Economics and Investing:

FUTURE MONEY TRENDS: Silver Will Break $50 In 2016

o o o

New Year begins with record number of men not in the labor force: Those not in the labor force increased by 1.9 million last year while the labor force increased by only 1.1 million.

o o o

Items from Professor Preponomics:

US News

New Year Begins with a Record Number of Men NOT In the Labor Force (My Budget 360) Excerpt: “Employment, income, and financial prosperity are the most important issues for Americans. It is ironic that in 2008 the election was driven largely by the economy. It is very likely to be driven again by the same thing now that it is official that the middle class is a minority. Keep an eye out on the labor force participation rate.”

Law Enforcement Groups Cry Foul After Congress Seizes Money from Controversial Forfeiture Fund (CNS News) One word for this: WRONG. Excerpt: “In short, law enforcement agencies have grown dependent on civil forfeiture revenues, with the inevitable result being that agencies end up seizing property from property owners who are wholly innocent.”

Puerto Rico is in SERIOUS TROUBLE. (Huffington Post) Be careful from whom you borrow and under what terms… Excerpt: “Puerto Rico’s terms of repayment are particularly onerous because so much of its debt is now controlled by big U.S. hedge funds.”

International News

How a Demographic Time Bomb Will Transform the Global Economy (The Telegraph) Excerpt: “Japan’s population is now projected to shrink from around 126m today to 87m in 50 years’ time. At this rate, there will be no one left by 2500.”

Portugal: Europe’s Next Greece? (Outside the Beltway) Excerpt: “With much of Europe worried about terrorism and refugees, there hasn’t been much attention paid to the financial issues that have gripped many of the continents weaker members, but that may be about to change thanks to Portugal…”

Greek Central Banker Urges Government on Bailout Reforms (Reuters) Excerpt: “Greece’s central bank chief has urged the leftist-led government to implement bailout reforms agreed with the country’s lenders, warning that backtracking would entail risks the economy could not withstand.”

Personal Economics and Household Finance

10 Reasons Why You Should Switch to Linux (It’s F.O.S.S.) #1 Reason: It’s FREE! We switched all of our computers to Linux some time ago, for several reasons, including the fact that Linux is almost maintenance free, works on older computers, is very fast, and the software is…free!



Odds ‘n Sods:

More details are beginning to emerge on the Oregon situation:
Reader A.L. sent in this link to Mike Vanderboegh’s blog: No more free Wacos.
Reader Joe K. sent in the link to Oathkeepers official statement: The Hammond Family Does NOT Want an Armed Stand Off, and Nobody Has a Right to Force One On Them.

o o o

A very good article about collectivism and freedom: One American’s Rage Spills Over: Dear Liberal… Here’s Why I’m So Hostile – L.A.

o o o

Those who have tangled with the American justice system know that it should not be confused with justice. Reader D.S. sent in this link: America’s criminal justice system is a hoax.

o o o

China enters the fray in the middle east: Pentagon Stunned As Thousands Of Chinese Troops Enter ISIS War – M.T.

o o o

The Looming Environmental Disaster In Missouri That Nobody Is Talking About. – What happens when an underground landfill fire comes into contact with waste from the Manhattan Project? – T.P.



Hugh’s Quote of the Day:

“It is in the free market that self-interest finds its finest expression; that is a cardinal point in individualism. If the market is regularly raided, by robbers or the government, and the safety of property is impaired, the individual loses interest in production, and the abundance of things men live by shrinks. Hence, it is for the good of society that self-interest in the economic sphere be allowed to operate without hindrance.” – Frank Chodorov





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Letter Re: Shaving Problem/Solution

HJL,

As we have been reminded this year in the Northwest and elsewhere, power outages can occur at any time for a variety of reasons (fires, floods, wind storms, snow, ice). As the utilities shutdown, electricity goes off. If we have been diligent, we have been getting ready to the best of our ability and means for at least short-term self sustainment. We have food, several gallons of water, and various supplies on hand. As I was updating the health and hygiene portion of being prepared I discovered that shaving could become a real problem for me. I have stocked some safety razors, shaving cream, and after shave. However, I have sensitive skin, which is easily irritated by using a safety razor. I normally use a rechargeable shaver and stock several bottles of pre-shave and after shave lotion. However, during a power outage, the charge on my shaver will last only a few days at best. I really don’t want to have to deal with a raw, chaffed chin and neck, which could result in a skin infection because I had to use a safety razor. Then it dawned on me. I have a solution in my travel shave kit. When I make short trips, I take a travel size shaver (2-AA battery operated). I have also used mine for several years while in the military reserve on my two or three week annual trainings. Since I already keep a good supply of AA batteries on hand for other gadgets and have a solar battery charger with several rechargeable AA batteries, I am prepared. As a result I now can continue to shave like normal until the power is restored. Although this might seem like a minor issue, it would mean one less source of stress in what would be a very stressful situation. – MRP



