Odds ‘n Sods:

An interesting multi-part look at the history of the ancient world: Production Versus Plunder

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Government Trolls Are Using “Psychology-Based Influence Techniques” On YouTube, Facebook And Twitter – H.L.

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Hackers Installed Sophisticated Malware on U.S. Computers. Why Doesn’t Anyone Care? – G.P.

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Tragic tale of the German who wouldn’t salute Hitler Lives, families, fortunes, and honor. – G.P.

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Americans Don’t Deserve to Celebrate July 4th This Year. – B.B.



Hugh’s Quote of the Day:

“And they come to Jerusalem: and Jesus went into the temple, and began to cast out them that sold and bought in the temple, and overthrew the tables of the moneychangers, and the seats of them that sold doves; and would not suffer that any man should carry any vessel through the temple. And he taught, saying unto them, Is it not written, My house shall be called of all nations the house of prayer? but ye have made it a den of thieves.” Mark 11:15-17 (KJV)



Notes for Saturday – July 04, 2015

It’s July 4, 2015, and today’s festivities have a disappointing bittersweetness. Instead of a genuine celebration, they seem like more of a wistful memorial to the freedom that we once enjoyed. Just 239 years ago we fought a war of independence, but now we find ourselves under the thumb of globalists, statists, and internationalists. It is time to pluck a few chickens and warm up the tar pot. – JWR

o o o

Today, we present another entry for Round 59 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The $12,000+ worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate, good for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,195 value),
  2. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  3. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper with a hammer forged, chromlined barrel and a hard case to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR type rifle to have quick change barrel, which can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools, and a compact carry capability in a hard case or 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  4. Gun Mag Warehouse is providing 20 Magpul pmags 30rd Magazines (a value of $300) and a Gun Mag Warehouse T-Shirt. (An equivalent prize will be awarded for residents in states with magazine restrictions.),
  5. Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  6. A pre-selected assortment of military surplus gear from CJL Enterprize (a $300 value),
  7. A Model 120 Series Solar Generator provided by Quantum Harvest LLC (a $340 value),
  8. A $300 gift certificate from Freeze Dry Guy,
  9. A $250 gift certificate from Sunflower Ammo,
  10. KellyKettleUSA.com is donating both an AquaBrick water filtration kit and a Stainless Medium Scout Kelly Kettle Complete Kit with a combined retail value of $304,
  11. TexasgiBrass.com is providing a $300 gift certificate, and
  12. Two cases of meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Second Prize:

  1. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  2. A FloJak EarthStraw “Code Red” 100-foot well pump system (a $500 value), courtesy of FloJak.com,
  3. The Ark Institute is donating a non-GMO, non-hybrid vegetable seed package–enough for two families of four, seed storage materials, a CD-ROM of Geri Guidetti’s book “Build Your Ark! How to Prepare for Self Reliance in Uncertain Times”, and two bottles of Potassium Iodate– a $325 retail value,
  4. A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials,
  5. Twenty Five books, of the winners choice, of any books published by PrepperPress.com (a $270 value),
  6. TexasgiBrass.com is providing a $150 gift certificate, and
  7. RepackBox is providing a $300 gift certificate to their site.

Third Prize:

  1. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  2. A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard, and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206,
  3. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances,
  6. APEX Gun Parts is donating a $250 purchase credit,
  7. Montie Gear is donating a Precision Rest (a $249 value), and
  8. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).

Round 59 ends on July 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Do What You Are Good At, But Work At What You Aren’t, by R.D.

Fear and prudence

I’ve never thought of myself as being particularly knowledgeable on specific things regarding preparedness. I wasn’t in the military, so I don’t feel qualified to give “tactical firearms advice”, but I like to shoot and train as much as possible. I’m not an EMT, but I’ve put together several first aid kits that our family feels comfortable using. I’m not a farmer, but we have learned basic gardening over the last seven years in our small urban garden. I’m not a professional mechanic, but I prefer to maintain our cars and equipment largely by myself. I’m not a politician, but getting involved in local affairs can help liberty in profound ways. I’m a product designer by trade, but I don’t consider myself an artist, which is actually pretty strange.

