Odds ‘n Sods:

The White House warns: a weak strain of Asian Avian Flu may already be in the U.S.

   o o o

SurvivalBlog reader MP dropped me a line and mentioned that Orson Scott Card, the author of the military sci-fi classic “Ender’s Game,” has posted the first five chapters for his newest book, “Empire.” From the description on Card’s web page: “The American Empire has grown too fast, and the fault lines at home are stressed to the breaking point. The war of words between Right and Left has collapsed into a shooting war, though most people just want to be left alone. The battle rages between the high-technology weapons on one side and militia foot soldiers on the other, devastating the cities and overrunning the countryside.”

   o o o

Money and Markets reports: Major Condo Development Company Predicts Collapse

   o o o

E-mail me your favorite quotes, and I’ll post them.





Note From JWR:

Today we present an article for Round 6 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The writer of the best non-fiction article will win a valuable four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate. (Worth up to $1,600.) Second prize is a copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, (normally $149) generously donated by Jake Stafford of Arbogast Publishing. If you want a chance to win Round 6, start writing and e-mail us your article. Round 6 will end on September 30th. Remember that the articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival will have an advantage in the judging.



The Pros and Cons of Government Service in TEOTWAWKI, by Jeremy G.

In 1976 Ronald Reagan said “The nine most terrifying words in the English language are, “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.””

Why do so many of us agree with these words?
Is our innate distrust of an organization that’s takes our hard earned money and uses it to restrict our rights and freedoms because “we need to be protected from ourselves”? Is it that we have seen how government agencies perform in major disasters like hurricane Katrina and we fear that we would receive the same treatment in a SHTF scenario? Or is it that the government has the power and resources to make us do what they want (or at least they think they do)?

Many of us have prepared for our own and our families survival in the event of man made or natural disasters. If we can agree that we don’t want the government and their “helping” agencies taking control of our lives, possessions and freedoms when TSHTF, what can we do to prevent it? Jim Rawles has said on many occasions that we can vote with our feet and leave states or countries whose political leanings don’t match our own. On Election Day we have been casting our paper vote but that doesn’t seem to be working too well so what other options do we have?

To paraphrase Sun Tzu, you need to know your enemy and the best way to do that is from within his ranks.

Before you switch off, consider this: Who is more likely to be escorted to a refugee camp when stopped at a check point? a) a family in a 4×4 with cartons of food, guns, ammo, medicals supplies and civilian ID or b) a family in a 4×4 with red/blue beacons on the dash board, a Civil Defence/Fire Department/Sheriff Deputy/Search and Rescue/Crisis Management sticker on the doors and a matching ID card. If you act like you are supposed to be there and appear know what you are talking about you will probably be able to get through unmolested.

Being part of the government doesn’t necessarily mean being a governor, senator or even a full time employee. Jobs that might suit include:
Armed forces reserves
Emergency services (police, fire, and ambulance)
Local government (mayor, town council member)
Crisis Management teams
Search and Rescue

However: consider that you must be able to leave for your retreat without the additional problem of being recorded as a deserter. If you bugged out and it subsequently turned out to be a false alarm or the disaster ended, you don’t want “DESERTER” attached to your permanent record.

Benefits of working for the government include:
Job security
Good pay (or at least regular pay)
Free training (medical, rescue, risk management, emergency planning etc)
Access to various equipment & supplies
Networking with other agencies and government employees (knowing the local Sheriff and deputies by name can’t hurt)
More access to restricted areas (using lights & sirens when bugging out or even familiarization with areas the general populace aren’t aware of)
More likely to be left alone (attitude, knowledge and an ID to back it up can be a big advantage)
More information (emergency plans, strategies…maybe help develop them to create protected routes for yourself)

Besides these benefits you could corrupt the government by actually helping your fellow citizens. Many of the events we are preparing for are not necessarily instant TEOTWAWKI events and society is unlikely to crash over night. You can work from within the system to maximize freedoms and information sharing until it gets too bad and as a bonus you can be fairly sure that government employees will be paid for longer than private employees (even if the money becomes worthless.) If enough people with a survival mentality are in government jobs they will have the resources to guide the population into that way of thinking, for example, if a local council had five members who were survival oriented, there could conceivably be stores of water, food and medical supplies created instead of new statues; local tax incentives for home solar power and water; Appleseed shooting programs at the local gun club and many more programs that would help the community as a whole while leaving you and your family safer and better prepared.

