Economics and Investing:

Over at the View From the Porch blog, Tamara posted this gem on the recoveryless housing market: Missing the point. The comments that follow are also worth reading.

Reader Sue C. highlighted this article: OECD Says Slowdown ‘More Pronounced’ Than Anticipated

KAF sent this: Stimulus? Who Said Anything About a Stimulus?

Items from The Economatrix:

Stocks Resume Rally as European Debt Worries Ease.

Consumers Cut Back on Credit Card Use Once Again

Job Openings Rise for First Time Since April

Hopes Rise as Jobless Claims Fall, Trade Gap Eases

Stocks Extend Gains After Drop In Jobless Claims

Mortgage Rates Edge Up; Housing Market Still Slow





Odds ‘n Sods:

Today is the big day for Mayor Eddie Perez–his scheduled felony sentencing day. Perez is one of the many members of Mayor Bloomberg’s Mayors Against Illegal Guns that are criminals. This so-called “law and order” group has had an inordinately large number of member-mayors that have been felony indicted or convicted including Sheila Dixon, Kwame Kilpatrick, Gary Becker, Larry Langford, Samuel Rivera, Jerramiah Healy, the late Frank Melton, Will Wynn, and David Della Donna.) Perez faces up to 60 years in prison after conviction on five corruption charges.

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More than a dozen readers recommended this Stratfor Report: Gauging the Threat of an Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack

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An interesting piece found over at another survivalist blog: Chad Person Builds Backyard Bunker, Makes Himself a Target and Targets Others

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Here is a television news story, to follow up on this previously-mentioned article: Long Island Man Arrested For Defending Home With AK-47. And here’s another follow-up article that mentioned that the defendant, George Grier, is a church deacon. I plan to mail him a note of support and the gift of a pre-ban 40 round AK magazine, with my compliments. (Magazines with 11+ round capacity are banned in People’s Republic New York unless they were manufactured before September of 1994.) With 25 gang members confronting him, it sounds like someday he might need a lot of ammo. OBTW, I’m also interested in publicizing his legal defense fund. Please let me know if you hear if one is established. I’ll pray that Mr. Grier is exonerated, and his AK is rightfully returned to him.





Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 30 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 30 ends on September 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate pract



Letter Re: A Recommended Vehicular G.O.O.D. Kit Packing List

Jim:

I developed the following vehicular bug out bag (BOB) or “Get Out of Dodge” (G.O.O.D.) kit packing list.

[JWR Adds: There is no “one size fits all” for G.O.O.D. lists. Your own list should be tailored for your personal circumstances. Your age, climate, local terrain, local hydrology, population density, physical fitness, and many other factors will necessitate changes to the following list. There are also vast differences between “what you can carry in your car” versus “what you can carry on your back” lists.]

 

Food & Water:

  • ­­3 – 10 days of lightweight food

_____ MRE (1 = 1 meal, 3/day)
_____ Emergency food bars (1 = 1 2400 cal bar, 1/day)
_____ Freeze-dried camping food (1 = 1meal, 3/day)
                        _____ Total (meals; days)

  • 2 days of water

_____ Water packets (1 = 1 4oz)
_____ Water bottles (1 = 1 Liter)
_____ Water gallon jug (1 = 3.3 Liter)
_____ Total (Liters)

  • Water Purification Means

_____ Military tablets (1 tab = 1L)
_____ Water filter (inc. # of L poss.)
_____ Iodine (inc. # of L poss.)
_____ Total (L poss.)

  • Food prep equipment

_____ Stove
_____ Stove Fuel
_____ 1 quart pot
_____ Fry pan
_____ Stainless steel mess kit
_____ Utensils
_____ Basic spices
_____ Bottle of bleach

  • Water and food storage

_____ Aluminum water bottle
_____ Clear hard plastic water bottle
_____ Collapsible water jug
_____ Canteen
_____ Canteen sleeve

  • Shelter & Sleeping

_____ Tent
_____ Emergency tent
_____ Emergency blanket
_____ Tarp
_____ Sleeping bag/blankets
_____ Sleeping pad/bed roll
_____ 20 small nails
_____ 100 ft. paracord (550 cord)
_____ Garbage bags

