Swine Flu Sweeps Rikers Island
Oz Swine Flu at 876; WHO Mulls Pandemic
Flu Experts Discuss Severity Scale for WHO’s Phase 6
As Swine Flu Wanes, US Preparing for Second Wave
The editor of the Mountain Steps Blog recently presented an interesting timeline of the Weimar Republic Hyperinflation.
“The Frontman” sent us a link to an interesting article about the coinage shortage in Argentina. Americans take note: This could happen here, too!
Currie sent us this from The Times: Swedish banks fear writedowns; Financial turmoil in the Baltics is rocking Sweden’s banks, after Latvia’s failure to raise money in a bond auction. Currie’s comment: “Another domino tumbles…”
Items from The Economatrix:s
Temporary Work Masks Joblesseness Unemployment hits “9.4%”
GM to Sell Saturn Brand to Roger Penske Chain
Stocks Waver After Better-Than-Expected Job Data
Bonner: You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet!
Dollar’s Wounds Reopen
Dollar’s Fate Written In History
The Largest US Bankruptcies
GM Bankruptcy May Say “No Reason To Stay” to Detroit Residents
Chrysler Dealership Has Five Days to Sell Entire Inventory Chrysler doesn’t have to buy unsold cars, can’t be sold without franchise
Battle #1: Taxing Health Benefits
States Propose $24 Billion in Tax Hikes
Iraqi Kurds Begin Exporting Oil
Several readers mentioned this piece at the Lew Rockwell web site: Preparation, by Michael Gaddy
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Cheryl sent this: Where The Frugal Mommy Bloggers Are
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Also from Cheryl: Betting The Farm (Higher crop prices ahead?)
"The economics of disaster commence when the holders of money wealth revolt. It is as simple as that. The government has little or nothing to say or do about it…They do not fly flags or demonstrate in the streets to express their revolt; they simply get rid of their money…The duller the holders of money wealth are, the longer the government can go on storing up inflation but, by the same token, the more cataclysmic must the eventual dam burst be. The Germans [of the early 1920s] were among the dullest and most disciplined of all holders of money wealth, and this alone permitted the government to build up so huge a pool of unrealized inflation before the burst." – Jens O. Parsson, Dying of Money: Lessons of the Great German and American Inflations
Last day! Safecastle’s 25% Off Mountain House storage food sale ends at midnight, eastern time (June 5th.). Safecastle Royal members will also get a free copy of the novel One Second After by William R. Forstchen if they purchase four or more cases of Mountain House foods.
Hi;
The ongoing discussion about tractors is interesting. I was recently able to purchase a fully restored 1952 Ford 8N for $3,500. The tires, front end bushings, everything is new, and the motor is rebuilt. This is a deal of a lifetime to be sure. But, there are plenty of other good deals out there, this is the time to look. Check with farmers to see if they have an extra tractor to sell. Many farms own multiple tractors and if they need money you might get lucky. And if you get real lucky you might find an old one restored. The farmer is more likely to want to keep the bigger newer air conditioned tractor over the smaller old one.
It is pointless to debate which tractor is best. But allow me to point out a few things that I have learned about these Ford 8Ns. Any part you could want is available online. Many parts are in stock at Tractor Supply and similar farm stores. I have never used a tractor before, and I’m not a good mechanic. But this is such a simple set-up that it is very easy to learn the mechanics. The manuals are available online or stocked at Tractor Supply. There is nothing to them, a huge advantage over a modern computerized tractor that will be fried by EMP. And there are countless 8N and 9N tractors still being used, and a potential future source of parts. Common items have a big advantage.
In the past we have worked a garden by hand. We added a hand plow and then a big rototiller. But we were able to increase the speed of tilling with this tractor beyond measure. It is not very noisy, and certainly quieter than a lawnmower or rototiller. In less than a day you can easily plow and disk a small field. And we used very little gas the entire day, never having to refill the small tank. We used 3-4 gallons of gas to put in a massive garden. We plowed up ground that was last plowed over 50 years ago, and it was fast and easy. With the rototiller it would have taken days, more fuel, more exposure outside. We hope to grow more food than we can eat, preserve and root cellar and still have plenty left to donate to others.