A final word from Sun Tzu: “Keep your friends close, and your enemies closer.”

 



Letter Re: Australian Podcast on Peak Oil

Jim,
There’s an excellent, very recent Peak Oil multi-part podcast at the Australian ABC site listed below. I found it informative, and also a good way to brake the news to my wife. She’s a type A personality that works ALL the time, but she doesn’t particularly keep up with world events. (Yes, it’s my fault. I should’ve brought her into the fold long ago.) It brought her to tears. Now I feel bad because I didn’t expect that…but, it had to be done. Since she’s a survivor, and smarter than I am, it’ll be good to have her help in future events!

SurvivalBlog.com is a great web site too; thank you for all the information there. Regards, – C.M.

 



Comment About Fluoride Toothpaste in Preparedness Course

Jim,
Very nice job on the “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course! I am enjoying it thoroughly. I feel as you do about Fluoride in toothpaste. It is extremely toxic. I believe a bottle of it ingested will send you to the hospital and possibly cause death. I found a better way; I put some baking soda on a moist tooth brush, and then pour a dab of food grade 3.5 percent hydrogen peroxide on it. Makes for a great cleaning! A word of caution though. The hydrogen peroxide you buy in the drug store has nasty stabilizers in it. I get food grade which comes at 36 percent strength rather than the 3.5 percent at the drug store, and then dilute it to the proper 3.5 percent strength. It is very important that family members don’t mistake this concentrated bottle for the drug store variety as it will burn skin! Be cautious when performing the dilution. Also, when diluting it the water should be filtered so there is no chlorine in it. Additionally, do not freeze it with thoughts of greater preservation since the hydrogen and oxygen will separate. Store with the caps somewhat loose due to gradual expansion of gas, but keep the bottle in a plastic bag, in a dark cool place. Like anything in life, handling food grade hydrogen peroxide requires personal responsibility. I urge folk to do their own responsible research on this and not accept my view “as gospel”. Also, as you research you will find there are also other great uses for hydrogen peroxide which Big Pharma would find to be a risk to their profitability. – B.F.



Odds ‘n Sods:

SurvivalBlog reader Alfie Omega mentioned this news story: Global Food Supply Near the Breaking Point. The story begins: “The world is now eating more food than farmers grow, pushing global grain stocks to their lowest level in 30 years. Rising population, water shortages, climate change, and the growing costs of fossil fuel-based fertilizers point to a calamitous shortfall in the world’s grain supplies in the near future, according to Canada’s National Farmers Union (NFU).”

   o o o

Four interesting pieces of economic analysis/commentary have recently been posted at Gold-Eagle.com: The Calm Before the Storm, by Aubie Baltin, Money and Power Lining Up at The Gold & Base Metal Window, by Ken Gerbino, The Dollar’s Survival Depends On Higher Interest Rate Policy, by Jay Taylor, and The Trend is Your Friend? Hardly, by Randolph Buss. Methinks the economic worm is about to turn. Be prepared. Invest in tangibles. Avoid debt. Pray hard.

   o o o

I just started reading a very interesting book on U.S. political demographics, titled “The Great Divide: Retro Versus Metro America“, by John Sperling. (2004, PoliPoint Press.) It studies the whole “red state/blue state” divide, in detail. (Economics, religion, gender, ethnic diversity, union membership, environmental issues, et cetera.) The book comes with a nifty CD-ROM. It is written from a liberal/progressive perspective, so I must admit that I am enjoying the raw data and at the maps more than I am the commentary. Parenthetically, a lot of what I’m seeing in the book’s data and maps squares nicely with my research for my upcoming “Rawles on Retreats and Relocation” non-fiction book. Sperling’s collected demographic data supports my selections for retreat locales.

 





Letter Re: Newcomers Syndrome in the Rural West

Hello Jim,

My family and I are fortunate enough to live in a sparsely populated area of the Rocky Mountain West. Seems we are always being “discovered” by someone who wants to move here and get away from it all. Some even sell their homes and set up residences here, but more often than not, they last about 2 years and the “for sale” sign is back up again.

