Inflation Watch:

Reader Bryan E. reports: Wholesale prices rise 1.6% due to biggest jump in food costs in over 36 years.

Reader Greg C. notes: “I live in the Tampa Bay area in Florida.  Today I went to a fast food restaurant to grab a quick lunch and noticed a sign saying they would only put tomatoes on your sandwich if requested.  Curious, I inquired about it and they said that a case of tomatoes went from $20 to $50 due to the freeze in Mexico.  That got me to thinking.  If even low levels of fallout hit the farms from Japan, how much more will produce prices increase?  Thankfully I live in an area with nearly year round growing and my garden is doing well including my tomato plants.”

Patrick S. sent this: The Fed Chairman says there’s no inflation. Patrick’s comment: “He is lying through his teeth”

J.D.D. sent this: Global food prices pushed by three-factor engine. This article was reposted at the National Inflation Association (NIA) web site, and the NIA editors added the following: “This article just came out about three factors driving food prices higher, yet they forget to mention all of the monetary inflation being created not just by the Federal Reserve, but by all central banks around the world. It is because of this monetary inflation that even once agriculture inventories build, Americans shouldn’t expect to see much of a decline in agricultural commodity prices. Also remember that if the BLS reports 4% food inflation, it means we really have food inflation of approximately 10%.”  

US Cost of Living Hits Record, Passing Pre-Crisis High



Odds ‘n Sods:

Yet another member of the Mayors Against Illegal Guns civilian disarmament cabal is now facing trial: Monticello mayor indicted. He is accused of selling fake Nike shoes, Timberland boots, counterfeit music, and pirated movies. (Well, at least it wasn’t something more serious such as bribery, misappropriation of campaign funds, corruption, extortion, mail fraud, wife beating, influence peddling, felony theft, child pornography, attempted child sexual assault, child enticement, conspiracy, money laundering, perjury, assault, fabricating evidence, and filing false tax returns–like the others. Yes, these are the sort of people in Mayor Bloomberg’s “crime fighting” group.)

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A reminder for audio book listeners, until March 22nd, Audible.com has my best-selling non-fiction book “How to Survive the End of the World As We Know It” on sale for just $4.95 (for Audible members, otherwise $7.49). It is normally priced at $13.99, so get your copy before the sale ends!

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Add this to Utah’s list of state symbols: an official firearm The John Moses Browning-designed M1911, of course. By the way, when are they going to make John Moses Browning’s birthday a holiday? (Thanks to David L. for the link.)

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K.A.F. mentioned: Deal Reached to Lift Wolf Protections in Two States.



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

"The history of government management of money has, except for a few short happy periods, been one of incessant fraud and deception." – Friedrich Hayek



Note from JWR:

Today we present another three entries for Round 33 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. as well as a guest article by an old friend. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and B.) Two cases of Alpine Aire freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $400 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 250 round case of 12 Gauge Hornady TAP FPD 2-3/4″ OO buckshot ammo, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $240 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol. It is a $439 value courtesy of Next Level Training. B.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $300, C.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and D.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.) , and B.) Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy. This is a $185 retail value.

Round 33 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Sailboats as Alternative Bugout Vehicles, by StudioMan

As we have all seen, the last few months has seen its share of really large natural disasters, on all of our major continents. Thru the Internet I was able to watch the hurricane that hit Australia via the numerous surf cameras available along the coast. It was amazing to see them drop out one at a time, while some of them that were on the edge of the storm never went down. A few of the web cams were attached to buildings overlooking breakwaters, or in marinas where you could see the sailboats and yachts being tossed around by the wind.    

That led me to the thought of a Sailboat as a bugout vehicle. A group of us gets together every couple of years and charters a couple of sailboats in the San Juan islands for a week at a time. You get all the joys of boat ownership and someone else gets to clean the boat when you are done.  Living on board a boat for any length of time gives you a great appreciation of the work sailboat designers have done to make living aboard easy. In addition, there is a group of people that are known as “cruisers” who have left the land for a life at sea. Some of them cruise around the world, following the summer around the globe, and some overwinter in nicer spots, either way they are not tied down to anything, and often will sail until they are broke, and then work in the port they stop in until they can get the larder restocked for their next journey.    

A good introduction to this lifestyle can be found by reading “Cruising in Seraffyn”, by Lin and Larry Pardey. Larry built his sailboat Seraffyn by himself and he and Lin set off for the world. no motor, no electricity, just some food, charts and compass, a sextant, chronometer, kerosene lamp and some supplies.    