  • Clothing

_____ Underwear (4 pair)
_____ Socks, cotton/wool (2 pair)
_____ Socks, hiking (2 pair)
_____ T-shirt (2 cotton)
_____ T-shirt (2 synthetic)
_____ Long sleeve shirt (2)
_____ Fleece/wool sweater
_____ Water resistant jacket
_____ Jeans
_____ Shorts
_____ Pants
_____ Thermal underwear (1 set)
_____ Beanie
_____ Hat/cap
_____ Sneakers
_____ Hiking boots
_____ Water shoes
_____ Poncho (army)
_____ Bandana (> 3)

  • Tools

_____ Leatherman multi tool
_____ Folding knife (3-4 in)
_____ Fixed blade (4-6 in)
_____ Hatchet/camp ax
_____ Machete
_____ Leather gloves
_____ Compass
_____ LED Flashlight
_____ Crank flashlight
_____ Light sticks (4)
_____ Solar/crank multi-band radio
_____ Whistle
_____ Matches, waterproof/strike anywhere (50)
_____ Disposable lighter (3)
_____ Magnesium fire block
_____ Binoculars
_____ Entrenching tool
_____ Fishing line (50 ft)
_____ Fishing hooks (3-5)
_____ Fishing line sinkers (2)
_____ Duct tape (2)
_____ WD-40
_____ Super glue
_____ Sunglasses (2)
_____ Waterproof watch
_____ Candles, long lasting (2)
_____ Manual can opener

  • First Aid & Medical

_____ First aid kit
_____ Blister cream
_____ N95 Masks (2)
_____ Exam gloves (4 pair)
_____ Ace bandages
_____ Gauze
_____ Spare contacts, glasses
_____ Prescription medications
_____ Lip balm (2)
_____ Petroleum Jelly (1 jar)
_____ Sunscreen
_____ Warmers, hand/feet (2)
_____ Coolers, hand/feet (2)
_____ Ibuprofen (50 pills)
_____ Aleve (50 pills)
_____ Benadryl (20 pills)
_____ EpiPen

  • Personal Hygiene

_____ Comb/brush
_____ Toothbrush
_____ Toothpaste
_____ Floss
_____ Nail clippers
_____ Soap (solid or liquid)
_____ Washcloth
_____ Hand towel
_____ Bath towel
_____ 1-3 oz shampoo
_____ Antibacterial wash
_____ Disposable razor
_____ Sample size shaving cream
_____ Toilet paper
_____ Feminine products

 

  • Miscellaneous

_____ Signal mirror
_____ Carabiner, climbing (2)
_____ Carabiner, non climbing (4)
_____ Deck of cards (2)
_____ Roll of quarters
_____ Cash (>$200)
_____ Waterproof box/bag
_____ Passport/ID
_____ Local city map
_____ State map
_____ Topography map
_____ Regional map
_____ Map with Bug Out routes highlighted
_____ Paper
_____ Pen/pencil (2)
_____ Permanent marker (2)
_____ 2 way radio (1 pair)

  • Copies of important papers:

_____ Insurance
_____ Birth certificate
_____ Passport
_____ State/local ID
_____ House/land deed
_____ USB device loaded with document copies (encrypted)

_____ BOB bag(s)

Notes: ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  • Recommended
    • Firearms

_____ Pump action shotgun
_____ Sling
_____ Waterproof case (optional)
_____ 00 buck shell (75)
_____ Birdshot shell (25)

_____ Battle Rifle .308 or .223
_____ Sling
_____ Scope, red dot sight (4X)
_____ Magazine, spare (4)
_____ Ammo (JHP/FMJ, 300 rounds)
_____ Gun cleaning kit
_____ Magazine pouch

_____.22 LR Rifle
_____ Sling
_____ Magazine, spare (4)
_____ Ammo (300 rounds)

_____ Pistol, semi-automatic, .45 ACP or 9mm
_____ Holster
_____ Magazine, spare (2)
_____ Ammo (75 rounds)

 

_____ Shooting goggles
_____ Night vision device
_____ Body armor/load bearing vest
_____ Ballistic helmet
_____ Waterproof GPS
_____ Portable solar panel charger
_____ Rechargeable batteries (AA, 4, AAA, 2)



Letter Re: FDIC Insider in Illinois Reports Diminishing Bank Merger Possibilities

Mr. Rawles,
A close personal friend of mine is a FDIC bank auditor in Illinois. This person gives the final word on whether they will close a bank or not, to put it in simple terms. I’m sorry I cannot provide you with any more credible source other than my word which is based upon our conversations, but I feel it important to share this information with you and with the readers here.