Seems to me that the old adage is true… a Leopard cannot change its spots. You can’t take a fellow from the suburbs… drop them in the middle of a Prickly Pear patch and expect them to thrive. Momma starts missing the malls… the kiddies whine that there’s nothing to do. Dad is tired of driving 150 miles (each way) to the nearest big box store.

Couple years ago, a family from California moved in down the road. First thing they did was to install a “security light”. I did the neighborly thing, I introduced myself and asked them if they’d mind killing that light. They were flabbergasted. “We need that for security!” was their answer. I observed that “If a man is afraid of the dark, then he ought to stay in the city.” Eventually, the light went out and we all can enjoy nature again.

Most folks think they’ll be just fine without all the conveniences they left behind. But give them a year or so of living with no doctors, grocery stores or night life within 50 miles and reality sets in… especially when gas hits five bucks a gallon.

The climate here seems to be getting hotter and drier. This year, the prairie never turned green in the spring… it just went from winter brown to late summer brown. The days are hotter and the moisture comes more and more infrequently. The silver lining to that of course, is that the pilgrims will find even fewer reasons to migrate here. – Dutch in Wyoming



Letter Re: Long Term Storage Survival Food Buckets at Costco

Jim:
I just came from a Costco in Coeur d’Alene Idaho. I spotted an interesting item on the end cap near the bread isle, 275 servings of individual food packs in a white plastic bucket. 20 year shelf life. Just boil in water for 20 minute. It has the same packaging that you’d expect from a vendor like Ready Made Resources. This from a food packaging company out of Orem, Utah. The price for 275 servings is $109.99. It is labeled ‘Survival Food’, item #104893 so you may want to inquire at your Costco.

In each bucket there are 55 individual 5 serving packs–sort of misleading when on the bucket it says 275 servings but each pack is for one day. Here are the specifications and ingredients:
premixed, seasoned
vitamin, mineral fortified
100% vegetarian–(except whey milk and pancakes)soy used in lieu of meat
Barley Vegetable
Blueberry pancakes
Ala King
Cacciatore
Country Noodle
Corn Chowder
PotatoBa-Kon
Rice Lentil
Western Stew
Whey Milk

The weight of the bucket is 25 lb., 2 oz. It looks really well put together. – Jason in Idaho

JWR Replies: The quality of the product is not in question, but Costco’s marketing is. A bit of Internet research revealed that this product is currently the target of a class action lawsuit. (Scroll down to Page 5 of the suit papers for details.) The product is advertised as a “3 month food supply for one person.” The problem is that if you do the math, it works out to just 455 calories per day! With 2,000 calories as a scant daily minimum per the USDA, they are overstating the period of supply period by a factor of nearly five times. (The LDS Church’s informative website www.providentliving.org contains a suggested food list that provides 2,800 calories per day.) I’m not saying that it is a bad product. Just figure that you will need five times as much as Costco advertises. OBTW, because of this lawsuit, I wouldn’t be surprised if the product is dropped by Costco. In case it is, here is the contact info for the food packing company: Food for Health International
www.nutristorage.com Phone: 801-765-4663 (In Utah, naturlich, where the majority of the long term storage food canners in the country are located.) Perhaps folks might want to stock up.

Some might conclude that Attorney Pope may just be aiming a suit at “deep pockets.” I’ll withhold any judgment or editorializing about this, only to say that all that I would have done was to write Costco a polite letter and asked them to re-state their marketing claims and re-label their packaging.



