Inflation Watch:

Several readers sent this:news item: What’s the Beef? Food-Inflation Fears

G.G. sent this: How Hyperinflation Will Happen.

Flavio sent this linkio: Mortgage Interest Rates May Hit 14 Percent Within Two Years. Flavio’s comment: Anybody who has a mortgage with a variable rate or which must be refinanced at a later point before it is paid off needs to get out of that type of loan and into a fixed rate loan if at all possible. Or you had better dig through your loan paperwork and find out what the cap on the interest rate is, because there is a good chance you’ll hit it.”

G.G. sent: The Road to Stagflation.

Did you notice that spot silver is now approaching $19 per ounce, and spot gold is now around $1,240 per ounce?

 



Odds ‘n Sods:

SurvivalBlog’s Editor at Large Michael Z. Williamson sent this news item: American abducted into Mexico. Here is a key quote: “U.S. authorities did not contact their Mexican counterparts because they did not know whether they were corrupted or connected to the girl’s captors, Gonzalez said.”

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Several readers sent this EPA Considering Ban on Traditional (Lead Core) Ammunition. Please leave a comment during the public comment period. (If this ban goes through, price of ammunition will skyrocket!)

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H.L. wrote to alert us of the following posted by the CMP Office: “M14 KITS NOW AVAILABLE. We have acquired a large quantity of M14 parts and have assembled a few hundred Grade A kits which are now being offered for retail sale. Kit includes every semi-auto part except barrel, bolt and receiver. Metallic parts will show signs of use and may have some minor rust or pitting. Stocks may have some dents and dings and minor cracks. Stocks may be walnut, hardwood, or synthetic. Item number is PSM1AKIT. Price is $600 per kit plus $22.95 S&H per kit.” This may be your last chance to buy a parts set (sans receiver) at a half-way reasonable price. These kits include a spare operating rod and trigger group, which are important spares to keep on hand. Retreat groups that have standardized with M1A rifles (semi-auto M14s) should buy one spare parts set for every four rifles.

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There is just one more week to take advantage of Safecastle’s ‘Feel the Future’ sale, with special freebie offers. Check it out!

Jim’s Quote of the Day:



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

“We won’t take a dime if we ain’t earned it
When it comes to weight brother we pull our own
If it’s our backwoods way of livin’ you’re concerned with
You can leave us alone
We’re about John Wayne, Johnny Cash and John Deere
Way out here, way out here
Our houses are protected by the good Lord and a gun
And you might meet ’em both if you show up here not welcome son ” – Josh Thompson, from the lyrics to his song: Way Out Here



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 30 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost between $500 and $600, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, and B.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 30 ends on September 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Running a TEOTWAWKI Training Weekend, by Skynome

First, a little bit of background. In August of 2009 a co-worker gave my husband the novel Patriots, he started to read it and told me that I would enjoy it, my response? “Pssh! It looks like more conspiracy theorist paranoia, no thank you” Then in November of 2009 my husband received “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It” from a friend. I was bored, felt like reading, and saw it sitting on our coffee table so I started reading. A few hours later I put the finished book down and then immediately picked up “Patriots” which I finished the next day. Everything my husband had been saying to me for months finally made sense and I realized what I had done to our family by waiting so long to finally open my eyes. I knew then that we had to see exactly how prepared we were for a disaster and following advice from “How to Survive the End of the World as We Know it”, we decided to run a TEOTWAWKI training weekend. We had a core group of people that we trusted and that we thought had a prepping sort of mindset, based upon previous conversations. So we approached them about forming a retreat group and seeing if they would be on board for the TEOTWAWKI weekend, everyone agreed so we set a date and rules for ourselves. The rules we laid out were:

1. Everyone needed to be at the retreat by midnight on the day of the “disaster”
2. Because this was supposed to be unexpected no one could make any preparations beyond their usual preps
3. Power would go out at a pre-determined time, no excuses (which left me with a wet load of clothes and partially washed dishes)

