Today we present a guest article by Roxanne Griswold of Ready Made Resources.
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A Woman’s Perspective on Personal Self Defense, by Roxanne L. Griswold
Imagine this frightening scenario and try to envision yourself here: You’re strolling through an empty parking lot at dusk thinking about the events of the day when suddenly your arm is clasped from behind and pulled forcefully downward. Your head crashes against the unforgiving concrete. Blood gushes from your nose. Before you have a moment to process anything, your attacker is now on top of you, beating your face with open fists. Gasping for air from fear and excruciating pain, you scream and slap him in an aimless attempt to shield yourself, by which time he has secured your flailing arms. His eyes are dark and empty. He barks out orders that your mind fails to decipher, while pressing the icy blade of a knife against your throat. Your shrieks of panic echo through the air, but no one seems to hear. Subdued under the weight of his body, you have nowhere else to turn. You are the next victim.
***
For the better part of half my life, I was to a perpetrator the perfect, unsuspecting victim. I had all the key elements for an easy take down: Though I was physically fit, I lacked situational awareness, the proper mindset and the necessary skills to defend myself in the event of an attack. Sadly to say, I embodied the average woman. And I can’t even use the excuse – I was young and stupid – for what I know today can be taught, learned and applied at any age.
If you’re fortunate enough to have been trained in the art of self defense from childhood – more power to you – but women are typically indoctrinated from youth that fighting is for men and that they lack the physical dominance and strength to defend themselves. Although this may be true to a point, personal self defense is not measured by the size of your muscles, rather possessing the proper mindset to perceive a threat, executing the proper skills to overcome the threat, and purposing – as much as it depends on you – never leave with your attacker to a secondary place, lest you become the probable “investigation site”. If your mindset is such that physical strength matters more than these principles to ensure your safety, then you’ve missed the point. Personal self defense has little to do with strength.
Let’s face it gals (and guys) – times are rapidly changing for the worse, and as morality and the economy continue spiraling downward, so does your security. You cannot nor should you leave your safety solely to the government, local law enforcement, and – even in some cases – to your own family: You must learn, possess, and practice these self defense skills for our survival. These newly acquired skills quite possibly may also save the lives of those you cherish most. No matter how well meaning our government agencies might be, what if they simply are not there when you or your loved one is attacked?
There are three essential principles we must adhere to in a self defense situation if we expect to overcome the odds of being injured – or worse yet, killed:
Principle #1: First and foremost, we must possess the proper mindset to perceive a threat by maintaining situational awareness of our immediate surroundings. How do we do this practically? Train your mind to be proactive and aware. Study people as they’re approaching you; look at what they’re holding, how they carry themselves. Make eye contact – it demonstrates confidence – and perceive their possible intent by their response. Know what is behind you, beside you and even in front of you. Glance under, around and inside your car before entering. Never park next to a van with tinted windows or no side windows, or beside a car with suspicious characters. Notice anything out of the ordinary. Trust your intuitions. Always confirm or refute your suspicion or it “may well” become your threat! Oftentimes while driving, my husband will ask me: Without looking, what color is the car behind you? Or after passing someone in the grocery store, what was that man wearing? At times it seems somewhat silly, but I believe it’s these practice drills that may one day save my life.
Most attacks are perpetrated upon easy prey. What do I mean? To understand the tactics of the predator, you must get inside his mind: Would he prey upon someone who holds her head high, keys in hand, shoulders square, scanning the horizon for anything unusual, or one who obviously has her mind elsewhere, shuffling to her car, cell phone glued to her ear, fumbling for her keys, clueless? The first would be a fighter; the latter, a vulnerable, easy target. See it from the perpetrator’s perspective, and don’t give him what he wants.
The late Jeff Cooper, author, speaker, president and founder of The American Pistol Institute developed what he called the the “Color Code of Readiness”. The “white zone” is when someone is oblivious of his surroundings and immediate environment, typical of the one described earlier. The “yellow zone” signifies someone has situational awareness, conscious of everything within his visual reach, ready. At “orange zone”, the person is alert, perceives a threat and has already determined to act if need be. And finally, at “red zone” the person’s has actually encountered a specific threat that poses immediate consequences to his personal safety. At this point, he should fight or take flight using clear, concise verbal commands and movement. If you want to dramatically increase your odds from avoiding or evading a threat all together, you must purposely be on guard at yellow, orange and red zones, depending on the severity of the threat. Never, under any circumstance, choose to live in the “white zone” – to do so could reap severe penalties.
Being situationally aware also means making wise choices and taking extra precautions even in ordinary and oftentimes suspicious situations. In everyday practical living, be aware of the person watching your transactions – such as showing your driver’s license to the cashier while some shady character behind you gets a quick glance of all your personal information. While driving or on foot, beware of the person or car behind you. A good rule of thumb: If you’re being trailed behind after three consecutive right turns, there’s a good chance you are being followed. Do NOT go home at this point, lest you reveal your place of residence to this possible perpetrator. Drive to a well-lit, populated area like a large gas station, or better yet, the police department! Assuming you have a cell phone, you may even want to call 911 if you fear for your safety.
