“Anyone who conducts an argument by appealing to authority is not using his intelligence he is just using his memory” – Leonardo da Vinci
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Note from JWR:
There is a new regulation that apparently I must address: per FTC File No. P034520, I state for the record: I accept cash-paid advertising. To the best of my knowledge, as of the date of this posting, none of my advertisers have solicited me or paid me to write any reviews or endorsements, nor have they provided me any free or reduced-price gear in exchange for any reviews or endorsements. Okay, with that done, I can press of with blogging here in the land that we once called free…
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Is Prepping an Insurmountable Task?–The Beginner’s Primer, by Gary T.
Once you realize the importance of being prepared for coming hard times, you may ask yourself, “How can I possibly prepare for any scenario? This is an insurmountable undertaking.” The more you ponder this, the more the reality of this seems to be confirmed. Let not your heart be troubled. As with almost any endeavor, the road to success begins with the first step and continues one step at a time. Consistent, prioritized, careful preparation over a period of time, preparation built around what your personal situation (budget, job, family, medical needs, etc.) will allow, can get you in a position in relatively short order to weather the scenarios that are most likely to occur. The mere fact that you have considered the possibilities of what may lay ahead can very quickly put you ahead of the vast majority of the population.
Consider the possible scenarios whereby preparedness would prove to be literally a lifesaver. These scenarios range from very geographically localized events, either natural or man-made, to the proverbial TEOTWAWKI. The likelihood any of these events occurring generally becomes decreasing likely in a given time frame as the geographical scope and severity of the event increases. Therefore the occurrence of a total multi-generational societal collapse, requiring the maximum amount of preparation is far less likely to occur over the next year or two or five than relatively local, relatively short term events such as tornados, hurricanes or floods, or even some major terrorist events, all requiring far less preparation than TEOTWAWKI situation previously mentioned. This should be considered in the early stages of preparation as priorities for investment are made.
Therefore, your preparation should follow a well planned, measured, prioritized process that enables you to be positioned to go through the most likely scenarios first followed by progressively increasing severe scenarios. Ongoing preparation will build on the past. No effort goes wasted. This should be encouraging to the beginning prepper.
How should you start? Start with a careful analysis of the most likely localized events that may occur in your area or region, or events from another region that may impact your local area (remember passenger air service after 9/11). Shutdown of transportation systems, especially trucking and rail should be of paramount concern. What is the probable time frame that these events may cause you to rely on your own resources? Make a list of all the items and quantities you will need to get through that period of time. This constitutes the Phase I physical resources preparation plan.
Prioritize the list and within the constraints of your budget begin to acquire the items you have listed. Keeping an Excel spreadsheet makes this task much easier and allows you to see at a glance exactly how much physical resource preparation you have achieved, how much you still need, the value of those resources, the cost to complete your initial Phase I purchases, etc. Your spreadsheet should include rows listing each item with columns for:
- Priority
- Category or subcategory
- Quantity Needed (for the given preparation Phase)
- Quantity on Hand
- Difference Needed vs. On-Hand (Calculated Value)
- Cost Each
- Acquisition Cost (Calculated Value)
- On Hand Value (Calculated Value)
- Total Value (Calculated Value)
- Percent Complete for the Item (Calculated Value) – you can color code this Red/Yellow/Green for and at a glance dashboard view
- Subtotals as you feel appropriate for each Category or Sub-Category
In the same way you used Excel to track your Phase I resources preparation status, use your spreadsheet to list categories, sub-categories, items and quantities that you wish to acquire for future Phases, up to and including a Phase for TEOTWAWKI. This allows you to systematically build your level of preparedness a Phase at a time. As you start with Phase I, you can also see how well you are gearing up for future Phases as well. Remember, on-hand quantities, pricing, etc, can carry from the Phase I sheet to the Phase II through Phase “n” sheets so redundant data entry isn’t required! Don’t forget to make hard copies of your files and save them in a three ring binder.
Additional Tips for getting started.
So you have determined what you need to acquire and have begun to do so. But prepping isn’t just about acquiring tangible goods.
It is also about skills. It is especially about skills. Even what I have called “Phase I” preparation should include training in the plan. A diversity of skills within your group (which may start out as just your family) is important. Take advantage of any relevant training available to you at low or no cost. Programs available in many communities include CERT, First Aid, CPR and similar. Use these opportunities to increase your skill base. These are great skills to have in normal times and are great skills to build upon. Even these basic courses could prove to literally be lifesavers in “normal” as well as tougher times.
