Jim:
I stopped by COSTCO tonight to pick up some items and they had signs limiting people to two containers of soybean oil and two bags of flour. They were completely out of flour. And they had no 50lb sacks of rice either. So its starting to hit home. This was the case in the West Springfield, Massachusetts store anyway. – John E.
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Letter Re: Sizing a Retreat AC Power Generator
Jim –
Great blog! I wanted to point out an important calculation everyone missed – internal combustion engines produce less power at higher elevation. Generators are (of course) rated at sea level. It’s important to de-rate generator capacity by 3.5% per 1,000 feet of elevation or your generator will be undersized. (A 5,000 “label watt” generator is [effectively] only a 4,000 watt generator where I live at 6,000 feet.) Density altitude on a warm summer day can easily be 2,000 feet higher than that. My rule of thumb: after sizing for load, size generously for elevation or you’ll be buying twice. Hope this helps everyone…
Other food for thought: You don’t need to run all your big loads simultaneously. If the grid stays down, it’ll be a blessing just to have refrigeration – it doesn’t need to be like today where we run everything at once while blow-drying the dog! There’s no reason you can’t shut off the freezer if you need the well pump. The simplest transfer switch allows you to control power to various loads, and this allows you to use a smaller generator to accomplish everything. My genset is home built using a Listeroid (Lister clone) diesel engine and generator head purchased separately. This generator (significantly oversized to run a MIG welder, lathe, mill or compressor/plasma cutter combo) cost me less than $3,000 including truck freight and welding up a stout steel frame (probably $4,500 now, given the weak dollar, steel prices and current shipping rates). Based on decades of British Empire experience with these beasts in third world countries, I expect it will give 30,000-to-50,000 hours of service with minimal maintenance. It gingerly sips fuel and is easily operated on biodiesel or waste vegetable oil without modification.
Regards, – Fred H.
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Odds ‘n Sods:
Fraud compounds woes of housing crisis. (Thanks to Heghduq for the link.)
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A reader in South Florida wrote to ask me why I had “an unrealistic view of the [investment] potential for farmland” and why I “such a strong emphasis on buying farm ground” when coastal and resort properties “have appreciated so well for more than 30 years.” I have a news flash for her: For the next 5 to 10 years, coastal and resort property will probably go substantially go down in price, but good productive farm ground is going to go up in price. The grain market will drive this boom. Land that has long laid fallow in the CRP will be going back into production–mostly planted in corn for ethanol. And every acre that is presently planted in another crop that is switched to making “corn gas” will have to be replaced with acreage elsewhere. Thus, even land in the depopulating Dakotas might even do well. Do you want a recession-proof job? Learn to be a tractor and combine mechanic!
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RBS spotted this: The Federal Reserve Releases Crisis Preparedness Video. Methinks that the banks might have some crises of their own, quite soon.
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Reader Bill N. suggested a web site that discusses some of the common mistakes people make with food storage.
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Jim’s Quote of the Day:
"A government big enough to give you everything you want, is strong enough to take everything you have." – Thomas Jefferson
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Letter Re: With Bank Runs Looming, Check Your Bank’s Safety Rating!
Jim,
Here is a link to “The Street”–a web site that offers ratings of banks throughout the USA. I checked out the banks in my state (California) and found that I currently bank with a “B” rated bank. However, there are a number of A rated banks that are in my town. It might make sense for each of us to know and check up on our financial institutions on a regular basis. This along with choosing the highest rated bank in your area could provide additional layers of insulation from the bank runs that I believe with be inevitable. Keep up the great work. – JSR
JWR Replies: Thanks for making that suggestion. One similar resource that I’ve recommended to my consulting clients for many years is The Weiss Bank Blacklist, published by veteran financial analyst Marty Weiss. It provides greater detail on individual banks and S&Ls.
While we are discussing bank safety, I should mention this: A SurvivalBlog reader on the West Coast mentioned an odd new development in an e-mail. He said, “I recently was told by my international bank (with whom I’ve done business with for several years) that they wanted me to indemnify them for depositing a US [chartered bank’s] cashier’s check. The only reason I can think of for this is that international banks are worried that US banks will collapse and they don’t want to be held responsible for any money that is in transit when this happens. I found this very disconcerting.”
