Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"The Roman Republic fell, not because of the ambition of Caesar or Augustus, but because it had already long ceased to be in any real sense a republic at all. When the sturdy Roman plebeian, who lived by his own labor, who voted without reward according to his own convictions, and who with his fellows formed in war the terrible Roman legion, had been changed into an idle creature who craved nothing in life save the gratification of a thirst for vapid excitement, who was fed by the state, and directly or indirectly sold his vote to the highest bidder, then the end of the republic was at hand, and nothing could save it. The laws were the same as they had been, but the people behind the laws had changed, and so the laws counted for nothing." – President Theodore Roosevelt



Notes from JWR:

Notes from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 41 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize: A.) A gift certificate worth $1,000, courtesy of Spec Ops Brand, B.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and C.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $350 value.) D.) a $300 gift certificate from CJL Enterprize, for any of their military surplus gear, E.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $300 value), and F.) A $250 gift certificate from Sunflower Ammo.

Second Prize: A.) A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training. Together, these have a retail value of $589. B.) A FloJak FP-50 stainless steel hand well pump (a $600 value), courtesy of FloJak.com. C.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $300, D.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and E.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value) and F.) A Tactical Trauma Bag #3 from JRH Enterprises (a $200 value).

Third Prize: A.) A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.), B.) A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206, C.) Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy. This is a $185 retail value, D.) A Commence Fire! emergency stove with three tinder refill kits. (A $160 value.), and E.) Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security.

Round 41 ends on July 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.

But first, here is an essay that I wrote, in response to some anxious queries from several SurvivalBlog readers:



20 Reasons Why America’s Next Bank Holiday Will Be a Nightmare

The world is on now on the brink of a global credit crisis that could be far worse than the tumultuous events of 2008. The ongoing sovereign debt crisis in the southern reaches of the Eurozone indicate that bank runs in the region will continue, and that more bank closure “holidays” will be declared. Under a bank holiday, virtually all deposits could be frozen and irredeemable for days, weeks, or even months. The key question is: Will this crisis spread to the rest of Europe and then even to the United States? I urge SurvivalBlog readers–particularly those in Europe–to be proactive, to stay “ahead of the power curve.” While the Generally Dumb Public (GDP) wakes up some morning to hear news of a bank holiday, you will have long hence prepared yourself.

Digits Lost in the Ether–Redeemable Mañana?

Most people don’t realize that printed U.S. currency and minted coins amount to less than $800 billion, worldwide. That is just a small portion of the aggregate Money Zero Maturity (MZM) money supply that now exceeds $7 Trillion. So what is in your bank account is just electronic money, and there is absolutely no way that even a fraction of depositors could get physical cash to redeem the digits in their accounts. If there is a bank holiday declared, there will undoubtedly be severe restrictions on cash withdrawals when banks re-open. Given the precedent of the limits on withdrawals of a few institutions during the Savings and Loan crisis of the 1980s and 1990s, I predict that withdrawal restrictions could go on for many months.

Here are 20 Reasons why America’s next bank holiday will be a nightmare:

  1. A bank holiday will create a virtual blackout of information on not just checking and saving accounts, but also automated mortgage payments, CDs, and more. Our presently quite transparent banking system will suddenly become opaque. Your bank balance will become invisible. Your handy-dandy online banking web page will be replaced by a “Service Temporarily Unavailable” notice. The willingness to accept checks will evaporate in less than a day. The FUD factor (Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt) will be overwhelming.
  2. Most businesses will no longer honor personal checks, corporate checks, or bank money orders. Showing a merchant your most recent bank statement isn’t likely to sway him. Again, the FUD factor will rule.
  3. All checks in the U.S. are cleared through the automated clearinghouse (ACH) network. Most of this network is inside of banking system firewalls. Many Federal, State, and local tax payments are also handled through ACH. (A similar network exists for European banks–the Pan-European Automated Clearing House (PE-ACH), under the Single Euro Payments Area (SEPA) system).
  4. Credit cards might not be accepted. The FUD factor will dictate that anything even peripherally related to the banking system will be suspect. (Even though the credit card companies have their own credit clearing mechanisms that are only attached to the banking milieu.)
  5. Except for a few grandfathered recipients, Social Security payments are now made exclusively via bank direct deposit.
  6. Military monthly pay, housing allowances, and ration payments are now made exclusively via bank direct deposit, in CONUS. That is true virtually across the board (Active component, Reserve, and National Guard.) Ditto for monthly military retirement payments.
  7. Many State and Federal employees no longer get physical paychecks. They too, are trapped in the “direct deposit only” world.
  8. Many Americans are now very dependent on bank debit cards (also known as a bank cards or check cards.) In fact, many people don’t even carry more than a few dollars in their wallets. If our world suddenly goes “cash only” most people will suddenly be out of cash.
  9. ATMs, debit card transactions, and online banking can be shut down in minutes. This huge vulnerability of banking customers has already been evidenced by a few minor glitches.
  10. Online payment systems like PayPal will be sharply degraded, because they rely on their ability to move funds to and from banks. More importantly, online payments are inextricably tied to credit card processing. If credit card processing is suspended, then online payments will be “dead in the water.”
  11. Many regular monthly payments such as mortgages, insurance premiums, and some utilities are automatically debited from checking accounts. These will all come to a screeching halt.
  12. SWIFT wire transfers will probably be suspended, freezing a good portion of global commerce. Similarly, International ACH transactions (IATs) will also be shut down, since they access the U.S. ACH network.
  13. The ability to process credit card payments will be dubious, at best. Many merchants will wisely “just say no” to credit cards, even if their countertop POP terminals are still functioning and show available credit. And the fact that many credit cards are now just debit cards in disguise will only add to the reluctance of merchants to take any credit cards.
  14. Point of purchase (POP) processing of credit and debit cards at gas stations has become ubiquitous. Nearly everyone now uses the “pay at the pump” option. Gas and diesel could become “cash only” transactions.
  15. Most American families keep less than $300 in cash at home at any given time, including their kids’ piggy banks. For most families, that wouldn’t cover even one month’s rent.
  16. Formerly distributed as “Food Stamps”, the USDA‘s Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), provides benefits to low income families through Electronic Benefit Transfer (EBT) card payments. These cards look much like credit cards. And like checks, EBT payments are all routed through the ACH network. Again, this is a network that is inside banking system firewalls. If the banking system goes into holiday mode, then it may take days or even weeks to get EBT processing back on line. If the EBT payments stop, we can expect riots in metropolitan areas in less than a week.
  17. Gift cards will be “iffy.” There are now two types of gift cards: “open loop” (or “network”) cards and traditional “closed loop” cards. Open loop cards are issued by banks or credit card companies and can be redeemed many places. It is likely that only closed loop cards will be honored by the issuing stores, because merchants will fear that open loop cards might have been zeroed out elsewhere. (If they can’t confirm the available balance, the card will be refused.)
  18. Most Internet vendors are almost entirely dependent on credit card processing. If that processing system is disrupted, then mailorder firms will either have to cease operations, or have them slow to a snail’s pace, and be restricted to only non-bank money orders.
  19. Reversion to U.S. Postal Service money orders (commonly called “PMOs“) will only be partially viable solution. This is because many small town and rural post offices don’t keep enough cash in their tills to be able to hand you $1,000 when you go to cash a PMO. You may be thinking, “Oh well, I’ll just ask them to write me a blank PMO, in exchange. Nope. A recent change to postal regulations designed to curtail money laundering banned money order-for-money order issuance. Bummer. And if you are considering using “Forever” postage stamps, hold your horses. Under a hygiene regulation published in the Domestic Mail Manual (DMM), postal clerks are not allowed to cash out (“buy back”) stamp booklets unless they are still in their sealed clear plastic master packages. So it might take decades to use up your Forever stamps, or you will be forced to liquidate them on the gray market at a slight loss.
  20. Bank safe deposit boxes will probably be inaccessible. Plan accordingly.