In total we had 7 adults and 3 children under the age of two, two of which were still being breastfed along with solid food. We first figured out the basics of what we needed in order to survive the weekend. Food, water, a toilet, heat. On top of making sure we had all of the basics covered we decided to perform training evolutions. Because of the various duties we had to take care of (fire, food, and babies) only 2 to 3 people could be training at any one time. To make sure that everyone fully understood what was being taught everyone had to teach what they had learned to the next person being trained. Your training evolutions may be different but the things we trained on were
1. Building and maintaining a proper fire for heat and cooking
2. Remaining unseen and unheard in the woods
3. Identifying and cooking edible plants in the immediate vicinity
4. Creating a composting toilet with a 5 gallon bucket
5. Proper butchering and cleaning of a domestic farm animal

We chose those five things to be the focus of our training because they were all skills needed to make sure we survived the weekend. Once everyone learned the basics of fire building outside, each person was individually responsible for keeping the fire going in our fireplace and then cooking over that fire. In order to gather water we had to take a short hike through the woods outside our retreat property to get to a lake so each person had to practice lugging a 5 gallon bucket of water through the woods while remaining unseen and unheard, and keep in contact with their partner (we never let anyone leave the property alone). All the edible plants that we identified were then gathered and cooked for various meals throughout the weekend so that we all could learn proper foraging techniques. Because of the number of people in our retreat group, and the small size of the house, and the fact that it only had one bathroom we needed another toilet, though we knew we wouldn’t overload the septic tank during one weekend, we were trying to live as if this were a post-TEOTWAWKI world and therefore we made a quick and easy composting toilet using ash from our fire and sawdust that we made with a saw and scrap wood. Our final training evolution was killing and butchering a rooster. This way everyone could become accustomed to dealing with turning live animals into a meal since not everyone in our retreat group raises their own livestock.

Our Basic Schedule
0800-1200 wake up, moms take care of babies immediate needs, a few people gather kindling, tinder, and bring in the mornings supply of wood, a few people collect water from a nearby lake (for washing and flushing), and the others tend to the fire and make breakfast. Once breakfast is finished dishes are washed, lunch is decided upon and training begins
1200-1700 more water, kindling, tinder, and wood are gathered. Lunch is made, eaten, and dishes washed. We make a decision on what to eat for dinner followed by more training.
1700-2200 more kindling, tinder, and wood are gathered. Dinner is prepared and eaten, dishes are washed and breakfast duties for the following day are discussed. All candles, oil lamps, oil, lighters, and matches that could be needed through the night are brought out (and put safely away from the babies reach). Fire watch is assigned (to make sure the fire doesn’t go out in the night). Babies are put to bed and adults have time to sit back, talk about the things learned that day, tell stories, and have some bible study time. Then it’s bed time, where we all instantly pass out from total exhaustion.

We tried to stick to a diet of food stores, foraged food, and the rooster we butchered. One thing we were all very glad we had was canned bacon, having just a little bit of bacon with our meals made them feel more normal. For breakfast we tried wheat berries because it’s something I saw in Patriots , we found that cracking the wheat helped the babies digest it better, and we also needed to add fruit or honey to make it more palatable. A staple at every meal was flat bread, made by mixing flour with warm water and a fat (ghee, olive oil, and peanut oil are the ones we used). To keep everyone from getting bored with flat bread three times a day we mixed up the type of flour used. For breakfast we liked a mixture of white flour with finely ground oats, and for lunch and dinner we would grind our own rice flour or whole wheat flour to mix in with white flour. For lunch we would make a vegetable stew, and then keep the leftovers warm to have as a side dish for dinner. Because of the time of year the only food available for forage was lawn plantain, which we cooked up the same way you would collard greens, which made us realize how nice a larger variety of fresh vegetable would be. We’re now following advice from past survivalblog articles to plant fall and winter crops, and also have a small indoor garden for year round fresh vegetables.