A person can get into a decent used tractor with used plows and other implements for a few thousand dollars. Compare that to some of the other things people buy and it’s a cheap investment. If you don’t overspend, they will likely keep their value. Stock up on fluids and basic spare parts in advance. For a few hundred dollars you can fill your shelves with any fluids and common parts that could be needed. 5 ounces of gold will get you set up. Maybe less. You can plow for neighbors in exchange for a few loads of firewood, or something else you can use. You will have a machine that can help you and your neighbors out and keep everyone from being hungry.
Get all non-hybrid seeds and learn to save them and you never need to buy seeds more than once. Extra seeds are excellent barter items. Learn what plants can cross breed and avoid this. You can grow a lot of corn to grind for animal feed. If you save your own seed to grow this, your animal feed will be almost free.
And for those of us that aren’t getting any younger, sitting on a tractor all day compared to running a rototiller, well, there is no comparison. – Don in Ohio
Dear Mr. Rawles,
As a landscape contractor and private gardener who during the last several decades has worked on three continents and used more types of equipment than I’d like to think of, I feel qualified to stick in my 2 cents regarding the proper equipment to use on small holdings.
Landscape contractors cannot afford to waste time of money on unreliable or unsuitable equipment so we chose with care. We do any type of work you can think of that’s exterior to a home, commercial building, park or highway. While our work is mostly decorative, it is the same type that would be necessary in a post apocalypse world. Planting bed prep, irrigation, retaining walls, etc.
A few lessons I’ve learned:
The equipment used for a particular job must maximize power, reliability and agility into one unit. In my opinion, most walk behind tillers, trenchers or tractors lack both power and surprisingly, agility. You will wear yourself out doing the work the machine is supposed to be doing and you may injure yourself in the process. Holding onto one of these things is like holding onto a bucking bull. A twisted ankle, back or badly pulled muscle means a few days off work in this world. During the bad times it means a lot more. Personally I hate em.
While 5-10 acres is mentioned as the size of a survival garden, the reality is more in the range of 1 acre. 1 acre is a lot of ground to prepare, plant, water, weed and (hopefully) harvest. A heavy duty real tine tiller could probably do a decent job if the ground had previously been cultivated but a 20 horsepower (h.p.) or so tractor would do it in a fraction of the time and do a better job leaving time for other things. Front tine tillers are toys suitable for backyard kitchen gardens. The same goes for ATVs and their “farm” implements. Why ruin a perfectly good ATV by dragging a plow at 1 mph? You wouldn’t hook up your SUV to a plow would you? Well at least I wouldn’t.
So I’m recommending you find yourself a good 4 wheel drive hydrostatic drive medium size tractor.
These tractors do have a tendency to roll over,but they have roll bars and if your smart enough to wear the provided seat belt, you’ll be okay. Anyway, all the gardens I’ve seen are dead flat so if you run one along the side of a hill you’re not gardening but doing what I do. If you are on a slope, go up and down not sideways, keep your front loader bucket low and don’t do anything rash. It isn’t much of an issue.
Four wheel drive is obvious. They work great anywhere there is loose dirt sand, mud or snow. They also save wear and tear on the tires (less tire slip) and less drive train stress. I used one to plow my Colorado mountain driveway which was both long and steep and frequently had several feet of snow in it. If you do get stuck the front bucket will work you out.
Hydrostatic drive means the engine runs a variable pump which drives the hydraulic system that does all the work. It allows you to set the engine speed for power and vary your speed, both forward and reverse, by pressing your foot on a floor mounted rocker arm. No shifting or clutch involved. In my work that means we can do 300% more than if we used the older style tractors. These pumps never seemed to wear out although we did have one failure on a new tractor. Unless you just plan on plowing the back 40, it’s the only way to go.
The engines were 18 h.p. on up and all were diesel. We never had a problem, ever. A 18 h.p. .tractor will work hard all day on 5 gal or less of fuel. Anything under 18 h.p. is a toy.
