Odds ‘n Sods:

Our friend Michael Bane, a gun writer and video producer (of Down Range TV and “Shooting Gallery” on The Outdoor Channel) now has short review segments on Ruger’s new polymer frame SR9 and LCP .380 pistols. The latter, weighing only 9.4 ounces looks like a cross between a Seecamp and a Kel-Tec. I’m not a fan of the pipsqueak .380 ACP (9mm Kurz) cartridge, but a gun that is close at hand at all times is vastly superior to grasping at air when trouble arrives. Concealed carry is, after all, a compromise. If I was expecting trouble, I’d be carrying a .308 battle rifle–not any any sort of handgun. Be sure to check out Michael’s many blog articles and videos.

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Frequent content contributor RBS found this archive of useful solar cooking articles.

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Reader MGB suggested the “Trapped in Your Home” calculator page. After having read about modern tanning and leather preservative chemicals, I cannot concur with their mention of leather clothing and furniture as emergency food sources.

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Some commentary from Jim Jubak: Market ‘reforms’ a gift to Wall Street. His mention of the lack of regulation on derivatives contracts is right on target.





Notes from JWR:

I’m quoted in today’s issue of the New York Times (Sunday, April 6, 2008), in an article titled “Duck and Cover: It’s the New Survivalism”. The article is buried back in the Fashion and Style section. My quotes are on the second page of the online edition. The article itself is well-balanced, but readers just glancing at the title and accompanying photos will no doubt subconciously marginalize survivalists as some sort of paranoid whackos.

Today we present another article for Round 16 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The writer of the best non-fiction article will win a valuable four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate. (Worth up to $2,000!) Second prize is a copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, generously donated by Jake Stafford of Arbogast Publishing. Round 16 ends on May 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entries. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival will have an advantage in the judging.



Retreat Livestock Guardians, by TD

When the grid goes down and predation goes up, from animals (wild and feral/formally domesticated) and other people will be a very large problem. The television show Jericho showed some of the problems with diminished game and a lack of dogs and cats.

Right now a lot of city dwellers complain about the population of deer, raccoon, opossum, coyote and others. In the city they are a problem right now. If something drastic were to happen it would decimate those populations, removing most outside food sources for cities. Most people, who do not hunt for food, hunt for trophies and they do take a lot of natural predators. What happens when this stops?

Out in the country you will see an increase in natural and formally domestic [feral] predators, therefore depleting the amount of game that can be found. In the city it will be far worse, dogs when they go feral run in packs and will eat almost anything, they will attack humans. Even now in the country feral dogs prey on livestock, taking calves, colts and lambs, larger packs will start taking larger (full grown) animals as they need. How can this be stopped or slowed?

Then the biggest worry, other people. There are people now who, though it isn’t for food, do steal livestock. Horse meat when at prime prices drives the theft of horses to unimaginable extents, not tomorrow, but now. There is a lot of that still happening and with tattoos or micro chipping the slaughter houses don’t have the resources to check as thoroughly as they could. Is there a deterrent? What happens when the grid goes down and people are stealing to eat or for their own gains?

If you have the land you need to raise your own stock and you need to be able to protect it now and in the future. Do you have the resources to defend it? If not what are your alternatives? Have you thought about livestock guardians? What ones would best suit you?

Donkeys are a very good choice for a herd guardian against predators, not so much against people. Sometimes you need to remove them during birthing then re-introduce after the babies are a few days old. You can pack with them and ride them and they will do damage to wolves, coyotes, bobcats, lynx and even mountain lions. They can live to be in their thirties and do require the same care as do horses (to a lesser extent). They are easy to handle if trained well and early.

Llamas are another good guardian, although they are not very good with dogs (I have seen them chase and kill domestic pets). They can be used lightly and they can spit very badly. They do need more grooming and can be aggressive at times (depends on the sex and time of year).

The livestock guardian dog (LGD) is by far the best choice. These dogs are large, wary of strangers, protective and will kill predators. Most of these dogs stand over 25 inches at the shoulder and for females no less than 75 pounds and males no less than 90 pounds, there are a few that top 120 pounds for females and 180 pounds for males. You do need to find the dog that will suit you and your climate and make your choices accordingly.

With herding dogs (except for collies) they work on a stalker prey drive that can cost you livestock. You can see it in the working dogs eyes. With LGDs they are part of the herd, they think that the animals and people are their siblings and alpha dog (pack leader).

