Odds ‘n Sods:

R.F.J. mentioned this over at the Makezine web site: How-To: Ultralight camp pot from Heineken “keg” can

   o o o

I heard from Ulysses Press that my novel “Patriots” is about to surpass 100,000 copies sold. (This is not counting the 30,000+ copies sold of the older Huntington House Publishers edition.) It is now in its seventh printing, and still ranked around #600 of the more than three million titles sold on Amazon.com. (That ranking is unsusual for a novel that has been out for more than two years.) Meanwhile, my nonfiction book “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It” has 110,000 copies in print, and is now in its 10th printing. It is ranked around #250 on Amazon.com. For that book, there are now nine foreign publishing contracts in place to produce editions in eight languages. Thanks for spreading the word about my books!

   o o o

Rick H. flagged this: Eritrean officials panicked by events in Egypt

   o o o

Reader M.M.S. sent this one: Storm aftermath: Some gas pumps idle due to depleted supplies

   o o o

Another video from The Patriot Nurse: Top Five Antibiotics for SHTF Storage





Notes from JWR:

We’ve reached the milestone of 2,000 days of SurvivalBlog posts, with nary a pause. There are also now 2,000 archived Quotes of the Day. My sincere thanks to the many readers that have e-mailed me their favorite quotes. (And please keep them coming!) I hope that you enjoy them. I suppose that once I’ve posted around 3,000, I ought to publish a book of quotations.

Today we present another entry for Round 33 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 250 round case of 12 Gauge Hornady TAP FPD 2-3/4″ OO buckshot ammo, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $240 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol. It is a $439 value courtesy of Next Level Training. B.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $300, C.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and D.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.) , and B.) Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy. This is a $185 retail value.

Round 33 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Prepare and Practice Often, or Pay The Price, by J. in the Great White North

I want to relate a story that happened to me this past week that I think will be instructive for many SurvivalBlog readers.

My journey into prepping started about a year ago, when my eyes were opened after reading a contrarian economist’s books about the fragile state of our economy, and the impending implications that will inevitably result if our world continues to operate on tomorrow’s dollar and with a Nanny-state mentality. The very same day I finished his latest book, I went to my local bookstore to find similar titles that could augment what I’d already read.  This is how I came upon your book “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It”.  I’ve since gone on to read Patriots (which took me only a couple of days – I couldn’t put it down!) and rarely is there a morning that I don’t peruse your latest blog updates after my morning Bible devotional and prayer time.

Despite all the reading and planning I’ve put into ensuring the safety and security of my family’s future over the last 12-18 months, my experiences over the last two days have served to remind me that, even if you think you have everything squared away, there’s always danger in resting on your laurels.

While driving through a rougher part of my city’s downtown core, a pleasant senior citizen rolled up beside me in his minivan and motioned for me to drop my window.  I hesitantly lowered the passenger window a crack, only to hear the old fellow tell me that I had a flat on my rear passenger-side tire.

I proceeded to turn the radio down, flick the noisy heater fan off, and sure enough I heard the unmistakable “crunch-crunch-crunch” of my SUV‘s right-rear rim, grinding away on ice and asphalt as I crawled up the street, scanning the road for a safe place to pull over. On a side street, in front of some seedy apartments, I parked my vehicle beside an empty curb, turned my four-way flashers on, and got out to inspect the damage.  The sidewall of the tire had been completely obliterated, the friction from driving a mere six blocks on a flat had ground a white ring into the black rubber and nearly severed the tire into strips of uselessness.

Not only was this horrible timing (I had an appointment on the other side of town, about 20 minutes away), but I had to desperately go to the washroom. (I was going to hold it until I arrived at my appointment).

Note: In times of emergency, it’s imperative that you not only keep your powder dry, but keep your bladder empty!

To top if all off – My cell phone had just died literally 30 seconds before my silver-haired informant pulled up to inform my of my lack of a working fourth wheel, and my car charger fro teh cell phone was useless as I had somehow burnt the fuse out for the cigar-lighter and couldn’t use it to charge my phone.