Meanwhile, the headlines are trumpeting: New recession worry: Bank failures. The bottom line is that the risk of bank runs in the US has been substantially elevated in recent months. So be ready, folks! Here are my specific recommendations for readers in the US:
1.) Keep plenty of greenback cash on hand. Keep the equivalent of two month’s pay, if possible. (Expect online banking and ATMs to be shut down, en masse.) Find a well-hidden place for the cash at home. (Odds are that you won’t have access to you safe deposit box, unless it is at a private bank vault company.)
2.) Keep close track of any automatic debits from your bank accounts–(“automatic bill paying”)–so that you can revert to paying via checks or money orders.
3.) Do your banking with at least two separate institutions. BTW, make sure one isn’t the subsidiary of another! (Not only might they both be closed, but conceivably this might cap your FDIC insurance coverage–as if it was just one bank.)
4.) Absolutely do not exceed the $100,000 FDIC insurance limit. ($200,000 for married couples.)
5.) Research your banks’ safety rating. Then make changes, as needed.
6.) If possible, stop direct deposit of your paychecks or annuity payments.
7.) Remind your local coin dealer that bank runs are looking more likely, and recommend that they increase the amount of greenback cash that they keep on hand, including low grade numismatic paper money (such old series $2 bills and the now defunct US silver certificates.) That way you might have a better chance of liquidating some of your precious metals following major bank runs and/or a Federally-decreed “bank holiday.”
If and when bank runs do begin, preserve your cash on hand by making as many purchases/payments as possible with debit cards, checks, and credit cards. (Although odds are that debit cards will be entirely useless, and many stores will refuse checks and credit cards.) Because the paper trail on checks might get muddied in a protracted banking crisis, you’ll need to be able to prove that you made some crucial payments. Keep scrupulous records of your payments, especially for your mortgage, property tax, and insurance. Keep every money order carbon copy, and make photocopies of your checks before mailing in payments. (Or at least order a box of blank check pads that make carbon copies.)
In the event of a “bank holiday”, if you sell any items, insist on payment in cash, precious metals, Liberty Bell (“Forever”) stamps, or Postal Service money orders. Anything else might be hard to negotiate.
If there is a major banking crisis, there will be some unprepared friends, neighbors and relatives that are hurting badly. (Most families have less than one week worth of food on hand at home. Meanwhile, debit cards have become so ubiquitous that few families keep more than $150 in cash at home, on average.) Be charitable.
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Letter Re: Alternative News Sources When The Grid Goes Down
Sir,
I have been hooked to your blog for weeks now and have a topic suggestion for you.
The only news I can trust comes from independent blogs with communities of users working together to bring critical information to light. Web sites like The Housing Bubble Blog have saved me tens of thousands of dollars by being months ahead of the mainstream media (MSM) and by reporting honestly. With the internet we have the means to organize grassroots efforts to support candidates like Ron Paul. We can be kept up to date with the latest injustices and know when our fellow citizens are taking a stand against a corrupt government. Most importantly we have time to react.
We cannot be dependent upon the Internet in a SHTF scenario, yet we will all be in desperate need of quality and timely information regarding future government/societal moves. It would seem to me that we need to establish a pre-internet means of communication or at least a self-sufficient internet community networking through their own dedicated satellite!
What steps are you and your readers taking to provide “foreign intelligence” on operations outside their retreat location? – Daniel L.
JWR Replies: Although the Internet is designed to be high resilient (a carryover from its original design as a US military network), it cannot expect to survive a grid-down situation. The best that we could hope for in those circumstances is a combination voice and data packet network, via High Frequency (HF) shortwave. (Perhaps the Army Aviator or one of our other readers that are senior ham operator would care to chime in on how a quasi-Internet could be piecemealed together using packet modems and HF ham gear.
At the very minimum, to gather local, regional, and international intelligence, weather data, accurate time of day, and to maintain overall situational awareness you should own at least two radios, neither of which need be very expensive:
1.) A general coverage AM/FM/shortwave receiver. Most of these cover all the way from 500 KHz all the way up to 30 MHz. This includes the AM and FM broadcast bands, many of the amateur bands, the international HF broadcast bands (for stations like BBC, Radio Netherlands, HCJB, WWV, and so forth), and the Citizen’s Band (CB) channels. The inexpensive Kaito KA1102 radios are ideal for anyone that is on a budget. These are available from Affordable Shortwaves–a SurvivalBlog advertiser. If you have a bigger budget, I would suggest (in sequence of price) the following
The Sony ICF-SW-7600G (around $195 to $210, new.)