A little background: Most failed banks are essentially sold to other banks and some go into receivership. The common maneuver here is to transfer the assets and liabilities to another bank with some level of guarantee from the FDIC to help support those liabilities. This is [typically] done on a Friday evening and causes the bank to be closed perhaps the next day (Saturday) and then the bank re-opens, business as usual, on Monday. So far, there has been little panic or problems with this [modus operandi].

Now, I can’t speak for what is happening around the U.S. but my friend states that in Illinois, they are finding it more and more difficult to find banks that want to help out. That is, the banks that formerly had wanted to purchase other banks have done so and are not interested in buying any more banks. To put it bluntly, the FDIC is running out of buyers. My friend states that often times they are literally coming down to the wire to get all the transactions and contracts, etc. pertaining to the purchase completed in time to seamlessly make the transition, as it is taking longer and longer to secure a buyer.

I’m not quite certain what to make of this other than it’s quite obvious that we’ve reached a saturation point in the banking industry where they themselves can no longer purchase any more failed banks.

So how else can this information benefit the readers? I believe that we should keep an eye out for more banks going into receivership or being absorbed by the Federal Government versus being purchased by other banks. We should also watch for any prolonged transitions of one bank closing and not opening back up under a new bank for more than a couple days. These subtle indicators may be one of those much sought after cues for knowing when to put some plans into action.

Thank you for all you do. Sincerely, – Tanker

JWR Replies: Thanks for sharing that information. SurvivalBlog readers should be forewarned: 1.) The pace of bank failures in the U.S. is likely to to increase. 2.) The number of banks that will have to be directly bailed out (rather than conglomerated with little fuss) will increase. And, 3.) The risk of bank runs will also increase. The point at which bank runs occur is difficult to predict, since it is based upon subtle psychological tipping points.



Economics and Investing:

For the “Why am I Not Surprised?” Department: New Steel 5 Pence and 10 Pence Coins a Disaster. SurvivalBlog readers on this side of the Atlantic should still be stocking up on nickels, before a similar switch! (Hat tips to Tod P. and Tony B. for the link.)

A good one for USD Index watchers: Deflation Never Had a Chance

Michael Pento Says Fed Will Buy Stocks And Real Estate In Its Next Attempt To Create Inflation. (Thanks to Nick J. for the link.)

G.G. flagged this: No defence left against double-dip recession, says Nouriel Roubini

“SIG” spotted this piece by Egon Von Greyerz: Gold Entering a Virtuous Circle.

Items from The Economatrix:

The MOAB lives on (to the tune of another $50 Billion): White House Considering Emergency Economic Stimuli.

Future Hiring Will Mainly Benefit the High Skilled

Bernanke Losing Sleep Over This Dollar Graph?

Roubini: No Defense Left Against Double-Dip Recession

In Struggling Housing Market, Buyers and Sellers are Out of Sync

Bank Panic in Afghanistan

Stocks Fall as Worries About European Debt Return

AP Analysis: Economic Pain Failed to Ease in July

Post-holiday Pump Prices Should Slide





Odds ‘n Sods:

Bicycles offer a lifeline in rural Zambia. Bikes are used for transportation and even grain grinding.

   o o o

Several readers sent this: Long Island Man Arrested For Defending Home With AK-47. Jeff E. notes: “This guy fired three shots into the dirt to deter several hostile gang members approaching his home and threatening him and his family. And who went to jail? The homeowner. I’m sorry to be so blunt, but only a complete moron would continue to live in New York.”

   o o o

Joe O. sent this: Our terrifyingly crowded solar system: New video reveals just how many asteroids are out there

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Senate hearings are scheduled for September 14th: “Firearms in Commerce: Assessing the Need for Reform in the Federal Regulatory Process”. These hearings will be webcast. I have doubts that the really sticky issues will be addressed. These include: delineating intrastate and interstate commerce (something that 8th graders understand well, but that some third-term Senators apparently cannot grasp), and the National
Firearms Registration and Transfer Record (NFRTR)–the horribly mismanaged, antiquated, grossly inaccurate joke that passes for a Class 3 registry database.

   o o o

Indonesian volcano erupts again; strongest yet. More violent eruptions ahead? (It happened in the 1800s.)





Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 30 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 30 ends on September 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



The Second Wave: Survivalist Turned MZBs, by Dave in Florida

For many years I have been working towards self-reliance. I like to use the older term self-reliant simply because I feel “survivalist” doesn’t describe the lifestyle properly. I don’t intend to just “survive” but “thrive” – would that make me a “thrivalist?” Yes, I know that was a bit corny. In all seriousness, let’s assume you are an average Joe living in perilous times. What I have to say is speaking to a revelation I have had over the recent years based on my over confidence and belief that somehow I was different than the average Joe just because I know the big one is coming.

My History:
Before getting to the point of my article let me flash back to the beginning of my journey. My official introduction to the concept of survivalism was done unknowingly by a friend and group of survivalists that were preparing for Y2K. I was invited to come out to a friend of a friend’s cabin on acreage in Southern Georgia where we were going to “camp out” for the weekend. Before the weekend, my friend called and said “by the way, bring a holster for your handgun, and a sling for your favorite rifle, a backpack with essentials, a good pair of boots, plus anything else that could be carried on a hike.” I didn’t quite understand the request but of course complied figuring we were simply going to hike too our campsite.

Immediately upon my arrival I was overwhelmed and excited with what I saw. Throughout the property were small cabins being constructed by individual members of the group along with bulk storage areas for fuel, food, ammunition, and other essentials. Again, this whole concept was very new to me though it seemed to strike a cord in my inner being as something that was necessary and logical considering my concern for Y2K. I followed my friend as we made our way to where our campsite would be and a long the way I heard several conversations discussing weapons types, plus and minuses, creating group standards, food storage, and so on. Of course all of these conversations seemed odd to me at the time yet captivating.

The moment everything settled everyone began discussing practicing a patrol. Immediately everyone around began forming up two columns (apparently something they had done before). Having been in ROTC throughout high school I immediately followed suit. A gentleman took charge and then proceeded to instruct us that we were going to perform a practice patrol of the surrounding land and that each column of the formation would be independent squads. We then moved out as a group and individuals from each squad volunteered to be squad leaders and forward scouts. After we were well out of camp the squad leaders led their squads around a predetermined patrol path utilizing forward scouts and practicing noise discipline along with hand signals. At this point I felt like a complete fish out of water to say the least – and was thinking “what in the heck has my friend gotten me into!?”

As the patrol continued, I did my best to comply with my fellow squad members. I had a limited knowledge of hand signals so I was at least able to keep in step with my squad for the most part. Several points a long the way the forward scout would stop the squad to listen – after being satisfied there were no threats we continued our patrol. We stayed off of most trails and pushed our way through the thick Southern Georgia swamps. The patrols were mostly uneventful but exciting. I was fascinated with the whole concept of this exercise and felt energized though we hiked with weighted packs through tough terrain and over significant distances. We returned from the patrol and discussed as a group the issues, weaknesses and strengths of our different packs, slings, harnesses, and various tactical equipment. The weekend itself continued at this tempo with several more “hikes” as we called them and intense conversations about the possibility of disaster this coming Y2K pursued. I met some very interesting folks and maintained several of those relationships even till this day.

After Y2K came and went without the slightest indication of catastrophe the group slowly broke apart and no longer met and personally my interests in the subject dwindled but not entirely. I continued my interests in shooting and somewhat frequently made it to the range with my friends and still had several conversations on the subject but really did not formulate or act on any concrete plans.

Life happened and other things took priority. I met my wonderful and present day wife and have been blessed with five children. Our lives were that of a typical family with not the best priorities but I would say better than average. We led a fairly frugal life but a comfortable one. Several years ago, the same friend that introduced me to the “group” back in 1999 recommended I grab the novel Patriots by James Rawles and “give it a read.” The moment I began reading the book I couldn’t put it down. Immediately I was consumed with the aspect of survival laid out in a way I never really conceived though I had experienced different aspects of it, but never congruently. My interests were reinvigorated and I began to consume more information on the topic resulting in research and many more conversations with different friends.

