotic treatment of kidney infection usually begins with trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, ciprofloxacin, or nitrofurantoin.  Again, Avelox, Levaquin, and Augmentin should probably be reserved for the sickest patients.  Amoxicillin is generally the first choice for pregnant women.  Cephalexin (or any cephalosporin) will usually work.  I generally don’t use penicillin, doxycycline, tetracycline, or the erythromycins, but they are sometimes effective.  Because nausea is a common symptom of kidney infection, it is best to avoid any antibiotic that has nauseated the patient in the past.  Duration of treatment should be about 5 to 15 days, with the shortest length of treatment reserved for those patients who seem to get well overnight.  If the chosen antibiotic has made zero difference by 3-4 days, a different antibiotic should be tried, generally one from a different class. 
      
Diverticulitis.  Diverticulitis is a disease of the middle-aged and elderly, those who have been on a western (American) diet long enough to have the little pouches bubble out (like tiny hernias along the colon), where food gets stuck and infection may occur.  The colon is chockfull of germs.  Normally the bacteria don’t have a chance to invade the wall of the colon during their transit along the gut, unless they get trapped in one of these pockets where an abscess-like infection may form.  If the pouch swells and bursts, the patient is a dead man (without emergency surgery and antibiotics).  You cannot wait this long to treat this infection.  There are no specific tell-tale signs, but the problem is more often left-sided than right, and is rare in people younger than about 35 or 40.  A little diarrhea or dark, maroon (bloody) stool may be present.  Urinary symptoms are generally absent.  Doctors themselves are not always sure if diverticulitis is present, but the risk of waiting outweighs the risk of treating when the diagnosis is suspected. 

Ideally prevention of diverticulitis begins in childhood with a lifelong diet high in plant fiber.  For anyone reading this article, your colon may already be riddled with the pouches (diverticula), so your best hope is to prevent the infection from starting.  Many patients find that eating popcorn or other small, hard objects sets off their symptoms (though this is medically controversial).  If I had diverticulitis, I would at least be meticulous about avoiding popcorn. 

Antibiotic treatment should ideally include a combination of metronidazole plus either ciprofloxacin (or Avelox, or Levaquin), trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, or possibly Augmentin.  Minimum length of treatment is one week, though two or even three weeks is sometimes necessary.

Clostridium difficile colitis.  Until we run out of antibiotics, we will continue to see c. diff. colitis, also known as antibiotic-related colitis.  This infection is very rare in patients who have not taken antibiotics, but more and more common in those who have.  It causes terrible diarrhea with an obnoxious odor, and may begin any time during or after a round of antibiotics.  Untreated, the infection can cause dehydration, sepsis, and death.  Prevention is aimed at limiting antibiotic use to those infections where antibiotics are essential.  The only readily-available oral drug for c. diff. is metronidazole.  Oral vancomycin is also effective, but much more costly. Conscientious hand-washing among patients and caregivers will help limit the spread of the disease.  As the use of antibiotics decreases, the incidence of c. diff. will decrease as well.

Cellulitis.  Lastly, cellulitis, or soft tissue infection, is theoretically almost entirely preventable.  As long as the skin is completely intact, without a scratch, blister, crack, or abrasion, cellulitis is quite rare.  But probably everyone reading this article has some little imperfection.  Looking at my own hands, I see a few tiny nicks, not to mention the dry skin caused by a long winter with forced-air heating.  A microscopic crack is sufficient to allow a microbe to invade, and the skin is always home to a variety of bacteria, usually non-virulent staph.  Upon invading the skin, the bacteria reproduce, causing either a localized pimple (or larger abscess, like a water balloon) or a more invasive infection, spreading through the tissues like a sponge.  The soft tissues in and under the skin swell, and become tender, red, and warm.  With cellulitis, the infection may spread to the lymphatic vessels or veins, enter the bloodstream, and, as with the diseases above, cause sepsis and death. Most cellulitis is caused by typical staph and strep germs, though other bacteria are not uncommon. 