Some Observations and Mitigation Steps:

Because so many pay and retirement benefit systems are now handled via bank direct deposit only, we could easily live through a frustrating “Roach Motel” period of several months when “Dollars check in, but they don’t check out.” Be prepared to ride through that period.

If the European credit spreads to the United States, then immediately visit your company’s payroll office, and ask to be removed from their direct deposit system. This change might take a couple weeks. With a paper paycheck, you can probably cash it elsewhere, even if you own bank closes its doors–perhaps even at your local grocery store.

Keep plenty of well-hidden cash at home. Since it won’t be earning interest, some of this cash might as well be in $2 rolls of nickels. That method will also give you a hedge on inflation, and also serve as insurance against a currency reform. (Where a zero could be lopped off the Dollar, overnight.)

Be prepared for times for when anything other than greenback cash or perhaps silver coins will be eyed with suspicion, or rejected outright. Even USPS PMOs and drug store money orders may be refused. In the era of bank holidays, cash will talk. Keep plenty of it on hand. Oh, and needless to say, don’t store your cash in a bank safe deposit box. You probably won’t have access to it during a bank holiday.

Be wise and circumspect in storing cash at home. Don’t tell anyone other than your spouse about that cash. See the SurvivalBlog archives for suggestions on building secret hiding places, like this one.

A good portion of your “stash of cash” should be in the form of $1 and $5 bills. This is because during a banking crisis, many people will not be able make change for small transactions. And if your local power, water, and phone companies refuse checks, then you will need to be able to pay them the exact amount of your monthly bill. (They probably won’t have much “change”, either.)

Apply for at least one gasoline station chain charge card. In turbulent times when they won’t take your check or your VISA card, they might still take their own chain card.

If you have to pay your utility bills in in cash or by PMO, do you know where their business offices are located? And consider the sort neighborhood where those offices are located. (Unless you live in a free state for open carry or Constitutional Carry, do you have your CCW permit, and plenty of pistol practice?) For safety, it might be wise to form a neighborhood posse to go pay those bills in a group of of six people once a month.

Your local supermarket may declare “cash only.” This is yet another reason why it it is vitally important for every family to have a comprehensive food storage program. By the same token, fuel storage also makes sense, if your local fire code allows it.

At the tail end of a banking crisis–when the bank doors do re-open–the Federal Reserve will certainly have to crank up the printing presses. Even people that never had “mattress money” will want some. All this new cash will increase the velocity of money, locally. This will be inflationary, even at the same time that a the macro level, we will witness a huge dollar deflation. (This is because the multiplier effect of every dollar on deposit will work in reverse, as withdrawals are made.) These will be strange times, indeed. If you start to see any evidence of mass inflation kicking in, then be ready to spend your dollars as quickly as possible to parlay them into practical, barterable tangibles. Don’t be the last one standing in the game of Dollar Musical Chairs.

Conclusion
The threats of credit crunches, bank runs, and bank holidays are not new. No society is immune from them. We’ve been fortunate here in the United States to have not suffered any limits on bank withdrawals since the Savings and Loan crisis of the 1980s and 1990s. But don’t expect this stability to be permanent. We live in a dynamic world with rapidly changing threats to our lives and livelihoods. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best.



Food Forest Gardens, by Jason T.

Author’s Introductory Note: As I read through page after page of food items and materials that preppers should stock up on, I have to wonder, “Have people really thought out what is coming?” I believe we are heading for at least a collapse of the US dollar, if not all fiat currencies. We are looking at a financial collapse greater in magnitude than the Great Depression. I have spent the last four years studying economics in my spare time, and though I understand that my sources can be (and are) biased, I have looked at a lot of writings from a lot of very smart people, and none of them have given me a way out. Our economic future ranges from really ugly to apocalyptic.
For the last three years, I have sought and prayed for a way out of what I see coming. This is not a one off event that a few years of stored food will see us through, this is a collapse of such a magnitude that our concept of “normal” is going to undergo a radical adjustment. How do you deal with such an event? How do you plan to deal with decades, even generational time frames? Storing food is not enough. Every supply you can stock will be exhausted long before we see “normal” again, if ever. After three years of looking and praying, this is the best answer I have found.