The Sony ICF-2010 (Discontinued, but used ones are available for around $175 to $275 on eBay.) This model was replaced by the ICF SW-77, but a lot of listeners prefer the controls on the ICF-2010.
And if you have a “The sky is the limit” budget, get a Drake R8A (around $1,100 new, or $750, used.)
BTW, even if you eventually buy a more “spendy” receiver, I recommend that you keep a couple of the little Kaito KA1102 radios as spares, preferably stored in metal ammo cans to protect them from EMP.
2.) A VHF police/marine/aircraft/weather band scanner. Try to get one of the more recent models that can demodulate trunked traffic. One relatively inexpensive “trunked” model is the Bearcat BC898T. They sell for around $240. If you have a big budget, get a digital model, but expect to pay at least $500. OBTW, nearly all scanners cover the NOAA weather bands.
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Letter Re: A Reminder on the Terrorist Toxins Threat
Jim,
I bring this news story to your attention: Ricin Found in Las Vegas Hotel Room; Man in Hospital
The Center for Disease Control (CDC) protocols don’t give one much hope if ricin is inhaled or ingested. Unclothing and washing procedures for external contact are not reassuring. Other sources indicate that skin contact is usually not fatal unless accompanied by other agents that enhance absorption. [JWR Adds: DMSO is a well-known transdermal carrier.]
Other sources also indicate that ricin is 30 times more potent than VX nerve gas. Full MOPP suit and gas mask seem to be indicated to avoid aerosol exposure. Since the lapsed time between exposure and onset of fatal symptoms can be hours and with no existing antidote, this seems to be a particularly nasty agent to avoid.
It seems to me that for various reasons, one would be more likely to encounter ricin in a terrorist event rather than the other CBR agents that are usually mentioned. In any event, one might have to rely on the rain gear and N95 particulate mask that should be in every BOB along with the standard decontamination procedures that all should be thoroughly familiar with.
Are there field detection resources and other related items that you might recommend for an ai travel BOB which will be different from the vehicle BOB left in the airport parking lot?
I think this has been covered before but it might be timely to reiterate it again. Best Regards, – William D.
Odds ‘n Sods:
Mainstream market commentator Robert Kioysaki recommends buying silver coins in this piece: The Profit of Doom A SurvivalBlog reader mentioned that Kiyosaki was one of the few mainstream market mavens to recognize silver as a bargain fairly early on. Meanwhile, a lot of his colleagues with stock and bond tunnel vision are still in denial.
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Lex found this from The Wall Street Journal: Will Thornburg Join Failed Lenders?
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Thanks to Sapa for flagging this: Zimbabwe bans ‘unlawful hoarding’. The illegal “hoarding” threshold is absurd–the equivalent of just $21 USD!
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Paul D. mentioned a bicycle engine web site. Paul’s comment: “A friend of mine just got one of these engines for his Mountain Bike. He told me that he rode the dirt roads for two hours on just one quart of gasoline. Wow! Talk about a fuel efficient internal combustion engine. I will be ordering mine soon.”
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation . There is no safe store of value. If there were, the government would have to make its holding illegal, as was done in the case of gold. If everyone decided, for example, to convert all his bank deposits to silver or copper or any other good, and thereafter declined to accept checks as payment for goods, bank deposits would lose their purchasing power and government-created bank credit would be worthless as a claim on goods. The financial policy of the welfare state requires that there be no way for the owners of wealth to protect themselves.
This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists’ tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists’ antagonism toward the gold standard. – Alan Greenspan, 1967
Note from JWR:
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The Fleecing of the Sheeple–America Discovers “What That Thing Will Bring”
There is a very old legal maxim: “The value of a thing, is what that thing will bring.” It was developed by the courts to establish the value of a loss, in civil claims. The maxim has been perhaps over-used in central Europe, where if you recklessly drive your car and run down a farmer’s laying hen, you can be held liable for for not only the replacement cost of the chicken, but also the value of its future offspring for the next year–or perhaps even two years if the judge is in a bad mood.
