Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"It is a proposition too plain to be contested, that the constitution controls any legislative act repugnant to it; or, that the legislature may alter the constitution by an ordinary act. All laws which are repugnant to the constitution are null and void." – Chief Justice John Marshall, in Marbury v. Madison, 1803



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 30 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 30 ends on September 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



What Am I Prepping For–And How, by T.N.T.

I  started “officially” prepping about two years ago simply based on the way things were starting to turn bad with the economy and for fear that a real depression was coming.  As I studied and read what other preppers were doing and the reasons they were prepping I came away with some useful knowledge and information that changed my perception of prepping.

My early experience found me gathering supplies helter-skelter and after several months I had no idea what else I might need to focus on.  Back in my younger day from backpacking experience, I knew I could make some one pot stews, start a fire, and live in the great outdoors for a week or more.  Just the same, that was a long time ago and I have much to learn. In my early prepping I gave no thought to medication, first-aid, or other essential things that are typically taken for granted but need to be a part of a real prep plan.

I found it wise to reevaluate from time to time the how’s and why’s of my prepping needs and priorities. What I mean is that as things change, it is important to know why I am prepping, how I am going about doing it, and if the anticipated event were to occur tomorrow, would I be ready enough to weather it out.

Then I have to ask myself, if an unanticipated event were to occur tomorrow would I even be close to ready for the event that I didn’t plan for.  If the goal is to prep for a seventy two hour event as some government agencies recommend and a two week event occurred that would be a bad place to be. 

With that in mind, I found it is useful to make a list of events which could likely occur that would cause a condition where I have to rely on the supplies that are stashed away.  This list should include any possibility that it is believed could happen and then rate each item by the severity it might affect you and the likelihood that it could occur.

Much of this of course would be very speculative, but the list is for personal prep purposes. This should help set priorities on what supplies are most important and how much of each necessary item it may be wise to accumulate. An example would be if a flu pandemic is at or near the top of your list, then food, medicine, and sanitation supplies (including N95 respirators) are must have items.  If you determine that for this event you would want to quarantine the household for maybe three to six weeks then you have a measure of how much stuff you might need.

If you realistically have a list of possible events with say five to ten items on it, then you can start preparing for the worst case scenario starting with the top item on your list and work your way down as you get that done i.e.; dollar collapse, pandemic, earthquake.  You may find that once you prepare for the first item or two, you have the rest covered.

Of course I say this based on my own situation and your mileage may vary by a great distance. Personally, in my circumstance, living in a suburban setting with no real good rural retreat option, I don’t consider it necessary to have more then about six months of supplies. If any SHTF event that is considered worse then a few months of Schumer flying past that whirly device, it may be next to impossible to protect.  In that type scenario, within just a week or two the Golden Horde will be out in hungry force and it will be like the “Return of the Zombies”. Defense of course is a key component for any prepper, but without a group of armed and prepped neighbors to help defend the suburban castle, a family would be quickly overrun or simply burned out. In a grid-down condition, it would be just a few days before the first visitors looking for handouts will very likely by the unprepared that live near by. It would only go downhill from there, but I digress.

With an honest and real evaluation, you will now have a good idea of what and how much in the way of supplies you want to have on hand.  Next you need to determine if your prep plan is realistic and doable. For example, what if I have an EMP attack near the top of my list? What if I had it listed with a high probability of occurring and expect that it will affect the entire country with a grid down time of two to seven years?  

For that situation, I would want to be out in the boonies in a fortified underground bunker with enough food and other resources to last at least five years and a good source of water available.  Not to mention a well supplied and heavily armed group of dedicated defenders to keep it secure. Of course in reality, I would not be able to do this based on my current responsibilities and financial resources.  I’m fairly certain that at least ninety five percent of the population is in a similar posture.

The point is that you can only do what you can do but it’s best to be realistic while doing it.  At the top of my list is the collapse of the US dollar. A pandemic or other natural disaster such as an earthquake and a terrorist attack (false flag) are also high on my list.  These are things that I can realistically prepare for in my suburban setting; at least to some degree.

