"The gap between future US receipts and future US government obligations now totals $65.9 trillion, a sum that is impossible for the US to reconcile, which means the US is now technically bankrupt." – St. Louis Federal Reserve Review, July/August issue 2006
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Note from JWR:
A reminder that the special “six pack sale” for autographed copies of the latest 33 chapter edition of my novel “Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse” is ending soon. The sale price of a box of six books is now just $90, postage paid. (Normally they are $22 per copy, but during this sale you get six autographed copies for $90, mailed in a Priority Mail Flat Rate box, sent to anywhere in the United States, including APO/FPO addresses.) This sale ends on October 31st. This is your chance to buy some extra copies for Christmas presents.
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Two Letters Re: Freeway Gridlock and G.O.O.D. Route Planning
Sir:
In response to the article you posted titled: “Nightmare on Schuylkill: A first-hand account.” I can tell you first hand exactly how awful that highway is. I’ve lived in the Philadelphia region my entire life, and from the earliest memories of driving on that highway as a passenger with my mom, I can remember her calling it the “Sure Kill”, but I was too young to understand why. Now I know and understand all too well.
Planning a Get Out of Dodge (G.O.O.D.) route in this area is extremely difficult, let me tell you. My current job has me on the road at all hours of the day and night, for a total of about 3,000+ miles per month, so I’ve gotten to understand the roads in my area very well. If you live in or around Philadelphia, and plan on “bugging out” when the time is right, you best plan accordingly, and way in advance.
First off, if you live in New Jersey, you need to get out while you can! Having examined all “escape” routes to any rural area is near impossible without having to cross the Delaware River at one point or another. You could go deeper into New Jersey and try roughing it in the Pine Barrens (a favorite camping spot of mine), but in a long term SHTF scenario, you’re as good gone trying to hide in that state park.
If you live inside the city limits of Philadelphia, I suggest moving south of the city. The only routes out of the city are backed up enough during the day, let alone rush hour, and let’s not even think about a panicked evacuation.
My suggestion is living off the beaten path, but still close enough to Philly to have a reasonable commute. To anyone interested living in the Philadelphia region, Oxford would be a wonderful location. Your average drive time into the city is about an hour, and you have direct access to Route 1.
The best thing about Oxford [Pennsylvania] however, is that you’re in Amish country. If TEOTWAWKI truly kicks into high gear, bartering and trading with your neighbors shouldn’t be any problem whatsoever. Most of them currently use the barter system. During the winter months, my brother in law plows their driveways, and they let us hunt on their land. That’s just one small example.
I hope this letter is helpful to any readers interested in the Philadelphia region. If I had my way, I’d live in Wyoming, but while I’m here, I welcome all to join me. This city really is a wonderful place. Just avoid the highways. 😉 Regards! – BDB
Greetings.
The Get Out of Dodge (G.O.O.D.) planned routes discussion reminded me of two examples that you had in [the novel] “Patriots”. Look at each secondary road now for possible “problem areas” before you need the escape. Are their any bridges that could be out (earthquake), any choke points ( kill zone) that you could be attacked from? when I drive to my relocation spot to work,plan,enjoy, I look at the roads to learn now all I can about possible future problems to be avoided. Thanks, – RE in Oklahoma
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Letter Re: Phone Line Power for Emergencies
Mr. Rawles,
I found this web page interesting: Free Hidden Electricity.
Essentially this site has provided some basic information on how to tap the small amount of electricity available in our land lines to use for charging batteries or powering a lamp should the power go out (and not the phones) in a small emergency scenario.
Within the discussions that follow the post are some legal and contractual concerns and a link to a retail lamp product you can currently purchase for this application. – Tanker
JWR Replies: There are some ethical issues raised by this Instructable video, since telephone service contracts are not contracts to purchase power–however miniscule the amount. But beyond that, there are also legal issues. If someone were to leech too much of the current from their phone circuit’s “on hook”, “off hook” or, “ringing voltage”, it eventually would be noticed by your phone company. Read your phone company service agreement carefully before improvising or purchasing any such emergency device!
One follow-up post from “Myself” summed it up nicely:
“This might be useful, if it was actually running that big lamp shown in the photos. Phone lines are fed with “talk battery” of 48 volts, and are current limited somewhere between 20 and 80 milliamps. A large portion of that limit comes from the resistance of the local loop, so as your current draw goes up, your available voltage goes down. You’ll be able to suck about a quarter watt from most phone lines, if you’re lucky.
