"When it comes time to die, be not like those whose hearts are filled with the fear of death, so when their time comes they weep and pray for a little more time to live their lives over again in a different way. Sing your death song, and die like a hero going home." – Chief Aupumut, Mohican. 1725
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Note from JWR:
The high bid in the current SurvivalBlog Benefit Auction lot is now at $60. The auction is for three items: a 120 VAC/12 VDC BedFan Personal Cooling System (a $99 retail value), kindly donated by the manufacturer, a Thieves Oil Start Living Kit (a $161 retail value) donated by Ready Made Resources, and a copy of the latest edition of “The Encyclopedia of Country Living” by the late Carla Emery (a $32 retail value). The auction ends on March 15th. Please e-mail us your bids, in $10 increments.
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Letter Re: Tradeoffs of Various Retreat Designs
Hi Jim
What are your thoughts on the advantages of basements for cool storage, elevated construction for flood protection, sod roof/earth contact for insulation versus steel roofs for water collection?
Perhaps some of the SurvivalBlog readers may wish to submit hypothetical retreat layouts with advantages and disadvantages and why they would choose a particular layout design. Regards,- JG
JWR Replies: A sod roof or earth-berming creates some contradictions in retreat design goals, most notably that they typically block the defender’s view of one entire flank. This can be partially mitigated by properly placing supplementary defensive positions. Sod roofs are also contradictory with the goal of rainwater catchment. My general advice is: Unless you also expect your roof to provide gamma (fallout) shielding, then use metal roofs in dry climates.
There are several distinct approaches to retreat architecture. These should all be modified depending on your local climate and the particular threats that you anticipate.
In an area with a high water table, earth-sheltered houses can only be considered if you start out by building above the existing grade, and build up embankments from there. Details on underground house architecture and design are fairly well described at the Davis Caves web site.
In a dry climates with deep wells, water catchment is a paramount concern. In those areas, I generally recommend one story house designs (to maximize roof surface area), and metal roofs for the house and all outbuildings, with rainwater catchment systems for all of them. Even small sheds should be equipped with gutters and rain barrels.
Anyone living in a high population density area or that is along a potential refugee line of drift should make the need to repel looters one of their primary design considerations. This means large cleared areas in all directions (“clear fields of fire”), ballistic hardening (most easily accomplished by sand or gravel-filled bags–see my comments later in this post), infrared floodlights (for use in conjunction with Starlight scopes and NVGs), and plenty of defensive concertina wire or razor wire. In essence, you want to make your house a “tough nut to crack”, so that looters will quickly decide go find easier pickings.
A completely different approach is to make your house blend in with the terrain and go un-noticed. Outside of heavily-wooded areas, this is very difficult to achieve. Furthermore, the goal of self-sufficiency brings along with it the need for barns, greenhouses, wood sheds, photovoltaic panels, and various outbuildings such as hen houses. It is not realistic to expect that you can make all that magically disappear. But at least if you live on acreage in wooded country, you can make the entrance to your property look nondescript. If you have one of those fancy driveway entranceways, then recognize the fact that they scream: “Here is the home of someone wealthy.” My advice is to tear it down. If anything, you want your entrance road to look as much like a disused logging road as possible. Plant additional screening trees. Plant native shrubbery to make the entrance narrow and uninviting. If you have a perimeter fence, you might want to make your entrance gate look as much as possible like nothing more than a continuation of the perimeter fencing.
Regardless of where you live, it is important to black out all visible light. Odds are that in a grid-down collapse, you will be one of the few people in your area that still have electricity. Any visible lights at night will thus attract looters. So bes sure to lay in the supplies that you’ll need to completely black out your windows and make a light-proof “airlock” for any frequently-used exterior doors. (A wooden framework that is a bit bigger than a phone booth, covered with blankets, works fine.)
As recently mentioned in the blog, extra thick masonry construction is the best choice for ballistic protection. Another great option is an Earthship tire house. But even well-reinforced masonry and Earthships are problematic in earthquake country. There, wood frame construction is ideal, given its inherent flexibility. But what if you live in earthquake country and you want ballistic protection? What a quandary. Unless you are a multimillionaire that can afford hundreds of yards of Kevlar, then the only viable solution is to be ready to build small sandbag-reinforced fighting positions inside of your house, set back several feet from the exteriors windows. This will not earn you any Martha Stewart style bonus points from your spouse, so don’t consider doing this before the balloon goes up. Just keep all of the requisite materials handy. That big pile of 3/4″-minus gravel can be explained as “some extra rock for maintaining our driveway.” OBTW, unless your house is built on a slab, you will probably have to heavily reinforce the floors beneath your planned sandbagged positions, to allow them take the extra weight. If you aren’t a do-it-yourselfer, then have a story ready for any workmen that come to do the job. For example, you might tell them that you have a bad back and are planning to buy a king size waterbed.