Learn to garden. Even if you don’t have a retreat with the space, perfect soil, and water supply, you should garden on a smaller scale in your city or suburban back yard. This will give you a head start in knowledge and experience (i.e., harvesting and saving seeds for future years) when you are able to move to that retreat location. Plus, fresh garden vegetables are healthier and taste so much better than what you purchase from the store, especially if the store bought vegetables are poured from a can! Nothing beats enjoying a hand picked, vine ripe tomato fresh from the garden (and I confess, I take the salt shaker out back with me!).
Put away the foods you eat today. Nitrogen packed survival foods are expensive and likely should and may be a part of your plan. However, many foods that you eat today can be more immediately utilized to kick start your storage pantry at moderate cost while you save for other more expensive longer term options. You can buy or easily build out of plywood a FIFO rotation canned goods rack, set it in a pantry or closet and start loading it up today with the foods you already eat. This accumulation can be done for little perceived cost if done over time. Simply buy a little extra of what you already purchase each time you are at the store. You will be amazed at how quickly you can build up a 30, 60, 90 day supply of canned goods that will never go bad because they are what you currently eat so you rotate them via the FIFO system into your daily meals. Canned vegetables, meats, soups, fruits and sauces can all be stored in this simple way. All at very moderate expense.
Learn about your firearms. Practice with them as much as you can afford to. Get professional instruction. Basic courses for novices are available at moderate expense. There are NRA sanctioned courses for basic safety, handling and shooting skills. Work toward completion of an NRA course or equivalent in self defense in the home and self defense outside the home. If you are or once you get to be more advanced, get even more advanced training. If your budget doesn’t initially allow this, do the best you can but plan for more advanced tactical training in a future Phase. The key now is to get what you can afford and build on that. Practice, practice, practice.
Don’t think you must necessarily purchase a complete set of new firearms right out of the gate for your survival armory. Conventional wisdom suggests .45 ACP pistols for carry, .308/7.62 NATO semi-autos for your MBR (with expensive red-dot optics), a good .308 bolt action for long range and / or large game hunting, and perhaps a more expensive shotgun than you have budget for. If you already have 9mm pistols, that AR-15 you bought a few years ago “because you wanted one”, the scoped .303 you inherited from Dad and an old but functional Remington 870 Express in 12 gauge, you are good to go for now, as a beginner prepper. Make sure that adequate ammunition is part of your plan, but with this or a similar adequate set of calibers and shotgun you are set for your initial Phases of preparation. Early on, food, water, medical supplies and the like are likely a higher priority than new firearms. You can upgrade in a future Phase. Focus on firearms training at this stage. It’s about prioritization. Besides, later phases prepare for scenarios that will be more likely to require the capabilities of upgraded firearms.
A basic principle. Standardize. If you pick .45ACP for your personal carry weapon, it is advantages for all members of your group to do the same. The same principle applies for your MBR, self defense and hunting shotguns, etc. Ammunition and magazine plans will appreciate this. Try to standardize on 1 or 2 battery types for your battery operated devices. Or more correctly standardize by using devices requiring only 1 or 2 battery types. You don’t want to have to store and/or maintain charges on AA, AAA, CR123, C, D, N and CR2032 batteries, when you could be more efficient and effective with perhaps using only AA batteries. This principle applies to anything that you have more than one of. Radios, flashlights, etc. Remember the axiom, two is one and one is none. Standardization means simplicity, efficiency, spares. There may be exceptions, but take standardization into consideration when you develop or modify your plan. Initially, you may have to have a wider assortment of devices depending on the devices you currently have, but have a strategy to standardize.
Plan to read or more correctly, to learn by reading. Whenever you come across a useful article, print it out and save it in a three ring binder with other useful articles you have saved. Even if it is something you can’t purchase or do or use until a future Phase, save it now and add it to the plan now. There is an incredible amount of useful information in SurvivalBlog.com. Read and save (and purchase through Jim’s site when you decide to purchase goods from one of his advertisers). Jim helps us so we should help him where we can.
If you have relatives or friends in a rural location that you can get too and who are willing to take you in during appropriate events, have a G.O.O.D. plan. This includes hard copy maps with routes and alternate routes. Practice all routes before the big day. Practice your load out plan, again, prior to the big day. Search SurvivalBlog.com for loads of information on G.O.O.D. There are many concerns related to evacuation in certain scenarios. Educate yourself and make educated decisions.
