"If one does not know to which port one is sailing, no wind is favorable." – Seneca 5 BC – 65 AD
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Note from JWR:
An update on the big 25% off special on Mountain House and Alpine Aire freeze-dried foods in #10 cans, offered by Ready Made Resources: To do better than any competing offer, they are offering free shipping on case lots, and are including some free bonus items with each order. This is in accord with their long-standing “we will not be undersold” sales policy. This sale ends in just four days (on February 14th), so be sure to get your order in soon!
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Letter Re: Gun Laws in Sweden
Hello, Mr Rawles!
Thank you for a great and very useful blog. Thanks for your time and effort that makes for a good, bulky read every morning. On more then one occasion I´ve had to hurry to work because of the lengthy articles.
It seems like you´re receiving letters about gun ownership from around the globe so I thought I´d share Sweden´s gun situation with you.
Sweden has quite liberal gun laws for those who are determined, compared to many other European countries. Compared to the US it´s a hassle, of course, but no problem if you are focused.
Sweden has a different gun culture, as self defense, upholding the constitution and freedom from the king aren´t really seen as gun related issues. If you want a gun here you´ll have to pass for a hunter or sportsman.
The first step in either case is to take classes. To receive a permit for hunting rifles or shotguns you have to have what’s called a “hunter´s degree”. It´s obtained by going to evening classes fifteen (15!) times, scoring 60 of 70 points on the test and passing four different shooting tests, two for rifles and two for shotguns. The time and cost varies some, depending on how much time you need to practice at the range but an inexperienced shot should expect at least eighty hours, with fifty of those hours spent on the classes themselves, and at least $700. The course is $500 with books, the training at the range is $25 an hour with an instructor and then $15 for 25 rounds of shooting on your own. When you are ready you´ll have to pass the four shooting tests which are $50 for the two shotgun tests and another $50 for the rifle tests. Of course, if you´re a terrible shooter there is no limit to what you can spend on classes and tests but I figured that for the average beginner, like myself, it should amount to around $700 total.
Now, the assault on your wallet doesn´t end there, because even with the classes the police still have their say and they charge you for it. The first permit costs $75 for the first gun, with $25 for every additional gun. The permits have to be renewed every five years also. That means you´ll have to pay the same in five years time. Failure to comply with this makes your guns illegal and you risk to be charged with possession of an illegal firearm, which carries a six month sentence, assuming that your guns are unloaded.
Once all the paperwork is done and you´re looking to buy a gun the law requires you to have a gun safe. This either has to be bolted to the wall or weigh more than 330 lbs. For someone living in a rented apartment, like a do, this can pose a problem. We also have a four rifle limit, with the possibility to acquire two additional rifles [under some circumstances]. There are limitations on ammunition as well. These limit the amount of powder you can keep in your home. The limit is set by the fire department and should pose no problem to the average survivalist, since it is of 44 lbs. of powder in cartridges. I haven´t done an exact calculation but it should be around 10,000-to-12,000 rounds.
Pistols are somewhat easier and cheaper [to obtain a license]. You start by joining a shooting club. They arrange classes and usually have their own range. The classes are almost always included in the membership fee and the mandatory test is taken in-house. Once you´ve achieved a certain degree of marksmanship, you´ll get certificate from the club which you present to the police for a permit. From there it the same procedure of course, $75 and the gun safe.
There is a problem with pistols though: You have to start out with a small caliber pistol. This is to weed out anyone wanting a gun for nefarious reasons but also to keep away those not interested in the sport and participating in club activity. This is however not necessarily a bad thing. I was thinking about the article by M.J.M., titled “How to Approach Shooting“, recently posted on your blog.
Once you’ve got your .22 pistol it takes six months of ownership and after you have shown a genuine interest in shooting, the club issues a large caliber certificate. These certificates are required every time you renew your license so you can´t just do a year of hard work and you´re set, to be able to have your gun you´ll have to practice and partake in club activity.
The upside of all this is that, due to limited market, guns are cheap in Sweden. The pries are more or less as in the US but Sweden has a 25% sales tax on top of all other taxes. When I read about the cost of food, land other preps I get envious but guns seems to be equally priced.
Regards; – D. in Sweden
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Letter Re: Diesel Motorcycles Coming to America?
Sir:
Take a look at the E.V.A. Track Turbo Diesel Adventure Tourer Motorcycle. Here is a description from Motorcycle Daily: “The Dutch company E.V.A., builder of small diesel engines as well as an interesting two-wheel-drive system for motorcycles, intends to bring such a bike to market in Europe, and perhaps even the U.S.A. this year. It’s called the Track, and it may be just the bike to have for the apocalypse.”