The dogs I have researched may cost more than your typical dogs, but they serve a dual purpose and will not harm your livestock. Most of these dogs are low energy and don’t eat much more than a German Shepherd after the age of 1 year. Some do take longer to mature and some take more time to train, but when you are done you have a dog that will take care of you and your other animals. With the shear size of some of these dogs most people think twice before even getting close to them.

The Komondor is an excellent example of LGD – This is an ancient Hungarian sheepdog of Asiatic origin. In guarding herds of cattle and sheep, or house and property, he displays dauntless courage. He attacks boldly and silently. He regards the area he watches as his property, and will not tolerate strangers. He is distrustful by nature. They need good training and you need to get to know them, I suggest talking with breeders and trainers.

The Great Pyrenees is very popular throughout some of the small farming communities in Tennessee – Character and temperament are of utmost importance. In nature, the Great Pyrenees is confident, gentle, and affectionate. While territorial and protective of his flock or family when necessary, his general demeanor is one of quiet composure, both patient and tolerant. He is strong willed, independent and somewhat reserved, yet attentive, fearless and loyal to his charges both human and animal.

The CAO (Central Asian Ovcharka or Shepherd)–a relatively new breed to the U.S.–does deserve mention. They can handle all climates and they are used to working with little or no supervision. For centuries, the Central Asian Shepherd Dog worked alone or together with several other dogs, without much intervention from the herdsmen, relying on its own intelligence and instincts to do its job. While these dogs are very devoted to their family members, they expect to be treated with respect. They are inclined to be suspicious of strange people or dogs. Central Asians are steady, even-tempered dogs who adjust well to change in their environment. When threatened, they react quickly and with complete seriousness. Central Asians are slow to mature and require extensive socialization and patient training techniques. This breed is hardy and able to adapt to a wide range of climates. Serious faults: Irritable, nervous or fearful dogs are to be severely penalized.

Anatolian Shepherd is a large not quite as massive guardian, they are agile and when they have the right temperament you can’t find a better dog. They are being used a lot now for police work and the aggressiveness that is seen is not the norm for these dogs.

Those are the breeds I have actually researched, looking for the dogs I will be adding to our retreat. I will not just add 1 as when you breed responsibly you can sell the puppies for the grid goes down or after they can be bartered. There are numerous other breeds I am still gathering information on. There is a lot of reference material available on training and picking a puppy. Refer to Livestock Protection Dogs by Orysia Dowydiak and David Sims.It seems to be a favorite online and one featured by the USDA at one of their web pages.

Here is a partial list of other LGDs that might be suitable:
The Akbash, Maremma, Tibetan Mastiff, Aidi (Atlas Sheepdog), Castro Laboreiro, Estrela Mountain Dog, Kangal, Kuvasz, Perro de Pastor Mallorquin, Polish Tatra, Pyrenean Mastiff, Sarplaninac, South Russina Ovcharka, Spanish Mastiff, Tibetan Kyi Apso, and the Tornjak.



Letter Re: Homemade Alcohol Stoves

James,
A few years ago I was interested in methanol since it worked well in fuel cells to generate electricity without combustion. Alas, I found that methanol [“wood alcohol”] is very toxic. Anyone in a burning methanol [extensively in a confined space] would shortly after feel “drunk” then [might eventually] die from methanol poisoning. Additionally, methanol you spill on your hands enters your bloodstream and damages your liver (permanently), any you inhale does likewise, and any that hits the ground will poison the soil and groundwater. Its bad stuff, not something you want to have around unless you really have to. – Inyokern

JWR Replies: Thanks for adding those safety warnings. I was aware of the dangers of ingesting methanol, but I was not aware that the fumes and skin contact were so insidious. I will append my reply to LeAnne’s instructional post. Based on your warnings, I can now only recommend grain alcohol (ethanol) for use in tin can stoves.





Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“There has been a decline in ethics and we’ve got to turn it around.” – Eliot Spitzer, quoted in 2007. (Spitzer was recently forced to resign his post as as New York Governor, after revelations about hiring prostitutes)



Note from JWR:

Today we present another article for Round 16 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The writer of the best non-fiction article will win a valuable four day “gray” transferable Front Sight course certificate. (Worth up to $2,000!) Second prize is a copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, generously donated by Jake Stafford of Arbogast Publishing. Round 16 ends on May 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entries. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival will have an advantage in the judging.