An Australian, Bill Mollison, coined the term permaculture over two decades ago. His work is almost unknown inside the U.S. (Go ahead, talk to your local land grant college and see what they can tell you about permaculture and food forests. Outside of the Northwest and possibly North Carolina you will probably just get blank looks.) Permaculture is a concept that encompasses many ideas about culture, sustainability, and agriculture. One of its big ideas is using perennial plants as in a forest setting, rather than the annual plants that provide most of our food today.

Think about the amount of energy that is required to produce a crop of corn or wheat. The fields are cultivated before planting to kill the weeds, then the seeds are drilled into the soil. You may cultivate a few more times before the plants are up to kill weeds and add fertilizer, then you spray pesticides throughout the growing season to kill insects and herbicides to reduce weed competition. Finally, you harvest the crop and send it to be dried down, sorted, graded, and finally sold for a profit, generally a very small profit. Do you think this method of agriculture will survive a currency collapse? Farmers will likely have priority for fuel in a financial crisis, if they are big enough. How will you be able to afford their crop?

A food forest attempts to create an early succession ecosystem comprised of a wide variety of edible plants, nitrogen fixing plants, bio-accumulators, fiber plants, and other plants useful to humans and animals. A forest ecosystem is the natural state of the environment in most temperate regions. It requires no fertilizer or pesticide, it takes care of itself. A forest garden attempts to mimic the natural environment, in doing so, all the inputs and energy that modern agriculture requires are eliminated.

Where do you begin?

The first thing you need is land that is owned outright. My wife’s family has a piece of property that has been in the family for 70 years. It is six acres of mostly pasture with about two acres of pine woodlands. In a failing economy, it is entirely possible that the land will eventually be taxed out from under us, but that is a concern for another article.

How much can you put into six acres of land?

Here is what I have done over the last two years. I presently have:

8 apple trees

3 peach trees

2 pear trees

2 sweet cherry trees

2 mulberry trees

2 pawpaw trees

3 chinese chestnut trees

4 pecan trees

2 hazelnut trees

15 blackberry bushes

5 raspberry bushes

1 goji berry

1 gooseberry

1 aronia berry

50 strawberries

2 fig trees

6 grape vines

2 muscadine vines

8 blueberry plants

8 varieties of edible bamboo

 

I can expect a yield somewhere in the vicinity of 3,000 pounds of fruits and nuts, based on what I have in the ground right now. I will have just under an acre planted when my current plants are mature, most of that will be bamboo. I am only about 1/3 of the way done. I have a list of 63 edible plants that I plan to incorporate into my food forest. The most practical guide to creating a food forest I have found is Martin Crawford’s book Creating a Forest Garden: Working with Nature to Grow Edible Crops . There are a number of other books available, but Martin’s book provides an extensive list of edible plants and detailed descriptions of each of them. His book is a practical how-to guide for creating your food forest. He lists over 500 species of plants in his book, most suitable for zones 9 through 5.

What do you do first?

Plan. Plan your forest canopy before you start putting trees in the ground. You want an open canopy with light or dappled shade. I started putting plants into the ground before I had Martin’s book in hand. I have planted my nitrogen fixing trees to close to my fruit trees. I will end up coppicing the nitrogen fixers every few years because of this mistake. Plan for your nitrogen fixers and accumulator plants before you put your trees into the ground. Plan for your tall trees to be behind your smaller trees in relation to the sun’s direction. Plan for your shrubs to grow up and interact with your trees. Plan your ground cover layers and how you will implement them.

I have Mimosa trees (Chinese silk trees) all around the property. These are nitrogen fixing trees that will grow to 40 feet. Since these trees were already present and growing, I did not feel the need to seek out additional nitrogen fixing trees. Also, when I tilled an area, seedlings sprang up in great abundance. I have used my crop of nitrogen fixing seedlings by interplanting them with my fruit trees. I still have a great abundance of them which I will disperse throughout my bamboo groves. In his book, Martin calculates that you want about 40% of your forest canopy to be comprised of some sort of nitrogen fixing plant. Mimosa trees grow to a very open canopy which is perfect for a forest garden. Other climate zones would probably do better with some type of locust tree or acacia. I believe in using what I have first, it costs less.

I will add comfrey as a bio-accumulator sometime this year. Martin discusses comfrey in his book and comes up with roughly six plants per semi-dwarf fruit tree. Comfrey is a chop and drop plant. Several times during the year, you cut the plant down and spread the leaves and stems around the base of your fruit trees as a sort of fertilizer/compost. There are other accumulator plants, but comfrey is the most well known, and will readily sprout from roots and re-grow.

How do you clear the land?

I have used cardboard to smother and kill off grass, I have tilled areas, and I am trying tall cover crops of buckwheat, all in an attempt to clear an area for planting. As an area is cleared, first your trees and shrubs are put in place, then the ground cover of choice is seeded into the newly opened area. An area might be mulched for a year before your ground cover is planted. Oregano, wild strawberries, mustard greens, creeping brambles, and others are mentioned as effective, edible, ground covers. Mostly what I have right now is white clover as a nitrogen fixer to help prepare the ground for a more desirable crop. I am eager to see how my buckwheat area develops this year. I have seeded with buckwheat in the hope that it will out-compete the grass without any additional inputs.