All I could do was quickly lock up my vehicle, stow away out-of-sight any valuables I had (a video camera, files for work that contained sensitive private information, and numerous other emergency tools and gear that were worth a good chunk of change), and make my way as quickly as possible to the nearest washroom.

As an after thought, I grabbed a handful of random change from the concealed cup holder in my center console, thinking I’d use this at a pay phone to call a cab, or to postpone my next appointment, seeing as my phone had turned itself into a paperweight due to my lack of foresight the night before.

Note: If the grid is up, charge your phone and use it!  When this fails, make sure you’ve got some dimes or quarters stowed away in your glove box.

Well, wouldn’t you know that nobody observes pedestrian crossings in this part of downtown.  So I stood there, or rather, squirmed there for what seemed like an agonizing amount of time (likely only a few seconds) until oncoming vehicles slowed down to let me cross to the diner that had just closed five minutes before I walked up.  (I know, what a day this is turning out to be, hey?)

[Details on an agonizing search for a restroom deleted, for brevity.]

I get back to my SUV and start packing my attache case with aforementioned valuables, because my plan now is to hoof it with my business dress shoes, in ice and snow, all the way to a useable phone at the first establishment that will let me make a call.  This, after all our recent snowstorms that have blown through and dropped 3 and 4 foot snow drifts on the side of the roads.  (The stuff you Americans are getting this week is courtesy from my local weather man, and a big low pressure area stretching from Texas to New York).

So typically the unwritten rule in this part of town is that nobody will let you make a call, or use a washroom, because if you live nearby you’re probably homeless, a drunk, or a drug addict.  At this point, I’m hoping they think at worst that I’m a nice drug dealer, at best that I actually am truly down on my luck with the circumstances at hand and I do really need to use their phone–to call a cab–not to book a drug deal.

The lady at the liquor store said it was okay so I dialed a local taxi dispatch center.  They say five to fifteen minute pickup time.  I say perfect, as this will get me to my appointment on time and on with my day.

And with not a moment to spare, up pulls my friendly neighbourhood Turkish cab driver, who regales me with stories of how crazy it is to live in Turkey, how his Somalian cab driver friends had it even worse before coming here, and how he hates the snow.  I don’t blame him.

Now, why the whole story about a flat tire and how does it relate to prepping?

Here’s what I had thought:

  • I thought I knew where the spare tire was in my vehicle (under the back covering in the SUV’s trunk).
  • I thought I knew where the jack and tire iron were located (back right side of the trunk space, behind a removable plastic covering).
  • I thought I knew I could get a tire changed in just a few minutes and be on my way.

Here’s the problem: Upon closer inspection – none of the above items were where I thought they were.  It took me 10 minutes to realize the spare tire was under the trunk, removable only by inserting a rod into a mysteriously-located opening and turning clockwise to lower said spare tire to the ground.

Did it have air? Was it even installed properly by the previous owner? Where was this blasted rod I’m supposed to have?

After my wife picked me up at the office (I never did go back to the SUV until today), I spent a good chunk of time on Google figuring out where the jack was located and how this rod worked and where I could find it.

(Turns out, an SUV elf had hidden them beneath my rear bench seats, and then neglected to tell me about this…)

THE REALITY:

1)  If I had practiced changing a tire in this particular car, even if it was merely visualizing it in my head with vivid detail, I would’ve had the muscle memory to rely on, instead of trusting my faulty noggin’s faculty for recalling needed-facts when I needed them most.

2)  If I had imagined such a simple scenario (getting a flat) in my SUV instead of stocking away beans, bullets, and Band-Aids in preparation for armed conflict with invading nations, or mutant zombie biker hordes, or green-lizard-aliens, then I might’ve actually remembered where the jack was, where the tire iron was, and where that confounded spare tire release rod was located.

3)  If this had occurred on a middle-of-nowhere country road, I would’ve been in a lot more trouble, as my phone had died, I was under dressed for the weather (business attire is stupid in cold weather, even if you’re in business).