Camping Trips as Training for WTSHTF, by DPM

In the times that may soon be upon us, we may need to live in a way we are not accustomed to or prepared for. I suggest camping as a method of acclimatization to those circumstances. My brother and I are avid campers. Usually getting up to higher elevations, at least 25 times a year. These are often not just overnighters but from two days to up to a week. My personal best year was 32 camping trips from mid February to as late as November, including a full week as a vacation. I have gotten too much sun on Saturday and snowed on, on Sunday of the same weekend. I have seen weekends when it rained the entire time, which limited some activities, to temps that were higher than average or expected. We reside in a desert valley, so I am conditioned to it.

On each of these occasions, I have been prepared with what I brought along. On several occasions we have invited friends, stating beforehand that they need to be prepared and put some thought into what they might need. It never fails that someone doesn’t bring something that they needed. This was the case one very rainy weekend, when my brother and I fashioned ponchos out of large trash bags that I always have in my pack and in my truck. They can be used for a multitude of purposes, including (among others) caching water, distilling, as slings, for shelter and the aforementioned ponchos. Live and learn. I hope it was a learning experience for my friends. Although neither has asked to come along again.

We do what I call vehicle camping, meaning we carry and have everything we need in our vehicles.
My vehicle is a 1981 Bronco, and my brother’s vehicle is a 1989 Bronco II . Both have V-6 engines and have manual transmissions. The vehicles are used as the base for our camp, sleeping, hygiene, cooking and entertainment centers. The only thing we don’t use our vehicles for is sanitation. We set this up away from camp and always dispose of waste properly.

I have everything [needed for camping] in my vehicle at all times and is not excessive. It includes tools, camp equipment, some recovery equipment that doubles as camp tools and some spare parts. The spar parts includes a spare battery that also provides the juice for watching television on Saturday night. (Hey, you have to have something to do when the sun goes down.) With practice and trial and error you will decide what you need, what you don’t and what is excess weight. It is all packed and squared away safely and is easy to get out and repack. I try to always have the gas tank and propane as full as possible, and my vehicle stocked with food and water, and for the most part is ready to go at all times.

We use the excuse to camp to actually practice living in situations when you may not have all the conveniences of home. We especially use the chance to practice our skills. You would be surprised how difficult it can be to start and maintain a fire in inclement weather. Not to mention that you have to find wood , drag it back to camp and chop it. I don’t mean with a chainsaw, I mean chop it into reasonable size logs for the fire, with an axe. Enough to maintain a fire for your stay (fire cautions notwithstanding) , may it be week or a month or longer. Whether it is for ambience, cooking or to heat water for those dirty dishes and for washing oneself. You also get to appreciate how they used to do it. Too big a fire and you consume too much wood, not stoked enough and it goes out, requiring extra effort to restart it. As an aside, I have completely covered my fire with dirt and returned five days later and used the coals underneath to restart my fire.

As well as having fun, we incorporate some skill building into our outings. My brother and I will pick features from the map and navigate to and from them using the map and compass. In the beginning , I will admit having to break out the GPS to return to camp. But it was a learning experience, and has not been used since. During these day hikes, we take our day packs with water and the other 10 essentials, as well as other items that might be needed just in case. And of course a weapon.

During these hikes , you will find out about your physical condition, if your boots will hold up and how important the right pair of socks can be. In hiking in the snow, you can see if your boots are really water resistant or waterproof and how important keeping your feet warm and dry is. Also you will find out how difficult it is to hike in snow at altitude. How to dress in layers and learn to pace yourself to prevent perspiring, which can have detrimental effects if allowed to cool and you are not at your destination.

On other occasions we have practiced camouflage and concealment, and built lean tos, using the features found around us, rocks branches, crevices and ravines, depending on weather outlook.
While on hikes we observe and take note of natural features, wildlife, practice tracking, finding small game, finding water sources and identifying plants. On other occasions have hunted small game, which is in season. On a couple of occasions , we have even played an “adult “version of hide and seek Something , a couple of friends didn’t entirely understand. The purpose was to learn to track and locate and observe others, while avoiding detection. It might come in handy.

If the hunting of small game was successful, we have cleaned and prepared the animal for consumption, when returning to camp.
Rabbits, squirrels and birds all require different preparation, with some similarities. Knowing how to dress and prepare game is a very useful skill. It is something I have done frequently. In all of these outings, we have never gotten ill or sick from these activities. Camp sanitation is a mandatory practice.

