Notes from JWR:

Because of some power outages and power spikes at our ISP, we’ve been having some serious problems accessing the Internet for the past couple of days. So rather than keeping you waiting for your daily dose of SurvivalBlog, I am planning to post a couple of days worth of posts in advance, whenever our connection sporadically comes up. So don’t be alarmed if in the next few days you see a future date on any posts.

We have finished the judging… The winner of Round 14 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. is J. Britely, for his lengthy article Prepare or Die”. He gets the top prize–a four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate. These certificates are worth up to $2,000! Our thanks to Front Sight’s director, Naish Piazza, for generously donating the course certificate. Check out the Front Sight web site and take advantage of their great training opportunities.

Second prize goes to K.L. In Alaska for his article “Sources for Free Survival and Preparedness Information on the Internet”. His prize is is a copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, generously donated by Jake Stafford of Arbogast Publishing.

I’m also sending out two honorable mention prizes to Robert R. for his article “How to Win with Asymmetric Warfare”, and to Dim Tim for his article “Constructing an Improvised CB Radio Antenna Both of them will be sent autographed copies of my novel “Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse”.

Note to all the prize winners: Send me an e-mail to let me know your snail mail addresses, and your prizes will be mailed to you shortly. Thanks gents, and congratulations!
Today we start Round 15 of the contest. Send your non-fiction articles via e-mail for a chance to win some great prizes! The first prize will again be a four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate!



Making Well-Balanced Preparations for Uncertain Times

I have been a “prepper” since 1975. In those 32+ years, I have met all sorts of “prepared” people. Some of them have been casual acquaintances. Some I’ve corresponded with but have never met face to face. Some have been fellow church members. Some have been consulting clients. A few of these have been close and trusted friends. But only a subset of all of them have pursued what I consider well-balanced preparedness. I don’t intend the following to be a castigation of anyone in particular. I’m merely trying to illustrate that many of us could benefit from better balance. Here are some of the extremes that I have encountered:

Kruger-centrics. These folks put the majority of their funds into Krugerrands, American Eagles, and numismatic rarities, at the expense of food storage and other practical preparedness measures.

Electronic Gadgeteers. The gadgeteers usually drift into survivalism by way of amateur (“ham”) radio. Typically, they spend their evenings chatting with fellow survivalists hams. Hopefully they’ll have an “Ah-ha” moment that leads them to the conclusion that true preparedness means more than just keeping 10 gallons of gas on hand for their generator set for The Big Field Day.

Secret Squirrels. About once or twice a month, I get an envelope with no return address. Inside it is a five dollar bill, often wrapped in aluminum foil. Usually there is no explanatory note. Without a return address, there is no way for me to sent a thank you. (So let me say here and now: Thanks for your donations!)

I have one friend in another state that I have not been able to contact for more than five years because he is afraid that even if I use a cash-purchased calling card and if I call him from a pay phone, that we might be “monitored”. By isolating themselves, Secret Squirrels cannot take advantage if teamwork and strength in numbers. There is risk versus reward ratio for associating with others. Weigh it carefully.

Eschatologists. Then there are the folks that spend more time studying John’s Revelation than they do all of the other books of the Bible. Eschatology (the study of “End Times”) is all well and good, but it has become an obsession to some. They forward me umpteen e-mails with modern prophecies: “I had a vivid dream about cities on fire…” They quiz me as to whether or not I believe in a pre-Tribulation Rapture and whether I’m pre-millennial, post-millennial, or a-millennial. Here is my answer, short and sweet: I’m Pan-millennial. Having read the Bible, I believe that it will all pan out in the end. Seriously, the Bible teaches that there will be a time of tribulation. Be ready for it.

As for the modern-day prophets and their adherents: To the best of my knowledge the gift of prophecy ended with the death of the last of the Disciples. Trust in God’s providence, but don’t expect absolute protection for the faithful. The Bible does not promise that. If you have doubts about that, read Foxes’s Book of Martyrs. Rowland Taylor, one of my great grandfathers (16 generations back) is described there. He was burned at the stake for holding to the inerrancy of scripture. But he died singing hymns.