Regardless of your design approach, give it some serious thought and prayer. Life is full of trade-offs. If you can’t afford to build a retreat that is way out in lightly-populated country, then recognize the fact that there will be lots of hungry, dispossessed people wandering by (or through) your property in the event of a “worst case.” Plan accordingly. Defensive architecture by itself will not be enough. Defending a retreat will take 24/7/365 manpower, and that of course necessitates teaming up with other families.
The possibility of a worst case situation complete with “mutant zombie bikers” is of course very small. Rather, the odds are that in the next Great Depression the lights will stay on, crime will be relatively under control, and most of your attention will be focused on your garden and orchard output rather than perimeter security. But if and when things ever do get truly Schumeresque, then the best words of guidance that I can give in a nutshell are: to think: “medieval castle.”
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Letter Re: Guinea Fowl for Bug Control in Your Garden
Hi Jim,
In an e-mail, you had asked me “can guinea fowl can be kept in the garden or do they exhibit the same characteristics as chickens?” Our guineas free range into our open gardens all summer. They will eat small shoots, such as garlic and chives, and they do eat bean plants so we do need to protect them while young. They don’t seem to bother either tomatoes or squash/pumpkin plants. Once the garden plants reach mature height, they tend to leave them alone. I think they go after the small plants early in the season because there is a lack of insect food around. They do love garlic and chive plants and I have chives planted all over the place just for their enjoyment.
Overall, I think you would be okay with guineas once the plants matured. They will randomly check out your plants, rip off a leave or two, but I never get any significant damage. We have lots of Japanese beetles here and they do a great job taking care of them. Our area also has a large deer tick problem but I rarely see them on ourselves or the dog around our property. Guineas also love to kill snakes. They don’t eat them but go after them with a vengeance! I often have to rescue small garter and brown snakes from the angry mob. I think they would very much enjoy the grasshoppers you have.
They do make quite a bit of noise when spooked and anyone within a half of mile from you will know you have them. They are also great watch dogs and will let you know if anything is different on the property. I had a couple of C-130s do a terrain profile fly over the other day and my birds went nuts for a half hour. They are fun to watch as they have a definite routine they go through every day. Mine raid our wild bird feeders in the morning, head over to visit the neighbor’s (who feed them and enjoy having them visit) by noon and then take their afternoon dust baths by three pm.
My dog is a Yellow Lab/Australian Shepherd cross and it is her job at night to round them up and put them in their pen. They tolerate her herding instincts and obey her pretty well. The guineas are her responsibility and she takes it very seriously. She won’t let any visiting dogs anywhere near them.
If you plan on raising them from keets, make sure they don’t get damp. Being African birds, they don’t take well to it. Chickens will raise guinea fowl chicks as their own without a problem. When they grow up, the hens tend to be the wanderers and the cocks are very protective if one wanders off too far. They will separate into small groups during mating season and the hens tend to lay a large clutch in the brush. I had one hen disappear this last September. She walked back in from the woods with 19 fluffy keets following her, a month later. Guineas tend to not be good parents but this hen has raised a brood for me nearly every year.
Pretty much everything in the “Gardening with Guinea Fowl” book is spot on. They are very interesting birds. I have never ate them but they are supposed to be very good meat birds. I’ve seen Guinea Fowl on restaurant menus at some high end places. The eggs are also edible but they have very thick shells. I can throw one across the yard and it bounces like a golf ball.
Let me know if you have any other questions. – Rob
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Letter Re: Thoughts on Overseas Retreat Destinations
James
Since I happen to be one of the people who made the decision to relocate overseas I hope have a useful take on the topic.
Other than people who have a direct familial connection with the place they are planning to relocate to I generally am against overseas relocation. The only exception that I would consider is New Zealand but that is only if you have a skill that they are in need of right now and you fit their criteria.
Leaving your familiar surroundings, culture, and language is very difficult even if you have the money to smooth the path. Without family that feels responsibility for you you can become really cut off especially outside the Anglosphere. Expect that to be much worse in tough times if you are the foreigner taking away relief resources.
Israel is a very special exception which is only open to Jews. I highly recommend that Jewish readers at least consider this move since history seems to indicate all minorities including Jews end up on the bottom during economic hard times. Remembering recent hard times there was a cutoff in the 1930s where Jews were no longer allowed to escape to Israel, the last escape for Jews in Europe. Right now there are very nice assistance programs to help new Jewish immigrants both financially and with getting settled. See this site for the largest of these Israel
assistance programs.
For other minorities I wish there was good advice to give them. I seem to remember that in the 1930s white unemployment was over 50% but black unemployment was around 98%. I urge all SurvivalBlog readers to remember your brothers and sisters of different appearance or ethnicity and to take this into account both when hiring and and giving charity. – David in Israel
[JWR Adds: David is SurvivalBlog’s correspondent in Israel, currently a Torah student. He and his wife were American born, but emigrated to Israel as adults.]