A sailboat is basically a recreational vehicle (RV) for the water. It provides everything you need to live :shelter, transportation, power, safety, and security. Lets look at some of these a little closer:  

Shelter- by their very nature a sailboat is designed to keep you warm (or cool) and dry in any kind of weather, the cabins are designed, depending on the length of the vessel to sit 6 to 8 comfortably, and can provide 2 or 3 separate staterooms. Depending on where you are sailing you can pump your waste directly off the boat into the water, there is no need to pump it out, and if the Schumer hits, no one is going to worry about where you are dumping your holding tank. you can find coal or wood burning marine heaters, and also heaters that use diesel or kerosene. there are DC powered microwaves, and ammonia fridges that run on almost nothing, keeping your food cold and fresh.  

Power :  Most sailboats more than 30 feet long have a 3 or 4 cylinder diesel motor and either an auxiliary genset, or the ability to switch battery banks so different banks are charged by the engine’s alternator.  There are many boats set up with solar panels, and many boats use wind generators, or they will use a tow behind generator. I know of several cruisers who have not plugged into grid power for two years or more.

The small diesel engines in sailboats literally “sip ” fuel and so it lasts avery long time. depending on the operating curve I have used less than a quart an hour getting where I wanted to go. The sailboat’s systems are set up very efficiently and run completely on DC power. LED technology has brought about a great revolution in marine lighting, reducing power needs 60 to 80% for lighting.  Most boats have fairly sophisticated electrical monitoring systems so at the touch of a button you can see all the parameters the you need to know about on a continual basis. Most vessels also have Marine Band radios, GPS and electronic charts, and other forms of navigation and communication equipment. A chart, sextant, very accurate clock and compass are still necessary in case of a complete power down situation, and all sailors should be competent in their use.    

Transportation, safety and security: if you are a confident and proficient sailor and navigator, you can take your boat anywhere in the world. There have been times when sitting in the cockpit of our sailboat, anchored in some cove 200 miles from civilization, I realized that I had found safety. My biggest concern was whether or not I would get eaten by a bear if I went ashore. Depending upon where you are, you can find plenty of sea life to eat, a simple crab pot will in the right spot will net protein for a week, and a quick trip to shore will usually get you potable or semi potable water. On top of that there are many many top of the line reverse osmosis watermakers–both hand pump and electric–that can make gallons of water daily.  Excel Water Systems  makes excellent systems that can be adapted easily for use anywhere in the world. There are much smaller systems available than what they make but the are a world class operation and a lot of information can be found at their web site.    

There have been times when because of the wind and the weather, I have sailed and dropped anchor and not fired up the motor for days. And when I did use the diesel it was for convenience, not necessity. The Pardeys (mentioned above)  went around the world in their little boat without a motor or electricity. As far as security goes, I don’t think there will be a worry of zombies finding you when you are 50 miles offshore sailing to parts unknown, safe in your boat away from danger. I won’t discuss piracy here as most knowledgeable cruisers keep abreast of news that will allow them to skirt countries where piracy is rampant. (Somalia is an example. If you are worried about being seen, in a disaster situation sailing at night without lights could be done in relative safely, and with ease. All you need are a good set of charts, a compass and a tide table. it is easy to black out a vessel, and run on sail power alone.    

I am certain I have not exhausted all of the advantages of bugging out on a sailboat. Please chime in here if there is something I missed.



The Will to Survive, by Chris H.

The “will to survive” is the most important survival tool you will ever have. It is more important than a year supply of food, a Swiss Army knife, or a Bic lighter. What good would a lighter be if you have no desire to make a fire? How can a signal fire result in a rescue if you have lost all hope that it will and don’t bother building one? How can your next meal keep you alive if you are unwilling to go and find it? The most common factor identified in stories of extreme survival situations is the person had “the will to survive”. Peeling back the layers of their stories you will usually find that after the improvise tools they made, the tricks they used to find water, or the blessings bestowed upon them by the gods, they will always end by attributing their survival to their own will to survive. They never gave up!    

This “will to survive” is a mental state. A conscience decision. A commitment to yourself and others that you absolutely refuse to give up trying to survive, to the last breath, no matter what. It is a psychological game you must play within yourself in a survival situation. You must be in a constant state of positive thinking, confident in your abilities, always ready to solve problems, and forever holding on to hope. Thoughts of how bad an injury hurts, how far you must travel, or how long it’s been since you last ate, could be all it takes to mentally wear you down to the point of giving up. Once you give up, death is sure to follow. Never give up!

The will to survive can come from many things. It can come from a strong desire to see your family again, watch your kids grow up, or kiss your spouse. It may be you have a goal in life you haven’t met, a place you wanted to see, or a future date you looked forward to. It could stem from the unwillingness to lose or accept failure. It may also be rooted in confidence in your survival skills from years of study and preparation. Whatever the motivation you have that pushes you on and makes you want to live longer is where your will to survive will come from. Focus on it, and never give up!

