Letter Re: Abandonment of the Dollar is a Premature Rumor

Dear Jim and Family,

I wanted to comment on the alleged threat of the Saudis to decouple the US Dollar from Oil sales. They’ve been saying that for a decade. The Iraqis promised to do it, one of the primary reasons for the invasion. The Iranians did it, but nobody cares because they’re an oil importing nation so they don’t actually matter much. The Venezuelans have been trying to get the rest of OPEC to do it since we nearly got Chavez ousted in a coup backed by the US. Pity that failed, but there will be a next time for him. With 16% annual inflation and 18% unemployment, talk is VERY cheap in Iran. Money is measured in Oil, and with the US Dollar as the reserve currency for Oil, we are in an unprecedented position.

This currency change threat has been going around for years, more and more often since 2006 when we were close to peak oil production. It is nearly inevitable except for one important fact: all the OPEC nations are loaded in US Dollars right now, and the USA is a stable country they like to invest in, both in Bonds and in real estate, the commercial variety in particular. Our stock market is where most of the Oil Sheiks put their investments so they really can’t afford to dump dollars without taking a savage hit to their fortunes. While that may seem bearable for ideologues, the fact that their fortunes stave off violent revolution and pay their secret police and informants means they literally can’t afford to dump the dollar. It would mean their lives would be forfeit in the resulting coups and revolutions.

Things are slightly less dire in China, where most of the nation’s wealth is in US bonds. Dumping the dollar there has been requested since 2006 there, as well, but they don’t dare for fear of abruptly ending the economic prosperity that’s lifting the standard of living there for the first time in 50 years. They now have a middle class. Revolution is started by the Middle Class. They really can’t afford a civil war in a nation of 1.3 billion people and counting. They can’t dump the dollar.

And the Japanese, the other big holder of Dollars? We feed Japan with our rice, our Kobe beef (a special breed of cattle raised here in California and shipped across the ocean), and they buy our bonds because the national bank system of Japan is less than effective. Japan is also occupied by US bases since Japan is unable, legally, to more than defend itself within its own borders. Threats by North Korea means we, as their allies, are their defense abroad from a real and determined foe. A hundred million Japanese can’t afford to dump the Dollar.

This means the rumor is probably just that: yet another rumor. Markets move on rumors, but they don’t stay moved for long. Expect renewed stability rather than actual dollar collapse. Our current Post-Oil transition is [occurring in]slow motion. It will likely continue that way for the foreseeable future too. Sincerely, – InyoKern



Letter Re: Devotional Candles as an Emergency Source of Light and Heat

Mr. Rawles,
I am enjoying your “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It” book, which I purchased on Friday and have read most of it by now. I have something to offer to you by way of experience regarding votive candles as good emergency candles. We are practicing Roman Catholics and, as such, have lots of experience with the 10″ candles that you recommend for emergencies or even small-scale food heating. While they cannot be beaten for long-term service ( a week to 10 days per candle), the amount of light and heat you obtain from the candles deteriorates significantly after the 4th day. I believe it has to do with the narrow cylinder of glass the candles are encased in allowing lower and lower amounts of oxygen in the “throat” as the candles burn, leading to smaller and smaller flames. By the 9th day or so, the flame is a tiny 1/4 of an inch high. Good for devotional purposes to be sure, but not for any kind of light or heat. I would recommend the smaller 4″ tall votive candles which are constructed the same way but whose shallower depth allow more oxygen at the base of the candle. God Bless, – Tim in Miami



Letter Re: Notes on Fuel Transfer Pumps and Fuel Filters

Jim,
Your info on using electric fuel pumps from junked cars (also included in your new book) was great. Here’s a twist you may not have considered: Use the pumps from GM vehicles. They are essentially submersible gasoline pumps. Rig one with wires and connector and discharge hose. The pumps are about the size of 2 D-cell batteries–so they can fit fit down barrel bungs, underground tank fillers, holes in most 5 gallon buckets. They are designed to operate the fuel system around 30 PSI on most gm cars (pressure limited by relief valve in injection system) so they can lift fuel a considerable distance. If you have an acquaintance at a garage you can come up with used functional pumps for free. They occasionally get replaced because they become noisy. Sometimes the brushes get short and they become intermittent and require a thump to start.