The first lesson we learned was that even though we weren’t prepared enough we were better off than we would have been if I’d continued living life with my rose colored glasses. Besides, I think every prepper assumes they aren’t prepared enough. We also realized how important adding watch standing into our training would be. Because the majority of our retreat group is either active duty or former military we all know how to stand watch, and also know how mind numbingly boring a job it is so we all assumed that when SHTF we’ll step into our duties as watch standers pretty easily and therefore we decided not to post any watches during this weekend. What we didn’t know, is that the one retreat group member who wasn’t going to be able to make it because of work, managed to get time off and showed up late on night #2. No one knew he was there until he started banging on the front door, scaring all of us. We realized then that training properly during these weekends for security would be of great benefit and will definitely incorporate that into our next TEOTWAWKI weekend. Another thing we learned was how difficult it can be to take care of babies needs in a post-TEOTWAWKI world. They eat on different schedule than we do (especially while nursing) and their food needs are slightly different. Though all three children could eat solids to a certain extent the type of solids they could eat didn’t always mesh well with what we were able to make. Because of this my husband and I are now stocking up on baby multi-grain cereals and jarred baby food up to stage 3. This way we have readily available, nutritious food even for a toddler. We also realized how small our retreat house truly was, there wasn’t much room for the three babies to run around the house in, especially with the fire going constantly. It was actually after the TEOTWAWKI weekend that we realized we needed a larger retreat, both a larger property and a larger house. Any longer than a single weekend spent in that house with our entire retreat group would have caused all of our stress levels to be significantly higher. Overall it was a very informative weekend for all of us in learning new skills, discovering what more we need to learn, where else we need to stock up, and how well we can all work together in this type of situation. We’ve actually decided to continue doing these TEOTWAWKI weekends at least once every other month, incorporating new training situations into each weekend while practicing skills we learned at past weekends. Even if you don’t have a retreat group yet this is a great thing to do with your spouse and children, it really is a great eye-opener as to where you actually stand in your preparations. It’s also a good way to see whether or not someone you may want to add to your retreat group is actually a good fit.



Letter Re: Even Tony Robbins is Warning that an Economic Collapse is Coming

Dear James Wesley:
The following was recently posted in The Economic Collapse Blog: “It seems like almost everyone is warning of a coming economic collapse these days. Do you remember Tony Robbins? He is probably the world’s best known “motivational speaker” and his infomercials dominated late night television during the 1980s and 1990s. He was always urging all of us to “unleash the power within” and to take charge of our lives. Well guess what? Now Tony Robbins is warning that an economic collapse is coming. In fact, he has issued a special video warning about what he believes is about to happen. Considering the incredible connections that he has at the highest levels of the financial world, it makes a lot of sense to consider what he is trying to warn us about. Robbins says that a “major retracement” is coming to financial markets and that the coming collapse is going to be a “painful process” as we go through it. Those familiar with Tony Robbins know that he always goes out of his way to stress the positive, so if even he is openly warning the public about a coming economic nightmare than you know that things are starting to get really, really bad out there.”

This is unlike any Tony Robbins video that you have ever seen before, and it is absolutely jaw dropping. – George Gordon (SurvivalBlog’s Poet Laureate)



Four Letters Re: Community Crisis Planning for Societal Collapse

I read the article on Community Crisis Planning for Societal Collapse, by J.I.R. and was reminded by an incident that was related to me by several individuals involved, discussed in the local papers, and is well known .

In the weeks after Hurricane Katrina, the State of Illinois sent a convoy of trucks and equipment down to help the citizens in New Orleans. This convoy consisted of dump trucks and low-boys carrying backhoes, bulldozers, boats, generators, etc. The convoy also had a half dozen or so tanker trucks full of fuel. The boats were to be used for search and rescue by the approximately 20 Conservation Police Officers (CPO) in their convoy. (To their undying shame, many of these CPOs later participated in the confiscation of firearms from peaceful civilians transiting the waterways of the area.) Somewhere in Louisiana where traffic had slowed to a crawl, the tankers were suddenly noticed and surrounded by local police and sheriff’s deputies who pronounce that the fuel was being confiscated. The drivers at first conversed with the officers and then refused to comply and locked themselves in the trucks. The local authorities were enraged by this defiance to their authority and they tried to open the doors of the tankers and take over the trucks.

They were not persuaded by the fact that this was a convoy from another state sending aid to Louisiana or the fact that there were 20 armed CPOs in the convoy. The CPOs were out of their jurisdiction (this is Louisiana!), they needed the fuel and didn’t care who or what it was for. Apparently, the saving grace was when several Illinois State Troopers escorting the convoy were called onto the scene. The locals were persuaded by their demeanor and Smokey the Bear style hats, that they might actually mean it that the fuel was not being confiscated, that the fuel was the property of the State of Illinois and “somebody” might get hurt if they tried.

I would assume that it occurred to the locals that a shootout over fuel between properly identified officers is never a career enhancing move, no matter what the situation, and the locals eventually left without the tank trucks. If I remember correctly the State of Illinois did fill up their police cars which amounted to less than 100 gallons of fuel as some kind of show of camaraderie.

