Economics and Investing:

Gary Shilling Sees `Significant’ Stock Selloff Within 12 Months

From Dr. Gary North’s e-newsletter: “There is a cartoon video all over the Web that discusses “quantitative easing.” It is a riot. This is very, very bad for Bernanke. When the public starts laughing at a senior government bureaucrat, he is in trouble.”

John R. sent this: Nassim Taleb Says Fed Doesn’t Understand Risks of Quantitative Easing

Items from The Economatrix:

Stocks Finish Mixed As Dollar Gains  

Retail Sales Rise Is Led By Higher Auto Purchases  

Credit Card Writedowns Continue Decline In October  

The Worth of Gold and Silver During Crisis  

BofA is in Deep Trouble, and There May be Financial Disaster on the Horizon



Odds ‘n Sods:

F.G. spotted this video clip: An overview of the deFNder™ Medium Station — a remote-controlled .50 Browning Machinegun. Makes me wish I was wealthy…

   o o o

A reader sent a link to a farmer that has an interesting approach to home-made biofuels: Farm Grown Diesel Fuel. This gent has a lot of do-it-yourself ingenuity, but he desperately needs a spell checker…

   o o o

Pegging the Absurdity Meter: Taurus Tactical Operator. Are they serious? Methinks this is the ideal gun for someone who is totally ignorant about .410 shotshell ballistics. Crud, when I have to lug around 6-1/2 pounds, it will always be a proper carbine. Better yet, I would three pounds and carry an L1A1. Now that’s a practical, versatile weapon. (Well, if concealment were a must, in a non gun-friendly locale, perhaps I’d tote a Glock 21 and a small pile of loaded magazines.)

   o o o

On Wednesday: EMPact Welcomes Lt. Col. Tony Shaffer and Michael Del Rosso  to EMPact Radio – Two 45-Minute Shows in One.



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"When a government is dependent upon bankers for money, they and not the leaders of the government control the situation, since the hand that gives is above the hand that takes… Money has no motherland; financiers are without patriotism and without decency; their sole object is gain." – Napoleon Bonaparte



Note from JWR:

Today we present another entry for Round 31 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, B.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and C.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 31 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Survival Through Adaptation, by Jason G.

Regardless of what you may or may not believe about evolution, it’s hard to argue that the organisms best able to adapt to changes in their environment are generally the ones that survive.  While organisms with less intelligence do this over generations, we humans were gifted with the ability to think and adapt on the fly.  Sometimes this is not a good thing when we are manipulating currency on the fly or making decisions that can adversely affect our survival.  But dealing with those circumstances with adaptive ability is the other edge of said sword.

After TSHTF neither I, nor anyone really can make any educated guess as to how long it would take to adapt to the new circumstances.  Some of us will do better than others.  Some will refuse to even try, giving up on the spot.  The psychological side of adaptation is speculative at best.  Some of us will, some wont and trying to ferret out how or why is a job best left to someone other than me.

The more physical side of adaptation such as adapting skills and physical objects to the circumstances is easier to talk about and outline.  But the first task is trying to determine what we take for granted that simply won’t be there in the case of TEOTWAWKI.

Water 

In a good deal of North America water is pretty easy to find.  But finding potable water may be a different matter altogether.  The usual sources are easy to get to.  Rivers, lakes and streams may provide better water after a collapse due to less pollution.  However the opposite could very well be true as proper sanitation and care is taken during this period. 

The truth is that for many days, weeks, months or even years, fresh drinking water will not be out of hand as long as human habitation occurred where you frequent. 

I don’t advocate looting but positively identified abandoned houses or industrial buildings may have water stored in the pipes in the walls and in hot water heaters.  The bad news is that you will need tools to get to the water. 

In houses the copper pipes can easily be beaten through with a hatchet, axe or even a hammer.  You would just want to be ready for the deluge once the pipe is breached.  A better idea would be a well-placed nail into a pipe, creating a small hole.  Industrial building sprinkler systems are usually iron pipes so you will need a few good wrenches in the appropriate sizes.

None of the water from these sources should be assumed to be clean.  It should be chemically treated or boiled before drinking. 

Food

The second concern and one I think will be immensely more difficult to secure in most of the country will be food. 