The rear implement on each was usually a 5′ tiller. With it we could do most anything. Need to cut some hard rocky ground? Just back till. The rocks would “hook out” (be careful) and we’d be left with 8″ of soft rock free soil. When we needed to amend the soil, which was always, we’d spread a few inches of peat/manure with the front bucket, then run the tiller over it a couple of times. Back dragging the bucket would firm it back up for planting. What took one guy 3 hours would have taken four guys all day to do with a rear tine tiller and wheelbarrows and they would have done a poorer job of it. If a backhoe wasn’t available, we would use the tiller/bucket to dig holes in hard ground. The front bucket makes a great dirt mover, snow plow or firewood carrier or anything else you could fit in it. You can use it to hoist the tractor into a trailer or pick the front end up to change a tire (with a block under the axle pivot point of course.
In my experience light tractors make poor backhoe platforms and semi-okay trenchers with the proper attachment on the 3 point.
Now here’s the real key. The manufacturer. I’ve used all of them. Most are not up to task and are a waste of money. I’ve broken more than one in half. Several others just died or were put out of their misery. Sadly, the “American “made” ones never were any good. A few Asian manufactures weren’t any better (Yanmar was one that broke in two). In fact the only brand I ever buy now is Kubota. They are rock solid and the only one to buy (and no I don’t have anything to do with them except give them money on occasion.) I’m also partial to MF40s but they’re somewhat large for the work we’re talking about.
Cost: Well… they’re not free, but they do enough work that every neighbor around will want something from it and that’s not a bad thing, now or during the bad days. Charge about $75 an hour and a cold one. Kind Regards, – LRM (from Perth, Australia)
JWR Replies: Your comments add credence to my assertion that a large family garden plot (at least one acre), makes the most sense for a self-sufficient garden. Not only will you have room for more crops, but you will also have the room needed to maneuver a tractor. One important note: When fencing your garden, plan ahead: You’ll need at least one large gate for tractor ingress/egress. Even if you don’t own a tractor, chances are that you can borrow or rent one, especially for the first time that you turn the soil. Without a tractor, that first turning is often a monumental effort.
WHO: Swine Flu Alert Closer to Pandemic 64 countries, 18,965 cases, 117 deaths (mostly US & Mexico) “‘We still are waiting for evidence of really widespread community activity in these countries, and so it’s fair to say that they are in transition and are not quite there yet, which is why we are not in phase 6 yet,’ Fukuda said.”
NYC Reports Two New Deaths From Swine Flu Both aged 25-64, 553 total cases, 341 hospitalizations
Swine Flu In All 50 States More than 10,000 US residents confirmed infected. Confirmed cases represent about 1 in 20 of actual cases. (JWR Adds: I guess its a little to late to pull a “Madagascar.”)
The welfare state, firmly entrenched: Benefit spending soars to new high (1 in 6 dollars of income come from governments checks. Let’s not forget: Every dollar that is “given”, must first be “taken” from someone.) Thanks to G.H. for the link.
Currie sent us this: Latvian debt crisis shakes Eastern Europe. When sovereign debt markets disintegrate, you can expect governments to topple. And it won’t just be pipsqueak nation states like Iceland and Latvia that are at risk.
From reader C.S.: Medical bills underlie 60 percent of U.S. bankruptcies: study
Julian Robertson’s Steepener Swap Play (Shorting US Treasuries) When Julian talks, people listen. And now, he is clearly saying “mass inflation ahead.” (A hat tip to GG for the link.)
Also from GG comes this article at Barron’s: V-Shaped Recovery Outlook is in Vain The bulk of the economy’s credit problems are still to come
Items from The Economatrix:
Handwritten Notes Show Fed Oversight Bill Neutered On Senate Floor (No surprise)
Biden Says Some Waste Inevitable Part of Stimulus Program
Paul Craig Roberts: as The Dollar Falls Off The Cliff
US Retailers Report May Sales Decline
Canada Mint Can’t Account For Missing Gold
Study: US Dollar “Seriously Overvalued”
US Private Sector Axes 532,000 Jobs in May
German Debts Set To “Blow Like A Grenade” “An internal memo by the regulator’s office suggested that likely write-offs may reach €816 billion, twice the entire reserves of the country’s financial institutions.”
Holes in the China Recovery Story “According to the CBRC (via Dow Jones), “the country’s economy faces growing downward pressure as the global financial crisis has yet to run its course.” The regulator added that “the banking industry faces ‘serious’ credit and market risks as the domestic economy encounters its ‘most difficult year in the new century.'”