As a father of three at the time, my concept of survival changed significantly. I now had a wonderful wife and three children (with more on the way). I didn’t want to just “survive” but to thrive in post-catastrophe. I felt it is my responsibility as a father and husband to make sure my family had the best possible life. Fortunately, my wife is and was always very intelligent and open to the concept. Slowly we talked about the prudence of being prepared as a family. I remember initially feeling almost powerless at the task ahead. We had a fairly large family and no real resources to throw at the problem.

Shortly there after we were met with financial hardship when I took a significant loss in work. I lost a major client while retaining some smaller clients causing a huge deficit in our income versus expenses. This went on for 18 months. We lost just about everything including our home. The sense of depression was significant and further amplified by the concern of a coming catastrophe. Then everything changed. We reached a point where after serious soul searching we knew we didn’t want to embark on the typical American life represented as nothing but shallow consumerism. We wanted self reliance not just for our own family security but for the wholesomeness it would bring to our children. Life no longer became about shallow possessions but about meaningful content and the pursuit of happiness by our achievements.

With God’s grace, work came our way again almost like God had waited for us to learn this lesson before he gave us another chance. My wife and I spent two years looking for land that was both remote yet still close to family in our native home of Florida. We finally found the right community and area of Florida where self reliance was still a way of life, most people kept gardens, and agriculture and ranching is still the line share of business. Our credit was destroyed from our previous hardship so we had to use cash for everything. It seemed at every step of the way God provided opportunity and a means assuming of course we were open to it. We are by no means a perfect family but our path was indeed more wholesome and proper this time round.

A Revelation

Again, I began to formulate self reliance and survival in to our plans. After much thought and discussion with my wife we felt having a food supply of not just of stored food but active production was critical. With that in mind we have labored the past year turning our virgin land in to a farm and ranch using self sufficient methods of farming and ranching modeled after Joel Salatin and others in the Polyculture movement. Most TEOTWAWKI scenarios suggest a grid down situation where fuel and byproducts of fuel such as fertilizers and pesticides would become scarce – though that being the case most “typical survival plans” utilize fuel, pesticides, and fertilizers stored in bulk to support their eventual plans of gardens and food production. One really has to ask the question “is this sustainable?”

I find the concept of supplying a remote retreat where there is no current food production, to where one would “Bug Out” and survive whilst planting a garden for long term survival to be flawed and likely resulting in disaster. For the past year my wife and I have had the benefit of an income, hardware stores, the Internet, and many other things that would not be available post-catastrophe to help us achieve self reliance. We are no where near the point of producing at least 20% of our nutritional requirements. Sure there is a wealth of knowledge on farming and raising animals for food in books and on the Internet but the common-sense “every day stuff” is not spelled out, nor could it be grasped without actually doing it. Not only will the thousands of survivalists turned farmers learn food production from the school of “Hard Knocks” they will also be under constant threat of starvation when their food stores are exhausted, let alone the other stresses, including defending the retreat.

Let me create the proper image of the “average survivalist plan”. Let’s say you have 24 months of food stored up and of course every gadget imaginable. Six months have now passed and you decide it’s time to start on your farming endeavor. Lest we not forget you have a full time job of retreat security. Imagine working stressful 8 to 12 hours days 365 days a year and then coming home to work on your homesteading projects – I can tell you from experience it is hard to muster the energy today even though I am just into my 30s. Getting the picture? Most of us have great reasons why we shouldn’t begin this phase of our survival/self reliance plans now but are you really willing to bet your life on your first-timer’s success?

It isn’t until you begin planting a garden do you realize the seeds you bought are not optimized for your agriculture zone or even simple infrastructure items like near by water sources for irrigation, compost bins, and garden fencing to keep the critters out are in place let alone the right tools. Sure you may have gotten a handy list of these items but invariably it was written by someone that lives in an entirely different agricultural zone, soil conditions, and garden pests all together. Do you have a true understanding of the time investment to get these infrastructures items in place? How long to mature your compost and sources of nitrogen and carbon to feed your piles? Or even the proper garden spot that has ample sunlight. Oh – you need to remove a few trees to make room for your garden – got tools for that too? Each job will dovetail into other jobs you may not have even anticipated, let alone the tools and supplies you never realized were necessary. Ask any homesteader how long it took to get up and running – I can guarantee you most will tell long stories highlighted by serious trial and error over years of work and effort. Each homestead is different; there is no one universal method to success.