Putting your shrubs in place

I have numerous blueberry bushes interspersed with my fruit trees. I have planted the blueberry bushes to close to my fruit trees and in some locations, I have placed them in the shadow of the trees. These will need to be moved at some point in the future. I have only recently added gooseberry and aronia; these will tolerate much more shade than my blueberries. In fact, many shrub species are able to tolerate a decent amount of shade, which allows them to be planted more densely inside a forest garden. Saskatoon, sea buckthorn, currants, goji berries, and many others can be planted into the shade of your forest garden. Sea buckthorn will actually do double duty as a fruit bearing plant and a nitrogen fixer.

Things you learn along the way

There are many ways to create a forest garden. I have started out in a systematic way by clearing ground and planting first my trees, then my shrubs, and finally ground cover plants. I am planting one variety at a time. Martin walks you through each of these phases in his book, but I have since learned that there are other ways to accomplish your objective.

Sepp Holtzer and other people doing permaculture and forest gardens often put together a large and diverse collection of seeds and plant everything all at once. I believe they mostly do this with ground covers and shrubs. They start out with an entire ecosystem growing competitively in the lower layers. You will get a lot of nitrogen fixing and carbon sequestering going on all at once. I think you will have a difficult time harvesting until the plants have sorted themselves out, but I think you will get establishment much more quickly. I have only just learned about this approach, and I will likely give it a try on some corner of our property.

Conclusion

After almost four years of searching for a way to deal with the coming tidal wave of debt and destruction approaching us all, a food forest garden is the best idea I have found. The idea is to build a complete ecosystem, that is geared toward producing food for you and your family, and sustaining its own fertility. You can incorporate whatever you need into your food forest. There are plants that will produce fiber, plants that will produce dyes, medicinal plants that I didn’t even mention, food, timber, whatever you need can be incorporated into your forest garden design; if it will grow in your climate.

My goals are maximum sustainability and maximum self-reliance. To achieve these goals in a world of limited fuel and money, I had to look outside the box of conventional thinking. There will be no more runs to home depot for bags of mulch and compost. There may be very few runs anywhere in the future. What we have on our own property is what we will have to work with. A close community of like-minded individuals will/may offset our own shortcomings, but being as prepared as we can possibly imagine is the best way to achieve optimal results.

JWR Adds: I recommend planting bamboo and other invasive plants only in the most secure planters with solid bottoms. (Preferably cast concrete!) Letting bamboo find its own limits on your property is an invitation to expending countless hours of toil and gallons of sweat. The same can be said for some berry bushes, especially in damp climates. Plan ahead!



Letter Re: Advice on Buying Silver

JWR,
My wife and I have been discussing which type of physical silver to buy to get out of dollars, but we are unsure of where to start.  On your blog and in your books, you expound on the benefits of pre-1965 coinage with its 90% silver content, and we have looked at buying these coins in bulk from Northwest Territorial Mint.  While perusing that site, we also found that they sell one troy ounce Silver Eagles struck by the US Mint that are .999 pure silver.  There are pros and cons to both the pre-1965 coins and the Silver Eagles, and if we had enough money we would buy both in bulk, but our funds are limited.  Could you provide any input as to which silver you would suggest as a starting point?

Thanks for your site and all that you do! – Adam in Indiana

JWR Replies: I consider so-called “junk” silver (90% silver pre-1965 mint date U.S. dimes or quarters) to be the top choice for you, for three reasons:
1.) It has the lowest premium (“dealer markup”), per ounce, and
2.) It is the mostly widely recognized and trusted form of silver coinage in the United States, and
3.) The coin weights are low, making the cost per coin fairly low.

The per-coin weight could be an important factor in a post-collapse situation, when the dollar value of silver zooms up past $100 per ounce. In situations like that, a silver dime would be just the right size/value for small barter purchases such as a can of beans or one or two loaves of bread. But a full one-ounce silver trade dollar would buy you several days worth of groceries. Granted, these larger coins are still divisible into quarters or eighths with a cold chisel, but using dimes is far more convenient!



Economics and Investing:

To follow-up on a previously-mentioned piece: Firearm-friendly towns in Idaho lure gun makers. (Thanks to Mitch C. for the link.)

Peter Schiff Back on Capitol Hill

Reader Tom K. found a Deloitte study that shows some insights on America’s true debt situation: America’s Debt Crisis: New research reveals five unexamined risks

Pierre M. suggested: Damning Evidence in the MF Global Case

B.B. sent this: Driven by gold and silver prices, thieves target coin collections

Global Financial System, A “Dead End of Historic Proportions”

Items from The Economatrix:

Greece Warned as “Beyond Repair”

The Euro’s “Guilty Men” Are Now Steering Europe to Catastrophe

CEOs Losing Optimism as Job Slowdown Imperils US Growth



Odds ‘n Sods:

This law goes beyond Nanny Statism: Ohio House Okays Ban on Hidden Car Compartments. So, simply wanting to hide your valuables from thieves is now presumed to be criminal intent? That is madness. Just like bans on body armor, carrying guns or edged weapons, and fortifying house doors, this shows a serious erosion of our right to defend our lives and property. OBTW, a ban on body armor goes into effect in Alberta, Canada on June 15, 2012.

   o o o

For just the month of June, Freeze Dry Guy has announced: 20% Back when you mix and match purchase two or more different brands or two of the same Brand with different packaging (like #10 cans, buckets or pouches.) See details at the Freeze Dry Guy web site.

   o o o

Tracy R. recommended this interactive map article: Diabetes, Food Deserts, and Poverty

   o o o

Jay B. sent this: Forget composting, bokashi your waste instead.