Principle #2: We must execute the proper skills to overcome the threat by honing some hands-on self defense techniques now.What good will it do for you to practice the first principle but at some point fail, then find yourself pinned to the ground by your attacker with a gun to your head, or – like our earlier scenario – feel the icy edge of a knife against your throat from behind. Trust me: You don’t want to end up there! This is where practical, personal defense training becomes critical. Here are a just a few suggestions:
a. Practice and become proficient with a firearm. Though the mere sight of a handgun intimidates many women, it’s a great place to start. The only way to overcome the fear of the unknown is to gain a working, practical knowledge of the thing you fear. Contrary to popular belief, guns aren’t dangerous – it’s the criminal behind them, or those who simply do not understand the basics of handgun safety. To be efficient in a deadly situation, you have to be comfortable with defending yourself, and it begins with the proper training and practice.
Get involved. Contact your local police department – like I did with my first exposure to handgun training – and inquire about any self defense training offered. Check online or your yellow book pages. Many gun stores also have an indoor shooting range for a nominal fee. In varying locales, there are outdoor shooting ranges and gun clubs available. With a little inquiry, you will find that you are not alone. There are many folks just like you with varying walks of life who share the same belief: We cannot depend on others for our safety in a world of increasing moral, social and economic decline. Self defense training starts somewhere, and the practical skills of using a handgun are just one of them.
Though a handgun can bring a sense of security to an otherwise dangerous world, it cannot always protect. What if you simply forget to carry it on your person or you cannot get to your weapon prior to the attack? What if your attacker is able to knock the gun out of your hand, or fear arrests you and you simply cannot maintain the collectiveness to shoot with precision? These are real questions that to ponder them when it happens is to risk being a victim. Though handgun training is crucial, honing other self defense techniques can be a wise backup plan.
b. Learn and master the necessary techniques while conditioning your body to subdue, or – better yet – escape from your attacker. Self defense is not for the weak and winded. In order to preserve yourself in a deadly situation, your physical body must be prepared with both the stamina and skills. Going to the gym, lifting weights, or running on a treadmill provides some physical conditioning to resist exhaustion in the heat of an attack, but even that is not enough.
Remember our earlier attack scenario? No doubt without the proper training and body conditioning – aside from Divine intervention or sheer coincidence – you will not be prepared for the sudden abuse to your body, fear will arrest you, and you will lose the battle. There are far too many victims than victors to prove this point, but it doesn’t have to end this way. You do NOT have to be the next victim and your fate is truly up to you. Instead of one day living out this frightening scenario, let’s rewind the scene: What if you knew how to break the fall when landing on the ground so that you did not injure yourself? What if you knew how to defend yourself effectively on the ground with controlled breathing techniques while countering the attack to your eventual escape? This is what body conditioning and self defense training – like martial arts – can do for you.
If you’ve never experienced a “simulated attack” including some of the pain involved with a real attack then you’ll never know what to expect. Close Combative Self Defense training provides the environment to learn and feel what it’s like in a “simulated attack”. You learn techniques to defend yourself against any punch, kick, grab or throw. If your attacker knows how to counter your defense, there is also a counter to his counter. These techniques are traditionally taught in many martial arts schools, and should be acquired by experienced, Certified Martial Arts Instructors. Jiujutsu and Judo are just two of many styles that involve grappling and ground techniques, which I believe is where self defense is most practical. Ground self defense techniques are so important for the obvious reason that the majority of all attacks end up on the ground at some point: The key is knowing what to do effectively when you’re there – and this comes through awareness and honing the techniques proficiently. As Master Larry Hartsook, Eagle Karate Systems, astutely states (and is part of our martial arts school motto): “You are as you train.”
Some other self defense techniques involve turning the tables on your attacker by giving him the opposite of what he expects. It’s called diversion. First, you fain fear and vulnerability only long enough for him to let his guard down, then with ruthless aggression you divert or attack. Your action will beat his reaction. For instance, if your attacker towers in front of you with a gun, spewing out profanity in an effort to manipulate, you hold up your hands and plead for your life. Then before he has time to blink, swiftly step to the side, blocking, and compromising the barrel of the gun with the outside of your wrist and hand. Your immediate intent is a counterattack once the gun is out of his reach or escape. Another technique is attack by combination: For instance, the attacker attempts to grab you from the front, you execute a knee strike to the groin; his hands drop while you eye gouge or throat strike him; repeat the process. Be ruthless. Be aggressive. Continue to strike. Surprise even yourself, but never give in.
There are many ways to prepare your body for action, but martial arts ranks highest in my opinion. It creates confidence and fosters self esteem in one’s ability to face fear with tenacity and resolve. It also builds endurance and tolerance of pain. I’m used to bumps, bruises and broken bones – fingers and toes, mind you, but it still hurts! When faced with your attacker, don’t be afraid of pain. Though pain may seem like your enemy now, it may one day be your friend. Learn to endure it so you can easily overcome it when it really matters most.
In addition to physical training, mental preparedness is just as important. And this leads us to our third principle: Never, under any circumstances – as much as it depends on you – leave with your attacker to a secondary place lest you become the probable “investigation site”. At some point of an attack, you may be subdued and dragged against your will to a vehicle or threatened with a weapon to drive to some remote place. Your attacker has no sympathy at this point – not that he ever did – but you are almost certain to be his next victim if you ever submit.
