From Michael Z. Williamson: M4 Carbine Failures in Afghanistan Likely Due to High Rate of Fire

Dear Jim,

The alleged failure of M4s in Afghanistan is being discussed on my forum and others. The story so far seems to be that when troops fired enough rounds [in a very short period of time] to overheat the weapons, they jammed. This is true of any weapon. Of course, circumstances may dictate that this happen, but it is not a design defect. The M4 is a carbine, not a light machineguns. It’s akin to blaming the HMMWV for having bad armor, when it was designed as a light truck. This site has some details, and a link to the after-action report (AAR). – Michael Z. Williamson, SurvivalBlog Editor at Large



Three Letters Re: Abandonment of the Dollar is a Premature Rumor

James Wesley,
Regarding the oil-denominated-in-dollars flurry, two important points must be noted. First, dollar denominated contracts can be immediately hedged in foreign exchange markets (FOREX) even before the oil is pumped out of the ground. The oil barons aren’t stuck holding their dollars any longer than they can call a FOREX desk or sovereign Treasury department (3/4 of the world’s oil is owned by governments, not Exxon/Chevron/etc.)

The more important point of dollar-denominated oil contracts is dollar prestige. Documents from the Federal Reserve show that Arthur Burns not only was interfering with the gold markets three decades ago, but the level of cloak-and-dagger efforts to keep the dollar as the world’s reserve currency for political power.

Dollar-denominated oil contracts purposes are to preserve hegemony, not prop up foreign central banks’ currency reserve. Godspeed, – Brian in Wisconsin

Sir:
The current situation with the US Dollar is best described as a near perfect case of the Prisoner’s Dilemma. The best thing for big holders of US Dollars to do is get rid of dollars as fast as is possible without tipping any other significant holders off that they are doing it. Otherwise their best bet is to get rid of their dollars before anyone else does. If someone did that, it would trigger a crash. The only thing stopping everyone right now is that a dollar crash would likely tank the global economy as well. It is beginning to appear that the carry-trade being funded in US Dollars could be the tipping point for serious action as it is relentlessly driving the value of the dollar down. Just look at a chart of the Dollar Index over the past six months. It is clear that the Federal Reserve has no stomach to raise interest rates to stop this progression of events since that would crash our own economy. It would not take a large event to bring the dollar crashing down any time now. – Mike B.

Jim
First, as other people have pointed out here, Iraq provides very little US oil due to its geographic location. The war in Iraq is in no way related to the US oil market. Rather, Iraq is a prime supplier to Europe, in which case a switch from Dollar to Euro was perfectly reasonable (and suited Saddam’s temperament). It would be ridiculous to start a trillion dollar war over such a trivial item. There were much more significant reasons, which I’ll offer in a separate post for discussion. However, the overall global trend is to diversify from single currencies, which I regard as a healthy movement. A great many of our current global economic problems stem from overemphasizing the paper dollar. The former USSR had the same problem–consider what the Ruble is worth now, versus what the USSR claimed it to be worth (About $5 US, in their over-inflated opinion). Personally, I’ve never been one for paper money. I prefer to convert it to capital, such as inventory, home equity, useful vehicles and food. You can always trade food. You cannot eat money. – Michael Z. Williamson, SurvivalBlog’s Editor at Large



Economics and Investing:

Karen H. mentioned this sobering piece, also subsequently sent in by several other readers: Foreclosures: ‘Worst three months of all time’

The latest from Dr. Housing Bubble: A Comprehensive Look at the Southern California Housing Market: 60,000 Properties Listed on the MLS but over 100,000 in Shadow Inventory. California and Nationwide Median Home Price Trends since 1968. Say Good-Bye to Option ARMs.

Also from Karen: Dollar to Hit 50 Yen, Cease as Reserve

IRS Intensifies Global Hunt for Secret Offshore Bank Accounts

Desperate Dollar Heading to the Basement. (BTW, they concur with my comments on the USDI‘s crucial support level: 72.)