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"You will find an allusion to some mysterious cause for a phenomenon in Stocks. It is surmised that the deferred debt is to be taken up at the next session, and some anticipated provision made for it. This may either be an invention of those who wish to sell, or it may be a reality imparted in confidence to the purchasers or smelt out by their sagacity. I have had a hint that something is intended and has dropt from 1 which has led to this speculation. I am unwilling to credit the fact, untill I have further evidence, which I am in a train of getting if it exists. It is said that packet boats & expresses are again sent from this place to the Southern States, to buy up the paper of all sorts which has risen in the market here. These & other abuses make it a problem whether the system of the old paper under a bad Government, or of the new under a good one, be chargeable with the greater substantial injustice. The true difference seems to be that by the former the few were the victims to the many; by the latter the many to the few. It seems agreed on all hands now that the bank is a certain & gratuitous augmentation of the capitals subscribed, in a proportion of not less than 40 or 50 [per cent] and if the deferred debt should be immediately provided for in favor of the purchasers of it in the deferred shape, & since the unanimous vote that no change [should] be made in the funding system, my imagination will not attempt to set bounds to the daring depravity of the times. The stock-jobbers will become the pretorian band of the Government, at once its tool & its tyrant; bribed by its largesses, & overawing it by clamours & combinations." – President James Madison



Note From JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 41 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize: A.) A gift certificate worth $1,000, courtesy of Spec Ops Brand, B.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and C.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $350 value.) D.) a $300 gift certificate from CJL Enterprize, for any of their military surplus gear, E.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $300 value), and F.) A $250 gift certificate from Sunflower Ammo.

Second Prize: A.) A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training. Together, these have a retail value of $589. B.) A FloJak FP-50 stainless steel hand well pump (a $600 value), courtesy of FloJak.com. C.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $300, D.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and E.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value) and F.) A Tactical Trauma Bag #3 from JRH Enterprises (a $200 value).

Third Prize: A.) A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.), B.) A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206, C.) Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy. This is a $185 retail value, D.) A Commence Fire! emergency stove with three tinder refill kits. (A $160 value.), and E.) Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security.

Round 41 ends on July 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Unassisted Childbirth and VBACs, by Dr. J.E.

I read the article by “American Dad” titled “Prepping and Unassisted Childbirth”, and I must comment on some of his points.  As a “senior” practicing Physician, and an avid closet “Prepper” since the early 1980s, I have often considered the health consequences of a true SHTF scenario.  Only recently has my Family suddenly decided my preparations are not so “far out there” after all, but it has been a lonely quest these many years.  I long ago gave up trying to convince people to look past and through the media hype and actually “see” what is running the world view.  Either they do or they do not, but all you can really do is try to prepare for your Family, plan to join other like minded persons who may not be your Family, and bring along as many souls as you possibly can manage.  

You may also want to read www.shtfschool.com, where Selco (not his real name) will tell you in graphic detail of what happened to him in a year of SHTF in the Bosnia/Serbia arena concerning “basic” health related issues.  Selco is a Medical Professional, and he will explain how a “scratch” in that setting can kill you, leaving your children orphans.  I have corresponded with him, and what happened during that time left him a markedly “changed man”.  Nothing and I mean nothing can be taken for granted.

Having worked in third world countries, I have experienced first hand the effects of not having the best in medicines and medical expertise.  Certainly people do survive in these circumstances, some quite nicely, but that is often the result of “luck” more than it is anything else.  “Routine” maladies can and do quickly kill a human under these conditions.  It is horrifying and unnerving to witness these deaths and life threatening events knowing with simply the basic rudimentary elements of “modern medicine” available, most could have been prevented.  “Simple” pneumonias, small cuts and abrasions, minor fractures leading to disfigurement, the stench of gangrene, amputations (without decent anesthesia), and death become commonplace.  Remember this mental picture as I continue.

I am fortunate to have attended many hundreds of human births in my long career. Birthing is always a happy, joyous time…until it isn’t.   During my career my professional path has crossed the paths of Obstetricians, Family Practitioners, Mid-wives, Certified Nurse Practitioners, Obstetrical Nurses, Doulas, and “experienced” birthing Mothers.  I will state openly the following belief I hold dear:  It is every individual’s basic right to choose whatever type or degree of care they wish. It is also your obligation to assume the responsibilities associated with those choices.

American Dad laments, “The impersonal way hospital staff treated us; the overactive use of clinical equipment, terms, and technology; the fact that I had to keep briefing incoming personnel on our birth plan (since apparently they didn’t take the time to actually talk to read the copies I had provided, or talk to one another); the fact that they ordered my wife to lay on her back, which made the process excruciatingly slow and painful; the fact that the first thing my baby saw was a doctor dressed in a haz-mat suit; the way they whisked the baby away from mom as if the child were public property; the way they treated me like a useless observer and not the head, protector”

This interpretation of the birthing event in “modern” times is certainly different than anything I have experienced.  I shall refrain from lengthy comment concerning exactly “what” a newborn is capable of visually perceiving immediately at birth, but I do know most hospital settings allow one to practice anything the Mother desires as long as the modern techniques of frequent non-invasive fetal monitoring are allowed to proceed unencumbered.  Without a doubt, “fetal continuous monitoring” of the non-invasive variety has lead to a marked decrease in fetal morbidity during the birthing process in the last 20+ years.  Even with these data, most hospitals will forgo continuous fetal monitoring if the Parents insist.  They might, however, ask them to sign a liability waiver and an “against medical advice” waiver.  Those are very reasonable requests.

American Dad’s view of “Vaginal Birth After Caesarian Section” (VBAC) mirrors his obvious disdain of hospitals and their staff.  His comment, “The hospitals sure make a lot of money off of parents’ love for their babies, but they do treat all of the parties as ignorant, blundering, or unwelcome troublemaker” certainly is inflammatory, but neglects the simple fact most “Community Hospitals” are actively closing down their birthing centers.  The reasons are simple and straightforward:  they are losing money keeping them open, and the “liability” costs are too great.