If something thing worse were to come along (EMP, CME, comet hit) at least there could be survival for the early stages but in my view, the average person can’t be ready for these extreme events.  This is not to discourage anyone from prepping for worst case scenarios but these type events would most likely result in a “Mad Max” scenario in short order. 

The main point is that you should determine what situation you are prepping for. Prioritize the list of items that are needed and start stocking up.  As you make progress, reevaluate from time to time and make sure that it’s not all beans and bullets stashed away. 

Start with priorities such as water (including filtration and storage), and of course food. Then add the hygiene and sanitary supplies, first-aid, medicine, vitamins, money (silver, gold), security and branch it off from there based on any of the umpteen lists that are out there.  Be sure to include in your budget firearms training as a part of your security. In my view if you go to all the time and expense of prepping you better know how to defend it if it comes to that, but that is just me.

I suggest that you work on the list of critical supplies in two week intervals. This is just to avoid blowing the entire monthly budget stockpiling just one item. This would be especially true if you are in the early stages of prepping.  Hopefully this will ensure that if an event occurred you aren’t stuck with just rice and tuna to eat but have no water, toilet paper, or sanitary supplies available.  

It is possible that for some things you may have to use the entire budget on one type item (such as gold or silver), just be sure to prioritize. Again, I have to emphasis that water needs to be at the top of the list including a way to store and sanitize it. 

It is also a good idea to keep a detailed list of these supplies as you accumulate them with a purchase date and expected shelf life.  Be sure to rotate for freshness, especially as the stock grows and you get close to topping it off.  Of course when you get to the top off point you should be making every effort to use the food supplies for family meals as a part of the rotation.  You could even start this early on to a small degree. This will give you a chance to get accustomed to what it would be like preparing and consuming the foods you stored. Use your propane cooker or whatever other method you plan on using.  Maybe even make it a point to do the prep with a lights out condition to get a real feel for it.

In conclusion, in order to ensure that you are staying on track with your current prepping needs, revisit your reasons for prepping from time to time; at least every six months.  Make a realistic list of the possibilities and reevaluate your reasons for prepping; assess your needs and priorities as conditions change.  Keep a detailed list of the supplies you’ve gathered with a purchase date and expected shelf life.  Be sure to rotate for freshness, especially as the stock grows and you get close to topping it off. Finally, make an effort to utilize some of the food stores routinely, especially as you rotate and top off.

Just remember, you might not be able to do it all at once, but even the tortoise gets to the finish line while the spectator just waits and watches.



Letter Re Peak Oil–The Short Version

Dear Jim and Family,
There are many web sites dedicated to Peak Oil. All the explanations, the various arguments about when and explanations about why and the different methods for mitigating this disaster. I’ve spent most of 10 years involved with it. Once you get past the Kubler-Ross Grief Process, then Peak Oil is a matter of approach. It’s a huge problem for civilization, but its not necessarily an end.

I admit to being optimistic about civilization because we are adaptive people. We will find a way. I take a lot of cues from the Third World because they adapt first. It’s very important to look at them, and look at how cultures have adapted to change in the past. It’s popular to take the 1980s Apocalypse view of change to the Peak Oil Problem, but this is not rational. We are not the same people we were in 1983 and The Day After was running on television to scare us all out of Nuclear War with a ruthless depiction of MAD. We saw the light, we adapted, nuclear war will never be an all encompassing spasm. It will never be global or total because it is politically unacceptable. Any nation that tried would end up like North Korea, isolated, mocked, a pariah nation nobody wants to do business with. Peak Oil is as big an issue as global thermonuclear war. It really is. But the end of easy energy is not the end of energy. Its a temporary cessation of movement, and a reconstruction binge associated with it as we all come back to reality from the fun of Car Culture, something which is all we’ve known.

In the Third World, many people can’t afford to own a car or the fuel to move it around. They get by other ways. Taking buses, riding scooters/underbone motorized cycles. Hitching a ride on a farm or work truck for a little money, a bicycle, or even walking. There are ways to get things done. We in the First World have had it really good, and the USA was a major oil exporter until 1970. As far as I’m concerned, that was Peak Oil. The day we had to start importing oil to meet our own needs is the day we lost control of our national destiny. It is ironic that all those presidents, even Richard Milhous Nixon, were right about our dependence on foreign oil costing us so much.