This article is the tip of the iceberg with regards to beginning prepping, but hopefully it has a few pointers to get you thinking and to get you started and is an encouragement that this can be done, that you can successfully prepare for the future. You don’t have to purchase all nitrogen packed long shelf life survival foods or the perfect arsenal with one of every conceivable firearm type for every circumstance (in fact limiting (standardizing) models and calibers has some clear advantages) in order to successfully prepare for the likeliest of scenarios. Remember, methodical, prioritized preparing is the way to go for those of us on a budget. Start small, build your knowledge base, supplies and skills, and very soon you will be in the enviable position of weathering the most likely calamities to occur in the next few years. If you continue this methodical, ongoing process, you will continue to improve your situation and continue to put your self in a position to weather increasingly more severe and longer lasting scenarios. The important thing for those on a budget is not to wish you could do it all now by immediately trading cash for all the tangibles and training you need, but to start and to start now and to consistently build to our plan as we can afford to do so.
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Letter Re: Firearms Spare Parts Recommendations
Jim,
First of all I am glad your newest book “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It” is selling very well. It is a great book and I think just about everyone could benefit from reading it and having a copy on the shelf to reference. Anyway my question is about firearms spare parts. I have stashed a good amount of cash to purchase spare parts for my essential firearms and am not sure what to get. Thanks to a previous post here I have a a list for the AR platform. I am however just about clueless for the Remington 870, the Glock 9mm and the M1911. I have done some looking online and have seen lists here or there which are completely different from each other. I know you use the Remington 870 and the 1911 at the Rawles Ranch so I imagine you have thought those over a little bit. Also any thoughts you or your readers have about spare parts for the Glock platform would be highly appreciated.
Thank you very much for your time and effort. – TheOtherRyan (Co-editor of Total Survivalist Libertarian Rantfest)
JWR Replies: For some suggested spare parts to keep on hand, see these articles in the SurvivalBlog archives and at my static pages:
- My FAQs on magazines (M14/M1A, M16/AR-15, FAL, M1911, and M1 Carbine.) Magazines are often the most crucial spares. Readers are urged to get a good education before shopping for spare mags. Don’t waste your money on unreliable aftermarket junk!)
- Lists of my recommended spare parts for AR-15s/M4s, Ruger 10/.22 rifles, M1911s and Clones, and Winchester Model 1894s
- Discussion of real world M1911, Glock, and XD parts failures, by a firearms instructor
- Discussion of Mini-14s
- Discussion of M1911 pistols spare magazines
- Brief discussion of Glocks spares, and Glock spare parts vendors
- Recommendations on Glock spares, from a legendary senior gunsmith
- Brief mention of FN-FAL spares and parts vendors
- Discussion of G3, M14, FAL, and L1A1 parts sets
- More discussion of AR-15/M4 spares
- A list of recommended spare parts sources (Also includes a list of some likely-to-fail AR-15/M4 parts)
Beyond those references, you should talk with specialist gunsmiths that are well-experienced with your particular models. Be sure to ask them not only about high breakage parts, but also high loss parts. Some parts under spring pressure tend to go flying across the room, during disassembly. Have you ever spent a half hour with a magnet, trolling through shag carpet in the search for a tiny, errant spring detent? I have!
In closing, I should remind readers to take full advantage of the SurvivalBlog archives, via the “Search Posts on SurvivalBlog:” box at the top of the right hand bar. If your question is technical, then odds are you can quickly find the answer in the more than 7,600 archived posts. They are all available free of charge.
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Economics and Investing:
From the Dr. Housing Bubble blog: Three Westside Shadow Inventory Homes. Santa Monica, Culver City, and Rancho Park. Banks will not Hold Inventory Forever.
John S. sent this: Bailout cop: Treasury set ‘unrealistic expectations’ Barofsky, reviewing the first big bailouts to 9 firms, concludes that the government was too rosy to the public about the banks’ health. (Read: They fibbed.)
Tom B. thought this might be of interest: Baker Hughes: US Oil, Gas Rig Count Up 7 To 1,024 This Week
Damon mentioned: Is world economy still in deep woods? (The IMF announced that it plans to sell 8% of its gold reserves.)