The methicillin-resistant staph (MRSA) is a special problem.  Your main clue to its presence will be that drugs good for treating typical staph may not work. The best drugs for methicillin-resistant staph are currently trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole or doxycycline.  For typical staph or strep, cephalexin or Augmentin are good choices.  The erythromycins and tetracyclines usually work as well.  Ciprofloxacin (as well as Avelox and Levaquin) are best reserved for cases in which none of the above antibiotics are effective, which may indicate infection with a gram-negative bacterium such as Pseudomonas.  Cellulitis should be treated for about 5 to 15 days, again with the shortest length of treatment reserved for those who respond within a day or two.  If the infection continues to spread after 24-48 hours (or hasn’t started to resolve the infection by 3-4 days) on a first-line antibiotic, therapy should be switched to that for methicillin-resistant staph.  If this makes no difference by 3-4 days, or if the infection continues to spread, switching to or adding ciprofloxacin is indicated.  If none of these therapies work, you might try combining all three, but odds of this working is really quite low, and treatment may be futile. 

In a future article I will address diseases common elsewhere in the world likely to spread in the U.S. if societal upheaval occurs.



Pat’s Product Reviews: Leatherman MUT Multi-Tool

Several weeks ago, I talked about some of the multi-tools on the market. I mentioned that SurvivalBlog readers should avoid the no-name, no-brand of multi-tools on the market. They are junk, and you don’t want to have to depend on one of these tools to save your life if TEOTWAWKI hits – that’s not the time to discover the cheap look-a-like multi-tool won’t do the job you ask of it.   My contact person at Leatherman alerted me to the new Military Utility Tool (MUT) that Leatherman is now producing. “Oh great,” I thought to myself, “she’s playing mind games with me – again.” My contact at Leatherman is always sending me yet another new multi-tool or knife to test and write about. She likes making my life miserable – just when I find the perfect multi-tool from Leatherman, she sends me yet another slightly different tool. Then I have to put it side-by-side with some of the other multi-tools and decide if I want to carry the newest and coolest, or one of the other ones I have. Just when I get comfortable with a particular Leatherman multi-tool, that I think will take care of all my needs, something new pops up.  

I’ve got to say, this new multi-tool from Leatherman, may just be the one I’m gonna start carrying. The MUT was designed, with input from a couple guys at the US Army Marksmanship Unit, down at Ft. Benning, Georgia. I really respect these guys – they are into guns. I took a two-week course from some of these guys in 1970, and was certified as a Coach and Rifle Instructor through them – still have the certificate hanging on my wall, too – I’m proud of it.   Let me put it bluntly, if you own any type of AR-15 style rifle, you need the MUT. Please go to the Leatherman web site, and watch the video that shows all the neat things the MUT can do.

The MUT isn’t just any ol’ multi-tool, although it does have a lot of the familiar tools you’ll likely use everyday. There is a knife blade, as well as a wood saw, and I like their wood saws, they allow you to cut through some pretty thick and tough brush – ideal if you’re making a sniper’s hide or building a shelter from the weather. The knife – it’s sharp – right out of the box, too. Many knife blades found on lesser multi-tools are dull and simply won’t take and/or hold an edge, no matter how hard you work at it.   The MUT has screw drivers – several of ’em, too. There is the standard flat and Phillips head screw driver on the bottom of the MUT. There are also some other driver bits – that are much longer – in the handle of the MUT. These are designed to reach into areas that require a longer screw driver. One driver bit even has a Torx head on it – for working on scopes.  

What multi-tool wouldn’t come with regular pliers and needle-nose pliers? Well, the MUT has both, as well as hard-wire cutters – for cutting through thicker than speaker wires – and they are replaceable, should they become dull or damaged – great idea! Need to strip some covering off of a wire? The MUT has wire strippers, too.  

Now, here’s where some of the interesting tools come into play for those of you who own an AR-15 style rifle. There is a bronze carbon scrapper – for removing built-up carbon deposits on your bolt and inside the bolt carrier. I’ve seen some folks scrapping the carbon off their bolts and inside their bolt carriers with a pocket knife blade. Wrong! You will damage both the bolt and bolt carrier if you do this ’cause it removes material. The bronze scrapper won’t damage your bolt or bolt carrier. And, if you don’t clean the carbon build-up on the bolt and inside the bolt carrier, you are only asking for your AR to malfunction at some point.  