Vaginal Birth After Caesarean (VBAC) deserves a special commentary.  The possible catastrophic events associated with VBAC, although correctly stated as “rare” by “American Dad”, are impossible to predict with certainty, and occur so suddenly, the mother and neonate can easily both be dead in a matter of ten (10) minutes or less.  This requires an entire Operating Team (Obstetrician, Anesthesiologist,OR Nurse, OR Technician, Assistant Surgery Member, and a Large amount of dedicated surgical supplies) be continuously present in the Labor Suite throughout the entire Labor Event of possibly many hours.  This is why VBAC is usually limited to large “University Training Centers” where all this is available.  They are costly and consume an inordinately large number of resources that most VBAC patients do not understand and cannot assume.  Just whom does “American Dad” expect to “cover” these costs?

I doubt “American Dad” would agree to the “costs” of providing all this service on a “just in case” basis at a Community Hospital.  My guess is “American Dad” assumes the “worst case scenario” would never happen to his wife, and if it did, then he would consent to the C-section (“Worst case, we’d have to get another C-section.  Fine.”)  The problem is, in anything other than the scene described above, it is quite probable he would be facing a considerable risk of morbidity and mortality for both his Spouse and his unborn child.  It is doubtful the Surgical Team could be assembled in less than 30 minutes in a Community Hospital.  In “American Dad’s” case add to that time the trip from his home to the hospital.  “American Dad” is, however, willing to assume that risk, which is his and his wife’s choice.  Let us be clear, these are serious considerations.

American Dad agrees an “unassisted childbirth” (UC) would take some “serious training”.  Actually he is over-stating this.  Face it; for many thousands of years, Mothers have given birth quite “naturally” over 90% of the time without much assistance at all.  Simply brace them against a tree in the squatting position, give them a green twig to gnaw on for the pain, stand back, and let “nature” take its course.  It’s that pesky 10% that quickly made it clear “things” could be vastly improved by knowledgeable persons helping with the process.  After all, each new life is a priceless asset to the group, and the magnitude of the loss of a working Mother cannot be quantified in simple terms.

For those of you fellow Preppers kind enough to have stayed the course of this, here are my observations and simple steps to follow in a SHTF situation.

  1. Find the best of what you can find to suit the situation you are in concerning Birthing.  If you are in a position and are fortunate enough to have the availability of a trained Obstetric Physician, by all means, use that person.  If not, then find the best “Family” Physician (GP in the old parlance).  Next would be a Nurse Midwife or an Obstetrical Nurse.  Finally, an experienced Mother who has survived several successful births would be better than going it alone.
  2. Without the availability of #1, EXPECT SERIOUS LOSSES and morbidity.
  3. Do what you can to have a person with “advanced medical training” and experience in your group, or at least have access to that person.
  4. In a SHTF scenario, pregnancy cannot be considered “lightly”. Know the risks.
  5. Since order is usually eventually restored, plan your pregnancy wisely.

Events happen suddenly and swiftly in the birthing arena.  I seriously doubt “American Dad” or any lay person with no experience could act decisively and quickly enough with most of the common complications.  As “American Dad” correctly states, “Again, this isn’t rocket science.  The techniques aren’t mystical or complicated”, but it isn’t calming and relaxing either.  These situations are tense, messy (blood, amniotic fluid, bodily fluids), and emotionally charged.  It is a “pressure cooker” situation and “time is of the essence”.  You had best know exactly what you are doing.  A mistake here will be costly and unforgettable.

Each year we attend to people in our large western city who have a Home Birthing experience complication.  The people have similar qualities:  They are usually quite intelligent like “American Dad”.  They are well read.  Many are “professionals”, frequently Nurses.  Their “hearts” are in the right “place”.  Common to all I have seen and attended is the fact none thought anything would go wrong, or that they were really at risk of death.  By the time they present to us, their condition is frequently quite critical, costing several days in the hospital. 

As adults, each of these individuals has the capacity to make these choices to take these increased risks.  Shall we even broach the capacity of the unborn child to make the decision to not take these increased risks that are unnecessary without a SHTF event?  When we elect to “go it alone” when going it alone is not necessary, is that a fair choice to make for the unborn child.  It becomes far more serious with these thoughts considered.

“American Dad” has much useful information in his article, but the cavalier attitude he takes toward this subject will not well serve his readers.  There are reasons for how and why Professional Medical Practitioners do the things they do.  It’s not always a remuneration issue.  Frequently it is about common sense and giving you the best available chance to make it through a potentially very dangerous event alive and well.

JWR Replies: Home birth is gaining popularity (United States Home Births Increased 20 Percent from 2004 to 2008), but it is still a relatively low 0.67 percent of United States births. The statistics for planned home births show a very high success rate with “No significant differences were found between planned home and planned hospital birth.” But it is important to note that that this data is skewed, because expectant mothers who show any sign of pre-natal difficulties almost always opt for a planned hospital births. Thus, hospitals get all of tough cases, and it is mostly those that expect a “low risk” easy delivery opt for home birth.

One key metric is the transfer rate–the rate at which planned home births transition to emergency hospital births. These are usually precipitated by any signs of fetal distress, such as bleeding, umbilical cord issues, extended labor, or stained waters. (Meconium in the amniotic fluid.) Early transfer is a wise course of action. In the U.S., the transfer rate averages around 16%. In Sweden, the transfer rate is only between 6 and 12%. In some First World countries, midwives are required by law to order a transfer if labor goes beyond a set number of hours. But it is noteworthy that some of these transfers are not due to fetal distress, but simply because a midwife was called too early and becomes exhausted. (Midwives often work alone, and they cannot be expected to function well after 12 hours at a delivery home.)

For what it’s worth, three of our children were born at home, with plenty of prior planning.

I do recommend home birth for most moms. If nothing else, this experience provides crucial knowledge and experience for the potentially dark days ahead, when home birth might be their only option.



