Is Modern Society Doomed to Collapse? Understanding the Complexity Trap

I’ve often written in SurvivalBlog about the over-dependence of modern societies on technology. Our level of dependence on high technology is large, and steadily growing. Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle summed up over-dependence on technology in their novel Lucifer’s Hammer: “Whole nations depends on technology. Stop the wheels for two days and you’d have riots. No place is more than two meals from a revolution. Think of Los Angeles or New York with no electricity. Or a longer view, fertilizer plants stop. Or a longer view yet, no new technology for ten years. What happens to our standard of living? …




Letter Re: Growing Your Own Tobacco

Dear Mr. Rawles: I know…I know…I know…it is bad for you. But I do enjoy my two cigarettes a day. I am also tired of reading apocalyptic books and watching movies in that genre where everyone is running around hunting down tobacco. So, last year I bought 250 tobacco seeds via the Internet. A fine blend of Virginia Gold for $5.00. The seeds arrived. Each seed was the same size as a grain of salt. Thinking it would never grow I planted them in a corner of my greenhouse in late February. They sprouted. In May I had about 75 …




Economics and Investing:

Yishai sent us this (by way of Glenn Reynolds at Instapundit): Foreign Central Banks Going for the Gold RBS tells clients to prepare for ‘monster’ money-printing by the Federal Reserve. Here is a quote: “We cannot stress enough how strongly we believe that a cliff-edge may be around the corner, for the global banking system (particularly in Europe) and for the global economy. Think the unthinkable.” (Thanks to Brian B. for the link.) S.M. sent this: Biden: We Can’t Recover all the Jobs Lost Items from The Economatrix: Derivatives Blow for Wall Street Banks Under Historic US Reforms. Translation: The …




Odds ‘n Sods:

Lee C. sent us a link to a BBC radio segment: Parts of residential Detroit have gone feral. Derelict crumbling houses, human gangs, dog gangs…    o o o Reader R.B.S. wrote to mention that Michael Yon has expanded his article series on Gobar Gas. (Home biogas production.)    o o o Now that’s a mess! (A NASA photo taken back on day 67 of the Deepwater Horizon spill.)    o o o Brian B. was the first of several readers to send this: High Court’s Big Ruling For Gun Rights. That was a narrow 5-4 decision. Let’s pray that …




Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“In 1868, our nation made a promise to the McDonald family; they and their descendants would henceforth be American citizens, and with American citizenship came the guarantee enshrined in our Constitution that no State could make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of American citizenship. The rights so guaranteed were not trivial. The Civil War was not fought because States were attacking people on the high seas or blocking access to the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. The rights secured by the Fourteenth Amendment were understood to include the fundamental rights honored by any free …




Notes from JWR:

A reminder that the Mountain House sale, offered by Ready Made Resources ends in just two days, on June 30th. Ordering any multiple of six can cases (even if mixed cases) gets you 25% off and free shipping. Partial cases are also 25% off, but $17 is charged for shipping. — Today we present another entry for Round 29 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include: First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or …




Hurricane Readiness, by T. in South Florida

I have lived in Florida all of my life. I was born here, went to school here, and my chosen profession is here. I have bugged in through every hit and near miss in my 30+ years of existence from North Florida to South Florida. I was never scared of hurricanes as a child because my parents made sure we were prepared. I do not have fear of a hurricanes now because I understand what can happen and what I need to do for myself and my family. Don’t mistake lack of fear for lack of respect. A hurricane is …




Letter Re: Gold and Silver Market Prices

James Wesley: I noticed about two weeks ago, that the chart movement for the price of gold is almost a carbon copy of the price of silver, one goes up, so does the other in almost the same amount. Admittedly two weeks is not a long time but is is still uncanny. The charts are almost identical, only the values are different. Check the Kitco silver chart, and then select the gold chart on the left side then back to silver. Notice the movement is almost identical? This may not mean anything, but I think the odds are too high …




Seven Letters Re: You Versus the Perps, their Lawyer, and the D.A.

Mr. Editor: As a firearms instructor for more than 20 years (including concealed carry and personal protection), there are a few things to remember in an encounter: “I think I’m in shock and need to go to the hospital.” Often more true than you might think. “I want to talk to my attorney.” He who calls 911 first is the “victim”. Prior to the point where you will be using force against one or more opponents, you should call 911 and keep the line open. The call is recorded and can be used in your defense. If things happen too …




Economics and Investing:

Ben Bernanke needs fresh monetary blitz as US recovery falters. (A hat tip to G.G. for the link.) As I’ve warned before, The Mother of All Bailout s(MOAB)is inexorable. It will continue, round after round, until the US Dollar is destroyed as a currency unit. Clint L. sent this: Silver Without a Cloud by Richard Daughty, aka The Mogambo Guru Items from The Economatrix: 20 Must-See Charts on America’s Disastrous Level of Government Spending California to Offer Program to Trim Underwater Mortgages Fannie Mae Gets Tough with Homeowners Who Walk Away Economy Faces Tough Road Ahead with Slower Growth The …




Odds ‘n Sods:

Medical Corps is running another Medical Response in Hostile Environments class, October 15-16-17. It is filling rapidly. Don’t miss out on this great training.    o o o Reader Rod V. suggested a waterproof memory stick for archiving your most important computer files, such as e-books, and scanned family papers: Corsair Flash Survivor 8 GB USB 2.0 Flash Drive. Rod’s comment: “This may be one of most important items in your Bug-out bag, so don’t be stingy. Get one that’s waterproof, bombproof, and kid-proof.”    o o o Jeff M. told me about a good web site with free barn …







Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 29 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include: First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of …




You Versus the Perps, their Lawyer, and the D.A., by P.J.

I’m writing anonymously because I’m facing misdemeanor charges for spraying a trespasser with mace. Our county has an anti-self defense district attorney. Being next to three fraternities, I’d been having problems with trespassers; this was third time I saw them. (There was evidence of past intrusions; I’d videotaped it and will submit as part of my legal defense.) To prep, I’d purchased a mace-pepper spray-UV dye compound in a canister about the size you see for bear, with a range of 20 feet or so. I saw two trespassers in the side lot from the kitchen, where I leave lights …




Letter Re: Free Online Vehicle Repair Guides

JWR, Autozone.com (the auto parts franchise) has a free feature that allows you to create a profile (make up an alias and use good OPSEC), enter your vehicle(s) information and then access repair guides for various subjects. You can, of course, also purchase parts and have them shipped to your anonymous mail drop location. They keep you updated on recalls, service reminders, etc. You can even download a free app for your iPhone, which includes access to the repair guides, which comes in very handy if you’re on the road and have a breakdown. Of course, post-TEOTWAWKI, the service probably …