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Odds ‘n Sods:
RBS flagged these two articles: Price of bread rising on wheat shortage and Wheat prices could defy a recession. Remember what I wrote about investing in productive farmland?
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Also from RBS: As Economy Slips, Yacht Sales Skyrocket. Of course, a portion of the buyers could be buying some of the smaller yachts as a G.O.O.D. contingency.
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Another sign of the times. Catalytic Converters Stolen. (Of course, with platinum at $2,169 per ounce, one can understand the temptation.) Thanks to Josh W. for finding that article.
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Seven readers sent us links to articles published on both side of the border on this topic: U.S., Canada military ink deal to fight domestic emergencies
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Jim’s Quote of the Day:
“Anyone who clings to the historically untrue – and thoroughly immoral – doctrine ‘that violence never settles anything’ I would advise to conjure up the ghosts of Napoleon Bonaparte and of the Duke of Wellington and let them debate it. The ghost of Hitler could referee, and the jury might well be the Dodo, the Great Auk and the Passenger Pigeon. Violence, naked force, has settled more issues in history than has any other factor, and the contrary opinion is wishful thinking at its worst. Breeds that forget this basic truth have always paid for it with their lives and freedom.”
– Robert Heinlein (in a lecture by Colonel Dubois in the novel “Starship Troopers“)
Note from JWR:
When you forward a post from SurvivalBlog to a friend, instead of copying and pasting it, please just send them the Permalink URL. (Click on the word “Permalink” below any post, and then copy that page’s URL.) That way the recipient will be able to follow any hyperlinks included in the post, and they can navigate the rest of the blog site, including the SurvivalBlog glossary and archives. Thanks for your help in spreading the word about SurvivalBlog!!
Four Letters Re: The Home Chicken Flock for Self-Reliance
Hi Jim –
I am a “ten center” and read your blog every day. Just wanted to say that I thought Keith in Minnesota’s article on “Survival Chickens” was outstanding. A really good example of maximizing what you have (and leveraging Mother Nature) without spending huge amounts of effort or money to get a major benefit. – John
Jim and Memsahib,
Regarding the recent blog entry “The Home Chicken Flock for Self-Reliance”, I have a few comments. I have been raising chickens since I was young and continue to this day. Having a source of fresh eggs is great and I do agree that they are not free. They are of a much superior quality and taste and they are right there in your backyard. That makes them worthwhile.
I do disagree with a couple of care issues from the article. I always lock up the birds at night. Poultry cannot see in the dark but their predators can. Giving your birds a safe roost at night is trivial and you just need to make closing them up at night part of your routine. If you are relying upon them for a source of food, you can’t afford to waste them by making the predators fat. In addition, most predators will remember where they got their last meal and will return time and time again leaving you with no survival stock.
Another item I differ from is the cleanliness. Clean water and a clean coop is crucial for avoiding numerous illnesses. There are many methods to coop cleaning and I lean toward the every week method. Ammonia from decomposing manure build up can occur under damp conditions and the birds can develop serious respiratory issues. In the cold weather, you can be a bit more relaxed with coop cleaning if desired as the bedding usually freezes solid. Make sure the coop is not drafty but good ventilation is a must to keep fresh air flowing inside. As well as being beneficial to the birds it will dry up the bedding and eliminate the ammonia smell.
Some other tips:
Many bantams chickens tend to be better foragers than standard breeds. You also get smaller eggs but bird weight to egg ratio is pretty good (read: less feed required per egg). Bantam roosters are much cockier than their larger counterpart and will stand up to dogs. (But they don’t always win!) Bantam hens are great mothers who will incubate and brood any other type of poultry you’d like to raise.
Bringing in new birds to your flock should be handled with care. I recommend at least a two week quarantine before introduction. Chickens don’t always telegraph their illnesses and you may need to allow a disease to work through a more advanced stage to be able to see it. Of course, the situation allows for it, you should have some medications on hand to assist in the prevention/recovery. Don’t forget to sanitize shoes/boots and clothing after visiting another person’s coop. You can easily bring home diseases from the manure on your boots.
Chickens will eat nearly any table scraps you produce. We do not give ours any onions (it will transfer the taste to the egg) or meat. Our birds get insects, worms, and grubs for meat protein. These scraps will greatly reduce the amount of feed required.- Rob
JWR,
Keep up the great work! I’m proud to be a double ten-cent subscriber and continually amazed at the wealth of new topics that come up on your site. The recent post on survival flocks is an excellent example of a concept I had not considered before, but could be lifesaving.
Regarding the survival flock, did anyone else notice that the traits Kevin in Minnesota breeds into his chickens are pretty much exactly the same traits we work towards in ourselves and search for in group members?