Items from The Economatrix:

Dow Passes 10,000 For First Time In A Year. There’s another sheep to be shorn every minute…

JPMorgan Earns $3.6 Billion, But Loan Losses Remain High

Bank Regulators: Real Estate Loans Biggest Concerns

Watchdog: Treasury and Fed Failed in AIG Oversight

Sept. Retail Sales Fall 1.5% Post-Clunkers

The End of Money and the Future of Civilization

2008 Debt Crisis Morphed to 2009-2010 Dollar Crisis

Pension Fund Losses: To Infinity and Beyond

Silver Has More Possibilities to Appreciate than Gold



Odds ‘n Sods:

World Rice Stockpiles Hit as Yields Drop

   o o o

UN: World hunger has been increasing for a decade. Thanks to Bob for the link.

   o o o

SurvivalBlog’s Editor at Large Michael Z. Williamson sent us this glimpse of the the Third World: In India: Forget the Diamond Ring, Brides Want Ceramic. “…since a “No Toilet, No Bride” campaign started about two years ago, 1.4 million toilets have been built here in the northern state of Haryana, some with government funds, according to the state’s health department… “I won’t let my daughter near a boy who doesn’t have a latrine,” said Usha Pagdi, who made sure that daughter Vimlas Sasva, 18, finished high school and took courses in electronics at a technical school. “No loo? No ‘I do,’ ” Vimlas said, laughing as she repeated a radio jingle.” Mike’s comment: “As has been mentioned here recently, most westerners don’t really grasp how essential modern plumbing, from water to sewage systems, are to modern society. Without them, large cities are simply impossible, and small housing lots lead quickly to the type of pestilences that wiped out large areas of Europe and Asia during various plagues. Bacterial infections can reduce populations in a matter of days. There is, of course, an irony that the vocal eco activists (the anti-human, pro-wildlife types) would never suggest getting rid of indoor plumbing, even though doing so would reduce the world’s urban population significantly.” [JWR Adds: Coincidentally, we may see some public health issues in the tent cities that are springing up in the US.]

   o o o

This product has some possibilities: the Ballistic Clipboard. If carried in a briefcase or in a laptop bag, it might give you some protection, particularly in locations where you must be disarmed–such as in many office buildings, courthouses, and inside airport terminals. In those circumstances, having some protection is better than nothing!





Notes from JWR:

I’m pleased to report that there have been more than $7,000 in donations received for the Linda Rawles Memorial Fund, that supports an orphanage and school in rural Zambia. Thusfar, donations have come from 36 of the 50 states, Australia, and Canada. Those that have made donations will soon receive a confirmation letter, with certification that can be used for tax purposes. (Your donations are fully tax deductible.) Many thanks for your generous donations. As per Linda’s request before her death, they have been earmarked for self-sufficiency projects for the orphanage including a grain mill, a new banana grove (more than 300 banana trees have just recently been planted), and new crop cultivation. (For instance, a new bean field was just planted.) Photovoltaic power for the orphanage and school is also planned, and you can help make it happen. OBTW, any doctors, PAs, dentists, and nurses that have time available are welcome to volunteer for the planned medical assistance rotation to the Anchor School. Please e-mail Anchor of Hope’s founder Judy Kendall, for details.

Today we present another entry for Round 25 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest.

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) and C.) A HAZARiD Decontamination Kit from Safecastle.com. (A $350 value.)

Second Prize: A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $350.

Third Prize: A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing.

Round 25 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Perspectives on Roughing It and Covert Car Camping, by Jolly

I was a Boy Scout, and later did a fair amount of camping when I toured the US by motorcycle in the late 1980s. My tents started floorless and without mosquito netting; progressed to canvas umbrella tent with both. Later still, I was able to go to ripstop nylon “pup” style tents. Advancing, finally, to modern shock-corded aluminum poles and nylon.

After a long gap of 20+ years, my son is now a scout, and I’m on the “no-other-parent-can-go-and-we’ll-have-to-cancel-if-you-don’t-volunteer” rotation for his troop.

I just completed my second camp-out, and have noticed a few things that both dismay and encourage me.

Following is a stream-of-consciousness review of my reentry into the roughing-it world. Please bear in mind that emergency preparedness has been on my mind for a couple of years, and I didn’t go into this a complete neophyte. That said, I didn’t actually do anything other than car-camping since about 1993.

Buy a backpack one size smaller than you think you need. It’s amazing how much crap a backpack can hold – inside and out. If you actually physically cannot cram another gizmo into the pack, then you’ll have to leave that gadget behind. That will always focus your mind on what’s truly important.

The single most important article of clothing you need in an emergency is a hooded rain poncho. Even in mild temperatures, you can lose a lot of body heat when you’re wet. A rain poncho will help against wind and rain, and can double as a tarp if necessary. I have found two good sources: Jacks-r-Better and Camping Survival’s “GI Plus”. You should spray both with silicone to enhance their water repellant properties. Don’t rely on cheap plastic or vinyl ponchos. During testing I quickly destroyed both of these varieties.