Of course, going below 600 ohms of loop resistance (your circuit looks like a dead short to the phone company) will cause the switch to think you’re “off-hook”, which is to say, you’ve picked up the phone and are ready to make a call. It’ll send dial tone, and when you don’t dial anything within a few moments, it’ll send off-hook warning tone, and after a few minutes of that, it’ll disconnect your line entirely and generate a trouble message. This means you lose talk battery and phone service.
Once that happens, the switch will periodically reconnect your line to see if the trouble has been repaired. If you leave your “circuit” (and I hesitate to call it that, did you even read the LM317 datasheet? If so, improve your Instructable by explaining its function!) connected for too long, you’ll either get a knock at the door, or simply find yourself without phone service for a long time.
Since this gadget violates about half of part 68 of the FCC rules, you’re not allowed to connect it to your phone line. They won’t throw you in jail for it, but I’m pretty sure they could confiscate your toys and laugh at you. I’d be truly surprised if anyone levied fines against a clueless kid with a soldering iron, but stranger things have happened. (I am not a lawyer.)
Incidentally, this concept is so old, and so laughable, that telco-powered products are a staple joke in the industry. Congratulations on joining the prestigious ranks of Dr. Drizzlenik and others who’ve discovered this revolutionary “hidden” source of power!
P.S. A five-dollar solar panel will produce more power, more cleanly, and is portable.”
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Letter Re: New Legislation Signed in California by the Governator
Jim:
After the [Ammunition] Micro Stamping bill signed by Arnold [Schwarzenegger] and the lead ammo ban also signed last weekend, a lot of firearms owners in California were somewhat angered by our “Terminator” Governor.
But this bill (AB 1645) [commonly] called “The Katrina Bill” that would if I read it correctly keep law enforcement officers from taking the firearms and ammo of citizens that posses them legally, in the event of a disaster like Katrina. This might be of interest to those in California that are preparing for WTSHTF or TEOTWAWKI. Take Care. – MGB
JWR Replies: That issue was already settled by Federal legislation (HR 5441), so it is essentially redundant. And one piece of good legislation does not make up for four bad ones: In addition to the cartridge case micro-stamping law and the lead hunting ammunition ban (enacted ostensibly to protect California Condors) The Governator also recently signed two landmark pieces of pro-homosexual legislation. As reported by WorldNetDaily, one of these new laws will allow cross-dressing or gender-confused school children to use whichever restroom or gym locker room they prefer on any given day. (The “Boys Room” and “Girls Room ” signs no longer have any meaning at California schools!) Shame on Arnie for cozying up to the liberal Democrats on so many issues. I suspect that a little too much of his wife (who was the offspring of the Hyannis Port, Massachusetts Kennedy Clan) has rubbed off.
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Odds ‘n Sods:
Thanks to RBS, who sent this from The Times of London‘s web edition: There’s a chance Northern Rock is worth zero
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Those of you that have enjoyed reading the entertaining Hillbilly Housewife blog should be advised that they are no longer sharing web space. They bought their own domain name: HillBillyHousewife.com/. (Please update your links and bookmarks.)
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The demographic handwriting is on the wall: First Baby Boomer Files For Social Security Benefits. JWR’s comment: My favorite snippet from the SSA press conference: “There is no reason to have any immediate panic…” As our friend Stephen in Iraq said in a recent e-mail about this milestone, “Whenever a government official declares that there is no need for panic, that means, it’s time to panic! This is another sign that we need to be putting away not just for our future, but also for our children’s as well.” The Memsahib’s comment: If your intended retreat region is also a likely settling place for Baby Boomer retirees, then buy your property soon, before all those retirees arrive and drive up the land prices.