I think for the average person, we don’t think that there is much we can contribute to helping ourselves and others become more self sufficient, if there is such a term. It’s also a bit confusing for us because we are Christ followers and consider Christ to be sufficient for our needs. Is this a double standard? I don’t think so, but it’s taken some learning and understanding to come to grips with this. It’s easy to be fearful when talking about preparedness, but we have no need for fear. We learn ways to be prudent and creative, which is biblical.

A couple of experiences and casual comments over the last couple of months have encouraged me to share a bit of knowledge or insight into our family’s decisions and dreams for the future and what we’ve learned together.

Influence your local government for liberty

Not long ago I decided to go to a city hall meeting in our town for an issue that I felt compelled to speak up on. It’s really out of my comfort zone to confront city leaders or the police chief on any issue. We are one of several towns in the area that installed video monitored traffic cameras a couple of years ago. It’s been a growing concern that the government has taken too much liberty in their monitoring of our movements and activity. By just doing a little research, showing up at a town hall, and giving an educated opinion on these issues, it actually helped sway the council into removing these cameras this year. It’s a small enough town where the leaders “have” to listen to you. Most people don’t show up to town halls, so it’s a relatively captive audience. Use this opportunity to get to know your leaders and influence them to gain back some liberty. It’s our responsibility. A lot of things aren’t even put to a vote, but they want to know what people think.

During this time, I met some of these city leaders. Though we disagreed on some issues and agreed on others, for whatever reason we started talking about “national preparedness month” and how our town wasn’t as prepared as others in the area. I casually showed them a small trauma kit that I recently put together. They were shocked (no pun intended). One of them is an actual EMT, and she couldn’t believe how complete it was, and even gave me a few ideas on what to add to it (a Halo chest seal). My wife and I like to spend time in the outdoors, so first aid kits are pretty common to us, but one of the city officials asked if I would present these kits at one of their meetings. They made the comment that I was an “expert” in this field, and most of the people they come in contact with in the city don’t have this basic knowledge. I’m an “expert”? I guess it’s a matter of perspective, but they all agreed that maybe picking up some Band-Aids, tape, and gauze would probably be a good start for everyone. I may even be able to present some first aid kit ideas at a city event later this summer. Sharing knowledge that seems basic to you could be invaluable to someone who hasn’t taken the time to learn it for themselves, and this could actually save lives. Most people don’t know where to begin with a basic first aid kit, but the gear available has gotten so easy to use and readily available through online sources.

Work hard at what you are good at and harder at what you aren’t

The second comment came recently when a friend of mine decided to casually start looking for a rural homestead but needed it to be fully set up because he didn’t have my “skillset”. It was my skillset? Again, my trade is a product designer. I sit at a computer or grab a pencil and sketch out ideas for a company to use and sell. That’s not what he was talking about. I’m not a homesteader, by our standards.

About four years ago, my wife and I picked up 10 acres of semi-remote property deep in the heart of the Redoubt. The market had bottomed out, so we picked it up inexpensively with cash.

The property is eight hours from where we currently live. We had this dream to build a small shed cabin on it, but with a few weeks of vacation per year it just wouldn’t work to build it on site. For a couple of years I thought of ways to prefab the walls and possibly drive them up to the site. During this time, we collected doors, vinyl windows, RV appliances, and hardware from craigslist, garage sales, and generally just scrounging around. Last year, I decided to fab the cabin in our small two car garage, one wall at a time. I stacked them outside until it was finished. We trucked it up and assembled the whole thing, minus the roof in two days. Within a week, we had a 16’x16’ cabin in a remote location to go to. It’s slowly getting done, and it’s more comfortable to stay in each time we work on it. I can’t monitor it, and it’s subject to weather, fire, and theft, but the lessons learned cannot be taken away. I can now build a shelter for my family, and I was not a builder. This gives me a sense of security.