Second most important article of clothing is hiking boots, followed closely by a full brimmed waterproof hat. I have the Tilley nylon winter hat, with retractable ear muffs.

Craigslist is the best place to get camping gear cheap. To date this year, I have picked up two tents, a backpack, a Coleman stove, camp kitchen, tarp, and several other things. Usually, the price is about 10-25% of retail. In the case of the Coleman stove, it’s an older model (1973) and built much better than the modern cr*p (which I also have). A $15 repair kit, and $20 for the stove, and it’s in brand-new condition. I got a $300 North Face tent for $75 – and it was brand new with original price tags.

Craigslist is a wonderful resource, but there are some rules you might try. First, look for a solid month before offering to buy anything. That way, when a bargain shows up, you’ll know it instantly.

Second, if the item is really hot – don’t make any arrangements to pick it up more than a day out. I lost the chance to acquire a pair of Wiggy’s brand sleeping bags because I tried to schedule pick up four days away. The lady sold them to somebody else because he offered her a deal she couldn’t refuse. That’s $1,000 worth of sleeping bags I could’ve had for $50 and I was too cheap to just pick them up ( about 80 miles away ).

Third, as hinted at above – when purchasing from Craigslist – calculate your time & mileage into the price of the items. A bargain that’s 50 miles away becomes much more expensive with gas and driving time tacked on. Ask if the seller can meet you half way.

And fourth – generally low ball an offer on the item unless it’s already too-good-to-be-true priced.

Break in your emergency / hiking boots. I have two pair of excellent quality boots that I’ve had for about eight years. I’ve worn them on occasion, but never really broken them in. This weekend, I pulled down a pair and used them on this trip. Socks were too thick for one thing – these are Goretex and Thinsulate boots, and a bit thicker as a consequence. My feet were miserable yesterday as the socks were too tight, and I ended up hobbling about like an old man by the end of the day. Today I went without socks (as my second pair of socks were just as thick as the first), and was much better, but had the other problem of rubbing the wrong spots you’d expect to have when going sans socks.

Test your equipment. Every camp-out is a test bed for my equipment. This particular trip I tested a Craigslist-purchased North Face one man tent ( Canyonlands ), and a newer sleeping pad ( Thermalite Prolite Plus ). The tent was wonderful. Bigger than my small nylon tent used when motorcycle camping (though not by much ), and an excellent performer. It’s my current favorite. The mattress also was quite nice – and made in USA.

That said, I think I understand the popularity of inflatable camp pillows. My older head and neck didn’t appreciate the stuff-sack-filled-with-a-towel-and jacket pillow that worked adequately 20 and 30 years ago. I had a nasty headache when I awoke this morning, and I know I was head higher than feet on the gentle slope. My 18 year old sleeping bag, however, worked well.

Sitting down is the main problem for old knees and feet – especially in the rain. I don’t want to sound like a whiner, but it gets tiresome standing around with a coffee cup because the ground is too wet to sit, and there aren’t any rocks nearby. I’m open to suggestions to fix that. On my first trip, I had cut a section of the closed-cell Thermarest pad ( they’re green and purple, and do not compress well at all). It helped a lot placed on a rock. This time, I didn’t have that, as I was using a different ( more comfortable )pad.

Erect a tarp so you have a dry place to work. Tarps are cheap, light, small to pack, and generally easy to erect. If it’s raining, put up your tarp first so you can unpack necessities where it’s dry. You might even need to erect your tent under one. Later, you can cook under it, and generally live under it until bedtime.

Put lanyards on everything. A recent fetish of mine is parachute cord. I get mine from Supply Captain in 100-foot lengths. I put lanyards on my pack zippers, multi-tool, flashlights, LED lanterns, etc. I use different colors and locations to help me know which of the myriad zippers it’s attached to. For example, to get to my emergency whistle, I can tug on the blue & yellow one. For my tactical light – the olive drab. Multi-tool is black, et cetera.

There are different sizes of nylon cord. Get the smaller stuff for many jobs. If I wish to erect a tarp, use a 100 lb test cord instead of the 550 paracord. It’s far smaller, lighter, and easier to work with.

There’s a tension when purchasing emergency equipment. Bright-and-visible vs camouflage. Bright orange equipment, or ACU digital camo? Or something in between? Currently, I’ve been getting innocuous black or green equipment. If I need to be seen – I can always whip out mylar space blanket, or build three fires, or use the whistle, etc..