Letter: Voting – More Important Than Ever

HJL’s Preface: The arguments laid out in this letter are good arguments, and they make sense for the most part. However, SurvivalBlog speaks with one voice and one mind on the issue of voting in the upcoming elections. There are some issues that are so important that compromise is impossible. The political establishment has created an atmosphere where practically all issues are on the table. There is very little difference between the Democrat and Republican parties today (except, perhaps, for the speed at which they push this once great country into moral oblivion.) A prime example of this would be the caving of the GOP to Obama’s demands in passing the recent Omnibus spending bill. Many have stated that if the political winds don’t change, this country will be headed for God’s judgment, but I would suggest to our readers that it is already under God’s judgment. When God judged a nation in the Bible, He usually did it by giving them a “bad king” and they wreaked havoc on themselves, suffering the consequences of their own actions. As Paul points out:

“For the wrath of God is revealed from heaven against all ungodliness and unrighteousness of men, who hold the truth in unrighteousness; because that which may be known of God is manifest in them; for God hath shewed it unto them. For the invisible things of him from the creation of the world are clearly seen, being understood by the things that are made, even his eternal power and Godhead; so that they are without excuse: because that, when they knew God, they glorified him not as God, neither were thankful; but became vain in their imaginations, and their foolish heart was darkened. Professing themselves to be wise, they became fools, and changed the glory of the uncorruptible God into an image made like to corruptible man, and to birds, and fourfooted beasts, and creeping things. Wherefore God also gave them up to uncleanness through the lusts of their own hearts, to dishonour their own bodies between themselves: who changed the truth of God into a lie, and worshipped and served the creature more than the Creator, who is blessed for ever. Amen.” – Romans 1:18-25

I believe that America has had a string of “bad kings” and what makes it worse is that He allowed us to give ourselves these bad kings. We have placed ourselves willingly under God’s judgment.

That being said, I have determined that I can no longer vote for “the lesser of two evils”. I can not stand before God on judgment day and attempt to justify my actions in casting a vote for any leader who compromises the commandments of God. If the political establishment can not put a candidate in place who is willing to stand for righteousness, then they will not get my vote. If that means I don’t vote for anybody, so be it. The commandments of God supercede the laws and traditions of man, and when the two diverge I choose the commandments of God.

To make it easy for establishment to understand, I am willing to simplify my demands of a candidate to these two:

  1. The candidate absolutely must stand for life. That means first and foremost, the candidate must be pro-life/anti-abortion. The taking of the life of a baby (as early as conception) belongs only in the hands of God. There are other issues involving the stand for life, but that one stands tall.
  2. The candidate absolutely must stand for the Constitution of the United States and the Bill of Rights.

It is incumbent upon us to let the establishment know that we will no longer accept a compromise on those issues. As long as we accept a compromise candidate and cast our votes in their favor, the establishment will never produce a candidate that stands principled in their ethics.

o o o

Hugh,

“Bad officials are elected by good citizens who do not vote” – George Nathan, 1955.

Mainstream news sources are currently providing heavy coverage of Democrat candidates coming out about their gun control intentions. In Virginia, the Governor acted by executive order to ban guns in all state offices. On the campaign trail, Hillary Clinton appears to have said an Australian-style forced gun buyback and elimination of unregistered private ownership nationwide is “worth considering”.

Now that the Democrat candidates have tipped their hands and their intentions are no longer hidden by creeping incrementalism, Second Amendment supporters are declaring the imminent demise of the Left, that the Democrats have finally been given enough rope to hang themselves and the Democrats will surely lose the election in a landslide.

While the foregoing might be true in a nation of well-educated, free, forward-looking people or where keen students of history understood tyranny and the threat of good intentions, you have to ask yourself to be honest: does that seem like the nation today? Or is this nation composed of a shockingly high number of people who are beholden to the government and will do whatever it says, no matter what? Are there more knee-jerk reactionary, emotionalist, mathematically ignorant people who feel that government will keep them safe from ridiculously remote threats if they sacrifice their freedom?

We must not commit the cardinal sin of pride or over-confidence. We cannot simply assume that rational thought, calm discourse, or good policy will prevail. It will require effort from the Second Amendment supporters, from lovers of liberty and good government, and from people who want their children to be able to enjoy freedom to preserve these things we hold dear. That effort involves actually going to the voting booths in a few weeks for states that are holding elections this year, and gathering strength over the next year until the national elections in 2016 and voting again.