Especially if you plan to grow without pesticides and fertilizers – like an artist it takes much practice to master the conditions in your area to be a consistent grower. Imagine the stress you would feel having your first season crops fail or produce very little. Do you even know what plants are indigenous to your retreat area? Remember – simply observing your large local farms is poor indication of this. They typically practice monocultural growing methods which are highly dependent on farming equipment and copious quantities of pesticides and fertilizers – all things you will eventually deplete. You really need to research what grows locally without much help from bug protection and soil augmentation. You really should adjust your diet to reflect not only seasonal foods but indigenous foods of your retreat area. Otherwise, most folks will simply try and fail to grow things they like to eat now, regardless of season and feasibility.

Another example of a lesson learned that could easily result in devastation of your group’s food supply would be predators – the four legged variety. Do you have traps available for capturing predators like fox, coyotes, raccoons, or possums? A good meat bird (non-broiler) or egg layer takes a long time to raise – imagine losing half your flock in one night! Not long ago my wife and I awoke to a massacre of our chickens. The strange thing was there was no sign of the chickens in the form of body parts or feathers just simply they were gone. The only evidence was a small hole dug in to the coop. We have two German Shepherds that slept only 150 ft. from the chickens and they didn’t even stir other than a few random barks that evening. Only after many nights of sleeping in the dining area where we had a view of the chickens did we finally catch a glimpse of the predator – a fox. I had my Ruger 10/22 ready but the fox was too sly and on top of that I couldn’t make out his silhouette in the pre-dawn hours for a good shot. This brought forth the realization I need night sites or a good scope to shoot in low light conditions. It took three separate occasions before I managed to get a good shot and bag our predator. Imagine if we had depended on this flock of chicken for our egg and meat requirements and the possible ramifications of its loss–ranging in seriousness from inconvenient to starvation!

On the subject of chickens, how do you plan to raise them? Do you realize most modern chicken breeds have had their broodiness bread out of them making you almost entirely dependent on incubation to hatch eggs? Do you have an incubator and a means of powering it for the incubation period of anywhere from 21 to 28 days? What about a heat source for your newly hatched chicks, ducklings and poults while they grow in their feathers and can maintain their own body heat? What about the source of your eggs and chickens in the first place? What’s the likelihood you would be able to come about them without having to make dangerous hikes far from the retreat to locate and obtain them through barter? Personally, I would prefer to let a broody hen do the work of hatching and raising chicks but this is something you don’t just do since finding good broody hens is at best hit and miss these days. [JWR Adds: For broodiness, we’ve had the most success with Bantam hens. Bantams lay small eggs, but they don’t object to sitting much larger fostered eggs.] As you can see this will take time to master – time is invaluable when the clock never stops ticking on your food supply.

I know – homesteading and self-reliance just isn’t exciting and sexy to the average survivalists. Typically, our focus is on tactics, guns, and exciting conversations on possible scenarios that may or may not come to pass. As survivalist we normally are avid researches to the point we neglect to really practice or act on the mountains of information we have read or debated. Do you believe that some how you will be exempt from the newbie mistakes of most homesteaders and farmers? Do you realize the convenience of a hardware store or even a quick Internet search will not be there to assist you?

As survivalist, have we not accepted the principle of self-reliance and independence from a system that we all believe may/will eventually fail us? Do you live in denial of this lesson based on the actions of your every day life? If you truly believe we are living unsustainable lives and this world is on a crash course to a catastrophic end then perhaps you should consider changing your own life now?

A Second Wave of MZBs

My greatest fear should the Schumer hit the fan is that well-armed survivalists who are ill-prepared in the food production capability will become the “Second Wave” of Mutant Zombie Bikers (MZBs). They will threaten those who survived the first 6, 12 to 24 months of chaos. We all know too well how desperation will lead even the best of men. Let alone desperate men that are well armed, trained, and experienced. It is my hope by exposing these potential flaws in common survival planning that I will protect my family and others from a deadly Second Wave attack or at least decrease its intensity.

Possible Solutions

So what to do? Unfortunately the answer is not all that easy. If you are planning to but out to a remote retreat you may want to consider finding one close enough to allow frequent trips for building infrastructure while the hardware stores are still open, doing test plantings to determine what really grows best while the Internet is still up to research your results.