Anybody who thinks that anything more than bare-bones survival is feasible with a shiny space blanket hasn’t actually used one in the woods. I’m very ambivalent about these things. I can see a use for them, I guess, to help reduce heat loss, but can’t imagine they’re effective in most situations I’m likely to encounter, with one exception.

That exception would be as a blanket put on a injury victim to prevent or mitigate shock. Any animated person is going to tear the damn things or find they’re too small to really do anything well. They really are just barely useful. Especially for big people such as myself.

I’m going to experiment with a sleeping bag version put out by Adventure Medical called a “Heat Sheet.” I probably should’ve tried it last night, but I had too many other tests going on, and didn’t want any more variables. The next trip is early November, and might already be too cold for a decent test. I hope to have my Wiggy’s winter bags by that time.

The Heat Sheet is interesting because it’s a full sleeping bag and you don’t have to worry about coverage. I’m a big guy and coverage is important. I’ve heard it’s warm but keeps moisture trapped inside.

Lower that pack weight! Did I mention that people try to carry too much crap? One of the younger scouts packed two tents (actually a Hennessey Hammock and a Sierra Designs Tengu 3!), plus one of those nylon full-sized camp chairs. His pack weighed a ton.

One patrol had so much stuff, they used a child’s wagon to carry what wouldn’t fit in their ( giant ) packs. Part of this is not their fault – the Scouts don’t allow liquid fuel stoves, and therefore, the scouts have to use propane. Of course when I was a kid, we used only wood. But, many camping areas do not allow campfires any more.

Carry only one extra set of clothing, except, maybe, socks. In addition, carry two layers, or more for winter. If you get one set of clothes dirty or wet, then just clean and dry them while wearing the other set. I prefer nylon and polyester. Believe it or not, Boy Scout pants and shirts are among the best I’ve found, for a decent price. They come in sizes up to XXXXL, too. Just ensure that you have very high quality and tough clothes.

Don’t take any mess kits made out of plastic. Use only metal so it can double as cooking equipment. I hate to say this – I bought the entire family colorful mess kits. Each had their own color, and they come with plate, bowls, spork, cup, etc. And for car camping, they’re great! But, for hiking / camping, they can’t do double duty as cooking equipment, so they’re leaving my pack. I’m replacing the set with a stainless steel mug of 20 oz, and a lidded 600 ml pot that can be used as plate and bowl. Less equipment = less weight.

Did you know that you can take a prophylactic dose of Ibuprofen to minimize swelling when you know you’re going to hit the trail [on an arduous hike]? I learned this from a doctor at an Appleseed event. It’s very effective, but don’t drink alcohol 48 hours before or after the dose. Ask your doctor for specifics.

Take a hike with a full pack. I’m good for about three miles before I worry about getting an infarction. Part of the problem are the shoes, but general lack of fitness is kicking my butt. I used to ride a bicycle 300 miles a week in the 1980s, but the last twenty years I’ve been a software engineer and my fitness has plummeted.

How are you going to cook food? Planning for an emergency, you have to ask yourself questions such as, “What will I be cooking? How long in the woods? How many people? Car camping? And so on.

My cooking plans are pretty extensive. If I’m staying put in my house, the main plan includes a Coleman stove. My wife actually prefers cooking on one of those to our electric range. It’s also useful for car camping. One gallon of Coleman fuel will last an amazingly long time. Refills are available at most gas stations with yellow-bottle Heet. A single burner camp stove is great for motorcycle camping.

Next tier down is wilderness camping – for that I prefer alcohol burners / stoves. There are myriad choices, and I won’t go into all of them. I even tried to invent my own and found that I couldn’t do a better job of it than a dozen others I’ve purchased. The best, in my opinion, is the Trangia “Spirit Burner” from Sweden. Not pressurized, no moving parts. Built like a tank, but pretty light to carry, too. About $10.

My own system marries a “Sterno” stove with a Trangia burner, and I get a full-sized pot and pan platform with a windscreen for about half a pound. I use two of these side by side for two burners to cook most anything. Total cost for both is about $35. Buy some denatured alcohol and cook some meals on your porch to get the hang of it. That is part of fully testing your equipment. Please note that there are two kinds of Trangia burners. The military surplus version fits the Sterno stove perfectly. The civilian version requires support. I use a tuna can. If you invert the tuna can, the burner is closer to the pot. I don’t do that myself, and have found the heat transfer to be completely adequate. You can also just use a Sterno can, obviously.