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A hat tip to SJC, who sent this: U.S. Fed chief warns Wall Street. Meanwhile, we also read: Bernanke Says Housing Slump Will Probably Be a ‘Significant Drag’ on Economic Growth
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Jim’s Quote of the Day:
“The gun control debate generally ignores the historical and philosophical underpinnings of the Second amendment. The Second amendment is not about hunting deer or keeping a pistol in your nightstand. It is not about protecting oneself against common criminals. It is about preventing tyranny . The Founders knew that unarmed citizens would never be able to overthrow a tyrannical government as they did. They envisioned government as a servant, not a master, of the American people. The muskets they used against the British Army were the assault rifles of that time. It is practical, rather than alarmist, to understand that unarmed citizens cannot be secure in their freedoms.” – Dr. Ron Paul
Note from JWR:
Congrats to E.M., the high bidder in the SurvivalBlog benefit auction, for a pre-1899 antique Mosin Nagant rifle.
Today we are starting a new SurvivalBlog benefit auction, for four items: a Baygen Freeplay Summit AM/FM/Shortwave digitally-tuned radio, and a Baygen Sherpa hand crank flashlight. These were kindly donated by Ready Made Resources, one of our most loyal advertisers. Also included in the auction lot is a copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and an autographed copy of my novel “Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse”. These four items have a combined value of more than $350. The auction ends on November 15th. The opening bid is just $50. Just e-mail us your bid.
Letter Re: Dual and Triple Purpose Livestock
Memsahib:
I just want to add a few comment toy our post “Dual and Triple Purpose Livestock, by The Memsahib”: My wife and I have raised many breeds of multi-purpose farm animals and have been members of the aforementioned American Livestock Breeds Conservancy (ALBC) for years. A few comments for the prospective new animal owner.
Point #1 – about modern stupid animals versus older potentially smarter ones. Yes, many modern breeds have lost the ability to do many important things – like giving birth and nursing, egg sitting and brooding, foraging, defending itself of hiding from a fox, et cetera. But, don’t assume by buying an older breed you will automatically do better. Unfortunately, many of the older and historic breeds can have the same problems. If you want animals, and have a pretty good idea of what attributes you’d like in them – find a small-scale breeder that selects for those traits. Big hatcheries do not. Chickens present a prime example. Some older breeds, e.g. Speckled Suffolks, Dominiques, African Game Hens, etc. are known to be great all-purpose birds – or at least great sitters and brooders – with good survival instincts.
We have bought many from commercial hatcheries – like Murray McMurray – and had a very small percentage that were worth keeping – many were dumber than a rock. The ALBC keeps lists of small-scale breeders – which gives you the opportunity to call and find out what attributes they select for. This way, you have a much better chance of getting an animal that comes from a smart line – and not a dumb line that’s been on animal-welfare for generations.
Point #2 – Learn about disease. This can really ruin things. Many commercially raised farm animals live short lives. Very short if raised for veal or chicken meat, a little longer if for beef, chevon, egg laying, etc. And, maybe the longest if producing milk – but even then commercial operations often kill milkers once production begins to slow down. My overall point here is – many animals have chronic diseases that go undetected since these maladies often don’t show symptoms until an animal is 5 years old – or more. Since many never get that old – it’s not considered a big problem. But – if you buy one – it can be for you – in several ways. Many of these diseases quickly become entrenched in the soil and can survive for 10 years. If you get one bad animal – on your new farm – and the pathogen spreads to the ground – you’re stuck with it virtually forever unless you get rid of all animals and wait – many years. This also happens with certain vegetable crops – and is one good reason for crop rotation. I had to give up growing sweet corn in some of fields for three years – to get rid of ear worms.
If you are just starting out with animals you’ve got the advantage of virgin disease-free soil. The last thing you should do – is buy an auction animal. If you find a small-scale breeder with a closed-herd and proven history – you are way ahead. This goes back to the American Livestock Breeds Conservancy. Using their published list of small breeders – you’ve got a good chance of getting good animals. Many have closed flocks and/or herds – meaning that they never take in outside animals unless the medical histories are known for years previous. Let me also say that I am not trying to be a spokesman for the ALBC. They do a good job – but they are not the only source for good information on this subject. – John from Central New York State
Letter Re: “Get Your Ark” Food Storage Pails
Hi Jim.
A quick note regarding the question/comment from J.S.C. on serving size in the bucket of food.
It is perhaps not commonly known, but it is an important fact to be aware of … that is, all foods sold in the US with nutrition labels have serving sizes based on definitions provided by the FDA. Each type of food is defined at the FDA web site.