We are heavily invested in the trappings of oil dependence. Cars, planes, most buses, earth moving equipment, industrial civilization is mostly powered by oil. Getting away from that, so the oil left is reserved for vehicles is going to be expensive. We’ll have to electrify rail, both for freight and for passenger lines. We’ll have to bring back the Streetcar and put them in every town that’s big enough to justify a bus service now. We’ll have to smooth the roads left, and narrow them to adjust to the fact that we can’t justify six lanes of empty freeway for no cars but lots of bicycles and scooters and a few trucks and buses going by. We’ll also have to lower speed limits to save energy, the most irritating of mandates. Many of us are old enough to remember the 55 MPH maximum speed limit. Compared to today’s 80 (officially 70 in many states), the countryside seems to crawl by at 55. Its important, though, and we’d better get used to it. Peak Oil makes it necessary.

Survivalism is about doing what’s necessary. Anticipating government moves is part and parcel to Preparedness. Driving 55 on the freeway, and seeing scooters and bicycles in the slow lane is something which will become common as time passes, probably by the time the next President is elected.

As less oil is available, fuel will also become less available and more expensive. Right now, weakness in the world economy is keeping the price “low”. That $147 per barrel of oil a couple years ago was not a fluke or one time thing. We should expect the price to creep up to that as the remaining oil gets more expensive to recover. As bad as the recent oil spill was, it was largely inevitable. Welding at that depth is bound to cause problems as the chemistry is not favorable for it. There will be other incidents like it in future. We’re into the expensive and difficult oil, not the easy and cheap oil.

What expensive and mostly unavailable fuel means to you is you must adapt to the conditions. This is a long term and nearly permanent situation. The oil is going away. Alternatives take time and effort and money to develop. They aren’t here yet, and what’s available isn’t affordable. So what can you do? You can carpool. You can take mass transit, if available. You can work closer to home and take the pay cut, or get training so that job will pay more, or other jobs become available. And you can get a motorcycle license and learn to ride a light weight fuel efficient bike so you can get to work wherever that is. This is what they do in the Third World when they want to get around. The 125cc 2-stroke is the third most popular motorcycle on earth. The scooter and underbone are the first two. The equivalent in 4-stroke, required in most states for legal highway access, is 250ccs. Its enough to get the job done and have good fuel economy.

Just as you would learn to shoot a rifle, the ability to ride a motorcycle is an important life skill. Having the bike is like having a full pantry with rotating stock. Just as you would keep a backup water supply or a well, alternative personal transportation is very important. This is what they do in the Third World, where they just don’t have the resources we do. They get by on what’s available and make it work. I admire their determination and ability to solve problems. We all should. Being a farmer is a lot of that. Living in the boonies, or huddling in the burbs to keep your specialized job, you can camouflage yourself with poverty and position yourself to survive by not sticking out, just adapting quietly to the conditions with a few less hardships. And if you happen to teach your neighbors to ride bikes to work, then you’re one of many and that much less noticeable.

Eventually, sustainable fuel will allow us to have cars again, probably. But in the 10 years or so it takes to get that far, best case, we’ll need to continue living and going to work. Peak Oil is a big change, but it is not the end of the world. It’s going to be awkward and irritating and inconvenient and expensive, but it’s not the end of the world. That’s why you have to keep going to work. Make sure you’re prepared to do what is necessary to get there. Best, – InyoKern



Economics and Investing:

More FDIC Friday Follies: Bankruptcy & Closures: Six More Bank Failures Makes 125 in 2010

Wasteland: Europe stalked by spectre of mass unemployment. (Thank to J.M for the link.)

Retirement on Hold: American Workers $6 Trillion Short

J.H.B. liked this piece by commentator Devvy Kidd: Bail-outs of Freddie and Fannie will bury us under unpayable debt

Tom F. sent us this link: Congressmen Weiner and Waxman Set Gold Hearing

Items from The Economatrix:

A September Surprise is Coming…As Stunningly Stupid Politics Spread

Widespread UK Civil Disorder “Inevitable”

The Daily Gold And Silver Report reports COMEX warehouse shortages. A short squeeze in silver is coming, folks!