There are several schools of thought as to the game population once TSHTF.  Some people think that due to lower human populations there will be more game.  Some people believe that more hunting will wipe out the forests quickly.  I’m not sure what to believe in this regard. 

Small game will provide a one or two meal situation but killing a whitetail deer, elk or other big animal will provide a good deal of meat for a while but only if you know how to properly preserve the meat. 

The same goes for a garden.  Usually certain crops ripen all at once even with good succession planting.  So again, the key is preservation.

When TSHTF many people will be prepared to can.  However, with unstable supplies of fossil fuels and very few wood cookstoves around these days, can we be sure we can do this effectively?  I submit that the answer to vegetables is drying and that the answer to meat is salting, jerking, drying and smoking.

It will be quite easy for someone to adapt a small amount of materials into a dryer or smoker quite easily.  A small box can be built easily out of scrap wood and screen material from windows can be used to keep the drying vegetables well drained.  Then a small window itself can be used to cover the box and keep the heat in.  Paint the sides black or make a reflector out of any shiny metal such as ductwork from your house (you might not be using your central air at that point anyway).

For meat you will want to use the simplest methods first and build from there.  Jerking meat is pretty simple if you have salt.  Simply slice it very thin, salt it well and put it in the solar dehydrator I described above.  In the absence of a solar dehydrator you can make biltong. 

I learned about biltong from The Survival Podcast.  Its been made in South Africa for decades.  You simply douse thick-slicked strips of meat with vinegar then salt, coriander and black pepper.  Hang the meat where it is protected from insects, moisture and light.  In a few days the meat will turn hard and essentially mummify.  Done properly and tested by consuming small amounts, there is no real limit to how long this can last. 

A smoker can be adapted very easily as well.  I think cold smoking is the best method for preservation, especially for fish.  You’d simply need to have a metal barrel half or other metal box or container open at one end and closed at the other.  Dig a hole that the container will fit in.  Remember the ductwork I talked about earlier.  Run ductwork from a hole in that container to a box at an elevation higher than the first container.  The second box can be made of wood.  Take care to close and seal any gaps or cracks in any container or the duct.  Build a fire and toss on a lot of wet deciduous wood like hickory, apple, pecan, etc.  Put the metal container over it.  Use the ducting to connect the metal container to the wooden box.  Hang thin strips of meat in the box and allow the smoke to work its magic. 

Another method of preserving fruits and even some vegetables is to make them into wine.  Alcohol is often thought of in terms of the detrimental effect that it has on our society.  However, it has so many more uses than as a mental impairment. 

Making alcohol is pretty simple.  All you really need is some sugar or honey and a fruit or vegetable and water.  If you have yeast, its better to use it, but many fruits such as grapes have yeast that grows naturally on the ripe skins.  The key to making wine is keeping the air away from it as it ferments.  If you fail to do that you may get vinegar which, when pasteurized afterward can be almost as good as wine.  After all, where are you going to get vinegar to make biltong?

You could also adapt a pressure cooker, some salt and a length of small copper pipe and create a still for stronger alcohol to use for strictly non-internal uses.

Hunting and Fishing 

I spoke above about preserving food once you get it.  Adapting certain items to obtain food to begin with will present its own challenges-none of which are insurmountable.  Many of these techniques are not legal and should only be practiced when lives depend on them.

Of course firearms will be around for a while and even a modest stock of ammunition should last for some time.  However I believe we will find more primitive ways less likely to draw attention and good ways to save ammunition.

Longbows can be built surprisingly easily out of simple board lumber or of course split wood from fell trees.  I recommend PoorFolkBows.com for information on how to do this step by step.  Arrows can be made from bamboo or cane or small straight saplings.  Making arrow points can be done with a glass bottle and a small nail.  Dave Canterbury’s YouTube page illustrates how. 

For those who don’t want to take the time to build a longbow or don’t have string or the aptitude an atlatl might be a better choice.  The atlatl is simply a wooden handle with a knuckle at one end and a handle at the opposite.  The dart-which is a long arrow-sets into the knuckle and the throwing action acts as a lever to propel the dart at near arrow speeds in some cases. 

While normal fishing will yield decent catches sometimes adapting an old liquid detergent or clean bleach jug into a jug line makes a lot of sense and will allow you to catch fish passively while you work on other methods of getting food or water. [JWR Adds: Of course consult you state laws before using a set line or any sort of multi-hook line.]