As we begun our own homestead these have been the things of our focus:

1) A reliable water supply capable of operating with out grid or petroleum power machinery. [JWR Adds: Nothing beats gravity-fed Spring water.]

2) Chicken, goat, and other small livestock shelters.

3) Construction of fencing for pastures, paddocks, and gardens.

4) Compost piles and other soil enrichment

5) Support buildings for harvest and animal processing

6) Storage areas for harvested plants and animals

7) Planting of orchards [vineyards, berry patches] and other plants that takes time to mature

This is just a very general list to get started. We have had a year to work on this “grid-up” with help from friends and family with no fear of MZBs and we have hardly made a dent! Can you tell me without hesitation that you could plan every aspect of this operation in advance, in just one trip to the hardware store, years before needing it, without having done it before? Sure, the human spirit is very capable when under pressure but unlike our Savior you will not be making wine out of water.

I doubt even the most experienced farmers and ranchers placed on virgin land would have immediate success. Sure the pioneers were able to do it but they had the benefit of everyday knowledge learned firsthand or that was passed down by the generation of pioneers and farmers before them. Common man is completely out of touch of these once generally known survival skills and therefore will be subject to a learning curve.

If it is absolutely not in the cards to be near or live on your retreat then I would strongly suggest you consider a 3 to 5 year food supply to give you enough time to establish your future homestead. I can guarantee that you will not have all of the required tools, skills, and supplies therefore the ability to adapt, substitute, and use what is at hand will become the rule of the day.

Let me jump back to what I said in the beginning about thriving instead of surviving. If you truly believe in self reliance and the prudence of preparedness then why not act with your principles and embark on what you feel to be necessary and wholesome? Make the life change and increase your odds of survival by living it now and not later.

Another option to consider if you have formed a group is to allow the most capable member(s) of the group with the most flexibility to live on the retreat property and where they will engage in daily infrastructure improvement/homesteading activities. If local work or income is not an option, then perhaps a small monthly donation from all group members would subsidize members manning the retreat. In the mean time group members could make frequent trips to the future retreat to assist in major infrastructure projects, plantings, and harvests of crops. This would even allow the opportunity of animals to be kept at the retreat. Think about the benefits of stored food costs that could be saved by actively growing your own as a group? You could also establish your pastures and raise meat cattle to provide a source of fresh meat for the group and sell the excess to processors as another means of revenue generation. The same could be done with chicken, goats, and so on. Make this an investment that will pay for itself in what it generates for the group. There is no reason a retreat needs to be a liability constantly requiring capital to maintain. If you are successful at this then you know without doubt not only will you have a secure retreat but a productive one capable of supplying your group of its basic needs. Besides, wasn’t this the reasons for homesteads in the first place?

A third option is to find a self-reliant minded homesteader that is looking to find others to populate their homestead turned retreat should catastrophe happen. At least in this case you have a viable farm / homestead with active and a history of successful production. Nothing is more critical than the long term aspect of survival. If you are literally just making ends meat and simply survive versus thriving then how do you intend to come to the aid of others and participate in the rebuilding of our communities?

I understand these may not seem like realistic options. But they still do not change the reality of the situation and the points I bring to the table. I fear most have severely under estimated their long term plans and have only focused on short term survival. Survivalism is really self reliance in the sense of traditional homesteaders and the Patriot farmers who founded this nation. It is time to reject today’s shallow society and embark on true substance filled journeys bound to bring true happiness and fulfillment.

A lot of folks will read this and either take it for what it is which is “my real life experience and revelations on the matter” or they will discard it for more interesting topics on survival while ignoring the elephant in the room. Don’t be the latter, take a serious look at your plans. Boilerplate survivalism is not the answer – to be honest it is more like consumerism. You will have to analyze your personal situation and take the proper steps to experience first hand what your challenges will be. Don’t take my advice or anyone else’s for that matter. Go do it yourself and graduate from the school of “Hard Knocks” before TSHTF and while you still have the luxury of failing.



Letter Re: Calories and Cross-Country Travel

Traveling in the aftermath of a societal collapse will become more difficult without the use of a motor vehicle, which is why you hopefully live near a water source. It is easy to visualize how after a collapse how one
could move around locally. Whether or not what one is planning on doing locally is energy efficient or not, to some degree, will not matter as there is not very much distance that needs to be covered. If
however you need to move over long distance how efficient the travel is becomes much more important. Lets look with some detail at examples.