It is natural to have feelings of fear, anxiety, anger, and even depression when faced with a life threatening situation. You might feel fear of death, anxiety over being lost, anger that you have found yourself in this mess, and depression from thoughts of not seeing your loved ones again. These thoughts can be detrimental. They undermine your will to survive. If not controlled and managed, these thoughts can lead to a loss of morale and failure to perform activities necessary to survival.  They can rob you of precious time, lead to poor judgment, rash decisions, frustration, and compound an already bad situation. It’s when you get to depression that you finally lose hope. Thoughts of, “What’s the point?” or “I can’t take anymore.” are basically thoughts of suicide, because you will be giving up and possibly surrendering to death. Never give up!

It is imperative to learn to identify these negative feelings, learn to control them, and understand that they are just that; feelings. And most importantly, you must know that they are your feelings, thus you own them and are in control of them. Only you can decide to react with fear or anger to a given situation or not. Your choice of feelings in a survival situation can be life saving or a death sentence. You might get the physical sensations of fear when in danger, but it is your choice to be afraid.

There is a big difference in feeling fear, and acting afraid. Fear is described as a basic survival mechanism occurring in response to a specific stimulus, such as pain or the threat of danger. In short, fear is the ability to recognize danger and flee from it or confront it, also known as the “Fight or Flight” response. Fear has a very distinct set of sensations. Butterflies in your stomach, hair on the back of your neck standing up, rapid heartbeat and breath, and heightened awareness. But none of those sensation can actually hurt you. A little fear can, in fact, be helpful. It can make you more cautious, aware, and ready for action. However, if not controlled, fear can lead you to acting afraid. Then you could be rendered unable to react at all. This is commonly called being “frozen by fear”. Just like a deer in the headlights, this paralysis can be deadly in a survival situation. Recognize these sensations and acknowledge the sensations as warnings to be more cautious, aware, and ready for action, not to be afraid and freeze up. Then take a deep breath and act.

Finding yourself in a life threatening or survival situation can be frustrating. You might find yourself having to complete difficult tasks with very limited resources, very little time and with your life and/or someone else’s life in jeopardy. You may have some failed attempts at finding water, building a fire, or attracting attention. You might be unprepared, fatigued, or even injured. These set backs can lead to more frustration and anger. But cussing, stomping your feet, and throwing a fit will probably not help you. Luckily, anger is another feeling that can be made to be useful. If fear is the ‘flight’ in the “Fight or Flight” response, anger can be considered to be the ‘fight’. You can turn your anger in a bad situation into the “I refuse to lose!” attitude. Anger towards the unfortunate predicament in which you have been placed, can be redirected to give you an unwavering tenacity to try, try again. You can refocus anger to fighting against your crisis instead of just being angry at it.

Anxiety is probably not a feeling that will help you much in a survival situation. Physical effects of anxiety can produce heart palpitations, muscle weakness and tension, fatigue, nausea, chest pain, shortness of breath, stomach aches, or headaches. Anxiety not only manifests physical effects, but those effects can lead to trouble concentrating, acting jumpy, being combative, paranoid, or panicking. An anxiety attack, in some cases, can cause hyperventilating and losing consciousness. All of which can be life threatening in a survival situation.

If you have lost the mental game completely you might find yourself at the most dangerous feeling; depression. The loss of all hope. Hopelessness often results in apathy, indifference, and even in some extreme cases, suicide. That is the complete opposite of the “will to survive”. Depression and hopelessness can leave you feeling you have nothing left to rely on but luck. Relying on just luck to save you gives you a very low chance of surviving anything. If you are lost at sea and are rescued by a lone passing ship, that can be plain luck, but struggling to stay alive and attempting to signal said passing ship, that is the “will to survive”.

As we know, knowledge is power. You can power up your “will to survive” right now. Start by educating yourself in survival techniques in different emergency or disaster situations you may face. Just having knowledge of dangers and the skills to deal with them, should they arise, increases your chances of survival exponentially. This could give you the confidence you need to face your challenges. Write down important numbers, make a plan, buy supplies, read a book or take a class. Do whatever you can to prepare ahead of time for a disaster or emergency situation. It can improve your outlook, your will to survive and your chances to survive it.

The will to survive is about having strength. It is not about how much you can bench press or your muscle mass. It’s a strength that comes from within. It’s a belief in yourself, a certitude in your chances, and a faith in your outcome. A strong conviction that your goal of surviving will be realized. It’s having the mental might to dispel all doubt, the spiritual courage to commit to the challenges, and the gut resolve to see it through.