How many times have your had problems pushing out the pins that keep the upper and lower receiver together ’cause the fit between the upper and lower is extremely tight? Yeah, that’s what I thought – quite a few of us have had this problem. The MUT has a punch on it, that will easily allow you to push the two pins out that keep the upper and lower together, without damaging or marring the pins.   Here’s one feature I’m sure you’ll appreciate. Have you have had a jam, in which an empty case got caught between the bolt and the top inside of your upper receiver? It’s one heck of a jam, and not easily cleared, especially during a fire-fight. Well, the butt of one of the handles of the MUT is specially designed to “hook” the bolt – then you just give the MUT a good pull reward, the the bolt will come back and the empty brass will come out…why didn’t someone think of this sooner? This one feature on the MUT is worth having.   The butt of the MUT can even be used for an improvised hammer – it’s “that” tough. Matter of fact, the entire MUT is built Marine Corps tough – I don’t think a US Marine couple break the MUT if they tried – it’s one tough tool.   The screwdriver bits alone, are really nice to have when tightening a scope down on your rifle. However, sometimes, the nut on the other end of the screw can’t be held tight enough with your bare hand, and it turns as you are turning the screw to tighten it.  Leatherman thought of this, and included a separate wrench, that has the two most popular closed end wrench openings are included.  

If you need something to cut through a seat belt or light string or rope, the MUT has a “V” cutter on one end of one of the handles. It’ll easily zip through seat belts, web gear or other similar material, without having to open the full-sized knife blade on the MUT.   The MUT also has a set-up that you can use to attach cleaning rods, and use the MUT’s handle as the handle of the cleaning rod. Who thinks of these things? They are doing a great job, if you ask me.  

There are several different ways you can carry the MUT. There is a MOLLE sheath that you can thread through a MOLLE vest, for a very secure set-up. Also, the sheath can be adjusted for belt carry as well. If that’s not your cup of tea, they there is a (removable) clothing/pocket clip on the MUT itself, so you can carry it inside of a pocket, or hung from a tactical vest. One more mode of carry is the carabiner – if you want to clip the MUT to a belt loop on your pants.  

The MUT has a lot of different features that are designed specially for those of us who carry and use AR-15 or M4 style rifles. The MUT is also a full-sized multi-tool as well – not some itty-bitty one that won’t get the job done. I guess if I were to change or add one thing, it would be to add a file to the MUT. I use the file on my Leatherman Blast multi-tool all the time. The Blast also has a can opener, which the MUT doesn’t have. I’ll be honest, I’ve only used the can opener a couple of times on my Blast. If I didn’t have the can opener feature, I’d open a can using the knife blade. So, I can live without a can opener – albeit, it would be nice to have. The file: I’m not sure where Leatherman could put it on the MUT, but I’m giving it some thought.  

The Leatherman MUT doesn’t come cheap – then again, as I’ve mentioned before, quality is never cheap. And, the MUT is high-quality no matter how you look at it. If you want a multi-tool that can really take a beating, the MUT is for you. If you carry or use an AR-15 style of some sort, the MUT is a necessity if you ask me. I can see a lot of our military troops buying a MUT. I’ll have to hide my MUT from my youngest daughter when she comes home on leave from the US Army – ’cause I know she’s gonna want one of her own. Right now, the MUT is hard to find – they are selling like crazy. The suggested retail price is $180 — not cheap. They can be found on Amazon for as little at $110. Even that is fairly expensive. But as I’ve said, quality never comes cheap, and you are buying from the originator of the multi-tool – Leatherman!  – SurvivalBlog Field Gear Editor Pat Cascio



Letter Re: Sanitation in Grid Down Situations

Hello James,  
I read the recent article on survival for apartment dwellers and I hate to burst a bubble but a major factor was left out: SANITATION. It’s incredible domino effect is truly mind boggling!   Back in 1999 I was involved in writing a white paper for the government on the effects caused by no running water.   I am afraid I know what I am talking about and it’s not a pretty picture.  In 1998 in Auckland, New Zealand there was a lengthy power failure that in turn led to several days without water and what happened after three days will blow your mind.  

People in general are not smart. Rather than try and conserve or make a plan once the water stopped flowing, they would flush their toilets. Without power from the force of water pressure the tank doesn’t refill. The domino effect is not only gross but staggering, what human beings that have never lived beyond modern conveniences will do is unimaginable.   What I researched and wrote about blew my own mind…when people were actually confronted with such a situation, they went where ever they could – they filled the toilet, the toilet tank, the tub, the shower, the sink – when the bathrooms became uninhabitable, they went in corners, boxes, bags, closets…most however left by the time they were using the tub. Guess how long that took? That’s right, the three days!   In such a structure (high up in a condo), if you do all the right things, in no way will that protect you from all those around you who did not. If anyone lives above you, remember, the pipes are clogged and the stuff is (figuratively) looking to escape out cracks and openings which means their “stuff” comes in though the ceiling of your place.  

