Preparedness Notes for Friday — March 18, 2022

March 18th is the birthday of novelist John Updike. (He was born in 1932 and died in 2009.)

This is also the birthday of Luc Besson, director and producer of films such as Nikita and The Fifth Element. He was born in 1959.

Today’s feature article is by Senior Editor James Wesley, Rawles (JWR).

More than $725,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. Round 99 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Some Initial Guerilla Warfare Lessons From Ukraine

With the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the world is witnessing true Fourth Generation Warfare (4GW). According to standard references such as the Infogalactic Wiki, 4GW has these elements and characteristics:

  • Complex and long term
  • Employs terrorism as a tactic
  • A non-national or transnational base – highly decentralized
  • A direct attack on the enemy’s culture, including genocidal acts against civilians.
  • All available pressures are used – political, economic, social, and military
  • Occurs in low-intensity conflict, involving actors from all networks
  • Non-combatants are tactical dilemmas
  • Lack of hierarchy
  • Small in size, spread out network of communication and financial support
  • Use of insurgency tactics such as subversion, terrorism, and guerrilla tactics
  • Decentralized forces

A Fourth Generation War is much more than just a traditional naval, land, and air war. It is total war, and high technology war. The information war component of 4GW is primarily propaganda. We’ve seen it used quite heavily on both sides.  Early in the invasion, there was a dearth of news footage. No worries! They just dusted off some military training exercise clips and even a two-year-old clip of a gas station explosion, and Hey, presto!: “War footage”. When reading or watching Ukraine war reporting, just assume that every reporter has an agenda, and that part or all of what you are being told is a lie.

Continue reading“Some Initial Guerilla Warfare Lessons From Ukraine”



Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. Most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor, JWR.

Precious Metals:

First up, at The SGT Report: Silver Bullion Sales Surge: Premiums Spike & Wait Times For Products Reaching 4-5 Weeks. JWR’s Comment:  Locally, I’m seeing 1-ounce silver U.S. Mint American Eagles selling for $14 over spot!  If you can find some physical silver at lower premiums, then jump on it!

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Now is the time to be overweight gold – NDR’s Tim Hayes.

Economy & Finance:

Russia’s war in Ukraine may ‘fundamentally alter’ global economic, political order – IMF

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At Wolf Street: But Whose Money Evaporated when JP Morgan, BlackRock, Pimco, Calpers, Others Report Huge Losses on Russian Assets?

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How much will the Fed raise interest rates in 2022? Here’s what experts are saying.

Continue reading“Economics & Investing For Preppers”





Preparedness Notes for Thursday — March 17, 2022

This is the birthday of Józef Franczak (born 1917, died 21 October 1963), who was a Polish Army Corporal who fought in the World War II resistance against the invading Germans. He then carried on after the war, to fight against the occupying Soviets and their Polish communist stooges. Eventually, he was one of the last of the Cursed Soldiers resistance in Poland. His nom de guerre was Lalek.  In the photo above, Józef Franczak is in the center.

Today’s feature article is by Don Shift, the author of seven novels and nonfiction books including Nuclear Survival in the Suburbs. As a SurvivalBlog advertiser, Mr. Shift’s articles are not eligible in the judging for the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest.

More than $725,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 99 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Nuclear Fallout: The Inverse Square Law, by Don Shift

What if I told you that it may be possible to survive radioactive fallout from a nuclear war without having a shelter? Bottom line up front: get inside, into an uncontaminated environment, and stay at least 10 feet away from the outside and your radiation exposure will be approximately 1/100th of the dose outside. Such a strategy, combined with the low likelihood of fallout for many Americans, could give those without basements, underground shelters, or ways of making improvised shielding a higher chance of survival.

Radiation protection is achieved by time, distance, and shielding. Shielding we all know; dense stuff blocks radiation. In time, radiation decays. After the first seven hours, radiation decays to about 1/10th its original rate. The first few hours after fallout arrives are the worst, then the radiation falls off to another tenth again after 49 hours. The seven-ten rule is explained in a lot of publications and videos.