Should you have to face a survival situation, keep what is motivating you to survive in the front of your thoughts. Focus strongly on that. It will give reason to your “will to survive” and block out any feelings of despair. Remember that your emotions belong to you and you are in control of the emotion you choose. The “will to survive” is positive thinking. The “will to survive” is controlling your fear and anxiety, redirecting your anger, and always staying optimistic about your chances. The will to survive can be empowered by increasing your knowledge of survival techniques and being prepared.  The “will to survive” is having the strength to NEVER GIVE UP! 



Three Related Disasters (Part 1), by Joe Refugee From Tokyo

Day One
Just another day for an American ex-pat in an office in a skyscraper in Tokyo, or so it seemed. There was a nice view in several directions, offering a chance to see a real panorama of the city. In just a few minutes, that view would include large fires and streets packed with cars and people walking. The reason, of course, is it was 11-3-11.  

The first inkling of trouble was a minor feeling of movement, and this lasted for perhaps a minute, and then things got worse. The shaking got to where it was time to not move, and then it was time to get under my desk. Finally, it was time to hold on to something to avoid being jerked around. This lasted for many minutes, far longer than any earthquake I had experienced in California or Japan.  

After things settled down a bit, we all got up and tried to figure out what had happened. Had we been at the epicenter of this? A co-worker said an initial reading was that it was 7.9 on the Richter scale. Bad, but not enough to expect the problems that were to come. Unfortunately, the numbers went up over the next hour or so, and the big shock was that television showed a tsunami wiping out a town after 30 minutes or so. About the same time, I noticed many big fires in the distance, and pointed them out to my co-workers.  

Right after the earthquake ended, the speakers in the building announced the earthquake and that the elevators were not in service. Phones were not working, but the power was. It was a tough choice, walk home for hours in Winter, along with millions, or wait and hope that the trains and subways might gradually return on a limited basis. As the epicenter was not that near Tokyo, I figured it was worth waiting a while to see what happened. But things got worse. This seems to have been a repeating theme throughout this. One problem seems to impact the next, overburdened system.  

For better or worse, I decided to wait for a few hours, and put up with the aftershocks. I also wanted the phones to come back so I could see how my wife was. The phones came back in a limited way after ten minutes or so, but not cell phones, which had troubles for many hours. But I could not dial out. Many co-workers or their neighbors had suffered some damage, but the real concern was closer to the epicenter, and along the coast. My wife had relatives impacted by both the tsunami and, later, the nuclear issue. The good news was her relative was evacuated from his factory before the water swept in. The bad news is that the economics of this tragedy are going to be practically at the level of fighting a war on your own soil, and this fellow is unlikely to have a job for quite some time.  

So the news got worse and worse, and many systems already went into a very limited mode. If you wanted something, it was probably a good idea to think about getting it then. Of course, it you got closer to the dramatic damage, it was too late, as most stores were damaged, and everyone was now working on dealing with issues of life and limb to care about keeping a store open that sells blankets for example. And it is a safe bet that a lot of folks were kicking themselves later about not having the supplies they needed. Not just for themselves, but for family and friends that had had their houses destroyed, and for those trapped en route on some trip.

My family did an inventory that night, and we discovered that our biggest flashlight was too old and no longer worked properly. It was probably time to re-read SurvivalBlog’s guidance on preparedness at that point. The good news is that my workplace gave out a survival kit with water, a high-tech blanket, flashlight, and a few other things. We also had candles and a mini-flashlight. Not that the power went out yet. That was later, but, if the quake had been closer, it is reasonably likely that even downtown Tokyo would have been dark and cold. All things considered, the supplies of food and medicine were sufficient, but it was obviously time to buy more. I had been more concerned with an economic or currency disaster than what happened, but still slept better over the next few days knowing that we had months of supplies.  

That night, I felt a bit seasick, but not so bad that it was a real problem. But the bigger problem for most of us was shock. Those who had family or friends in the worst-hit areas had a tough time keeping their minds on further preparations, which might be another lesson in why it is good to prepare ahead of time. I do not think I was thinking clearly on 9/11, and not on 3/11, either. The good news is that disaster drills and preparation are common in Japan. This made many things go smoothly. I suspect an inadequate number of disaster drills are done by local governments or businesses in the US. As an example, a very strong hurricane hitting Miami is just a matter of time. Are they better prepared than the one a couple of decades ago?

In any case, the systems in Tokyo went smoothly. I do not know about closer to the disaster area. It seems that they went reasonably well, but the strength and speed of the tsunami, along with the lack of much time, really made the fatalities a lot worse than was expected. People go through towns saying that everyone should evacuate to higher ground after earthquakes, but those in poor physical condition may choose to ignore the warning, and perhaps some wanted to clean up some of the broken jars and such before evacuating. Unfortunately, they did not have a minute to spare.  