That ancient maxim is important to keep in mind when we consider the slips of paper that we presently carry around in our wallets and call “money.” Most citizens are ignorant about money. The history of money is not taught in public schools, and legal tender laws are taken for granted. Not one citizen in a hundred realizes that we have a currency that is based on debt. (Most mistakenly believe our currency has some connection to the gold stored at Fort Knox. From a practical standpoint, there is no connection whatsoever)
There is no substantive backing behind the US dollar and the world’s other fiat currencies. But it wasn’t always this way: Up until 1933, our currency was “bi-metallic” and was 100% redeemable in gold and silver. Gold and silver certificates were issued, that read “Pay the bearer, on demand…” Then, in the midst of the Great Depression, the FDR Administration craftily banned private possession of gold coins and bullion. Any non-numismatic gold coins in circulation were called in, by executive decree. The government “paid” for these at face value, with paper money–$20 in Federal Reserve Notes in exchange for each $20 gold piece. Any gold bullion not already in government hands was “purchased” at the officially pegged price of of $20.67 per ounce. The only exceptions to the law were for a limit of $100 face value of gold coins for each private citizen, gold nuggets, gold dust, and dental gold. (FDR’s bully boys didn’t go quite so far as to pry gold teeth out of pensioner’s mouths.) Then, shortly after the owners of this small mountain of gold had been duly “compensated”, the government raised the official price of gold to $35 per ounce, realizing a tidy profit. This was nothing short of legalized grand larceny. After 1933, US citizens could no longer redeem their paper money for gold, or possess gold bullion. (Private ownership of gold bullion was banned in the US from 1933 to 1974.) The redeemability privilege was reserved to foreign banks and governments, who could still demand gold. This redeemability “window”was kept open so that the US Dollar did not suffer in foreign exchange. Redemptions in gold started to increase dramatically in the 1960s, once the open market value of gold rose above $35 per ounce. When given the choice of paper money and gold, many trading partners quite logically chose gold. (Economist John Maynard Keynes might have decried gold as a “barbarous relic”, but realists opt for genuine value whenever they can.)
While the American citizenry was getting fleeced, similar abandonment of the gold was going on elsewhere. For example, Australia stopped minting gold sovereigns in 1931. The same happened in England in 1935. France went off the gold standard in 1936, much to the detriment of the Franc. By 1959, the French Franc had just 1/40th of the purchasing power that it had in 1936. Nation after nation went off the gold standard: Argentina, Brazil, and Canada in 1929; Australia, New Zealand, and Venezuela in 1930; Austria, Denmark, England, Germany, India, Mexico, Norway, and Sweden in 1931; Greece, Romania and Yugoslavia in 1932; Honduras, South Africa, and teh U.S. in 1933; Italy in 1934; Belgium and China in 1935; and France and Switzerland in 1936. On and on, they eventually all succumbed and gave up both minting gold coins and providing convertibility.
Even though gold had been banned, for the next three decades Americans could still redeem their paper dollars for silver. Silver coinage circulated freely, trading 1-for-1 with paper dollars. But in 1965, the US Treasury stopped minting 90% silver content dimes, quarters and half dollars. The dimes and quarters were replaced with cupronickel tokens that were merely sandwiched with a thin layer of silver, so that that they would still look pretty. (The copper visible on their rims betrays the perfidy that lies beneath the silver veneer.) The new coin issue, although blatantly unconstitutional, went largely uncontested. Once the”clad” coins entered circulation, people quite logically started to hoard every 90% silver coin that they could find. (This was Gresham’s Law in action: “Bad money drives good money out of circulation.”) To not appear entirely sans cullottes, the Treasury still produced half dollars with a reduced 40% silver content, for another five and a half years (from 1965 to 1970.)
Once clad coinage entered circulation, the value of the hoarded pre-1965 silver coins naturally started to rise. Now accumulated in rolls and in $500 or $1,000 face value bags, these coins sell as a commodity. (As bullion, rather than as numismatic coins.) Their value is calculated by their silver content at a multiplier to Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs). Currently, that multiplier is around 14.2 times their face value. Hence, a $1,000 face value bag of pre-’65 quarters at present wholesales for around $14,200.
Similar debasement of silver coinage took place worldwide in the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s. Country after after country phased out minting silver coins, as part of “demonetization”. England started the trend when they stopped minting circulating silver coins in 1946. As I recall, some of the last countries to mint circulating silver coins with 50% or more silver content were: Canada and Switzerland (until 1967), Lebanon (until around 1969, IIRC), and France (until 1974).
