Notes from HJL:

In analyzing the Ukraine, I’m finding interesting facts about an area that I have known little of. To me, it appears that the Ukraine is in a similar position to the U.S. in 1776. Much of the country is pro-Russia and much of it is pro-Independant. While the U.S. government makes much ado (at least with their lips) regarding Putin putting forces on the ground in Ukraine, it appears that there are long-standing agreements in place that allow Russia access to facilities in the Black Sea. P.M. sent in this link showing maps of Ukraine from the New York Times and it’s readily apparent why Russia is so interested in the Crimea Area.

It is also interesting to note that Ukraine’s defense forces are ill-prepared to deal with the amount and types of hardware that is being massed in the area. It is still difficult to tell if the protesters are pro- or anti-Russia in regards to the developments or if they just have issues with their own government’s stance. We will still need to keep a close eye on things as they develop as this event has the ability to magnify to such an extent so as to destabilize the world, both politically and economically. Anybody remember Archduke Franz Ferdinand?



Guest Article: Precious Metals Month In Review, by Steven Cochran

Welcome to SurvivalBlog’s Precious Metals Month in review. Every month, we take a look at “the month that was” in precious metals, covering everything from price action to the information that’s driving the numbers.

February In Precious Metals

Three major factors for precious metals in February were Chinese physical demand; poor economic news in the U.S. (which was blamed on sequential blizzards); and emerging market crises, especially Ukraine.

China

Chinese gold sales last month hit 246 metric tons – a record for January – but the pace didn’t slow down after the Lunar New Year as expected. Chinese gold buyers weren’t just lured by low prices in February, they were protecting themselves against a possible financial collapse similar to what happened with Lehman Brothers and AIG in the U.S. in 2008. A substantial portion of China’s economy is depending on unregulated “under the table” loans to companies who can’t qualify for a bank loan. The Chinese central bank started reducing the money supply to squeeze out this practice, and the citizens, fearing bank defaults, started pulling their savings from banks and flooding jewelry stores to buy gold chains and bars. Chinese weekly gold demand has exceeded weekly global mine production for all but two weeks so far this year.

When the official Chinese gold import numbers for 2013 were released by Beijing, Western news sources jumped on the fact that domestic Chinese gold mining and scrap gold recycling totaling 500 metric tons was not accounted for. Many people speculate that this missing gold ended up in a shell company belonging to the Chinese central bank, to keep its gold purchases hidden while it sells off U.S. Treasuries.

Economic Slowdown

Many analysts were looking for a correction in the stock market bubble this month, and disappointing economic data gave many the cover to jump ship. On February 3rd, both U.S. and European stock markets saw their biggest one-day drop in six months. An estimated $24 billion in investments was pulled out of U.S. equity markets that week. At the same time, gold skeptic Ed Bowsher wrote a column in MoneyWeek titled “I’ve Never Bought Gold Before – But I’m Buying It Now.

There was no fight over raising the debt ceiling in mid-February, which would have given gold a boost, but the yellow metal really didn’t need it. Both gold and silver continued to show gains, even when the stock markets pushed higher. Gold rose above the 50-day moving average on January 23rd, and never looked back. On February 7th, it rose above the important 100-day moving average, and on Valentine’s Day, it broke the $1,320 mark, above the 200-day moving average. At the same time, silver posted it’s longest rally in 45 years, dating back to 1968. Both metals are handily beating the stock market in 2014 so far.

SHTF in Emerging Nations

Gold (and silver’s) excellent month wasn’t just about an oversold market and good fundamentals. There was literally blood in the streets on three continents, as popular uprisings against corrupt governments escalated to gunfire from both sides.

Anti-government protestors in Thailand got hold of M-79 grenade launchers seized from riot police, and turned them on their former owners. Snipers from both sides have also inflicted numerous casualties.

Venezuela was on the brink of a full-scale civil war all month, as a divided populace held mass demonstrations for and against the government. Protests were sparked by food shortages, an inflation rate over 50%, and rampant crime. Dozens have been killed in the fighting.

The big news this month was of course Ukraine. With a government on the brink of default and a currency hitting new lows, President Viktor Yanukovych agreed to a deal from his Russian allies to scrap an agreement for closer ties with the EU in exchange for a $15 billion loan to Ukraine. This set off protests by thousands of citizens, already disgusted with what they saw as cronyism and a looting of the national treasury by Yanukovych and his inner circle. Leading protestors were “disappeared” by the government, and demonstrations devolved into street fighting in the capital of Kiev, with hundreds dead and wounded.

After Yanukovych was deposed by parliament, he fled to the Crimea in southern Ukraine. This area is full of the descendents of ethnic Russians settled here by Stalin after purging the local population, and is a Yanukovych stronghold. This is also the home of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, and Putin has no intention of losing this strategic port. 150,000 Russian troops and tanks are massed on the Ukrainian border, holding “war games”. On February 26th, 120 uniformed gunmen with no insignia stormed the Crimean parliament building, and raised the Russian flag after days of protest between pro- and anti- Russian crowds in Sevestapol.