Though highly illegal, old crank telephones or car batteries can be used to shock fish up. 

There are also several wild plants in North America that can be adapted into a poison that will stun fish into submission where they can easily be scooped up.  If you’ve watched the show Beyond Survival with Les Stroud this should not come as any shock.  The natives he spends time with as well as the ones on our own continent had ways to use these poisons to get food.  The good news about the poisons on our continent is that many times they are not as dangerous to humans.  I do not recommend using any poison you don’t know the origin of.  Chemicals that are not safe to humans can ruin a body of water or leave you severely sick if you eat the fish that result. 

While most people think of fishing as an activity only for catching fish, there are many more edible creatures in water besides fish.  In many lakes, mussels cling to underwater rocks or wood.  When the water levels go down you can swim down and harvest.  Or if you have a boat and a good spot, simply sink a log and pull it up at timed intervals, break off the mussels and sink it again.

You can also adapt a 2-liter bottle into a crayfish trap.  Simply punch some small holes in the bottom end and sides toward the end.  Cut the top ¼ off and reverse it and wire it into place so the funnel points in.  Place a small but heavy rock in the bottom and a piece of bacon or entrails from a recent kill (might want to tie it into place).  Then sink it in a muddy flat.  The crayfish will come inside, eat the meat and when you pull it up the crayfish will be trapped. 

Medical 

After TSHTF many of us will be doing activities we don’t normally do.  The desk jockey may be pounding nails and the housewife may be butchering game.  Anytime you bring untrained labor into new activities injuries will occur. 

For a while after TSHTF medical supplies such as medicine and sterile dressings may be somewhat accessible.  What to do when they run out though? 

I mentioned an antiseptic above that was used from Roman times until the 13th century.  Wine and vinegar both are not stellar antiseptics but in the absence of everything else, they could save lives.  The alcohol obviously kills germs and other nasty things that could grow on a wound. 

Finding sterile dressings will be hard but you can always boil fabric or soak it in wine or alcohol in the absence of fire to sterilize it. 

Conclusion 

There was a line from the movie The Book of Eli that stuck with me. The protagonist said: “We threw away things people kill each other for now.”  I thought that was very insightful.  After TSHTF we will have to learn that nothing is disposable.  Pants that get torn and ripped will be cut off into shorts.  When the electric grids fail we will use the wires from extension cords as rope or snare wire. 

It’s hard to do it with our modern conveniences but we have to look at everything as if it is not what it seems.  Sometimes the sum of the parts really is greater than the whole.



Letter Re: David in Israel on Secure Personal Computers

Jim,
In response to the current discussion on moving away from Windows, I’d suggest that SurvivalBlog readers take a look at Puppy Linux as well. It is a free bare bones OS that does most of the basic Windows functions and uses very few resources on your computer. The minimal requirements are as follows:

• CPU : Pentium 166MMX
• RAM : 128 MB physical RAM for releases since version 1.0.2 or, failing that, a Linux swap file and/or swap partition is required for all included applications to run; 64 MB for releases before v.1.0.2
• Hard Drive: Optional
• CD-ROM: 20x and up

These small requirements may allow people to dust off some obsolete or malware-infested PCs and put them back to work.

Since it runs completely in a tiny amount of your PC’s RAM, you can carry the extremely fast OS and all of your work on a thumb drive. This also allows you to easily dual boot it with Windows for those “must” applications.  Just reboot or shutdown the PC and your last session is wiped clean, only saving what was put on the thumb drive and leaving a small partition file. It is a wonderful choice for those who are concerned about privacy.

Boston T. Party has an excellent section on Puppy Linux and other privacy measures in his book One Nation, Under Surveillance.

Regards, – Bill Z. in Wyoming



Letter Re: The Value and Practice of Journaling

Hi,
I just read the article on the use of acid free paper with interest and noted that Hammermill makes printer paper that is acid free. Some of it isn’t much more than regular paper, so it might make a good choice for [long term archiving of] those manuals we print off the Internet. Amazon sells several varieties.

God Bless! – Mack G.

JWR Replies: That same paper can be used to make bound journals or hardback books from downloaded PDFs. If you are handy with tools, you can do your own stitched bookbinding. This way you can create your own Tome of TEOTWAWKI to pass down to your grandchildren. To me, this sounds reminiscent of Earth Abides or Dies the Fire. Just think of it as a truly appropriate technology. (“Wow! Look at this: Great-grandpa’s annotated copy of FM 5-103“.)





