Economics and Investing:

Jeff Reeves: The nine places where inflation is crushing us. (Thanks to Paul B. for the link.) G.G. flagged a piece at Zero Hedge: More Americans Believe The Country Is In A Depression Than Growing The World’s Last Typewriter Factory Closes in India. (A hat tip to RBS for the link.) Spotted at Fierce Finance: Goldman Sachs: Too big to prosecute Items from The Economatrix: Massive Raid on Silver / Open Interest in Silver Remains High Everything’s OK with Economy, Go Back to Sleep S&P Cuts Japan’s Rating Outlook to Negative US House Prices Fall Close to 2009 Lows With …




Letter Re: Peak Oil and the Real Value of the Dollar

Dear Jim,   For the last 70 years, the dollar’s value has evffectively been pegged to oil. We can thank FDR for that, since he removed Gold from backing the dollar. I suppose it worked out okay, but now we have a problem. The oil is running out. You’ve seen it at the gas stations, and the price of Brent crude is $124 per barrel, and domestic USA crude is $112 per barrel. The USA only produces 5.5 million barrels per day (mbpd). The balance of the 19 mbpd is imported, mostly from Canada, Mexico, Venezuela, and Nigeria (not Saudi …




Economics and Investing:

Ron D. suggested this article over at the Accept The Challenge blog: Precious Metals Security. Reader Bill J. liked this piece by Peter Schiff: Bernanke is Lying; Bet Against the Fed and the Dollar. Bill’s comment: “I’m in the insurance/financial services business so I can attest to the impartiality of [Martin] Weiss’s rating systems.  Their approach is different from that of S&P, Moody’s, etc. in that they do not receive compensation from the very entities they are rating. Weiss doesn’t have the inherent conflict of interest the others do.” Items from The Economatrix: China’s Central Banker:  We Own Too Much US …




Economics and Investing:

Frequent contributor KAF sent this: Fed says $600B bond program to end in June. JWR’s Comment: Any bets on whether The Fed can break itself from their new-found addiction to creating money out of thin air? I’m betting that they’ll find an excuse to continue Monetization (aka “Quantitative Easing”), indefinitely. In essence, monetization is the crack cocaine cooking of the currency world. B.T.D. sent this: Treasury quietly plans for failure to raise debt ceiling, Regular content contributor B.B. forwarded this: Wal-Mart: Our shoppers are ‘running out of money’ Several readers sent the link to this entertaining “rap music video”: Fight …




Inflation Watch:

Central banks pump £3 trillion into world economy. Reader J.D.D. suggested this by Rick Ackerman: Finally, a Hyperinflation Argument That Persuades CNBC reports: Killer Combo of High Gas, Food Prices at Key Tipping Point. (Thanks to C.D.V. for the link.) C.D.V. also sent: McDonald’s warns of higher food inflation Want to compare the declining purchasing power of the Dollar, all the way back to 1904? See The Inflation Calculator G.G. flagged this: Whoa Baby, Prices Are Jumping for Diapers, Other Family Basics




Economics and Investing:

Some new commentary on the US Dollar Index by Toby Connor: Bernanke Bottom or Crash! Should You Buy A Home In 2011? Check Out These 29 Absolutely Crazy Statistics About The Housing Crisis J. in Galt’s Gulch recommended this over at Seeking Alpha: The Economic Collapse Cycle – Where We Are Now and How to Invest Accordingly Items from The Economatrix: Adventures in Silver and Gold, Part 1 Ampex Starts Reverse Inquiry:  Seeks to Buy “Any Quantity” of Silver From Clients at $3 Over Spot Oil Slips as Dollar Gains, Gasoline Up For 34th Straight Day Is Gold Rising Because …




Watch The US Dollar Index — A Dollar Panic May Be Ahead

I’m often asked about my mentions of the US Dollar Index in SurvivalBlog, and about the Dollar Index ticker link at my Investing Recommendations page. This foreign exchange (FOREX) market index is often mentioned by its shorthand names (“USDX”, “DX”, or less commonly, “USDI”). It measures the value of the U.S. Dollar (USD) relative to several of our country’s major trading partners. Although the mix has changed over the years, presently the index gauges the value of the U.S. Dollar versus six currencies: the Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swedish Krona and the Swiss Franc. The USDX was …




Economics and Investing:

Jonathan H. suggested a piece over at Slate: The Great Global Freakout of 2011 Imagining the worst-case scenario if the United States even comes close to defaulting on its debt. Loyal content contributor B.B. sent an article by James West of The Midas Letter: $5,000 Gold and $300 Silver are Credible Numbers Bob Chapman of The International Forecaster outlined the current short squeeze in the silver market in a radio interview with Alex Jones. To summarize Chapman’s remarks: Gold is going to break out here and is going to go to $1,600, $1,650, silver is another situation, the unusual situation …




Economics and Investing:

Robert R. wrote to recommend an interview with Bob Chapman of The International Forecaster wherein he lays out “details on where gold and silver is going and explains the shorts by the big banks, market crashes and dollar defaults, and warns to buy plenty of freeze dried foods, battle rifles, thousands of rounds of ammo, and plenty of spare magazines.” Price of gold means panning supplies and metal detectors are flying off shelves. (Thanks to F.G. for the link.) C.D.V. was the first of several readers to send a link to an article that was also featured on The Drudge …




Economics and Investing:

Michael Pollaro writes in Forbes: US government’s fiscal plight, the numbers say it all J.B.G. sent this from The Telegraph: Gold price could rise to $1,700 an ounce More housing market doom: Distressed Properties Claim 40% of Existing-Home Sales. (Thanks to SurvivalBlog’s Poet Laureate G.G. for the link.) Loyal content contributor F.G. sent this: A Frightening Satellite Tour Of America’s Foreclosure Wastelands Doug C. recommended: Survivalist Ahead of Silver and Gold Items from The Economatrix: Government Cash Handouts Now Top Tax Revenues Obama Warns Spending Cuts Could Trigger Second Recession. “Laissez Les Bon Temps Roulez!“ US Home Foreclosures Soar to …




Economics and Investing:

Eric Sprott: “Expect The Gold To Silver Ratio To Hit Single Digits”. JWR’s Comment: This reinforces my prediction of the continuing gold/silver ratio slide. If you have the secure storage space available, then it is high time to ratio trade out of gold and into silver. Reader Sue C. sent this: Obama Officials Tried to Convince S&P Not to Issue Credit Warning C.D.V. sent this: Americans Shun Cheapest Homes in 40 Years as Owning Loses Appeal My brother-in-law wrote to mention that I had missed mentioning this: Historic Budget Cuts… Of One Percent? F.G. sent this from The Wall Street …




Economics and Investing:

John R. sent a link to some great analysis by Rob Kirby: Amaranth Kill Shot: Collateral Damage in a 78 Trillion Dollar Derivatives Book Compliments of J.P. Morgan Chase Also from John, a piece by Claus Vogt: Two Collapse Scenarios Michael P. suggested the latest ShadowStats report: Hyperinflation – 2011 (Updated) Scott M. recommended this segment wherein Neal Cavuto interviews Former Treasury Chief Restructuring Officer Jim Millstein: Debt Ceilings and the Risk of U.S. Default Hedge fund assets top $2 trillion for the first time. (Thanks to Mark W. for the link.) Items from The Economatrix: Oil Settles Above $111 …




Economics and Investing:

At The Daily Bell: Dollar Replacement Beat Goes On … and On Downgrading of U.S. Credit Rating Just Tip of the Iceberg John R. suggested this: Debts Just Don’t Disappear Also from John, some commentary by Gordon T. Long: Bernanke’s QEx Box Meredith sent this: It’s Official: China Will Be Dumping US Dollars Items from The Economatrix: Unemployment Falls in Two-Thirds of US States New Home Construction Increases 7.2% in March Fears of Greek Debt Default Hit Markets Investors Drove Home Sales Up 3.7% in March. (Yes, but for a reality check, look at this price chart.)




Inflation Watch:

J.D.D. flagged this: That’s pricey: 13 items that cost more, or will Latest global food price figures. India food inflation eases slightly. (Now down to 9.18% , annually.) 11 Prices That Will Rise Along With Your Gas. Which Would you Steal, Cash or Groceries? (Thanks to Scott M. for the link.)




Letter Re: Harry Figgie Was Right — Just Very Early

Mr. Rawles,   I pulled out my copy of Bankruptcy 1995: The Coming Collapse of America and How to Stop It by Harry E. Figgie, Jr. and discovered on pp. 85-87 three warning signs that the US is headed for what Mr. Figgie calls a “deep, deep depression.” They are:    Tax revenue is no longer sufficient to service the debt;    Substantial government debt is purchased by the Federal Reserve; and    Congress and the administration not only fail to address mounting deficits but make the situation worse.   The book is copyrighted 1992. It would appear Mr. Figgie …