Letter Re: Advice on a Multipurpose Rifle

JWR,

I am a 50-something urban homesteader, selling my house to move to a rural area.

I currently own a handgun (S&W 459 9mm) and a shotgun (Mossberg 12 gauge pump) and am researching what kind of rifle would be good for my new urban homestead.

I am a good shot, not pro and not wild, just get within the target lines. I have hunted in the past with a 30-06 but feel with my age and all this would be too much for me now. Not to mention that I am a petite female at only 5’1″ tall and 120Lbs.

The areas I am looking to move to are all what I call “big snow country”. The wildlife ranges from Moose to pronghorn, Grizzly to badger, with the usual cougar, bobcat, wolf, coyote and rabbits, etc.

So basically my criteria is a leaver action, short barrel (no longer than 20″), accurate rifle with the stopping power for the animals I may run across or have to hunt if the SHTF.

In short the basic functions that I would like the rifle to be good at are: animal defense, food hunting, home defense (in that order). Then tack on – readily available and inexpensive ammo.

My “friends” have many suggestions from ARs, AKs to Savage, Winchester and Marlin ranging from .22 to 30-06. Somehow I just don’t picture the. 22 being good unless I was a sharp shooter and could make a brain shot without thinking, as I stated previously I think the .30-06 would be “too much” for me to be accurate enough with and the “assault” rifles just don’t come across or look like hunting & animal defense rifles to me.

I have followed your blog and purchased a book or two, so I value your opinion greatly and figure that some kind of lever action 30-30 would be my best choice.

That said, what type of rifle do you (or your blog readers) suggest for me? Am I way off base, or thinking with reality? – Criss K.

JWR Replies: If moose and grizzly are commonplace where you’ll be living, then you have a few conflicting criteria.

First, any ammunition that will be a stopper for moose and large bears will not be “inexpensive”. For example, .45-70 ammo is current around $2 per cartridge!

Second, given your small stature, you are better off with a semi-auto chambered in something with lighter recoil, rather than a “whomper” bear-stopper such as a .45-70. Unless you are a seasoned shooter, you are likely to develop a flinch if you buy a gun that is near your tolerance for recoil.

Third, lever actions are fairly fast to shoot, but you must practice the operation of the lever while the gun is at your shoulder. Many shooters–especially smaller ones–have a tendency to lower the butt to their hip when working the action. Don’t get into this bad habit! But their greatest detractor is that they are very slow to reload, once the magazine has been emptied. This makes them second-rate guns for self defense. If you are on a budget, then you are better off with a bolt action that can accept stripper clips for reloading, such as a Mauser, a Lee-Enfield, or perhaps a Schmidt-Rubin. (The latter employs a unique and quite fast “straight-pull” action. You might find a Swiss K-31 Schmidt-Rubin carbine at your local Big 5 Sporting Goods store, for under $220.)

My recommendation is that if you are on a tight budget, then buy either a Yugoslavian detachable magazine SKS, or US-made AK-47 clone. Those have fairly short stocks, which will benefit you, given your stature. If your budget is more substantial, then buy a semi-auto .308. Some options include the Saiga .308, the Winchester Model 100 (long out of production, but often found used), or the Browning BAR (not to be confused with much larger military issue full-autos with the same name!). If you have a big budget, then consider an AR-10 or a Valmet Hunter .308. OBTW, I do not recommend the often-mentioned Remington 7400 (or the older Model 742). These were aptly described by a gent over at THR as “difficult to properly clean, sensitive to ammo [variations], and d**n hard to clear when you hit a feed jam.” If you opt for any .308, then be sure to have the stock shortened (or in the case of the AR-10, get a 6-position collapsible stock), and have a recoil pad installed. For many years, my late wife used a Valmet .308 with a short stock and a soft Pachmayr Decelerator recoil pad. She also had the barrel shortened, and a muzzle brake installed. She considered this the best “compromise” hunting/self-defense rifle for someone of small stature. (She was 5’2″, and weighed around 100 pounds.) The Valmet Hunter doesn’t look like a battle rifle, but it uses the unstoppable AK action. Extra magazines are available in 5, 9, and 20 round capacity. The big drawback is that these rifles now cost around $1,100, and spare 20 round magazines cost around $250 each!



Economics and Investing:

CMBS Delinquencies Hit Fresh Record, Now at $51 Billion, 268% Increase. (Thanks to G.G. for the link.)

Also from G.G.: Still No Credit Where It’s Due (Commercial and industrial loans have contracted 19% in the past 12 months. Consumer credit is down 6% in the year to February, when it stood at the same level as June 2007.)

RBS sent us this: Idle rail cars generate cash for Boise

Also from RBS comes this article in Der Spiegel: The Mother of All Bubbles Could Push Euro Zone into Bankruptcy.

Thanks to Steve S. for forwarding this: China May ‘Crash’ in Next 9 to 12 Months, Faber Says

Greece’s Costs Seen Exceeding EU-IMF Help

Items from The Economatrix:

Trickle of Nonsense (The Mogambo Guru)

Frugality Among Consumers Outliving Recession. (Could it be, because people realize that the “recovery” is a fraud?)