But distance is poorly understood. Tell someone “just go to the center of your house and get under a mattress” and they’ll look at you like you’re nuts. It’s a nuclear weapon, not a tornado. Yes, that might save you from the blast effects if your house falls apart, but it won’t save you from incineration. With radiation, being in the center of a house or other building actually does help.

Note that the distance-only solution depends entirely on having a house that isn’t blasted to bits and the radiation level being fairly low outside, say 100 R/hr (Roentgen) or less. Being underground or behind concrete/masonry is always best.Continue reading“Nuclear Fallout: The Inverse Square Law, by Don Shift”



The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods

SurvivalBlog presents another edition of The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods— a collection of news bits and pieces that are relevant to the modern survivalist and prepper from “JWR”. Our goal is to educate our readers, to help them to recognize emerging threats, and to be better prepared for both disasters and negative societal trends. You can’t mitigate a risk if you haven’t first identified a risk. Today, we delve deeper into the implications of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Ukraine Invasion Updates

This is starting to sound like passages from my novels:

JWR Asks:  So, when do we read the first news accounts of Ukrainians mixing up their own thermite?

Russia’s “Stuck” Convoy in Northern Ukraine

Blog reader Bill C. recommended this detailed analysis of Russia’s “stuck” convoy in northern Ukraine by Finnish tech and military strategy expert Tomi T. Ahonen: Convoy Thread 1.

Lithuanians Buying Guns as War Rages

Our own Pat Cascio suggested this article: Echoes of 1990: Lithuanians buying guns as war rages.

Continue reading“The Survivalist’s Odds ‘n Sods”



The Editors’ Quote of the Day:

“As a general principle, for those looking for advice from this thread, it is generally better to own physical things like a home or stock in companies you think make good products, than dollars when inflation is high. I still own and won’t sell my Bitcoin, Ethereum or Doge, for what its worth.” – Elon Musk, from a March, 2022 tweet



Preparedness Notes for Wednesday — March 16, 2022

Today is the anniversary of the Battle at Pound Gap Kentucky. (1862)

SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

Today we present another entry for Round 99 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. The photovoltaic power specialists at Quantum Harvest LLC  are providing a store-wide 10% off coupon. Depending on the model chosen, this could be worth more than $2000.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any of their one, two, or three-day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three-day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  5. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  6. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.
  7. Two sets of The Civil Defense Manual, (in two volumes) — a $193 value — kindly donated by the author, Jack Lawson.

Second Prize:

  1. A Front Sight Lifetime Diamond Membership, providing lifetime free training at any Front Sight Nevada course, with no limit on repeating classes. This prize is courtesy of a SurvivalBlog reader who prefers to be anonymous.
  2. A SIRT STIC AR-15/M4 Laser Training Package, courtesy of Next Level Training, that has a combined retail value of $679
  3. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. A transferable $150 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun. There is no paperwork required for delivery of pre-1899 guns into most states, making them the last bastion of firearms purchasing privacy!

Third Prize:

  1. Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
  2. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  3. A LogOX 3-in-1 Forestry MultiTool (a $189 value) and a WoodOx Sling (a $79.95 value), courtesy of LogOx, both made in USA.
  4. A transferable $100 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun.

More than $725,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 99 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Tornado Preparedness, by SwampFox

You’ve been asleep for about an hour. The fan you keep on in your bedroom turns off, causing you to wake unexpectedly. You glance at your alarm clock on the nightstand and notice that the red numbers aren’t illuminated. Power outage. Unable to get back to sleep, you shuffle down the hall to the kitchen, and light a couple of candles. In the dim light you notice your housecat sitting on a chair, with wide eyes and twitching ears. She’s alert and disturbed. A strong wind is blowing outside, but then you hear something else. An unmistakeable, dull roaring, rushing sound. With chilling clarity, you realize that you have mere seconds to get to safety. A tornado is almost at your door!