In simple terms, the FDA determines how much food is customarily consumed at one eating occasion. Typically, several different foods are eaten together during a meal (or eating occasion), so a single serving of food is almost never going to be close to being a meal’s worth of nutrition. I always tell my customers to figure at least two servings of Mountain House freeze dried food (as just one example) per adult per meal plus some additional supplementary food that is hopefully available. To expect three defined servings of canned or packaged food in your larder to satisfy anyone for a day is going to turn out to be very disappointing at the time you are most counting on it. Vic, SafeCastleRoyal
Odds ‘n Sods:
Mish Shedlock has recently posted some interesting items on his blog about Super SIVs and troubled Countrywide Financial’s ) CEO Angelo Mozilo bailing out of his own shares in the company.
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SHTF Daily (one of our daily “must read” blogs) recently posted links to seven sobering economics articles: Mass auction reveals depth of foreclosure crisis, Even the renters now feel the mortgage crisis, Subprime crisis won’t peak until 2009, The dollar era is over: a long, slow collapse and a central bank firesale, Meltdown still has plenty of steam ahead, Global finance leaders gather as economic clouds darken, and Sniffles That Precede a Recession.
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After very nearly touching $14 per ounce yesterday, the spot price of silver got hammered down 25 cents to $13.74. It is still a strong “buy” in my book.
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
“Endless money forms the sinews of war.” – Marcus Tullius Cicero (106-43 B.C.)
Note from JWR:
Today is the last day to place a bid in the SurvivalBlog benefit auction, for a scarce pre-1899 antique Finnish M39 Mosin Nagant rifle with bayonet from my personal collection. This rifle was rebarreled by Valmet during WWII, and is in excellent condition. It comes with a replica bayonet, original sling, and original muzzle cap. Since the receiver for this rifle was made in 1898, it can be mailed directly to the winning bidder’s doorstep, with no FFL paperwork! When last we checked, the high bid was at $520. The auction ends at midnight tonight, Eastern time. (9 p.m., Pacific time.) Just e-mail us your bid.
Dual and Triple Purpose Livestock, by The Memsahib
In this day and age of specialization, modern livestock have been selectively bred to be super efficient for one purpose. For example Merino sheep are bred to produce wool in abundance or Suffolk sheep that are bred to come to market weight quickly (for meat). Many breeds of chickens no longer will set on their eggs. They have been selectively bred to produce eggs and nothing more! (They have lost their instinctive “broodiness.”) Most of our modern farm livestock fall into this specialization category. And in the process they have lost some of their other valuable traits such as mothering ability, ability to forage, disease and parasite resistance. Thus, these modern breeds are not suitable for survival purposes. In TEOTWAWKI we need breeds that can survive without the vet, pharmacy, and feed store! From The Oklahoma State University Animal Breeds web page comes this quote:
“While the Holstein clearly has an advantage over other breeds in the production of whole milk, this advantage is based on feeding high levels of cereal grains and pricing that favors low milk-solids content. A drastic change in either of these factors could result in a decrease in the advantage of the Holstein. Another example might be an increased need for natural resistance to diseases or parasites should a current antibiotic or other treatment become unavailable or ineffective. An example of this type might be the natural resistance of some breeds of sheep to internal parasites. Should anthelmintics become restricted or uneconomical then a breed such as the critically endangered Gulf Coast Native, with the parasite resistance it has developed through natural selection, could be of critical importance in the sheep industry.”
The survivalist would be better off with “heirloom” livestock breeds that are considered to be dual purpose. Most of the dual purpose breeds are raised on small family farms. They are often rare breeds. Dual purpose sheep are know for producing a lamb with a high quality carcass as well as a high quality fleece. (Though usually the fleece has specialty qualities that make it much more valuable to handspinner niche market rather than commercial producers.) Dual produce cattle are those that are good milkers, excellent mothers, and their calves have rapid growth. Do a Scroogle search on “dual purpose sheep” or “dual purpose cattle” to see the wide variety of animals available. An excellent web site to learn about endangered dual purpose breeds is The American Livestock Conservancy.
The survivalist would be best served to select heritage breeds that match the climate and terrain of their retreat. The Rawles Ranch is well-watered and most of the pastures can be downright swampy. The American mustang, although an extremely hardy and disease resistant breed of horse is not suitable for our soggy soil. The Mustang developed in the southwest and is much more suitable for survivalists in drier areas. A better breed for us is the horse breed developed in the wet Welsh mountains such as the Welsh Cob. Likewise our sheep breed needs to be suited to wetter pastures. The Navajo Churro won’t do, but the Welsh Mountain Sheep do fine here.