Items from The Economatrix:
Ad Slump Leads Gourmet, Three Other Magazines to Close
Stocks Rise as Service Industry Activity Improves
Service Sector Grows in September, First Time in a Year
BofA to Select Emergency CEO
Oil Falls Ahead of Week of 3Q Earnings
Crash/Collapse Dead Ahead Say Faber, Rogers, Dent, and Celente
Waking Up to Discover the Mortgage Market Was a Giant Criminal Enterprise
Consumer Bankruptcies Surge Past One Million in First 9 months of 2009
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Odds ‘n Sods:
John McC. mentioned an interesting (albeit slow-loading) environmental threat map site.
o o o
I heard from a reader in Wyoming about some newly-manufactured herdsman-style trailers equipped with wood stoves. They look like a good option for extended camping situations, or a way to house extra families that show up at your retreat at the 11th Hour.
o o o
Damon pointed us to a Washington Times editorial: The coming war with Iran.
o o o
India floods leave 2.5 million homeless, 250 dead. (My thanks to Eric C. for the link )
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Jim’s Quote of the Day:
“The fact of the matter was that Venice was utterly demoralized. It was so long since she had been obliged to make a serious military effort that she had lost the will that makes such efforts possible. Peace, the pursuit of pleasure, the love of luxury, the whole spirit of dolce far niente (softness for nothing) has sapped her strength. She was old and tired; she was also spoilt.” – John Julius Norwich’s description of once mighty Venice’s surrender to Napoleon
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Letter Re: Where to Start in Survival Preparedness?
Mr. Rawles,
My family and I are facing some challenges in our pursuit to become prepared. First off, a little background on our situation. I’m a 12-year Air Force veteran currently stationed in Montana. My wife also works full-time. We have about $60,000 in debt between credit cards and two auto loans. We have no problems paying our bills and our credit is excellent. It’s just that we don’t have a ton of extra money to begin our grand survival scheme. We’ve talked about all the different routes about living debt free and also purchasing the right vehicles, retreat and equipment that we feel we would need.
Option #1 – The Air Force pays large bonuses for certain career fields if you reenlist into that career field. I’m interested in one that will pay me a minimum $50,000 ($25.000 on signing, the rest spread out over the length of my reenlistment.) We talked about paying off one auto loan and our credit cards with the up-front $25,000. This would free up about $500/month which we would probably put towards our bigger auto loan. Since the first auto loan would be paid off, we can then sell that car and buy a less expensive ’73-’86 Chevy/GMC Blazer or Suburban (gas). That would take care of survival vehicle #1. The other $25,000 over the following years would be used to pay down our other vehicle to where we can pay off or even break even so we can purchase survival vehicle #2—1994-1997 Dodge Ram 2500 4×4 5.9L Cummins diesel. If we go for this option, most if not all of our debt will be gone and we’ll have about $1,000/month to spend on fortifying our equipment, supplies et cetera. The problem with this option is we won’t be too prepared if something were to happen in the next 4-to-5 years or so.
Option #2 – Let’s assume that I still have the same bonus as listed above. I retire in eight years and would like to have a little piece of land to go to–TEOTWAWKI or not. We plan on 10+ acres somewhere in north central Idaho (Orofino/Pierce/Deary–that area). Well, I could take the $25,000 up front bonus and put it down on a piece of land. We don’t plan on spending over $80,000, so we can figure on a payment of around $300-$600/month. Then, when I retire, I’ll move the family up there and build a house with a mini-farm. Of course, if I went this route I would still have a lot of debt.
Option #3 – Perhaps I should plan for more immediate needs. My family has little of the proper equipment/supplies that we would need. Shoot, we don’t even have a Bug-Out Bag.. I’ve considered using that bonus money (or a portion) to build up in the equipment area and forego paying any additional to debt (after all, if TEOTWAWKI happens in the near future, debt will be the least of our problems).
So, this is the dilemma that I am faced with. I know my end goal a (self sustaining mini-farm in Idaho, while still receiving a pension and being debt free). Getting there is the hard part. The costs of my current debt, state of provisions, buying land, building on the land, vehicles, alternative power for the retreat will probably cost anywhere from $200,000-$500,000 when it’s all said and done. I think the smart choice is putting as much money as possible towards debt and getting that out of the way, but at the same time making small provisions for WTSHTF. Perhaps I’ve missed something? – Dan W.