Here is a link to the E.V.A. company’s web site.
73s, – Steve
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Letter Re: The Ozarks as a Retreat Locale
Mr. Rawles;
The Ozark Mountains and the Ouachita Mountains are part of a very old series of mountains that runs from the Mississippi drainage to the Red River. This formation has been worn down to its present height by erosion and was more recently split by the Arkansas river. In addition to the generous growing season and precipitation you mentioned, many parts of this area have recoverable natural gas deposits and in is common for farms along the Arkansas river to have gas well heads. In addition to a monthly payment, many of these farms also enjoy free natural gas for domestic use.
The Ozark and Ouachita Mountains extend north into Missouri, west into Oklahoma, and as far south as the Texas border. While there are many nice areas in Arkansas, you might want to compare the taxes and regulations in all four of the states in this area. The cities of Fayetteville, Arkansas and Springfield, Missouri are rapidly growing in population but land located even 20 miles away from these urban areas and their associated highway corridors would be reasonable locations.
Finding undeveloped land in not hard as you are discovering, finding land with good water (natural gas often adds a sulfur smell) and deep tillable soil requires a little more investigation and testing. The agricultural extension service from University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, and Oklahoma State University, Stillwater have great web sites and a local office in every county seat [in their respective states]. They can help with soil and water sample testing as can the local well driller.
One of the very best features about this area is its reputation as a low cost retirement haven for hunters and fishermen. Since most folks in the area live close to the land and survive during normal times in a more or less self sufficient manner, building a survival retreat/retirement home will not make you an obvious target. In some counties, over 30% of the population is composed of retirees. Hiding in plain sight is an effective form of OPSEC. – C.H.
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Odds ‘n Sods:
The recent fires in Australia with large loss of life and property underscore the need to have defensible space around buildings. There is one factor in the Australian bush fires is not common knowledge in the US: In extremely hot weather, some tree species found in Australia–such as eucalyptus–exude volatile organic compounds (VOCs) that are extremely flammable. When the conditions are just right, this can cause a firestorm effect.
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Chris E. flagged this: Rep. Kanjorski: $550 Billion Disappeared in “Electronic Run on the Banks.” A key quote: “[if the Federal reserve had not acted] by two o’clock that afternoon $5.5 trillion would have been drawn out of the money market system of the United States. [This] would have collapsed the entire economy of the United States, and within 24 hours the world economy would have collapsed.”
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Cheryl sent us the following economic news and commentary: 15 Companies that May Not Survive 2009 — Nissan to Cut 20,000 Jobs — US Job Losses Hit College Educated — Bank of England to Issue Grimmest Warning Yet on Economy — US Treasury to Pump Billions More into Banks — Grab Your Torch and Pitchforks: Homeowners Protest at Morgan Stanley CEO’s Home — Peter Schiff: this is Just the Beginning — US Inflation Could Hit 200% — Silver/Gold Ratio Reversion — Merrill Lynch: Gold Hysteria Continues, Could Hit $1,500 — Peace of Mind Comes in Yellow (The Mogambo Guru)
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Jim’s Quote of the Day:
"Time and the laws of trade will restore things to an equilibrium if legislatures do not rashly interfere in the natural course of events." – New York Evening Post, June 15, 1819, as quoted in The Panic of 1819: Reactions and Policies, Murray N. Rothbard, Ludwig von Mises Institute, 2007, pp 31–32.
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Note from JWR:
The current high bid in the SurvivalBlog Benefit Auction is at $1,510. This auction ends on Sunday, February 15th. This auction is for a large mixed lot, which includes::
1.) A “be ready to barter” box of 36 full-capacity gun magazines, from my personal collection in JASBORR. This box includes: 12 – Used original Bundeswehr contract HK91 (G3) steel 20 round magazines, 6 – Used original Austrian FN-FAL steel 20 round magazines, with cartridge counter holes, 10 – Used AR-15/M16 USGI (all Colt made!) alloy 20 round magazines, 6 – Excellent condition original Glock Model 19 9mm 15 round pistol magazines (early type, with “U” notch), and 2 – New and very scarce original FN (Belgian-made) US M1/M2 Carbine blued steel 30 round magazines (marked “AYP”) . All of these magazines are of pre-1994 manufacture (and hence legal to possess in New York.) These magazines have a combined value of approximately $710, in today’s market. Note: If you live in a state where full capacity magazines are banned, then you must choose to: refrain from bidding, or designate a recipient in an unrestricted state, or re-donate the magazines for a subsequent auction.