Gun Nuts. I’ve known lots of people that own dozens of guns, but that have hardly have any storage food or medical gear set aside. Sadly, when things get Schumeresque, some of them may resort to looting once their scanty food supplies have been exhausted.(“When the only tool you have is a hammer, every problem start to look like a nail.”) Instead of being part of the solution in restoring commerce and and law & order, they will be part of the problem. I used to be a bit of a gun nut. But thankfully, after marrying the Memsahib I have become far more balanced in my preps. I gradually pared down my gun collection by more than half. (And I made a tidy profit in the process, since guns only seem to go up in value.) Just don’t ask me to part with my shelves full of ammo cans. That ammo is better than money in the bank. And, hey, it even doubles as good gamma shielding.

Granola Idealists. The other end of the spectrum from the Gun Nuts are the incredibly naive folks who eschew all means of self-defense. Many new converts in the Peak Oil camp fall into this category. Some of them profess that merely living in a tight-knit community will protect them. Others hope that extreme geographic isolation will spare them from the depredations of looters.

Conspiracy Theorists. I get an amazing number of conspiracy e-mails every day, and they all sound so sincere. Among other things, they describe: mysterious lingering chem trails, lack of plane wreckage at the Pentagon, black helicopters, thermite and cutting charges in the World Trade Center buildings, George Bush is actually a Gray Alien, railroad box cars equipped with handcuffs and shackles, Area 51 anti-gravitation hovercraft, MK-ULTRA mind-controlled assassins, the CFR, chupacabras, massive underground bases and tunnels excavated by atomic power, Chinese troops stationed in North Dakota, the secret base on the dark side of the moon, you name it. My advice for the Conspiracy Theorists is to stop spending so much time analyzing and re-analyzing the threats and start actively preparing.

Mall Ninjas. You probably know at least one Mall Ninja. To them, looks more important than substance. They insist on having all of their gear in a matching camouflage pattern. Typically they own several guns, but have never zeroed any of them. They have research files full of magazine clippings from Soldier of Fortune about martial arts and isometric exercises, but they never seem to find the time to actually exercise. They own dozens of “tactical” knives and bayonets, but own no water filters. I even heard of a “survival expert” that had one case (12 meals) of MREs, but no other storage food. My friend Keith calls these folks “Tommy Tacticals.” Others call them Armchair commandos. The Mall Ninjas are in desperate need of balance.

The preceding may have offended some of my readers. But I felt that it was important to point out that some people have allowed their preparations to get unbalanced. All that I can suggest is: 1.) Don’t pin yourself down to just one pet scenario. Instead, be ready for a wide range of potential eventualities. 2.) Stock up in a logical manner that will allow your family to live for an extended period of time with no outside assistance. This means having a good balance of food storage, gardening seed and supplies, means of self defense, alternative energy, communications gear, medical gear, OTC pharmaceuticals, tools, livestock feed, fencing supplies, and so forth. Do your best to be dispassionate, and work though the logical “what-ifs”. Develop your lists accordingly.

I wrote the following back in the early days of SurvivalBlog. For the sake of the many new readers (since our readership has more than doubled in the past 12 months), it bears repeating:

Just as important as finding a town that fits your needs is re-making you to fit your new town. For someone accustomed to the Big City pace of life, this can be a major adjustment.
Get to know the local way of doing things in your new town. Get accustomed to the pace of life. Don’t expect to get a lot done during deer season. (Nearly every building contractor, plumber, and electrician will be out in the woods, with tags to fill!) Dress like the natives. Don’t be ostentatious. Don’t whine about the lack of “good shopping” or culture. Learn how to pronounce the local names quickly. Don’t stand out. Join the local church.

Don’t just talk about preparedness. If you have concerns about the future, do something about it: Plant a vegetable garden, get weapons training at Front Sight, learn how to can your own vegetables, change your own motor oil, learn how to knit and darn, take up hiking, help a friend (or a local church) with a building or remodeling project, et cetera.

The difference between a genuine survivalist and an armchair commando (a.k.a. “Tommy Tactical”) is that a genuine survivalist collects useful skills whereas an Armchair Commando collects gadgets that he doesn’t know how to use.

Rethink your budget and your priorities in life. Here are some examples:

Cut out unnecessary travel.

Sell your jet ski and buy a canoe. Sell your television(s) and buy a general coverage short wave receiver.

