Economics & Investing For Preppers

Here are the latest news items and commentary on current economics news, market trends, stocks, investing opportunities, and the precious metals markets. We also cover hedges, derivatives, and obscura. And it bears mention that most of these items are from the “tangibles heavy” contrarian perspective of SurvivalBlog’s Founder and Senior Editor, JWR. Today, we look at investing in “Pre-safety” Winchester M1894 rifles. (See the Tangibles Investing section.)

Precious Metals:

After a slump since February, it is interesting to see spot silver briefly get above $15 per Troy ounce. Following some more consolidation, this may turn out to be a significant turning point.

o  o  o

Money Managers Triple Bullish Positioning In Gold Futures

o  o  o

China Buys Most Gold In Over 3 Years Amid “Determined Diversification” From Dollar

Economy & Finance:

At Zero Hedge: Trader: “We Will All Look Back On The First Week Of June 2019 As Watershed Moment”

o  o  o

Also from Tyler Durden: Nasdaq Soars Above Key Technical Level, Bonds Still Ain’t Buying It

o  o  o

And at Seeking AlphaCapital Markets Have Stopped Believing Tesla’s Promises


Nick Cunningham: OPEC+ Has Only One Choice As Oil Prices Slide

o  o  o

Wolf Richter: Global Semiconductor Sales Plunge 24% from Peak, Deepest % Plunge since Financial Crisis, Deepest $ Plunge Ever. Here’s Why

o  o  o

The Gas Flaring Crisis In The U.S. Oil Patch

o  o  o

Photos: Venezuelan Oil Corruption Triggers Violent, Thousands-Strong Protests in Haiti

o  o o

Must-Watch Metals When It Comes To The Tesla Age


US Federal Government Tax Revenue: Who Really Pays Uncle Sam’s Bills?

o  o  o

2019’s Tax Burden by State. JWR’s Çomment: Take note that all five of the American Redoubt states are in the bottom half of the list!

o  o  o

Five Different Types of Taxes and How to Minimize Them.


More search algorithm manipulation: CCN is Shutting Down after Google’s June 2019 Core Update JWR’s Comment: I haven’t yet checked to see if SurvivalBlog’s search statistics have been similarly slammed.

o  o  o

ETHFinex announces three new tokens to be listed: Upfiring, AirSwap & Foam

o  o  o

Mastercard has approved the first crypto debit card in Europe

Tangibles Investing (“Pre-safety” Winchester M1894):

There is now considerable collector interest in “pre-safety” Winchester Model 1894 lever action rifles. In 1992 the company added a cross-bolt safety to the receivers of Model 1894s. Most collectors felt that this new button ruined the aesthetic lines of a classic rifle.  Hence, the “pre-safety” examples now fetch a premium price.  The other advantage of these guns is that they have the early-style barrel rollmark.  (Showing that they date to before the re-incorporation, before the shut-down of the New Haven factory, and before the shift to manufacturing by Miroku of Japan.) Look for pre-safety ’94s that are in minty condition, and still in their original factory box.

Even more desirable, are pre-1964 Winchesters, which had no stamped parts. And even more desirable than that are pre-1899 Winchesters, which are classified as exempt “antiques” under Federal law.  But at least try to find “pre-safety” Winchester Model 1894s.

o  o  o

I’ve found that one good source of old Winchesters is


SurvivalBlog and its Editors are not paid investment counselors or advisers. Please see our Provisos page for our detailed disclaimers.

News Tips:

Please send your economics and investing news tips to JWR. (Either via e-mail of via our Contact form.) These are often especially relevant, because they come from folks who particularly watch individual markets. And due to their diligence and focus, we benefit from fresh “on target” investing news. We often get the scoop on economic and investing news that is probably ignored (or reported late) by mainstream American news outlets. Thanks!


  1. Tangibles.

    Any opinions on dividend investing for cash-flow, converting to to tangibles or resources.
    not speculation but only solid companies that distribute a check

    1. Seeking Alpha, occasionally linked by JWR for items of interest, has a wealth of folks that have been Dividend Investing for decades. Many of them are older, calm, and most importantly they lay out every purchase, every dividend, total cost basis, everything. They lay out their to the public their entire accounting book on dividend investing…I’ll get you some names as, if I recall correctly, I still have some links…pause…Well that didn’t work, instead, what I would recommend is to create a Seeking Alpha account. There is a very robust Dividend Investing section, then find the “Dividend Growth Investing” guys. The Dividend Growth Investing folks, as you will find are very helpful. Take your time and look at the popular accounts. Some are just trying to sell their ‘proprietary’ system but like I said, a great many are an open book of the wise who made it through the dot com bubble and ’08 intact and have the data to prove it.