Many of you may remember the Channon Christian and Christopher Newsom case in Knoxville, Tennessee, where a young couple was carjacked at gunpoint, bound, and taken to a rundown rental house. One can only imagine the horror of being tortured, repeatedly raped and finally murdered. I cannot write this without feeling immense sorrow, especially when I realize these vicious, inhumane acts of violence quite possibly could have been avoided. The point is don’t ever surrender or submit – even with a gun to your head – to leaving to some other place. Your chances of survival are greater to run away while your perpetrator attempts to shoot you; or to jump out of a moving vehicle if you find yourself already in the car with your attacker.
This happened to a lady I met years ago who’d also taken the same self defense classes I had. Leaving the mall parking lot one evening, she got into her car, ready to put the key in the ignition when she felt a knife against her throat from behind. He demanded she move to the passenger’s side while he jumped into the driver’s seat and sped away. Frightened, though maintaining her initial cool, she remembered principle #3: Opening the door, she jumped out while the car was still moving! Though hospitalized with a few cuts and bruises, she is still alive today. Yes, leaping out of a moving vehicle may break bones, but submitting to the animal that has no intention of keeping you alive after he’s satisfied his primal urges, is playing with fire.
It may seem overwhelming to think that even you can learn and apply these three principals. First you need to know that physical strength is secondary to overcoming the obstacles of self defense. If you become increasingly aware of your immediate surroundings while honing the necessary self defense skills to ward off an attack, you will dramatically increase your chances of survival; and even if you are subdued, to determine now that you will never submit to your perpetrator’s attempt to take you to a to a secondary place. Though it’s good to set realistic expectations when it comes to your personal self defense, don’t let complacency keep you from doing nothing at all. Just make a commitment that you will start somewhere and follow through until your proficiency outweighs your feelings of inadequacy, fears and doubts.
– Roxanne L. Griswold, Ready Made Resources
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Letter Re: Advice on Pre-1899 Guns and Ammunition Availability
Dear Sir:
I recently read your FAQ regarding the laws involved in purchasing pre-1899 firearms. It was dated 2004. Have any of the protocols significantly changed in the past several years?
I am also curious to know which pre-1899 revolvers function best with current production ammunition.
Any info would be of assistance. Thanks. – Louis P.
JWR Replies: My advice on buying pre-1899 guns is essentially unchanged. Prices for pre-1899 antique cartridge guns are continuing to advance much more quickly than inflation. (Just as I had predicted.) In recent years, Smith &Wesson revolvers have started to catch up in price with Colts, also as I predicted. (Although antique Smith & Wessons are still undervalued, and hence a great buy.)
Most antique revolvers seem to do well digesting modern smokeless ammunition, because these loads–at least those from the major manufacturers– are intentionally made extra mild, with antique revolvers in mind. There are a few notable exceptions, most notably the Colt Lightning (.38) and Thunderer (.41) double action revolvers, which are weak designs and notorious for shooting themselves loose with all but the most mild handloads.
The availability of cartridges has actually improved dramatically in recent years, in part because of the growing popularity of Cowboy Action Shooting. This new demand for “obsolete” cartridges has encouraged manufacturers to make brass and cartridges for some cartridges that were formerly very hard-to-find. A special tip of the hat to Starline Brass. Without them, many of the obsolete pistol calibers would still be truly obsolete. The following are just a few examples:
- .32 S&W Long, made by Stars and Stripes Ammo, and others.
- .32-20 Winchester, made by Stars and Stripes Ammo, and others.
- .38 Short Colt, made by Fiocchi, Stars and Stripes Ammo, and others.
- .38 Long Colt, made by Black Hills Ammunition, and others.
- .41 Long Colt, made by Ultramax, and others
- .44 S&W Russian, made by Black Hills Ammunition, and others.
- .45 Schofield, made by Black Hills Ammunition, and others.
- .455 Eley, made by Fiocchi
- .50 Remington (both Army and Navy), made by Stars and Stripes Ammo.
- 6mm Lee Navy (aka .244 Lee) , made by Buffalo Arms, and others
- 6.5x53R Dutch, made by Buffalo Arms, and others
- 7.65mm Argentine Mauser, made by Old Western Scrounger, and others.
- .38-55 Winchester, made by Stars and Stripes Ammo, and others.
- .38-56 Winchester, made by Buffalo Arms, and others
- .38-70 Winchester, made by Buffalo Arms, and others
- .38-72 Winchester, made by Buffalo Arms, and others
- .40-60 Marlin, made by Stars and Stripes Ammo, and others.
- .40-60 Winchester, made by Stars and Stripes Ammo, and others.
- .40-82, made by Ten-X Ammunition
- .43 Dutch Beaumont, made by Buffalo Arms
- .43 Egyptian, made by Buffalo Arms
- .43 Mauser, made by Buffalo Arms
- .45-76 Winchester, made by Ten-X Ammunition
- .45-90 Winchester, made by Buffalo Arms, Ten-X Ammunition, and others
- .45-110 and .45-120, made by Ten-X Ammunition
- .50 3-1/4″ Sharps, made by Buffalo Arms
- .50-70 and .50-90 Sharps, made by Ten-X Ammunition, Buffalo Arms, and others.
- .55-50 Spencer, made by Ten-X Ammunition
- .577-450 Martini-Henry, made by Ten-X Ammunition
- .577 Snider, made by Ten-X Ammunition
Quite a few other calibers (such as .30 Luger, .405 Winchester, and 11mm French Gras) are custom loaded by Bob Shell or are available from Old Western Scrounger. It would be great to find someone making .38 Merwin & Hulbert .44 Merwin & Hulbert ammo. I suspect that the lack of “base” brass is what is preventing that.