For the following examples, I am using a 30 year old, 170 pound male. For others the absolute numbers will be off, but the relative energy use will still be the same. i.e. a 110 pound 60 year old women will still be more efficient biking then running.

Today we are used to walking out to the car, getting in and going where we want. We can sit down (77 calories per hour) and travel at 65 miles per hour. While driving it only takes 1.2 calories to travel a
mile. That is not very much at all. Bikes seem to be a common theme in plans to move around after a disaster, and we all know they are fairly easy to go long distances on. What do the numbers tell us? At a reasonable 14 mph it takes about 50 calories to move a mile. Comparing biking to moving around in a car and the car is more then 40 times more efficient! It is easy to see why cars are so popular.

Below is a table showing the energy use for several ways of getting around. What we can see is that moving around on wheels is awesome! Biking and Rollerblading are very efficient, as well is being fairly quick ways to cover a lot of ground.

 

Activity Calories Per Mile
Driving 1.2
Biking 50
Inline Skating 65
Walking 85
Snowshoeing 110
Cross Country Skiing 120-135
Running 125-130

Go get yourself a bike and maintain it well and you will be able to move around if you can not use your vehicle. But a bike is a pain to haul around everywhere. A set of inline skates can sit in your trunk and barely be noticed along side a good set of hiking boots. Once again we see that there is some trade offs to be made between money, gear and capabilities.

Getting back to the real point, what does this mean when moving long distances? Well the point is that it takes a very large amount of energy to move around. How much energy would it take to travel, say
100 miles? To illustrate that lets use how much food one would have to use to travel that distance. The most energy dense food that we have is fat. Butter is a good example (as is the body fat around your waist). A
pound of butter contains about 3,200 calories.

The below table shows how many pounds of butter (or fat) that one would need to use along the course of their journey to replace the calories they burned. I was surprised at just how much food [Expressed in terms of “pounds of fat equivalent”] is required to keep a person going over these distances. Also not sure where one is going to be able to pack that much food on a bike or a pack when trying to move that far.

Activity Calories Per Mile Pounds of Fat Per 100 Miles Pounds of Fat Per 1,000 Miles
Driving 1.2 0.0 0.4
Biking 50 1.6 15.6
Inline Skating 65 2.0 20.3
Walking 85 2.7 26.6
Snowshoeing 110 3.4 34.4
Cross Country Skiing 130 4.1 40.6
Running 130 4.1 40.6

What we can see from this is that moving around after a collapse will be very energy intense, and will require trading with others and logistics beyond “I will carry it all by myself”. This in itself is a good argument to shelter in place and keeping cash and small silver pieces on hand.



Letter Re: Hiding Livestock and Gardens

Hi,
I just wanted to bring up something after reading article about hiding gardens and animals in rural areas, recently linked in SurvivalBlog. Something that people might want to consider, that we have done. We chose to build a barn rather than a house. And I know you can quite often find properties that already have a barn or large outbuilding. We have a 46′ x 60′ pole barn. Within that we framed in about 900+ square feet for our home. The rest is divided up between stalls, a run in area for large animals, and a shop. One of the 12′ X 12′ stalls houses our chickens and our rabbits. There is a back door right out of the kitchen area and into the aisle of the barn portion. We only have two windows, one next to the front door. And that door and window also has a regular big sliding barn door that we can slide closed, so that there is no sign of either. And it can be latched closed from the inside. The other window is the bathroom/utility room, which has a dutch door covering it and when closed looks like another stall door.
We can care for the animals without ever leaving the cover of the building, if we need to.

The garden is placed in a small sub irrigated valley slightly above the grade of the barn. And we have large open pastures all around everything for good sight of anyone approaching. No one can see you if your in the garden area unless they come from the top of our property and we will have someone on watch from that highest point at all times, if it comes to that.
Anyway, I just wanted to give folks some ideas of alternative housing that they might not of considered. And because barns always have large lofts or “attic type areas” you have more room to expand if more room is need.

Take care, – T.T. in the Northwest

JWR Adds: It is noteworthy that Charles “Pa” Ingalls of the mostly factual 19th Century Little House on the Prairie book series kept a padlock on his barn, to help prevent Indians stealing his horses at night. Some things never change. There’s just a new cast of characters.