We are a long ways from getting to where we want to be as far as preparedness goes, and we’re still learning. My wife jokes sometimes about how 10 years ago when we met, there was no way we would have even considered building a house or growing a garden. As we’ve seen and experienced the economic downturn, our priorities changed to learning some of these skills. They are something we can teach and pass along to our 1-year-old daughter or help friends or family learn. My dad was a huge resource in how to build structures. He learned a lot from my grandfather. Will we ever live in a remote area permanently and commit to being full time homesteaders? I think there is still quite a bit of time and learning before that actually happens, but we press on and keep working at things that we aren’t good at yet.

Car maintenance

Most people bring their cars in for oil changes and basic maintenance. I would encourage you not to do that. The modern mechanic can do things much easier and faster than I can, but you would be surprised at how many basic and semi-advanced procedures are posted online. Youtube is a wealth of knowledge for automotive work. Try at least changing the spark plugs, air filter, and oil. Purchase a simple engine code reader (if you have a modern car); they are inexpensive now and work fine. Some of them literally tell you what component is failing and at a fraction of the price of a visit to the dealer or shop. Keep up with your car’s maintenance and be familiar with it. Feel the radiator hoses for weak spots. Listen for odd noises with the brakes and bearings. Try to be preemptive. There are a million ways for any car to fail, but sometimes simple maintenance will give you better odds. Most of the cars I have owned have had well over 200,000 miles on them. I don’t expect all of them to get this, but you might be surprised. If you can repair a car, you can get a much better price on a higher mileage one. I try to always improve something on our truck every time we prepare for the long drive to the property. Maybe I just replace the shocks or a worn steering component, or I just fix a trim piece that broke.

Basic gardening

I won’t cover gardening too much here, since there have been many great articles on SurvivalBlog about gardening. However, the same thing applies. Learn how to build simple raised beds. They are easy to grow food in, they drain water well, and they keep the soil profile consistent. Someday I want to get a tractor (a ’53 Jubilee) and learn how to clear land to make a real mini farm, but that’s a long ways off. Start small, even with 5-gallon buckets. There are so many books written on this subject. Learn how to rotate crops, practice companion planting, and apply basic organic techniques. If anything, the food grown in your yard will taste much better than what you can get in a store.

Be curious, learn creativity

Keep learning new things, things you are interested in, and things that can help you or your family. I mentioned we are Christians. God values people who are creative. I think we all have creativity in us. Creativity helps us adapt and come up with new ways of solving problems. It’s like a muscle that needs to be exercised. Pray about new ideas. God values this and knows a fair bit about creating.

One thing that amazes me is that most of the great scientists were largely God-fearing people. Michael Faraday was a devout Christian; this computer wouldn’t function without his contribution to electronics. His life’s work was to understand the connection between God and science. We should do the same. God loves it when we seek Him, and He tends to reveal things at the right time. When things get tough, pray for creativity, among other things. It’s something I continually struggle with, but when I do it things work out.

1 Chronicles 22:15-16 “Moreover, there are many workmen with you, stonecutters and masons of stone and carpenters, and all men who are skillful in every kind of work. Of the gold, the silver and the bronze and the iron there is no limit. Arise and work, and may the LORD be with you.”



Letter Re: Most Important Prepping, by JM

HJL,

JM’s article on preppingis very good, well written, and info we need.

But, what about senior citizens like myself who are on the downside of 70s, partially disabled by a neurological condition and couldn’t walk a mile if my life depended on it?

My wife, who is five years younger and in better shape than myself, can outwork most men. I have adequate weapons, some stored water and food, but I don’t feel we are more than 30-40% prepared. We would like to protect our home as long as possible. We are in an older, smaller sub-division about 45 years old and in a cul-de-sac. I know lives are more important than buildings. Should we drive to a safer location or tough it out here? Thanks for any feed back. BTW, I am also a Ham radio operator, extra class.