Sell your fancy engraved guns, and commemorative guns, and customized “race” guns. Replace them with practical guns in non-reflective durable finishes.

Make sure to buy guns from a private party with no paper trail.

Sell off your guns that are chambered in oddball calibers such as 16 gauge, 28 gauge, .280 Remington, .240 Weatherby Magnum, .35 Whelen, .25-20, and .41 Magnum. Replace them with guns in the most common standard calibers like: .30-06. .308, .223, .45 ACP, .40 S&W, 12 gauge, and .22 Long Rifle. (In Canada and Oz, that list should also include the venerable .303 British rifle cartridge.)

Sell your Beanie Baby (or whatever) collection on eBay and use that money to buy storage food.

Sell your Rolex and buy a half dozen inexpensive used (refurbished) self-winding watches. (These will come in handy for coordinating tactical rendezvous and guard shift changes.)

Sell your fancy late models cars and replace them with 5 to 10 year old low mileage American-made 4WDs with good ground clearance. When you move to the country you don’t want to stick out or be the focus of envy, so it is better to have older and dinged up vehicles than to have ones that look nearly new.

Get out of debt.

Live frugally.

Dress down.

Prepare for the worst case Schumeresque situation. Thus, you will always be ready for less severe circumstances and you can take them in stride. Such preparations will take a lot of money, but ask yourself:: What is your life and the lives of your loved ones worth to you? If being truly prepared requires moving to a small town in a lightly populated region, then so be it!



Odds ‘n Sods:

Nine readers all suggested the same article: Barton Biggs’s Tips for Rich: Expect War, Study Blitz, Mind Markets. The article begins: “Insure yourself against war and disaster by buying a remote farm or ranch and stocking it with “seed, fertilizer, canned food, wine, medicine, clothes, etc.” The “etc.” must mean guns, because Biggs is also quoted as stating: “A few rounds [fired] over the approaching brigands’ heads would probably be a compelling persuader that there are easier farms to pillage,” he writes in his new book, “Wealth, War and Wisdom.” Note that this is coming from a well-known fairly mainstream market analyst! When folks of his stature can start making what most would consider alarmist statements without fear of being branded as a “whacko” by the mainstream media, then there is almost assuredly a change in the weather coming.

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Hawaiian K. pointed out this Federal Reserve chart, showing that the Net Free or Borrowed Reserves (NFORBRES) of Depository Institutions just fell off a cliff. Let’s pray that there aren’t any bank runs soon, because the till is empty. It is a jolly good thing that the Fed is handing out so much cheap money these days, so the member banks can list part of these funds as “reserves.”

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For the month of February, Ready Made Resources is offering a 10% discount on all of their food storage packages. Be sure to get your ordering this month, before the inevitable price increases. Wholesale food prices are rising, and most of the storage food canners are no longer re-pricing annually. Most them are now re-pricing “as needed”, without any warning. Stock up during this sale!

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Eric suggested this: Banks’ bad loans hit level of S&L Crisis



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“The hardest part about gaining any new idea is sweeping out the false idea occupying that niche. As long as that niche is occupied, evidence and proof and logical demonstration get nowhere. But once the niche is emptied of the wrong idea that has been filling it — once you can honestly say, “I don’t know”, then it becomes possible to get at the truth.” – Robert A. Heinlein, The Cat Who Walks Through Walls (1985)



Note from JWR:

The high bid in the current SurvivalBlog Benefit Auction lot is now at $220. The auction is for a Brunton Solarport 4.4 watt photovoltaic panel (a $140 retail value), a Deluxe Outdoor Survival Tool Kit (a $70 retail value)–both kindly donated by Ready Made Resources–as well as seven other items: A copy of the latest edition of “The Encyclopedia of Country Living” by the late Carla Emery (a $32 retail value), an autographed copy of my novel “Patriots” (a $23 retail value), an autographed copy of my nonfiction book “Rawles on Retreats and Relocation” (a $25 retail value), a SurvivalBlog Key Logistics Tote Bag (a $17.50 retail value), and an autographed set of Michael Z. Williamson’s “Target: Terror” modern military fiction sniper trilogy, from Avon books: The Scope of Justice, Targets of Opportunity, and Confirmed Kill. This auction ends on February 15th. Please e-mail us your bids, in $10 increments.