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Letter Re: Lessons Learned from Hurricane Ike
John in Texas wrote a great piece about Lessons Learned from Hurricane Ike. He wrote that his neighbors have ignored the hazards of a hurricane, and that his wife still believes the money spent on a generator is a waste of money.
In a somewhat similar experience, many years ago, while living in the Chicago area, we had a winter in which we had a tremendous amount of snow. Tired of shoveling the white stuff, I purchased a snow blower during the next summer. The following winter we had an unusually light snowfall. One day, while my co-workers were laughing at me for wasting my money, I asked one of them if he had life insurance. The man nodded. I then pointed at him and laughed, saying, “You must feel like a fool, spending money on something you haven’t used. What a waste of money!” Then I asked if he had health insurance, and if he was disappointed that he hadn’t had a major medical issue for which he could take full advantage of the insurance.
I’ve tried to explain to others that the idea of insurance, preparations in this case, is not something I want to use – it’s there just-in-case. If we never use our inventory of supplies in an emergency, great! If we do need them, then. – Dean C.
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Economics and Investing:
California home equity hangover: $649 billion in HELOC loans nationwide with most in California.
Two Years Later: The U.S. Economy Still Needs a Spark Plug
Two years after Lehman Brothers collapsed in a $639 billion bankruptcy and the short-term financial markets seized up with terror, we’ve backed away from the brink. But skittishness in the financial markets hasn’t gone away. It’s just taken a different form — for instance, driving gold prices up 56% from $805 an ounce on Sept. 3, 2008, to $1,253 Sept. 3, 2010.
With spot silver now solidly above $20 per ounce, and spot gold above $1,260, I hope that I will now get less flak for being a “gold bug.” Back in 2001, when I proclaimed that silver was at the beginning of a bull market, many people though that I was a loon. (Silver was then under $5.23 per ounce.) But I now feel vindicated when I see headlines like these: Stocks, Treasuries, Gold Gain on Fed Bond-Purchase Speculation.
‘Too Big To Fail’ Author Weighs In the the Financial Crisis: Then and Now. “It felt like the world was on fire,” recalls writer Andrew Ross Sorkin, whose book Too Big to Fail covers the financial crisis at its peak. Yet, he agrees, the financial world as we know it, isn’t really that different now.
Items from The Economatrix:
Gold Prices Surge to Record High
US Outlook Prompts Warnings by Japan, Australia Central Banks
Market Gains as Economic Outlook Brightens
SEC Expands Stocks Under “Circuit Breakers”
Nervous Americans Want Easy Access to their Cash
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Odds ‘n Sods:
Reader M.P.S. notes that there are two coupons for home canning jars currently available at on RedPlum.com. You can print each coupon two times.
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A follow-up: Mayor Eddie Perez (recently mentioned in the blog) was sentenced to three years in prison, and three years probation, of a possible 60 year sentence. Perez was convicted on five of six felony charges. He is one of the rogues gallery of Mayor Bloomberg’s Mayors Against Illegal Guns members that have been indicted or convicted of felonies including Sheila Dixon, Kwame Kilpatrick, Gary Becker, Larry Langford, Samuel Rivera, Jerramiah Healy, the late Frank Melton, Will Wynn, and David Della Donna. One can only wonder what the felony conviction rate is for members of Mayors Against Illegal Guns, versus the general population. It is noteworthy that a felony conviction in the U.S. brings with it the loss of the right to own a firearm, for life. So at least these socialist mayors have been successful in getting a few guns out of the hands of criminals–themselves.
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Camping Survival just received two pallets (100 cases) of military specification MREs that had been out of stock since the Haiti earthquake.
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Jim’s Quote of the Day:
"If tyranny and oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy. Of all the enemies to public liberty, war is perhaps the most to be dreaded because it comprises and develops the germ of every other. War is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes; and armies, and debts, and taxes are the known instruments for bringing the many under the domination of the few. The loss of liberty at home is to be charged to the provisions against danger, real or imagined, from abroad." – James Madison
Note from JWR:
Today we present another entry for Round 30 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:
First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).
Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).
Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)
Round 30 ends on September 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.
Family Preparedness: How to Protect Your Infant Child, by Jen J.
When my son was around three months old, I needed to run out and pick up milk and a small tool my husband had on order at a local hardware store. I anticipated the total outing to be around an hour, and thought I had packed appropriately. We successfully made it to the farm where I picked up our milk for the week, and placed the glass jugs on the floor of the car. During the drive to the hardware store, my son woke up and started fussing which rapidly escalated to a full-blown tantrum. When exiting the freeway, the glass jugs rolled together and one broke, spilling a half-gallon of milk over the front of my car. We arrived at the hardware store, where I parked around the back. I hopped into the back seat, fed my son, where he promptly over-filled his diaper and soiled the clothes he was wearing. On opening his diaper bag, I discovered that I had planned poorly for my outing. I had several diapers, but no change of clothes. I’m sure you can imagine this palm-to-forehead moment as I stared in horror at the puddle of milk in my car, my filthy child, and the cold January afternoon outside. While this event was frustrating and challenging to take care of (I cleaned my kiddo, wrapped him in my jacket, and used the extra diapers I had to sop up the milk, then ran to the store and bought him a clean outfit to wear home), it taught me the value of being prepared for any contingency, a lesson every new mother and father eventually learns.