It just goes to show you how irrational and chaotic the situation can become in America even between individuals sworn to uphold the law. – A.T.

 

Hello,
Allow me to start by saying that the article was fantastic. It covered so much ground in a clear and concise manner. It gives (I estimate) some great advice. There’s a few things I’d like to add to it:

The author was absolutely correct to say that turning away refugees is very taxing on a person. I would suggest looking for somebody who has experience with medical triage. People who have volunteered with Doctors Without Borders and the like, they have likely seen people turned away to go and die before. So they understand the necessity.

About your opinion on pets. It bears stressing that in any society where food is stored in a centralized location, cats are your best friend. Mice and rats will eat the cereal from your granary, go number two and stay there asleep until you’ve got fleas in your food as well. Even the most domesticated cat can turn expert mouser in a very short period of time. Dogs too kill vermin and people will want to keep them around as watchdogs to protect what little they have left.

And as a last note: thank you recognizing scientists as a valuable resource. (Beware though of the ego trippers amongst us :p)
If you intend to get some good results out of them, be sure to protect sources of laboratory equipment and chemicals. Every other kid knows how to build smoke bombs and crude explosives from high school lab chemicals, others may set out to get drug manufacture precursors. Protecting every lab and pharmacy will be a daunting task, I’d suggest allowing a scientific panel to raid all labs and do-it-yourself stores for difficult to acquire chemicals, and let them store them. Certain chemicals should not be stored in each others vicinity, let somebody with knowledge on the subject handle that.

Great article! – Michael H.

 

Hi Jim,
Good advice in that piece on Community Crisis Planning, I’d like to add on observation though, from the history books. Community solutions become less and less efficient as the size of the community increases. A small town may do well at the application but a city? Forget it.

A study of the collapse of complex civilizations shows that the big cites of the past were all but abandoned in favor of rural living. Our cities will become a living h*ll. I believe and I advise everyone to make plans to move out to smaller communities in the coming years. I know many in the survivalist community online will not actually sell up and move house. but they can at least travel to small towns. They might find one that looks suitable and make acquaintances there, spend time there at social events etc. In this way if they are still in the city and unprepared when the collapse comes they will at least have a place to go that is safe and where they know folk.
Just my 2 cents, mate. All the best Jim. – Frank Downunder in Oz

 

Dear James,
Regarding the letter by J.I.R., it sounds as if he is campaigning for dictator. And though he seems to be knowledgeable about logistics, he also seems to be lacking in “people skills” and morality. “Redistribution” of the supplies at the local Wal-Mart ? Huh? “About 4/5ths of your town will need food and most of the town’s food will be owned by a very few individuals or controlled by a store manager. If you allow the market to “work itself out”, these few individuals will suddenly control all the wealth and be able to charge people anything they see fit…or withhold critical resources as the whim takes them”. – He proposes to control them himself, without rightful ownership.

This reminds me of the people who plan to “redistribute” cattle and crops they see on other people’s farms. He better not try to redistribute my family’s goods, lest he find himself redistributed. Perhaps he should set up some sort of charitable food bank now, with personal donations from his family to seed it with. Indignantly yours, – Rocky in the Midwest



Economics and Investing:

J. in The East suggested: Rethinking Gold: What if It Isn’t a Commodity After All?

EMB sent us this from the Calculated Risk blog: Unofficial Problem Bank List increases to 817 institutions.

G.G. sent this: 15 Signs the U.S. Housing Market is Headed for Complete and Total Collapse.

Items from The Economatrix:

Jobless Rate Drops in 18 States, Rises in 14

Gasoline Prices Should Fall After Labor Day

Stocks Slide as Investors Continue Sell-off

Fidelity: 401(k) Hardship Withdrawals, Loans Up

Investors Defensive With Data in Focus

Return of the Great Bond Conspiracy

World Stocks Slide on Economic Worries

This Economy is Ripping the Dignity of Millions of Americans to Shreds



Inflation Watch:

News from England: Interest rates ‘may reach 8% by 2012’ adding £900 to the average mortgage as economists warn of need to curb ‘runaway inflation’. (Our thanks to Jean S. for the link.)