The description above was my experience three years ago. I’ve been in or near four tornados over the years. People normally prepare for more national events such as social collapse, hyperinflation, or EMP. However, a local event can become your own personal apocalypse very rapidly. Awareness, proper construction, and simple measures can reduce the damage and chaos you might otherwise experience from the majority of such storms.Continue reading“Tornado Preparedness, by SwampFox”



SurvivalBlog Readers’ & Editors’ Snippets

This weekly column is a collection of short snippets: responses to posted articles, practical self-sufficiency items, how-tos, lessons learned, tips and tricks, and news items — both from readers and from SurvivalBlog’s editors. We may select some long e-mails for posting as separate letters.

Google’s Character Assassination Committee (or Algorithm) is apparently still hard at work. For the past few weeks, a search on either “SurvivalBlog” or  “James Wesley, Rawles” using the Google search engine results in a link to my Wikipedia biography, but also a 2014 booking mugshot of an Oregon murder suspect. (That is NOT me!) That man was later convicted. This photo-linking “error” can be traced back to an article at the ADL website, and it is downright defamatory. Despite numerous requests, Google has not removed that wrongly-linked photo. Perhaps it will take a lot of e-mails to Google from SurvivalBlog readers, to spur them to action.

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As Ukraine’s war of resistance against their Russian occupiers develops, it will be interesting to see what weapons show up in the hands of guerillas. Our Editor-At-Large Michael Z. Williamson noted that a WWII-vintage Degtyaryov DP-27 (“Stalin’s record player”) LMG was just seen. This will surely become a “spot the guns pulled out of the attic” exercise, just like we had during the 1992-1995 Bosnian war. Thusfar, most of what is coming out of Ukranian attics appears to be modern.

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Democrat Spending Bill Contains ‘Serious Expansion of Federal Gun Control’.

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Oh, and: $1.5 trillion federal spending bill allocates $2.6 billion to programs that fight “disinformation” and “hate”.

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Speaking of censorship, take a few minutes to read this essay: The Overton Window Is Being Shoved Toward Warmongering Extremism.

Continue reading“SurvivalBlog Readers’ & Editors’ Snippets”



The Editors’ Quote of the Day:

“It is manifest that the only security against the tyranny of the government lies in forcible resistance to the execution of the injustice; because the injustice will certainly be executed, unless it be forcibly resisted.” – Lysander Spooner


Preparedness Notes for Tuesday — March 15, 2022

This is the birthday of General and President Andrew Jackson, in 1767. He was the 7th President of the United States (1829-1837.)

SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

Today we present another entry for Round 99 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. The photovoltaic power specialists at Quantum Harvest LLC  are providing a store-wide 10% off coupon. Depending on the model chosen, this could be worth more than $2000.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any of their one, two, or three-day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three-day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  5. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  6. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses.
  7. Two sets of The Civil Defense Manual, (in two volumes) — a $193 value — kindly donated by the author, Jack Lawson.

Second Prize:

  1. A Front Sight Lifetime Diamond Membership, providing lifetime free training at any Front Sight Nevada course, with no limit on repeating classes. This prize is courtesy of a SurvivalBlog reader who prefers to be anonymous.
  2. A SIRT STIC AR-15/M4 Laser Training Package, courtesy of Next Level Training, that has a combined retail value of $679
  3. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. A transferable $150 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun. There is no paperwork required for delivery of pre-1899 guns into most states, making them the last bastion of firearms purchasing privacy!

Third Prize:

  1. Three sets each of made-in-USA regular and wide-mouth reusable canning lids. (This is a total of 300 lids and 600 gaskets.) This prize is courtesy of Harvest Guard (a $270 value)
  2. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  3. A transferable $100 FRN purchase credit from Elk Creek Company, toward the purchase of any pre-1899 antique gun.

More than $725,000 worth of prizes have been awarded since we started running this contest. Round 99 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how-to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Addictions: Now and During TEOTWAWKI, by Mrs. G.

It’s taken me a long time to write this, but I do so with complete understanding and enormous empathy. No judgment. It’s a plea to address some of the things that may cripple us should, as seems imminent, The End of The World as We Know It occurs.