Financial, Energy Stocks Pull Market Higher (Thursday)
We were thrilled to attend Maker Faire, in San Mateo, California, last weekend. It is an amazingly educational and inspirational gathering, and I highly recommend it, if you ever have the opportunity. (Maker Faire events are also held in Newcastle, England and in Austin, Texas.) These annual events, sponsored by Makezine, bring together an eclectic and often wacky group of creative geniuses. Among the huge roster of exhibitors, I saw lots of practical displays and demonstrations there that have applicability to preparedness–including steam engines, gasifier experimenter kits (GEKs), umpteen human-powered machines (including a way-cool pedal-powered rail car, made with box beam construction), PV panels in profusion, and three different groups of ham radio wizards. Even those famous guys in lab jackets that create Diet Coke fountains with Mentos were there, and they put on a live demonstration before a cheering crowd. (Two of my kids were up front, getting soaked.) To get a taste of what the event is like, see this video from the 2008 Maker Faire.
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Administration to Reveal Plans For Katrina Housing Transition. It’s been 4-1/2 years! And they are now just getting a “plan”?
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Don’t miss these useful rifle marksmanship training films, circa 1943. These public domain films were posted courtesy of the RWVA.
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From reader WW: Government to sell FEMA trailers to Hurricane Katrina victims for $1 or $5
"Beware of Geeks bearing clipboards." – James Wesley, Rawles (In response to a question posed by a consulting client about building permits and zoning bureaucrats)
I have expanded the SurvivalBlog Bookshelf page. Most notably, I have added some survivalist fiction book lists, and greatly expanded my “Second Tier” list of recommended specialty books. Note that if you buy any items from Amazon.com (even radios, band-aids or Break Free) via our links, SurvivalBlog will earn a small commission. Thanks!
James,
I just wanted to respond to the recent article on small tractors. In 1981 my wife and I bought 12 acres and started market gardening, selling produce locally. I grew about 3 acres of produce each year and put up hay for animals. Our first big investment at the time was a BCS 725 machine with the tiller and sickle-bar mower attachments. We used that machine, and used it hard.
Today it’s 2009 and I just finished cutting hay and putting in my green bean patch, using that 725. It’s still on the original engine, which has never been rebuilt, only annual oil changes for the last 27 years. It no longer starts on the first pull, these days it starts on the second pull each time, but guess I can’t complain too loud about that.
In my life I must admit I’ve made very few incredibly good investments, but that Model 725 is definitely one of them. It’s saved me untold labor and has just simply worked for 27 years without a bit of trouble. It’s like an old Ford 8N, it just keeps running and doing what it’s supposed to do. Old farm equipment was made to last forever, the BCS machines are farm equipment, not cheap consumer toys. The price reflects it, but from my opinion they’re a bargain in the long run. Highly recommended. – Bobalu
Hello Mr. Rawles,
Regarding the recent letters on micro-farm tractors, I have another viewpoint for your consideration.
In addition to the Troy-Bilt Horse rear tine tiller and other tools scaled for 1-2 acres, I have also purchased a larger farm tractor to better suit the conditions in and around my retreat. The recent letter mentioned Ford 9Ns and Farmalls. While these are still very common and many 9Ns are still in service, they are of 1940s-1950s vintage. My personal choice was a Massey Ferguson 100 series diesel tractor (135 or 165, for example). These were built between the mid-1960s to the mid-1970s, and have decades of excellent service history with much information available online (for you to save on paper now).
There were several factors leading me to this decision:
I obtained the tractor from a seller on Craigslist for a bargain price. This allowed me to retain a budget for maintenance rather than blowing it all up front on a new machine. While the peripheral systems needed attention, the engine and transmission were rock solid. The Perkins Diesel engines are renowned for reliability and durability. My updates and repairs serve two purposes: Restoring the mechanical soundness of the machine and its systems, and forcing me to become familiar with the repair and upkeep now. This is a mechanical restoration only – it needs to work, not look good. Surprisingly, every part that my 40 year old tractor has needed was both in stock and relatively inexpensive. While it’s comforting to “gear up”, eventually you will have to repair what you buy. Two years after TSHTF is not the ideal time to start the learning curve on your life-sustaining equipment. An old tractor you have mechanically zero-timed before the world comes to grief will give years of reliable service, and you will have the experience of your earlier work to guide future repairs.