Doug D. wrote to report: “I found a Costco receipt from three months ago, so decided to compare prices on similar items. What I found was shocking:

  • + 5.7% – Bounty Paper Towel. Reduced from 968 sq ft to 915.
  • + 8.2% – Charmin Toilet Paper. Reduced from 937 sq ft to 866.
  • + 6.6% – Frozen Blueberries
  • + 6.9% – Batteries, AA
  • – 2.5% – Batteries, AAA (deflation). Surprising.
  • Chromed steel utility shelves – price unchanged, but better quality (more metal) on the center support of each shelf. Surprising.

The Bounty and Charmin paper products both effectively had price inflation by reducing the total square feet (smaller sizes). The other brands just adjusted their prices. I feel particularly cheated by the Bounty and Charmin changes, since the packaging changes were deceptive. In the case of the Bounty, they even changed the packaging to imply a larger number of ‘equivalent rolls’, yet buried in the fine print, the rolls had less square feet in total. The others I feel less cheated by, since it is the same product and they just raised the price, so they were not using deceptive packaging to hide the inflation. This is not good, since this is 6~8% inflation in only three months…”

Economists Warn Of Runaway Inflation

Odds ‘n Sods:





Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"No investment will pay returns as high as paying down debt." – Nolan Lickey, Business, Seventh Edition, by Pride, et.al., Houghton Mifflin Publishers, 2002





EMP Attack and Solar Storms: A Guide, by Kevin Hayden

An Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP), is generated from the detonation of a nuclear device. A similar waveform is created by extreme solar activity, such as that which was experienced in 1859, 1921, 1989 and as recent as 1994. The US Government and military have studied these phenomenon extensively and several reports have been issued regarding EMP effects on vehicles, computer networks, critical infrastructure and more. In this report, we’ll briefly cover many of the topics discussed and researched in regards to geomagnetic anomalies, solar storm activity and the effects of an electromagnetic pulse. It should be noted, however, that Congress has largely ignored the EMP Commission’s warnings and our hospitals and critical infrastructure remain highly vulnerable.

In the late summer of 1859, a great solar storm hit the planet. This storm was the product of a coronal mass ejection from the Sun. While the science and physics behind these coronal ejections is interesting, it can also be long winded for some readers so I’ll keep this brief.

Once in a while – exactly when scientists still cannot predict – an event occurs on the surface of the Sun that releases a tremendous amount of energy in the form of a solar flare or a coronal mass ejection, an explosive burst of very hot, electrified gases with a mass that can surpass that of Mount Everest. I encourage you to research this more if you would like a deeper understanding of the charged plasma that is ejected from the Sun’s surface occasionally.

What you need to realize is that these solar storms are not only electrically and magnetically charged, but they bring radiation – across the spectrum, from microwave radiation to gamma rays.

On September 1st and 2nd, 1859, Earth’s inhabitants experienced the greatest solar storm in recorded history. “The grid” was in it’s infancy, consisting mainly of a few telegraph wires, mostly in larger cities. This storm short-circuited the wires and caused massive fires. The typical light show in the far north, known as the Aurora Borealis, was seen as far south as Cuba, Rome and Hawaii. Due to society’s light dependence on any form of an electrical grid at the time, this did not disrupt the world substantially.

In 1989 and 1994, minor solar storms knocked out communication satellites, shut down power plants and disrupted the electrical grid. These were minor solar flares. Imagine if a solar storm the size of 1859’s struck our modern society? Delicate wires run everywhere nowadays. Filaments, computer chips, hard drives, cell phones and electrical lines that stretch thousands of miles. Have you stopped to think about your vehicle’s computer system? The details might surprise you. We’ll get to that in a minute, but first, let’s talk briefly about a man-made version of the Perfect Solar Storm – the nuclear EMP event.

Electromagnetic Pulse Attack

According to the 2004 Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States of EMP Attack (Executive Report), “Several potential adversaries have or can acquire the capability to attack the United States with a high-altitude nuclear weapon-generated electromagnetic pulse (EMP). A determined adversary can achieve an EMP attack capability without having a high level of sophistication.”

It goes on to briefly address the effects, “EMP is one of a small number of threats that can hold our society at risk of catastrophic consequences. EMP will cover the wide geographic region within line of sight to the nuclear weapon. It has the capability to produce significant damage to critical infrastructures and thus to the very fabric of US society…” The Commission’s chairman has testified that within one year of such an attack, 70% – 90% of Americans would be dead from such causes as disease and violence. It is also highly plausible that many Americans would die of starvation due to the interruption of the national food supply.