Government Debt Explosion Hits Turning Point

Stocks Extend Decline On European Debt Worries

Gold Hits 5-Month High on Greek Aid Uncertainty

No Guarantees at the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation



Odds ‘n Sods:

Newsweek magazine quoted me about the complex interdependencies of technological societies in an article about the implications of the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull in Finland. But sorry, you have to read Polish. (It was Newsweek‘s Polish edition. (I was quoted on the third page of the online edition.) Well, at least they mentioned the title of my book “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It”. 😉

   o o o

Reader RBS sent this: A swap of seeds in Boise on Saturday will tap into a practice with roots in the dawn of agriculture

   o o o

The Gulf of Mexico oil spill–how bad could it get? (A hat tip to Bryan E. for the link.)

   o o o

Tony B. mentioned that the Chinese built a better mousetrap. (Tony’s comment: “Think of their entrenching tool as a Swiss Army Knife, writ large.”)



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“As the dollar breaks down, you’ll also likely see disruptions in supply chains, including shipments of food to grocery stores. People should consider maintaining stockpiles of basic goods needed for living, much as they would for a natural disaster. I sit on the Hayward fault in California. I have a supply of goods and basic necessities in case something terrible happens—natural or man-made—that will carry me for a couple of months. It may take that long for a barter system to evolve, which I think is what you’re going to end up with; at least until a new currency system is reorganized and you get a government that’s able to bring its fiscal house into order. No currency system in the U.S. is going to work unless the fiscal conditions that drove it into oblivion are also addressed.” – John Williams of ShadowStats, by way of Jim Sinclair’s JSMineset web site



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 28 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com. (A $275 value.), and D.) A 500 round case of Federal 5.56mm XM193 55 Grain FMJ ammo, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo. This is a $199 value, and includes free UPS shipping.

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 28 ends on May 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Survival Rations and Food Security, by J.I.R.

I think we can all agree that a deep larder is good insurance for bad times. There is some variation on how we approach this topic, but we probably all have a lot in common. I would like to present my approach to food storage to give your readers (perhaps) a new perspective. Some of them may have inadequate plans for feeding their families.

First, I have to admit that I am probably not as well prepared as a lot of readers and that my preparations could easily be improved if I were less lazy or worried more. I don’t put very much work into survival preparation. I don’t own very much equipment or a whole warehouse of guns and ammunition. I don’t worry too much about which gun to use with what ammunition or what holster looks best with my outfit. I really don’t worry about which brand of SUV might make a good G.O.O.D. vehicle. I finished my main preparations long ago and I now simply live my life as I wish, tweaking my preps here and there as the whim takes me.

I was able to gain a lot of peace of mind by rationally looking at the threats I face and prioritizing my needs. Preparation is easy if you plan carefully with a clear view of the likely threats. I assessed the risks, set some achievable goals, and executed the plan. Now I spend a lot of time fishing or messing around doing what I want.

Important Caveat: Skills definitely come first! You should never skimp on skills in favor of gadgets. Your best survival kit is your own noggin and what you put inside it. I am not advocating sitting idle. You should frantically be learning new skills all the time and honing your old ones. Use your time and money to learn valuable skills. The rest is just stuff.

I take a fairly flippant attitude about survival gear in general. With the right skills, you need surprisingly little equipment to keep breathing. I have firearms, of course and some ammunition, a few basic necessities, like a good water filter, a good grain grinder, camping gear, backup power, reliable vehicles and spares for everything. But all of this costs less than you would probably believe and I think I have my bases pretty well covered on equipment.

But I do take food security very seriously. Perhaps more seriously than some of you. I have traveled to several third-world countries and famine zones in the course of my military career and have seen hunger up close. I have eaten the same gruel given out by UNICEF and other NGOs in their feeding programs and watched powerless as children died from lack of a few dollars worth of basic foods. I have also seen that abundance of food doesn’t do much to alleviate hunger if the finance and transport systems don’t work. I have seen women with young babies standing along a highway, literally among corn stalks of ripe corn, trying to flag down a truck and prostitute themselves so they could afford to buy some of it. Yes, I take food security very seriously.

Food security is the first and foremost problem the human race has always faced. It’s the specter that never sleeps for long. Thomas Malthus was right. Populations tend to increase as long as there is plenty of food, overpopulate in good years, and then starve when the food supply becomes scarce. You can actually correlate death rates in medieval England directly to grain prices. It’s been that way throughout history and it still is today. We are just enjoying incredible surpluses and record-low food prices right now (for the last hundred years or so) because of technology and new lands coming under development. Predictably, the population has swelled logarithmically to take advantage of that abundant food. Starvation has become almost unthinkable in the western world. Unfortunately, those good times will end if our society ends. We will be back where we were a thousand years ago, anxiously watching the harvest to see if our children will live
through the coming year.