Some people aren’t comfortable with this concept for several reasons. Let’s spend a moment to understand what is at stake before talking about why it must be done and how. First, people need to remember that the District of Columbia v. Heller decision from the Supreme Court in 2008 was decided in a 5-4 decision. One justice was all that stood between the statists who wanted to disarm everyone except formally registered state militias, like the National Guard, and the traditional right to keep and bear arms, which can be exercised by any citizen. One vote would have changed everything.

The average age of sitting U.S. Supreme Court Justices is 75. Four are over 80 with Justice Ginsburg the most senior 87 years of age, and she’ll be 88 next March. These are lifetime appointments, after all. The youngest justice is 55, followed by the next youngest two justices who are both 60, and another at 65, but even so there are a few of the “younger” justices who are said to be in poor health. The point here is that odds are extremely high the next President gets to nominate at least one and probably several candidates for the Supreme Court.

In its most simple terms: lose the Presidency in 2016 and Hillary Clinton or another gun-grabbing Democrat will appoint justices who will use their lifetime tenure on the Supreme Court to gut your right to keep and bear arms and possibly many other rights as well. There’s no protection from the Senate confirmation either, because it is a simple majority vote. Currently, there are 54 Republican Senators, but lose just four seats or have just a few defectors and there will be no stopping that candidate or any other that gets nominated. Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, or some other hard-core liberal will have your right destroyed. This is clear and present danger to a Constitutional right that teeters on a single Supreme Court vote.

More than one website has suggested that the People would fight before they would give up their rights. Let’s consider that proposition for a moment. To preserve the right, a person merely needs to get up, travel a short distance to a polling station in a heated vehicle, check in to the warm, well-lit polling station, cast their vote, and return home.

If they won’t get off the sofa to do this simple, easy task, how can anyone think that same person would give up all material comforts, career, savings, and property, face primitive living conditions, starvation, freezing field conditions, and the constant prospect of death from drones, helicopters, aircraft, snipers, artillery, and the full might of the federal government armed forces in order to keep what they already have? That is a proposition that defies logic, so if you are one of the rational people who can carry a coherent thought, you can see it is a non-starter. If they won’t vote, they won’t fight. This is what the gun-grabbers are counting on.

The only way to stop that mindset, the only way to convince the Democrats to recalculate their strategy is by a massive show of force at the voting booth this November and next November. We all need to go to our friends and get their friends too and make sure everyone is registered to vote in a timely fashion, has a ride to the polling station and will get up, go to the polls, and cast their vote. If they’re going to be out of town, get them an absentee ballot. Turn the so-called Blue and Purple states red with votes, before it is too late.

The bare prospect of registering to vote scares a lot of hold-outs who will claim that they don’t want to register to vote or actually vote because it puts them on the grid, in the sights of the establishment, or because it gives legitimacy to a regime that has departed from the Constitution. Here’s the bad news: if you think the State doesn’t know about you from online activity, phones, utilities, school enrollments, or other public activities, the State still knows by property records, tax records, purchases with “saver” cards at stores, by subscriptions, club memberships, drone overflights, and by State informants. They already know or can find you with no meaningful effort whatsoever. They also don’t need the vote of the hold-outs to establish their legitimacy. Masses of people on government aid will gladly give the State all of the support it needs to continue. The only way that will change is if you get up, register, and vote for candidates who want to restrict the warrantless searches and unlimited data retention, and who will campaign for real freedom and restriction of State power.

This is a struggle that affects us all. Every single vote counts. Many of the state and local elections in the last cycle were won or lost by a few hundred votes, some by a few dozen. Your vote, and those of your friends, family, and connections, can tip the balance. So bring them with you and help them make it a reality. After all, if you can’t win a vote, how could you win a war? – K.A.



Economics and Investing:

A Year of Sovereign Defaults? – G.G.

o o o

Items from Mr. Econocobas:

2015 Was the Hardest Year to Make Money in 78 Years

Chicago PMI Plummets to 42.9; Lowest Since 2009

Items from Professor Preponomics:

US News

Is It Time for a Skyscraper Alert? (Mises Institute) Excerpt: “The important thing to remember is that skyscrapers do not cause economic crises. Rather they are just a very noticeable example of the distortions taking place throughout the economy when interest rates are [kept] artificially low by the central bank.”