According to the Washington Department of Health, Office of Radiation Protection, “A 1.4 Megaton bomb launched about 250 miles above Kansas would destroy most of the electronics that were not protected in the entire Continental United States.”

So, as you can see, both a massive solar storm and an EMP event could quite possibly end civilization as we know it. I know that sounds drastic, but in the United States and other technologically advanced countries, how would the mass population handle a prolonged event with very little or quite possibly, no electricity? As the Commission noted, our society is utterly dependent on our electrical grid for everything.

Trucking and transportation

Gas stations and refineries

Information and communications

Commercial production of food and goods

Water purification and delivery

Most of our military capability

These are only a handful of things that we take for granted because they are always there. If the gas stations were out of order, and no refineries able to produce more fuel, can you imagine how quickly our “civilized society” would break down? With that event alone, grocery store shelves become empty within a matter of days and farmers can’t transport any goods. If you were not aware, grocery stores do not stock much extra produce or food “in the back of the store.” In order to maintain a high profit margin, stores maintain only a few days worth of staples until another shipment arrives. This not only conserves space, but allows for them to keep their overhead lower, among other things.

Once the gas stops flowing and the shelves are wiped clean, how long will your neighbor remain civil?

Several tests and scenarios have shown that cell phones will be one of the first tell-tale signs of an electromagnetic event because of the enormous percentage of the population carrying one. If the power grid were to simply go down, this wouldn’t effect your cell phone. Depending on your location, your local cell towers probably have back-up power systems, as well. The cell towers, backup power and your cell phone will all be disabled after an electromagnetic event, offering you a clue as to what has just happened.

The Commission went on to assess just how our society would be impacted from an EMP event, including how well cars and trucks can handle the burst of electromagnetic waves.

The Automobile and Trucking Infrastructures

[brief excerpt from the Commission’s 2008 report]

“Over the past century, our society and economy have developed in tandem with the automobile and trucking industries. As a consequence, we have become highly dependent on these infrastructures for maintaining our way of life.

Our land-use patterns, in particular, have been enabled by the automobile and trucking infrastructures. Distances between suburban housing developments, shopping centers, schools, and employment centers enforce a high dependence on the automobile. Suburbanites need their cars to get food from the grocery store, go to work, shop, obtain medical care, and myriad other activities of daily life. Rural Americans are just as dependent on automobiles, if not more so. Their needs are similar to those of suburbanites, and travel distances are greater. To the extent that city dwellers rely on available mass transit, they are less dependent on personal automobiles. But mass transit has been largely supplanted by automobiles, except in a few of our largest cities.

As much as automobiles are important to maintaining our way of life, our very lives are dependent on the trucking industry. The heavy concentration of our population in urban and suburban areas has been enabled by the ability to continuously supply food from farms and processing centers far removed. As we noted above, cities typically have a food supply of only several days available on grocery shelves for their customers.

Replenishment of that food supply depends on a continuous flow of trucks from food processing centers to food distribution centers to warehouses and to grocery stores and restaurants. If urban food supply flow is substantially interrupted for an extended period of time, hunger and mass evacuation, even starvation and anarchy, could result.

Trucks also deliver other essentials. Fuel delivered to metropolitan areas through pipelines is not accessible to the public until it is distributed by tanker trucks to gas stations.

Garbage removal, utility repair operations, fire equipment, and numerous other services are delivered using specially outfitted trucks. Nearly 80 percent of all manufactured goods at some point in the chain from manufacturer to consumer are transported by truck.

The consequences of an EMP attack on the automobile and trucking infrastructures would differ for the first day or so and in the longer term. An EMP attack will certainly immediately disable a portion of the 130 million cars and 90 million trucks in operation in the United States. Vehicles disabled while operating on the road can be expected to cause accidents. With modern traffic patterns, even a very small number of disabled vehicles or accidents can cause debilitating traffic jams. Moreover, failure of electronically based traffic control signals will exacerbate traffic congestion in metropolitan areas.

In the aftermath of an EMP attack that occurs during working hours, with a large number of people taking to the road at the same time to try to get home, we can expect extreme traffic congestion.”

EMP Vulnerability of the Automobile and Trucking Infrastructures

The Commission tested the EMP susceptibility of traffic light controllers, automobiles and trucks.