Things that can be very addictive include caffeine, nicotine, alcohol, sugar/carbs, prescription drugs, and miscellaneous unhealthy habits, some unholy, and others seemingly innocent like social media. I can honestly tell you that at one time or another I was addicted to all of the above, so I’m not just preaching at y’all. We all know that during a SHTF event or prolonged collapse, the things we are addicted to may not be available. So, it’s a very worthy goal to take a look at our addictions in order to prevent a personal crisis when we need all of our faculties in hand. This is a very sensitive topic for many people, but I want you to know that I’ve been through some very hard stuff and lived to tell the story. I hope that gives you hope and encouragement.

If the thing you feel you can’t part with makes you feel like you’re being hugged, and a warm sensation fills your body, pay attention. It might be highly addictive. Alternatively, if that thing, that one thing, gives you the energy you feel you need to make it through the day, pay attention. It might be highly addictive. If that thing induces rage or depression or fitfulness and you keep going back to it, pay attention. It’s got you in its clutches.

So what’s so wrong with addiction? It’s the withdrawals, for one. It’s a confused or easily manipulated mind. It’s a numbness to what’s going on around you. It’s a preoccupation with getting that thing you need so bad you’ll run over others, or sacrifice what is sacred, to get it. It can cause abnormal weight gain or loss, lack of energy, headaches, the inability to focus on important tasks, sleeplessness or oversleeping, upset stomach and internal distress, memory loss, even heart disease and stroke. It can cause you to be absent in mind and body from the ones who may need you most. It can cause missed workdays and poor performance along with general irritability and anxiety. I could go on.

I would say that determination and stubbornness played a large part in my breaking free from things that had me in their grip. I’ve often been chastised and ridiculed for those very traits that the Lord gave me. I am thankful for who God made me to be. I also have what I’ve heard described as an “addictive personality” and I’m not really sure what that means other than I’ve fallen for various addictions in life, some innocently enough, and others intentionally. I was thoroughly disgusted if one of my weaknesses was pointed out by someone else because I was embarrassed and/or defensive, or worse, I thought the person pointing it out was far more addicted than I was. Pay no never mind to others and just focus on cleaning up yourself.

Look at yourself and identify your personality traits that drive you this way or that way. Things that could be used for good, can also be used for bad – accept that about our human nature. Then, ask the Lord to direct your steps and light your path. He did that for me, but I had to make a choice first. I didn’t want to be in a position of being beholden to anything that would worsen my health or relationships. I wanted to be able to think clearly and objectively, and not be manipulated due to my weakened state.

It’s very interesting to me how my priorities changed once I was not dependent on that thing (pick one). My life wasn’t scheduled around it anymore. I didn’t have to make an urgent trip to the pharmacy or the grocery/liquor store anymore. I certainly didn’t need as many doctor appointments, that’s for sure. I dropped 35 lbs since dropping many addictions. I didn’t need pills for each complaint that was tangentially associated with the chief complaint. It’s amazing what “good doctors” will prescribe to meet each complaint. I think I was taking a dozen different pills at one time, all associated with a severe illness, none of which solved the illness just “symptoms”. For each pill, there’s a long “rap sheet” of unintended consequences associated with that pharmaceutical, requiring more pharmaceuticals. It becomes a vicious cycle. At any rate, I’m glad to not be driven by the need anymore.

I will say here that I’m not telling anyone what to do in regards to prescription drugs – I’m sharing my experiences. Some drugs are life-saving and necessary and I am thankful for them. However, one should read the “rap sheet” and get intimately familiar with it. Think critically about the problem you intend to solve and decide if it’s worth engendering more problems. That’s common sense and it’s insane that doctors don’t go through the side effects as much as they ought. If you’ve got a Pharmacist you can trust, make an appointment to discuss all your meds, their interactions, and side effects. Take it seriously and don’t just blindly trust that if you were prescribed something, that you actually need it. In regards to “illegal drugs”, they are illegal for a reason, but many that are “legal” are also lethal. Just because something is legal, doesn’t make it right.