Puerto Rico to Default on Some Debt (Reuters) Of course the question remains: how long can Puerto Rico shuffle their accounts to continue making payments? The answer is very likely “not long enough”. Unfortunately, even if they were granted eligibility for Chapter 9, this would be unlikely to resolve Puerto Rico’s deep debt entanglements. It’s likely that this story will, as a result, continue to unfold over a long period of time. For now, Puerto Rico is having to decide which debts to pay, which debts will go without payment and from which nooks and crannies to draw the money. Excerpt: “The Caribbean island’s biggest payment, $328.7 million in general obligation debt, will be paid, the governor told reporters at a press conference in San Juan. More than half of that payment was made by taking revenues from other commonwealth agencies…”

A Turning Point for Markets in 2016 (Business Insider) An interesting move on the game table of global economic chess. “2016 should see most economies continue to struggle with recession and anemic growth, while the US dollar strengthens and the US market receives considerable foreign inflows of capital. The rest of the world will wrestle with striking a balance between policy and markets.”

Report: Obama Sets Red Tape Record at 545,875 Pages (Waste Fraud and Abuse) Excessive regulation is more than a nuisance. It places a stranglehold on economic enterprise, and it impairs and imperils freedom. Be aware of what’s coming… Excerpt: “Administration is openly excited about the prospect of building upon the President’s dubious red-tape record. Though I guess we shouldn’t be surprised.”

EMC and the DELL Takeover: Job Cuts Coming (Bloomberg) Another merger and job losses coming. Perhaps more important is the rise of monopoly power among big business machines and the impact this will have on competition, the development of new enterprise, diversity of goods and services, and pricing. Current staff facing the delivery of pink slips will feel the effects shortly. The rest of us will feel the effects for a very long time thereafter.

International News

The MYSTERY of the Stolen Gold: A Fascinating New Detail Emerges (Zero Hedge) Excerpt: “… and not only that, but it was here where we found what may be the most fascinating detail of today’s article, namely Gold Holding’s (aka Dubai’s) hint that Russian gold no longer has to be denominated in US Dollars for transaction purposes. Instead, it can be denominated in Yuan…. as can Venezuela, Brazil, Argentina and Africa gold transactions, in the process bypassing the SWIFT payment system entirely, and all official traces and records that a gold transaction ever took place!”

Personal Economics and Household Finance

7 Off-Grid “Un-American” Ways You Can Save Money (Off the Grid News) Although most of these suggestions have been reviewed before, pursuit of the “Off the Grid Kitchen” is not often seen among lists like these. It’s a great way to save money on the costs of operating a traditional kitchen, to direct your preparedness investments in the purchase and direction of alternatives and to gain important, life sustaining experience in the process.



Odds ‘n Sods:

Reader P.H. wrote in: I just saw this a few minutes ago. It could turn out to be critical, or turn out to be nothing: Three of Cliven Bundy’s sons, militia seize federal building in Oregon. The “federal building” that they took over was the little offices at a National Wildlife Refuge 50 miles out in the countryside, outside of Burns, Oregon. It’s a kinda big deal but not nearly the deal that would have happened if they took over a “federal building” in town.

I hope they brought sandwiches and dressed for the weather ’cause the government is going to shut off the power and go home. What a dumb place for a standoff or whatever it is they wanted to accomplish. I understand some of the provocations, but this is another not-clear-cut situation.

This could be spun up to be an Obama excuse to act against militias, at the very least. Very interesting timing. If they did this (and as far as I can tell they really did), it would be the stupidest thing they could do… It’s so stupid you have to wonder if it’s a false flag.

HJL Adds: I can see the stage being set here. The Federal government should have turned the lands over to the states long ago. The complacency of the states in allowing the Federal government is the root cause of this issue. However, it appears that the Bundys and militias are willing to push this issue hard. The scene is set for another Ruby Ridge or Waco scenario. Will the Feds blink? They did over the Bundy’s ranch, but with every blink, they loose more ground. If they push back, will the country allow another Waco? I’m not sure you can call this a false flag, but it is certainly a volatile situation. Either way it goes will have far-reaching consequences, if the Bundys and the militia don’t blink first. If they do blink, it’s business as usual.

In any case, this may be the ideal situation for pushing the Federal government out of the state-owned lands. A take-over in a large city most certainly would have involved SWAT. Taking over an unoccupied compound like they did makes it much more difficult for the government to act unilaterally and save face.

o o o

From the desk of Michael Williamson, SurvivalBlog Editor At Large: How to Weld Using Car Batteries & Jumper Cables (Video) – I think similar things have been posted before. This would require having a welding rod or some way to fake one (ash slurry and clay hardened around a steel round, possibly), and multiple batteries and a way to charge them. However, for repairs while on convoy or at a retreat if the welder breaks down, the knowledge is useful.

o o o

RBS sent in this link with a “Religion of Piece” update…Islamic Fighters Strap Bomb on 4 Year-Old Boy and Blow Him Up

o o o

Reader B.B. sent in this link – CDC: Dangerous superbug on the rise.

o o o

D.S. sent in a link to a fascinating article asking Why Do Americans Refrigerate Eggs? Those who live on farms usually don’t. At our house, it’s not uncommon to open the egg carton and see a few things stuck to the outside of the egg. It’s no big deal. If it grosses you out, just wash the egg right before you use it, but here is some proof that washing the egg before storage is actually detrimental.