Reality check: If you’re prepared and they’re not, where do you think they go for food and water? Are you going to shoot them all? Are you really a killer? That’s what it will take and if any form of police shows up who do you think they are going to take away, never to be seen again?   Truth is, for all you people who think you can maintain in you present homes that are located in cities and suburbs will be at constant war, an out come I’m not sure would be worthy of surviving for, an outcome where projections say only 10% survive…  

James, I just touched the surface of what I wrote about as I no longer have the papers, this was from memory. Imagine if you can, what I just described was happening in one condo complex – now multiply by the number of just apartments and condos in your area. Remember how these buildings have managers right? Wrong. They are the first to go! You will be on your own. And I haven’t even discussed the methane problem!  

The biggest problem in all these worse case scenarios is that they only know so much that they are capable of writing about to claim as a worse case – when in fact and in true reality the worse case scenarios are always incomprehensible, case in point today is what is happening in Japan. What was once thought of as sci-fi is now being considered as possible in both discoveries and disasters.   Well, take care – Dave B. 



Letter Re: Archives of SurvivalBlog

Dear James:
During the major winter storm here in Texas in January we experienced many hours without electricity. The power outages were caused by rolling blackouts and also by storm related damage. Our family made the decision to use the situation as an opportunity to “see what it would be like”.

One major thing that we noticed that we were totally un-prepared for was the loss of the Internet. We quickly discovered how many times a day we use the Internet as a source of reference and information. Our thoughts were previously about e-mail and news updates. Those we could do without, what made the difference was the loss of being able to reference information, solve problems, and answer questions.

Your blog is a major reference source for our family. The archives of information are used daily to answer questions and provide valuable information. Without electricity, we were without Internet, and without Internet we were without our info references.

Our family got an Apple iPad for Christmas and we are amazed at what can be done with this small piece of electronics. It can run up to 12 hours between charges. Millions of people in this country have purchased the iPad and similar electronic “notebooks” since their introduction.

How about using some technology to provide preppers with info when the SHTF. Is there someway that you can make the archives available so they can be downloaded to iPad or similar notebook and be available to folks even if the grid is down and internet is not working or available? All the great store of information would be available at any time. Please consider someway that this information and service can be provided so that folks can have it on hand for immediate reference at any time.

Also, I wonder if you have any update on Anchor of Hope and what is going on with the Memsahib Memorial Fund?

Thanks, – Bryan E.

JWR Replies: A five-year compendium archive of SurvivalBlog on CD-ROM (in both HTML and PDF) optimized for laptops and iPads is now available on CD-ROM, for $19.95. Using a Mac with a CD-ROM drive, the entire contents can be loaded onto an iPad. There is also a Kindle-optimized archive of SurvivalBlog.com Archives 2005-2010 is also available for $9, via the Amazon.com store.

I’m pleased to report that the Memsahib Memorial Fund has thusfar raised more than $35,000 for the Anchor Institute mission and school in very rural Zambia. It is an outstanding charity, because it has hardly any overhead, and the recipients are very deserving. With enough funds, one future project there will be the installation of a photovoltaic power system.



Letter Re: The Importance of Acquiring First Aid Supplies in Depth

James,  

I have been a part time survivalist for many years.  I thought about the topic while still serving in the Army and after retiring I have moved, slowly, to position my family to be able to survive if the Schumer hits the fan.   

I live in a brick home on 1-1/2 acres, surrounded by vast farmland.  Work cooperatively with neighbors to develop cooperative relationships that would benefit all parties if the worst happens.  Have the guns and ammo thing covered.  Food?  Still working on it but think we could make it for six months or more in extreme situations.  

Then, last night, an event occurred that showed me one area I have neglected.  Medical supplies.   My 7 year old daughter fell and busted her chin open on a kitchen stool.  Not a lot of blood but I was faced with the “does it need stitches” dilemma.  I called the emergency room and was given the “we can’t make that call over the phone” line.  It was too late to take her to a doctor and too long before I could to leave it neglected.   