US Foreclosures Up 25%

Home Prices Drop in 36 States

Gold Hits New Record High



Odds ‘n Sods:

C.J. Chivers, the New York Times newspaper’s Token-Guy-Who-Understands-Guns has posted an interesting piece about the weapons used by insurgents in the Middle East: What’s Inside a Taliban Gun Locker? Too bad that this article got relegated to a little-read blog page, rather than a prominent place in print. OBTW, a century ago American newspapers had both reporters with expertise, and editors with an interest in firearms. See, for example, an 1893 New York Times article about Krag rifle procurement. (Thanks to “Straycat” for sending the link to the C.J. Chivers article.)

   o o o

Michael H. sent us this news item: Two Tornadoes Strike New York City. Michael’s comment: “Not your typical New York City weather, with only 10 tornadoes recorded since 1950. I’d bet that few of the people impacted were prepared, whether for having the power out for three days or having the roof ripped off their homes.”

   o o o

Violent Crime Declined As Gun Sales Climbed in 2009
. (Thanks to B.B. for the link.)

   o o o

The latest video from Jews for the Preservation of Firearms Ownership (JPFO): “No Guns For Jews”. OBTW, here is a web page that describes some well-armed and well-trained Jews. These folks, showing the same spirit of resistance as just a small minority of Jews during World War II, will be able to say “Never Again”, and do something about it!



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“Wherefore it shall come to pass, if ye hearken to these judgments, and keep, and do them, that the LORD thy God shall keep unto thee the covenant and the mercy which he sware unto thy fathers:

And he will love thee, and bless thee, and multiply thee: he will also bless the fruit of thy womb, and the fruit of thy land, thy corn, and thy wine, and thine oil, the increase of thy kine, and the flocks of thy sheep, in the land which he sware unto thy fathers to give thee.” – Deuteronomy 7:12-13 (KJV)



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 30 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 30 ends on September 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Why a Practice Garden?, by Tom C.

Why should you practice growing vegetables now instead of before you may actually need them?  Well. As I found out, plopping some seeds and seedlings into the ground and then expecting a bounty was nothing more than a self delusional exercise this year.
    
I called this my practice garden from the start with the intention of learning some skills for planting food bearing plants to either supplement or replacing grocery store produce should the supply lines be disrupted or severed completely. 

Ultimately my goal is to produce enough to eat, store and seed for the next planting; a complete breakdown of civilization being on my mind. 

I‘ve learned with this little plot of land, about 10 feet x 12 feet, that if I want to be able to provide for my family that there is a lot to learn and best to do it now rather than in the middle of a meltdown.

I really was naïve and completely ignorant on several key points.

1st Planting list: Just to start the basic “easy” food stuffs.
Corn,
Navy, Red, and Black beans,
Green bell peppers,
Tomatoes
     And transplanted 2 Peach trees and 1 Blackberry bush. The Blackberry was chosen over Blueberry because Blackberries don’t require cross pollination.
     This first season the bush gave a handful of berries, and the trees produced about 10 peaches.
Trees had a problem with beetles but a name brand insecticide cleared it up.  Both trees are thriving after I dug out a water collecting basin and filled it with mulch to hold moisture to the roots, which I didn’t do at first and they were visibly in distress once full summer was on us.

Soil quality:  Should have tested the soil and amended appropriately for the plants I wanted to grow.      
     Also this Georgia clay is nothing to take lightly.  Had rented a mid-sized cultivator from a box store that did nothing but scrape the surface and pull up grass.  Still had to break the land with hand tools and by adding inexpensive bags of top soil.
    Again in thinking simple and not checking, I used a time-release granular fertilizer, if it had any affect there is no telling.

Bugs:  With Spring they came.  I used an insecticide powder.  Later researching found out that mild dish detergent or Mean Green would have done the job without adding poison into the production.  I went with the Mean Green, rinsing the plants after.

Soil Temperature:  While we had warm weather after Labor Day, just two or three weeks later overnight temperatures dropped into the 40’s. Already had corn and beans growing from sown seeds along with green bell peppers and tomatoes from already started plants.  They never recovered.  I didn’t know about the mid-50 or more degree soil temperature for most plants until after starting to plant.