As avid outdoors’ enthusiasts, my husband and I are always toting our small child out on adventures. We hike, bike, rock climb, hunt, camp, and disappear into the wilderness every chance we get. When our son was seven months old, we planned a month-long rock climbing adventure in St. George, Utah, which required frequent drives and hikes deep into the desert wilderness. Preparation for the comfort and care of an infant for a single-day in the mountainous desert took extensive research. Between the two of us we carried all of our climbing gear, enough food for about 8-hours, warm clothing (down jackets, cotton long-sleeve shirts and pants, wool hats, and a wool bunting suit for our son), a lightweight travel-cot for our son, blankets, toys, and standard diapering supplies. On reflection, however, I realized if we had ever encountered a challenge that required us to stay the night in the desert, or hike out due to a flat tire, we would have been in serious trouble. It never occurred to me to carry extra food in the event we were out past dinner, or a change of socks, or a proper first aid kit, or more diapers than absolutely necessary. Weight was a huge concern, and we relied on the fact that we weren’t too far from civilization and other rock climbers.
Shortly after our return from our trip, I read The Long Emergency by James Howard Kunstler; joined a back-country hiking group of moms; and my husband broke his leg at a local climbing area which very quickly demonstrated how dependent I was on him for carrying capacity of our daily gear. It struck me that in the survival literature that I’ve read, there is no discussion on ensuring the safety of an infant. On a personal level, ensuring the survival of my son is the most important thing I could do in any scenario; in a TEOTWAWKI situation what could be more important than well prepared women who know how to ensure their babies can survive? So, I began reflecting on what was truly needed should something ever occur that required me to survive alone with our son. Using an extreme example, could I pack a bag that contained everything my son and I would need to survive in complete wilderness and isolation for three days, including carrying my son?
As I began building my lists and sorting out what I truly needed, weight was a primary focus. At 5’1” tall and 105 lbs, I can’t expect to carry more than 50-60 lbs, including my son. A strong man could undoubtedly carry far more weight, but he doesn’t have the advantage of being able to breastfeed and has to carry all of the food and additional gear required for an infant’s milk/formula.
The planning involved with this also emphasized the need to stay fit and active; have sound first-aid skills that are applicable to an infant (most local first-aid courses include training on infant first-aid); have a good understanding of wilderness survival and knowledge of the region you’re planning to survive in (in my case, the Pacific Northwest); and know your limits. Traveling with an infant restricts your ability to hunt for food, so knowledge of basic traps for small game is helpful. You can’t plan for silence from a child when he is completely out of his element, so you need to ensure you don’t attract unwanted attention from predators (human and animal alike) as a result of your child’s crying. Your focus when surviving with an infant needs to be on warmth, security, hygiene, and food. Finally, when planning for a worst-case-scenario survival situation, cost should never be an issue. Unless you live under a bridge, you’re never too poor to afford the best quality items. You’re life will depend on the choices you make, and the choices I made for my own survival with my son reflect this.
So, on to my list:
Carriers – if your child is less than 5-months old, invest in a Moby Wrap baby carrier (about 2 lbs.) and learn to use it. It’s a long swath of comfortable cloth you wind around your torso, and tuck your small infant in against your belly. This is a secure, comfortable, and warm way to carry an infant. It leaves your arms free, and you can carry a standard backpack.
Once your child can comfortably sit up on his own, I recommend the Littlelife Voyager. It weighs 6lbs, 3 oz; has the most carrying capacity of any infant carrier, and has a maximum load of 44 lbs. Invest in the rain screen, which you will find valuable for keeping your child dry and comfortable above your shoulders.
Combine this with a hip-pack that you can wear in front, packed with essential small items, I carry a S.O.B. (Soldiers Optimized Butt Pack) tactical pouch, which is a good size for carrying a small handgun, my knife, flashlight, compass, maps, snacks for my son and myself, and water) .
Gear –
- 1.8oz – Swedish Firesteel
- 11oz – Backpacking cookset which is big enough to wash diapers in. I found the Open Country 5-Piece Nonstick set to be ideal
- 8oz – Biodegradable, phosphate free soap – Campsuds fit the bill perfectly
- 4oz – Hand sanitizer gel
- 3.1oz – MSR Ultralite pack towels
- 2oz – String for hanging diapers to dry, building traps, and a myriad of other uses
- 20oz – Water filtration system such as the Katadyn pocket filtration system, or go super light with iodine tablets
- 13.2oz – Diapers – avoid packing your standard cloth or disposables, and instead get a set of Gerber baby organic birdseye diapers (10oz for 6 diapers), and combine with 2 Gerber waterproof diaper wraps (1.6oz each)
- 12oz – Wipes – rather than getting pre-moistened wipes, pick up disposable dry washcloths which are lightweight, cotton, and will work well for multiple applications, just remember – you must have water to use them
- 4oz – 2 small, lightweight food containers that can hold 4oz of food each. You will find it helpful to be able to prepare your baby’s food in advance, as they typically require food of some kind every two hours;
- 3lbs – Food – a personal choice, as you can choose to carry MRE’s or freeze dried foods. If you go with freeze dried foods, plan on at least 2lbs worth that can be cooked soft enough for your child to share with you (if he’s eating solids by this point), and remember that an infant cannot digest complex foods yet, do not choose foods that are heavy in salt, contain honey, or egg whites, and if you don’t know yet about allergies, avoid nuts. Include in this weight any formula or cereal your child needs.