I searched the Internet for advice and decided steri-strips would fix the problem.  Of course I then had to find a store open at that time of night that carried the strips.   Long story short, I finally did get the steri-strips and latex gloves needed to treat an wound so not to cause infection but was left with many scary thoughts about medical preparations.   First, what books are in my medical library?  Hard copy books, not the Internet that would not exist in a worst case scenario.   

Second, basic medical supplies for simple injuries.  I am seriously lacking in that area.   

So this small incident drove home a sorely lacking area in my preparations for bad times.  I recommend that everyone check the status of their home medical supplies! – Tom L.



Letter Re: Bacteria-Infected Meat in U.S. Supermarkets

JWR,  
I thought I’d pass this along for your consideration to publish this link: Quarter of Meat Supply Contaminated With Drug-Resistant Bacteria.

This article may be alarming to some of our population, but to most of your readers I suspect it is not a surprise and many have even known or anticipated such an anecdotal report as we’ve been observing an increase in drug resistant bacteria for some time.   

What I took away from this article is the benefit of the extreme care it takes to not only raise animals for consumption (apparent source of pathogens) but thoroughness in dressing and processing animals whether it be field dressing, planned farm harvests or handling meat just prior to cooking/consumption.  It is most likely that folks raising their own meat will be doing so in considerably better conditions than cramped and filth laden feed lots.  However, since pathogens are not discriminating, it is worth pointing out the value of proper practices in raising and processing meat.   

In an effort to be proactive on this matter, maybe someone with farm experience in raising animals for consumption could comment on this.  Particularly someone with pathological training and experience, for example a veterinarian who would be making AB risk assessments on a regular basis.  Factually stepping through the process of husbandry to final preparation of meat for consumption would probably be quite useful and well received by your readers.  

Thank you for your work.  I submit that each and every one of us is a ‘survivalist’ whether we acknowledge it or not.  The difference is the breadth and depth of knowledge and skill to be as independently successful as one desires or finds necessary on life’s journey. In Liberty,  – Ricardo in In Indiana



Letter Re: Buying Military Surplus Directly

Mr Rawles,    
Thanks for hard work and invaluable resources. I have a suggestion buying surplus military equipment. It appears the government liquidators mentioned have some sort of fees involved. Anyone can go to the DoD’s Defense Reutilization and Marketing Service web site.  This eliminates any middleman and lets you look at available equipment online.  

In addition and maybe more usefully, every military base that I have served on or visited had a Defense Reutilization and Marketing Office (DRMO), and they hold regular sales, some walk-in like a surplus store and others by sealed or open lot bidding.  – J.J.



Economics and Investing:

C.D.V. sent us a link to a Zero Hedge piece: Jobless Claims Huge Miss to Expectations of 380K, Print at 412K, Previous Revised Upward, Core PPI Higher Than Expected

Also from C.D.V.: Zoellick Sees Economic Risks From Food Prices, Debt, Inflation. In related news: World Bank president: ‘One shock away from crisis’. (Thanks to Mark W. for the latter link.)

Pierre M. was the first of several readers to forward this link: More Americans leaving the workforce.

John S. highlighted this one: Banks Face $3.6 Trillion ‘Wall’ of Debt: IMF

J.H. was the first of several readers to mention this news story: University Of Texas Invests Nearly $1 Billion In Gold Because Kyle Bass Told Them It Was A Good Idea.

Joe Ordinary Voortrekker sent this: BRICs demand global monetary shake-up, greater influence. Joe’s comment: “…but they still want to ‘promote a just economic order’. More like they will be promoting the fall of the Dollar and with that an International Financial Crisis that will have people screaming for a solution…..(Fanfare please) and out comes the new ‘and just’ Global Currency. Meanwhile, we read: BRICS credit: Local currencies to replace dollar.

A Run On the Central Bank of Belarus as Devaluation Fear Forces Halt to All Gold Sales

Items from The Economatrix:

Consumers Feel the Pinch of Pricier Gas and Groceries

Gasoline Averaging $4 a Gallon In Five States

Six Banks Shuttered; Makes 34 Closed in 2011

Moody’s Cuts Ireland by Two Notches, Euro Falls



Inflation Watch:

U.S. Companies Shrink Packages as Food Prices Rise.