While a larger tractor is overkill for a few acres, it is compatible with most all the equipment on surrounding farms. 1960s and 1970s tractors will have modern 3-point hitches with the ability to add additional hydraulics. The Massey-Ferguson 165, at 53 horsepower, can run a myriad of equipment that might overtax a smaller tractor. In addition to your own needs, you will have the option of volunteering to help your neighbor prepare his field or bring in his crop, using your extra muscle and standard 3-point hookups. That would be a Grade-A trade for food, fuel, or assistance when you need it, as opposed to showing up with a shovel and asking “what can I do to help?”
A larger tractor will also turn and disk your two acres in a hurry! I have collected smaller 3 point hitch equipment, like a two-bottom moldboard turning plow and a disk harrow, very inexpensively. The equipment is old, but made of such heavy steel that it still has decades of life left in it. Another barter option is to quickly prepare ground for other small-scale neighbors that may have purchased less durable equipment. Attempting to till up hard, fallow ground, even with a rear-tine tiller, is tough on the equipment and the person. Your tractor with plow and harrow would make short work of that fallow ground, allowing the rear-tine tiller to finish much more quickly and without the mechanical abuse.
The other posts mentioned diesel-engined ATVs. I respectfully submit that this may be a case of can rather than should. While you can pull a disk or maybe even a small all-purpose plow, the machine simply does not have the tractor-like durability to stake your family’s future on using the ATV as a tractor long-term. By the time you have bought a rare diesel ATV with ATV-specific implements, you might as well have bought an older, real tractor with standard 3-point implements for the money. Remember, from a duty cycle perspective (if I may anthropomorphize), I’d want my tractor to think: “wow, that was only two acres” as opposed to the ATV thinking: “Wow, that was two acres!”
On the issue of noise, I agree that a stock machine can be heard a ways off. However, the noise can be significantly reduced by using non-standard exhausts. If your goal is to prevent advertisement of your activity, it is time well spent to install a series of mufflers which will deaden the roar of a working engine. That slight drop in horsepower might be worth the relative quiet. This is true of your rear tine tiller as well as any other equipment. As an example, I have an old Onan generator with a high volume double muffler that some guys at a muffler shop helped me rig up. I can stand right next to the thing while it’s running, and carry on a conversation with only slightly raised voices.
Thank you for your efforts, Mr. Rawles! – J.I.C.
Mr Rawles,
I read the article “Many Weeds are Actually Edible Plants” with much interest. I am a botanist not a horticulturist. I was trained in the taxonomy of native plants not commercial flowers and such.
Taxonomy is the identification of plants. I did three years work at my school’s botany department doing field research continuing the longest prenuclear botany studies of native plants in the US. I was required to be able to identify by sight more than 1,000 native plants. My taxonomic mentor was Mr. Howard Reynolds, Ph.d., University of Nebraska and former Marine Corpsman, in the Pacific Theater of Operations in WWII.
The article you displayed was commendable and accurate using the correct scientific names.
However it should be noted that common names are a minefield.
The absolute reference book to correct common names is the National List of Scientific Plant Names. [A two-volume set,published by the Soil Conservation Service.]
One of the plants you displayed I know under a different common name.
This is the problem of common names.
Many are regional and have become accepted as correct…
Example: Throughout the plains states there are many thousands of trees called “Chinese Elm”.
This is an incorrect common name.
These trees are in reality the “Siberian Elm”.
Siberian Elms bloom in the spring and the true Chinese Elm tree blooms in the fall.
Because the public has heard these trees called Chinese Elm by their grandparents they assume the name is correct.
Copies of the National List of Scientific Plant Names are available through Amazon.com.
I would like to see all articles that describe plants for some use to identify the source used for the scientific name and the common name.
This is the way diverse people can talk about a common plant and know they are both focusing on the same entity.
Yes, names do change. Regularly-held botanical congresses hear the evidence for projected changes. A panel of taxonomists can recommend a change.