Be blessed. CC in Ohio

HJL Responds: This is probably the prime reason why like-minded communities are so important. While survival in complete isolation is possible, it is very difficult, and a simple failure can be the difference between life and death. The advice may seem harsh, but if you don’t think that you can survive where you are at when TSHTF, then you need to take care of it now. Living in a cul-de-sac in a urban community may be comfortable now while all of the amenities of civilization are readily available, but that may not be the case when things get tough. Do you have a relationship with your neighbors now? If not, how do you know that you can trust them when you need them the most? Imagine that your community is dealing with a situation similar to Baltimore or Chicago. If you don’t think it is possible to survive then, why are you waiting until things get bad to get out? Make the move now, while the moving is relatively painless. Find a like-minded group of friends or family and get connected. If you have physical handicaps that are going to limit what you can do, you must be part of a community to survive.







Hugh’s Quote of the Day:

“he hath said, which heard the words of God, which saw the vision of the Almighty, falling into a trance, but having his eyes open: how goodly are thy tents, O Jacob, and thy tabernacles, O Israel!” Numbers 24:4-5 (KJV)



Notes for Friday – July 03, 2015

JRH Enterprises is having an Independence Day sale on New 3rd Gen Pinnacle Autogated PVS14 High Performance model night vision monoculars. These come with all the standard accessories and JRH is throwing in a FREE weapons mount to the first 20 orders. These PVS14’s are Brand new with a 10 year factory warranty. Also on sale is the NightFighter 2 combo that includes the HP PVS14 as well as ACH helmet, IR laser and more.

o o o

Today, we present another entry for Round 59 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The $12,000+ worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate, good for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,195 value),
  2. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  3. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper with a hammer forged, chromlined barrel and a hard case to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR type rifle to have quick change barrel, which can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools, and a compact carry capability in a hard case or 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  4. Gun Mag Warehouse is providing 20 Magpul pmags 30rd Magazines (a value of $300) and a Gun Mag Warehouse T-Shirt. (An equivalent prize will be awarded for residents in states with magazine restrictions.),
  5. Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  6. A pre-selected assortment of military surplus gear from CJL Enterprize (a $300 value),
  7. A Model 120 Series Solar Generator provided by Quantum Harvest LLC (a $340 value),
  8. A $300 gift certificate from Freeze Dry Guy,
  9. A $250 gift certificate from Sunflower Ammo,
  10. KellyKettleUSA.com is donating both an AquaBrick water filtration kit and a Stainless Medium Scout Kelly Kettle Complete Kit with a combined retail value of $304,
  11. TexasgiBrass.com is providing a $300 gift certificate, and
  12. Two cases of meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Second Prize:

  1. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  2. A FloJak EarthStraw “Code Red” 100-foot well pump system (a $500 value), courtesy of FloJak.com,
  3. The Ark Institute is donating a non-GMO, non-hybrid vegetable seed package–enough for two families of four, seed storage materials, a CD-ROM of Geri Guidetti’s book “Build Your Ark! How to Prepare for Self Reliance in Uncertain Times”, and two bottles of Potassium Iodate– a $325 retail value,
  4. A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials,
  5. Twenty Five books, of the winners choice, of any books published by PrepperPress.com (a $270 value),
  6. TexasgiBrass.com is providing a $150 gift certificate, and
  7. RepackBox is providing a $300 gift certificate to their site.

Third Prize:

  1. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  2. A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard, and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206,
  3. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances,
  6. APEX Gun Parts is donating a $250 purchase credit,
  7. Montie Gear is donating a Precision Rest (a $249 value), and
  8. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).

Round 59 ends on July 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Seriously Mentally Ill (SMI), by N.N.

My experience is based on working with the SMI population in a behavioral health outpatient clinic and through personal experience with a spouse with a SMI diagnosis as well as a parent with an SMI diagnosis. The types of individuals that are in the SMI population vary wildly and can been acutely symptomatic and asymptomatic depending on their diagnosis. This is NOT a complete guide on mental illness; it’s only an experienced perspective on mental illness.

Acute symptoms

Acute symptoms are often easy to identify; they include talking to self, responding to internal stimuli, depression, aggression, or suicide.