All over the world, if one of the old silver coins now accidentally slip into circulation, it is quickly snapped up and hoarded. Gresham’s law is in full force, globally. In the present day, just copper, nickel, cupronickel, zinc, and aluminum tokens are in circulation. Granted, many mints still produce gold and silver coins, but those are intended for the collector and investor market. They are not intended for circulation, and few of them are still considered legal tender.
On June 24, 1968–a sad day–the US Treasury ended redemption of silver certificates for bullion or pre-1965 coinage.
In 1970, the last circulating US silver coins–the 40% silver half dollars were phased out, putting the last nail in the coffin for the dollar as a genuine currency. All that we have now in circulation are unredeemable FRN “notes” and tokens that–other than nickels–now have a metal value that is far below their face value. (See the Coinflation web site for details on metal content and the real value of circulating US coins.)
On January 1, 1975, it once again became legal to own gold bullion in the United States. A personal aside: When I was 16 years old, I rode my bicycle to Bob’s Coin Corner and bought my first Krugerrand. That was in 1976. I bought that coin with money that I had saved from mowing lawns and working at the local library (the latter, for $2.05 per hour). As I recall, that 1975-dated one ounce Kruger cost me $155. I spent a lot of time fingering it, feeling its heft in my hand, and admiring the design–especially the Springbok on the reverse side. Holding it in my hand, I knew that it was real money. I sold that coin in early 1980 for $715. Soon after, I invested the profit in my first M1A and my first Colt M1911 .45 Automatic. I’ve bought and sold a lot of gold and silver coins since then, but that first shiny Kruger–and its hiding place under the corner of my bedroom carpet–hold a special place in my memory.
By 1981, the US Dollar had become so debased that the copper metal value of the lowly penny exceeded its face value. So Congress authorized the US Treasury to replace them with zinc tokens that are merely flashed with copper. (Recently, the penny has become an embarrassment, since in these days of inflated dollars, the worthlessness of the penny has become blatant. (Even “penny candy” sells for 5 cents or more.) There have been calls to do away with penny coins entirely.)
In 1971, facing a massive hemorrhaging of gold, president Nixon closed the “gold window” for redemption by foreign banks and governments. Many foreign governments, most notably France, raised howls of protest. John Connally, who was the Treasury Secretary at the time, had the nerve to comment “It may be our currency, but it’s your problem.” He was able to be snide about it because he knew that the US was the dominant nation in global commerce, and that the US Dollar would continue–based on sheer inertia if nothing else–to carry on as the world’s reserve currency. It has indeed carried on, despite its unredeemability. But ever since 1971, the dollar has suffered markedly in foreign exchange. Today, the US dollar seems about ready to lose its reserve currency status.
Let’s get back to the legal maxim that I mentioned at the beginning of this post: What is the real value of a “dollar”? The current Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs) are only redeemable for other Federal Reserve Notes. You can of course use them to purchase goods and services, but with FRNs you are at the mercy of inflation. In contrast, “junk” silver coins are essentially inflation proof. Times may change, but today you can still walk into your local coin shop and salvage some value from the paper notes that now pass for “money.” As I mentioned before, the real money to funny money trading ratio is presently around 14.2-to-1 to buy pre-1965 dimes, quarters, and half dollars. Given the inherent value of the FRN (which is essentially an “IOU Nothing”), I am surprised that the ratio is not already 100-to-1 or higher. I suspect that within a year or two, that ratio will come and go.
I am big believer in tangibles investing. I am suspicious of any investment–aside, perhaps, for some mining shares–that are denominated in dollars. When the currency unit itself is in flux, all dollar denominated investments are risky. I recommend that SurvivalBlog readers first get their essential “beans, bullets and band-aids” squared away, to ensure your physical survival. After that, you might consider investing in other tangibles such as productive farm land, common caliber ammunition, magazines (the kind that hold rifle and pistol cartridges–not the kind that you read!), tools, and other nonperishable barter items. Following that, you might put any excess cash into silver.