Letter Re: Development of Montana and Idaho Economies

JWR:
In today’s post there was a letter about the wisdom of encouraging development in Idaho and Letters Re: Development of Montana and Idaho Economies. The writer commented on how the new arrivals will ruin the area. I watched this exact chain events unfold over the last 35 years in rural Wisconsin where we bought and built our retreat. We purchased 113 acres in the second poorest county in Wisconsin. The area was mostly farming with pockets of recreational lake population. The lake we lived close to was a small (175 acre) “Grampa’s fishing Cabin” type lake. I was able to work outside the area in a very large city and commuted home for weekends. As time went by I was able to telecommute.
 
As the years pasted more and more big city Yuppies bought up the grampa cabins or inherited them. They redid the cabins into rural palaces. To make matters worse, a real estate man from the big city moved in and actively recruited his big city friends to buy up the local real estate including the smaller farms. The lake itself has gone from pristine and quiet to a dangerous water skiing mecca. The noise from boats that belong on Lake Michigan is unbearable. The traffic is out of control and speed limits are ignored. The newcomers’ children litter on the roads. It has turned into a rural city. In some cases the yuppies unemployed or derelict relatives have moved in permanently and crime has gone way up.
 
We have since moved to a more suitable small town for health reasons. The Yuppies are waging war with big farms over a myriad of issues. They are demanding Big City services. Taxes have gone up and up and up. Mayor Bloomberg would love this area now.
 
So in conclusion I would advise current American Redoubt residents to be very vigilant about what is going on around you. Don’t think it cannot happen there. JMHO – Carl in Less Rural Wisconsin



Three Letters Re: Why Not Canada?

Dear Sir,
I just wanted to mention that Canada’s Conservative Government has recently eased gun laws quite significantly.

Whilst pistol ownership is a nightmare here, I don’t see this as too much of an issue in rural areas, especially during a SHTF scenario.

When it comes to rifles however, if you have a permit to own non-restricted rifles, you have many good options. This permit is simple to obtain. Once you have it, you can buy non-restricted weapons without any kind of registration. So whilst the Government might know you have a permit, they do not know how many or what model of rifle you have. This is especially true if you go with private sales.

AR and AK style rifles are restricted, and are as much of a pain to own as pistols. However, there are many great unrestricted choices available, the Robinson Arms XCR, The CSA VZ58, the CZ 858, some KelTeC models, some JR Carbines, and of course the SKS. There are many rifles available that take AR magazines. Bolt actions [and pump actions] are no problem. You can even own Barrett .50 calibers.

If you browse the rifles available at Ellwood Epps (just north of Toronto), the ones marked “NR” can be purchased with the Non-Restricted permit.

Keep in mind that in Canada all magazines are limited to 5 round capacity with a simple pin. Removing this pin is illegal. – Regards, M.A.

 

Mr. Rawles,
I have some points in regards to your reply to C.N.’s post discussing the viability of Canada as a retreat locale.

The primary mechanism of gun control in Canada is the licensing system, which required prospective gun owners to take a 1 day safety course and apply for a license through the Canada Firearms Centre for a Firearms “Possession and Acquisition License.”  The safety training is mostly common sense but a valuable introduction to firearms.  The licensing application, I imagine, is slightly more intrusive than the FBI background check required in the US for grandfathered individuals to apply for a “Possession Only License.” 

Especially concerning Canadian gun ownership and confiscation, one important point to note is with recent abolition of the long gun registry the Canadian government is mostly “toothless.”  The long gun registry contained records for about 7.5 million “non-restricted” guns and 730,000 restricted and prohibited guns.  The most recent legislation has effectively ordered the records for the 7.5 million non-restricted guns be destroyed, and barring a court challenge by the government of Quebec to preserve just their data and given that there is no requirement to register any additional long guns I believe it is safe to say that data is good and gone.

Interestingly enough, there is evidence to indicate that with legal manufacturing and import of firearms prior to the most recent spate of gun legislation, there are as many as 10 to 15 million guns in the country.  I suspect gun owners who were burnt in the 1990s with orders to register or surrender their firearms under then new legislation probably will greet any similar legislation in the future with an equal (or greater) degree of non-compliance.

There was some concern that prior to the abolition of the registry that the RCMP would move to reclassify many “tactical” long guns to force owners to register them.  This has since not played out, and so it is possible for license holding gun owners to procure these firearms without an official government registration by only holding valid license.  While the RCMP have pressured vendors to maintain a ledger of sales, there is no such requirement among private sales and several great online communities such as Gunownersofcanada.com and Canadiangunnutz.com have sprung up with vibrant market places to facilitate private sales of guns.

Among some of the top picks for those with tactical tastes are sport versions of the M14, Tavor, VZ58, Mini-14, SKS, Kel Tec SU16 for rifles, and most pump or semi-automatic shotguns.  To be fair, there are stricter regulations and registration requirements of handguns and AR-15s and complete prohibitions of others such as AK-47 variants as well all full automatic firearms, suppressors, and various items such as Slide Fire stocks.

There are other pros to Canadian gun laws.  There are many loopholes on things such as magazine capacity laws, whereby capacity is determined by the gun a magazine is originally manufactured for, not what it is used in.  So, for example, a Butler Creek 25 round magazine designed for a 10/22 rifle can be used in a Ruger Charger pistol and is not legally a prohibited device.  Also, the legal requirement for “high” capacity magazines is such only that they must be permanently pinned or lanced and as such, most magazines such as 30 round AR-15 or 33 round Glock mags are limited to their respected 5 or 10 capacity by a simple aluminum pop rivet that blocks the followers.  Undoubtedly, if the laws ever change either through an act of parliament or through a WROL situation, I’m sure the idea will cross many gun owners to take a drill to their mags.