Odds ‘n Sods:

Our friend Tam over at the View From the Porch blog pointed to one of her favorite TFL threads: Reasons to Own a Buncha Guns. This hilarious thread dates back to 1999. Oh, that mention of time travel reminds me: I’m presently just 81 pages into reading Jerry and Sharon Ahern’s new novel Written in Time, and I’m hooked!

   o o o

I recently received a sample of Choate’s newest telescoping AR-15/M16 stock with battery storage tubes at the cheek positions. This is a cleverly designed five-position telescoping stock that has two storage compartments with O-ring seal threaded caps. The storage compartments hold two AA or three CR-123 Lithium batteries in each tube. I recommend this stock for anyone that has had trouble getting a consistent “cheek weld” with a standard CAR-15/M4 style stock. The spare battery holders built in to this stock give the top a semi-triangular profile that is very comfortable and provides a wide, flat surface that allows a very consistent cheek weld for both left and right-handed shooters. It also provides a “you can’t lose it” storage space for spare batteries for night vision gear, lasers, and lights.

   o o o

Aid Workers Fear Cholera Epidemic May Overwhelm Haitian Hospitals. More than 900 deaths, so far. (A tip of the hat to Mrs. K.A.F. for the link.)

   o o o

R.F.J. mentioned this over at Instructables: Making a Motorized Secret Entrance

   o o o

The owner of The Survival Bunker–an alternative energy and preparedness products retail store in Kalama, Washington–wrote to mention that he has expanded the store’s product line. They now sell home security, safety, and personal defense items to supplement their original line of generators and photovoltaics.





Notes from JWR:

I’ve been warning SurvivalBlog readers for more than four years about derivatives trading. And now there are now some troubling indicators that there could be a derivatives implosion and/or a credit collapse in the near future:

1.) SurvivalBlog reader Steve K. mentioned this article: Bond insurer Ambac files for bankruptcy. Steve commented: “This is a very, very big problem for the global financial system as Ambac was a huge player in Credit Default Swaps, Mortgage Backed Securities and all other derivatives. It’s all about counter party risk!

2.) Zero Hedge recently summed up the almost inconceivably enormous overhang of derivatives: According to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency’s Quarterly Report on Bank Trading and Derivatives Activities for the Second Quarter 2010 (most recent), the notional value of derivatives held by U.S. commercial banks is around $223.4 TRILLION. It is estimated that 95% of these contracts are held by just five banks.

3.) Michael Snyder recently wrote a piece for Business Insider wherein he listed 11 signs we’re on the verge of a global currency crisis.

4.) Our friend Chris Martenson just posted this: Alert: QE II Has Lit the Fuse

With those predictions in mind, to quote a song….”Hope you have got your things together!”

Today we present another entry for Round 31 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round will include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and B.) Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees, in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $392 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 500 round case of Fiocchi 9mm Parabellum (Luger ) with 124gr. Hornady XTP/HP projectiles, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $249 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $400, B.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and C.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A copy of my “Rawles Gets You Ready” preparedness course, from Arbogast Publishing, and B.) a Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.)

Round 31 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Bugout Base Camp: My Solar School Bus, by T.K.

In a true breakdown scenario, one of the most crucial survival advantages, if not the most, has to be mobility. Pandemics or violent gangs that overwhelm congested populations can be escaped. More fertile land — wilderness with wild edible plants, big fish in the lakes, and game in the woods — can be reached. And if you can carry your shell on your back, along with an independent source of energy, you’ve got the ultimate survival advantage.

An RV qualifies if you have at least $60,000 to toss around in this economy, but a more affordable, challenging (and fun) solution is to build your own from a used school bus. Older models can be had for a little as $1,000, in various states of health and appearance, and customized to your plan, from bare bones to quasi-luxurious.

