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10 Comments

  1. About when to buy Gold

    If you are thinking about buying the most important question is why. There are different answers and they do matter! Some want to be “Precious Metal Investors” others want a little “Insurance”.

    I have been collecting, buying, and selling gold and silver for about 50 years now. I am not an expert but I have noticed some things over the years. One is: most often an article advising us to buy gold or silver is written by someone in the business of selling gold and silver. They are not always wrong, but the advice is always the same, BUY NOW. I can’t remember them advising us to wait till the price drops a little lower. I don’t know if this article is one of those – maybe?

    Regardless, as an investor in big amounts there are a lot of things that can be analyzed and almost as many interpretations of the data. In the end the goal is to buy low & sell high! That creates a dilemma for someone that wants insurance. If you have bought a few hundred or a few thousand dollars worth to insure against a stock market crash, rampant inflation, an economic collapse, or an extended grid failure do you really want to sell when the price doubles? Does that skyrocketing price suggest trouble is here or soon will be? By selling are you canceling your insurance policy just when you are going to need it most? I believe there is some amount of gold or silver that everyone should have and never intend to sell at any price – unless it is a matter of life and death. If you never need it someone you love can inherit it from you. Mean wile you will have had years with a feeling of more security. For that type of buyer the price ups & downs don’t matter so much. The time to buy it is when you can afford it.

    For big investors you should be getting your financial advice somewhere else! That said consider this: the purchasing power of the dollar is increasing as the price of gold is decreasing. At some point, maybe very soon, the price of gold will be at a low and the purchasing power of the dollar will be just about to go down. I believe that would be a great time to buy; figure out when that is, do it, and you will be considered a genius! I am waiting a little while yet for my genius moment – don’t know how long at this point.

  2. One of the first pieces of advice I ever took from JWR is to get into physical gold and silver, in the smallest denominations, and I also took his advice on “junk” physical silver. While I’m not finished “collecting” yet, I’ve been blessed to put together a respectable collection. The idea that I have something that amounts to real currency is rather comforting, especially since I don’t have any respect for paper dollars, backed by nothing. Since it is all in my hands, I can transfer on death, or life, when I want to, without govt. interference or tax, to my heirs, or whoever. I liked JWR’s view that junk silver in US denominations is more recognizable and easily moved in and out of US markets, and will probably be used in down times. Currently, my silver and gold is worth less than what I paid for it, but I’m not worried in the least as to its value. Knowing the national debt and other huge negatives, the real value of gold and silver is depressed by those who use debt as an asset.

  3. A gold trade 2 days ago. I sold
    X-amount of Maples for a project I am working on.

    I went to my local coin shop that operates in 2 cities, one of which is Portland, Ore.

    The number of coins was less than ten and he did not have either cash or could write a check for the balance.
    This was not a problem for me at the time, but markets are all up. The economy just passed the longest bull run ever. People are spending money on extras not just survival.

    Anyway, where will one sell in an emergency? Will you get market value. My point is gold like anything else needs a 3rd party to achieve a good trade.
    My friend while in Idaho asked two separate businesses if they would trade is 10 ounce silver bar for a tank of gas. The answer was no. They had no idea what is was worth. At that time is was over $200 US dollar [for a 10 Troy ounce bar].

    Gold is not the hedge people think it is and are being giving a false sense of security.

    1. It depends. I remember when silver was $50 an ounce(1978 I think). Every coin shop was buying. Long lines outside and they bought all the silver they could get their hands on. So the answer is it depends on what the crisis is and what the buyers think the future is.

  4. Skip, I think under those circumstances I would have kept my gasoline even if I knew the spot price of silver. With no scales or acid for a test the silver could be counterfeit. Not only that if your friend was a stranger willing to trade $200 of silver for a tank of gas in normal times I would think the silver was stolen, so no – NO SALE. However in times when the currency was getting so devalued that few people want to take it (hyper inflation, currency collapse, real political or social turmoil) and we were approaching a barter economy it would be different. Then I would have my test kit and I would be much more likely make the trade, even though I might rather trade for a big bag of rice!.

  5. My comments about my friend is this test was done in Idaho where he has had rental business for years.
    It’s in the heart of Redoubt and on two separate occasions the locals did not even have a clue it’s was silver bar.

    Lastly, the point of buying rice or food in general will be priority number one, the gold will be sitting in ones safe.

  6. Disagree. When interest rates rise it increases the opportunity cost to own gold. For example, right now leaving money in the bank or CD gets little to know interest, so owning gold has little opportunity cost (the forgone interest). But when interest rates are higher, you are giving up more interest by holding gold.

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