At the end of the day, no amount of emergency winter shovels (I have two, one large, and one small foldable one similar to the U.S. Army’s entrenching tool), no amount of get-home-gear in my bug-out-bag (which is stuffed full of food rations, water, fire kit, med kit, spare clothes, winter coat, gloves, survival gear, knives, hatchet, kindling, tarp, rope, etc. etc. ad nauseam), the spare jerry can of gas, the tool box full of tools (bolt cutters, socket set, wrenches, pliers, wire cutters, hammer, crow bar, duct tape, etc), the set of gas masks with NATO NBC filters encased in an air-tight cylindrical storing containers… Absolutely none of these would’ve helped me get my vehicle back up and running.

I could’ve been stranded on a side road, a long hike to a major highway, in shoes that barely keep my feet warm when the heat is on in my vehicle.

Even worse – my wife could’ve been driving my vehicle that day, with our young daughter, and she could’ve had to deal with this on her own. I’m glad this all occurred, because now when I look back at the situation, I realize that I made a few critical errors:

  • Not charging my cell phone every day before going to bed.  This should be a SOP.
  • Not dressing for the weather (it was -35 Celsius with wind chill that morning) or at least keeping a spare set of winter boots in the trunk
  • Not knowing where my critical tools were for my vehicle
  • Not understanding how my vehicle’s spare tire system operated

The first two items are common sense, which sometimes isn’t so common and is in short supply.

The latter two items could’ve been prevented by being prepared, this being accomplished by ensuring that I make it a habit to practice simple things like changing a tire on your own vehicle.

This week the price was a few postponed appointments with clients, a $32.30 cab fare, plus a $7.70 tip, and a lost afternoon the next day as I proceeded to change the tire now that I knew what I was doing.

Next time, it could’ve been a much steeper price.

No doubt, any criticisms from yourself and your readers is warranted. And the stupid thing is, I know better.  My job in getting my preps squared away has inadvertently prevented a number of scenarios over the last year. Some of them were things that we never even saw coming. (Thanks for God’s providence!)  You think I would’ve never had something like this, a simple flat tire in the dead of winter, get me off track. But it did. And it can happen to you if you don’t practice, practice, practice. Hopefully somebody else benefits from my mistakes here.



Letter Re: Asthma Rescue Inhalers

Hi Jim and Lily,
Thanks for all you do.  I am a registered nurse and have always tried to keep a fairly extensive medical kit along with my BOB in the car.  One of the things I keep is a OTC rescue inhaler, sold under the brand name “Primatene Mist”.  It is epinephrine (adrenalin), plain and simple.  No one in my family has asthma, but I keep it for emergencies, including an anaphylactic reaction to a bee sting etc.  I decided to get a new one the other day as mine was quite outdated.  Wal-Mart still has them.  There is not a note on the box (by the FDA): “This drug will no longer be available OTC after December 2011”.  Stock up now folks, but I would not buy multiples at one time, that would be a red flag for sure. Best Regards, – Julie under a Snowdrift in Oklahoma



Letter: When a Ten Cent Challenge is a Lifetime Subscription

Mr. Rawles:
I will be 75 years old in July. The enclosed check for $200 should cover my [Ten Cent Challenge] 10 cents per day for almost 5-1/2 years [$200 divided by $36.50 = 5.479 years]. Thus, I ‘ve secured a lifetime membership to the age 80. If I do somehow live to age 80–unlikely due to my health condition–and the current Obama administration has not finalized the complete destruction of the United States and your SurvivalBlog still exists, then I will extend my lifetime membership. Regards, – Ralph T.



Economics and Investing:

Jeff in Virginia and Yishai both mentioned this: WikiLeaks cables: Saudi Arabia cannot pump enough oil to keep a lid on price. Count this as further evidence that Peak Oil is reality.

Michael Pollaro writes in Forbes: America, poised for a hyperinflationary event?

Air Force Dad sent us this: US Dollar Index: Momentum selling could be swift and steep. As Quantitative Easing (monetizing the National Debt) continues, look for plenty of downward momentum in the USDI.