Letter Re: Preparedness for Active Duty Military Personnel

James:
Great blog! I also bought the latest edition of your novel “Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse”. My older edition is in storage somewhere, (see below) and I really like the updated material, it almost seems like a new book.

I don’t know if you have ever discussed survivalism from the perspective of families that need to move often. For those of us in the military who move every few years with weight limits the supply situation becomes more complicated. For most of us, idea of a fixed homestead is a dream for post retirement.

The biggest problem I have had to deal with is moving our guns and hazardous materials (fuels, ammo, etc.). It has also caused me to focus on trying to compartmentalize and organize. Another big issue is when moving overseas deciding what to take (especially books), what to let the government store, and what to leave with family or in a self storage locker at another location.

I am sure I am not the only reader that faces this predicament. – Dave

JWR Replies: You definitely are not the only reader in that situation! SurvivalBlog has a lot of overseas-deployed readers, both military and civilian contractors. (For example, just look at our hit map for Africa and Southwest Asia. Most of those are servicemembers, English speaking ex-pats, and a few consular employees.)

I often get e-mails from readers like yourself that are torn as to what preparedness items they should keep on hand overseas, and which to leave at home in storage. Two of them have mentioned that they are praying for promotions in rank, not for the extra pay but because their moving weight allowance for each Permanent Change of Station (PCS) will increase!

I recommend that at a minimum you keep your 72 hour kit with you wherever you are stationed, and an abbreviated version thereof even when you take a Temporary Duty (TDY) assignment. Regarding books, I recommend that you leave most of your hard copies at (or near) your eventual retreat. There are hundreds of books available online. For links to find those, see: K.L. in Alaska’s article “Sources for Free Survival and Preparedness Information on the Internet”. And as a military service member you of course have access to the entirety of the Army Knowledge Online (AKO) database, which has hundreds of military field manuals and technical manuals.

I also recommend that anyone in your situation purchase a set of the “1000 Books Homesteading Library” CD-ROMs, often available for $35 to $50 on eBay from sellers with the eBay usernames “prciousisthelord“. and “covenanter1599“. This compendium of book PDFs on 27 CD-ROMs includes a treasure trove of public domain books–mostly 19th Century classics (with expired copyrights) plus some modern texts that have been opened up to public domain such as “Where There is No Dentist”, “Where There is No Doctor” and even “The Owner Built Homestead” and “The Owner Built Home” (both by Ken Kern). BTW, a smaller collection of many of these same titles are available for free download at The Librums’s PDF Collection.

The next time that you buy a laptop, you might consider getting one with an extra-large hard disk drive. (500 GB or larger.) You can then keep many of the PDFs of many of the most important references on your laptop at all times.

One temptation for preparedness-minded individuals on active duty is attending on-site DRMO and other military surplus dispersal auctions. If you decide to bid on any items, be sure that you have enough moving weight allowance for you next PCS to cover the extra weight. Also be sure that you have the requisite storage space available. (I have one acquaintance that kept an “auction bargain” Army surplus Ahkio snow sled through the course of three PCS moves, two of which were warm climates!) It may be heartbreaking, but you may have to skip bidding on those nice 8 KW gensets that might sell for less than $100 each.

One sad story that I hear repeated over and over again, particularly from folks that have been living overseas, is that they have suffered break-in burglaries of their retreats in their absence. Assuming that you can’t find someone to “house sit” at your retreat year-round, there are essentially only two viable ways to mitigate this: 1.) Rent a relatively secure commercial storage space nearby, or 2.) Construct very-well hidden caches that cannot be detected–even by someone with a lot of time on their hands. (The worst case is that your retreat house becomes a “crash pad” for drug addicts for a period of weeks or even months.) See the SurvivalBlog Archives for some suggestions on building wall caches, door caches (such as my design), and hidden rooms. (In the ” Categories” list, click on the “Storage Spaces” category.