1. Can you provide for you own food?
2. Do you have the ability to defend yourself from predators?
3. Are you smart enough to avoid predators in the first place?
4. Strong immune system?
5. Raise your own “chicks”?
I got a chuckle out of rereading the entire “survival flock” article and applying everything in there to people. And for me, preparedness can be summarized as Keith states, it’s pretty easy to separate them into two flocks, the dinner flock and the survivor flock. Which flock will you belong to when the Schumer hits?
Speaking of Schumer, I’d like to comment on the recent Sanitation letter, and the treatment of Schumer, the home-grown kind, not the political kind. I take a different view on “The Humanure Handbook” than you. Yes, there are risks in composting your own manure, but no more risk than kerosene, chainsaws, and firearms. Each of these three items have inherent risks that are life-threatening, but easily avoided thru training and safety precautions, just like humanure. And fortunately, the “Humanure Handbook” is available free on-line, and it provides all the details, and scientific studies that prove this is safe, and how to do it safely and easily. I will not go into the details of how, it’s all there in the book. But I will stress the advantages for people like me that plan to build a retreat, but don’t have a fortune to spend.
1. Huge Cost Savings. Not having to build a septic system will save thousands of dollars.
2. Comfort and Convenience. No trudging outdoors thru the weather to a dark and cold, or hot and bug infested, outhouse. And when done correctly, there is no smell!
3. OPSEC. No need for everyone, several times a day, to expose themselves to prying eyes to visit the outhouse. Have you ever seen the Academy Award-winning movie “Unforgiven” starring Clint Eastwood? The outhouse scene amplifies my fears. This especially applies to your observation posts if hidden. Do you plan to drink hot liquids to stay awake during sentry duty? If so, you will want a bucket system as described in the”Humanure Handbook” to stay hidden.
4. Simplicity. No pipes to clog up and backup. No need to pump/store/waste precious water on flushing. No reliance on a septic pumping company. Even in your own outstanding book, “Patriots”, the septic system became overloaded, and had to be reserved for emergency use only. Why not skip it altogether?
5. Thrifty. Why waste perfectly good, home-grown fertilizer?
But to be fair and balanced, there are some minor drawbacks.
1. Sawdust and Hay. You need a “pickup truck” supply of sawdust per year per family. The sawdust, or equivalent leaves/moss/hulls, is used to cover your deposits, after each and every deposit (this is what prevents all fumes). Fortunately, I love the smell of sawdust! But some planning/work is necessary to ensure easy access to cover material (like sawdust). You will also need about 8 bales of hay (or equivalent yard waste) per year per family to cover/protect/oxygenate your compost pile.
2. Gray water System. If you have no septic system, you will need some kind of gray water system to handle your wash water. Wash water can be from vegetables, clothes, or your bath. Fortunately, these are easy to build, but are best thought out in advance. Many sources of information are available on the internet.
3. Another Household Chore. Approximately weekly, someone must haul the full buckets out to the compost pile, wash the buckets, and monitor the heat in the compost. But this should only take 30 minutes at most. This is not labor intensive at all.
4. Humility. You will need some humility to admit you use this system. But this is good for you.
5. Fecophobia. Yes, there is such a word. Yes, your family/friends/neighbors may shun you until you convince them. But this system works! How do you think the Chinese have farmed the same land for centuries without external fertilizer inputs? But Your Mileage May Vary (YMMV).
As a side note, the excellent book by John Seymour titled “The Self Sufficient Life and How to Live It”, describes a similar humanure system, but without buckets. So if the only thing holding you back is the buckets, I would also recommend John Seymour’s “Loveable Loo” as an alternative. Always learning more, – Rookie
Dear JWR and Memsahib,
I wish to offer some helpful comment regarding the article prescribing “Hardening Chickens”. I have raised chickens and other poultry in a free range setting for 20 plus years. My pre-retirement career was that of a health care professional. I have also worked and volunteered in community health care projects and health education in several third world countries. I still volunteer my services when the need arises and I am able to respond. While I strongly agree in the practice of free ranging chickens and all poultry for that matter, for an aid to general hardiness and convenience of caretaking and the overall natural health benefit of the poultry and the superb quality of their eggs. I however must also warn us all of the severe health consequences caused out of human negligence and lack of proactive caretaking responsibility to ourselves and our farm animals which are being used for human and other farm animal food cycle sources. When TEOTWAWKI occurs, and I believe it will sooner than later, medical care and resources will become infrequent if nil to obtain in hinterboonies regions and rural isolated areas and very questionable at best if you are not fortunate enough to have networked adequately beforehand for that valuable and crucial medical person to come on board, or at least viably reachable by travel and who is also agreeable to being available for your survival group in a worst case scenario. My prime concern here is advocating a proactive responsibility in maintaining and keeping humans and their animals healthy in as natural as possible using natures sources of availability. The practice of poor to absent hygiene practices advocated by the author of the article is questionable for the good health outcome of both species. Even in third world countries, the incorporation of holistic health practices of a sanitary or “clean environment” for human and animal hygiene have statistically shown vast improvements in the populations affected by those health practices and significant reduction of diseases and mortality rates related to them. Thus, their overall quality of life improved. Note, I am not refuting the issue of immunity. That is a whole other issue of whether it is acquired or natural or artificial immunity, passive or active. Diseases caused specifically via harmful bacteria, viruses, protozoans, fungus or the vectors like flies, mites, mosquitoes, and fleas that carry them into contact with us or our animals, must be discouraged. Practices to reduce those harmful populations must be performed in earnest.