C.D.V. sent: 10 Ways Weather is Wreaking Havoc on the Global Economy

Items from The Economatrix:

9% Unemployment Rate is a Statistical Lie  

US Bank Closures Continue Rapid Pace as Four More Fail    

Asian Demand for Gold and Silver Will Cause Much Higher Prices   

Homeowners Face “New Normal” In Housing Bust  

71% Las Vegas Homes Underwater Financially  



Odds ‘n Sods:

The new SurvivalUK.net blog site is growing rapidly. I recommend that preppers in the UK bookmark it and check it often. I’ve just added the site to the SurvivalBlog Links Page.

   o o o

In his new Vlog, Tom of CampingSurvival.com shows the new packaging for commercial MREs.

   o o o

There are some great new posts over at Granny Miller’s Blog. Her ewes are lambing early this year!

   o o o

Freeze Dry Guy has announced a special for February: Dehydrated Whole Eggs with a 25 year shelf life, packed six #10 cans per case. Yield: 576 eggs. These are packed to less than 2% residual oxygen to provide for long term storage. The ingredients are simply whole dried egg, non-fat milk, vegetable oil and salt. $199 per case (or less, in quantity), and free shipping to the Continental United States!



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"If money is your hope for independence you will never have it. The only real security that a man will have in this world is a reserve of knowledge, experience, and ability." – Henry Ford



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 33 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 250 round case of 12 Gauge Hornady TAP FPD 2-3/4″ OO buckshot ammo, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $240 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol. It is a $439 value courtesy of Next Level Training. B.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $300, C.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and D.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.) , and B.) Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy. This is a $185 retail value.

Round 33 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



The Earthquake in Haiti: First-Hand Lessons From Disaster, by Dr. L.F.

I’m a neurosurgeon, and I had the opportunity to spend a couple weeks in Port Au Prince, Haiti last year, arriving just two weeks after the earthquake in February. This was a great opportunity to serve people in need, but I also benefited from seeing WTSHTF firsthand. I brought in a team of three doctors and two nurses , along with one former Marine turned pastor (for security).

When a missionary flight company said: “We can get you in if you can be here day after tomorrow, but we can’t guarantee you a flight out,” a wiser person might have said “no, thanks.”  But I said “We’ll be there.”  The flight in was on a private jet, donated for use by a NASCAR driver. On board, we had pizza and propped our feet up in the leather recliners. We knew the party was over as we approached Port Au Prince. Not only could we see the smoke from the burning bodies piled up in one location, and the harbor full of warships and one massive hospital ship, but we could also see the planes landing before and behind us. As we taxied off the runway there was already another plane touched down at the far end of the strip, and two others behind him making an approach. The US Air Force was controlling traffic and they didn’t have one accident despite the incredibly high traffic volume. The airport was absolutely packed with containers, cartons and bags of supplies.  Most of them were unsorted and useless. The pilot handed us a case of water bottles as we got off the plane.

I’m sure most soldiers have seen as many guns, tanks and helicopters as I did in Port Au Prince, but I had never seen so many people openly armed before. U.N. and U.S. forces predominated, but there were also Haitian police and other forces I couldn’t identify. Nobody carried just a handgun. Traffic was snarled, and there were wrecked cars and debris in most streets. In some areas of town there were still unburied bodies. The last few survivors were dug out while I was there. There was no power but there was pretty good cell phone service, which was great as I was able to use the internet to look up some of the odd diseases I was treating.  AT&T provided free Internet/text service to subscribers, which was most helpful.

We had coordinated with a large local church, and were able to set up camp in the walled yard behind the church itself. The area was guarded 24/7 by the church youth group (older teens) who were not armed but wore military type uniforms. US troops made regular patrols, and one patrol gave us some water bottles and additional MREs. I have a great photo of me and my girlfriends: a couple of female lieutenants armed with M4 Carbines. All I had was a scalpel and a multi tool. I recommend stocking up on weaponry now in case we find ourselves in a similar situation in America. That multi tool looked pretty small compared to the carbines everybody else had.