Food is the one thing you can’t improvise. Any interruption in your food supply will kill you and your family, so you need to store a lot. How much is enough? Simply put, I don’t think you are likely to be able to store too much. A five year supply is not excessive because there are always going to be people less fortunate than you who need it desperately. Food is wealth. Have you ever worried about having too much wealth?

I take food security seriously enough to make it my top priority. I have a tiered approach to storage that works well for me and I think it has advantages that other methods don’t. I have long term storage, medium term storage and short term storage. And, I eat what I store.

Short and medium term storage items I keep in my home. Long term storage items, like wheat, beans, rice and white sugar are stored elsewhere in hidden permanent caches. My short and medium term goods are largely to see me through short and medium severity events, like a regional disaster or slow-slide economic decline. I don’t intent to raid my long term storage until I am ready to replace it (in about 25 years, if I live that long) or in the event of an extreme emergency. My long term supplies are insurance, pure and simple, in case there is a major interruption to my family’s food supply. I built my caches well and don’t spend much time worrying about them. I don’t rotate the food in them regularly or need to check on them often. But they will be a life-saver when (and if) I ever need them.

Most of the supplies I keep in my home are more perishable. They have to be rotated regularly. This is easy because we live on these supplies. I don’t store anything we don’t regularly eat. I choose not to grow a garden since I have some old injuries that make it painful for me, (also I am terribly lazy), so I have to buy all my fresh stuff at retail prices. If you can grow a garden and keep some livestock, like chickens, I highly recommend you do this. That would enable you to be much better prepared than I am. As a non-gardener, I shop every week to get fruit, veggies, potatoes, milk, eggs and cheese. I take that weekly opportunity to top off all of my rotating supplies. Anything we use up, I generally replace within a week or two.

In addition, to the perishables, I probably have about 3 month’s supply of most of our semi-perishable staples like canned veggies, meat, pastas and sauces. All of these things, along with most medicines and vitamins, have a shelf life measured in months (or a few years in some cases). Wet-canned foods have to be rotated. You can save a lot of money and (surprisingly) trouble by home canning. The price of home canned foods are lower, even if you have to pay full price, plus it allows you to buy things in bulk when the prices are low.

In November 09, I started canning meat instead of freezing it and now I tend to buy about a “canner load” (20lbs) every couple of weeks and can it for later use instead of freezing it like I used to do. (My stocks of canned meats has been going up ever since). This has already proved to be a wise decision. Our freezer recently got unplugged and we only discovered it because of the smell of a few rotting steaks and the few pounds of fish I keep there. I glanced at my stacks of canned beef, chicken, pork and turkey and smiled. I figure my pressure canner paid for itself that day.

I also maintain about 350 pounds of wheat, 100 pounds of white flour, 150 pounds of dried beans, 100 pounds of white sugar, 150 pounds of white rice, 5 gallons of canola oil, 5-7 gallons of dried milk powder, about 30 pounds of dried eggs, 20 pounds of raisins, 25 pounds of salt, and about 25 pounds of dried corn. (I also maintain a fairly large stock of sprouting seeds, garden seeds and vitamins in our spare refrigerator). All told, I figure my wife and I could eat pretty well for many months in an emergency without dipping into long term storage. All of this stuff is rotated and eaten regularly.

Let me say that again. We live mostly on wheat (in many forms), rice, and beans. (we eat a lot of potatoes, carrots, onions, cabbage and turnips too, but I will cover that later). The other things we buy at the store are mostly adjuncts. While they would be sorely missed, losing fresh eggs, milk and cheese wouldn’t cramp our lifestyle much. We cook with dried milk, cheese and eggs already and only use the fresh variants for fried eggs, sandwiches and drinking milk. We prefer the fresh, but use an awful lot of dried food in our day to day lives, just for the convenience.

I marvel at people who store foods they don’t eat and really don’t like. I met a man once who had a “whole year’s supply” of expensive dried foods in his basement for several years. In all this time, he had never once opened a can and tried it. Once I talked him into trying his larder, he was sorely disappointed and lost all enthusiasm for storing food. (I have to admit that I didn’t like it much either.)

This is a serious issue because I have doubts that most folks could easily transition to a “basic food” diet in an emergency. The caloric density of basic foods is about half as much as the diets most Americans currently eat. If you are used to living on fast food and plan to transition to a whole wheat and bean diet once the emergency happens, you are deluding yourself. You have to eat a lot of wheat to equal a double cheeseburger and frankly, If you eat mostly prepared or fast foods, (as most US citizens do) You have a finely tuned digestive tract that can’t handle bulk foods and lots of fiber.

If you introduce these foods gradually into your normal diet, you will grow to enjoy them. I highly recommend that every survivalist attempt to live off of his stored foods. See if you can learn to like them. The benefits of doing so are tremendous. First, my grocery bill is tiny. Most of the foods we all store are the cheapest food you can buy. Second, a largely vegetarian lifestyle is not bad for you. You will feel better if you get most of your calories from grains and beans and eat more veggies and fruit. You will never buy another antacid or laxative and will have more energy. You might even lose some weight.