Hugh’s Quote of the Day:

“But their scribes and Pharisees murmured against his disciples, saying, Why do ye eat and drink with publicans and sinners? And Jesus answering said unto them, They that are whole need not a physician; but they that are sick. I came not to call the righteous, but sinners to repentance.” – Luke 5:30-32 (KJV)



Notes for Saturday – January 02, 2016

Update: The 10th Anniversary edition of the SurvivalBlog Archive DVD is now being prepared for release. For the first time, the archive will be a 2-DVD set. The first disc is a full archive of SurvivalBlog since its inception in 2005, with more than 20,000 articles and letters. The second disc is ALL bonus material, including more than 2,000 U.S. military manuals and training publications. The 2005-2015 Archive will also be available as a digital download, at a reduced price. The Archive DVD and digital download version should both be orderable by around January 10th. Thanks for your patience! – JWR

o o o

Today, we present another entry for Round 62 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The nearly $12,000 worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A Tactical Self-Contained 2-Series Solar Power Generator system from Always Empowered. This compact starter power system is packaged in a wheeled O.D. green EMP-shielded Pelican hard case (a $1,700 value),
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate that is good for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,195 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses, excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper with a hammer forged, chromlined barrel and a hard case to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR type rifle to have quick change barrel, which can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools and a compact carry capability in a hard case or 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  5. Gun Mag Warehouse is providing 20 Magpul pmags 30-rd Magazines (a value of $300) and a Gun Mag Warehouse T-Shirt; (an equivalent prize will be awarded for residents in states with magazine restrictions),
  6. Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  7. The Ark Institute is donating a non-GMO, non-hybrid vegetable seed package (enough for two families of four) plus seed storage materials, a CD-ROM of Geri Guidetti’s book “Build Your Ark! How to Prepare for Self Reliance in Uncertain Times”, and two bottles of Potassium Iodate (a $325 retail value),
  8. A $250 gift certificate good for any product from Sunflower Ammo,
  9. KellyKettleUSA.com is donating both an AquaBrick water filtration kit and a Stainless Medium Scout Kelly Kettle Complete Kit with a combined retail value of $304, and
  10. Two cases of meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Second Prize:

  1. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  2. A FloJak EarthStraw Code Red 100-foot well pump system (a $500 value), courtesy of FloJak.com,
  3. A transferable certificate for a two-day Ultimate Bug Out Course from Florida Firearms Training (a $400 value),
  4. A Model 175 Series Solar Generator provided by Quantum Harvest LLC (a $439 value),
  5. A Trekker IV™ Four-Person Emergency Kit from Emergency Essentials (a $250 value),
  6. A $200 gift certificate good towards any books published by PrepperPress.com,
  7. A pre-selected assortment of military surplus gear from CJL Enterprize (a $300 value),
  8. RepackBox is providing a $300 gift certificate to their site, and
  9. Safecastle is providing a package of 10 LifeStraws (a $200 value)

Third Prize:

  1. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  2. A $245 gift certificate from custom knifemaker Jon Kelly Designs, of Eureka, Montana,
  3. A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard, and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206,
  4. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  5. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  6. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances,
  7. APEX Gun Parts is donating a $250 purchase credit,
  8. Montie Gear is donating a Precision Rest (a $249 value), and
  9. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).

Round 62 ends on January 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



A Six-Month Trial of TEOTWAWKI, by J.P. in Occupied Territory

I have been living a real life trial of TEOTWAWKI for the past 6 months and wish to share what I have learned. My wife and I have made a decision this past spring to pack up and move closer to her parents. He is 90, and she is in her 80’s and has developed Alzheimer’s. During one of our visits last winter, her father, who I don’t believe ever asked for anything from anyone, asked if we could come back to help. Both my wife and I are in health care, and she has spoken of caring for her parents for many years. We agreed that if a reasonable position opened in the area, I would attempt to secure that. God, doing what He does best, touched us that evening. While getting ready for bed, my cellphone pinged a message with a job opportunity in the town where they live. So, what do you do with that? You apply, interview, secure, and sell the home. That is exactly what happened.

LESSON 1: Trust in the Lord!

I gave my notice, which was four months, due to my contract agreement. We decided to build our home to be able to accommodate the in-laws as well as future retirement needs. After finding a nice spot in the hills well away from the Golden Horde byways, we started clearing. We also put the current house up for sale believing it would take a few months before it sold. Wrong! Five days later, it was under contract, and 28 days later we closed and were homeless, plus we had to leave behind the most splendid garden we have grown to date. The new owners (a young couple) were very pleased and excited.