 

Very patiently I waited, just in case. 
     Bell peppers never grew another inch with only 1of 4 plants even making an attempt at producing, a pepper that started and then finally it gave up. 
     Tomatoes did better but it was a long time before they caught back on.  Just as they started doing better an aphid invasion set in.  Some name-brand garden insect killer did the trick.  But here it is in mid-August with but one fruit born without defect lie splitting open or broken circles around the stems.
     Corn slowly grew, stopping at about 24 inches.  They tried to make ears, but stopped.
     Beans all stunted.  Some produced pods that then rotted on the plants before maturing.  The beans in school never acted like this.

     I had intended to grow the corn, beans and then a squash in the Three Sisters method.  Which is plant the corn first in a mound, then two weeks after the corn starts plant beans in the mound; the beans would use the corn stalks to vine up.  And the squash which I never planted because none of the rest was working would have produced bonded nitrogen for the corn and the way the roots grow a mesh of mulching.
     Had the Red beans in their own row as they are bush beans and don’t vine.
     The inexpensive top soil I bought turned out to me mostly chips of wood with some dirt.  What little dirt there was washed away from the mounds for the Three Sisters causing some plants to fall over, the roots to have nothing really to hold onto.

     In June I gave up on the corn, beans and peppers cutting them down and tossing them into my mulch pile.  Should have given up sooner and replanted that crop, but I wanted to try other vegetables also.

2nd Planting: June
Carrots,
Lettuce,
Green peas,
Cucumbers.

     Only the cucumbers are growing right now along with some watermelon that I let the kids put in and never expected to grow…the watermelon are doing the best of everything.

3rd Planting: July
Pie Pumpkin
     Cleared the plot yet again except for the watermelons and cucumbers which are growing along 3 of the sides.
     Hoed a line down the center of the plot and sowed Pie Pumpkin seeds from last year’s homemade pie. 
     Now late August and the Pumpkin, Cucumbers and Watermelons are looking very good.  The Tomato plants have gotten tall and have green tomatoes on them, but every time they turn to ripen something happens to ruin the fruit.

     So an entire growing season gone by and all I’ve harvested are few berries, peaches and 1 small tomato big enough to garnish a ham sandwich.  But it was still the best tomato I’ve had in years; the smell alone was worth it.
    Peaches were so fresh and juicy, best I’ve had; having only store bought ones till then.
    And we broke open one watermelon a little premature but what was red was amazing, the entire house smelled so fresh.
    Pretty sure the cucumber, pumpkins, and watermelons are going to produce judging from what is happening right now.

     When fall comes on going to test the soil, use all the leftover plant vines in the bed over winter, add fertilizer, and expand the plot.
     Also going to add 2 more Peach trees and 2 or 3 Blackberry bushes to the yard next spring.

     During this season I did more research, gathered more ideas and am planning next year’s lot now instead of winging it like this years. 

     So why have a practice garden while you can without being stressed over producing?  Best answer is so that when the time comes to feed your family in a crisis you may have gained the knowledge and ability to do it.  Otherwise ya’ll might just be really hungry.

Resources:

Soil temperatures: Alabama A&M Soil Temperature Chart.

Three Sisters planting: Kid’s Gardening and Renee’s Garden.



Economics and Investing:

My cousin in England sent this: Preventing Your Government From Stealing Your Gold

Respected Oil Analyst Charles Maxwell Forecasts Peak Oil by 2017

Retirement Fund Trillions Lure Government Grabbers. (Thanks to Jeff for the link.)

M.E.W. flagged this news item: Chinese think tank warns US it will emerge as loser in trade war

Items from The Economatrix:

Why Governments Love Inflation and You Should Love Gold

Two Big Threats to the Economy Shrink a Bit

FedEx Delivers International Profits But Cuts US Jobs

Average Mortgage Rates Rise to 4.37%



Odds ‘n Sods:

H.H. sent a web link that illustrates what can be accomplished with simple hand tools, and plenty of sweat. Simondale: A Low Impact Woodland Home

   o o o

K.T. suggested this article from an Australian military journal: Che Guevara and Guerrilla Warfare: Training for Today’s Nonlinear Battlefields

   o o o

“Word” found this linked over at the Theo Sparks web site: Rebuild a Jeep in Under Four Minutes.

   o o o

A few Project Gladio secrets are revealed: NATO’s Secret Armies. What are not mentioned are the veritable mountains of cached weapons and ammunition in Europe. A lot of those caches are still in situ, and they are not all in Switzerland.





Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 30 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 30 ends on September 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Using an Impending Crisis to Raise the Issue of Preparedness, by S.V.

How do you bring up the issue of preparedness, and its urgency? Some people won’t listen, regardless of how you approach them. They will continue to put their faith in the government and society, convinced that what you do is paranoid, suspicious, and unnecessary. However, if they are family, and truly loved, I believe that it is necessary that we don’t give up.

My brother, God bless him, is an intelligent man. He is pursuing his masters at a university located around the Washington D.C. area so that he can go to work for the Federal Government. He puts his faith in the government, convinced that it can never fail, and that while it makes mistakes, it will eventually do the right thing and will get better.

I have tried, on numerous occasions, to approach him about the need to be prepared. Each time, he has ignored me or changed the subject. My problem is that he is family, and so I have to keep reaching out to him, regardless of his attitude. In my opinion, it’s not an option.

I have been racking my brain on how to approach him, again, and have it stick. I’m not looking for him to buy into the eventual TEOTWAWKI, just to get him to start thinking about being prepared. When I heard about Hurricane Earl, I thanked God for another opportunity to bring up the situation to him. I know it sounds strange that I would thank God for a hurricane, but as I’m writing this, there’s no certainty that Earl will hit the D.C. area or the Eastern Seaboard – and I fervently hope that it doesn’t.

I sat down and sent the following e-mail to my brother this morning. (Note: Some items have been changed to protect his privacy and mine. I have included my thoughts and reasons on why I phrased things the way that I did in italics:

Hey Bro,
I know that you’re busy with the start of class and all, but with Hurricane Earl having the possibility of hitting or grazing the D.C. area, I figured that it wouldn’t hurt if I sent you a quick e-mail with some things you need to think about now.

I know he hasn’t been following Earl at all. We talked last night for two hours, and he never brought it up once. His text back to me basically said he wasn’t even paying attention.

I’ve been reading up on what happened at Katrina and some other hurricanes, and how the Floridians prepare for these sorts of events, so hopefully that knowledge can be of some use to you.

He really doesn’t know that I prep, and I’m not going to tell him about my preparations until he’s fully accepted the idea that being prepared is just plain smart, and he’s actually taken some concrete steps to be prepared himself. So, I need to “explain” how I know this stuff.

The first thing I want to tell you is that you need to have a plan in place, if you don’t already. Remember that no plan survives its first contact with reality, so be flexible. However, I can’t overstate the importance of having your plans thought out before you go to bed tonight. You need to decide if you’re going to stay in place or evacuate. If you’re going to evacuate, you need to make sure that you have all routes out of town mapped out, including major freeways and back roads, as well as fill your cars up now, and don’t let them run below 3/4 tank until after the storm has passed. Also, pull out cash from the ATM now, and take more than you think you’ll need. ATMs run out of money very quickly once a crisis becomes apparent, and they don’t work at all when the power is out.

Remember that if the order to evacuate comes, or once it becomes apparent that Earl will hit the DC area, it will be too late unless you’re already prepared to go. You won’t have time to wait in line for gas, or pick up money from the ATM – you’ll need to bug out as soon as you start feeling “weird” about the situation. Trust your gut.

He has no plan. He hasn’t even thought about having a plan. He doesn’t know where to start, so I have to give him a starting point. A basic evacuation plan, along with making his cars are full of gas, is something simple that can really help him. He’s in class, so if I ask him to go drive all the evacuation routes, he’ll just ignore that piece of advice, and it may cause him to ignore the letter. Baby steps. Crawl before you walk.

How do you address “when to leave” for those who haven’t thought about it? The best answer is what another poster stated: When you have that “Oh God” moment. Trust your gut. That’s the best knowledge I can impart to my brother.