‘The US Dollar is not unique. There are now no national currencies that are officially redeemable in circulating gold or silver coins. (Although there are rumors that redeemable gold Dinars and silver Dirhams may soon be widely circulated in parts of the Islamic world.) To various degrees, all of the world’s governments are fleecing their citizens, through legal tender laws, lack of redeemability, restrictions on offshore banking, excessive taxation, currency controls, and inflation. They are all engaged in larceny. It is just the rate and scale of the theft that varies. (In Zimbabwe, inflation is running at the incredible rate of more than 100,000%, annually!)
Currency inflation is insidious and inexorable. Inflation is little more than robbery, in slow motion. It gradually robs us of our buying power, and is essentially a hidden form of taxation. Given the track record of the 20th Century, we can certainly expect inflation to continue. My advice is to protect yourself, by taking some of your greenbacks and converting them into silver. Don’t expect to profit from that silver. (Although there may be some profits in the near future.) Instead, consider these silver coins your fire insurance for the dollar. When the dollar collapses, your silver coins will at least hold their store of value.
Taking the long view, we can look at the current “bull market in commodities” as nothing more than a bear market in un-backed paper currencies. Markets cannot be fooled, at least not for very long. They always find equilibrium. Prices shift. Currencies adjust. Inflation marches on, and the paper money-holding sheeple suffer. But those of us that diversified into precious metals can take solace in the time-proven resiliency of gold and silver.
For any of our readers in Europe that are feeling smug, knowing that they are holding Euros, consider this: All of the world’s fiat currencies are in a race to the bottom. Some of them are just presently farther ahead than others. Eventually, all fiat currencies are all doomed to collapse. The US Dollar will probably be the next to exit the stage. (This is nicely illustrated in a short documentary by a Dutch filmmaker.)
In addition to buying pre-1965 silver coins and barter goods, I have written before in SurvivalBlog about another strategy to combat inflation: Gathering nickels (US 5 cent pieces), before their long-standing 75% copper and 25% nickel alloy is superceded, most likely by just zinc tokens. (This is very likely to happen in 2008 or 2009.) At present, the base metal value of a nickel is about seven cents. (See the Coinflation web site for details on the metallic content and value of a nickel.) In my opinion, getting five cent pieces that have seven cents in base metal value for just their face value is a bargain. Think about it: If you asked a bank teller or a store clerk “Can I have a $1.40 in change for this dollar?”, they would think that you were crazy. But when you get nickels in exchange for a paper dollar, that is effectively what you are getting: $1.40 worth! Although the potential gain for nickel is smaller than with silver, the situation today is not unlike that back in 1963 and 1964. My advice: buy up as many rolls of nickels as you can, at banks and casinos. I predict that in just a few years, nickel rolls will sell at a substantial premium, much like pre-1965 silver coins do now. If silver is the working man’s gold, then nickels are the poor man’s silver. BTW, I should mention that pre-1982 copper pennies are now worth about 2.5 cents each. But since the old and the new issue coins now circulate co-mingled, it is hardly worth your time to sort out (by date) the real copper pennies from the more common post-1981 copper-flashed zinc tokens. But at least for now, you can squirrel away some rolls of nickels. Do so before the debased non-nickel “nickels” get into circulation!
One closing thought: All un-backed paper currencies share the same fate. Eventually, and inevitably they all reach a value of near ZERO, where they are only suitable for use as kindling or perhaps as novelty wallpaper. Someday, the value of the US dollar is bound to collapse. This will most likely be in an orgy of Zimbabwean-scale hyperinflation. After this happens there will doubtless be immediate calls for the issuance of a new “safe” currency. I just pray that our elected representatives have the wisdom to not repeat their old mistakes. Hopefully they will feel convicted to obey the constitutional stricture: “No State shall… …coin Money; emit Bills of Credit; make any Thing but gold and silver Coin a Tender in Payment of Debts…” Granted, this section was directed at the states rather than congress, but it clearly shows the intent of the Constitution’s framers. Clearly, they wanted our nation to have coinage with genuine tangible value, and sound, specie-backed, currency. The recent dramatic failure of the un-backed Continental Currency undoubtedly weighed heavily on their minds when they drafted the Constitution.
Letter Re: Calculating The Bullion Value of US Silver Coins
Mr. Rawles:
My parents and grandparents gave about $60 face value in junk silver coins, including a few Morgan and “Peace:” dollars. The quarters and dimes are all 1964 and earlier, but some are the 50 cent pieces were made in the late 1960s. (Those are 40% [silver content], right?) With silver now rocketing up past $20 an ounce, how do I determine the current market value of these coins? Thanks, – G.E.T.