I am not advocating giving up meat products, lord no! I am a confirmed omnivore and eat more than my share of meat. I am only advising you to cut back on them. Too much meat is terrible for you and probably the most expensive food you buy. It might also be much too expensive after a crisis. Beef in particular is horribly expensive to produce. In most of the world, meat is too expensive to eat more than a few times a month. If you cut down on meats and other fatty foods now, your digestive system will already be adjusted to living on bulkier grains and other carbohydrates. You also won’t get indigestion or gas from eating beans. Cut down now and maybe you will miss these high calorie foods less if they become scarce or expensive. I enjoy meat, and eat some almost daily, but I don’t crave it any more.

FAMEAL: Famine Chow is a good way to introduce storage foods into your diet. This is a slang word for WSB or CSB (Wheat-Soy-Blend or Corn-Soy-Blend) used by NGOs in their feeding programs. Most Americans have never heard of (much less tried) this stuff. This is the same gruel fed to starving people in Africa and elsewhere. The only word that describes it is “foody”. It’s delicious. You can eat it as a thin paste or thicken it up and make dumplings or bread out of it. You can add it to soups and casseroles or even make cookies out of it. Best of all, it’s healthy and cheap and made of storage foods. The NGOs buy it pre-made in big dog-food bags so they can just add water. The pre-made mix is extrusion cooked so it’s easier to work with under primitive conditions. You are not going to find this stuff at your grocery store but here is how you can make your own:

50% (by volume) Corn meal or wheat meal. (I prefer meal to flour, but both work)
30% (by volume) Bean meal. Any kind..even soy. I use lentils because the are easy to grind.
10% (by volume) Oil. Any cooking oil works.
10% (by volume) Sugar or honey or syrup if you prefer.
Add salt to taste. You can also add vitamins by grinding a tablet with the mix.
(With multi-vitamin supplement, this is a fairly well balanced diet).

To cook it (it will be a powder) mix it slowly (it clumps) with boiling water (three cups of water per cup of meal). Turn off the heat and cover it and allow it to cook for 10 minutes. If you add the powder to the water and then try to heat it, it burns to the bottom of the pot, but a microwave oven works great for cooking the wet mixture. Or, use the powder just like flour for baking. It makes an awesome bean bread. It also makes a wonderful cake mix if you add more sugar and other flavorings. You can vary the amounts of everything, including water to suit your own tastes. Try it. You may find that you really like it. It’s fairly tasty, filling and satisfying. My kids ate an awful lot of fameal muffins while they were growing up. They freeze well and make a good quick breakfast food if you are in a hurry.

Fresh Vegetables.
Potatoes, carrots, squash, corn, green beans, Broccoli, cabbages, greens, tomatoes, onions and turnips. We eat a lot of these crops, but I don’t currently grow a garden. They are all difficult for me to store because they require a cellar or refrigeration, so I buy them as needed. Fortunately, they are cheap and abundant now and will remain so unless there is a major economic crash or other terrible disaster. When this happens, I intend to grow my own. I maintain a rotating stock of heirloom garden seeds for this. Potatoes require a little more work since you must start from root-stock and not seeds, so I will have to try to grow them from store-bought roots when I need to. If I am unable to grow any of these crops when I need to, I will have to do without. Until I can get a garden going, I will be forced to substitute a lot of sprouts for other fresh veggies, but I don’t expect any insurmountable problems.

A word of caution: Growing a garden is not easy. It requires a lot of physical labor and practical knowledge. I have a solid set of gardening skills and years of experience, so I feel ok about just storing seeds. I have grown several gardens using the same techniques I will have available without modern society. If you have never done any gardening in your area, especially using only hand tools, you really should. Your learning curve will be steeper than you probably think. Learning is cheap now, but won’t be later. Make your mistakes now, not when you need the food. You will have to grow a large garden to feed your family. Gardening is a critical skill! and so is food preservation.

Just as important, you need to learn which varieties of non-hybrid plants grow well in your area and the only real way to learn this is to grow a garden. Even a small one can teach you volumes. Your soil also needs building, so every season, your productivity will increase. You might find you enjoy it. Once you get good at it, you might be safe just to stock up on seeds, fertilizers and tools like I do, but build the skills first.

Long term storage foods:
Your long term storage is your capital for the future. We are going to need time to get our permanent food production capacity going again. We may need several years. I expect farmers in the USA to have to re-learn a lot of their skills once the machines don’t work anymore. Plowing with a horse team (even if you have horses available) requires tack and harness and tools that don’t really exist anymore. My father’s generation in rural Tennessee were among the last folks who grew most of their own food using a horse team (Amish communities and anomalies like them excepted). Since then, the specialized tools needed have been lost to age, antique shops (and cracker barrel furnishings). Before we can go back to a simpler pattern of farming without modern machinery and chemicals, we are going to need to re-invent the tools and breed and train the livestock. This is going to take time. Your storage food is all you have to give you that time.