During your outings, you will get to know your equipment , how to keep the knives and axes and hatchets sharp, how lanterns and stoves work and light, which is why I now use propane . Nothing is more frustrating than trying to work with an uncooperative kerosene stove or lantern, which has led to a new game, “the camp equipment toss” which is an accumulation of points for height and distance. All in fun, we retrieve the discarded item and dispose of it properly. But the underlying theme is to know that your equipment works, and what can go wrong. Just have a backup plan, remember the fire?

In all of our outings we have practiced maintaining a sanitary camp, such as digging a waste pit, washing up after “going for a walk” after breakfast. Washing dishes in hot water. Using caution when preparing small game or cooking, to prevent cross contamination. Discarding of trash in bags brought with us, I don’t like burning trash, but in an extended stay or emergency , I would . We have never gotten ill or spread anything despite of our primitive conditions.

We also practice safety, being careful while using and sharpening knives, axes and even can openers, a cut can easily get infected in primitive conditions. Other things such as keeping the camp uncluttered, not consuming to much alcohol and watching where you step at night, past the illumination of the camp lantern.

For the most part , we sleep in our vehicles, even having the comfort of an air mattress and a 0 degree [Fahrenheit] sleeping bag. It cuts down on having to carry around the weight of a tent.

I have a system of tarps and bungees which I fasten over my truck for sealing up at night. One for closing up the rear of the vehicle and one for making a canopy with a couple of discarded three-section poles from another canopy, and rope & stakes. This keeps me and the kitchen area out of the elements, and has been tested in the wind and rain with success.

I have camped at 9,000 feet and as low as 4,000 feet elevation. I am prepared for and have dealt with many weather conditions. We mostly stay at higher elevations in the summer and lower elevations in the winter depending on road closures and access.

It is always an enjoyable experience and makes us really appreciate the amenities of running water, electricity, and of course flushing toilets. For the most part , these trips are for pleasure, but have also been preparation and training courses. Each time , we learn something new or brush up on existing knowledge and skills.

There was also an occasion recently when a transformer in a local substation let go and placed the neighborhood in darkness. You could see the occasional flashlight bouncing around as neighbors checked to see what happened, but I went to my truck and broke out the camping lantern and lit up the whole back yard and patio. It was a pleasant evening and I was on the patio anyway.

I am sure I did not touch on some activities that others would deem necessary, just what I have done on past outings. The important thing is to have fun and enjoy the outdoors and use it as preparation and familiarization with conditions you will encounter in most places outside the city lights, and possibly conditions likely to happen if TSHTF.



Letter Re: Silver Coins Holding Their Own Against Inflation

Sir;
First, this interesting bit from an article from the Chicago Tribune: Food Price Inflation Changes How We Shop.
Here are some quotes from the article: “Steadily rising food costs aren’t just causing grocery shoppers to do a double-take at the checkout line — they’re also changing the very ways we feed our families.
The worst case of food inflation in nearly 20 years has more Americans giving up restaurant meals to eat at home. We’re buying fewer luxury food items, eating more leftovers and buying more store brands instead of name-brand items…”
“Record-high energy, corn and wheat prices in the past year have led to sticker shock in the grocery aisles. At $1.32, the average price of a loaf of bread has increased 32 percent since January 2005. In the last year alone, the average price of carton of eggs has increased almost 50 percent.”
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Now a quick trip to Coinflation.com where we see that at the current price of silver ($17.38 per ounce, as of today) a pre-1965 [mint date] 90% silver dime has a melt value of $1.26.
So it looks like silver is holding it’s own against inflation. The price of a loaf of bread is still close to 10¢, if you’re using “real” money, that is…

I hope this is of interest, Jim. By the way, I received your novel “Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse” for my birthday last month. It was great. Thanks, – Jonas



Letter Re: Advanced Medical Care and Transport After TEOTWAWKI

Mr. Rawles,
I have been a reader of SurvivalBlog for at least a year now, and I feel it’s time to get involved. During this time I have been adding to my preps, building a library, and re-certifying my medical credentials. I have also done a lot of reading, getting many opinions concerning the future. I found one thing that I am at a loss for, and that is the subject of this letter.

In all my medical re-certification courses and also in the medical library that I have put together, I have these questions: If society does go down the dumper and all social services and amenities cease, along with gasoline and diesel fuel for transport, how to we get injured or seriously ill individuals to proper medical facilities? Who would be there to receive them, and what kind of treatment could we except once this patient arrives? None of my training programs nor the books that I have in my library address these questions. They all state: “Transport the patient to the nearest medical facility for treatment.” So, what do we do?