The summary of the tests conclude that traffic light controllers will begin to malfunction following exposure to EMP fields as low as a few kV/m, thereby causing traffic congestion.

For automobiles, approximately 10% of the vehicles on the road will stop, at least temporarily, thereby possibly triggering accidents, as well as congestion, at field levels above 25 kV/m. For vehicles that were turned off during the testing, none suffered serious effects and were able to be started.

Of the trucks that were not running during EMP exposure, none were subsequently affected during the test. Thirteen of the 18 trucks exhibited a response while running. Most seriously, three of the truck motors stopped. Two could be restarted immediately, but one required towing to a garage for repair. The other 10 trucks that responded exhibited relatively minor temporary responses that did not require driver intervention to correct. Five of the 18 trucks tested did not exhibit any anomalous response up to field strengths of approximately 50 kV/m.

In regards to the airline industry, “Although commercial aircraft have proven EM protection against naturally occurring EM environments [such as lightning], we cannot confirm safety of flight following [severe or hostile] EMP exposure. Moreover, if the complex air traffic control system is damaged by EMP, restoration of full services could take months or longer.”

In conclusion, you have a very good chance that should an EMP or severe solar storm occur while you are driving home from work, you will be able to make it home as long as you are careful to avoid collisions. Once home, however, is an entirely different story!

There will be no more fuel available. There will be no more food and water for purchase. There will be no more iPhone or internet. And if you do find these things, what will be the price? Your dollars will very likely mean nothing to anyone with common sense. The art of bartering will very quickly take on a new importance for your own survival.

If this event were to occur, you could count on a very prolonged period of great civil unrest, riots, theft and wide spread violence. Repairs will be very slow and new parts for the large generators and power plants will likely have to be manufactured overseas and delivered to the United States. Furthermore, these foreign factories would have to retool their machines to create the specific part that we need if they are not already our supplier. And that is if the other industrialized nations aren’t effected, as well.

As for the military and police, you can expect high numbers of deserters, placing an even greater strain on the limited resources of government order. This is not meant as an insult to our uniformed personnel, but from my personal experience of being a New Orleans police officer before, during and after Hurricane Katrina, I witnessed 1/5 of the police department simply walk away the first day. Some chose to leave for family reasons while others left due to stress. I also saw how quickly those we entrust with public safety can become an armed street gang and simply take what you have at gun point. These are all valid topics to consider when speaking about an event such as an EMP or severe solar storm. These are valid points even when the disaster is very localized, such as Hurricane Katrina was.

If you would like to learn more details about the actual tests, continue reading below.

Traffic Lights

In testing the traffic lights, the Commission used the 170E controller which is in use in 80% of all signal intersections. They noted four different types of effects, depending on the power level of the electromagnetic pulse.

The following effects were observed:

1. Forced Cycle: At field levels of 1 to 5 kV/m, the light was forced to cycle from green to red without going through yellow. This is a transient effect that recovers automatically after one cycle.

2. Disrupted Cycle: At field levels of 5 to 10 kV/m, the normally programmed cycle times became corrupted and change to a cycle different from that originally programmed. The controller had either been damaged or needed to be manually reset.

3. No Cycle: At 10 to 15 kV/m, the side street lights at an intersection never turned green. The controller had been damaged.

4. Flash Mode: Also at 10 to 15 kV/m, the intersection went into a mode in which the lights in all directions were flashing. This mode can cause large traffic jams because traffic flow is severely reduced in this situation. The controller has either been damaged or needs to be manually reset.

Based on these results, it can be anticipated that an EMP will trigger moderate to severe traffic congestion in metropolitan areas. The traffic congestion may be exacerbated by the panic reactions possibly attendant to an EMP attack. None of the data predict or suggest life threatening conditions; conflicting green lights did not occur during the tests. All the observed effects would cause less traffic disruption than would a power outage, which results in no working traffic lights.

Automobiles

The potential EMP vulnerability of automobiles derives from the use of built-in electronics that support multiple functions within the vehicle.

With more than 100 microprocessors in modern vehicles, one might think that leaves newer cars more susceptible to being disrupted by an EMP, but due to higher standards in electromagnetic compatibility, this weakness has been mitigated.