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- On an additional note to other breastfeeding women, remember you need to take care of yourself. Do not skimp on food because it makes your load easier to bear. Your body needs proper nourishment and water in order to care for your child.
- 2.5lbs – Water bottle for yourself, and to share with your child – at least a 1-litre bottle, whatever you can carry
- 6oz – Sippy cup or bottle for your child; necessary if using formula
- 1lb – Survival Knife – get one of quality that can strap to your thigh or has a good sheath for MOLLE attachment for ease of access
- 1.5lbs – Hatchet (Swedish handmade quality is vital)
- 6oz – LED compact flashlight (both a Petzl Tikka headlamp and a Surefire 6P or similar)
- 3oz – Compass
- 3lbs – 1st Aid Kit; In addition to a standard kit, remember to include in your kit the following important items you may need:
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- Infant Tylenol; gripe water; diaper rash cream; lanolin for breastfeeding; nasal syringe bulb; nail file; Vaseline; natural insect repellant (not DEET based); tweezers
- 6lbs 12oz – A tent of some sort – I prefer the Bibler/Black Diamond Tempest as it’s lightweight, compact, and can withstand any weather on earth.
- Lightweight, good quality clothes for layering in. You can find light wool layers for your child, as well as a lightweight wool bunting suit, I have found that natural fibers like wool work far better than synthetics in maintaining an infant’s core temperature; Make sure you have at least one down jacket packed for yourself, large enough to snuggle your child in when sleeping at night; down booties for sleeping; extra socks; at least one full change of clothes for your child (weight varies depending on your need); hats for you and your child (wool and/or cotton beanies and a waterproof cap with brim for yourself. Your own clothes need to have a top-layer that’s reasonably water-resistant, and have warm, comfortable, waterproof hiking shoes that are ready at all times.
- Thermal blankets
After careful calculation, my total weight before clothing and blankets are considered is 30 lbs. With the weight of my son added in at 23 lbs, I’m within my limit range of 50-60 lbs. After estimating clothing and blankets, my total 3-day emergency kit for wilderness survival averages close to 60 lbs. Remember that children grow rapidly, so you can’t plan on the emergency clothes too far in advance. Always invest in a few high-quality clothing items that are slightly large on your child, and that are durable, warm, and can be layered. I can just lift my pack into position on my own with my son in place already. For a long hike, I need to carry a set of lightweight poles to help support the load. For a TEOTWAWKI situation, I intend to carry a Walther P22 with appropriate ammunition in my hip pack. [JWR’s Comment: A .22 rimfire pistol might suffice for stopping small game, but it would be foolhardy to depend upon one for self defense.]
Each person is unique in what their situation may bring about. If I were to use a stroller or car for planning my survival, I could carry significantly more gear and in far greater comfort. However, I wanted to use an extreme example, from which I could adjust my calculations for other situations such as when I have my husband to help share the load.
I hope that by sharing my experience in preparing for the survival of an infant, others will also take the time to invest in appropriate items to ensure their smallest and most precious cargo will survive regardless of the situation.
Letter Re: A New Edition of Where There is No Doctor is Now Available
James,
Thank you for your excellent blog. It is one of my daily read sites, no matter where in the world I am. The Hesperian Foundation just published their updated 2010 version of Where There Is No Doctor: A Village Health Care Handbook by David Werner. It is 450 pages and has lots of excellent updated information. The download version is free, but I highly reccomend purchasing the paper copy for $22 USD
The last I heard paper books are still EMP proof. It will be nice to have a useable reference, if and when the computer is fried!
Best Regards, – The Consultant
JWR Replies: Thanks for that update. Readers should be sure to order the latest (2010) edition. Also note that translations in more than 180 languages (From Albanian to Zulu) are now available.
Economics and Investing:
More than a dozen readers sent this: Doomsday warnings of US apocalypse gain ground
B.B. sent us this: CBO Predicts U.S. Debt Crisis if Deficits are Not Controlled
Sovereign defaults ahead? Wreck the Currency or Default on the Debt? by Jeffrey Rogers Hummel. (Thanks to G.G. for the link.)
Randy F. forwarded a bit of Gloom und Doom: Our Debt Is More Than All the Money in the World
Items from The Economatrix:
Mutant-Rat Epidemic Spreading Economic Black Plague
Chinese Manufacturing Data Points to Dismal US, EU Christmas
China Fears Depreciation of $2.45 Trillion of Reserves Still Heavy in Dollars
Odds ‘n Sods:
Reader R.P.B. recommended the 12-part instructional video series, available free on YouTube, prooduced by Analytical Survival.
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Reader James C. spotted this: Look what happens when you cross a skateboard with a tank
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Bill R. sent this NPR piece: Consumers Still Gear Up, Camp Out In Recession
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Yet another reason to avoid social networking web services: Burglars Picked Houses Based on Facebook Updates. (Our thanks to G.J. for the link.)
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J.B.G. liked this piece by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: The backlash begins against the world landgrab. Gee, investing in productive farming land. (Does this sound familiar?)
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
"Indifference to evil is evil." – Elie Weisel
Notes from JWR:
Monday (September 13th) is the last day of the big sale at Ready Made Resources on Mountain House freeze-dried foods. Don’t miss out!