A lot of people prefer “canister” stoves – using butane, propane, isobutane, or other variants. Yes, these are great. They work anywhere. But, they are expensive to fuel and it’s harder to find refills. Also, most butane systems have tiny pot stands, making them very easy to knock over. And if you’re cooking with large pots or pans – they’re almost unusable.

Whatever you decide upon – stock up on fuel, and place that fuel in several caches, both cars, bug-out bags, etc. If you’re using volatile fuel, such as white gas, ensure you insulate the can against high heat. In cold weather, keep a 4 oz bottle of alcohol inside your jacket to ensure easy lighting.

Buy a windup radio that charges cell phones. These are down under $50 and will give you two types of communication. I have the Eton FR360. These also charge any USB device, including iPods and most music players. This weekend I used it to keep my iPhone charged, and while a bit tedious – it worked.

How to Covertly Sleep in Your Car
I’m fairly frugal. Several times I have worked out of state. I hated giving upwards of $100 / per night to hotels so I developed a system for sleeping in my car that ensures that I would not be noticed. The first vehicle I used was a pickup truck with a bed camper top – not a real camper, just a top with windows on the side. The second vehicle was Chevy Suburban. Both vehicles were reputable looking, and not too new or old – completely innocuous.

Cover all the windows on the inside with large sheets of butcher paper (white) or brown wrapping paper. Both can be found for cheap at Wal-Mart. It’s important to do a neat job of it so there are no wrinkles, holes, or other damage. I use clear wrapping tape, and cut to fit. On both vehicles, the windows covered were tinted, and only a close look would you even notice they were blocked off. They just look – blank.

On the Suburban, I bought a bungee cord and tan curtains for $10 – again from Wal-Mart. String the curtains on the bungee cord. Then, attach the cord to the coat hanger hooks behind the driver’s and passenger seats. Make sure they hang straight and neat. There will be a gap at the top of the curved roof, but it’s nothing to worry about.

The last step is to turn off your car’s interior light if you can. On many newer cars, this is done with a switch on the driver’s console. Other cars have a switch on the light itself to prevent the light coming on with an open door. If all else fails – disconnect the light bulb.

The hard part is finding a place to sleep. Here is one time when you cannot sleep in Wal-Mart’s parking lot. You’re not driving an RV, just a car. And “empty” cars will be scrutinized by flashlight-wielding security or police.

In a large metropolitan area, the best places are large apartment complexes, preferably straddling a street. Park in the street right behind another car already there. I did this for well over a year without any problems at all.

In the drive-in apartment complexes, ensure there’s a lot of extra spots, and that the one you pick is not marked in any way. Usually, I try to pick a spot that the front of the car faces a wall, or the garbage dump area. You don’t want to face a park or sidewalk. You want your car to be one among many. Don’t park way off to one side – dog walkers may be too common and wonder about the car with curtains.

Small office parks are another good choice. Here, the opposite of apartment complexes is wanted. Park the car as far from the building entrances as possible. Here it’s easier to face a wall or line of bushes. People will do anything to shorten their walk to work.

Going to sleep is not normally a problem – I usually went to sleep well after midnight. Whatever you do, don’t dawdle when entering your sleep area. There may be people that notice a slow-moving car driving slowly through a parking lot more than once. Scope several places in advance, and have a primary and secondary location for the night.

The two most observable times will be going to sleep and getting up. Usually, you’ll be more visible during daytime, obviously. But, getting noticed depends on what time you’re leaving and where you parked.

If you can wiggle into your driver’s seat without getting out of the vehicle – you have it made. Neither time was I able to do that. I had to leave the car to get into the driver’s seat.

I left small flaps in the paper on both cars and would open them to look in all directions (as necessary) for pedestrians and security vehicles. When you’re sure you’re clear – make a very fast exit, and get your feet on the ground. After that, if required, you can pretend you’re retrieving something, and take a leisurely pace. Unless somebody was looking directly at your car when you exited, they will almost assuredly assume you just opened the door, rather than popped out of it.

In an office park, ensure your exit is on the opposite side from the office buildings. Imagine a bored secretary staring dazedly out the window. Suddenly – a scruffy looking man with wild hair pops out of a car door, walks quickly around the hood and drives off. Not good. In my favorite park, I was between a wall and a tree break. Though I finally got noticed after six months, and had to use backup.

Do not stretch, or scratch your head, or hang around at all at this time. Get into your car seat. Start it, and leave at a normal pace. I don’t know about you, but it you’re like me – you’ll be way too scary an apparition for most people. You should have also designated a place to go in the morning to do the ritual wake-up duties such as bathroom, teeth, hair brushing, etc. I usually use McDonald’s. I then repaid them for their facilities by buying breakfast.