Never plan to dine on an animal that had or has questionable health issues. Never feed their caucuses, milk, eggs, or any byproducts of questionable health animals to your family or other animals. Do not put them into your compost pile. Incinerate them. Here you will find just a sampling of multiple diseases causes and effects from an unclean environment. Botulism is more common than we hear about in unclean environments, which is potentially deadly and is transferable to the egg. If you practice the dirty litter suggested by this author, then you had best take heed and caution. Coccidiosis is caused by a protozoan parasite, which are deep tissue invaders occurring in the meat of the bird and eggs laid by it and harbored in moist, old litter. You could treat the poultry with Sulfa based medications which is also then passed on to you in their meat and eggs. Or, you can keep a clean hen house for proactive prevention. Erysipelas is caused by a soil borne gram positive bacteria which enters a break in the skin. It is spread by poultry being bitten by biting flies which are attracted to manure. This is also a human transmittable strain and also transmittable to stocked fish in ponds which are used as free range poultry water sources. It can also transmit to your pigs, sheep, mice and your other yard poultry. Encephalitis is caused by vectors of migrating mosquitoes and biting flies near or on open water sources. The flies lay their eggs in the poultry manure or spilled food. The disease list goes on. Most, if not all can be avoided by your proactive responsible health practices of cleanliness.
I highly recommend the World Poultry web site for its accuracy of abundant information; ease of reference, and on line pictures. It would take volumes for me to describe the offenses and diseases that are caused in poultry alone by these harmful organisms. But, I have high objection and researched validation to show the negative consequences to cleaning a coop of its litter and manure only once a year. All that manure is valuable as garden composting, only after it has cooked to a usable loam state. Never apply green manure directly to your garden or plants. It must be allowed to compost cook to kill off harmful organism cycles. Wear your gardening gloves to protect yourself from live harmful organisms. Wear them over a pair of disposable gloves or rubber gloves when applying compost to your plants or for that matter anytime you work directly in the soil. If you’re kneeling in the soil, wear knee protectors. The object is to protect your intact skin. For the coop cleaning process remove all the eggs and the poultry out and away from the coop. Wear a specifically designated outfit for this clean out, preferably a Tyvek type zip jumpsuit to protect your whole body surface. These can be hosed off and reused many times as long as there are no punctures to the fabric or stresses to the seams. Get a size that is one size larger than your normal size of clothes. If this is not available for you, use a heavy denim type or high denier cloth type military jumpsuit that zips in front. Don latex, or nitrile gloves if you’re allergic to rubber, make sure the gloves cover over the sleeve of the jumpsuit so you have created a skin seal. Last, wear a face mask that also fully protects your eyes, nose and mouth when you clean out either your coop or the nests found randomly constructed on the outskirts of your property. My husband makes use of his light weight welding helmet for this purpose over a disposable nose and mouth mask. This actually provides whole head and hair and ear protection as well. Those feathers can go into the composter as well, unless you are sanitizing them and using them for some other project. Note if you are finding these frequently, your poultry are talking to you. They’re telling you they either need fresh litter or the hen house nest boxes are being occupied when they need to use it. This will usually happen most during brooding season. Listen to them and fix the problem.
Just because you can’t see the bacteria, protozoa, fungus, mold, spores, and the most virulent harmful organisms doesn’t mean they are not there. They are. Most of these become airborne during the clean out process and are unknowingly inhaled by you and your chickens. Even if you have a great immune system response, it does not work well for another or the very young or the elders or the already infirmed that you will come in contact with. These organisms can be passed on by humans performing the human or animal care. This becomes possible by touching contact with the harmful source, or by any natural anatomical open orifice on your body, or unnatural open orifice of skin, like a cut, scrape or burn, for them to enter or be inhaled. You need on hand all these suggested items in ample supply anyway in your survival storage for the more virulent strains of viruses to come.