Reader Bryan E. wrote to mention: “Over the weekend we had visitors who are in the wholesale food distribution business. They were relating that they had experienced a 14% increase in wholesale food prices during just the month of March. Here are some examples:

Item Size March 1st Price April 1st Price
Sugar 55 lb. $33 $37
Flour 50 lb. $11 $16
Butter 30 lb. $74 $91
Margarine 30 lb. $17 $24
Catfish 15 lb. $54 $89
Cheese 42 lb. $2.55/lb $2.91/lb

Restaurateurs are greatly concerned about how they are going to adjust for these major monthly price increases during a period of already slow business. Many imported food products now have limited availability because the home countries are retaining them for domestic use.”

Reader J.D.D. sent this: Week Ahead: Inflation on the Mind

Bill in New York sent this: Prices at LDS canneries show inflation for food up between 11 and 49%. Here is a quote: “The LDS’s raising food prices at their canneries by 11 to 49% in just three months should be a serious wake up call to all Americans on the true inflationary conditions that exist in our economy, and that we need to constantly look outside government reports for the true data affecting our spending and finances.”

Zach L. sent this: Indiana Farm Bureau reports grocery prices up 4% (in First quarter of 2011.)



Odds ‘n Sods:

Michael Z. Williamson (SurvivalBlog’s Editor at Large) recommend this National Geographic documentary: Witness: Disaster in Japan. Mike’s comments: “This is an excellent presentation.  The first 30 minutes is raw footage from cell phones, local cameras and news, with almost no commentary.  There are English subtitles.  Watching six minutes of magnitude 9.0 shaking and collapse, followed by 20 minutes of blasting waves demolishing buildings and sweeping everything inland in a filthy black crush, is very sobering. The sheer level of devastation is a reminder that natural disasters dwarf anything that we might do ourselves.”

   o o o

How about Gas for $2.80 a Gallon? Just one catch—it’s in Mexico

   o o o

The popular “When Your Family Thinks You’re Crazy” thread over at The Mental Militia Forums just keeps getting longer.

   o o o

Reader R.B.S. mentioned: A Workaround For Domain Name Seizures?

   o o o

I noticed that the now classic Libertarian novel “Atlas Shrugged” just jumped to #4 in Books, on Amazon.com! No doubt this renewed interest can be attributed to the new Atlas Shrugged movie.) Some mainstream movie critics like Roger Ebert (known for his statist bias) have panned the film, but all of the SurvivalBlog readers that I’ve heard from have liked it.



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“Last, but by no means least, courage—moral courage, the courage of one’s convictions, the courage to see things through. The world; is in a constant conspiracy against the brave.  It’s the age-old struggle–the roar of the crowd on one side and the voice of your conscience on the other.” – General Douglas MacArthur



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 34 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and B.) Two cases of Alpine Aire freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $400 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A $250 gift certificate from Sunflower Ammo , and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol. It is a $439 value courtesy of Next Level Training. B.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $300, C.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and D.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.) , and B.) Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy. This is a $185 retail value.

Round 34 ends on May 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



How Long Will Your Provisions Last?, by D.G.

Growing up on a farm in the Midwest I was exposed to the “self-sufficiency” mindset early on, even though I probably didn’t fully appreciate it at the time.  I can remember my grandmother keeping a large kitchen drawer nearly stuffed full of aluminum foil scraps, string, and assorted sacks and bags, all to be reused and never thrown away until completely used up.  Being snowed in for a few days each winter was never a big concern.  When the electricity was out we had propane and firewood to heat the house, plenty of food had been canned in the summer, and the worst thing we had to do was chip ice out of the water tanks for the livestock.  It seemed like a fair trade for some welcomed “snow days” away from school.

Like many of my cohorts, I grew up and left that world for a career in business and the relative “security” that a salary and benefits could provide.  Some 25 years later, however, it became apparent that the need for tangible security through diligent and thoughtful preparation was far more important than the gratification of immediate but not necessarily important wants.  Now having started to give serious attention to prepping only about one year ago, it’s amazing to see how the deliberate accumulation of “beans, bullets, and bandages” begins to come together as an appreciable stockpile. JWR’s “List of Lists” spreadsheet is a great help in the preparation process, but it’s at around this time that I began to realize that it’s not enough to just buy the necessary or recommended supplies.  I really started feeling pressure to organize more effectively and find a way to manage all the items that are accumulating.