      This is a typical screen that I’ve used myself to find high quality companies that consistently pay divies over years or even decades. Most of this info I’ve gleaned from researching the old pro’s on Seeking Alpha. There are companies out there that have been increasing their dividend every year, even during the last 2 crashes, for more than 50 years. Good investing to you. The screen:

      Symbol – Company Name – Sector (don’t over concentrate in a single sector)
      – Understand What The Company Does

      Since 2k > 2% Annualized Return or better – Yield (Current) – 5yr yield – 10yr – 25yr

      Est Long Term Company Growth >7.5% but 1

      Win Streak(number years in a row that company has increased it’s dividend)

      Est forward 5ry Dividend Growth rate – DGR( historical dividend growth rate) 1yr – DGR 3yr – DGR 5yr – DGR 10yr

      tweed and chowder Ratios. (definitions and details can be found with the Dividend Growth Investing folks on Seeking Alpha)

      Forward P/E less than peers – P/S (price to sales ratio) less than peers – Payout Ratio <60% – D/E (debt to equity) <1

      Credit Rating of BBB+ or better – do I like what the company does and think, generally, that it has viable long term future

      All of this begs the question, which you should naturally ask; if these companies have been increasing their divies for 10 or 25 or even 50 years why is the dividend payout rate only 2 or 3 percent? That’s a function of per share price increase over time. If you’re not willing to do the research yourself then there is the ETF ticker NOBL.

      After writing all of this it occurred to me that maybe the info you are looking for is what the the IRS has, info you need on converting Stocks to Gold without immediate tax implications. Happy hunting.

    2. Oh, and, the main reason to go with Dividend Growth Investing instead of simply buying stock in companies that pay big divies is the proven track record of weathering every storm. The Reits and MLPs, which pay very high divies, don’t have the track record of staying in business for decades as say, Coke or Lows do. With higher risk comes the risk of losing your entire principle investment in these smaller companies come the next downturn, and there will be another downturn, there always is.

    3. “Est Long Term Company Growth >7.5% but 1”
      I messed this up. growth rates should be between 7.5 percent and 15% but generally, 8 to 12 percent is good. Higher growth means that over time the growth rate must come back down which will appear as a problem to wall street leading to the potential of unacceptable levels of principle loss. Growth under 7% usually means that a company can’t sustain a path to future dividend rate increases.

      1. thanks for the intel, i have some very small positions in dividend stocks in a roth IRA but i love getting the emails a dividend has hit and then gets a DRIP

  2. Re: Death by Algorithm, and other dastardly deeds:

    My favorite site for AJ’s show, the GCN site, looks scrambled on my screen today, so another site is necessary. In this environment, it is as likely a ‘dastardly deed’, as not, that crashed this page.

    IMHO, the battle for hearts and minds, critical to the info-war is fluid, and it seems that there two things occurred, the one is being accentuated by the other. A.) Trump gets elected, and people go back to sleep, then B.) Google algorithms suppress interest. Yet the ‘hardcore’ continued to fight back hard, losing battles, yet held enough ground to maneuver. As it seems at the moment, the Globalists did go too far, and pissed off the less animated patriots and nationalists globally back into action. However, it might be characterized, the fight is not over, and it will never be over, until it is OVER!. A retrograde is necessary, but it is not a retreat. We must find better ground.

    Black Pigeon Speaks was recently booted off YT. We know that they are desperate, on Sun Tzu’s “death’s ground”, but unless we maintain our momentum, and tap into the massive numbers that are the American People, we could loose. It is that serious. We are not winning.

    To counter the algorithms, and other subversive efforts to squelch free speech, we must participate on forums such a SurvivalBlog, and call others to join the fight for liberty, before it is too late. It will never be too late to fight for our liberties. We need to the regain the advantage of numbers now , and, by the sweat of the brow if necessary. I am currently injured and out of work, so I will contribute for as long as I can, but I must find work soon. Yet even when silent here, and elsewhere, I help others become aware, to stay aware, and to prepare. I do what I can.

Comments are closed.