For the past seven years I have lived off the grid in my solar bus, converted mostly by a previous owner from a 1974 Ford on its second V8 engine. He raised the roof in a Monster Garage job (necessary if you’re over 5 feet tall and plan to spend time in it), fitted the interior with insulation, pine planks and lap-and-gap on the ceiling, and installed the kitchen. (Photos and supplementary information here). I bought it for $4500 and finished it out with shelves, bed, tables, tile floor, power system and decoration, and set up my camp on private land in a Colorado River canyon four miles from the small town of Moab, Utah. I hauled all my water in, my wastes out, harvested firewood, and endured the occasional flood and temperatures from below 0 to 100+ in what could be called a virtual bugout. Herewith, some advice from my experience, on converting a school bus and living in it:

BUS CONFIGURATION

The solar system includes three 80-watt panels mounted on tilting frames on the forward roof, connected via a charge controller to a bank of eight 6-volt Trojan (golf cart) batteries in parallel, mounted in a frame welded below the chassis. The charge controller should have the essential MPPT (Maximum Power Point Tracking) feature that gives the batteries an extra boost in cold dim light weather, when it’s really needed. Solar panels and batteries behave inversely in cold weather — panels conduct higher voltage, while batteries lose capacity. The MPPT feature effectively regulates the system for seasonal variation. Mine is the Solar Boost 2000E made by Blue Sky products.  If you install your battery bank inside, be sure to build an airtight container and vent it properly to the outside. So-called “angle iron” from hardware stores is useful for constructing frames and mounts to hold solar panels and batteries. To replenish water in the batteries, I use an extendable swivel mirror, flashlight and a turkey baster.

The kitchen has a sink, 12-volt water pump connected to a 30-gallon plastic tank under the rear bed frame, and propane oven and fridge. A 3000-watt inverter, mounted inside above the battery bank, powers most appliances: lights, TV/DVD, stereo, and power tools, including an air compressor  — essential if you’re not heading anywhere near a gas station soon. Forget the small, cheap battery-clamp units: even the best ones will struggle and overheat, or take hours, to fill the six large 95-psi tires on a school bus. I got a refurbished 4-gallon compressor for a little over $100 on eBay, and it does the job without too much tedium.

Heat is provided by a small but highly efficient steel wood stove with glass door made in Canada. If you’re near an Ace Hardware, they can be had for $400 without delivery charges.  Be sure to stand off and insulate from nearest wall — I have steel panels between the stove and wall, and shields on the chimney flue. On the wall next to the stove hang my wood-working tools: large and medium splitting axes and a hatchet for kindling. It’s tempting to stretch your survival budget and buy the cheapo tools, thinking “Ah, I’ll probably never really use this.” I advise against this. My first axe, made in Mexico and purchased at a hardware store, got a broken neck on the first pile I tried to split. I think it was Balsa wood. Then I spent the money for the superb Swedish Gransfors-Bruks axes with hickory handles. They’ve split many small pyramids of wood over the years. The synthetic handle axes may be more durable, but I haven’t tried them. Likewise, forget the cheap Poulan chainsaws — I could never keep the chain tensioned on mine, and eventually stripped one of the tensioning screw housings, preventing the chain from being adjusted or replaced. That could be cold comfort in a prolonged survival situation. I tossed the Poulan and got a more reliable Husqvarna. You will be processing a lot of wood if you live in a cold climate. In 7 years, I never paid a dime for firewood — there is a “transfer station” in Moab where I’ve gathered discarded lumber from construction sites for free. Lumber is dry and makes excellent kindling. And there are always sites around town where trees have been downed, or deadfall on BLM land, ready to be hauled away.

Even thoroughly insulated, a school bus is still a metal shell sitting high off the ground — not the ideal configuration for heat retention. A friend on his private land stacked hay bales around his bus and covered them with discarded J-rig skins (big pontoon rafts) —a good long-term solution if you plan to hunker down in the same spot awhile. To insulate windows, I bought several 4×8 sheets of white 1″ T-Lam packing material, which serves as passable insulation, and cut them up into panels to fit in the all the window frames (they should fit snugly).