If the pump comes with a filter “sock” I’d keep it. These pumps have small clearances. Make sure the pump is completely immersed in fuel before starting and try to avoid pumping from the absolute bottom of the tank. Also, most fuel injected vehicles have a pressure test port on the injection fuel rail (gasoline vehicles)–almost always in the form of a tire valve or a 1/4 flare Schrader valve (the older refrigeration hose connection). After the Hurricane Katrina evacuation disaster we used this expedient to provide fuel for relatives returning home from a filled up vehicle we didn’t need to use for a few days. Always connect the hose then start the vehicle. Expect some residual pressure in the fuel system when connecting with the attendant squirt of gas.

Whenever transferring fuel keep a fire extinguisher handy, have someone sitting in the “donor” vehicle ready to shut it off in case of trouble. Connect the two chassis together with a jumper cable to the bumpers, to prevent static buildup. Transferring fuel via a non-conductive hose can build up a very high static charge. Use common sense.

If circumstances require using reclaimed, substitute or home made fuels consider using a Wix 33006 filter. It is the primary fuel strainer used on 123 chassis Mercedes diesels. It is about the size and shape of a C-cell battery with a straight hose barb on one end and a right angle barb on the other. The beauty of this filter is it is a strainer rather than a paper filter element. It is see-through plastic and can be back flushed with a little gasoline. Consider putting one of these upstream (suction side) of any spin on diesel fuel filter. With “iffy” fuel it can be flushed several times thus extending the life of throw-away filters. It is also a good filter to install on a small transfer pump, siphon hose etc. It’s clear construction gives you a window into the fuel system. It can give you early warning and the ability to deal with bad fuel, fungus, etc in a more intelligent manner. On gasoline engines, the old bronze element, glass bowl filters are awfully hard to beat, and still available. – TiredTubes



Influenza Pandemic Update:

US to Stop Counting Flu Cases, Too Many to Count

Swine Flu Study Shows Hardest Hit Are Women

Spring Swine Flu Put Many Already Hospitalized Patients Into ICU

76 Children Have Died in US From Swine Flu

Relenza Warning After Patient Dies Turning Flu Powder Into Liquid

US Study Confirms H1N1 Swine Flu More Serious in Young

Areas Hard Hit By Swine Flu in Spring See Little Now

Japan Tamiflu Resistant Teen Had No Tamiflu Record

Swine Flu’s Surge in ICU Cases Reveals Winter’s Toll

Swine Flu Spreads Like Wildfire Across US, 19 Kids Die in One Week



Economics and Investing:

Karen H. sent this: Dollar Facing ‘power shift

Also from Karen: Stone Calls U.S. Economic Growth Outlook “Troublesome” in 2010

GG sent this: Silver Lining: Jim Rogers Talks Up Commodities

Reader D.D. sent the link to a good piece by Bill Fleckenstein: Your dollars are just Monopoly money

Items from The Economatrix:

Gary North: The Fed’s Schizophrenic Monetary Economist

Failed Financial Policies and Rising Unemployment in the US

Stocks Bear Market Rally Will Soon Be Over

Government Deficit Spending Killing the US Free Market



Odds ‘n Sods:

Reader FG sent this: Terror struck four generations in deadly home invasion. F.G’s comment: “You must be armed at home, folks!” Meanwhile, The Other Jim R. sent me this home invasion news story. He noted: “This one was in New Hampshire, which is not exactly ‘big city’.”

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Cheryl alerted us to this: “Large Insect” Sparked Missile Truck’s Crash.

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Cops’ Rising Use of “Stop and Frisk” Questioned



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“With hearts fortified with these animating reflections, we most solemnly, before God and the world, declare, that, exerting the utmost energy of those powers, which our beneficent Creator hath graciously bestowed upon us, the arms we have compelled by our enemies to assume, we will, in defiance of every hazard, with unabating firmness and perseverance employ for the preservation of our liberties; being with one mind resolved to die freemen rather than to live as slaves.” – John Dickinson and Thomas Jefferson, Declaration of the Cause and Necessity of Taking up Arms, 1775



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 25 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest.

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) and C.) A HAZARiD Decontamination Kit from Safecastle.com. (A $350 value.)

Second Prize: A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $350.