At the risk of sounding like a nut, I believe you can’t have too much food. As long as it doesn’t go to waste, the more you have the better off you will be if society collapses. If I were able, I would store a warehouse of grain and keep my whole community alive, but this is impossible for me. If everyone in the USA stored two years of food, we might be able to save many of them after society collapses. Unfortunately, even preppers rarely store two years of food. Most of us have a year or even less in storage. I am not confident that we will have adequate food production to feed everyone left alive two years after a collapse. I think three years is more realistic. Not only will that give us time to increase production, but it will give more people time to die. Starvation will be ever-present until we can grow enough food for everyone left alive and that could take a long time.

Storing food long term is not easy, but right now, it can be very inexpensive. You can store over a ton of wheat for the price of a new Glock Model 17, four spare magazines and holster. Cut down on your gun collection a little and you can store a lot more food. I store almost exclusively wheat, beans, white sugar, salt and rice. I have stopped using plastic buckets for my long term storage. They are just not sturdy enough to last several decades and they are not rodent proof. I use two-quart mason jars with a spoonful of diatomaceous earth, sealed with an oxygen absorber and the lids dipped in paraffin. This is a little more expensive, and the jars are breakable, but they are water and rodent proof and I figure the dry food will last basically forever. Jars are about a dollar each, but worth it for me because I store the bulk of my long term foods underground, where there may be moisture or rodents. Enameled cans are cheaper, shock-proof and probably a better choice for most purposes. If you have a secure environment, plastic pails with mylar liners are a good choice.

I have stored quite a lot of basic foods for a single family and done my best to get others to build up their reserves. But the sad truth is, all of my supplies would still last less than a year for my whole extended family. My meager supply wouldn’t feed a whole town more than a few days. You can’t feed the world and can’t stop the coming die-off with your storage food. But you might be able to save your family and perhaps help a handful of people. If you are reading SurvivalBlog, then you are at least thinking about the problem and that puts you way ahead of the general population. I encourage you to go overboard. Store many times more than you need. Because you may want it. – J.I.R.



Letter Re: Using Pipe Infrastructure to Your Advantage

Beneath many of our very feet are hundreds of miles of underground piping which utilized correctly can provide valuable resource in the event of a TEOTWAWKI situation.
Storm drainage pipe siphons rain water from urban areas into surrounding streams and rivers. Accessed through manholes and curb gutters water runs off the street into basins and concrete piping. (Concrete piping varies in size, however most urban areas use diameters 36” and upward.) In the event of a G.O.O.D. situation slipping into some form of drainage would at least allow stealth movement for a decent distance (remember water always flows toward the river). To access the storm drainage manholes may be bolted down, however curb gutters usually can be picked up freely, another method would be to crawl into an open culvert. Along with concrete piping many developments use underground retention facilities to temporarily hold water (so as not to over tax the drainage in the event of a flood. Underground holding facilities also allow a development not to dedicate portions of valuable property to open “ponds.”) An underground retention facility is usually composed of some form of greatly larger pipe included in the drainage system; for example a 36” drain pipe may run into several sections of 72” pipe or cistern with an overflow (usually under a parking lot as they cannot support building loads.) Under dry weather or slight water flow these areas are large underground structures that can be used as temporary shelter. JWR Adds: All the usual safety provisos on enclosed spaces, flooding hazards, noxious gasses, et cetera apply! This information is provided only for education purposes. Use common sense, do plenty of research, and use storm drain infrastructure only in an absolute disaster.

Underground water systems use force pumps and gravity to provide water to the consumer. In rural settings these pipes may differ widely in size but are usually composed of plastic or ductile iron (water pipe is usually blue plastic or black ductile, gas is yellow, green is sewer, pink is re-purified water used for irrigation). Usual rural water lines are 4 to 5 feet deep (older water lines may not be as deep) 5-15feet from the edge of pavement of say a rural road (5-15 ft is a wide generalization as easements can differ greatly, when in doubt look for a fire hydrant in some cases.) These lines can be located by looking for obvious signs of past construction, such as gaps in tree lines. In the event of a total TEOTWAWKI situation where drinkable water is scarce, low points in these water lines will retain water even after the pumps stop. Simply find a low point such as sag in-between hills, locate the line and dig. WARNING: Do not attempt this unless there is a major, long-term TEOTWAWKI situation. Some of these lines are highly pressurized. – N.B.



Letter Re: An Australian Comments on the U.S. Constitution

Sir:
As a foreign reader of this blog (Australian) I keep a very close eye on the U.S. politics. I find myself envious of a country that has a Bill Of Rights such as yours. I carry great admiration for those that defend it, but at the same time it depresses me that so many Americans take it for granted.

In Australia, Federal authority is so pervasive that the only thing the our states provide is an excuse to employ another tier of overpaid under-worked public servants.
Yet regardless of how tight a government’s stranglehold on their populace may be (here and abroad), no government lasts forever.