LESSON 2: Be humble and gracious for what you have and have to offer.

Luckily, my wife’s brother has a cabin near the new homestead, and we were able to move there temporarily. For the first couple of months, she spent the time at the cabin making it “home” with the dogs, cat, and also the chickens, which we had just decided to start about the day we made the changes. I had to continue with the current position and was lucky to have friends who allowed me to housesit. I would go up on the weekends, which became old quickly, as it was a three hour journey but well worth while seeing my wife. The cabin is a rustic log cabin. At 18×24 feet, it is not large, but it is homey. Her brother and I built it by hand, often with no power tools. It has running water, as long as you run and get it. It does have a solar panel that is charging two deep cells, which we use for 12v lights. A large composting toilet is in place as well. We have been using it as a deer camp for many years, so it is not uncomfortable.

LESSON 3: Be thankful for manual skills you have learned, and if you have not, learn how to use simple tools.

The time is NOW! Being able to use a hammer, nails, saws, brace, and bits, and so forth will be of utmost importance if there is no one to simply call for repairs. Besides, a lot of this is fun to do. As there is no running water for bathing/showering, we obtained a couple of EZ UP canopies with walls. After securing them with sand bag ballast to help stay in place during storms, we purchased a camp shower. This is one of the 5-gallon solar bags. I created a mast for it off one corner of the canopy and placed a hook to hang from. This allowed a nice warm-to-hot shower after working at clearing the land for the house.

LESSON 4: Be sure to put the bag out early, to maximize the sun’s benefits when you live in the north.

A cool shower on a cool day is not necessarily great. Worse is a cool shower after a cold front goes through. BRR. We also started heating water on the wood stove after a while, as the sun’s energy is way too shallow at this time of year. As mentioned, there is a nice old wood/coal cook stove. This has been heating the cabin since the weather turned. It has a small wood box, so it burns relatively quickly and needs to be stoked several times a night. It’s not a big thing during the fall when an extra blanket will work, but come deep winter there will be some tiredness.

LESSON 5: Have your wood ready.

We had been using it on weekends when we would come up, so having multiple cords was not an issue, but now it is going daily, and we are out looking at all the standing dead and recent falls to get somewhat dry wood for the winter.

There is a large, cleared area, which she began to turn into garden area almost immediately. Being cut from the forest, it needs a lot of help. Thankfully, through the use of Craigslist, we found a local farmer who was having trouble getting rid of his manure. Taking advantage of this, we enlisted the use of her father’s and brother’s trucks as well as our own and made multiple trips to the farm. Now the field is like the government: full of crap. We have worked it into the soil at different levels. Having a father-in-law who is a master gardener has its perks! In the spring we will be making many raised beds as well as in-ground beds.

LESSON 6: Don’t be afraid to get dirty.

Dust to dust, trying to stick with the current easy ways only will lead to certain demise. Grab a shovel, rake, and other implements and get that garden worked. Again, there’s nothing like good solid work to make you feel better, exhausted, but better. During the warmer months, the second canopy served as the cook tent. Two propane grills adorned the area as well as a picnic table. This was a multipurpose table in that it was a prep spot, dining spot, as well as cleanup area, if needed. We tried to maintain a separate cleaning station, but thunderstorms would prevent us from using it, being fully exposed to the elements. Overall, this setup worked very well. We found that if we were lazy or distracted and did not take care, critter and bugs would invade gladly.

LESSON 7: Practice good hygiene.

Mosaic law gave the Hebrew people rules, many of which pertained to health and hygiene. Again, God knows what is best for us. Keeping the bugs and critters out is not only healthy but also safer, particularly if you have Yogi and Booboo hanging around your mountain. As mentioned above, we had running water when we ran to get it. Water is life. Not having a way to obtain and store it is simply unacceptable. Thankfully, we have a nearby running spring, which we could drive the truck down with large containers and fill. Now, if the grid dropped, we would have had to make some decisions on how to most effectively obtain the water, including perhaps using the bicycles. This would have changed everything, as the return trip is up 700 feet. This is not a fine thought. As the new home was being constructed, we prayed that we would have at least usable water with some flow from the drilled well. With some local’s wells reaching to 800 feet and producing only two gallons a minute, we accepted this possibility. I will tell you that we are truly blessed! The Good Lord opened the ground at 138 feet with a current ongoing overflow of 35 gpm. I now have a regular system built in as well as the emergency overflow, which we will be using to build a small trout pond in the spring.

LESSON 8: Do not underestimate the power of prayer, ever!