I also know that he’s never considered the possibility that the ATMs won’t be working.

Know where you’ll go. If you’re going to friends, call them now and make sure it’s okay if you show up with little to no advance warning. If a hotel significantly inland, you’d better make sure you have reservations. Again, hotels fill up very quickly.

Who remembers Hurricane Katrina, where every hotel was booked solid? And what about friends, will they be expecting you? My brother hasn’t considered any of this, so, again, baby steps.

Have a suitcase packed for you and your wife ready to go at a moment’s notice. Have a meeting place picked out so that if you’re at school and she’s at work, and it comes time to go, you know where you can meet. Make sure that you’re keeping your vital documents with you, including ID, credit cards, social security card, and anything else you think you need.

Bug out 101. Cars ready, cash ready, routes ready, bag ready, documents ready.

If you’re going to stay in place, you’re going to need food and water, at least 2 weeks worth. FEMA and the American Red Cross recommend that you have a minimum of 1 gallon of water per person per day for basic needs. Since there’s you, your wife, and your dog, this comes to 2.5 gallons per day for drinking and very basic sanitation (rag baths – very sparingly). Go to Wal-Mart or Target, and pick up 7 5 gal. Arrowhead water containers – these will work great and you can use them later if the hurricane doesn’t hit the area.

Really, in Grasshopperland, who really knows how much water you need to survive? We who are prepared consider this basic level knowledge – but for those who never gave this a second thought, you have to start off with the simplest of items. You have to quantify how much of what they’ll need to get through an event.

If you need extra money because you can’t afford this, I’ll wire you $300 today as a gift so you can get what you need. You wouldn’t need to pay me back.

Eliminate the monetary excuse. I want him to be prepared in case Earl or or a subsequent hurricane strikes. I can’t just give him knowledge; I also have to help him out in case he can’t afford it.

For food, you need two weeks of food that you don’t have to cook. Go with canned food from Wal-Mart or Target again, or food that doesn’t require any refrigeration. You may have no power, and you may not have access to any cooking fuel. Make sure to get a big variety of canned meat, beans, rice, fruit, chips, etc., so that you’re not eating the same thing again and again. Get an extra basic can opener, and some disposable plates. Make sure you get enough to feed you and your wife at least 1500 calories each person per day. Don’t forget your dog – make sure that he has extra food as well.

Again, in Grasshopperland, the power always comes on when you turn on the light switch. The stove always cooks, the microwave is always available. Except when they stop working. You have to explain the basics, and lay it all out in simple terms. Again, you have to quantify how much food they need. Is 20 cans enough? 200 cans? It’s hard to say – but if you give the requirements in minimum caloric requirements, he can look at the back of the labels and do the math to make sure he has enough.

A serving, when it comes to food, is very misleading. I have found that if you eat 3 meals a day, you’d better be eating 500 to 600 calories (perhaps more) per sitting. Giving him a base requirement of 1,500 calories a day per person will help him make quick decisions at the grocery store and ensure that he gets enough food.

I also covered the basics of food variety. We all know the importance of that, but your average Grasshopper will probably go out and by 1 50 lb bag of rice, figuring that the rice is enough to keep them alive if they need it. Of course, we know that cooking this rice will be a problem; along with eating rice everyday will get old, quick.

And really, who wants to do dishes in a short-term emergency?

If you don’t have a first aid kit – get a basic one with some bandages, ointment, and some big gauze pads. Make sure you have flashlights, and an emergency radio with a hand crank. Don’t forget extra batteries.

Here’s what I really want to impress upon you – you need to do these things now. Once you find out that Earl is barreling towards D.C., everyone will be out in panic mode. It’s better if you have everything figured out now, in your apartment, ready to go. If you wait, it may be too late.

How many people think that if they need something, they can just go down to the store and pick it up? The shelves are always stocked in Grasshopperland, and there are always happy and helpful people waiting to assist you. It never occurs to the fine citizens there that a time may come where things may not work quite as intended.

Also, don’t tell anyone what you’re doing. If Earl hits D.C. and things get really bad, you want to make sure that you don’t become a target. This includes making sure that no one sees that you’ve bought extra supplies. Wait until very early morning or very late in the evening so that you don’t run into your fellow apartment dwellers. And tell your wife to keep it off of Facebook.