Other items to remember are ventilation and security. The pickup was no problem – I just left the windows open a crack, including the back panel. This allowed me to hear my surroundings pretty well, too. On the Suburban, it was more problematic. One inch on each window was left open at the top, and I didn’t leave the back open. I also engaged the car alarm.

Unfortunately, one morning I forgot about the car alarm, and opened the door causing it to go off. I had the key in my hand, and stopped it very quickly, and I was sure the whole world had noticed my faux pas. Alas, nobody even hears car alarms anymore, and I didn’t have to abandon that spot.

Never, ever go to rest stops on the interstate to sleep. While traveling, if I couldn’t find an apartment complex or office park, or other suitable location, I’d park on the onramp of a highway – many times between trucks doing the same. I got rousted three times by cops over the years. Technically, it’s illegal to park there. Each time I told the truth – I was very tired, and unsure I could proceed to the next motel location. Two of the three times, the cop said that’s fine, and go ahead and stay. The third time, he helpfully noted that the very next exit had a motel.

If you have a regular route, other considerations might come into play. For me, sleeping in a tiny Honda Civic, I would have problems with biting insects – and very warm nights. Both problems were solved with an onramp location in an extremely windy spot next to San Francisco bay. (Parish Road off of I-680 in case you’re wondering ). My pattern was to arrive about 2 am on a Sunday night and sleep until 7am Monday morning. I then proceeded across the bridge and went to a Burger King in Walnut Creek. I was rousted twice in a six month period.

I have less experience in rural areas. Though extreme familiarity with a route can help by allowing you to identify good spots during the daytime for possible use on another trip. For example, I used to drive between Oregon and Pahrump quite often (on my way to attend training at Front Sight). I spent one whole day identifying likely spots for impromptu camp spots.

One spot, south of Tonopah was a short road that led to some kind of a relay station. I’m pretty sure it was a microwave station, but it doesn’t matter. The small fenced-in building was partially hidden behind a hill from the main road, and clearly was not visited very often. The road leading to it went further around the hill, leaving a nice void hidden from the station itself.

Between Tonopah and Hawthorne, I identified two spots very similar to the first, though both were very windy. North of Hawthorne, Walker Lake had parking spots that I felt comfortable enough to use without hiding.

Rural terrain will dictate your choices, too. In South Carolina, I identified two spots on US-25 north of Greenville that looked pretty good. Their characteristic? They were both old houses that had been completely covered in kudzu! I could literally drive under a canopy of kudzu and hide the entire car.

Finally, etiquette inside the car. I always wore gym shorts and T-shirt in a sleeping bag. Never anything resembling underwear. I never used a flashlight or listened to the radio. I was there strictly for sleeping. I didn’t eat, cook, brush teeth, or anything else except sleep. The human eye is especially tuned to see movement. Even with covered windows, a brief movement might catch a dog-walker’s attention enough to wander over and look at the car. Not a good thing.

I estimate I’ve saved more than $10,000 in motel bills over the years.

The main thing is to have people assume the car is empty, and belongs to somebody nearby. Obviously, in a serious crisis, extra thought may be necessary to keep below the radar of both security and nosy people.



Letter Re: Preparations for Eyesight and Hearing

Hello Mr. Rawles,

This is just a quick note from a new reader. If what I mention to you has been covered on your site, I apologize; your site takes more than a few multi-hour reads to digest!

I see very little talk about contact lenses/solution and hearing aids/batteries post-TEOTWAWKI in most preparedness articles. I would think it would be most unfortunate to train, learn and prepare for any upcoming abnormalities and shortly thereafter not be able to see or hear.

It would seem to me that at least a couple year’s supply of contact lenses on hand at all times would be wise, and perhaps an extra hearing aid or twenty for those that need? And I bet you saline solution for contacts and extra hearing aid batteries would be great barter items in the event of a major catastrophe. Those items will be worth their weight in gold (if not more valuable) to the unprepared masses.

Perhaps a wise suggestion would be Lasik surgery or something similar very soon for those who would benefit from it; those that depend on contacts would be wise to think about that procedure or something similar to eliminate their dependency on visual aids. And to say the least, several pairs of sturdy, mil-spec frame prescription glasses would be a great investment for the well-prepared.