If you survive the crash, and if community is restored then you might just find yourself in a position of leadership. For this reason, regardless of the fact that you may not live in the U.S. of A., there is every reason to make a hard copy of the U.S. Constitution and take the time to understand its value (at least in ernest). Particularly the Bill Of Rights!

History has spawned a thousand tyrants but it only took the courage of one nation and the spiritual nobility of a handful of founders to show the way forward for all mankind, and all you have to do to benefit from their wisdom and sacrifice is print out their legacy.

After all, if you’re going to rebuild, then you may as well start with the framework to do it right.

As always, thank you for the invaluable service you provide here. Kindest regards, – The Austeyralian



Letter Re: Thoughts on Practical Self-Sufficiency

Hello Jim:
For supper tonight we are having a meal made with ingredients that I gathered from our place, with the exception of the meat which was purchased. I put a smoked ham hock in the crock pot over night. I also soaked some leather breeches (dried green beans) and some horticultural beans over night. These were added to the crock pot this morning along with a couple of hands full of ramps that I had dug yesterday and a couple of hands full of dandelion greens that Abigail had picked last week. Lastly some red potatoes from our garden last year were added.

Abigail will make some of her most excellent corn bread (made from Bloody Butcher corn that we raised) to go along with the meat and greens. The point of this short note is that I feel that people should make every effort to get out of the habit of eating out of the box (yes pun intended) and start now to look at some self sufficient ways of feeding themselves. Eating high quality tasty meals, I might add.

I would also like to put a plug in for one of our favorite training facilities. The faculty at Tactical Defense Institute (TDI) have been training citizens, swat teams, and military on their 186 acre campus for 15 years. Located in southern Ohio, John Benner and his crew conduct classes almost year round. Abigail and I have been able to attend almost half of the classes available and plan to take 3 more this year. If anyone is planning on doing any training TDI is right up there with the top training facilities in the nation. This is not just my opinion but many others. Last year SWAT magazine did an article about one of the carbine classes that we were taking. We have even run into some fellow preppers at some of the classes. We truly a great time and a real learning experience.

Yours truly, – John & Abigail Adams



Economics and Investing:

Nic suggested a piece over at Seeking Alpha: Richard Russell’s in Cash and Gold: ‘No Time to Be Cute’

Courtesy of Matt R. comes this article link: Warren Buffett Worries About High Risks of ‘Significant Inflation’ Around Globe

Brett G. sent this indicator of a bond market crash in the near future: Dow-Jones: I Told You So 14 Months Ago

Items from The Economatrix:

Japan Public Debt of 200% of GDP Makes Crisis Inevitable

Where Has All That Lost Wealth Gone?

Bernanke Admits Printing $1.3 Trillion Out of Thin Air

Europe’s Web of Debt

What Will They Tax Next?

Stocks Slide as New Doubt About Greek Aid Emerge

Roubini: Forget Sub-Prime Mortgages, It’s the Sub-Prime Financial System We Need to Fix

Goldman Disciplined on Short Sales

Pending US Home Sales at Five-Month High



Odds ‘n Sods:

EMB mentioned this amazingly useful, and aptly-named web site: Radio Reference.

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Since early 2007, I have warned SurvivalBlog readers about the perils of “kanban” inventory control. Here is a bit of confirmation: Volcano Throws Off Ash, Just-in-Time Efforts. (Thanks to Chad S. for the link.)

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Lee C. flagged this: Fat Americans are a national security threat, warn generals

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RBS sent this: Copper thieves blamed for dangerous power surge. A comment from RBS: “Here is what could be considered another classic example of the fragility of our Inverted Technological Pyramid. Notice the “value” of the stolen part, and the “cost” it incurred for others.”



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"I Have Sworn Upon the Altar of God eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man." – Thomas Jefferson, in a letter to Dr. Benjamin Rush, September 23, 1800



Note from JWR:

Today we present an article written by one of our long-time foreign correspondents, David in Israel. David was born and raised in the United States. Even before emigrating to Israel, he had a diverse background in forestry, firefighting, mountaineering, emergency medicine, and commercial Kosher food inspection. One of his life-long hobbies has been amateur radio. He is currently a Torah student.



AO-7: The Reanimated Survivalist Communications Satellite, by David in Israel

One problem that most preppers fail to take seriously is communications. To most First Worlders communications are something that comes out of the wall like water or electricity, so why should the magic ever end? While not as high a priority as an inexpensive firearm for security, food, water, cooking fuel, non-motorized transport, or shelter, in a safe area communications with those you care about keeps you from going on unneeded health and welfare checks especially during dangerous times.

Typically I would suggest a 100 watt+ multi-band HF radio for vehicle or base use and a QRP 40meter set and/or 2m/440 handi-talkie and home made Yagi antenna for lightweight sat-com for those who must travel or bug-out long distances on foot, ski, horse, or bicycle.