JWR Replies: To calculate the silver metal value of 90% silver pre-1965 mint date US dimes, quarters, and half dollars: A $1,000 face value bag contains approximately 715 ounces of silver. Hence, at a spot silver price of $19.80 per ounce, a $1,000 face value bag has a wholesale value of $14,157. That means that “just one thin dime” (with a mint date of 1964 or earlier) is now worth $1.41 in present day funny money.
To calculate the silver metal value of 40% silver US half dollars (minted between 1965 and 1970): A $1,000 face value bag contains approximately 296 ounces of silver Hence, at $19.80 per ounce, a $1,000 bag has a wholesale value of $5,680. So just one of these 40% half dollars is worth $2.84, wholesale. (A few of these, BTW, can still occasionally be found in circulation. Buying rolls of half dollars at small town banks is still a fun sport, with about one coin in 70 found to be 40% silver. Rarely, you might even chance to find a 1964-dated (90%) 50 cent piece. (These are presently worth around $7.10 each.) Oh happy day!
Pre-1929 Silver dollars are a special case, because even dollars that are in very worn condition have numismatic value in addition to their bullion value. Hence, these dollar coins now sell for $17 and up. But for calculating just their bullion value, a $1,000 face value bag contains approximately 765 ounces of silver. Hence, at $19.80 per ounce, a $1,000 face value bag has a wholesale value of $15,147.
Letter Re: Self-Sufficiency–How Do We Do It All?
Dear Memsahib and Jim,
I am a daily SurvivalBlog reader and contributor, along with my husband. I am very interested in learning more how Memsahib and other retreat women manage to do all that they do. How does a day or week in your life go? How do you can, bake, cook, shear, spin, weave, knit, sew, teach, et cetera and get it all done?
We are moving to our retreat soon. I have baked, cooked, knit, learned to spin and weave, and have canned in the past, but not all at once. I forgot to mention clean, wash, take care of a garden, etc. etc.
We need a blog [post] about how to accomplish everything and remain sane. Not to mention home school and run a family, continue church life, etc.
For those of us who have been working and raising a family in a large town and are moving to a retreat life, we need some how to’s!!!
The order of things is of the most importance or we will never accomplish all our tasks!!!
Memsahib, does your work every stop? Do you feel like you have no personal time?
I also work as a registered nurse and will try to continue with my specialty in teaching young mothers how to breast feed and care for their newborns.
Thank you for your input from all of us women who will try to “do it all” on our retreat sites. Thanks again, – Kathie
The Memsahib Replies: Thank you so much for your huge vote of confidence. How nice to think there is a woman out there who thinks that I do it all! 🙂 First let me say first, no I don’t do it all. And secondly I don’t worry about doing it all either.
I’m writing this reply specifically to married women with children. The most important thing is to keep your priorities right: I believe the correct order is: God, your husband, your children, and then everything else after that. Also remember it is not up to you to insure the survival of your family. God is in control of everything. And after God is your husband. I hope this will lift some if the burden that you are feeling. Don’t shoulder the burden of the family’s survival yourself. That is not your role. I think that is usurping your husband’s role of provider and protector of the family.Your job is to be a helpmeet to your husband.
Okay, that said, I have acquired a lot of skills that could be put to use in TEOTWAWKI, but I do not try to do them all now. I think to attempt that would put me in an early grave like my pioneer great grandmothers! I think this is time for learning preparation skills, but if you tried to actually do them all there is no way you would have time to learn any new skills. For example I have a lot of food preservation skills. But at this present time most of our larder is full of mostly purchased foodstuffs. For the satisfaction of it, I have fed my family entire meals from food I personally raised including the milk that came fresh from our cow. It feels great to know I can do it. But I don’t try to do it on a day to day basis.