Letter Re: Post-TEOTWAWKI Trash Disposal

Sir;
It seems there has been little on the subject of garbage and what to do with it after TEOTWAWKI. I would suggest that anyone who has put any sort of effort into preparing for the end should come up with a plan for their trash, and soon. Whether you plan to bug in, bug out to a prepared location or already live in your location away from the Golden Horde and their anticipated escape routes, a plan should be in place before it is needed. The best example of how many communities will look (and in a very short time) can be found by going to one of the video hosting web sites (YouTube, Live Leak, Google) and do a search for “Naples Garbage”. My favourite is when the Italian Army shows up to clear it away from schools so they can reopen….and minor riots occur. The popular U.S. media seems to be ignoring this story (although, one of the videos is carried on ABC).
So, what to do with it then?
Burning it has been popular in every bad place I’ve been to (Somalia, Bosnia, Croatia). There, a burning trash heap was the indicator of many towns and villages, the plume visible before you arrived. This burning trash heap would probably not be the best solution to the survivalist who is trying to stay low in terms of visibility.
I used to live in the country, far away from anything that was important. My neighbour (and many others) had a burn barrel for most garbage that we both used, and a there were compost heaps for everything else. We would feed small amounts into the barrel, reinforced with some wood, cardboard or paper and let it burn. We tried to avoid burning plastics and styrofoam, since we could recycle, but there was no trash pickup. Eventually, the township started free garbage pickup and the barrels fell from popular use.
My suggestion as to what to so with it? Burn it, in a metal container like a 45 gallon drum with one end cut off, at night, either well off the road or in “dead ground” (a piece of terrain that is not easily viewed from the surrounding area) away from the main retreat. This keeps the fire contained in the barrel. The light from the fire will be controlled in what it illuminates, as in, the low ground you are in, not an open field (remember, it is a small fire). It builds in an emergency zone in case the fire gets out of the barrel and an area for any hot cinders to not land on the main retreat (use caution in grassy areas, always use fire common sense like water buckets, fire brooms and shovels). This also keeps the smoke plume from acting like a beacon for others.
Now, does everything burn, or should you burn everything? No. Plastics release toxic fumes when they burn. Metal, obviously, does not burn and can sometimes be re-used in some way shape or form. Have fun, stay safe. – R.J., Up North

JWR Replies: In my novel “Patriots”, I describe the “conserver lifestyle.” When living frugally and self-sufficiently in a post-collapse situation, you may generate hardly and trash aside for perhaps some plastic packaging and broken crockery.

A dedicated “conserver” does not generate much “garbage” in the modern sense. Consider the following ultra-frugal conserver practices:

Kitchen scraps: Use every available scrap for animal feed or for compost. (With the usual safety provisos for not using things like uncooked potato peels as animal feed.)

Paper and cardboard–saved for re-use as stationary or for fire kindling, insulation

Bottles, jars, plastic jugs, and plastic bags are washed and saved for re-use. (The ubiquitous one gallon plastic milk jug, for example, has a huge number of potential uses. One of these is making mini-greenhouse “hot caps” for your garden.)

Candle stubs and soap scraps. Save to periodically combine and re-use.

Steel and aluminum cans should all be carefully washed and sorted, for re-use as containers or a material for various metal projects. (Everything from patches for leaky roofs to alarm bells for your defensive wire.)

After being for soup bones, most bones can be ground to make bone meal, or burned to make lime.

Scrap metal of all descriptions should be sorted and stored.

Wood ashes and fat scraps should be saved for soap making.

Twine, string and thread of all kinds can be saved for re-use.

Clothes worn beyond the point or usefulness should be saved for bandage material, quilts, rags, and insulation. It is likely that we would revert to 19th century lifestyle mode of cloth handkerchiefs, cloth ladies supplies, and cloth diapers. (BTW, Lehman’s sells scrub boards and James Washers.)

Electronics beyond economical repair should be cannibalized for their metal hardware and individual components.

Of course, most of these extreme measures should be reserved for postTEOTWAWKI. The value of your time must be considered! Taking these measures now would probably alienate your spouse. Your family and neighbors would also soon notice your growing heap of stored “recyclables” which they would surely label garbage. It might not be to long until the fire marshal was called to condemn your stockpile as a fire hazard. Unless, of course you could convince them that all you were doing was “reducing your carbon footprint”.