JWR Replies: For anyone that might be laid off, debt can be a real killer in the next few years. I still predict a at least another 18 months of deflation to be followed by sharp inflation. In deflationary times, having any debt load would be disastrous if income were interrupted due to a layoff. Granted, military service is a unique situation, but my general advice is to pay down debts, and avoid taking on any new debt. The situation in the immediate future will resemble the Great Depression of the 1930s, where cash was king, and the few people that had jobs fared well, but those that were unemployed suffered badly. So my advice is to take Option #1: Pay off one auto loan and your credit cards with the $25,000 re-up bonus. Not only will it remove the stress of potential loss of income, but it will eliminate interest payments, which are a non-productive drain on your resources. Then make your preparations gradually, using your expendable income, without incurring any new debt. If need be, downgrade one of your vehicles to an older model that won’t require a car loan. That will free up even more cash each month.
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Letter Re: Firearms Training — Some Stress is a Good Thing
Dear Jim,
I attended an Appleseed Project shoot, and it was interesting. I really enjoyed everything about the program, the instruction, the history, and the camaraderie. I’m a newbie to shooting, and I think I may have had the wrong sling type. The type that the instructors had was a loop sling, but the kind I had was just a nylon strap. When trying to get into positions and change positions the strap kept sliding down my shirtsleeve. I did awful in the shooting, and really surprised myself at exactly how bad of a shot I am. I need lots of practice. In reading your site I see all these people who seem to be full blown commandos eating rusty nails surviving in the brush with nothing while always walking uphill in the rain against a hurricane while evading a hungry bear. It’s a little discouraging for a newbie, as I sit down in front of my laptop with my microwave TV dinner.
Needless to say I’m going to sign up for another Appleseed project because I consider my first attendance a frustrating experience based on my inexperience. I was never able to find this so called (natural point of aim (NPOA). My natural point of aim seems to be my foot from a standing position. At 50 yards I’m all over the place, no grouping whatsoever, and most of the time I can’t tell if I hit the target or not. Another thing to get used to is all the noise at the Appleseed. We were 70 to 80 people all within two to three feet of each other shooting everything from .22 to .308. The smoke, the noise, and the hot spent brass landing on your back from someone else’s rifle made quite difficult to concentrate. I don’t like anyone else to be shooting while I’m shooting. [JWR Adds: After you’ve resolved any flinching problems, I have found that the noise, distractions, and stress of a rifle match creates a good training environment for basic combat shooting. Although a rifle match doesn’t come close to the stress of tactical rushes with bullets flying both directions, some stress is a good thing!]
I’m trying to overcome lots of bad habits already between the blinking, flinching, breathing, and focusing on the front sight. I’m going to get back at it and keep practicing. My reason for writing this to you is because perhaps some other rookie can find solace in the fact that not everyone on SurvivalBlog is Jeff Trasel running around with an M60. 🙂 I’m a product of the “Me generation” trying to get re-acquainted with reality. – Jon in Florida
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Letter Re: Raising Sheep and Goats: Dealing with Internal Parasites
I just finished reading the linked article “Five Highly Productive, Low-Stress Animals You Can Raise at Home.” When I read articles like this I start to fume. They make it sound like all you need to do is ‘get your goat’ (or whatever) turn it out and reap the benefits. One the major issues in sheep and goat raising that can be and often is a killer is parasites (intestinal and nasal worms). Sheep and goats are subject to stomach worm. This worms basically suck the their blood and the host (sheep or goat) then dies from anemia.
Most folks do not realize that we have a serious problem in the US in the fact that most of the antiparasiticals that are used to control worm loads has been used (mostly incorrectly) for so long that the worms are immune to it. That means there is little prescription that is effective in killing the worms.
That further means that having these animals on small acreage over an extended period of time can be a death sentence.
Parasites build up in the soil. The worms crawl up the grass, Goat/sheep eat the grass and the worms. The worms continue the cycle of laying eggs inside the host animals, the animals add the worms back to the soil in their manure, with increasing numbers, the host picks up more of them and in fairly short order, bam — worm overload — dead host.
Please know that I am quite qualified to make the above statements. I have successfully raised goats for over 45 years. I am one of the few folks that can say they have actually made a profit raising goats. I am here to remind you that there is no profit or pleasure in a dead goat.