In the very severe winter last year (2009–2010), my outdoor thermometer registered temperatures below 0 on several mornings. You discover that Canola oil stays liquid, but olive oil gels up solid. Your water tank, pipes, and 6-gallon jugs (filled at a nearby well) are going to freeze inevitably, and you cannot extract the ice from narrow-mouth containers. The best solution is to use large-mouth containers, like aluminum buckets, so the ice can be easily chipped out and melted on the stove. An aluminum garbage can would work (it can also be used as a Faraday cage to protect electronics in the event of a large solar storm). And you are not going to be able to keep the interior a warm and cozy 75 degrees unless you have an entire forest of wood stacked and cured. I could raise the interior temperature to around 50 degrees after a couple of hours of stoking the wood stove — comfortable enough with good warm clothes. A good pair of loosely fitting wool pants is essential — the Swedish army surplus wool pants are excellent values at $20 – $30. And you’re going to be miserable in damp cotton socks — get wool, several pairs. I also invested in a used bomber jacket that winter. It’s harder to rip, and if it does, you’re not going to be chasing your Polyfil or goose down insulation like tufts of weed pollen drifting in the wind. Moreover, unlike most synthetics, wool and shearling leather do not burn like torches, as British sailors discovered during the Falklands war.

Summers can be harsh — July temperatures in Moab are consistently over 100 degrees, and my small portable swamp cooler only worked if I squatted directly in front of it. A larger unit, or air conditioner, is probably going to draw too much power from a small solar system. I spent most of those days in my air-conditioned office downtown, but when I did hang around on the weekends I took frequent dips in the nearby river or used a “redneck” air conditioner — a mister bottle spraying water on my naked face and torso. The propane refrigerator really struggles in such heat. Whereas a 10-gallon tank would last nearly 4 months in cooler months, in summer it was being sucked dry after one month, as there was only a passive vent to the outside. I mounted a $20 electronics fan from Radio Shack (about 5″ square) over the exterior vent hole to aid exhaust, and fashioned a half-circle cowling from a chimney pipe to shield it from rain, along with plastic window screening to keep out debris and wasps. Wired to the DC circuit, the fan runs continuously in summer and, surprisingly for a unit designed for indoor use, it has lasted several years, at least doubling the endurance of my propane tank in hot months.

Many bus converters build permanent fixtures in their buses — sofa frames, cabinets, tables, etc. This is fine for the typical RV camping, but I recommend not overdoing it for bugout purposes. Removable furniture is more flexible, and my tables fold down against the wall, allowing plenty of free space in the “living room” — you might need that space for transporting a lot of provisions, sleeping additional people, or as a makeshift hospital. With the living room cleared, my bus can sleep 5: two in the rear bed, and three on floor sleeping pads. The large, 4″ thick inflatable pads sold by Cabela’s are very comfy.

If you’re going to be parked in the outback for any duration, a small solar panel trickle charger for the engine battery, had for around $30, is advisable. My engine battery was dying prematurely because I rarely drove the bus. Now the engine starts at a moment’s notice. (Solar chargers for small batteries, solar flashlights and night lights are also a good investment.) How much gas to store in your tank? That’s a tricky question, depending on how often and how far you plan on driving the bus, and the perceived imminence of a bugout situation. Gasoline degrades with time and can gum up your carburetor and fuel lines. The preservative Sta-Bil should be added to any stored volume of gas. I kept my tank filled low, ran the engine for about 45 minutes every two months to keep things lubricated and burn up the old gas, while adding fresh gas and Sta-Bil periodically.

Some may be wondering about those other essentials: hot water, showers, and waste disposal. I once considered installing a gas-powered on-demand (tankless) hot water heater under the sink, but found that simply filling a big pot and heating it on the propane stove, or wood stove in winter, worked satisfactorily for washing dishes or filling my solar shower bag when the sun wasn’t cooperating. I take a solar shower with barely one gallon of water, and don’t leave the faucet running while rinsing dishes.

For waste, I use the same device I take on rafting trips: a “groover” — large ammo can fitted with a plastic lining and toilet seat, then sealed and flushed with a water hose at an RV dump once every few months. They can be purchased from most river running outfitters.

STOCK INVENTORY

The bus is stocked with: dozens of large canning jars filled with grains, beans and hummus and tabouli mix (my large poly buckets are kept at an in-town storage shed); a Grundig AM/FM/Shortwave radio fed by a longwire antenna tethered to trees; Sirius satellite radio; grain grinder; a fishing rod and long guns hanging from the ceiling. I experimented with many firearms before finally deciding on the essential arsenal, heavyweight and lightweight. The heavies are a 12 ga. Mossberg pump with 20″ barrel (there is no ballistic advantage to longer barrels in shotguns), fitted with a red-dot scope and flashlight (in post-TEOTWAWKI times, geese could be stalked at night along river banks), and a .357 Magnum revolver. The lightweights (for bike or foot travel) are a Marlin Papoose takedown .22 semi-auto rifle (3.25 lbs) and a NAA Mini-Master .22LR/.22 magnum revolver with 4″ barrel (10.5 oz). I prefer the rock-solid reliability of a revolver over the trendy semi-auto fetish. And I consider a shotgun to be the one absolutely indispensable weapon; the big deer-rifle game are going to be spooked or quickly exterminated by more experienced hunters in a serious survival scenario (especially here in the sparse high desert), whereas the 12 ga. can take any small game, on foot or wing. And larger game can be taken with slugs. For self-defense against human predators, there is no equal: The Russian Saiga AK-47 action shotguns would be excellent.