The biggest issue in coordinating response to this disaster was a total lack of leadership and organization. Sadly, we had the same problem in the U.S. after Hurricane Katrina (I live and work about 350 miles from New Orleans, so was involved in the refugee management also).  We spent our first afternoon in a Haitian hospital. Conditions were miserable. No power, no clean sheets, very limited medical supplies. No one was in charge. The French were snapping orders to everyone, but getting little done. A team of EMTs from Utah was trying to help, but didn’t know what to do. There were some US surgeons doing amputations and abdominal explorations but they were so overworked they couldn’t leave the operating room to see what was going on in the wards. There were supplies, but no one knew what was available or where it was. People were dying there from lack of care. I decided we would be better off setting up a community clinic as I didn’t think conditions were conducive to neurosurgery, and the massive crowd of people outside the hospital compound suggested that there were lots of others needing attention.

A team of Brazilian disaster response specialists were also staying in the church yard with us. Brazil has a network of primary responders, including doctors, nurses, EMTs and even an architect to inspect the buildings for safety. They rotate the teams every two weeks, overlapping the departure of the members so that the new team can be adequately briefed. They have standard supplies (pre-packed bug out bags) and equipment. Some of the individuals staying with us had also been to Indonesia after the tsunami. They made us look bad!

We flew in with our “bug out bags” and as many medical supplies as we could carry. I brought a backpack with two scrub sets, 5 changes of underwear and socks, 3 t shirts to wear underneath the scrubs, a hat, a silk mummy bag (very light), tent, 10 complete MREs, a bag of mixed granola and dried fruit, instant coffee sticks, propal sticks, several 16 oz water bottles, water bottle with filter,  flashlight, matches, multitool, bug spray, and basic toiletries (soap, toothpaste, toothbrush, small towel, nail cutter, saline for contacts).  I also carried a compact video camera. Please note I didn’t have any of the fancy equipment recommended in some survival literature, though we did have a couple hours access to a generator at the church each night, which I used to charge my phone. I didn’t miss much, but if I was packing again now, I would add an inflatable pad (I did inherit one when one of the Brazilians left, but that ground was pretty hard before that), an extra set of scrubs, a couple more t shirts and some laundry soap! We had a group set of walkie-talkies, but they were useless out in the city and failed us on several occasions. The rest of my backpack and a bag were filled with pre-sterilized surgical kits, dressing supplies and medications, mostly antibiotics and pain medications.

Between the Brazilians and the very organized church we were staying at, we managed to set up some good quality clinics with one running daily in the church yard and another in different refugee camps. We did some wound management, but most of the problems we were seeing were related to poor sanitation and lack of clean water on the streets.

Just our group of six saw more than 1,200 patients. We had translators and nurses from the community. The translator I worked with the most was an attorney, volunteering his time. He and his wife and their two small children were living in the backyard of their house because it had not been checked for structural safety. Despite that disruption, he cheerfully sat next to me for hours each day, translating patient complaints and my responses.  Order was key to our success, as we had hundreds of patients responding at each site daily. People were easily angered, and we had near riots at one camp over the medical line, and several times over water distribution as the church was also running an industrial sized water filter and distributing water. One of these was stopped only by the pastor, who went chest to chest with the loudest of the agitators and backed him down. Survivalist books that tell you that attitude is everything are correct, as that pastor had no weapons, just his authority (though I’m sure God’s protection was helping as well).

As this was not Haiti’s first disruption, most people were used to living without power and had generators or candles. All the houses in town had high walls, topped with broken glass or barbed wire. Windows were covered with iron bars or heavy shutters. Houses had heavy iron gates (usually solid), and the vehicles pulled up inside the gates before the occupants would get out.  We were cautioned to remain very alert when traveling in town and never to leave the vehicles. The vehicles did not stop in the back streets to avoid traps. The back streets were dirt, and homeowners often added cement bumps in front of their houses to slow traffic. We mostly traveled in the back of two pickups. One of them always had to be parked on a hill and rolled to start. The other had no headlights, but someone in the front seat would carry a flashlight and shine it out in front as we approached intersections at night. We did travel at night several times to the pastor’s house to shower (generator and cistern), and he would call ahead so someone would be ready to open the gate and we would not stop in the street. He said a car had been attacked nearby when stopping to open a house gate, and the occupants killed.