There are those that would like to tell you that this breed or that breed is ‘worm resistant’ –to that I say ‘Yeah and they likely voted for Obama’. The fact is that all goats are vulnerable to worms and all breeds are subject just as much as any other. The difference is climate and good management. Warm and moist climate is a breeding ground for worms. For example, in Missouri, where it is warm and humid most all spring, summer and even Fall is a haven for these worms. In [most of] Texas, where it gets hot and dry is not such a good climate for the worms. But there is a trade off. Hot and dry means little vegetation so it take lots of acres to feed one goat in Texas. In Missouri you can feed many goats per acre, but you will also infect those goats in sort order.
Please, do your homework. Livestock are not easy and work-free. They are not for the faint at heart. It takes dedication and diligence along with some common sense and selflessness to keep animals. If someone tells you it it easy, I dare say, they are either trying to sell you some ‘seed stock’ or they are from the government. Respectfully, – Paulette in Missouri
Three Letters Re: Travel Security, by CapnRick in Argentina
Sir:
Having read Part 1 of an expatriate’s explanation of his travel safety preps – and being an avid motorcyclist in South America, I have a couple of cents to add:
Batons are worthless, I’m 6’1″ and pretty strong. After having worked as a cop, I can attest that baton strikes are of little utility in a serious fight, holding onto a baton in a fight is a serious mistake, you tend to concentrate on the weapon that does very little actual damage and get swarmed under. I’ve had to abandon my baton most of the time in a real fight, simply because to retain it I would have been unable to grapple or draw my pistol. Given the serious nature of a physical threat south of the border of the USA, and the typical three or more attacker scenario – a baton will just get you killed. Sure they’re cute and cuddly and all, but I have never seen one end a fight outside of some of the heavier “non issue” batons. Unless you’re very good at modern arnis or escrima, a baton is a poor weapon choice – especially the collapsible ones. I make sure I have two things when riding down there:
1. Steel-toed boots. You can wear them on any airplane, and they give you a definite weapon when attached to a long leg. What an armored kick to the shin or upper foot of a bad guy will do, I have witnessed many times in close quarter combat. Any other kind of shoe is vulnerable on top and if you have a steel shank as well, you can crush the bitty little bones in their foot with a good stomp.
2. Screwdrivers. The nice slender [6mm diameter] kind with a Phillips head screwdriver . Carry one [loosely sheathed in a length of clothes hanger cardboard tubing] in each jacket pocket. I know one guy who pre-stresses his “ready screwdrivers” to snap away like a prison “shank”. A snapped off screwdriver shaft stops a fight [As a motorcyclist,] it’s not considered a weapon in a foreign country, and you never have to worry about them being confiscated.
I’ve been in a lot of scraps with a lot of people. I have learned what works for me, and what seems to work in general, and have gleaned the following:
1. Drunk people don’t feel pain.
2. Pepper spray is a nice flavoring to add to a general melee – but a bad choice for individual combat with one caveat: the “Hide it in the hand, jam it in the mouth, and set it off” school. Don’t warn the guy, don’t wave things around, just jam it in and squeeze. Pepper spray is not an instant incapacitant, unless you get it in the upper-respiratory tract (uncontrollable retching coughs). If the bad guy closes his mouth, you lose your effectiveness. Although trained to aim for the upper chest and face – I always aim for the mouth when it’s open. That drops them immediately. Pepper spray to the eyes/nose area will cause discomfort (no matter how many Scoville Heat Units (SHUs) it’s rated at), prisoners in jails get pepper sprayed pretty frequently (area contamination) and many criminals train with pepper spray to be able to fight while getting sprayed.
3. If it’s a fight for your life, then then there are few targets that will save you quickly enough The throat always gets exposed. I’ve dropped a few guys with a throat hit, intentional, it’s a killing blow. Scrunch up cover your head with your hands and try to wait for the throat opening, then punch it like you were using your thumb to press an elevator button (only hit it, don’t press on it). You’re aiming for the windpipe.
4. Punch, bite, poke, stomp – then GET OUT OF DODGE. Don’t stick around for authorities, you’re the “gringo” you’re always considered wrong – without exception there are no reasons to stick around for authorities after you’ve had to defend your life.
5. There is no such thing as an attack that is only meant to relieve you of your property. All physical attacks are attacks on your life. Period.
6. If you’re in a big crowd and you see things breaking out, get out of the crowd by whatever means necessary – and don’t look back.