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Today we present another entry for Round 30 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:
First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).
Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).
Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)
Round 30 ends on September 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.
The Case for Silver Investment, by J. Vigilant
I. Introduction
As of September 2010, it appears that physical silver is today potentially the most explosive precious metal play in history. A combination of factors – chronic scarcity, inelastic demand, and expanding consumption has created potentially one of the most profitable opportunities ever seen. The following analysis presents the base rationale for purchasing silver. Furthermore, significant evidence exists to point towards downward manipulation of the silver market by large bullion banks, further compressing the market. It is this author’s opinion that a parabolic top in silver could easily surpass the 20x rhodium price increase from $500 to $10,000 over a five year period as the market realizes the supply shortage. Silver’s supply and demand are analyzed below to provide a background for the reader.
II. A Scarcity of Silver
Total world silver production from the prehistory to the end of 2001 was estimated by the USGS to be 1.26 million metric tons, or 40.5 billion troy oz. The Silver Institute reports that 5.1 billion oz have been mined from 2001-2009. In total, 45.6 billion oz have been mined in history, with roughly 1/9 of that total in the last decade. The Silver Institute and GFMS conclude that approximately 800 million oz existed in total above ground official stocks (governments, COMEX, other dealers, and ETFs combined) as of the end of 2008. Assuming that jewelry and other private stocks are unaccounted for, let us assume that an additional arbitrary 200 million scrap oz can be recovered. Furthermore, there is no justification for ETFs to be included in silver stocks – in theory, the ETFs are supposed to hold investor’s silver and to include investor silver in inventories would be to double-count them. Recall that the Hunt Brothers’ silver squeeze in the 80’s pushed many to liquidate scrap silver, implying that individuals today probably either 1) did not sell at $50/ounce in 1980, and probably would not sell now, or 2) sold their silver in the 1980’s and have only silver acquired since then. In summary, a base could rationally assume potentially 1 billion ounces exist in the market today.
Note: Jewelry should not be included in the aforementioned supply. A 5-gram sterling silver ring, for example, has 0.148 troy oz, costing $25 on Amazon as of July 2010. As silver is roughly $20 for one troy ounce including premiums, rationally speaking, silver prices must reach substantially over $100 (potentially $120) in order for a buyer to sell that ring at melt value for a profit. However, as Cash For Gold has shown, some individuals are willing to sell below market value, so the actual liquidation value should be assigned a discount – arbitrarily, assume any price above $50/ounce would bring in scrap sales.
Furthermore, silver production is directly tied to the world economy – the Silver Users Association stated that 70% of silver in 2004 was produced as a by-product of mining for lead, zinc, copper, and gold mining. Should the economy take a turn for the worse, silver mining will be cut significantly as demand for other commodity metals decline. Furthermore, it is commonly known that US government stockpiles of silver in the 1950’s and 1960’s numbered around 3 billion oz (the largest single stockpile in history), and the US government literally has none today. From 2000-2009, silver’s fabrication demand has exceeded new mining at an average rate of 200 million oz/year according to calculations based on Silver Institute statistics. At current run rates in a normal economic environment, known world stocks will be depleted within this decade.
III. The Changing Nature of Silver Demand
In addition to the increasing scarcity, silver demand is drastically changing. Silver’s usage is increasing dramatically as it being used in a number of nanotech applications, including most tech products, inks, medical technology, and clothing. While some controversy surrounds the usage of silver in clothing and medical technology for anti-bacterial purposes, silver products continue to increase in popularity. Silver is used in virtually every electronics product. Most importantly, silver is used in trace amounts in virtually all of its industrial products – should the price increase by multiples, overall input costs of silver on a per-product basis will remain negligible. For example, a new silver-laced sports shirt has a miniscule amount of silver. Should the price of silver rise significantly, the cost of the silver in each shirt would be pennies on the dollar compared to the other costs of production. Silver appears to have an inelastic demand curve.
IV. Pricing Silver
In summary, silver is a commodity with 1 billion ounces under a base case scenario, with potentially 200 million ounces being irretrievably used each year. As the price increases, industrial demand will not diminish. In light of the above facts, a fair value for silver would be difficult to establish. It is entirely possible that figures for silver are vastly understated compared to actual supply. However, even assuming that 5 billion ounces of silver are readily available at higher prices, it is important to keep in mind that a similar metal – gold – has 5 billion ounces above-ground. In other words, the supply of silver under a conservative scenario equals the supply of gold, and in an optimistic case, is 5x rarer than gold. Yet, gold is 60 times the price of an ounce of silver (assuming $1.200 gold and $20 silver). Given that the historical ratio of gold to silver in the earth’s crust is around 1:14 or 1:15, an upward revaluation to the price of silver must occur. While it is true that higher silver prices would increase mine production, recall that 1) 70% of silver mining is from by-product, and 2) new mines take from 1-3 years to start up production. Even after silver’s necessity is recognized by the public, it will be years before new production would be able to match the soaring demand from a shortage.
When considering that much silver demand at present is industrial, the amount of silver available for investment is necessarily much smaller. Furthermore, when the shortage becomes known to the public, a massive squeeze must occur as people “panic buy” at the same time silver-users also attempt to place larger-than-normal orders to ensure business continuity. Possible prices may be left to the reader to predict.