  • Common symptoms to look for when assessing whether or not an individual is mentally unstable can include: laughing/giggling at internal stimuli, talking to self, inability to control emotions, verbal/physical aggression, unrealistic delusions, paranoia, or attempt to complete suicide.
  • There are generally two categories of the SMI population– those who have drug induced psychosis, and those who are legitimately SMI because of genetic reasons or trauma related reasons.
  • Drug induced psychosis generally pertains to the use of substances like alcohol, caffeine, cocaine/methamphetamine, hallucinogens, nicotine, opioids, and sedatives. The use of these substances in some cases will likely never lead to a psychosis related incident, however, used in quantity or excessively over time they can cause psychosis. The biggest problem with drug related psychosis is that there is significant damage done to the brain that can be irreversible.
  • Legitimate cases of a person having an SMI diagnosis are quite common. Some common diagnosis can include anxiety disorders (social issues, phobias), mood disorders (depression), schizophrenia/psychotic disorders (delusions, aggression, and hallucinations), and schizoaffective type (dementia).
  • I will use delusions as an example, because they can often lead to aggression due to the altered state of reality for the individual. Delusions can take many forms. They can include paranoia (believing someone is trying to kill them or you are trying to kill them), belief that they are an alien, or believing that they are the richest person in the world and all they needs is you to sign for them at the bank to get their money. The reason why delusions can be dangerous is that, while seemingly harmless to the non-SMI person, to the person with the delusion it can turn into a violent situation is they believe someone is preventing them from acting on what they see as reality. That is the key factor; these types of individuals believe to their core that this is reality and that your reality is not valid.
  • Mood disorders are another dangerous SMI diagnosis. The danger is not always to the non-SMI individual but often to the SMI individual because of the depression that is often associated with a mood disorder diagnosis. Individuals with a mood disorder often have a chemical imbalance that prevents them from being able to regulate their moods based on their environment (like being happy when you should be happy and angry when you should be angry). In these cases, it is dangerous because, without access to medication, mood regulation can swing violently from extremely depressed and a danger for suicide to extremely angry and a danger for homicide.
  • Schizophrenic/psychotic related disorder can be the most dangerous. These individuals, without medication management, can be unpredictable, violent, and deadly.

Individual Reactions

When interacting with these types of individuals, it is important to note that while what is listed above can be common, it is not a definitive guide to SMI individuals. Each person will react to medications, environmental stimulation, and trauma in many different ways. That is why two people with identical diagnosis can be on completely different medications.

  • Some simple skills to use in a situation where an individual is struggling with some of the non-violent symptoms, like depression, suicidal ideation, or anxiety, can be the difference between life and death for some.
  • Skills, like active listening, which can be very difficult when you as the listener are in a stressful situation, can be essential. Often people experiencing these symptoms just want to be heard, either as a requirement to fulfill a need as part of their diagnosis or because of previous trauma they need to be heard because they were not heard when it mattered to prevent the trauma. Active listening is simple; it is listening to someone without interjecting your opinion, asking simple unobtrusive questions (how are you feeling, what can I do to help), and following through if you agree to something. Follow through can determine whether or not that person feels like they can trust you in the future (establishing a rapport).
  • Another skill that many struggle with in daily life is knowing when and how to speak calmly, particularly in a less-than-calm situation. Pausing between sentences to think before you speak will not only prevent you from saying the wrong thing but it also lengthens the time someone is listening; the length of time you can speak with someone calmly can greatly help with their ability to calm down and may deescalate a situation.
  • Redirection works well with individuals that are experiencing anxiety or are having difficulty understanding a situation. Changing the subject of a conversation is often simple, but changing the topic to something that can prevent a return to the original reason for the redirection can be difficult. Redirecting to a topic that would require active thinking, such as redirecting to work that needs to be done and explaining how to do it; or physical redirection, like getting someone to actively engage in a physical activity can help. Just asking someone to walk with you can be a useful redirection or doing chores together can be a useful redirection.
  • Avoidance of SMI individuals is dependent on your situation; it could be someone in your group/home (family), or it could be a neighbor. Clearly we are asked to love thy neighbor; however, we can love them and respect them from afar. In the case of someone in your group or family, we are committed to their protection either from themselves or their environment. When traveling, it is provident to avoid people experiencing some of the symptoms that have been noted, primarily because of safety and unpredictability.
  • Dangerous SMI individuals can and should be avoided if possible, but what is more likely to happen is that they either randomly or specifically target you for some reason only known to them. Many times these dangerous individuals can start out as being charming but are easily agitated and can become verbally abusive in an instant. These individuals also can be violent. In cases where you suspect that an individual is SMI, you should utilize all of your skill set to avoid conflict and remove yourself from the situation immediately, but you should also be prepared to defend yourself as necessary.