But that happens only once in a blue moon. It is not a common occurrence. With the ability to identify the sequencing of the DNA molecule plants that appear to have small taxonomic differences are frequently given a subspecies identifier.Or noted that they are the “variety described by and a name of the researcher is given”. But DNA analysis can solve this problem and if the differences are significant the two subspecies or varieties are given separate scientific names and the subspecies/variety gets a new common name.
Two ways to be sure a plant is correctly identified:
1. Contact a trained taxonomist or your county agent. who in turn can send your plant specimen to the state university for identification.
2. Learn how to use a real taxonomic key …. which took me two years of classes and many hours in the field to really master
Using common books with pictures can be very frustrating.
Native plants represent a long lost resource that could again become important in a resource stretched world.
Just do not let the complexities of plant identification keep you from learning this skill.
But it takes practice to build a working knowledge of the local plants…so get going now.
Local: here in our town several businesses are showing significant increases in prices, especially groceries. The local lumber yard is having significant problems getting “hardware items”, many being back ordered…but lumber and building materials seem to be plentiful at this point.
I read your postings every day if I am not too tired. Every day I do something to get us ready for a coming time of significant conflictual change. We have facing us a kind of “coercive consensus” descending on us like an upside down tornado. I will be 68 years old on Saturday and never suspected that I would see these kinds of events in the U.S.A.
Best Regards, – JWC in Oklahoma
Frequent content contributor GG sent this: Toxic assets ‘bridge too far’
Also from GG: come this from mainstream (Wall Street Journal) commentator Brett Arends: Is Your Portfolio Ready for Hyperinflation?
Germany Blasts ‘Powers of the Fed’
Reader A.C. flagged this: Experts Fear U.S. Will Suffer Zimbabwe-Level Inflation
From Trapper Mike: Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative
Items from The Economatrix:
Bernanke: Start Work Now to Curb Deficits “Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the panel’s highest-ranking Republican, raised concerns about the budget deficits and the Fed’s own actions to stimulate the economy, including buying government debt. “This can be a dangerous policy mix,” Ryan warned, adding it could lead to “runaway inflation.” With the recovery likely to be subdued, inflation will remain low, Bernanke predicted.”
Signs of a New Financial Storm for September Coming from Dubai and Saudi Arabia
California’s Day of Reckoning a Warning to Europe
31-Year-Old “Almost Law Student” in Charge of Dismantling GM
Citigroup Stuck with Bernanke Plan Rivals Plan to Refuse
US Newspaper Revenue Slide Continues
GM Shuts Part of US “Arsenal of Democracy” “During its finest hour in World War II, the retooled Willow Run car factory here could make an operational B-24 heavy bomber in just 59 minutes.”
Chinese Students Laugh at Geithner
Stock Market Dissonance: Why The Market No Longer Reflects Main Street Economics And The Dow Jones Industrial Average “One of the biggest bankruptcies in history occurred on June 1st yet you would not know this by looking at the stock market. In fact, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) shot up by 220 points. If we look at total assets, this is the fourth largest bankruptcy in history. The Dow is made up of 30 companies that show a supposedly wide cross section of the American economy. The company that filed for bankruptcy was General Motors and was actually one of the 30 components. A company that dates back to 1908 and survived the Great Depression. So how can it be that a company that employs 250,000 filing for bankruptcy is actually good for the stock market and makes the DJIA rally so strongly? The easy answer is the stock market no longer reflects the economic reality on main street.”
Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternatives “The dollar weakened beyond $1.43 against the euro for the first time in 2009 on bets [that] record U.S. borrowing will undermine the greenback, prompting nations to consider alternatives to the world’s main reserve currency.”
The Simple Solution (The Mogambo Guru)
Northwestern Mutual Insurance Makes First Gold Buy in 152 Years! [As a hedge against further asset declines] “Gold just seems to make sense; it’s a store of value,” Chief Executive Officer Edward Zore said in an interview following his comments at a conference hosted by Standard & Poor’s in Brooklyn. “In the Depression, gold did very, very well.”
Just one day left! Safecastle‘s 25% Off Mountain House storage food sale ends tomorrow, June 5th. Members will get a free copy of the novel One Second After by William R. Forstchen if they purchase four or more cases of Mountain House foods.
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Has Twilight Come to the Sun Belt?
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Richard at KT Ordnance mentioned this essay: When Guns Are Outlawed … Only Government Will Have Guns
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