V. Evidence of Manipulation
In addition to the fundamental supply/demand imbalance noted above, a further element favoring the supply shortage must be introduced. Many silver investors believe two statements about silver: 1) elements of the Western governments – i.e., central banks – are working with large bullion banks to purposefully suppress the price of silver, and 2) certain precious metal ETFs and exchanges are fraudulent. These issues will now be addressed.
- “Central banks stand ready to lease gold in increasing quantities should the price rise.” – Alan Greenspan, July 24, 1998 in testimony before the Committee on Banking and Financial Services. The full market manipulation theory states that large bullion banks, specifically, JPM and HSBC, enter the London market and the COMEX to manipulate silver prices downward. The mechanism by which this is done is through “paper shorting” – the banks allegedly issue thousands of precious metal contracts (not backed by the actual metal) in a short time period to overwhelm the market and force liquidation by technical funds and speculators.
The CFTC’s own Commitment of Traders (COT) report has been analyzed by Theodore Butler on a weekly basis. As an example, he submitted a letter with details to the CFTC, indicating that 4 or less banks control the commercial short position. The fact that the market is concentrated so heavily in these hands appears to constitute prima facie evidence that manipulation is in fact possible.
As to whether manipulation occurs in fact, a CFTC hearing on position limits in metals was held on March 25. During that meeting, 2 items of note were revealed.
1) Bill Murphy of GATA alleged that he had a whistleblower on JPM’s manipulation of the markets. Andrew Maguire, a former Goldman Sachs employee, is a metals trader in London. He claimed that 1) he was told by traders from JPM that they manipulate the price of silver. He sent information to the CFTC predicting the time and patter of a silver price crash 2 days in advance.
2) Jeffrey Christian of the CPM Group agreed that certain precious metals have been leveraged by 100 to 1 in the London and COMEX markets (time 4:21). Leverage that high means in fact that should 2 out of 100 ask for delivery, the market would collapse as “price discovery” is attempted.
The following week, Dennis Gartman, a well-known trader, went on the record (time 1:22) grudgingly admitting that silver market manipulation was a possibility.
Not directly related to silver, but to manipulation – The UK Telegraph has reported the controversy about “Brown’s Bottom” – Gordon Brown’s decision as Chancellor to sell 400 tons of British gold when gold reached historic lows “is regarded as one of the Treasury’s worst financial mistakes and has cost taxpayers almost £7 billion.” The stated reasoning at the time was to “generate cash” – but in addition to generating relatively little, the sale was pre-announced, causing the price to decline before the sale and inconsistent with obtaining a good price. Speculation exists that the sale was a secret bailout of banks short precious metals.
2) Some investors believe that the popular metals funds, GLD and SLV, are one of the means by which JPM and HSBC defraud investors. Known issues with these funds are numerous: 1) These two banks are both the largest short-sellers and the custodians of the GLD and SLV funds – a clear conflict of interest. 2) The funds pay no premium for physical metal – all other precious metals funds with verifiable stocks have at times charged large premiums – Sprott Asset Management has charged up to a 30% premium during times of tight delivery, but GLD and SLV have never had any real premium increases. 3) GLD has grown from virtually nothing in 2004 to being in the top 10 holders including official government stocks in 2010. Similarly, if SLV is actually backed by silver, as of 7/16/2010 the fund is stated to hold 9,185.29 tonnes of silver – equivalent to 295 million oz. Based off of the known supplies from the Silver Institute reviewed earlier of 800 million oz, SLV owns ~3/8 of total world supply – not including COMEX silver contracts, warehouse receipts, etc. What are the odds that this group holds almost half of the world’s supply in their vaults? It appears highly unlikely that both the COMEX shorts and SLV are backed by the precious metals. 4) Legal hedges in the prospectus for both absolve the ETFs from any responsibility for ensuring that the custodians actually possess the silver in question. An analysis has of their legal structure has been completed and document various suspicious activities and legal loopholes in the prospectus that could allow for the trusts to hold paper derivatives instead of physical silver. To conclude that SLV is a fraud is not unreasonable, considering that in 2007 Morgan Stanley settled a class action lawsuit accusing them of charging storage fees on precious metals that they did not actually possess.
With the above allegations of manipulation, it appears that silver could literally surpass the value of gold. If above ground stocks have been or are near depletion, for a period of at least one year, silver prices higher than gold could be justified. If manipulation and fraud in the silver markets are discovered, the resulting panic rush would create the largest short squeeze in history – unless a force majeure situation is declared, and cash settlement at an unfair price for longs is effected. Even in that case, however, the demand for silver still rises – holders of the physical metals will be untouched while ETF holders will not profit.
VI. So What Does This All Mean?
1. Silver is hands down the best physical investment you can make, barring lead for bullets. If you want to increase your wealth, you do not buy gold – you buy silver.
2. The day that silver prices explode is probably also close to the day that TEOTWAWKI will occur because that implies that the Western governments have lost control. Currently, the situation can be pictured like this: Western governments can keep putting gold and silver into the market to keep the price down. However, their supply of silver is far smaller than their supply of gold, so silver will run out first. When that happens, the economic system must collapse or be realigned. A failure to realign it quickly means TEOTWAWKI.
VII. Recommendations for Action
Individuals can enter the silver market, demanding physical delivery through dealer purchases or through metal exchanges. In particular, bullion blanks or popular coins such as American Eagles should be bought from reputable dealers. I would avoid all numismatic coins which have a higher premium.