We had not brought all the medications we needed, as we didn’t expect to see so many kids with parasites and fevers, and ladies with vaginal diseases. Most of this was from poor living conditions and bathing in unfiltered water. There isn’t much worse than giving calcium tablets to sick kids because that is all you have. I took the former Marine, and went to the University of Miami hospital which was set up at the airport to see if we could get some supplies. Disorder reigned there also, though it was certainly better than the Haitian hospital. Despite the stacks of supplies, we couldn’t get anyone to agree to let us have some. After talking to several people, we got permission to get “a couple” bottles of children’s Tylenol, which was better than nothing. Visiting the supply tent, we talked the teenage volunteer out of a case of Tylenol which was put to good use. We then tried the US Army without success, but we were referred to a warehouse run by the World Health Organization. After we made it past the armed guards, the first clerk told us we needed an account there, and even if we had one the supply delivery would take a week. Happily we found a sympathetic supply officer, who listened to our story and asked how many patients we were seeing, and then twisted our story slightly and wrote that we were from Miami Hospital on the form. After all, we had just come from there. He told us to come back that afternoon. I was crushed that we couldn’t find a ride that afternoon, but the next morning he loaded us up with antifungals, parasite treatments, and even medications for high blood pressure and diabetes.  It was like striking gold! God bless that guy that bent the rules to get the supplies out to the people.

Psychological preparedness in the responders was very important. One of the doctors with us was convinced she would get sick if she drank anything but bottled water. When the bottles ran out, we all began drinking the filtered water from the church. Sure enough, she got sick (and even fainted). The rest of us did not. On the other hand, the former Marine and I were able to liberate supplies, because we went in unwilling to take no for an answer (when Miami wouldn’t give me what I needed, I said sweetly “How about a couple bottles of children’s Tylenol, at least?” and got a yes).  I found it was very difficult to manage even the small group I brought with me once they were all under stress. If you plan to face TEOTWAWKI with a group, make sure you get to know each other well before the event, and establish a clear chain of authority.

Water containers were at a premium, both large to get water from filtration sites and small bottles for drinking and refilling. Tarps were also like gold. People were building shelters from rags and sticks. Thanks to the international response, there was plenty of food, but distribution sites were crazy and there was rioting, so going to get it was pretty risky. It would have been better to have stocks at home. Homes in Haiti were already fortified before the quake, so for those that didn’t lose their houses security was already set up. Because the power wasn’t reliable before the quake, most middle class people had generators at home, as well as rainwater collection systems and cisterns. If you live in a city and plan to stay in case of an American economic collapse, I would strongly consider you figure out how you are going to collect and store water. Even if some public services remain, water delivery may not be reliable.

There were two principles that I observed in this disaster. First, people in this situation behaved in one of two ways. Some rose to the occasion, volunteered to help others, shared what they had and remained calm. Others sunk to crime, anger and violence. I was amazed by the church members who remained faithful and were praising God right through this disaster. Many of them spend hundreds of hours helping us in clinics, passing out food and water and risking their own lives. Second, organizational and leadership skills are absolutely critical in disaster response. The U.S. Air Force took charge of traffic control at the airport, and as a result it was flawless. In the hospitals and streets, however, no one was in charge. Many people with wounds went without antibiotics, while crates of them sat unopened at the airport.  Though there were plenty of doctors around, it was very hard for individuals with wounds to reach them. I saw a completely unset leg fracture three weeks after the earthquake in the clinic behind the church. She couldn’t get through the crowd outside the hospitals! People couldn’t get medications for their chronic diseases, like high blood pressure and diabetes, and there was little available at the hospitals (but the WHO warehouse had a stock). 

Tarps were selling like gold. Food was available, but it was dangerous to go get it. People were washing in contaminated water and spreading disease. Having someone in charge would have made a huge difference, but the Haitian government was not prepared and with the large international response everyone was doing their own thing.

As we face “rolling power outages” here in Texas this week, due to freezing weather and snow storms, I am amazed more people don’t realize how close we are to the edge. Preparedness, both practical and psychological, should be a priority for all Americans at this point. I was able to fly out of Haiti, thanks to the U.S. Air Force, but if it happens here, there won’t be a midnight flight out.