Turning on the television that night, it was mentioned that the nuclear plants at Fukushima had been hit hard. This was to become a topic for later. At the moment, fires had to be put out, and the injured taken to hospitals. Nuclear plants have many backups, and they would not be built near oceans if they could not handle tsunamis, right?   (To be continued.)



Letter Re: Misconceptions on CDV-Series Radiation Meters

Jim,
There’s a lot of folks around the country who bought surplus Civil Defense radiation meters.

What they don’t understand is the CDV-715, CDV-717 and CDV-720 meters WILL NOT measure background radiation and are useless if they are watching for increased radiation from Japan. Only the CDV-700 will measure background radiation.

According to an LAFD document: “Radiological survey instruments, if available, are recommended for initial entry to the site. Before entering the accident area, determine the background radiation level using the CD V-700, or a similar survey instrument.”

Background radiation levels cannot be determined using the CD V-715 or other high-range gamma-detecting instruments; therefore, a ‘positive response on high-rage’ meters such as these should stimulate immediate rescue and medical intervention.

I found this misunderstanding by my fellow man to be of concern and thought you might post it. Best regards to you and yours, – John



Economics and Investing:

Readers in France or elsewhere in the EU might be interested in acquiring some of the new 10 euro des 26 régions” coins as both a silver investment and as an inflation hedge, with no downside risk. They are 10-euro coins, weighing 10 grams and are sterling silver (92.5% fine). These coins are available at face value in post offices, but are region-specific and some regions might have already run out. I’ve read that in Brittany the new collector coins are still available, and you can purchase limited quantities at their face value. A SurvivalBlog reader mentioned that he was able to get 20 of these coins with ease, in just one visit to a post office. He noted: “I’ve been told some post offices require you to make a purchase and accept them to you as ‘change”‘, though it wasn’t the case here. I just walked in, asked for the coins, got them and walked out. I certainly wasn’t asked to give any explanation, nor sign any form. The post office lady did warn me there was an obligation to use cash only, to get the coins. Even if their metal value didn’t exceed their face value (their silver content is worth about €7.50 now) they are still perfectly legal tender and can be used for any purchase–they are always worth €10. Cashiers, from my experience (I tested!) will just find them “nice!” and private business owners or private parties are more than eager to get them as keepsakes.”

Readers Greg C. and Jeff M. flagged this bit of bad news: Liberty Dollar creator convicted in federal court. Obviously, he shouldn’t have used used the word “Dollar” or the “$” symbol. But this case illustrates how heavy-handed a government that creates fiat currency can be when someone develops a more legitimate alternative. Here’s a quote that is ultimate in irony: “Attempts to undermine the legitimate currency of this country are simply a unique form of domestic terrorism,” U.S. Attorney Tompkins said in announcing the verdict. Greg’s C.’s comment: “I believe Ms. Tompkins is beginning her 2011 Comedy Tour next week starting in Las Vegas.  Technically, shouldn’t she be investigating the entire Federal Reserve if that really is her true position?”

New York Fed confirms intervention in currency markets. (Thanks to KAF for the news tip.)

Items from The Economatrix:

Worsening Nuclear Crisis Rattles Financial Markets  

New-home Construction Plunges in February  

Oil Prices Rise with International Tensions  

John Williams (of ShadowStats):  The Great US Collapse Nears

Global Markets are Slammed by Worries About Nuclear Crisis



Odds ‘n Sods:

The UN seems intent on invading or at least bombing Libya. And U.S. forces will it seems, as per usual, be in the thick of it. Pardon me for sounding like a hick who inappropriately points out the obvious at a swank soiree, but I must ask: 1.) Why are we directly sticking out noses into a civil war? 2.) Who gave the U.N. debating society the God-like omniscience to deem Gaddafi’s national government “illegitimate”? 3.) When did Congress abrogate its power to declare war? And, 4.) Why is the current Administration so intent on replacing an ostensibly secular dictatorship with an Islamic dictatorship?

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Japan crisis: ‘There’s no food, tell people there is no food’. (A hat tip to J.B.G. for the link.)

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K.T. flagged this: Cell phones are ‘Stalin’s dream,’ says free software movement founder.

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Just for fun, file this under “Ministry of Silly Walks”: India-Pakistan Wagah Attari Border Closing Ceremony



Jim’s Quote of the Day:

This know also, that in the last days perilous times shall come.