As the seasons changed and the cold weather has settled in with darker days, we found ourselves indoors more often. This posed a new complication, as her brother, who is a single gent had decided that we are not so far off on our concerns about this society and has sold everything in his city life and moved up with us. We had anticipated being in our new home, but complications in building arose (of course) and now three adults and pets are in this cabin. Oh, yes, the boy has returned, blessedly safe, I might add, from the Army service. He is now with us as well. This made things very tight and cozy to the point of discomforts. Differing opinions, the fact that her brother is the “owner” of the cabin, and just too close of quarters with no breaks pushed us all to certain limits.

LESSON 9: Be sure there are clearly outlined definitions, roles, and expectations for a group.

Having a sudden surge of family or friends descend upon you in a TEOTWAWKI situation is going to make for higher stress and anguish. We are close but not having discussed each role prior nearly took us to a bad place. Thankfully, we are all well with no long-term damage. Plan for your medical emergencies. Throughout this journey we have been taking pretty good care of ourselves. However, the undue stress of slow building processes, alterations, close quarters, and the new job, not to mention the main reason we came up, had accumulated in my system to point when one Sunday morning I awoke to an odd sound. As I lay there quietly, I exhaled and heard a bubbly sound, much like listening to Rice Crispies in milk. That, my peers, is what pneumonia sounds like. I knew instantly. I did not have a fever or a cough before this, but I sure did later in the day. Planning ahead, I did have the correct medication to start; however, by Monday, I was worsening and needed another added medication. This I did not have in my preps, and so I simply went to my practice and was a patient rather than a practitioner. I am now better, but I do wonder how this would have turned if not for the current system.

LESSON 10: Check all your preps routinely, and don’t sneer at those “overkill” items.

I sure could have used the Rocephin in my stocks had it been a real disaster. Now it is Christmas. I am sitting here comfortably in my new home with its modern fineries, but also with its hidden securities. Up the hill, we have multiple cordage and both her brother and ourselves have coal ability too. The hand tools are put up and ready for work. The relationships are secure. The water is tasty, cold, and still flowing. I am well as is my lovely and most wonderful wife. I still have a few items to tweak, but it is all here. Am I ready for the event? Who truly is? Most likely I am not, but I have learned a lot of what I was missing before– LESSON 1: Trust in the Lord. May you all be safe, secure, well, prepared, and blessed.



Letter Re: Some Harsh Lessons of Beekeeping

HJL,

I’d like to respond to Gilpin Guy on his response to Some Harsh Lessons of Beekeeping. The new Honeyflow system is amazing when it comes to collecting honey. I don’t see how it addresses any of the problems from the original post. It wasn’t honey collection that caused the hive failure, it was pests, and the Honeyflow won’t help with those. Here in Florida, colony collapse is close to 40% every year. This incredible number is not due to honey extraction.

Also, the letter states that “since you don’t need a bee suit, smoker, or honey extractor. “ I have bees. I can think of a couple of dozen reasons you’d have to open a hive other than to collect honey. Here are a few:

  • Marking a queen
  • Re-queening
  • Inspecting for pests – mites, ants, moths, beetles, mice, viruses, foul brood, wasps
  • Making sure a queen is laying sufficiently (if not, she has to be gotten rid of)
  • Replacing a box (they will have to be replaced eventually)
  • Transferring bees to the new box
  • Cleaning
  • Splitting a hive
  • Reenforcing a weak hive with brood from another
  • Adding the initial bees and queen
  • Inspecting capping before harvest

If bees can’t expand, they will swarm and leave. So you’ll have to somehow connect another expensive box to the piping and flow of the rest of the system to give them room.

Please don’t attempt these things without the proper equipment.

I think it would be a very large mistake to assume that you can buy a Honeyflow system and next to none of the other equipment that goes with it. The manner of taking the honey out of the hive has nothing to do with the maintenance and upkeep that comes with having bees.

Keeping bees is a craft as detailed as raising and caring for any other living creature. Automated cow milking didn’t stop any of the other problems that come with raising cows. Imagine just focusing on making it easier to milk a cow and not a single bit of thought on their environment, upkeep, or general well-being. Go to a long-time cow farmer and tell him that there’s a new milking product out there that means that you don’t have to have any of the other stuff that goes with keeping cows.

Over harvesting is a common mistake of greedy beekeepers. Bees make honey for themselves, not for us. They don’t want to eat sugar water and will not do nearly as well eating it instead of honey. Turning on a valve makes it very easy to take everything in that hive.

How are you going to inspect the combs to make sure the bees are finished capping and removing water before you harvest, without opening that hive up? Just seeing honey from the back doesn’t mean that it is ready to be harvested, not by a long shot.