2. ) A brand new-in-box Hot Jaw Bag Sealer and a box of 10 Mylar bags . (Every retreat group should have one these, since they are a tremendous labor saver!) This is a $200 retail value, courtesy of Ready Made Resources.
3.) A huge lot of DVDs, CD-ROMs and hard copy nuclear survival/self-sufficiency references (a $300+ value) donated by Richard Fleetwood of www.SurvivalCD.com
4.) A NukAlert compact radiation detector donated by at KI4U.com (a $160 retail value).
5.) A gift certificate for $100 worth of books, courtesy of Back 40 Books.
6.) A case of 12 cans of recent production nitrogen-packed storage granola (mixed varieties) This is a $96 retail value, courtesy of CampingSurvival.com.
Thus, this auction has a combined value in excess of $1,565.
This auction ends on February 15th. Please e-mail us your bid. Your bid will be for the entire mixed lot.
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Letter Re: What Does the Drop in the Baltic Dry Index Really Mean?
Dear Jim:
I just read a TEOTWAWKI warning article [at Rense.com] stating that since the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was down 95%, [and that therefore] all shop shelves would be empty in short order. The writer said that the BDI referred to the number of ships in transit. I thought it only referred to the price charged for the transport of those ships and that while the cost was indeed 95% lower, there were still a lot of ships in transport. Can you clarify? – SF in Hawaii
JWR Replies:
I see plenty of scare pieces like that, mostly written by people that aren’t looking at the whole picture. Here is a videoblog clip, on the same topic.
You are correct that it is not the international shipping volume that has dropped by 95%. It is just the rates (shipping costs) that have plummeted by 95%. Key agricultural commodities like wheat and rice are still being transported in quantity. But the balance sheets of the shipping companies are suffering because orders for imported consumer items like cars and plasma HDTVs have dropped to nearly nil. Shipping companies proactively raise or lower rates, as needed. During boom years, shipping rates (bids) are high, but when orders decline, the BDI figure drops rapidly. This is because the last thing that any shipper wants is to set sail with a hold that is not nearly full.
The BDI is a useful indicator of global trade and global economic health. It is indeed presently signaling economic depression. But it is not indicative of imminent starvation in the US!
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Two Letters Re: Alaska as a Retreat Locale
Jim,
For starters I would like to say that Jim you are dead-on with your Delta Junction recommendation. I live near Delta. And it is some of the finest farm land in the world. everything grows amazing here. Some of the information in the previous letters is wrong and I would like to clarify them . The growing season may be a little shorter in days of light, but in total hours of light it is much longer than other places. It gets light here in May and gets dark at night again in late August. Some vegetables will grow great, some don’t do so well, Corn doesn’t like it, but potatoes grow without trying. And as for isolation, that’s the idea. Things are harder to get, but you learn to live with less and enjoy it more. As for power, at least in the Delta area you do not need to worry about that in the winter, solar is awesome here in the summer, but in winter the wind is ever present. I have four wind generators that I built from old car alternators and Fan blades. I never had a loss in the battery bank. I live off of their grid anyway, so I am used to adapting.
As for the wood situation, certain types of trees do incredibly well here, And they grow faster not slower, I have trees that I know weren’t there ten years ago and are over twelve feet tall, Spruces grow well here, and birch is my main heat, I have a fair sized house, and a new, catalyst stove and burn 5-to-7 cords of wood per winter.
Fuel is more expensive here, but it fluctuates like anywhere else, buy when the price is low, and stockpile it. In this area it is common for people to have a couple of 1,000 gallon tanks buried in their yard, Moose and caribou ar always around as a meat source, as with buffalo in this area. (Yes we have buffalo in Alaska). Along with Many other species of flora and fauna.
On the other hand Alaska is not a place for those who can not take care of themselves. In this area it is not uncommon to see the temps dip below -60,F. I have seen -72. It is dark all winter, And the stores never have what you want. There is plenty of water though, my well is thirty feet deep, and the pump is set down to twenty feet, My suggestion for people who are thinking about moving to Alaska is simple, Unless you have lived a subsistence lifestyle for a while, are used to constant extreme weather changes, and can do it on your own, stay where you are, or find some place else. As for me, I will never go outside [Alaska] again, you can keep it. – Z. in Alaska
Mr. Rawles
I too am a long time reader and this is also the first time I have written. I urge all of your readers to take head to Mr. Galt’s letter concerning Alaska as a retreat locale. It is harsh up here. I live in Delta Junction area and love it. We have been here for over 10 years now and have our place set up pretty well. We live off grid and in the bush, hunt, fish, trap, mush dogs etc. etc. I wouldn’t encourage anyone to try to move here and set up a retreat this late in the game. We just went through a couple weeks of -50 to -60(Tok recorded -78) temperatures then 70 m.p.h. hour winds that blew down many trees and damaged a lot of structures. These things are a regular occurrence. A lot of Russian immigrants have moved from the lower 48 into the Delta area. Most of the ones I have met seem to be good people but most live off welfare. When the welfare stops we’ll have problems. The bad bunch of them are thieves already not just the Russian but Americans also. The Russian community has a bad reputation for it though. Anyone planning to move here and find a job might be in for a rude awakening.