For men shall be lovers of their own selves, covetous, boasters, proud, blasphemers, disobedient to parents, unthankful, unholy,

Without natural affection, trucebreakers, false accusers, incontinent, fierce, despisers of those that are good,

Traitors, heady, highminded, lovers of pleasures more than lovers of God;

Having a form of godliness, but denying the power thereof: from such turn away.

For of this sort are they which creep into houses, and lead captive silly women laden with sins, led away with divers lusts,

Ever learning, and never able to come to the knowledge of the truth.” – 2 Timothy 3:1-7 (KJV)



Note from JWR:

Today we present another two entries for Round 33 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The prizes for this round include:

First Prize: A.) A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795, and B.) Two cases of Alpine Aire freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources. (A $400 value.) C.) A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $275 value), D.) A 250 round case of 12 Gauge Hornady TAP FPD 2-3/4″ OO buckshot ammo, courtesy of Sunflower Ammo (a $240 value), and E.) An M17 medical kit from JRH Enterprises (a $179.95 value).

Second Prize: A.) A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol. It is a $439 value courtesy of Next Level Training. B.) A “grab bag” of preparedness gear and books from Jim’s Amazing Secret Bunker of Redundant Redundancy (JASBORR) with a retail value of at least $300, C.) A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials, and D.) two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value).

Third Prize: A.) A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21. (This filter system is a $275 value.) , and B.) Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy. This is a $185 retail value.

Round 33 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that articles that relate practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Lead Your Family Out or Stay?, by Richard G.

With all the scenarios that can happen in a social meltdown, I would like to take the moment and relate to everyone what actually happened in my mother’s time, a short 70 years ago. At the time, no one could foresee or plan for the catastrophic events that awaited them. Millions were displaced forcibly or by choice. Many lessons can be learned and in my case are being applied in my own preparations for a collapse, or worse yet, a collapse of society as we know it. The key is “as we know it”. An eastern European refugee who lived through WW2 “knows it”. Here is her story.

Her parents left impoverished Lithuania, before WWI erupted. They did so by bribing a Russian soldier at the border with a few small gold coins. They made their way to Chicago along with millions of refugees seeking the prosperity of the US. My grandmother ("Baba") worked in the stockyards of Chicago 12 hours a day, my grandfather started a small “store” operating out of their front room by day and maintaining apartment blocks by night. They had a daughter, my Aunt Sophie, born a US citizen. After 15 years of hard work and saving, they learned Lithuania regained their independence. Trading in their life’s savings for gold and silver coinage they went back to Lithuania in 1921 leaving Sophie to finish college. They bought a 200 hectare farm, mill, store and livestock. By the time my mother was born in 1932, her parents were very wealthy land owners. But political squabbling with Poland, Germany and Russia made Lithuania’s independence uncertain. Wars, political upheaval, and rumors of more war continued (1926-1939). For the country farmers, most events went unnoticed. Life went on farming and enjoying life.   

In 1939, the Molotov/ Ribbentrop Pact assigned Lithuania to Germany, but in secret the areas east of Klaipeda went to Russia, and by 1940 the Communist Party of Lithuania had deported more than 50,000 people to gulags in Siberia, typically at night, arriving at the deportee’s house in a single truck with just a few “policemen”. They were trapped, hoping for some way to escape the Communists. Germany had just invaded Poland a few months earlier, the borders were militarized. One family at a time was disappearing – being shipped out to Siberia (mostly mayors, shop owners, and large farm owners). The day the Germans reached their farm (on their way to Moscow), they discovered they were to have been shipped out to Siberia in July of 1941. My mother recalls the Germans giving paper money while taking their horses and farm animals. They preferred the Germans to the Communists and believed the war would soon be over, and that Lithuania would once again be free.

Life on the farm went on for a few more years, information was scarce, no communication, many rumors. Lithuanian silver coinage disappeared, replaced by paper occupation money. No one could be trusted, farms were being raided for food, and many “bad things” occurred. Then suddenly the Germans were back, in full retreat. By fall of 1944 they followed the retreating Germans out on a horse and carriage, gold coinage got them across the many river bridges,(a stash was left behind-buried under their wooden kitchen floor)until the horse and cart was confiscated, then only what bags they could carry, then those to were gone and by the time they reached Dresden (bad timing), February 1945, they only had the clothes on there back. Dresden was bombed to a pile of rubble. They somehow survived Dresden, but were forced into work camps. When the war was finally over, they found themselves in a refugee camp near Munich. Stanislaus, my grandfather, had one last ‘trade’ item left, a gold pocket watch.