Mule deer, raccoon and wild turkey were frequent visitors at my camp, and many times I could easily have taken one (illegally) at 20 yards with the .357 or shotgun. Two other essential but less sexy pieces of food-gathering gear: a book on edible wild plants native to your region — it must be well-illustrated in color, otherwise it’s worse than useless (you could end up like Christopher McCandless); mine is entitled Edible and Medicinal Plants of the West — and a multi-hook catfish line. On rafting trips, I have never failed to pull in a couple of cats in the morning after placing the line in eddies below a rapid overnight. And nobody that bugs out should be without the one mandatory book: the profusely illustrated and comprehensive Camping & Wilderness Survival.

For disinfecting the air, a small electric essential oils nebulizer ($25) does the trick with cassia bark (cinnamon) oil, or the “4-Robbers” blend. Antibiotic-resistant pathogens are on the rise, and it’s been said that cinnamon factory workers in New York survived the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic unscathed. I also stock turmeric — an amazing spice with antibiotic properties that has reputedly killed leukemia cells and stimulates neurogenesis (growth of new brain neurons). You’re going to need rewired wits in a protracted survival situation.

Mice will find their way into a bus no matter what you do; I was disposing of at least one per day in my electronic traps until a house cat cured that problem. I’ve also come home to find a raccoon and a skunk camping indoors; pepper spray and an Airsoft gun are great to repel critters that you don’t want to kill.

PAINT YOUR WAGON

Other bus-dwellers I know have added roof decks, rear platforms for hauling motor or pedal bikes, and in one case an ingenious swivel mount for a wind generator — the pole could be lowered flat on the roof for travel, or swiveled up to stand in a base on the hood in front of windshield. (Though the noisy vibration drove his girlfriend crazy).

One caveat: there is a definite stigma about school buses as homemade RVs, probably deriving from the “hippy bus” of 1960s fame. Many RV parks don’t allow them (to h*ll with those cramped refugee camps — you don’t need hook-ups with your solar system. Find BLM land), and many insurance companies will not insure them, worried about the risk of something that is not 100% prefabricated in Detroit.  Many are rather unsightly, smacking of gypsy camps and the Third World. (Please, paint your buses well!)

But if comes to TEOTWAWKI, God forbid, all those petty rules and pretensions will quickly fall away. My Solar Bus has a bomber frame (to protect a cargo of children) and the big tires and high clearance will take you off road where the luxury RVs fear to tread (the rear skirt was beveled back to help [improve the departure angle]). You can also actually move around under the spacious hood and work on those “primitive” engines. And with a roof deck, a bus can transport literally tons of supplies. I suspect that many urban dwellers, bugging out in their trucks or tents, will quickly tire of the situation and be tempted to risk returning to the conveniences and dangers of the city. But with a solar bus, you have all the amenities of a real home, albeit more arduously maintained. You can cook with a roof over your head and watch movies in a warm cabin. For bugging out, it certainly beats a tent or mini-van. If, or when, the elephant dung hits the rotor blades, I expect many who sneered at “bus bums” may be making generous offers for my mobile base camp — the ultimate survival rig.



Letter Re: David in Israel on Secure Personal Computers

James,

Here’s a follow-up to David from Israel’s article on Linux. I encourage your readers to heed David’s advice and wean themselves off the MicroSoft Windows operating system ASAP.

Linux Mint Debian is a good OS option. See the Linux Mint Debian tutorial. Here is a description: “This tutorial shows how you can set up a Linux Mint Debian 201009 desktop that is a full-fledged replacement for a Windows desktop, i.e. that has all the software that people need to do the things they do on their Windows desktops”

According to this article, the the Chinese military have already removed Windows from their computers for security reasons:

Another potential replacement for Windows is PC-BSD.