There are nutritional issues that need to be considered in this important food cycle as well. The poultry must receive a daily minimum requirement of good vegetable protein, vitamins and minerals in their natural habitat if you’re going to only free range. Just like humans. Remember, we’re going to eat their bodies and eggs. The practice of supplements is a good one if you are living in an area where the soil or vegetation is lacking these. Test your soil. Do some study on safe for poultry forage consumable vegetative sources which will provide natural vitamin and mineral supplements. The primary ones to consider are Calcium, Phosphorus, Vitamin D3 and Folic acid. While it is a fact that chicken feces does provide Phosphorus if consumed, eating unnaturally high colony counts of bacteria or viruses which were allowed to incubate for months, could easily infest and kill your entire flock inadvertently. Also, the practice of supplementing back raw egg shells for calcium as a feed supplement should be discouraged as it encourages egg cannibalism. A plot of Spinach plantings and castings are a much better choice. Without adequate intake of these supplements, either natural or store bought, the poultry will poorly develop and are subject to many other maladies related to growth, bone development, skin, and vision. Thus are poor consumables. Those hip fractures described in the article may be related to more than a jump off the roost. My chickens get calcium via crushed oyster shell and have a perpetual spinach plot. They have jumped off the roof of their 10 foot hen house and don’t suffer broken hips. We must always be responsible and accountable to our animals who serve our needs so well. Unlike humans, they can’t tell us that something is wrong. We have to conduct daily routine observation of their behavior and bodies to detect a problem and insure a proactive and ongoing active level of maintenance and responsibility to protect and care for our animals. If you are not willing to make this level of commitment, perhaps it would be better to skip the poultry for you and your family’s sake of good health. Cleanliness is truly next to Godliness in our triage of practices on the homestead.
Once you’re finished with the cleaning process and are ready to leave the coop, please follow these infection prevention practices in this order. Remove the garden gloves and hang them up. Leave the rubber or disposable gloves on until you’re totally finished cleaning your other personal articles. Remove the face mask, and hang it up or throw it away in the trash if it is a disposable. If you’re not using a whole face mask, then wear at least eye goggles and the mask must completely cover your nose and mouth and be one that will protect you from tiny viruses. Read the label. Remove that organism laden jumpsuit that’s protecting your underwear or clothing, by peeling it off at the shoulders and backwards away from your clean body and step out of it. Tug on the bottom exterior of the suit to get your legs and arms out if you need to get it over your washable boots. Avoid turning the soiled side to make contact with your clean skin. Hang it, zip it up and Hose it down in the yard near the coop and away from your home. Scrub your washable muck boots on a boot cleaner outdoors and hose them off and then remove them in your mud room or garage. Keep another pair of clean shoes or scuffs to slip on to wear inside your home. Remove the disposable gloves and dispose them. Wash your hands well with soap and water before you reenter into your inner home. Shower as soon as possible.
God Bless you and yours, this of course includes all your fortunate animals. – KBF
Odds ‘n Sods:
Eric sent us the link to an Op-Ed piece over a the leftist Washington Post: Wall Street Bank Run. My, my, my, after only seven months the mainstream media is finally starting to catch on to the full implications of the global credit collapse.
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The Western Rifle Shooter’s Association (WRSA)’s first event scheduled for 2008 is a two day defensive handgun course, in Brookings, Oregon on March 15 & 16. The WRSA offers high quality training for very little money, so be sure to take advantage of it. OBTW, don’t overlook the many free online resources at the WRSA’s blog site: Look at the left hand navigation bar: They have have basic weapons training videos, an excellent series from Zak Smith on long-range shooting, and a host of other useful downloads.
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Reader H.J. sent a link to an interesting article at Snopes about the history of cellucotton–first used as bandages, and later as Kotex brand sanitary napkins. BTW, they still make good would dressings. Stock up. They are a multipurpose barter item.
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KAF found this: Homeowners Losing Equity Lines. We raised this issue several weeks ago in SurvivalBlog. The easy money is going away. This spells a deeper, longer recession. (Note: Again, the background of the picture tells a thousand words.)
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
"Tact is the art of making a point without making an enemy." – Sir Isaac Newton
The Credit Collapse–The World’s Bankers Revert to Saying “No”
A recent news article titled Dresdner Rescues $19 Billion SIV, Follows Citigroup illustrates the severity of the global liquidity collapse. Note that the article mentions that the K2 SIV had no “direct exposure” to securities backed by subprime or midprime debt. But yet the fund failed dramatically. This adds credence to my assertion that the world’s entire credit market is essentially broken, and that despite frantic attempts by the central banks to inject liquidity (BTW, another $25 billion was just injected the Fed on Thursday), most of the major financial institutions are starting to crumble.