7. If you’re alone, the surest way to figure out if someone is after you – is to run. Plan a short sprint while you get your weapon into your hands. Anybody running after you is an attacker. (See Rule #5)
8. Never, ever drink anything with a stranger – anything and any stranger.
9. Commercial wasp spray is a far better chemical alternative to pepper spray. And they make small cans of carburetor cleaner (BrakeKleen is what I carry) that are about the size of a large canister
of pepper spray – and they blast chemicals out in a huge fog. Any of these two are much more easily explained and replaced in a foreign country.[JWR Adds: I must emphatically warn readers DO NOT use any such chemicals for self defense in the US or in any other First World Country, or you most likely will end up losing most of what you own in a six figure or seven figure civil lawsuit!] Carrying pepper spray and a baton say you’re ready for a fight, carrying a screwdriver and can of carburetor cleaner [on your motorcycle] say you’re ready to fix something – only you know you’re ready for a fight.
10. In the event of any altercation, get over any international border pronto – cut your vacation short – leave! This is easier said than done in most South American countries, as the back and forth for permits to cross a border can take hours. You should always carry government official “lubricant” in sufficient quantities to “speed” your application for a visa. Laws south of the US border are pretty much the same – but law enforcement south of the border is almost universally corrupt. If you know you’re going to get arrested, give all your resources to someone else, quickly – and make sure they clear the area until the time comes to collect you from the authorities. The first thing you’ll lose any bribe money to the searching hands of the official police. Your friend will need the money to arrange for a lawyer to plead for your release, or to pay a fine. I never, ever hand over my official passport except at border checkpoints – I always use a photocopy. The surest way or a foreign authority to keep you in the country is to keep your passport.
Oh, and it was pointed out to me by a buddy that works foreign security details for the US Department of State that Jenna Bush was the protectee – her possessions are unimportant, and can serve as a distraction meant to mask an attack on your principal. The Secret Service detail that was with her when her purse was stolen, probably saw who took it – and immediately took steps to safeguard her life (even if she didn’t know it). The property is irrelevant and was most likely intentionally allowed to be stolen once the act was seen in progress. They have one job, to insure their principal emerges alive. This does not always include their handbags and shoes. Regards, – LDM
Dear Jim,
I hope you are well. I’m praying daily for you and your family in your mourning. With regard to CapnRick’s excellent travel security article, I have two points, the first is probably peculiar to England, the second point applies to most of Europe including Britain.
1. We have two types of taxis. One is a Hackney Carriage (also known as a black cab, although they’re not all black!), which carries a lit ‘For Hire’ sign and may be hailed from the side of the road or picked up from a taxi-rank at a town centre, port, station or airport, and the other is a Private Hire (mini-cab) which must be booked from a despatching office. Never, ever get into a mini-cab unless you have booked it and it is the same company you booked with. You can tell which is which from the licence attached to the vehicle (usually at the back). Check that the vehicle registration number is identical to that on the taxi licence.
2. A relatively new phenomenon is areas which have become controlled by fundamental Muslims. [and I hate reporting on this because it sounds racist, but I don’t have a racist bone in my body]. People of all ages and gender have been attacked and beaten (and in the case of women, raped) simply for being white, afro-Caribbean, Hindu or Sikh. Whites and Sikhs are particular targets. Examples: in Manningham, Bradford, white people (even the few that live there) have been regularly beaten, usually by stone throwing, but stabbings are also reported, and are racially abused. In Alum Rock, Birmingham, two US Christian missionaries were escorted by police from the area for their own safety because ‘it’s a Muslim area’. and evangelising is ‘hate speech’. In such areas, non-Muslim women are considered to be ‘uncovered meat’ and are targets for rape. Remember, to a devout Muslim, even the sight of an woman’s ankle or wrist is considered shocking and to some men means you are ‘asking for it’. If you are in an area that is heavily populated by Muslims (you can tell by the Islamic dress), and a group of youths become interested in you, then beware. If all the women disappear and melt into the background, you are about to be attacked. There are other areas throughout Europe where this happens, but I have only reported the incidents and experiences I personally know about. Recently this summer there have been riots involving nationalists and Muslims (although sometimes just Muslims), and there is a danger in getting caught up in such. Hotspots for riots are Birmingham, Luton and Harrow. Discussing your faith (or even lack of it) with a Muslim can be fraught, some of them will report you for ‘hate speech’. See this article: Christian hotel owners face ruin after ‘defending their faith’ in row with a Muslim guest – this is not an isolated incident.