One is reminded of the old “Twilight Zone” episode [“Time Enough, At Last”, starring Burgess Meredith] where the bookworm comes out of the bank vault, sees the world in post-nuclear destruction….and drops his glasses, smashing them. A true nightmare scenario indeed! Thank you for your wonderful blog site and books. Sincerely, – Rick T.



Two Letters Re: Abandonment of the Dollar is a Premature Rumor

In response to InyoKern’s letter: The title of this discussion thread and the original text that went with it could just as well have been written by any of the well-scripted talking heads on mainstream F-TV (financial television). My initial inclination is to be diplomatic, but considering the exceptional economic times we are currently witnessing, I say, “Balderdash!”

I could reasonably conclude that the majority of the readers of “Survivalblog” are more apt to follow unconventional economic sages such as Jim Sinclair, Jim Willie, Jim Rogers, Bob Chapman, or Peter Schiff as opposed to the well-orchestrated financial propaganda of CNBC, MSNBC, CNN, “FAUX” News, or any of the formerly-relevant “major” networks that spin financial news in the adoring spirit of the CIA’s “Operation Mockingbird” that originated in the 1950s.

As such, these “enlightened” readers will know that the fiat U.S. dollar is doomed along with its unconstitutional facilitator, the Federal Reserve – which, as the saying goes, “is as ‘Federal’ as FedEx”.

Coincidentally, Rep. Ron Paul’s bill to audit the Fed has reportedly garnered 300 co-sponsors in the House of Representatives. The Federal Reserve’s days are numbered and it too will go the way of the “Edsel” along with its monopoly-money-clone, the U.S. dollar.

The recent clues to the dollar’s demise – sooner rather than later – are so numerous and widespread that one would have to be locked in solitary confinement in a maximum security prison to be oblivious to them.

The dollar has dropped from 89.49 to under 76 on the USDX within the last 12 months; gold is at record nominal highs in the $1,060 range; China is dumping dollars for tangible commodities at an alarming pace; Countries are making deals to trade goods and services to avoid utilizing dollars in their international transactions; The dollar is the international “carry trade” currency of choice now which is very dollar negative; The LBMA (London Bullion Market Association) and the U.S.-based COMEX are both in immediate danger of technical default due to lack of physical metals inventory for settlement of contracts that demand physical bullion; the Federal Reserve is monetizing U.S. Treasury debt sales via printing currency out of thin air to purchase foreign central banks’ agency bonds to enable those foreign central banks to use the proceeds to purchase Treasuries…and on and on and on.

The readers who have known nothing but the strength and security of the U.S. dollar for their entire lives and cannot accept the fact that a currency change of epic proportions is coming will have a rude awakening in the form of a lowered standard of living and reduced purchasing power – especially those on fixed incomes. The fact that we are talking about the death of a world reserve currency makes the problem exponential in nature.

The days of the world’s workers laboring all day for “a song and a dance” so that spoiled Americans can have access to cheap goods financed by the savings of the world are coming to a rapid and bone-jarring end. We have squandered our wealth and the creditors are lining up for the yard sale – and they’re bringing our increasingly-worthless dollars with them to buy up our infrastructure.

Got gold? (or silver?, or platinum?, etc.) The answer to those questions may well determine how you answer the question, “Got milk?”, in the future. Signed, – RB

Jim,
InyoKern is a real optimist, like so many of your readers. Many countries, such as those in the Middle East, have been in financial trouble, and are selling some of their holdings of all kinds, including dollars. Also, the US stock market is quite small compared to the bond market, where the real action is. And I don’t believe Putin’s trip was simply about being happy oil exporters.

His analysis below seems really off-base to me:

“And the Japanese, the other big holder of Dollars? We feed Japan with our rice, our Kobe beef (a special breed of cattle raised here in California and shipped across the ocean), and they buy our bonds because the national bank system of Japan is less than effective. Japan is also occupied by US bases since Japan is unable, legally, to more than defend itself within its own borders. Threats by North Korea means we, as their allies, are their defense abroad from a real and determined foe. A hundred million Japanese can’t afford to dump the Dollar.”

For one thing, an aging Japan is going to need to sell dollars to pay for pensions and medical care. For another, saying that the Japanese buy American bonds because the US banking system is in better shape is dubious. The Japanese have been in a “marriage” with the US, and that’s why they are forced to buy American beef, even though there is strong resentment about not buying from a country where they test for diseases better, such as Australia. The trouble is that the husband has had a secret gambling habit, and was actually laid off from his good job a few years ago and has been working part-time and living off credit cards. The wife just found out, and she’s letting the neighbors in Korea and China know some of the dirty laundry. Regards, – P.L.