In the very near future, we will be reading headlines trumpeting the collapse of multi-trillion dollar derivatives schemes and dozens of hedge funds. In essence, no financial institution will be immune. It won’t stop with the exotic “alphabet soup” CDO, CDS, MBS, and SIV investments. The problem is systemic. By endlessly repackaging and re-selling debt instruments, the bankers have built themselves a multi-hundred trillion dollar house of cards. The labyrinth of debt repackaging made it impossible for anyone to gauge risk. Nobody knows what exactly what collateral is backing up any given debt-based investment vehicle. Worse yet, while currencies are inflating, assets–such as houses–are deflating. Thus, even the once “solid” backing of residential house mortgages is nothing but sinking sand. Without a quantifiable measure of risk, it is impossible to judge whether any business venture is creditworthy. Hence, the bankers have defaulted to the time-honored answer that they have given to any potential borrower that cannot prove the value of his assets: NO! (As in: “No, we are not giving you the loan that you applied for.”) Global finance has already dramatically slowed. Without liquidity, the wheels of commerce are grinding to a halt. It is particularly noteworthy that the number of new derivatives contracts being written has dropped by more than 90% since August. (And many of those still holding derivatives are biting their nails.)
The global credit collapse will eventually lead to some huge bank and S&L runs and equally huge municipal bond failures. These, in turn, will spawn massive Federal bailout schemes that will make the Chrysler bailout of 1979 and the S&L bailout in 1989 seem miniscule by comparison. Since there will not be nearly enough tax dollars to fund these bailouts, the government will resort to creating new Treasury debt. Tax incentives, large scale civic works projects, and other desperation measures to “jumpstart” the economy will result in even more debt. But since there will be few takers for this mountain of new debt, the Federal Reserve will be forced monetize most of the debt–in effect creating trillions of new dollars out of thin air. This monetization will be insanely inflationary. (On the scale of what I described in my novel “Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse”.) I am talking inflation in the Zimbabwean sense of the word. The name Ben Bernanke may someday be remembered in the same breath with the name Robert Mugabe.
The Asian financial crisis of 1997 very nearly started this avalanche, but that problem was contained and fairly neatly varnished over by the mass media. But this new crisis–which started with shaky loans to flaky home buyers in the United States–cannot be stopped until it reaches its inevitable conclusion. So, instead of Thai Baht currency speculators, it will be lower middle class Americans that bought houses with granite countertops that will be remembered as the culprits. “It was the Americans that started this depression”, they will all say. And the symbol of this villainy will undoubtedly be the Dollar Sign ($). Don’t expect the US dollar to survive this crisis. At the very least it will lose its status as a the world’s reserve currency, but more likely it will suffer mass inflation and find its place the dustbin of history. All unredeemable fiat currencies eventually meet their doom. Some are just quicker about it than others.
The current financial instability is just the beginning. Before this is over, the debt crisis will start an avalanche that will bankrupt countless individual investors, institutional stockholders, hedge funds, stock trading companies, municipalities, banks, S&Ls, and insurance companies. Since the magic money tap will be turned off, both residential and commercial real estate may decline–absent overall consumer inflation–by as much as 70%. Stock markets will collapse, and economies will be plunged into prolonged depression. On and on it will go, as the trillions of dollars worth of bad debts that have been winding up for the past two decades are gradually “unwound.” This unwinding will be an incredibly painful and protracted process that is punctuated by some massive layoffs, strikes, and social unrest. Dan Ackroyd said it best: “Real wrath-of-God type stuff.”
I suspect that the debt avalanche will destroy entire currencies and possibly bring down governments. (We should remember that the Asian financial crisis of 1997 led to the ouster of the 30+ year Suharto regime in Indonesia.) My only hope is that one of the institutions that is replaced is the private banking cartel called the Federal Reserve. Inevitably, we need to replace fractional reserve banking with proper warehouse banking, and replace the fiat currencies with ones that are freely redeemable for precious metals.
Two Letters Re: Thoughts on Overseas Retreat Destinations
Mr. Rawles,
In looking through your great web site I can’t tell if you’ve ever addressed the issue of having a non-US retreat. There are some notable characteristics of the USA that make it a less then optimal location in a TEOTWAWKI type scenario. I think specifically of very heavy reliance on personal vehicles and fossil fuels, a general ignorance about growing food, preserving food, raising livestock. There is a tremendous demographic heterogeneity (“diversity”) that in a crisis situation would become a very sore spot and possibly a source of violence. Also a Federal government that has shown an inclination to trample the rights of citizens when it is expedient to do so.
Having some familiarity with central Europe, I can tell you that the rural peasantry will fare very well in a crisis situation. Agriculture is still animal-powered in many areas. Self-sufficiency is the norm rather than the exception.
I would love to see you assess and evaluate various foreign sites as possible retreat locations. The analysis that you have already done on the western states is superb. Thanks much – Dr. R
Mr. Rawles,
First, I’d like to thank you for your work and dedication with SurvivalBlog. You’ve been a guiding light in darkening times. Second, I’d like to ask about your thoughts on relocating to a retreat abroad?
For some context information, I’m a college student at a local private university; by working two jobs, I’ve managed to avoid the average $30,000 in student loans my peers have accumulated, and am down to only $9,000. I pay off my interest as it accrues, and set aside about as much as I can spare for prepping every paycheck. Last year, I started talking with my family about survivalism in relation to our current times, and they’re happily on board and setting things aside as much as they can, as well. We’ve made it our goal to purchase our retreat this year- we actually start looking at bookmarked properties the third week of March – but as that I was assigned by family vote the family task of deciding which properties we see, and where we look, I feel the express desire to weigh as many potentially good options as possible.