I have given much thought to this, and finally after reading material about the situation in Africa and other countries, I started an Internet search for answers. What I found was that several legitimate world-wide organizations may have solutions to these questions. First, the World Health Organization (WHO) has published numerous books on medical care and treatment in Third World and remote areas. I found them to be free of cost and can be downloaded. Second, The Hesperian Foundation has a very good series of books concerning the same subject. They can also be downloaded free on the Internet. I’ve managed to download quite a bit of information concerning advanced medical care from these two sources. I also have a found a copy of the book “Survival and Austere Medicine: An Introduction.” The 213 page book is in PDF format and is available for free download. These books are a welcomed addition to my library. Now comes the job of reading and taking them to heart. I recommend that all readers check out these sites.

I know this may rankle the professional some MDs out there, but it needs to be addressed. You cannot be everywhere at once, or all things to all people. I would appreciate hearing your comments and concerns in a constructive manner on this Blog so that a proper understanding and direction for training can be achieved. I also want you to understand that as a retired ER/ICU Nurse, I know the legal side of things and I will not practice medicine without a license.

As I said above, I am a retired Critical Care RN, a retired EMT and First Responder, and a retired U.S. Army Reserve Combat Medic. I have over 30 years experience in the field, and I know my limitations. I ask that all who comment on this letter do so in an intelligent manner so the information derived can be used for the benefit of all of us. Sincerely and Honestly, – DS in Wisconsin



Odds ‘n Sods:

RBS recommended this article from Fortune: The great inflation cover-up

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SurvivalBlog reader “CC” in Centennial, Colorado, asked for my recommendations for local preparedness gear dealers, since he doesn’t like the “paper trail” created by mail orders. (This, I have noticed, is a common concern among SurvivalBlog readers, and I don’t blame them.) One store that I can recommend for anyone in the greater Denver metropolitan area is The Ready Room, in Littleton, Colorado. Phone: is (303) 298-9911. Another “cash and carry” buying opportunity is the Tanner Gun Show, in Denver.

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I’ve been warning you for months about a “blow up” in credit default derivatives. Well, here it comes! MBIA Loses AAA Insurer Rating From Fitch Over Capital

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I was doing some web surfing and found a great collection of video clips on the demise of the US dollar.that highlights the observations of Congressman Ron Paul.



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

I sincerely believe… that banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies, and that the principle of spending money to be paid by posterity under the name of funding is but swindling futurity on a large scale." – Thomas Jefferson



Note from JWR:

My sincere thanks to Mike in Michigan, who sent an unprecedented $150 contribution for our 10 Cent Challenge subscription program. That was very generous of you! My thanks to all of our subscribers. I greatly appreciate your support, folks. Subscriptions are entirely voluntary, and gratefully accepted.



Economic Climate Change: The Long Winter May Begin This Summer

I’ve had several consulting clients contact me in recent weeks, all with notes of fear in their voices. They realize that something is horribly wrong with the economy, but they cannot properly isolate and articulate the problem. I haven’t been able to calm them, however, because to an extent I share their anxiety. In my estimation, the “something wrong” that we sense is nothing short of a monumental shift in the economic climate.

America is clearly headed for a recession. Most economic recessions are simply a product of the business cycle. These recessions are relatively mild and they often last just 12 to 24 months. The economic engine just readjusts and everything soon gets back to normal. But this nascent recession in 2008 is something radically different, and it won’t be short-lived. The current slow down was triggered by a collapse in the global credit market. For decades, the global credit market grew and grew, in an enormous debt spiral.

Our neighbors to the south saw trouble coming decades ago, because their economies were at the time more debt-dependent than our own. As far back as the mid-1980s, their newspapers featured political cartoons that portrayed enormous, insatiable monsters that were invariably captioned “La Deuda“–“The Debt”. Our cousins in Latin America saw it coming first, but the dark side of the debt nemesis will soon be clear to everyone.

Because modern banking in the western world is based on interest charges that create continuously compounding debt, credit cannot continue to grow indefinitely. At some point the excesses of malinvestment become so great that the entire system collapses. This is what we are now witnessing: a banking panic that is spreading uncontrollably as wave after wave of ugly debt gets destroyed by margin calls and subsequent business failures.