Letter Re: Ammo Clearance Sale at Wal-Marts

Jim,
I have read recently on other shooting boards how some guys have stopped by their local Wal-Mart in the US and found selected lots of slow moving ammo with special red sale tags on them in the sporting goods section at reduced prices. I don’t know if this is in the wake of Wal-Mart’s move to clear most or all of its stores in the future of firearms and ammunition, but there are some good prices on some rifle, pistol and shotgun ammo, different calibers and gauges, apparently at each store.
I know that in a crisis situation, you should have only common calibers, but for those out there who hang on to their Weatherby, Winchester Short Magnum (WSM), Winchester Super Short Magnum (WSSM), and Remington Ultra Magnum (RUM) caliber rifles. For example, $7 a box for Remington brand .300 Weatherby magnums, or $9/box for 7mm Remington Magnum is hard to beat. I checked out our local Wal-Mart that cleared itself of firearms last March and bought several five packs of 20ga. slugs for my wife’s farm shotgun for $1 a box.
This is just a note for blog readers to check out their local Wal-Mart (only Wal-Mart) stores in the sporting goods section for the red tag only sale ammo that is periodically cleared. You might find something that will help your ammo stocks or possibly to have on hand to make the sale of an oddball caliber rifle go easier.

After visits to a half dozen stores in our area the general story is that the red tagged ammo, the calibers or gauges that vary from store to store, many at bargain prices, are slow movers for walmart and that most sale items are being discontinued by that particular ammo company. Though some of the stores I visited are slated to lose their firearms, the salespeople said that ammo would still be available, but in reduced choices -not a bad thing. That being said, it seems the best bargain to be had in ammo would be in the rifle calibers – but I was able to snap up 750 rds. of 40S&W ball ammo for .07 cents a round including taxes, which is cheaper than I can buy the brass and bullet for new – go figure. I would advise your blog readers to check out their local Wal-Marts and keep and eye on their clearance ammo for specialty hunting loads. It seems that specialty 20guage loads are also being discontinued (slugs, buckshot). These items would not stock your retreat completely, but might offer opportunities in the future for barter or charity, if not practice shooting sessions for the family. – Regards, Redclay



Odds ‘n Sods:

SurvivalBlog reader S.H. pointed us to a web site that describes an interesting house with an extensive 45 foot deep fallout shelter, currently for sale in Blaine, Washington.

   o o o

Cathy Buckle in Zimbabwe reports on the ongoing currency exchange. (Due to the hyperinflation, they are issuing new bills, sans three zeroes.) This one is a must read!

   o o o

The Whiskey and Gunpowder e-newsletter mentions: “Lenders see a 10-20% tumble in home prices Yes, you heard right: A 10-20% loss nationwide, according to a poll of American mortgage lenders. And much bigger losses in the hottest markets. How big? In the last housing bust about 15 years ago, prices in the hot Pacific and New England markets tumbled 25-30%. And that bubble was nothing compared with this one…”





Note From JWR:

We are pleased to welcome our latest advertiser, Holland’s of Oregon. I have known and done business with Darryl Holland for more than 15 years. As I’ve previously mentioned in SurvivalBlog, we have Holland muzzle brakes on five of our rifles here at the Rawles Ranch. We also have Holland brand nylon cheek rest stock pouches on seven of our rifles. Not only does Darryl make some of the best custom precision rifles and rifle muzzle brakes on the market, but he also teaches perhaps the best long range shooting school in the country. Whether you are a big game hunter, a police SWAT team member, a military designated marksman, or a survivalist in my opinion there is no better long range rifle training available. By taking a course at Holland’s you can become the rifle shot that you’ve always wanted to be. The goal of Darryl’s intensive four day courses is to train shooters to be able to confidently, competently, and consistently engage targets with a scoped rifle out to 800 yards, even in windy weather. Darryl and his staff of of skilled instructors teach the use of Mil-radian and MOA correction. Students shoot to ranges of up to 875 yards. Topics covered include: camouflage and concealment, stalking techniques, equipment selection, ballistics, range estimation and corrections, wind speed/direction estimation and corrections, angle (uphill/downhill) estimation and corrections, rifle and optics maintenance, as well as marksmanship principles and their application. Course enrollment is strictly limited. Call (541) 439-5155 to reserve a slot in an upcoming course. The next course runs from September 1st through 4th, in Powers, Oregon. Even if you don’t have the opportunity to attend one of the Holland shooting schools, please visit their web site and check out their products, gunsmithing services, and educational DVDs. (For example, in my opinion Darryl’s DVD on long range shooting techniques is an absolute “must have.”)



More Poll Responses Re: Best Places for Retreats in the Eastern U.S. and Overseas?