With particular attention to the food supplies being stored, I knew I needed to be able to answer the following:

  1. Exactly what foods (type, quantity, & nutritional value) are stored?
  2. What dates are the foods set to expire?
  3. What is the value of these foods?
  4. How long will these foods support my family and me?

 

The reasons to know this are important and simple.

  1. I need to know how to consider the foods already stored against the list of foods still required to balance a diet (assuming you may not be able to supplement your stores for some period of time).
  2. I need to know the expiration date of stored foods in order to rotate stock effectively and be able to donate those food stores to an appropriate shelter or organization while they still have enough life to be distributed and used by those in need.
  3. I need to record the value paid for these foods so at the very least we can deduct the cost on our tax returns under charitable contributions.
  4. Most importantly, I need to know how long these stored foods will hold out.

 

Since I have a penchant for Excel, I developed a simple spreadsheet to track my food stores and help me plan for future needs.  This spreadsheet is organized in three sections, with several columns for recording information.  For purposes of example I will use a can of cooked chicken breast to illustrate how the spreadsheet works.  This can of chicken breast is 13.0 oz. and costs $2.00 at the local Sam’s Club.  The label says each serving is 2.5 oz and has 70 calories, 2 grams of fat, no carbohydrates, and 12 grams protein.  The expiration day is December 2013.

The first section includes the general information about each food, such as Category (i.e, Meat), Quantity, Description (Chicken Breast), Brand (Member’s Mark), Package Size, Serving Size, and so on.

Category

QTY

Description

Brand

Vendor

Size

Unit

Serving Size

Servings

Meat 10 Chicken Breast Members Mark Sam’s Club     13.00 oz.     2.50 oz.        70 g      52

The second section is for the nutritional content of each food.  This includes serving size, the calories per serving as well as the grams of fat, carbohydrates, sugar, protein, and fiber in each serving, as well as columns to calculate the total nutrients.

     

Per Serving (g)

 

Category

QTY

Description

Calories

Total  Calories

Fat

Tot Fat

Carbs

Tot Carbs

Protein

Total Protein

Meat

10

Chicken Breast

70

3,640

2

78

12

624

Nearly every commercially available food product in the U.S. has a label which contains this information.  For home canned or preserved foods, a kitchen scale can be used to record the weight of a container and either a label from a comparable commercial product (such as canned fruit) or a food guide available from www.usda.gov or a good bookstore can be used to estimate the nutrition value of those items.  Now with all of this information I can begin to make informed decisions about how many people I can feed and for how long.

In order to do this I’ve added three lines to my spreadsheet.  The first is a total for each of the columns called Total Calories, Total Carbohydrate, Total Fat, and Total Protein.  The second line is used to enter the average daily nutrient requirements for each person.  And the third line is simply the number of people to be supported and the calculated number of days our supplies will last.

In order to complete this part the spreadsheet I need to know what amount of nutrient components a person will require each day.  As a guide I used the Daily Reference Intake (DRI) available from the USDA web site.  The chart below is an adaptation of the daily needs for an individual based on the DRI information.  For people four years or older, eating 2,000 calories per day, the Daily Values are:

Total Fat 65 g
Total Carbohydrate 300 g
Fiber 25 g
Protein 50 g

*Source adapted from: USDA. Dietary Reference Intakes for Energy, Carbohydrates, Fiber, Fat, Fatty Acids, Cholesterol, Protein, and Amino Acids (2002/2005).

The DRI and other sources of information from the USDA and FDA are extensive and can help you plan needs using more exacting numbers than contained here.  The complete data includes guidelines including by gender, age, activity level and even information for pregnant and lactating women.

In this example and for simplicity, I will plan for four adults.  Of course, you will want to modify these requirements depending upon the actual number and make up of those people with whom you going to share your food stores.  You may also want to allow some margin for friends and neighbors that will inevitably end up on your doorstep when trouble begins as well as any supplies you want to designate for charitable giving or barter.

Now let’s assume that today my food stores include a total of 160,000 total calories, 6,000 grams of fat, 20,000 total carbohydrates, and 5,000 grams of protein.  Using the guidelines above, and with the arithmetic formulas in the spreadsheet I will determine that I have about 20 days worth of calories, 23 days of fat, 17 days of carbohydrates, and about 25 days of protein.  The chart below illustrates these numbers:

 

Total Calories

Total Fat

Total Carbs

Total Protein

 

Total Values:

160,000

6,000

20,000

5,000

 

Average Daily Requirements:

2,000

65 g

300 g

50 g

Persons Supported:

4

Days Supplied:

20

23

17

25

 

Not too far off balance, but if your goal is 30 days of supplies on hand you might be surprised to learn that you have a little ways to go.  But nonetheless, using this tool still gives me a better idea of how to plan future purchases and the number of days I can support people with a reasonably balanced and varied diet.