Survivalists might also consider triple purpose breeds. These are breeds that produce meat, milk, and fiber. They may also be used for transportation. Nomadic tribes have built their culture around some of these animals. Some of the more unusual are the reindeer, the camel, and the yak. The reindeer, though it does not produce fiber, are used for milk, meat, transportation, and hides. The camel not only provides transportation, milk, meat, hides, but it also grows a wooly coat each winter which it sheds. The fiber can readily be felted. Or the itchy “guard hairs” can be removed to produce a luxury yarn. Of the aforementioned animals, the Tibetan Yak is the easiest to acquire and the easiest to handle and fence. They can be raised identically to cattle with the added benefit of producing milk extremely high in butterfat, calves with low fat carcasses, and incredibly soft underdown that sheds every spring.
A triple purpose breed of horse is the “Bashkir”, or Bashkirshy of the Volga and the Urals. They have been known to produce 3 to 6 gallons of milk a day. Some of the Bashkir may have a curly coat which may grow from 4-6″. It is shed each Spring and can be spun, woven or felted. (American Bashkir Curly Breed though it took the name “Bashkir” seems to be an unrelated breed. American Bashkir Curly Breed does have a curly coat but not the milk production.)
Icelandic sheep are the quintessential triple purpose breed. They are valued in Iceland for their milk production, their fiber, and their ability to raise twins lambs to market weight in 4 to 5 months on grass alone.
Because of prolonged drought in some parts of the U.S. causing high hay costs, livestock prices are at an all time low in certain parts of the U.S. If you can afford the hay, now might be the time to purchase livestock. Heirloom varieties are normally extremely expensive and the top breeders will still be holding out for top dollar and butchering rather than lower their prices. But, many small hobby farmers love their heirloom livestock like pets. They tend to keep way too many lambs/calves each year because they are all so cute. Now it is time to buy hay again…and yikes the hay prices are awful! These hobby farmers would rather sell their animals way under value to you than send them to market.
If you are not prepared to purchased animals now, keep in mind for next year that Fall is always a good time for buyers to get lower prices. By the way, I’m not recommending heirloom livestock raising as a way to make extra income! I do it because I enjoy working with animals, and I enjoy the thrill that the baby animals give my nieces and nephews when they come visit us. And, needless to say, I like being self sufficient–having “backup protein” on the hoof.
Survivalists who love animals, like me, and marvel at mankind’s ability to selectively breed so many varieties will enjoy visiting The Oklahoma State University Animal Breeds web page.
Letter Re: Advice on Body Armor and Helmets
Dear Jim:
You are spot on with your recent recommendation to think about concealable body armor first. As we say: “the best vest for you is the one you’re actually wearing when shot!” And being easy to wear and concealable makes a vest much more practical and used more often. It is analogous to self defense with pistols vs. rifles. Rifles are indeed superior protection – but pistols save more lives because they are actually carried and available most often.
I must add a caution to your advice about relying on two Level II vests to perhaps stop a rifle bullet. In some cases, where the rifle bullet is slowed down by cover, yes. We have had a concealable Level II vest come back from Iraq, after saving a service member who was hit with AK-47 fire–but first the bullet had been slowed and deformed by the back of an unarmored vehicle.
Generally soft body armor will never stop direct [rifle] fire. Rifle bullets are travelling at 2 to 3 times the velocity of pistol bullets, and have a more pointed-penetrating tip, and thus will likely penetrate even two Level II or III-A soft body armor vests. Two times Level II does not equal Level IV! 😉 Better to save the money from the second vest and spend it on Rifle Plates and a modular Carrier, or Rifle Plate Pockets as a second outer shell carrier for your vest.
Your advice on helmets is wise – I’d rather have the older, heavier PASGT Kevlar Helmet with the MICH blunt trauma pad system, than a newer helmet with no pad system.
Finally, thank you for your kind words about our dedication to sizing and fitting. We work very hard at this as there is a delicate balance between the amount of protection and coverage vs. comfort and concealment. It is really worth spending the time to get detailed measurements, and to discuss trade-offs between protection levels, models and sizes.
Yours truly, – Nick, BulletProofME.com Body Armor