JWR Replies: I agree that InyoKern is overly optimistic, but part of his premise is valid. In essence, the problem with US Dollars is that there are too many of them in circulation. And the problem for foreign holders of US Dollars is that they are holding too many of them, all at once. They cannot dump dollars rapidly, or the value of the dollar will collapse overnight, leaving them with nothing but kindling. (Or the electronic equivalent thereof.) Wise investors have been quietly getting out of dollars and into tangible commodities for several years. I expect this trend to continue for the foreseeable future. Interest rate inequities will perpetuate a Dollar Carry Trade that will be an even bigger market than the Yen Carry Trade that has been played successfully by currency speculators for the past two decades.

In the final analysis, yes, the US Dollar is doomed. Protect yourself by minimizing your dollar-denominated investments, and parlay the proceeds into useful tangibles like silver, gold, productive farm or ranch land, guns, and ammunition. The timing of the dollar’s decline and eventual collapse is very difficult to predict. But it is better to be a year early than a day late. Get out of your Dollar-denominated investments!



Influenza Pandemic Update:

Karen H. sent this piece for the I told you so department: Lung Failure in H1N1 Cases Spurs Life Support Demand. I warned you that there aren’t enough ventilators!

Also from Karen: Third Swine-Flu Wave Poses Threat to Hospital ICUs

German Army first in line to get cutting-edge swine flu shot.

Four-Year-Old Survives Swine Flu (Barely)

Massachusetts House Approves Bill Okaying Quarantines

Ohio School to Discuss Boy’s Swine Flu Death



Economics and Investing:

GG sent us this New York Post article: Dollar loses reserve status to yen & euro

Fed’s Bullard warns on inflation, unemployment. (Thanks to GG for the link.)

Value of UK farmland could double in five years.

Jeff mentioned this piece at Zero Hedge: Why Did U.S. SDR Holdings Increase Five Fold in the Last Week of August?

Items from The Economatrix:

Weak Dollars, Strong Euro Combine to Create Eurozone Pain

Rogers Sure Gold to Hit $2,000, Dollar to Lose Reserve

Why Soaring Gold Prices Should Set Off Alarm Bells

Unintended consequences of deflation: Colorado Minimum Wage to Drop as Cost of Living Drops

CIT Groups Says CEO Peek Plans to Resign

Dollar Facing “Power Shift” Say Analysts

Central Banks Diversify Out of the Dollar

Goldman Sachs to Reveal $23 Billion in Bonuses

Wall Street Banks Brace for More Big Losses

Cash Machines Were Monitored Every Hour During 2008 Crisis

Commodities Boom Could Last 20 Years

Dollar Reaches Breaking Point as Banks Shift Reserves



Odds ‘n Sods:

SF in Hawaii mentioned a low cost source for poly water tanks.

   o o o

Several readers wrote to tell me about a dated, yet interesting article: In 2008 Afghanistan firefight, US weapons failed

   o o o

Some congressmen get it: Tax Policy, Economic Growth and American Families. Too bad that they don’t hold a majority. (Thanks to JHB for the link.)

   o o o

Reader Michael A. asked me to remind folks that John Pugsley’s now classic book on practical tangibles investing The Alpha Strategy is available for free download in PDF.





Note from JWR:

Today’s first post comes from SurvivalBlog’s volunteer correspondent in Israel, an American expatriate with a varied background as an outdoorsman, firefighter, food inspector, and most recently, a Torah scholar.



Water, Water Everywhere?, by David in Israel

James,
I think it important to remind the readers of survivalblog to assess their water supply situation in the event of a local or national emergency. Much of the western united states even the well irrigated areas are actually truly considered high desert and could nor supply even 10% of the population should access be lost to the water supply infrastructure. Unfortunately many people have lived their whole life with functional first world plumbing and the clear knowledge that magical faucets, toilets, and shower heads will always have a supply of clean potable water.

It is imperative that anyone planning a retreat have redundant water supply plans including water table maps and locations of springs and open bodies of water. Planning must include which water tables are affected by drought.

The best sources of water are existing deep wells or open un-dammed bodies of water, plans must include how to pump or transport the water to your retreat.

Since water is probably the most important strategic asset to a retreat there must be plans to protect and access remote water sources especially in the face of bandits who might attempt to monopolize this asset. Pre-crisis would also be a good time to secure and possibly purchase a clear legal share or long term lease to water rights on nearby properties. – David in Israel