Third Prize: A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing.

Round 25 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Food Storage–A Necessary Preparation, by Melanie G.

An important resource to have in times of need is a good food storage.  When I have talked to others about having an emergency supply of food in place, I have received laughter and ridicule.  I even had a neighbor to tell me when he needed emergency food, he would just come to my place.  I jokingly informed him not to bother as I had a supply of ammunition as well.  Too many people have come to rely on the grocery store.  But the threat of a snow storm here in Kentucky clears out the milk and bread in record time, this should be a testament of what it might be like should the trucks not come.

From childhood, my parents taught me the importance of having an emergency supply of food in place.  I grew up in eastern Kentucky where jobs were not plentiful.  As a result, my father changed jobs a few times.  Fortunately, the pantry that my parents filled in times of feast, fed our family of five in times of want, until my father found the next job.  If there was such a thing as unemployment or food stamps back then, I never knew.  My dad would go out and find work quickly and mom would continue to squirrel away food to feed us.

There are some guidelines for emergency food storage.  It is recommended that you have two weeks of water per person and year’s supply of food, clothing and if possible, fuel in your storage.  A first aid kit is also recommended.

An important part of any food storage system is to have on hand the basics:  flour, grains, beans/legumes, oils, rice, salt, sugar/honey, and water just to name a few.  These basics can help you to sustain your life if you are prepared in every needful way.   

My mother taught me to store items, in addition to these that families will eat every day.  Therefore, my storage not only contains these key items, it contains items that are foods we eat every day.  I store condiments, peanut butter, soups, jams, jellies, canned vegetables (both store bought and home grown), cake mixes, pasta, pasta helpers, nuts, fruits, crackers, oatmeal, canned meats (store bought and home canned), etc. etc. 

The key to a good food storage is usage.  If you store something you don’t use or eat, it will eventually go bad and you will have to replace it.  If you store something you use, then you will just replace it as you go along and your food storage will stay fresh and replenished. 

Replenishing your food storage, especially in light of rising food prices today, can be an expense.  I have my pantry to a level where most of my replenishing can be done cheaply.   I get the sales ad and purchase what is on sale.  If ketchup is on sale, I buy several.  We use this item, so it won’t go to waste.  If cereal is on sale, I get several boxes.  If ground beef is on sale, I load the cart down, go home and prep several meatloaves and throw them in the freezer.  Then over the next couple of weeks, while these items are no longer on sale, my pantry is stocked with them and I can go to the next item.  Let’s say next week, pasta is on sale, or sugar.  That is the week to stock up on that item.

To make the deal even sweeter, you can go online to your favorite coupon list and search for coupons that you can trade for and use on the sale items.  Before you shy away from this, read on.  With a good sale and coupons, you can save thousands of dollars over time.  Once, I went to Kroger’s and using coupons, I actually walked out with $100 worth of groceries and $30 more in cash than I had when I walked in.  This doesn’t normally happen, they normally won’t give you cash, and I asked the head cashier repeatedly if she was sure she could give me money.

Also, the Kroger’s supermarket cash registers print coupons out at the point of sale.  I have found free drinks, free eggs, and other items free or cheap.  There are a lot of complexities to using coupons that I haven’t even explored myself.  But it is a good resource.  Check out www.mycoupons.com, www.hotcouponworld.com and there are so many more free sites.

Another good thing to do is utilize your own back yard.  It doesn’t matter if yosu own 100 acres or a back door terrace, grow something and preserve it for later use.  Or, better yet, eat it now to save your reserves.  Fresh grown vegetables are so good for you and they don’t have all the chemicals and preservatives added to them.  You know what’s in them, because you grew them.  Nothing tastes as good as something you grew yourself. 

Even in a small confined space, you can grow in containers or boxes.  For years, I have grown straight from the bag.  I take a bag of dirt and cut an “X” in it, flip it over and cut the plastic out.  Nestled up against my house or out building, I plant two tomatoes in the bag.   I add composted manure to the dirt in the bag.  I also place worms there to enrich the soil.  I also grind up my kitchen scraps and pour around the soil.  I repeat this process every year and eventually I have built very rich vegetable beds.