Dear Jim:
Glad you are open to suggestions from those of us East of the Mississippi. For those who are unfamiliar, a great starting point of identifying the places to be and not to be in your state is the work of Bruce Beach and, as recently noted of SurvivalBlog, be sure to see some more recent maps by the folks at SurvivalRing and then consider wind patterns in your area, and the jet stream. Just remember to consider: major military targets, state or federal government centers, nuclear power plants, large power plants and electric generating dams, or any key parts of the electrical grid, and large population and industrial centers. After considering targets for nuclear attack or terrorism, you must then identify the natural threats to that local area – floods from rivers, flash flood, dam breaking, hurricane, tornado, earth quake, volcanoes and volcanic fall out (Yellowstone), tsunami, avalanche, mud slide, cave in/sink hole, forest fire, brush fire, whatever. Take Wisconsin for instance, the two best areas to be generally are probably the extreme Southwest corner of the state and extreme Northeast corner. In the Southeast corner, besides tornadoes, one must be concerned of the Mississippi or Wisconsin Rivers backup up/overflowing beyond the 100 year flood plains, thus you do not want to be down low in the valleys. In the Northeast – it is far more forested, so forest fires would be a concern. There are many other spots in the state that are good also, you just need to think through the good and bad points for each.- Rourke

 

 