Loved Ones Can Be Most Difficult To Help

Loved ones with an SMI diagnosis can be the hardest for those of us who do not have to deal with the symptoms and management of the diagnosis to understand and help. In a situation where a family member utilizes medication to manage the severity and occurrence of their symptoms and access to that medication is limited or exhausted, understanding how to proceed is important to your family’s safety and to the safety of your loved one.

  • Tapering off medication is always the best course of action should that medication not be available in the future. This is because there are some medications such as Clozaril that, if stopped abruptly, can cause a resurgence of symptoms that were worse than prior to the medication but can also cause flu-like symptoms or seizures.
  • Stress management is an issue, if your loved one has a mood disorder related diagnosis. In this case, it will be important to limit the amount of stress that they are exposed to. Utilizing them for simple tasks, such as cleaning, cooking, or possibly taking care of children can help prevent them from experiencing some symptoms.
  • Understanding that there are some alternatives to medication management, like meditation, homeopathic type remedies, and stress management can help (not stop) the occurrence of symptoms.
  • It should be noted that homeopathic methods should only be used if the person has a full understanding of them as well as the risks associated with using them over medication management and stress reliving methods. Please encourage your loved one to have a dialogue with their prescriber discussing access to medication and alternatives to medication where appropriate.
  • There are, however, risks associated with any type of disruption to medication for those that are SMI. Becoming psychotic is a possibility, but the most likely risk, particularly with the excessive use of antidepressants in the U.S., is suicide.
  • Being able to talk to someone about thinking about suicide can be extremely difficult. It has been for millennia a taboo and in many cultures is not spoken about at all. If you suspect that someone is contemplating suicide, you should ask them. The simple act of asking someone if they are thinking about suicide can open the door to prevention. Think of the things that can convince them to live and use them. Play on their emotion for an individual, and get them to commit to safety for a set period of time.
  • The realities of the SMI population are that death is only preventable as long as it can be prevented. In cases where it cannot be, those left should understand that the person who completed suicide was not doing it for themselves. In their mind, they believed they were helping you or their family. While this does little to comfort someone or justify it, it is a perspective rarely looked at.

Broadening your understanding of what it is to have a serious mental illness can be difficult, because of the stigma that is often associated to those who are ill. It can be done, and if mental illness is present in your life it is another thing we should be prepared to handle.



Letter: The $100 Bet on Greece

HJL,

As I write this, Greece and its financial woes are in the news again. There is nothing especially surprising about that, as Greece has been there before. Greece has been in a state of “soft default” since at least 2009. For the last five years Greece and the EU have engaged in on again – off again negotiations trying to tap dance around what has become known as “The Greek Debt Crisis”. The can, as they say, has been kicked down the road several times.

At the end of this month (June 2015), Greece is due to cough up about $1.8 billion in an interim payment to the EU. The Greek government has already said they will have to borrow the money to be able to make the payment. How quaint.

But is it different this time? It just could be. Up to now, the two players in this comedy/drama have been the European Union and Greece. The EU has talked tough, but typically has caved in at the last minute, fearful of Greek threats to leave the EU, abandon the Euro and re-issue their own currency. The EU responds with bridge loans, deadline extensions and increased demands. Greece, for its part has enacted some financial austerity measures, tax increases, and regulatory control, all of which have been quite unpopular with Greek citizens. Demonstrations and riots by the population protesting austerity have been common, and the Greek economy is suffering near depression level devastation.

In January 2015, Greece elected a socialist, Alexis Tsipras, to the office of Prime Minister after he promised a hard stance toward the EU and elimination of much of the financial austerity the EU was demanding. Sort of the Greek equivalent of a car in every garage, two chickens in every pot and forgiving your debt.