The third section is where I record the price paid for each of these stored foods and the expiration date stamped on the container.  Instead of Expiration Date (it really doesn’t expire, does it?) I prefer to use the term “Donate By”.  Here columns exist for Price/Package, Price/Unit of Measure (typically ounces), Price/Serving, Total Price, and Donate By Date.

QTY

Description

 Size

Unit

 $/Pkg

 $/Unit

 $/Serving

  Total Price

Donate By

10

Chicken Breast     13.00

oz.

 $2.00  $0.15  $0.384  $20.00

Dec-13

Total price is of course the price per package x the number of packages purchased.  At the bottom of this column I total up the entire amount spent of food storage.  This helps to understand the amount of money required to maintain a well stocked pantry or to replace those stocks when consumed or donated.

The one item I haven’t mentioned here is water.  Your stored water supplies whether in bottles, buckets, or barrels can be tracked using this spreadsheet as well.  However, since there are no nutrients to consider, I just make sure to divided my stored water by 7.5 liters (about 2 gallons) as an allowance for each person per day.  You may want to allow more for increased cooking or washing requirements, but it’s still very easy to calculate.

To be successful (in nearly every endeavor) you need a well thought out plan.  Since the accumulation of emergency food provisions is not likely to be done all at one time, and that those stocks need to be rotated and certain foods will be more or less available at any given time, it’s important to inventory what you have and how far it will really go.  I am more than happy to share my workbook with other preppers and hope you find it useful for planning and tracking your stored food resources.

JWR Adds: D.G.’s Excel spreadsheet is available here.



Letter Re: Steel Cables as Road Obstacles for Rural Retreats

Hello,  
I bought and read your book (“How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It”) and have read several sections of your blog, but I’m having a lot of trouble finding an item you mentioned several times – “defensive road cables”. I have Googled this exact term and all I get is your article quoted over and over. Can you please send me a link or two or three where I can buy these or other info that will help me find them. Thanks.   – M.B.V. 

JWR Replies: To block vehicle traffic from roads, I was referring to 1/2″ to 5/8″ diameter steel cable and cable clamps to fit the same. These are available at any logging or machinery supply company.  They are set 18″ to 24″ above the ground, and locked with large padlocks. If large trees are not already growing in suitable locations for attachment, then you should set stout steel posts in concrete. Used lengths of standard gauge railroad track work well. You can use a cutting torch to punch holes through the thin (side) sections, to thread through the cable. After the cable clamps are positioned and tightened, you should braze or weld a blob on each bolt and nut end, to prevent the nuts from being loosened.

An important proviso: As previously mentioned in my blog and per widely-accepted military doctrine, any obstacle that is not within line of sight (and line of fire) of your retreat’s defenders will only serve as a brief delaynot a true obstacle to advance.



Letter Re: Coffee in a Post-Collapse Society

Dear Mr. Rawles,  
I would like to add one more consideration to the post-collapse coffee junkie.  My fellow caffeine addicts may be under the misperception that their fix has to come from Java, Columbia or China.  Not strictly true.  Although it is not “coffee” per se, there is a native plant which can provide a caffeine jolt, hold off that dreaded withdrawal headache for you or be used to treat asthma attacks.  Ilex vomitoria var pendula, a.k.a. “Weeping Holly“, is the only native caffeine producing plant, and grows very well anywhere other hollies grow.  The preparation is a little different, in that young leaves and twigs can be dried then roasted to a golden brown and ground in a mortar to a powder.  To prepare what the Native Americans referred to as “the black drink” you put some powder in a vessel, add cold water to steep then add hot water before drinking.  The steep time and dilution need to be experimented with to your taste, but can be anywhere from a mild tea to a heart-pounding, nausea-inducing level of caffeination. 

Incidentally, although they are very pretty and wildlife loves them, the berries are mildly toxic (and the source of the very unattractive species name) and should be left alone. –  Chris in Virginia