The Nitty Gritty on Nickels

As I’ve mentioned before in SurvivalBlog, U.S. Five cent pieces (“Nickels”) should be considered a long-term hedge on inflation. I recently had a gent e-mail me, asking how he could eventually “cash in” on his cache of Nickels. He asked: “Are we to melt them down, or sell them to a collector? How does one obtain their true 7.4 cents [base metal content] value?” My response: Don’t expect to cash in for several years. I anticipate that there won’t be a large scale speculative market in Nickels until their base metal value (“melt value”) exceeds twice their face value (“2X Face”), or perhaps 3X face.

Once the price of Nickels hits 4X face value, speculators will probably be willing to pay for shipping. By the way, I also predict that it will be then that the ubiquitous Priority Mail Flat Rate Box will come into play, with dealers mailing Nickels in $300 face value increments. The U.S. Postal Service may someday regret their decision to transition to “Flat Rate” boxes for Priority Mail with a 70 pound limit.

Once the price of Nickels hits 5X face there will surely be published “bid/ask” quotations for $100, $300, and $500 face value quantities, just as has been the norm for pre-1965 U.S. 90% silver coinage since the early 1970s. (Those coins are typically sold in a $1,000 face value Bag (weighing about $55 pounds), or a “Half bag” (containing $500 face value.) Soon after the current Nickels are dropped from circulation, we will see $300 face value boxes of Nickels put up for competitive bidding, on eBay.

An Aside: Nickel Logistics

Nickels are heavy! Storing and transporting them can be a challenge.

I’ve done some tests:

$300 face value (150 rolls @$2 face value per roll) fit easily fit in a standard U.S. Postal Service Medium Flat Rate Box, and that weighs about 68 pounds.) They can be mailed from coast to coast for less than $25. Doing so will take a bit of reinforcement. Given enough wraps of strapping tape, a corrugated box will securely transport $300 worth of Nickels.

The standard USGI .30 caliber ammo can works perfectly for storing rolls of Nickels at home. Each can will hold $180 face value (90 rolls of $2 each) of Nickels. The larger .50 caliber cans also work, but when full of coins they are too heavy to carry easily.

Legalities

Since late 2006 it has been illegal in the U.S. to melt or to export Pennies or Nickels. But it is reasonable to assume that this restriction will be dropped after these coins have been purged from circulation. They will soon be replaced with either silver-flashed zinc slugs, or tokens stamped out of stainless steel. (The planned composition has not yet been announced.)

By 2015, when the new pseudo-Nickels are in full circulation, we will look back fondly on the days when we could walk up to our local bank teller and ask for “$20 in Nickels in Rolls”, and have genuine Nickels cheerfully handed to us, at their face value.

Death, Taxes, and Inflation

It has been said that “the only two things that are certain in life are death and taxes.” I’d like to nominate “inflation” as an addition to that phrase. For the past 100 years, we’ve been gradually robbed of our purchasing power through the hidden form of taxation called inflation. Currency inflation explains why gold coins and silver coins had to be dropped by the U.S. Mint in the 1930s and 1960s, respectively. Ditto for 100% copper Pennies, back in 1981. (The ones that have been produced since then are copper-flashed zinc slugs, but even the base metal value of those is now slightly greater than their face value.)

Inflation marches on and on. Inflation will inevitably be the impetus for a change in the composition of the lowly Nickel. Each Nickel presently has about 7.3 cents in base metal (“melt”) value, and they cost the Mint more than 9 cents each to make. You don’t need a doctorate in Economics to conclude that the U.S. Mint cannot continue minting Nickels that are 75% copper and 25% nickel–at least not much longer.

Without Later Regrets

Don’t miss out on the opportunity to hedge on inflation with Nickels. Just like the folks who failed to acquire silver dimes and quarters in the early 1960s, you will kick yourself if you fail to stock up on Nickels. Do so before they are debased and the older issue is quickly snatched out of circulation. The handwriting is on the wall, folks. Stop dawdling, and go to the bank and trade some of your paper FRNs for something tangible.



Letter Re: The Ethics and Methodology of Sniping after TEOTWAWKI

James;
I am glad that something has posted such a thoughtful essay on the merits of and moral questions involved in sniping after a collapse.