These Windows replacements are free as in freedom and free as in zero cost.

Enjoy! – Rick H.



Letter Re: The Value and Practice of Journaling

Mr. Rawles,
M.E.R. makes good points for the practice of journaling. I, too, encourage the activity. I would add a related activity – logging. No, not cutting trees, but recording activities, events, and details. I do my journaling within my log. I am not big on “my feelings”. I am more about doing what is needed and savoring the feelings later. Better? No. Different perhaps. I have found logging to be extremely valuable. My log has been computerized for decades, but lends itself to the same manual media as presented by M.E.R.

I have recorded diverse events for years. I have records of when things have been serviced or repaired and the cost. I have found this useful for repair/replace decisions. It is helpful to plan for anticipated cost of servicing a piece of equipment. I know the price will be higher but I know by order of magnitude an estimate for the need. I have recorded my planting and harvest for decades. It allows me further planning in what our production will be and what changes may be needed. I have recorded weather events for many years. I have discovered a link between weather patterns and food production in our area. Again, planning is assisted. I have a record of service on equipment. I can quickly find part numbers, contact information for the vendor, etc. This all saves me time, and gets me to a solution much faster.

In the very same log are a wide variety of topics, including ones related to feelings, reactions, and responses. It helps to recall family gatherings and who attended and what was going on at the time. I have included anecdotal memories of significant events, like sitting on my sea bag, awaiting deployment during the Cuban Missile Crisis. It contributes to continuity in the family. We have a record of trips and details to augment the pictures taken. It has been helpful to have a source that is less changeable than my memory.

I am sure there are concerns about whether the computer will be around after everything falls apart. Possibly not. But, doing on paper provides the same benefits as if it were a computerized process. First, it centralizes the recorded information, which is no trivial thing. Second, marginal notes or symbols allow finding particular kinds of entries quickly. (For example: if you recall an event in the early part of a particular year, you can go to that time frame and look for the particular type of entry you are trying to recall.) Third, it is far more reliable than memory. And, it is a self reminder that you have lived and done something in your life. It doesn’t matter if it isn’t important to anyone else. It is important to you. – Jim D.

JWR Replies: I wholeheartedly concur that it is important to journal–or at least record in a calendar–events such as the first frost of each year, late frosts, livestock breeding dates, planting dates, oil changes, bearing re-packings, brake pad replacements, battery servicings, chimney cleanings, and personal loans of cash, books, DVDs, or tools. (The latter is important for maintaining good relations with neighbors, relatives, and fellow church goers!) To some, this sort of minutiae might seem trivial. But if and when we revert to YOYO time, these details may become crucial. And even in the present day, they are helpful in maintaining equipment properly, and keeping track of tax records.



Letter Re: Advice on Backpacking Solar Panels

CPT Rawles:
I realize that you aren’t an advocate of fully-mobile retreating. Yes, I can see the wisdom of having a well-stocked fixed retreat. But since I’m still in college (due to graduate in 2011), my situation is different. Until a get a job, I can’t afford a retreat, and I’m not in any sort of a group. So I’m approaching the whole preparedness thing coming from the viewpoint of “just what I can fit in my car”, with the back-up plan of “just what I can carry on my pack”, or perhaps pushing/pulling a small deer cart, like you’ve mentioned.

My question is: What sort of solar panels can I buy that will charge a goodly-sized base camp battery, for [charging] trays for all my AA, C, D, CR-123, and 9-volt batteries. (These are for my radios, flashlights, and the combination laser/light for my SIG P250 pistol.) I’m a kinda power hog, so I need at least 20 Watts of charging power. I need something that is lightweight, sturdy, compact non-breakable, weatherproof, and affordable. (Like, under $350.) Am I dreaming? Oh, FYI, I’m good with a soldering iron. (I’m a E.E. major.)

Thx, – H.L.G. in Texas

JWR Replies: The panel that I recommend is the Brunton 26 watt foldable solar array. These use amorphous solar cells, so the panels are flexible. These are much less prone to breakage than glazed monocrystalline panels. Add a small charge controller, a 3-to-5-pound gel cell, some Anderson Power Pole modular DC connectors and a couple of battery charging trays, and you will be all set.