The Bet

If you had $100 to spread on the possible outcomes of the current Greek payment dilemma, how much would you put on each possibility? Here are the choices as I see them.

  • Choice #1. The EU caves in as usual, and kicks the can down the road. The payment deadline is extended with the explanation and platitudes that “talks are continuing and progress is being made”. Greece promises “more austerity”, begs for mercy, and perhaps makes a nominal payment.
  • Choice #2. Greece goes into hard default, leaves the EU.
  • Choice #3. (Wild Card # One) Vladimir Putin (Russia) steps in and loans Greece the money to make the payment.
  • Choice #4. (Wild Card # Two) Barrack Obama (the United States) steps in and loans Greece the money to make the payment.

Here is where I would put my $100.

  • Choice #1. $40 (A 40% chance)
  • Choice #2. $0 (No bet)
  • Choice #3. $20 (A 20% chance)
  • Choice #4. $40 (A 40% chance)

Now for the explanations.

  • Choice #1 really needs no explanation. In summary, it’s the same old – same old.
  • Choice #2 is almost as easy to explain. Greece needs the EU a lot more than the EU needs Greece. Leaving the European Union would not solve Greece’s financial problems. In fact, those problems would likely become much worse. If Greece left the EU they would have to drop the Euro and re-issue their traditional currency, the Drachma. The socialistic promises the Greek government has made to the population over the years would still have to be dealt with and they would have a much weaker currency with limited international acceptance with which to do it. Increasing civil unrest would be a certainty. Even extreme left wing Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras must realize this.
  • Choice #3. Ridiculous, you say? Maybe not. Russia would love to have an “in” to western Europe. Putin has already made several statements hinting that Russia might do business with Greece to help with their debt repayments. A natural gas pipeline from Russia to Greece has already been mentioned as a possibility. The current government in Greece is not nearly as “pro-western” as in the past, and is certainly looking for a way out of their financial mess, so don’t dismiss Choice #3 without serious thought.
  • Choice #4. A U.S. bailout of Greece? This is a very real possibility. There are three reasons I rate this as a strong possibility.
    1. The U.S. does not want the European Union to fall apart. If Greece bolts the EU, Portugal, Italy and Spain could follow. These four countries are collectively called “The PIGS”. They all have essentially the same economic problems, though at the moment Greece is in the worst shape of the four. If one or more of these four left the European Union, there, as they say, goes the ball game.

      Collectively the EU is an important trade partner of the U.S., and stands as a bulwark against eastern Europe and Asia.

    2. If it actually appears that Russia might bail out Greece, the U.S. would likely jump in and try to preempt any deal Putin would make. A United States deal rather than a Russian one would be backed by most other members of the EU, especially Germany. At the moment Germany is the economic strongman in the EU and would wield considerably more influence than any other member. Germany has never been overjoyed at sharing an eastern border with Russia, and would justifiably become absolutely paranoid at also sharing a western border with one or more countries under strong Russian influence. If Choice #1 fails, Germany will back Choice #4.
    3. In the last decade, the U.S. has turned decidedly more to the left politically. Whatever the reasons for this, the voting majority now sees adrift toward European Socialism as a desirable direction for the U.S., even if many who advocate it don’t understand it. To be “more like Europe” is a goal that many, including some elected officials, openly advocate. In short, the European Union has become a “kindred spirit” in the minds of many in the U.S.. Watching them fail would be an admission of defeat for the economic system that some in this country aspire to. If a smooth solution (essentially, Choice #1) isn’t forthcoming, I believe the U.S. taxpayer will be the financial backstop for Greece.

Well, now you know where I would put my money. In the end, I believe Greece and the EU will both blink. How would you bet? Just don’t bet the rent money that Choice #4 won’t happen! – NCL





Odds ‘n Sods:

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This Picture and Video Explain Exactly Why Doomsday Preppers Are Getting Ready For An Imminent Collapse. – B.B.

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A Picture Every Time You Buy Something? Mastercard Beta Testing ‘Selfie’ Facial Recognition This Fall – H.L.