I am not a sniper, but I regularly compete in High Power shooting events and have learned a lot. The first thing I learned is my .308 is marginal at 1,000 yards.To get there I use very expensive Berger bullets and my groups are twice as big as the guys using 6mm or 6.5mm bullets. At a 1,000 yards some of the favorite cartridges are .243, .308, 6.5 Creedmoor, 6.5×287, .287, .260 Remington, 6.5 Lapua, 7SAUM, et cetera. The 30-06 is still in use as well. I have never seen anyone with a .300 Win Magnum at these competitions. The barrel life and recoil put it right out of the game. Even the somewhat mild .308 is considered a heavy recoil rifle when shot prone for a 70 round match. In NRA High Power matches muzzle brakes are not allowed and neither are suppressors. Since lighter recoil equals long range accuracy the magnums are not very popular in this kind of shooting.

The most affordable and fast way to get in the long range shooting game is to just do it. Many new shooters like the Savage bolt actions, they are inexpensive, accurate and easy to work on. Combined with a SWFA SS scope a reliable, precision .308 can be had for less than $800. The .308 is still one of the best choices due to ammo availability, and a barrel life that exceeds 5,000 rounds. (I have heard of 300 Winchester Magnum barrels losing their accuracy after only 800 rounds.) Don’t expect to do well at a 1,000 yards with an 18″ barrel. Longer barrels give higher velocity.

Once you have your new rifle, bipod (I like the Harris 6″-9″ with notches FWIW), rear bag and a mat to lay on you are ready for your first 500 yard prone competition. Check with your local ranges to see if they have anything coming up. You may want to contact whoever is in charge and let them know you are a new shooter and you might need help “getting on paper.” They will be glad to help you get started. In my area the matches usually cost $15. From a hundred yard zero come up about 10 MOA and that should get you on paper at 500 yards. Expect to not do very well your first time, you are there just to have fun and learn a few things. If the shooters go somewhere to eat after the match is over that is when your true education begins. Ask questions and be humble. Make contacts, network, and be a good friend.

The High Power matches are on a known distance range so it allows the shooter to focus on reading wind and on sending a perfect shot. To learn to shoot on an unknown distance range will take a lot of time with this program and a lot of practice. This means hand loading ammunition, practice using your mil-dots, practice reading mirage and a million other things. I have learned a lot from Sniper’s Hide and their online tutorials. It is cheap and much more informative than any book I have ever read.

Shooting is a perishable skill. To be proficient in long range shooting means integrating it into your lifestyle. It is not enough to become a Rifleman, constant maintenance is needed to remain a Rifleman.  Here are some more links that I think are of value to the long range shooter:

Rifleman’s Journal

LBS Files Reference Pages

6mmBR.com

If you are new to handloading here is a good way to get your feet wet. You might be surprised how accurate this ammo is. The only thing I do differently for long range is weigh rather than measure my powder charges. Regards, – Nathan C.



Economics and Investing:

The Daily Bell ran this interview: Richard Maybury on the Collapse of the Anglo-American Empire and What It Means for You

Eric K. sent this: China Raises Rates to Counter Accelerating Inflation. Eric’s comments: “Three things of note in the article: 1.) They mention a report due next week that will show a 5.3% increase in January for consumer prices. 2.) They are starting a campaign to crackdown on speculation and hoarding. 3.) The Chinese inflation is largely driven by rising food costs. Their formula for calculating their inflation is different to the one used to calculate ours. For one, our CPI numbers does not include the increase in food prices. The Chinese are raising interest rates to curb their inflation and our government is printing more money to curb our so-called deflation.

The latest from Dr. Housing Bubble: Foreclosing on the red carpet – Hollywood home goes from $1 million to $377,000. With the termite infestation and he graffiti, is it really worth $377,000?

Items from The Economatrix:

More Confident Consumers Break Out Credit Cards  

Dow Closes Higher For 7th Straight Day

Layoffs Become Rarer Even With Unemployment High  

Longest Dow Win Streak in Three Months  

Jobless Rate Among Veterans Highest In Five Years