OPSEC 101. His wife is an avid Facebooker. Their entire lives are up on that infernal site. Hopefully, she’ll keep this one under wraps.

One of the reasons Katrina was so bad was that people waited on the government to come and rescue them. They took no precautions, had no plan, and had no supplies ready. If something really bad happens, it takes the feds at least three full days to mobilize and come in. Until then, you’re depending on local police for protection. The best way to not be a target is to not identify yourself. Or as Monty Python said, “The first rule of not being seen is not to stand up.”

There is a great Monty Python skit, of which my brother is a big fan. The skit is a parody of an informational film entitled: “How Not to be Seen.” This is something that my brother can relate to though funny, it can be used to parallel the need to be discreet. I used this so that he would quickly grasp the need to be discreet and apply some basic common sense towards OPSEC.

So, just to close, here’s a quick list of what you need:

1. Plan to get out or stay put.
2. Plan on where to meet and how to get out.
3. Fuel up both cars and keep them full.
4. Suitcase ready to go.
5. Two weeks water.
6. Two weeks food (including dog food).
7. First Aid Kit
8. Emergency Radio
9. Flashlights
10. Spare Batteries
11. Disposable plates, forks, and knives.

Repeating what I had said in paragraph form, so he can print it out and head off to supply. The simpler you make it, the more likely they’ll follow your advice.

Hope this isn’t necessary – but it’s better to be safe than sorry. If Earl completely bypasses DC, you can always drink the water and eat the food, but if it hits, then you’ll really need it. Think of it as short term insurance. – S.V.

I know that this will not cover everything that he needs. I know that there are many more subjects that I would need to cover for him to deal with any of the possible scenarios that could arise if Earl strikes DC. However, this is simply for him to think about and to put in place some basic precautions.

Immediately after I sent him this e-mail, I texted him to read it when he got the chance. After about 10 minutes, he sent me a bunch of questions, which shows to me that he’s taking this seriously. He promised me that he would go get supplies this evening, as well getting his plan together.

His immediate plan is to shelter in place. He thinks he’ll be safe in his building – a high rise that was built 3 years ago. His building also has a fairly large amount of military personnel living there as well, so it may be secure if SHTF.

I pray that he follows through, and actually does prepare for this. Since I’m on the other side of the US, there’s really no way to know for sure; but it sounds like he’s serious. This potential emergency may have been what he needed to open his eyes.

Sometimes, we have to make use of an impeding emergency to impress the importance of preparing on those who are closest to us who haven’t listened so far. – S.V.



Product Review: ATI Gunstocks Adjustable Hunting Stock for Pump Shotguns


ATI Gunstocks Adjustable Hunting Stock for pump shotguns
are American made, well-thought out and offer a lifetime guarantee. This stock fits all three major American brands—Winchester, Remington and Mossberg pumps. It comes with stock and fore end and a bag of adapters.

I first tried it on a Remington 870. For installation, you will need a #2 Phillips screwdriver and a 1/2” socket wrench. Installation is reasonably straightforward, and the instructions are quite clear with good photos that cover disassembly of the original as well.

The stock easily adjusts for 13-14.5 Length Of Pull in four stops, which is good for customizing to the shooter, or to adapt for clothing, but doesn’t collapse nearly as much as an AR carbine type stock. I found the full length to be comfortable, and the minimum length was adequate for my average sized wife (5’5”) but not short enough for youths. However, the pistol grip was too long for me with the Remington stock
adapter in place. I had trouble reaching the trigger (I typically install a 3/4” spacer on my ARs to lengthen the trigger pull), and my wife could not reach without raising her grip considerably. The comb height was perfect, and that is also adjustable with a set screw. I can only recommend this for shooters with large or long hands. On a Mossberg 500, no adapter is needed. The grip length was much better and comfortable for my hands. The balance was excellent, and shooting comfortable.

The smooth black plastic matches most blue or phosphate finishes and looks very professional. – SurvivalBlog Editor at Large Michael Z. Williamson, author of the new science fiction novel Do Unto Others.