Bees build out of wax. The Flowhive is plastic. Honey lasts as long as it does because the bees seal it off and the water is removed (the back of those plastic combs is a lever operated opening). Bees don’t use or like plastic; it doesn’t vibrate or regulate temperature like wax. Bees raise their young in those same combs. The comb is part of the living hive, it is even used for communication. I cannot see a single benefit of replacing that with plastic.

Another thought of mine is that you are dealing with flowing honey. Anyone that has ever gotten honey on a surface top or side of a jar know that it sticks quick and will become a cleanup problem if allowed to sit. It makes me wonder what will happen after you allow a few quarts of honey to flow through that hive and those tubes, with moving parts. What about colder climates? Someone is going to have to clean and un-jam that equipment. The bees do not have access to the flowing pipes in the back of the hive. Once honey goes through it, who is going to clean and disinfect it? What about bacteria? Mold? Pathogens? Is it going to keep flowing time and time again without someone running hot water through it?

That won’t be done without opening that hive and disrupting the bees.

My personal opinion is that the flowhive is an untested product for people looking to take shortcuts. Several opinions that I’ve read and heard seem to be of the nature that the Flowhive is going to make taking honey easy and every other problem with keeping bees is going to go away. Even the knowledge of how to handle basic problems is glossed over.

Take care of your animals (or insects), and then benefit from good husbandry. Focus on bees first, honey second, not the other way around. – D.D.



Economics and Investing:

Gold Undervalued Due To Massive Stock Dilution & Debt

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The Herd Is Heading For A Cliff – Sent in by J.Q.

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Items from Professor Preponomics:

US News

Puerto Rico Avoids Loan Default by Dipping Into Cash Reserves (Washington Post) The real headline should be this statement from well within the article itself… ““The use of over $100 million in reserved funds to make debt service payments for several of the Commonwealth’s issuers should underscore that the Commonwealth is running out of options to pay its debt…”

Brutal Economic Warning Sign from America’s Midwest (Business Insider) Excerpt: “This is about more than just the Midwest. The Chicago PMI report also signals what could come from the national ISM manufacturing reports we get next week.”

Labor Force Participation Rate Will Drop to Nixon Era Rates (Washington Examiner) Here come those darned demographics again! Excerpt: “U.S. labor force participation will fall over the next decade, scraping lows not seen since the Nixon administration…”

Oil Ends 2015 in Downbeat Mood (Reuters) An interesting take, except that a rebalancing of market suppliers may not be the objective of the geopolitical players involved. Once again, time will unfold the story. Excerpt: “The immediate outlook for oil prices remains bleak. Goldman Sachs has said prices as low as $20 per barrel might be necessary to push enough production out of business and allow a rebalancing of the market.”

USDA Catfish Program is Embarrassingly Wasteful (Taxpayers for Common Sense) Seriously, folks. Catfish? Excerpt from the Letter: “The Government Accountability Office (GAO) has targeted USDA catfish inspection as part of its effort to get rid of wasteful government programs a total of nine times…” The article continues: “After USDA spent $19.9 million to develop and study the catfish inspection program, it then told GAO it would cost the federal government an additional “$14 million annually” to run the program. This after GAO found FDA currently spends “less than $700,000 annually to inspect catfish.”

International News

High Flying Emerging Markets Had Their Wings Clipped (NPR) Excerpt: “A few years ago, emerging markets seemed like islands of prosperity. In fact, they even had their own acronym: BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China). Among investors, BRICs represented the future of the global economy, places of hope and promise. But by 2015, the BRICs had begun to go broke.”

Personal Economics and Household Finance

Top Ten Worst Scams of 2015 Consumers Should Know About (Clark Howard) Although these scams made the short list of “top ten” for 2015, don’t count them out for the coming year. Thieves tend to recycle these over time, even as we watch for new tricks of the criminal trade coming!



Odds ‘n Sods:

SurvivalBlog reader G.P. sent in this link to Building a Motion Detector Alarm That Reports Time and GPS Location Data. An interesting concept as long as the network stays up.

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Swedish Society Collapsing Amid Horrific Crime Wave From Muslim Refugee Swarm – Now Trying To Stop Onslaught…. – Sent in by B.B.

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Krayton Kerns welcomes his 15th grandchild into this world with a special letter: My Letter to Number 15

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The gun I got for Christmas: Photographer captures everyday Americans showing off their new weapons at the firing range the day after Christmas – including a woman’s custom-made pink anti-tank rifle – And only one picture of a finger-in-the-trigger. That’s encouraging, despite the fact that UK readers are gasping over the concept. I’m not sure that the UK site actually grasps what the concept of a “powerful” gun is though.