Some economists are fixated on reading charted histories–and unrealistically expect that by doing so that the can reliably predict future market moves. (They can’t do that any more than I could predict the bends in the road ahead by keeping a chart of the preceding left and right turns of my car’s steering wheel. My apologies for any offense to my friend The Chartist Gnome, but you are fooling yourself.) Although they are working from a flawed premise at the micro level, the chartists do have some things right on the macro level: There are major economic “seasons” and even climate changes. The most vocal chartists like Robert Prechter hold to what is called the Elliot Wave Theory.

The big bad nasty in this school of thought is a Kondratieff Winter. This “K-Winter” is an economic depression phase that the world has not fully experienced since the 1930s. An economic winter does not end until after the foundations of industry and consumer demand are rebuilt. This can be a painful process, often culminating with war on a grand scale. (It was no coincidence that the Second World of the early 1940s was an outgrowth of the Great Depression of the 1930s.)

The US Federal Reserve and the other central banks are furiously pumping liquidity to the best of their ability, but in the long run they will not be successful. At best, dumping billions in cash on the economy will delay a depression by perhaps a year or two. But inevitably, a K-Winter depression will come. And the longer that it is delayed, then the worse the depression will be. Further inflating the debt bubble will only make matters worse. I think that veteran market analyst Jim Rogers had it right, in a recent interview. Take a few minutes to watch that video. Jim Rogers sees the big picture. I wouldn’t be surprised to hear that he has gone off somewhere to hunker in a bunker.

“Big Picture” Implications

As I’ve mentioned before, hedge funds are presently most at risk in the unfolding liquidity crisis, because they use lots of leverage in lending funds that they themselves have borrowed. They borrow short and lend lon, effectively use debt compounded upon debt. Many, many hedge funds will be bankrupted before the end of 2008.

Even more alarming is the scale of global derivatives trading, particularly for credit default swaps (CDS). Derivatives are a relatively new phenomenon, so derivatives contract holders have not yet experienced a major recession or a depression. Thus, it is difficult to predict what will happen in a genuine K-Winter phase. In a perfect world, derivatives are a nicely balanced mechanism, where there are parties and counterparties, and every derivatives contract equation balances out to have a neat “zero” at its conclusion. But we don’t live in a perfect world: Companies go bankrupt. Contracts get breached. Counterparties disappear and disappoint. We have not ever experienced a derivatives full scale “blow up”, but I predict that when it happens, it will be spectacular.

The scale of derivatives trading is monumental, and the vast majority of the population is blissfully ignorant of both its scale and the implications of a derivatives crisis. There are presently about $500 trillion of derivatives contracts in play. That is many times the size of the gross product of the global economy, but the average man on he street has no idea what is going on. It won’t be until after the giant derivatives casino implodes that the Generally Dumb Public (GDP) awakens and asks, “What the heck happened?” Since the credit market began to collapse last summer, the number of new derivatives contracts has dropped precipitously. But whether the aggregate derivative market is $400 trillion versus $500 trillion, when a crisis occurs there will undoubtedly be some very deep drama.

The next decade will likely be characterized by successive waves of inflation and deflation, and perhaps some of both simultaneously, at different levels. Countless corporations, and perhaps a few currencies or even whole governments will go under as this tumult plays out. The current low interest rates will soon be replaced by double-digit rates, much like we saw in the late1970s. The dollar will lose value in foreign exchange, and may collapse completely. The Mother of All Bailouts (MOAB) will result in mass inflation. The bull markets in silver and gold will surge ahead, propelled by economic and currency instability. (Investors will be desperate to find a safe haven, when currencies and equities are falling apart.)

Risk Mitigation

Be ready to “winter over” the coming K Winter depression. That will require: 1.) Prayer. 2.) Friends that you can count on (a “retreat group”). 3.) A deep larder, and 4.) An effective means of self defense with proper training. (For each of those four factors, see the hundreds of archived articles and letters at SurvivalBlog.com for details.)

Since large-scale layoffs seem likely, it would also be wise to have a second income from a recession-proof home-based business.

In the event of a “worst case” (grid down) economic collapse, it would be prudent to have a self-sufficient retreat in a rural area that is well-removed from major population centers. Get the majority of your funds out of anything that is dollar-denominated, and into tangibles, as soon as possible. The very best tangible that you can buy is a stout house on a piece of productive farm land. It will not only preserve your wealth, but living there may very well save your life.