The local jobs don’t pay enough to live on the grid and the government jobs stay filled mostly. Delta is profiting from a small military bubble economy brought about by the Ground-Based Midcourse Defense (GMD) program but with you know in office now all that could come to a screeching halt at anytime. Because of the GMD program everyone around here thinks their land has gold on it and prices it accordingly.
Yes, Delta does have a big farming community. Most of the farmers get buy living off of government programs and are deeply in debt. The ones that don’t live off the program hurt. Most farms lay dormant wile collecting CRP checks. I have heard that there will be no more new CRP contracts in the future. The fertility of the farm land has gone way down too because of the climate here. The cold doesn’t allow much time for plant matter to decompose plus it’s hard to have crop rotation with only Barley. (Barley, hay grasses, potatoes, and carrots are the main crops grown here.) For the last three years we have had a frost in the middle of August that pretty much killed any vegetables that were not in a green house.
Wells in Delta are any where from 40 to 450 feet in depth. If you buy land where there is bed rock you may drill 450 deep and still get mastodon pee to drink. Wells are at $50 a foot this year. Better plan on how to get water out of the well when the power goes down. Currently heating oil is 2.23 at the pump in town, more if its delivered. Diesel is currently $3.69. It hit $5 last winter. Fire wood from Delta Lumber is $180 per cord until they run out for the winter other sources are up to $250. The people from Delta lumber are great people and will work themselves silly trying make sure no one goes cold. I have seen one add for firewood for $300 per cord. Dry firewood is a must because -50 the soot form green wood builds in the chimney thus creating chimney fire. A friend of mine got burned out at -50 for that very reason. They didn’t get in enough dry wood for the winter. Luckily they were able to run to separate garage and no one suffered any cold injuries. Finding a place to cut fire wood now is getting hard to find.
Most people here are enjoying high power bills now since Golden Valley increased their rates. The average size house power bill is running $300- $400 [per month] in the winter maybe less if your really frugal. You have to keep your vehicles plugged in. In a diesel that is like running a 1,500 watt electric heater. Wind power is a possibility if your turbine can withstand the wind. Closer to the mountains it has been 100 mph. The wind here isn’t steady it is really gusty, not good for turbine. Rent is running around a $1,000 and up for a three bedroom home. Certified sewers are from $6,000 to $16,000 depending. Cost to build is running around the $150 per square foot range and going up.
If you don’t know how Seasonal Affect Disorder (SAD) will affect you, then you’s better find out before you try to make a permanent move here. Cabin fever has been the demise of many people who move here and plan to live the wilderness experience. The only cure for it is to be outside. It don’t matter what the the temp is you got to get out side when it’s light. SAD has be the cause for suicide, alcoholism, and drugs. People do the latter two to cope. I personally have never had it. I have too much work to do. People who don’t procrastinate and get all there chores done and food stores in order for the winter and plan to stay in the cabin for the winter suffer the worse. We don’t procrastinate but we don’t stay in either. The cabin is only a place to warm up, eat and sleep. Living is done outside the cabin. We trap, mush dogs, care for the horses, cut more fire wood when it’s not too cold, fire up the blacksmith forge, build some log furniture. It is easy to get lazy and lethargic during the winter. You have to fight the urge daily. We had a couple move in not to far from us. I told the lady to make sure she kept the windows uncovered in the winter. Well, they were the lazy type and didn’t ever have enough wood cut so they covered the windows and blocked out some of the cold but mostly the light. They made it though one winter but the next one they didn’t. They pulled up [stakes] and left middle of the winter.
As much as I love living here, if I were looking for a retreat locale this late in the game then it would be some place more hospitable. We did move here for the lack of people and when things get even worse I expect people to start migrating out of Alaska especially the interior. It requires a lot of hard work to live here more especially so if your living off the land. How would you like to cut 20 cords of wood with a hand operated saw and axe when you run out of gas and or you saw goes down? Running chain saws in the sub-zero weather is hard on them. Better get extra clutches for them. What about when the mosquitoes bloom and you have run out of bug dope?