My mother’s sister, Sophie (a US Citizen), who was “left behind” in Chicago was able to sponsor the return of Baba and Stanislaus to the US by the end of 1945. My mother had to stay in the camp. My mother finally made it to Chicago in 1948, a 16 year old girl that had survived a world war and had seen too much. I have Stanislaus’s gold watch–kept as a powerful reminder of those turbulent times.

When I returned to Lithuania with my mother in September of 1991 (during the Soviet’s withdrawal of Lithuania) her parent’s farm was still standing, found to be inhabited by squatters. The “wooden” kitchen floor was no more, now just a dirt floor. A distant relative informed us the Soviet collective farm manager found the gold coins and threw the largest wedding party for his daughter the town had ever seen.

My Conclusions:

  1. Hundreds of millions of people have had to “relocate” (emigrate, flee) due to unforeseen poor economic times, changing politics, natural disasters, wars or merely rumors of war. Always expect the possibility you and your entire family may at one time have to move or flee suddenly and unexpectedly. Your “horse and wagon’ may be reduced to just what you can carry in your pockets. Refusing to leave your fortified shelter may result in a trip to Siberia. Lead out or stay?
  2. Fleeing one hazard may result in meeting more deadly hazards. Soviet Gulag or Dresden? Lead out or stay?
  3. The grass is not always greener. Stay in Chicago as a laborer or return to Lithuania as a Baron? Lead out or stay?
  4. Gold and silver is sought after by the conquerors , whereas food is the ultimate wealth for the conquered.
  5. Gold will get you across a border or across a bridge, and someone else’s gold will buy a huge wedding for a daughter.
  6. Trust no one in times of chaos, especially one who has very strong socialist or communist beliefs.
  7. Your plans are not God’s plans.


I Thought That I Was Prepared, by G32

I really enjoy the wisdom and wealth of information that is in your daily blog.

I know the importance of listening to your inner voice as well as wise council and being prepared. Living in a developing nation is never easy but being missionaries in a West African country known for its relative safety was a joy so we were a bit relaxed in our thinking and our perception of potential danger.  But then we began to hear and see things that made us a bit unsettled and we began to have that inner feeling that things were not going to be so easy to get, or to get to.  

It was little, almost imperceptible things, at first. Then the police became a little harder than usual to deal with and so did their demands for bribes. Because people in the public service and teachers were not getting paid they began protesting. Next came strikes by the cab companies, banks began having a harder time getting cash. It took us sometimes going back three days in a row to get money and grocery stores were having less on their shelves. Suddenly, it was no longer safe to be out alone or after dark. Our Missions sending agency had been telling us to make sure we were stocked up and prepared for all emergencies and not to rely on the availability of necessary items no matter how easy things seemed to be. They had cited not only the political environment but also the possibility of Y2K. We went through our home and listed everything we thought we might need to hole up in case of a political or an economic emergency and began to stock up. We had no possibility of a retreat elsewhere unless it was so dire that it would be through a U.S. Marine helicopter. (It nearly came to that) Christmas Eve 1999 was one I will never forget! We were woken up at about 4 a.m. to the sound of live ammo hitting our roof and all around us were the sounds of angry voices and a lot of gunfire. We realized that turning our lights on in our bedroom made us more visible so we quickly doused the lights and dressed in the dark. Pulling out our bug out bags, we added the envelope containing our passports, shot records, copies of our birth certificates and marriage license as well as different denominations of American currency and the local currency. Placing the bags in a semi hidden from view place, my husband went downstairs to see if there was any news on radio or television. There was nothing, only the now sporadic gunfire outside.

We tried calling the U.S. Embassy but the phone lines were not working and continued to only work occasionally. After it got light enough to see he went to the gate and opened the small hole that allowed us to see who was on the other side. A group of armed men had congregated outside our fence because we had the only tree large enough to provide shade at the intersection that they were controlling. One man quickly told him to shut the slide and stay hidden. He said “Pastor, we know you are in there. For your safety, we do not want to see your face”. My husband quickly complied. About an hour later a knock came at our gate and we very warily opened it to find that our Muslim French teacher and friend Daouda had been allowed in to give us news. The Ivory Coast was in the middle of a coup d’état. The President had fled the country and the military was in control. That afternoon they allowed a nurse from the infirmary across the street to come in. (She was a Muslim also as they would not allow any of our Christian friends in.)  Christmas day was very different than we had anticipated. We still had the Christmas tree that we had brought with us from the States and we had several brightly wrapped presents under the tree for our little one. We felt foolish at first opening the gifts and preparing for a holiday meal when so much destruction was going on around us. My husband wisely suggested that keeping things as normal as possible for the sake of the little one as well as for ourselves was the best possible thing we could do, There was one point though that we calmly quit eating and got the three of us safely tucked under our big dining room table as gunfire erupted from inside our neighbors house and yard. I must admit that I don’t remember tasting anything I had on the table. Keeping our routine as normal as circumstances would allow was another huge help.