Jim, I hate singling out a group like this, but reality is reality. Although none of these crimes (with the exception of the ‘hate speech’ two) are exclusively Islamic, the reality is that these crimes are many, many times more prevalent in areas with a large Muslim population. However, I understand completely if you don’t publish paragraph 2 – you may have readers who are reasonable Muslims and would take offence. The situation in this country has reached crisis point, and if it wasn’t for the fact that my husband has been diagnosed with a third serious, life-threatening illness, we’d be looking to leave. For now, we are trusting in God’s mercies. We do live in an area which is untouched by the above concerns, but I have friends and family who, unfortunately, live in the thick of it. I never thought, as little as five years ago, that Islam would be such a concern – in fact, I welcomed such immigration because I hoped it would mean that our church missionaries would be able to evangelise here, at home with the full backing of British Law, instead of the cloak and dagger missionary work that went on in Egypt and other Islamic countries. This has proved to not be the case. Missionaries are still in grave danger.
I understand from my Stateside nephews and nieces that Dearborn, Michigan is starting to experience some of these concerns. (My nephews and nieces are misguided Mormons, the lot of ’em, but I pray for them to see the truth! I have to do it in bulk, though as there’s so many of them – and they have around six kids each 🙂 )
Thank you for all the work you do, it’s really appreciated. Keep safe, keep well. Blessings, – Jean in England
James,
Contrary to what was mentioned in the recent article on your blog, there is a place in the world where pepper spray is illegal. In the UK pepper spray (and similar items) is classified as a “Prohibited Weapon” and possession can get you five years in jail. I believe this is the only country in Europe where there that’s true but I’m not certain. – Johnny in England
Economics and Investing:
Reader Eric S. spotted this: CIT debt swap could cost U.S. more than $1.8 billion
By way of Market Oracle, Damon found these two links: News From 1930 and Zero Hedge discusses railroad carloading statistics.
Items from The Economatrix:
Jim Willie: Systemic Failure Approaches. “Numerous sustaining forces will contribute toward the inexorable path to systemic failure. It will begin with the relapse failure of the US banking system. Citigroup is facing real bankruptcy, whose numerous segments are underwater and growing worse. Bank of America is in a death spiral, whose CEO Ken Lewis departs amidst political and shareholder legal pressures. Wells Fargo is so dead that its true balance sheet makes a skeleton come to life, whose prime Option ARM and second mortgage exposure is monumental.”
Wells Fargo “Lost” Grandma’s Money
US Faces “Retro” 70’s Inflation
Job Losses Overshadow Any Signs of Recovery
Greenspan: US Should Raise Taxes, Tighten Credit
Consumer Bankruptcies Soar in September
World Unemployment Rising; Rates, Responses Vary
Recession’s Unemployment Takes Bigger Toll on Singles
Retail Stores Closing Doors in 2009
InkStop Abruptly Closes All 152 Stores, No Money For Workers
Japanese Deflation Worst on Record
US Unemployment Now Lasts Longer than Benefits
Are US Treasuries a Bubble Ready to Pop?
The Biggest Banking Heist in World History: Washington Mutual
Gary North: What is Money?
Odds ‘n Sods:
Reader FG flagged this news story from Texas: Soldier who stole night vision goggles sentenced. ” FG’s comment: Be very careful about any “super deals” on US mil spec night vision gear. It may be stolen Government issue.”
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Reader Bill D. spotted an interesting two-part article yesterday on “The Brussels Journal” web site dealing with the downfall of Bronze-Age civilization and some of the implications for our own times. Bill’s comment: “It’s very heavy on the ancient history but very much worth a read.”
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FG mentioned this article on cyber terrorism, from an Australian newspaper: Internet ‘biggest threat’ to the US
Jim’s Quote of the Day:
“Nature is cruel and dynamic. It is a daily massacre for the lame and the newborn. Vicious spasms of violence red in tooth and claw tempered by turns of weather that can kill and nourish in the same pastoral event. Most importantly, nature is capricious in the most practical sense: the complexity is so immense as to be almost incomprehensible to human cognition. Complexity theory has tried to capture the distillate of what appears to be random phenomenon but is actually a spontaneous order much like economic market forces. Which brings us to the cruelest joke of all on the Greens: they can’t possibly know what they are talking about.” – Bill Buppert