Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. In this column, JWR also covers hedges, derivatives, and various obscura. This column emphasizes JWR’s “tangibles heavy” investing strategy and contrarian perspective. Today, some interesting news of a planned Fort Knox audit. America needs to return to genuine money!
Precious Metals:
We’ve been promised an audit of the Fort Knox gold depository by the DOGE Boys and Senator Rand Paul. JWR’s Comments: I suggest that they bring a drill motor to check the cores of several gold ingots at random, and give them an acid test. I also suggest that they leave a jar of the drill shavings on the President’s desk. Seriously, there really should be two Fort Knox audits: A physical “shelf count” audit, and an accounting audit. The latter must include a full reconciliation of all loaned, leased, borrowed, “in storage for third parties”, and rehypothecated gold holdings. I’m fairly confident that there are physically still 4,500 metric tons of gold stored there. But I wonder how many parties hold claims to some of most of it. I have doubts about what both audits will tell us — especially the accounting audit. Oh, and after that, they need to audit the Federal Reserve banking cartel.
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I was asked by a reader about what was behind the recent run-up in the spot and futures gold prices. In my estimation, there are two causes: 1.) Consistently strong buying by the central banks of the BRICS nations, month after month. This is drawing down the available physical supply of gold in Western nations. Particularly, the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) has seen severe shortages. 2.) Derivatives gold contracts, with grossly oversized short positions. Short-selling works for a brief time in a rising market. In a volatile market, just the difference between the spot and futures prices is enough for substantial money to be made. The trading volumes have been quite heated. And so have the volume of physical transfers. It now won’t take much for the markets to see a huge run-up. As you’ve seen me write many times: The law of supply and demand is escapable. – JWR
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The Global Gold Rush: Russia and China’s Shortages Add to Economic Anxiety.
Economy & Finance:
From Wolf Street: Treasury Yield Curve Flattens as 10-Year Yield Falls, Short-Term Yields Stay Put: Fed’s Pivot to Wait-and-See in Inflationary Times. But Mortgage Rates Stay Near 7%.
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Warren Buffett sounds warning to Washington as Berkshire reports record profit, cash.
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Italian police uncover billion-euro tax credit scam.
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