During the next 10 days we were prisoners in our home. The only way we got any news was the once daily visit from Daouda and the nurse. We were so thankful for the preparations and thought we had taken in preparing for Y2K because we had need of nothing as far as food and personal items went. We lost power sporadically but we never lost water.  We did have 10 cases of 12 one liter bottles of water for back up. We also had had several small boxes of chocolates that we had intended to give as gifts for a few friends when they came over Christmas day. A little treat at night after supper was nice.

 There were holes in our preparations however, we found that if we wanted any light at all after dark that we needed to have a room that we could black out, we chose the room that had the most accessibility to everything. That happened to be our bedroom. We had a phone, bathroom, beds, and the easiest way to defend ourselves if need be. Since having a gun was not an option we had a metal baseball bat, oil and nails to throw on the narrow stairs and a whole lot of prayer. When the Internet came back briefly after two days we quickly renewed our contact information and sent it by e-mail to the U.S. Embassy. We were registered but sent an update because we had not been contacted by phone. Calling in to the embassy had proved to be impossible. Come to find out they had a wrong number listed and they had been trying to find us. We also dashed off e-mails to our daughters and son-in-laws in the States. Thinking to protect my mother who was in the hospital at the time I said not to tell her. I never thought that she would be in the hospital watching CNN news. She was terrified. I needed to have only one or two people that I sent my e-mail and let them send them on or call instead of trying to contact everyone myself. There wasn’t enough time and as much as I felt I was in control I wasn’t thinking straight. It is very important to have your contact list ready and in order of priority.     

All during this time we were caring for a very medically fragile two-year-old that we were in the process of adopting. Thus the nurse being allowed in was a major blessing. She brought in a piece of fresh fruit or vegetable for the little one because she could hide them in her purse. That was another hole in our preparations. We had plenty of the starchy stuff like rice and pasta and we had a few canned vegetables but very few. Canned food was not only very pricey but we never thought to buy it because of the wonderful abundance of the fresh that was literally outside our door daily. You do get very tired of a mostly carbohydrate diet very easily.

This is the sum of my experience: Listen to those around you that have true wisdom, do the very best you can do to get and stay prepared, tweaking the situation as your life situations change.  Check to make sure all your paperwork and contact information stays up to date. And the best advice of all is whatever you do, do it prayerfully and thoughtfully. I look back now and I see the hand of God in many things but the ones that stand out the most are these. The military stationed at our gate was frightening but stopped our home from being robbed. Our concern for others and friendships with all peoples led to our having news and medical advice when it was needed most and when we could do nothing to get them on our own. When it comes, it may or may not be what we think, keep a cool head and your mind in the WORD. Maybe you have a country retreat, maybe you have to stay put. When the Schumer hits the fan the greatest best preparations you can have made is the time you have spent on your knees. – Grandmother of 32 in Louisiana



Letter Re: Do-It Yourself HEPA Air Filtration for NBC Shelters

Friends,
In the wake of the Japanese nuclear plant melt-down situation, I called a safe room manufacturer for a hand cranked air filter.  It was over $2,000.  Too much.  I did learn that you need both particulate (HEPA) and gas (carbon) filters.   I have jury-rigged an NBC air filtration system.  Here it is:

Go to a hydroponics store or find one online.  Yes, the one’s that people go to in order to grow marijuana. You will need an inline fan.  I used a  continentalfan.com AXC150B-C fan.  It is a little more expensive but German engineering costs more.  (Quieter too). You will need a carbon filter.  I used a Can-33 activated carbon filter (made in Canada) You will need a 6 inch Greenhouse HEPA filter.  It can be washed and reused but only put it back in your system if it is completely dry.

Total cost about $450.

The HEPA filter is attached to the air intake of the fan. The Carbon filter is attached to the air exhaust of the fan.

This is a recirculating system, not an overpressure system. At 300 CFM, it will clear the air of a 10’x10’x10′ room in 3 minutes and 20 seconds.

It stands completed at 30″ high and 16″ wide at it’s widest point. It uses 130 watts of current. – SF in Hawaii

JWR Replies: A HEPA filter system with air pushed by an electric fan is best suited to someone that has a fairly capable alternative energy system. Anyone without a large power source that can be relied upon for weeks should substitute a hand-cranked fan. And even those that do have a large alternative energy system should always have a “Plan B”: An electric filtered ventilation system should have a hand-cranked or pedal-cranked backup. There are too many potential points of failure to entrust our lives to continuity of electric power.