There are some things that we do that allow for extra time in my schedule. We don’t own a television. I think I get a lot more done for the lack of watching television. Also, I do not have a full time job outside the home. Not having to commute saves a lot of time. Another thing I attribute to getting more done is the fact that we are out in the middle of nowhere, so I don’t shop. There is no place to shop. Every two months or so we stock up to top off our supplies. I also know the capacity of our larder well. I’m very strict with my family about sticking to the list! This saves time and money when we are out shopping. Also we only shop for clothes twice a year when we visit family in the big city. My sister knows all the great thrift stores. And, she knows which department stores have the best sale prices on shoes socks and underwear. If we didn’t have growing children we probably could go several years without buying clothes! By the way. I do know how to sew clothes. And I know how to knit sweaters, hats, socks, mittens, and such. But I don’t make my family’s clothes because I don’t particularly enjoy sewing. (For now, I go to the thrift store. I often can buy down jackets, Merino wool sweaters and nearly new blue jeans for $3 each, and shirts, slacks, blouses, skirts, dresses for less than than that.)
Another thing is that our family does which frees up quite a bit of time for me is cleaning up after themselves. Our children for example clear their places after meals, take their dishes to the sink and putt the scraps in the chicken bucket, and rinse their plates and glasses, and put them in the dishwasher. When there are clothes to be folded at our house all the children fold and put away their own clothes. Our children also have an individual chore based on their age, such as setting and clearing the table, unloading the dishwasher, keeping the wood box filled, and feeding their pets. And you may have realized by now I make use of all the modern appliances which make household chores quicker. In the past, we’ve lived without running water and without electricity. I know I can survive without them, and I may have to in the future. But I sure enjoy the luxury of having them now!
The “survival skills’ that I do practice daily are the ones that I personally really enjoy. I practice them as recreation and relaxation. For me personally that is raising small livestock. I really enjoy going out to the barn and feeding my critters. I especially enjoy my sheep because I also enjoy the fiber arts. I also really enjoy gardening. So my hobbies dovetail nicely with my husbands desire to be well prepared. So what hobbies and interests do you have? Which ones could you cultivate as prepping? Just because I don’t care for sewing doesn’t mean that it wouldn’t be a great dovetail for you.
You might say another one of my hobbies is acquiring “life skills”. Some people have a personality that is suited for focusing on one skill and developing that skill to a master level. My personality is more suited to trying everything. I try to make the most of each situation in which we’ve lived to learn what I can. My motto is: when God gives you zucchini take the opportunity to experiment baking, drying, frying zucchinis! The older women of the communities we’ve lived in have been wonderful teachers. They have taught me how to can pickles, make grape juice, milk goats, make soap, knit socks as well as sharing the abundance of their gardens and orchards. But I in no way feel compelled to now makes all the food we eat from scratch, knit all our clothes, make all our soap, and neither should you!
I would be remiss if I did not say that I think it is very important to use this time of liberty of ideas and travel to attend Bible studies. Yes, you can and should read and study the Bible at home. But, I find that the commitment to do a study with other believers disciplines me to stay in the Word even when life gets hectic. And our pastor has many valuable insights into the Scriptures. If you have the ability to attend a good Bible study, then do it! You may not always have that opportunity because of poor health, high gas prices, lack of transportation, or lack of religious freedom. Reading the stories of prisoners of war, I am struck by how their knowledge of God’s word helped them endure. As the Bible says, “make the most of time, because the days are evil”.
Odds ‘n Sods:
My old friend Jeff moved to England to get his final sheep skin–a doctorate degree. He tells me that the price of gasoline (“petrol”) now averages £1.09 GBP per liter in the Thames Valley, and that he has seen it advertised for as much as £1.50 GBP/liter out on the highways. At current exchange rates, £1.50 GBP equals $2.97 USD. Now, multiplying liters to US gallons (x 3.785) that equates to a heart-stopping $11.24 USD per gallon. Ouch! (For comparison, I most recently paid $2.98 per gallon, locally, but I’ve seen it as high as $3.05) OBTW, Jeff mentioned that SurvivalBlog readers in England might want to get an account at PetrolPrices.com. It is a price aggregator for all of the UK.You can find local prices by entering your postal code.
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Ranger Man posted a great article on cast iron cookware over at the SHTF Blog: Cast Iron is the Ultimate Survival Cookware
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From The New York Times: The Buck Has Stopped. (A hat tip to Manky for sending us that link.)
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Hardly a news flash for SurvivalBlog readers: Gold Beats Financial Assets as Investors Seek Haven
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
“There is not any one news item that I can point to. We know that there is paper out there that we can’t trust. We don’t know exactly who owns it and how much. And we don’t know how they are valuing it.” – Douglas Peta, Chief Investment Strategist at J. W. Seligman & Company in New York, as quoted in the New York Times, March 1, 2008