Recently, the grandparents of a friend retired in Mexico; I had the opportunity to meet them and discuss the venture, and was amazed to hear that, paperwork aside, they were able to purchase several acres, build and furnish their own home, as well as obtain several head of livestock, for under $80,000! In a TEOTWAWKI situation, would one even perhaps be better off in a remote location in Mexico that’s already mostly self-sufficient in terms of agriculture, with the advantage of being able to afford more for the money, than in the US?
Or, for that matter, in other such places in the world of similar condition, like Romania, rural western Russia, (and etc.)? Admittedly, if there is ever a popular anti-foreigner sentiment, that could be a key worry- the biggest concern I’ve come across being that the foreign state could take away your property at any time… but does that worry not also apply to the US, with Eminent Domain? I understand that there’s no quick or easy answer to this, but I’m hoping that I might glean some better understanding through your experience, and that of your readers.
Wishing well, – S.L.K.
JWR Replies: Becoming an expatriate retreater requires some very careful study, consideration, and prayer. Many of the highly touted offshore locales suffer either from high crime rates, or have a high population density that would be an issue in a grid-down collapse. Many of these same countries also have restrictive laws on private firearms ownership, so that makes self defense problematic. Despite these and other drawbacks, there are a few offshore destinations that rate high on my list. These include New Zealand (South Island), the Cook Islands, Niue, Tonga, Vanuatu, Bolivia, Chile, rural portions of the Czech Republic, and the lower elevation cantons of Switzerland. I would also recommend Finland if it were not for its harsh climate.
I generally do not recommend most of Latin America and the Caribbean because of high crime rates (most notably property crimes and murder.) Even Costa Rica, which is often touted as a “peaceful haven”, has a murder rate higher than the U.S. (6.23 per 100,000, versus 5.9.) It also has a nearly four times higher robbery rate, but a surprisingly low burglary rate.) A lot of the Pacific Islands are not on my list because of either draconian gun laws or a high level of systems dependence. Many of them are now dependent on food imports. (Nauru is perhaps the worst in this regard. It could not even supply enough fresh drinking water for its residents if international shipping were to cease.)
I generally recommend moving to countries that share your language. But if you have an “in” somewhere–namely relatives or close friends that speak the native language and if they would be living on the same property or contiguous property–then the language barrier is less of an issue. But regardless, learn the local language and customs quickly. You should consider that education practically a full time job for your first few years.
The bottom line is that there is no single “perfect” retreat locale. There are advantages and drawbacks wherever you go. Climate, taxes, gun laws, population density, and crime rates are all trade-offs. Many of the locales that would be idyllic in a grid-up situation might be a nightmare if grid-down. But some countries might do very well in the absence of “the modern conveniences.” You will note that I have quite a few Pacific Islands on my list. In these island nations, if grid power were interrupted, I anticipate that the locals would quickly revert to traditional fishing, gardening, gathering fruit, hunting (bats, of all things!) and raising pigs.
Odds ‘n Sods:
Eric found this: Fed Issues Gloomy Economic Forecast. The article begins: “The Federal Reserve on Wednesday lowered its projection for economic growth this year, citing damage from the double blows of a housing slump and credit crunch. It said it also expects higher unemployment and inflation. “
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RBS sent us this from a Tampa, Florida newspaper: In home foreclosure, if it’s not nailed down …
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I couldn’t help but notice the New York market’s closing spot prices for platinum ($2,169 per ounce), gold ($944.60 per ounce) and silver ($18 per ounce). This is still not anywhere near the top. My advice remains: dump your stocks during the rallies, and buy gold and silver on the dips.
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You might have heard an item in the news about a magnitude 6 earthquake in northeastern Nevada. Its epicenter was near Wells, Nevada. The quake was felt as far away as Boise, Idaho and Salt lake City, Utah. I have mentioned the Wells area before, when I was discussing geothermal home heating. Unfortunately, one of the drawbacks of geothermal heating is that regions where geothermal heat is available generally also coincide with earthquake risk. Living there, you have to take the bad with the good–and forget about masonry construction!
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
"Gentlemen, I have had men watching you for a long time and I am convinced that you have used the funds of the bank to speculate in the breadstuffs of the country. When you won, you divided the profits amongst you, and when you lost, you charged it to the bank. You tell me that if I take the deposits from the bank and annul its charter, I shall ruin ten thousand families. That may be true, gentlemen, but that is your sin! Should I let you go on, you will ruin fifty thousand families, and that would be my sin! You are a den of vipers and thieves." – President Andrew Jackson, when he forced the closing of the Second Bank of the U.S., by revoking its charter