This year my husband and I canned several jars of green beans, pickles, pickled okra, tomatoes, salsa, strawberry jam, grape jelly, beef, pork, chicken, soup and chili.  It was so much fun and fills you with pride knowing you have actually put away healthy food without harmful preservatives for your family. 

Another trick that will add to your storage preservation is eating your weeds [from un-sprayed areas].  A lot of the plants that are found in the wild are partially edible.  I have just begun researching this and have discovered several varieties of wild plants in my yard that are edible.  My backyard is covered in young poke salet, which I have tried.  My mother in law used the young leaves and cooked it with eggs.  This is a traditional dish in eastern Kentucky.  I am very leery of this plant as it can be very toxic is not prepared correctly.  Perhaps this is a plant to put on the “If there is nothing else to eat” list.  There are many other plants that are edible, and this would be a good skill to learn in order to survive.

This month, we will be getting a local raised cow.  The cost will average $2 per pound.  This will be mostly canned, but some frozen for later use.  Another advantage to canning meat as opposed to freezing it is that you can open it and eat the meat straight from the jar.  If frozen, you will need to thaw and cook.  If we are in times of survival, having the meat ready to eat can mean life or death.  I have friends who told me they have stored canned meat for eight years and counting and it’s still good.

If you watch for good deals and sales in the stores, use coupons and augment your stores from growing, local food, and even eating your weeds,  you can have a wonderful food storage that will sustain you and your family through most any crisis.



Letter Re: Older Technology Radio Receivers

James,
I was glad that a reader mentioned the Hallicrafters S-38 series of radios. I had forgotten to mention that the All American Five (AA5) type of radio was also sold in a multi-iband version by Hallicrafters. These are still often available for under $100 in working condition. I have a Hallicrafters model 5R10A, which is a lot like a [Hallicrafters] S-38D. It’s an AC/DC design like the AA5 radio that can be run on nine or ten car batteries wired in series with no inverter. (In a test, I found that nine fully-charged “12-volt” batteries wired in series provide 113.4 volts DC.) With 50′ of copper wire it picks up stations from everywhere. Just search on eBay for “Hallicrafters S-38.”

While it is obviously useful to listen to foreign shortwave broadcasts, long-range AM listening (DXing) can also provide life-saving information. Canadian AM broadcast stations are easy to receive by those who live in the northern half of the country. Those who live in the south, especially the southeast, part of the US can also find English-speaking foreign stations on their nighttime AM dial. I once lived in the panhandle of Florida and I was easily able, at night, to pick up AM broadcast stations from all around the Caribbean. I can recall in particular one strong English-speaking station in Bonaire, Netherlands Antilles.

After the lights go out, and nearly all modern electronic devices stop working, an old AA5 wired up to car batteries (or better yet, deep-cycle 12-volt batteries) can keep the nighttime listener up to date on such matters as US and foreign troop movements, martial law declarations, fallout patterns, city riots, and highway problems. – ME

JWR Replies: Thanks for the suggestion. To get the maximum life out of tubes and to be kind to capacitors in an AA5, I recommend using slightly low voltage DC (~110 to 115 volts) and when in both AC and DC operation, using an in-rush current limiter. This gives a gentle “soft start” to the components. In common ham radio parlance these are dubbed in-rush filters, but properly they should be termed “In-rush Current Limiters” (ICLs) or “negative temperature coefficient” (NTC) thermistors. One that is typically used by old radio restorers is the CL-90 NTC made by GE Sensing. If you are handy with a soldering iron, it is fairly simple to build your own “In-rush box”, that you can plug in to a surge-protected power strip. The ICL box should have its own its own power switch. This has the advantage of reducing wear and tear on your radio’s combination on/off/volume knob. (This is a part that is likely to fail, typically when the volume potentiometer gets scratchy beyond the point of minor annoyance–the classic “scratchy pot” syndrome.) By leaving your radio’s power switch always in the “on” position and the volume at a comfortable level, and instead controlling the power with your in-rush box, you’ll eliminate most of this wear and tear.



Letter Re: Making Your Own Maps for the Field

Jim,
I have several books, folded sheet, and other type maps. I wanted to purchase or acquire a good satellite image map with roads and terrain. After thinking, big mistake, I realized I already had the answer loaded on my computer.