I’m intentionally leaving out any stories or information about people in my family or in my sphere of experience who have, or had, any number of addictions. Simply because those are not my stories to tell. But, we’ve all probably had experience either with our own addictions, or with people we know who did not live to tell their own stories.

Let’s say we take the time to identify the things, the addictions, that are holding us back. What happens then? It takes time, serious reflection, and a lot of research to identify how to holistically care for the body, mind, and soul without addictions. For example, even though I no longer take prescription pain medications, I have a tremendous amount of pain. No, the pain has not gone away, no, not at all. It’s there in all it’s searing glory, every minute of every day and night. I have had to modify my life in order to cope with it. But that doesn’t mean I stop living. I think I’ve developed a much higher tolerance to it, maybe. I’ve learned to push through it and ignore it even. I’ve learned to rest when I’d like to keep going. I’ve had to bow out of many activities that I know will put me in bed for days. I’ve learned just what my body needs and when it needs it. I’ve trained my mind to not rage against the pain and assert I don’t deserve to be in so much pain.

I reject others pushing on me, especially when they have no idea of how I cope. I don’t mask it with a smile – I choose to smile in spite of it. I think, and of course I could be wrong, that this attitude could be applied to many addictions. Sometimes, we have a “thorn” stuck in us, something that might always be there. It’s up to us individually to point to our “thorn in the side” and identify it, then tell it how we are going to deal with it rather than lay down in a helpless heap and succumb.

According to Matthew 5:37, “All you need to say is simply ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ anything beyond this comes from the evil one.” I take that verse to heart and have had to practice it. We’re all so used to other people demanding a reason for our decisions. They think, wrongly, that they have the right to judge our decisions. They do not. In our decision making about our own personal lives, it is between us and our Lord, not anyone else. He’s the One we will ultimately stand before. That’s not to be used as an excuse, however, for our addictions. Some have said in defense of an addiction, “It’s between me and God”, and that is true. It certainly is.

Back to the primary point of addictions during The End of The World as We Know it (TEOTWAWKI). As we’ve seen with the shortages of Everything the last couple of years, we can assume that many things we are used to won’t be available in the future. That is reason enough to kick the addiction cans to the curb. I cannot imagine being in a situation where something I heavily relied on just went poof! Gone. You can’t store enough of whatever that thing is for the long haul. You can only hope to have some and then you will have only delayed breaking free. In my mind, it’s better to deal with the monkey on my back now, than later when everything will be much harder.

I’m not perfect and I don’t claim any superpowers. But, I do know the mind is extremely powerful. Once a decision is made, there are lots of options regarding the How. I didn’t break free of prescription drugs the “right way”. I tossed them and never looked back, curled up in a ball for a few weeks, and gutted it out. I hear that’s a bad idea. I’m thankful that the withdrawals were not more serious than they were. Each person has to make their own decisions. There’s tons of help out there including 12 step programs that are highly effective and relate to a lot more than just alcohol dependence. Your doctor, surprisingly, may be delighted in your decision and know how to help you. There’s a support group out there for just about everything if you think that will help. The decision is the first step.

Last thoughts: Breaking free of addictions may be the hardest thing you’ve ever done in your life. Wouldn’t it be better done now using free will, than forced to do it under less than ideal circumstances? Something to seriously consider. May the Lord bless you and keep you in His will.



SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt

This weekly column features news stories and event announcements from around the American Redoubt region. (Idaho, Montana, eastern Oregon, eastern Washington, and Wyoming.) Much of the region is also more commonly known as The Inland Northwest. We also mention companies of interest to preppers and survivalists that are located in the American Redoubt region. Today, we focus on the developing Central Oregon drought. (See the Central & Eastern Oregon section.)

Idaho

Idaho Parents Have Child Medically Kidnapped for Missing Doctor’s Appointment.

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In related news: Police: Ammon Bundy arrested in trespassing case.

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Judge rules on East Idaho News petition, orders release of redacted school shooting documents.

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Idaho House Votes for Potential Gold and Silver Allocation to Hedge State Funds.

Continue reading“SurvivalBlog’s News From The American Redoubt”