There are circumstances which can impair HF radio such as nuclear detonations, and in an information age warfare situation even amateur satellites can be hacked via their encrypted command channel and shut down temporarily. There is one tough old bird, designated AO-7. It is back from the dead and still in orbit which is for the most part immune to these troubles, possibly even toughing out a few nukes if it is in the right place at the right time. AO-7 is not the easiest satellite to work, so beginners might want to first try the FM birds. But what better satellite for a survivalist than the “reanimated” AO-7. [Insert mutant zombie biker jokes here.]

AO-7 was launched 15 November 1974. It remained operational until a battery short killed the satellite in 1981. On 21 June 2002 the battery short finally opened up and the satellite was heard again on its 2 meter beacon (145.9775 MHz CW) after 21 years of silence, and 27 years in space.

What is bad about the current situation is that power is limited, only a few concurrent CW, SSB voice, or low bandwidth data transmissions are possible before the transponder draws more power than the large but aging solar cells produce resetting the satellite. The good news is that as far as I can tell even if the satellite command channel is somehow hacked it will only be shut down for a short time when it is in eclipse and powers down or when the transponder is overloaded and an undervoltage resets the satellite. For a few months twice a year the satellite is in full sun 24 hours a day and alternates between mode A, B, and C.

One last bit of info for those who have only worked terrestrial Amateur radio contacts or possibly even FM satellites and the space station, this is not so much a repeater in the sky where one guy takes turns on the whole thing, it is more like a snippet of frequency that is picked up by the satellite amplified and retransmitted on another band, many people can squeeze in and use, much like on HF. This is why SSB or CW are important modes to use minimizing wasted retransmitted bandwidth. You might get the transponder to beam back FM or wide band data but it is not acceptable to push several other conversations off a satellite so you can be a hog, on AO-7 it would probably re-set the satellite anyway.

If you are not a ham you can pick up this and the other satellites using your a scanner that has SSB abilities, sometimes you also need a better antenna than the standard “rubber duck” [whip antenna] to pick up the signal. Kent Brian is an antenna genius. Get his free instructions for portable pocket change sat-com antennas.

You will also need to track the satellite, the easy way is with a computer program for your laptop, phone, or PDA that uses a NASA/NORAD two line [descriptor] element for the Keplerian elements so you can tell when the sat will be available and how much the Doppler will bend your frequency. There are plenty of free tracking programs. BTW, it is fun for kids to spot satellites and the space station even if you have no itch for satellite communications.

this is the TLE for AO-7:
1 07530U 74089B 10117.60551541 -.00000027 00000-0 10000-3 0 7622
2 07530 101.4026 135.4310 0012225 014.2326 345.9087 12.53578232622114

If you are working with only a watch, pencil, and paper remember that not every 115 minute orbital pass is above the horizon for you. And only once or twice a day do you get a sweet high overhead pass good for line of sight from valley locales. If you keep a listing of passes in a notebook you will notice a repetition in about a week to 10 days for the amateur sats, now you can extend the repetition pattern indefinitely into the future. Here is a summary that I found at the AMSAT web site:

Orbit: 1444 x 1459 km
Inclination: Inclination 101.7 degrees
Period: 115 min
Beacons:
29.502 MHz (200 mw) Used in conjunction with Mode A
145.972 MHz (200 mw) Used in conjunction with Mode B and C [low power Mode B]
435.100 MHz (intermittent problem — switches between 400 mw and 10 mw)
Linear Transponders:
Transponder I: Mode A
Type: linear, non-inverting
Uplink: 145.850 – 145.950 MHz
Downlink: 29.400 – 29.500 MHz
Translation Equation:
Downlink (MHz) = Uplink (MHz) – 116.450 MHz ± Doppler
Output Power: 1.3 watts PEP (start of life)
Transponder II: Mode B and Mode C (low power)
Type: linear, inverting
Uplink: 432.125 – 432.175 MHz *See Note
Downlink: 145.975 – 145.925 MHz
Translation Equation:
Downlink (MHz) = 578.100 – uplink (MHz) ± Doppler
Output Power: 8 watts PEP Mode B (start of life), 2.5 watts PEP Mode C

Mode C, while weaker, is useful to us because it allows more operators onto the transponder before it goes to undervoltage and resets. An inverting transponder tunes the downlink frequency downwards as you tune upwards on the transponder uplink, non-inverting tunes with you.

When AO-7 first came back from the dead Jan King, W3GEY, the AMSAT-OSCAR-7 Project Manager commented: “AO-7 has a good set of arrays and the first BCR (battery charge regulator) we ever flew. It’s the first spacecraft we ever had that was capable of overcharging the battery. When the battery failed the cells began to fail short. One cell after another failed and the voltage measured on telemetry began to drop. So, the cells were clearly failing SHORT. Now, after all these years, what happens if any one of the cells loses the short and becomes open? Then, the entire power bus becomes unclamped from ground and the spacecraft loads begin to again be powered but, this time only from the arrays. Now you have a daytime only satellite but, each time the sun rises at the spacecraft you have a random generator that either turns on Mode A or Mode B or whatever it wants.”

Visit the AMSAT site for more information on working the satellites, and specifically their AO-7 page. Also, Emily Clarke has a nice AQ for working AO-7.