Hunting is decent here. The Russian community poaches a lot of the moose in the Delta management area. They do it to eat. I am not knocking them for that. When the SHTF it will be even worse therefore even we will have to start going further into the bush to hunt using sled teams to get there. If you plan to have dogs and sled they require a lot of food. [Here they eat mostly] fish. The salmon that makes it this far inland is [best -suited for] dog food. It is pretty beat up by the time is gets here. The flesh is a faint pink to gray color as they are close to the end of the life span. Anyone planning to come to Alaska to survive the upheaval better have there you know what together or they won’t make it. This land is unforgiving and the least mistakes get big in a hurry. Sorry that my letter has gotten so long but I want people to know what they are getting into if they come here thinking it’s paradise. It ain’t. but it’s the life we love. People here are willing to help if you are not stupid. Our favorite saying around here is “If you gonna be dumb then you’d better be tough” – C.B.
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Letter Re: Some Online Resources on Determining Prescription Drug Shelf Lives
James,
I worked for 20 years as an analytical chemist and was responsible for running experiments to determine the expiration dates of our medicines. We were always conservative when setting limits.
There are many factors that affect the stability of medications. The most easily controlled by the end user is temperature. As a general rule for biological compounds near human temperatures the rate of decomposition approximately doubles with each 18° F rise in temperature and is roughly halved with each 18° F fall in temperature. So if the shelf life of a medicine is six months at 90° F and about three months at 110° F. That same medicine is expected to decompose about the same amount during four years in a refrigerator as it would in one year at room temperature or 16 years in a freezer.
Once a package has been opened oxygen, water, or microorganisms may enter the medicine and dramatically shorten it’s shelf life. In general
Letter Re: Canned Food Storage Rack Alternatives
Hello Mr. Rawles,
There’s a better product than the Cansolidator [that Michael Z. Williamson reviewed], but very few people know about it. It’s made by a local company in Idaho Falls, Idaho. I use to live near there, and visited their store several times. The store is Pharaoh’s Storehouse.
The reasons that the Pharaoh’s Storehouse products are better than Cansolidators:
Made of metal, not plastic!
No wasted airspace between the cans, like Cansolidator, so you can store a lot more food in a very small space.
Made in America [JWR Adds: But FYI, so is the Cansolidator]
Their wall units [are shallow and hence] can easily be hidden by false walls.
Sincerely, – Garnet
JWR Replies: We should also remind readers that are budget-conscious: Don’t overlook the do-it-yourself alternative,using cardboard material that A. in Texas mentioned in a January 24th letter posted in SurvivalBlog.
Letter Re: Bloom Where You’re Planted
Thank You Mr. Rawles,
My husband and I are new readers of SurvivalBlog; we have been so encouraged/convicted/moved/enlightened/blessed by your wisdom.
Gertrude’s “Bloom Where You’re Planted” article, for me, was amazing. It’s the “if she can do it, anyone can do it’ – I am encouraged. I don’t really have words for what I’m trying to say, just that I don’t feel so overwhelmed now after reading her words.
We are just in the baby beginning stages of preparedness. My amazing husband is leading us in the most right direction, and is a very steady purposeful man. I trust him and his ability completely.
I think to sum up this attempt at an email to you Mr. Rawles, is that hearing Gertrude’s calm direction and wisdom has changed my entire approach, or my thinking….does that make sense?
Ultimately, my trust rests in my most Gracious God, and then, He knows my fears and doubts and places folks like Gertrude in my path. I am grateful. Blessings on you, – Kristy in Oregon
Odds ‘n Sods:
Bob at Ready Made Resources wrote to tell me that they have just one BP-Solar 190 Watt Solar Module in stock, that a customer had canceled after it already shipped;. (It was re-routed back to RMR but the panel is still brand new.) Because of the circumstances, they are selling this one panel below wholesale cost at $750, plus shipping. (Additional panels are available at RMR’s normally-discounted price.) Call RMR during normal business hours (Eastern time) for the special price 1(800) 627-3809.
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Our friend Art suggested that those interested in a gun-friendly nationwide alternative to Craigslist, should try SwapGiant.com. It’s new in most areas.
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HPD recommended this piece by Mish Shedlock: Employment Cycles During Recessions
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Rourke mentioned that the French wire service piece on SurvivalBlog is still getting plenty of mileage. Most recently it was picked up by a Jakarta newspaper.
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
"For the great majority of mankind are satisfied with appearances, as though they were realities, and are often more influenced by the things that seem than by those that are." – Niccolò Machiavelli