Letter Re: Birdshot Ineffective as a Home Defense Load

Dear Jim,
In his recent article “Prepare or Die”, J. Britely wrote: “For home defense ammo, I use bird shot. This will not penetrate and stop a criminal as fast as buck shot but is also less likely to go through a wall and hurt an innocent person.” This is one of those myths that won’t die. Any ammo that will kill will go through a wall. There is no magic ammo that stops people and doesn’t penetrate walls.
Birdshot will not reliably stop a person. It’s “bird” shot. If you don’t know what your backstop is, don’t shoot. There is no magic. – Michael Z. Williamson



Letter Re: A Warning on Kelly Kettles

Dear Jim,
Great Site, Jim! I wanted to warn some folks that may have ordered or intend to order the Kelly Kettle (mentioned in the article “Prepare or Die”, by J. Britely .) After receiving my kettle I rinsed it out with water and soap. I then tested the kettle to make sure it worked, and most importantly, learned how to use it before the situation required its use. I started with paper burning, then put small sticks from the yard in the chimney and that baby really boiled water fast. However, after using it twice and rinsing it out, I ran my finger along the inside of the water container. My finger was coated with a good coating of aluminum dust and some type of slightly greasy sticky substance. I rinsed it out again and again, boiled it again and again, and still my finger comes out with a good coating of aluminum dust. This cannot be good for human consumption. I sent the manufacturer e-mails but never heard back. It was so much dust–imagine spraying aluminum spray paint and passing your finger through the flow of paint real fast–yes – really, that much. If you fill it with water you can actually see fine aluminum particles float in the water at the top. Just a warning. – Jesse



Letter Re: SurvivalBlog Taught an Old Dog Some New Tricks

James,
Thanks for SurvivalBlog. They say you can’t teach an old dog new tricks, but this old dog learned the following new tricks from the SurvivalBlog articles and letters.

1. I got fired up after reading the “commo comments” and finally got my Ham radio license.

2. I bought a number of galvanized trash cans and that’s where I now store shelled corn, etc. (Hint! Don’t buy the made-in-China-from-tinfoil cans. [Instead,] get the good ones which are made right here at home.)

3. As a coffee drinker, I now stockpile green coffee beans, which I vacuum pack and store in those galvanized trash cans.)

I could go on, but just those three items more than justify my dime-a-day contribution.

I still live a stone’s throw from the Yellowstone caldera, but I’ve also learned that we can’t eliminate all risks. Some we just have to live with. Stay warm, – Dutch in Wyoming



Odds ‘n Sods:

Matt in Texas sent us a link to a great piece about the sheer size and complications of the global derivatives bubble.

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From Cordi (by way of Mark From Michigan) came a link to some plans for a homemade solar oven.

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Michael G. suggested this article over at John Galt’s Blog: Whip Up Inflation Now.

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Eric sent us this: Fed Cuts Rates Boldly; Wall Street Wary. Eric’s comment: “The Fed cuts interest rates by another 1/2 point: and the Dow closes down! The Dow can’t even rally to 13,000. Gold at an all time high today. Billions more due in writeoffs by banks already. Commodities in the stratosphere. Dollar in the dumpster. I think the jig may be up. Hang on tight.”



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"The [Colt Model] 1911 pistol remains the service pistol of choice in the eyes of those who understand the problem. Back when we audited the FBI academy in 1947, I was told that I ought not to use my pistol in their training program because it was not fair. Maybe the first thing one should demand of his sidearm is that it be unfair." – The Late Col. Jeff Cooper, Guns & Ammo magazine, January 2002



Note from JWR:

Today we present a very lengthy and profusely linked article for Round 14 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. It summarizes a lot of what has been posted in SurvivalBlog in the past two years very succinctly, and includes references to a variety of other useful sites. This is a good article to send to family and friends that are less well-prepared. (You can e-mail them this permalink.) Disclaimer: The author has his own survivalist web site (www.PrepareOrDie.com), where he earns affiliate commissions on sales of the books linked to Amazon.com.

The writer of the best non-fiction article will win a valuable four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate. (Worth up to $2,000!) Second prize is a copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, generously donated by Jake Stafford of Arbogast Publishing. Round 14 ends tomorrow (January 31st), so e-mail us your entry for Contest Round 15. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival will have an advantage in the judging.