The Commission tested a sample of 37 cars in an EMP simulation laboratory, with vehicle years ranging from 1986 through 2002. Automobiles of these vintages include extensive electronics and represent a significant portion of the vehicles on the road today.

Automobiles were subjected to EMP environments under both engine turned off and engine turned on conditions. No effects were subsequently observed in those automobiles that were not turned on during EMP exposure. The most serious effect observed on running automobiles was that the motors in three cars stopped at field strengths of approximately 30 kV/m or above. In an actual EMP exposure, these vehicles would glide to a stop and require the driver to restart them. Electronics in the dashboard of one automobile were damaged and required repair. Other effects were relatively minor. Twenty-five automobiles exhibited malfunctions that could be considered only a nuisance (e.g., blinking dashboard lights) and did not require driver intervention to correct. Eight of the 37 cars tested did not exhibit any anomalous response.

Based on these test results, the Commission expects few automobile effects at EMP field levels below 25 kV/m. Approximately 10 percent or more of the automobiles exposed to higher field levels may experience serious EMP effects, including engine stall, that require driver intervention to correct.

Trucks

As is the case for automobiles, the potential EMP vulnerability of trucks derives from the trend toward increasing use of electronics. The Commission assessed the EMP vulnerability of trucks using an approach identical to that used for automobiles. Eighteen running and non-running trucks were exposed to simulated EMP in a laboratory. The intensity of the EMP fields was increased until either anomalous response was observed or simulator limits were reached. The trucks ranged from gasoline-powered pickup trucks to large diesel- powered tractors. Truck vintages ranged from 1991 to 2003.

Of the trucks that were not running during EMP exposure, none were subsequently affected during the test. Thirteen of the 18 trucks exhibited a response while running. Most seriously, three of the truck motors stopped. Two could be restarted immediately, but one required towing to a garage for repair. The other 10 trucks that responded exhibited relatively minor temporary responses that did not require driver intervention to correct. Five of the 18 trucks tested did not exhibit any anomalous response up to field strengths of approximately 50 kV/m.

Sources:

– Kevin Hayden, Editor of the Truth is Treason blog



Letter Re: William T. Still’s “Secret of Oz” Documentary

Mr. Rawles,
I have been reading your blog, particularly the Economics and Investing section, daily for about a year. (I had been turned on to your blog site after reading your novel Patriots.) I believe that this free video would be interesting to your readers: The Secret of Oz. It is quite long but I have never seen the monetary system explained like this. For me, a lot of things make more sense taken in this light.

I don’t think this information will change the fact that our current system is speeding toward a complete collapse but at least I think I understand better who caused it and how we might have avoided it long ago (now being beyond the point of no return).

I hope you find this film interesting. The full length documentary (nearly two hours long) is available free at YouTube.

Thank you for your wonderful blog and all that you do to help people educate themselves.

Kind regards, – Dan T.

JWR Replies: Mr. Still’s documentary makes some valid points, most notably that debt-based currency in effect makes us slaves to the bankers. But Mr. Still misses one key point: 100% redeemable precious metals backing for a currency effectively limits the quantity of paper money that is issued. This is an inherently better system that one in which politicians are entrusted to not to over-issue currency. A non-debt based currency issued by the government (not by bankers) and that is specie-backed is the best option. As our 20th President, James Garfield once wrote: “Whoever controls the volume of money in our country is absolute master of all industry and commerce…when you realize that the entire system is very easily controlled, one way or another, by a few powerful men at the top, you will not have to be told how periods of inflation and depression originate. ” Garfield was assassinated in 1881. OBTW, I recommend Mr. Still’s previous documentary film project: The Money Masters.



Economics and Investing:

Justin N. sent us a link to a Japan Times article: Consequences of U.S. debt.

From frequent contributor KAF: Death of the ‘McMansion’: Era of Huge Homes Is Over

S.M. sent a recent piece from NY Times Business Day: In Striking Shift, Small Investors Flee Stock Market

Items from The Economatrix:

Stocks Fluctuate on M&A Activity, Economic Worries

Broke US Cities Sell Parking, Airports, Zoos

Gerald Celente: We Are Heading For The GREATEST Depression

Rense And Celente Prepare For The Worst

Gloomy US Industrial Data Rattles World Markets

A Permanent Housing Collapse?

Bankruptcy Filings Soar in US and California Central Valley

Golden Rule (The Mogambo Guru)