In addition, there is a very loose patchwork of restrictions on things such as barrel length and accessories for handguns that end up with looser restrictions on some items than in the US.  M4geries (some manufactured in Canada and imported from China) with 14.5, 10.5, and even 8.5″ barrels are regulated no differently than any other AR-15.  Shoulder stocks and carbine kits for handguns are not controlled or prohibited devices.  Shotguns with barrels as short as 8.5″ are classified non-restricted and subject to the least amount of regulations.

As for the affordability, while generally more expensive than in the US, Canada has some advantages.  Inexpensive (and increasingly higher quality) Chinese manufactured firearms have flooded into the Canadian market, with Norinco and Dominion Arms being big names in the community, providing good quality AR-15s, 1911s, 870 knock offs at astonishingly low prices (by Canadian standards).  There also are many domestic ammunition manufactures springing up as well providing very high quality offerings at reasonable prices.

Advanced training, including tactical shooting, is also becoming more popular in Canada with several schools opening up across the country.  Action shooting sports such as IPSC, USPSA, and IDPA are also growing.  Of course, hunting is also a established tradition as well.  Unfortunately self defence with a gun is essentially forbidden almost certainly resulting in punishment by process, as Castle Doctrine is not generally recognized under Canadian law.

Undoubtedly, there are some hideously draconian Federal gun laws in Canada.  An important consideration on that though is that they are hyper-enforced or supplemented by additional provincial laws in some places and barely enforced or outright ignored in others.  Ontario and Quebec are good examples of hyper-enforcement, where gun owners have to take additional safety certification in Quebec and where municipal police in Toronto will actively harass legal, licensed gun owners and nail them to the wall for minor paper offences (such as not getting the proper permit to transport a handgun to a gunsmith).  Conversely, the laws are generally under-enforced in other regions of the country including most rural areas and generally the Western provinces and Territories.

While the gun control crowd will vehemently deny it, Canada has a very strong, established, and (by my observation) growing, gun culture.  

While there is a general trend of nanny-state federal socialism and there are some blatant examples of dictatorial tyranny in Canada by my observation of recent actions of the US government (including the Patriot Act, Obamacare, NDAA, NDRP, and EX-PATRIOT to name a few)  Canada is increasingly becoming a more attractive place to live.

God bless, – H.T.C.

JWR:
You mentioned recommendng that consulting clients that they live inside Abbotsford, British Columbia. Unfortunately your information is out of date. Abbotsford is quickly becoming a crime-haven for British Columbia’s tens of thousands of marijuana growers. Gangs and gang-related shootings are becoming very common. Ethnic diversity in Abbotsford (which is the third highest in Canada after Vancouver and Toronto) seems to cause tension among the gangs. As of 2006, Abbotsford had the highest property crime rate, and the second highest violent crime rate among cities with a population between 100,000 and 500,000. And the scariest statistic: Abbotsford has the highest homicide rate in Canada. It was almost three times the national average in 2010. (All statistics taken from Statistics Canada, via Wikipedia)
 
Sincerely – Ryan in British Columbia



Economics and Investing:

The current liquidity crisis on the southern periphery of the Eurozone now appears likely to spread to all of Europe, and then globally. There are already quiet electronic bank runs in progress in Greece and Spain. On Monday, a bank “holiday” was announced in Italy. More bank runs will likely follow. As of today, Wednesday, June 13, 2012, I strongly urge all SurvivalBlog readers to immediately draw down their checking accounts and liquidate their CDs, passbook savings accounts, and most of the their stocks to buy tangibles. If you already own a retreat, an honest one year storage food supply, and a battery of firearms with ammo and plenty of magazines, then go ahead and buy physical silver. (But don’t neglect investing in those crucial “Beans, Bullets and Band-Aids” first.) With spot silver presently under $28.70, this is an ideal time to get out of paper and into tangibles.

The Midnight Flit: U.S. cities struggle with blighted bank-owned homes. (Thanks to Sue C. for the link.)

J. McC. was the first of several readers to mention this: North Dakota Considers Eliminating Property Tax

Madrid Leans on Its Troubled Banks to Buy Its Bonds

Jay B. sent something worth watching: Silver For The Pawn Star Masses. JWR’s Comment: Note that it confirms my warnings on the potential perils of buying any ingots larger than 100 ounce serialized bars.

Items from The Economatrix:

Eric Sprott:  Gold Alert

Oil Reverses As Spain Rescue Rally Wilts

Gold Dips As Euro Retreats, Buyers Favor Other Assets



Odds ‘n Sods:

Kevin S. liked this page: Building Abundant Ponds, Chinese Wheelbarrows, and DiY Algae Reactors

   o o o

The fine folks at CampingSurvival.com have again outgrown their warehouse. To lighten their load before moving, they have announced an across the board sale. For the rest of June, you can use coupon code “june2012promo” for 5% off every item on their site. Please mention SurvivalBlog when you order. Thanks.

   o o o

I recently watched the French documentary film “Eye of Vichy“, via Netflix streaming. It is a collection of original Vichy French propaganda films. I was amazed to see just how deeply collaborationist Petain’s government was with the Nazis. Granted, the Germans were holding a million captured French soldiers hostage, but why did the French become so enthusiastic about rounding up Jews, hunting down the resistance, and manufacturing war materiel for the Axis? There are lessons to be learned from this film. If we aren’t vigilant, we may have our own version of the Milice prowling the streets of American cities. OBTW, don’t miss the included propaganda cartoon showing Mickey Mouse and Popeye bombing France. Propaganda like that is pure evil.

   o o o

Reader R.B.S. mentioned this big crime news in central Idaho: Fish thieves hit anglers in Riggins.

   o o o

I just heard about a new directory of Service-Disabled Veteran-Owned Small Businesses: Wounded Warrior Veterans Directory.



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"Paper money polluted the equity of our laws, turned them into engines of oppression, corrupted the justice of our public administration, destroyed the fortunes of thousands who had confidence in it, enervated the trade, husbandry, and manufactures of our country, and went far to destroy the morality of our people." – Peletiah Webster