Two Letters Re: Middle Tennessee Flooding has Lessons About Preparedness

Dear Mr. Rawles,
We live in southern Middle Tennessee, about an hour south of Nashville, and we are watching the news coverage of this weekend’s record-breaking flooding in the Nashville area. It is confirming our conviction not to live in a metropolitan area as we see how people are affected by this natural disaster.

All three interstates going through Nashville–I-65, I-24, and I-40–have been shut down for long periods of time yesterday and today. The cars and trucks stuck on I-40 as I write this stretch for over five miles, and the drivers
have no way of backing up, turning around, getting off on a side road, or crossing the median. They are stuck! Note to self: when evacuating an area, do not take the interstate.

The motels are full, and even the Opryland Hotel is being evacuated because of rising river levels and sporadic electric service. They’re interviewing hotel guests on the news who have been evacuated and left stranded at a local high school with no food, no medications, and no creature comforts. The ones who had cars had to leave them behind. Most of them probably did not have cars because they came in by air. They are complaining about the inconvenience and lack of information. Imagine if this situation [or a comparable situation] were affecting the whole state or the whole country–what would these people do?

Public services are being stretched way beyond capacity as police and disaster workers try to rescue people from their cars and from their homes, and try to keep people off the roads. I have heard that over 600 people
have been rescued. Rescue workers are exhausted, and now that it’s dark their work is even more dangerous. So far, five people have died as a result of this flooding, but the count will probably go up as the flood waters go
down. Some areas are dangerous to drive into, but due to the overwhelming scope of the flooding, no rescue workers have been able to go in and put up barriers or warnings.

Many of these homeowners probably did not have flood insurance, as their homes were in areas that have not flooded in anyone’s memory. (Some of the these subdivisions are located within the curve of river bends, which
seems incredibly short-sighted to me.) A levee on the Cumberland River is leaking in at least one area and there is concern that it will break. Several areas have no electric service, no home phone service, and no cell phone
service. They are saying that the water supply is safe, but they are asking people to conserve water. Lots of people are spending the night in shelters that have just cropped up today, including people from out of state who got
stuck here when the interstates closed down.

All of this gives our family food for thought and helps us discuss how we can be even better prepared for a similar situation in our area. It also makes us wonder how our nation would fare if a disaster struck across several states or the whole country. It is obvious that there simply aren’t enough police or emergency workers to take care of everyone at the same time. So many of the flood victims being interviewed on the news don’t seem to have any sense of personal responsibility for emergency preparedness. – Ginny

James,
I have recently started reading your blog. Since I started from scratch six months ago my family and I have stored food, stored water, learned firearms and safety, learned first aid, purchased communications equipment. Some of the ideas were put to test this past weekend in Nashville, Tennessee. with the “once in a century” flood. Our area of Nashville received 15 inches of rain in a little over 48 hours. To putt that in perspective: Our annual rainfall for this area is around 45 inches. Many areas flooded out.

My family and I live on a lake. The water came up to our house but no major damage. Many others were not so fortunate. Things I found out. Scanner radio came in handy to listen to on the ground reports of rescues. For your readers I would suggest they know the local [public service] frequencies. This came in handy vs listening to all the other channels further away from where we were being affected at the time.

I listened to a rescue crew report that a nearby road flooded over within a mile of our house. If we had needed to bug out at that point I would of known not to use that road. One observation were all emergency crews acted professional however at one small point they simply could not get to everyone. Two portions of the interstate (I -24 and another I- 40) were flooded. Both interstates are major roads for Nashville.

One crew was asked to go to a location but they were blocked in on the interstate by traffic and could not move forward due to water over the road. The call was transferred to another crew who handled it. The idea struck me that sometimes no matter how well the intentions are help may not be able to arrive on time thus self sufficiency would pay off. Nashville did not have looting during this crisis. However my family and I were prepared with food , guns, ammo, safe drinking water if that time had arrived. Things I would change: CB radio batteries in portable CB were dead when I went to use it. Fortunately we had power at house and I could recharge the rechargeable batteries. I saw a neighbor outside on the lake our property fronts in a boat needing help to secure docks that were in process of floating away. I ran outside to join him. I made two mistakes on running to his aid:

I failed to let any member of my family know I had left. I also did not take my cell phone. Simple mistakes but nonetheless if the boat we were traveling in flood waters had tipped over my family would of had no clue that I had gone out in the water on a boat. Another small one was my Goretex rain gear about a month ago was obviously no longer water proof. I decided I would wait till next fall when the rainy season hits again to replace this gear. I would of never guess that I would really need this gear in the torrential downpour. I simply put it the gear on and stayed wet. Last night I purchased new rain gear from an online site, with the lesson learned.

The other part I learned and observed was peoples reactions. Some people are very level headed during a crisis and could make good decisions. Others were in panic mode. I still have a lot to learn but felt comfortable in the knowledge we were semi-prepared. I will fine tune some things from this experience for the next event. “Living and Learning”, – Kris