Jim,
Some views from a UK perspective: A few years ago I and my family used to live on the outskirts of London. Being aware of the need to be out and away from London and other major cities we looked at what other parts of the UK had to offer.
We considered the low population areas like Scotland but decided against this as among other things it has a relatively short growing season and winters can be harsh.
I asked a colleague of mine what he thought of South West England where he lived. This is his reply.
DEVON & SOMERSET ( A SURVIVALISTS PERSPECTIVE )
This area usually conjures up images of quaint seaside towns & picture postcard villages and this image has helped to establish the area as one of the most popular holiday destinations in the United Kingdom. I have left out Cornwall on purpose as I believe that if you are looking for a retreat and going to move you may as well consider all problems including things like tsunami and even nuclear power stations that may be in the area you are looking at.
The purpose of this article is to establish the area credentials as a survivalists retreat or permanent location.
While the area is a popular holiday destination, most of the visitors tend to be concentrated in certain areas; away from these “holiday hotspots” there are some very suitable properties, in equally suitable terrain.
The following sections detail reasons for the areas suitability:
CLIMATE
The West country ‘s climate is well known for being mild, our winters are not particularly cold and the growing season starts early (the first daffodils & strawberries, produced in the UK, that go on sale, are grown here). You can sometimes even to get in two seasons.
Palm trees growing in gardens is a common sight and with the advent of global warming the marine life is beginning to change, with some Mediterranean species now being encountered off our coastline.
The weather can be very wet at times, the winter is now bringing flooding to some of our rivers quite regularly and this must be remembered when choosing a location. On a positive note, this also keeps our reservoirs full.
GROUND
European policies have caused a great deal of hardship for the West Country’s farming communities, but still they fight on. The soil that they work is very fertile and produces good volumes of crops and will support good livestock.
We do not have the “industrial farming” landscape, instead we have small farms with small field systems, and lots of them. This means we also have a high concentration of expertise in the more traditional methods of land management.
The proportion of useable agricultural land is fairly high, town sizes are not large in comparison with many other areas and the high moorland areas are not that big, so this leaves a good amount of workable farmland.
POPULATION
Density of population is not that high and compares well with the many areas in the north of the country, but does not have the large amounts of inhospitable mountain/moorland, where the population are concentrated in the lowlands and has a limited amount of useable farmland.
PROPERTY
Devon and Somerset have very few “new towns”, the cities and larger towns are expanding, but not massively.
Move away from the larger towns and you will find a lot of small towns, villages and hamlets, tucked away in the network of tiny lanes. Most of these are small, self-reliant communities.
The actual properties are old and have “cobb” built walls. This is a traditional local method of constructing walls, using local stone, clay and straw, often resulting in walls three or four feet thick! This method of building definitely stands the test of time, as four & five hundred-year-old cottages are common place.
Most of these houses are built around a couple of fireplaces, some have wood burning stoves and /or “rayburn” type heating systems.
As most of the villages are old, wells or springs can be found in most of them, which is useful if the mains system fails.
The villages also seem to have a strong community spirit and newcomers seem to fit in quite quickly.
The inhabitants seem to have a wide range of skills, I think in a time of need most would cope well as the trades and experience seems quite broad.
Another advantage of these small communities is Security; outsiders “stand out”.
ROADS
The area has more miles of roads than any other in Britain, but few of these are major roads. The major roads link the major towns and are the most used. If you choose your location carefully, it is quite easy to find towns and villages that few people “pass through” on their way to somewhere else. Many of the small lanes have grass growing down the middle which shows how little they are used. Many are also enclose by high banking and hedges, similar to Normandy. If read about the D Day landings you will see that in the initial stages the allies were bogged down because of these high bank hedges. This could be a boon to your security in time of need.
The massive network of lanes also means that even if all the major routes are at a “standstill”, in a crisis, you could still move about relatively easily by vehicle.
CRIME
Recent government statistics show we have the lowest incidence of crime in the country. Like everywhere, it is increasing, but slowly.
GEOGRAPHICAL BOUNDARIES
Any major “invasion” will come from only one direction – EAST. We are bounded to the North & South by the sea and to the West by Cornwall.
Every year in Devon and Somerset we rehearse the scenario of a large number of displaced persons flooding into the county, clogging all major roads and putting a massive strain on the counties resources, it’s called:
“ THE SUMMER HOLIDAYS”.
All joking aside, the area is used to these changes in population, but in reality I think many would only make it as far as Dorset or East Somerset before their fuel runs out and petrol stations will have no fuel to sell, so many will try to settle there. In saying that I do realise that you can get from London to the far west of Cornwall on one tank of fuel but I think in the survival situation this would be unlikely. Those who do make it into Devon will head for the places they know, the “holiday hotspots” and these will probably be Exmoor and the southern coast. Areas away from these and not on a road “to anywhere” are relatively unknown and should not face invasion by the desperate and unprepared.
TSHTF
So “what if”. Well if it all goes pear shaped on a national scale, this part of the country seems fairly self-sufficient. The cities and large towns may well have problems with civil unrest, but I think many will find security in staying put at first before moving out into the surrounding countryside. Some of the more informed may well “head for the hills”, and possibly become victims of their climate and baroness.
I’m sure the Government has contingency plans for large-scale civil unrest and no doubt the military will play a major part in controlling the population if events dictate.
This is an important consideration, as the Government will want people to “stay put” and not congest the road networks.
The West Country has a fairly large military presence, which may help in the control of large movements of refugees; those who remain in their communities will pose no threat and as said above the massive network of lanes means that even if all the major routes are at a “standstill”, in a crisis, you could still move about relatively easily by vehicle.
CONCLUSIONS
My personal opinion is that this part of the country has a lot going for it and if you choose your location carefully you could well ride out most storms in relative comfort. The quality of life is pretty good too. Devon and Somerset are definitely worth looking at as a long- term survival location, an area of particular interest is:

The Blackdown Hills
The Blackdown Hills are a little-known group of hills lying on the border of Devon and Somerset. Broadly, the area extends from Wellington in the north to Honiton in the south and from Cullompton in the west to Chard in the east.
The Blackdown Hills are best known for the dramatic, steep, wooded scarp face they present to the north. To the south the land dips away gently as a plateau, deeply dissected by valleys. On top of the plateau there are wide open windswept spaces; in the valleys nestle villages and hamlets surrounded by ancient and intricate patterns of small enclosed fields and a maze of winding high-hedged lanes.
The isolated villages and springline farmsteads retain a quiet rustic charm and, using local building material – chertstone, cob and thatch – many of the buildings are of considerable architectural merit with great appeal in their mix of styles. A number of important archaeological sites add richness to the landscape, from high wooded promontories such as the great earthworks of Iron Age Hembury Fort to the recently discovered evidence of Roman iron smelting.
Above all, however, what makes the Blackdown Hills special is the unspoilt rural character of the ‘ordinary’ landscape. Farming, largely dairying, has retained many traditional practices. The area remains sparsely populated and there are no towns within the Area of Outstanding Natural Beauty (AONB).