I have Google Earth. On Google Earth you can add lots of legend material, Miles/ Kilometer, parks, etc, I went to the area I was in and printed out several elevations. In some areas you can zoom down to 100 feet elevation. I then went to the nearby office place and had the sheets laminated, and spiral bound. Keep you print outs in order or in the word processor program number your pages and add N,S,E,W tags. Then I got the bright idea that 8”x 11” was rather large so I made new print outs ½ size, laminated spiral bound, with a cover. Now if you do not have a color printer it is possible to save your handy work to disk and at an office place like Kinko’s have them print it out for you. The cost is slightly more but well worth the effort. I you don’t have a computer you local library has one and if they don’t have Google Earth, then use Weatherunderground.com. Choose your area and then pick “wundermap” function right click to copy then paste into your document.

One other item I will suggest is a journal. Write down your thoughts and dreams. Later in life it may provide some laughs, good information or just having reading material. The “Marble” type bound notebook is fine or if you are so inclined a mole skin type bound or there are lots of other options just not spiral bound.

Jim, you and your family are in our Prayers and thank you for writing your new book, “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It“. I’m now only several chapters into it but I’m already certain the information will save me several thousands of dollars in mistakes. – Jeff B.



Economics and Investing:

Reader Brian S. sent this: Dutch DSB Bank Nationalized After Bank Run By Clients. “The Netherlands’ central bank said Monday it has taken control of DSB Bank NV after clients began a run amid fears the regional lender might collapse.” Brian notes: “People can [presently] only take 250 Euro per day from their accounts.”

Icahn: Risk of Double Dip, Investor ‘Bloodbath’. (Thanks to Flavio for the linkio.)

A piece by Charles Hugh Smith posted over at Housing Storm: Deflation or Inflation: Who Cares?

Analysis from Greg Fielding (also at Housing Storm): Did the FHA make bad loans with taxpayer money to prop up home prices?

I found an an interesting video of a Jim Sinclair interview by David Williams in South Africa: Gold & Inflation. Sinclair predicts gold at $1,650 per ounce by January, 2011. (This was linked at the Total Investor blog.)

Items from The Economatrix:

California Budget Already in the Red 10 Weeks After its Passage. California unemployment hit 12.2% in August

US Dollar Falls as Skeptics Buy Euro, Aussie

Derivatives Lobby Links with New Dems to Blunt Obama’s Plan

China Buys The World


US Has Miles to Go With Its Mortgage Modification Plan


FHA May Be Setting Up Repeat of Housing Bubble

Many Jobless Workers Could Lose COBRA Subsidy. 65% subsidy will end on December 1st if not extended

Will Social Security Survive the Recession? Rep. Jason Chaffetz, R-Utah, has written that when debts to various government trust funds are added to the anticipated 2010 budget deficit, the U.S. debt burden will reach nearly 100 percent of gross domestic product in 2010. Moreover, Rep. Chaffetz estimates that when unfunded liabilities of more than $100 trillion from Social Security, Medicare and government employee pensions are included, national debt is several times larger than GDP.

Citigroup Tries to Shed $100 Million Man “Superstar trader a political liability now that bailed-out firm is 34% owned by feds”

Orange Juice Jumps 10% on Crop Report

Gary North: Banksters Bait and Switch Fractional Reserve System

Gary North: Fractional Reserve Banking System Basis of Bankster Fraud

FHA Raising Concerns with Policy Makers



Odds ‘n Sods:

GS in the State of Jefferson sent us this: Schwarzenegger signs ammunition sales bill. A thumbprint and detailed personal information before completing an ammo sale? BTW, this new law includes .22 Long Rifle ammo! What insanity. Once again, my advice to SurvivalBlog readers is to get out of California. It is a lost cause. Vote with your feet!

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Exercise can extend survival even in ‘oldest old’ (Thanks to Roxie for the link.)

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Ralph U. sent this one: Cold temperatures threaten Idaho seed potato crop



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“Every man who goes into the Indian country should be armed with a rifle and revolver, and he should never, either in camp or out of it, lose sight of them. When not on the march, they should be placed in such a position that they can be seized at an instant’s warning; and when moving about outside the camp, the revolver should invariably be worn in the belt, as the person does not know at what moment he may have use for it. – Randolph B. Marcy, Captain, U.S. Army, The Prairie Traveler, 1859