All these events have been a major factor in gold’s rally of nearly $100 in February.

Market Buzz

Gold and silver had a very strong February, despite a pullback at the end of the month. Both have solid uptrends in place, and bulls have the short-term advantage. One market sector that has seen conflicting rumors is India. It seems that almost daily, there are reports that the Finance Ministry is going to ease the draconian gold import restrictions, or are going to leave them in place. Over 200 metric tons of gold was estimated to have been smuggled into India in 2013, costing the government $1 billion in lost taxes.

More proof that physical gold is moving West to East, never to be seen on the London or COMEX ever again, is the report that 80% of gold exported by Switzerland in January went to Asia. Most of this gold came from the London Gold Exchange. The 400 oz Good Delivery bars are melted down and purified from .999 to .9999 fineness, then re-cast into 1 kilo bars for the Asian market.

GATA.org alerts its readers that the Financial Times scrubbed a report from their website that said an auditing firm examined the London Gold Fix from January 2010 to December 2013, and found evidence that suggested collusion or manipulation of gold prices approximately 50% of the time. Eric Sprott notes that the coming end of gold manipulation is a “golden opportunity” for investors.

Peter Schiff says that Yellen is better for gold than Bernanke was, and explains why in this video from February 19. Another of our favorite links from this month is Matthew Lynn’s “Three Warning Signs From Higher Gold Prices” on MarketWatch.

Speaking of the London Gold Fix, it seems like the largest bank in the world by assets, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, is positioning itself to take over Deutsche Bank’s role at the exclusive table. ICBC has purchased the London commodities and forex division of Standard Bank, which gives it the presence in the international gold market to qualify to be one of the five banks in the world that sets the benchmark gold price.

On The Retail Front

The U.S. Mint reported that demand for the Silver Eagle bullion coin has quadrupled since 2007. Year to date sales for the Silver Eagle through February was nearly 8.5 million coins. The Perth Mint has a new collectible hit on its hands with the “Gods of Olympus” series of 2 oz silver high relief coins. The first coin, featuring Zeus, sold out within hours of its introduction.

There was some “buried treasure” news this month, as we learn that the hard work and research of two Scottish treasure hunters paid off when they unearthed 322 medieval silver coins during a dig in gale-force winds. Unlike the United States, treasure hunting laws in Scotland and the U.K. encourage metal detectorists to turn significant finds in to the government, because even if a museum decides it wants the treasure, it has to pay the market price, which is then split between the finder and land-owner. Not at all like the confiscatory practices in the U.S.

The big story was of course the California couple who stumbled upon the largest buried cache of gold coins ever found in the United States, while walking their dog on their property. The 1,427 gold U.S. coins date from 1847 to 1894, and many are in mint condition. The find is estimated to be worth $10 million, with some of the coins worth over a million dollars by themselves.

Looking Ahead

We still haven’t seen the stock market correction we seem to be overdue for, and gold and silver have good market fundamentals heading into March. Ukraine is going to be a big hotspot, and if the Erdogan government in Turkey collapses or goes bankrupt, it could drag Greece and Cyprus down with it. There are many nations right now experiencing the type of conditions that we hope we don’t see in the U.S. but should prepare for. Economic numbers for the U.S. will carry a lot of weight, as there won’t be blizzards to blame for them any more. Eric Sprott notes that the government has changed the way the CPI is measured for the 20th time in 30 years, to hide the true inflation rate. Will prices at the cash register force Yellen to raise the benchmark rates she charges the big banks? Keep in mind, the guy they hired for the #2 spot at the Fed is an expert on hyperinflation.

Steven Cochran is the Senior Content Writer for Gainsville Coins



Guest Article: Jailbreak Your IRA Before It Becomes MyRA, by William Lehr

I am not suggesting the IRA LLC is the bulletproof solution to government confiscation of retirement accounts. However, the LLC investment company does offer another layer of protection. If the government requires a percentage of accounts be invested in treasuries, for example, they may very well come after self-directed IRAs and require them to sell real estate, metals, or any other asset to fulfill the new bond investment obligation. If they come after these specific self-directed IRA LLCs, the individual has the choice to comply or to not comply. Non-compliance certainly has its ramifications, and I am not endorsing it, but choice is a powerful variable.

President Obama’s recent introduction of the new and improved retirement savings vehicle has many people up in arms. Some see this as a trial balloon– a test message by the administration to gauge public opinion. Perhaps it is. After all, full force retirement account bail in without catastrophe is not only improbable, rather impossible, without large-scale resistance. After caving to 2008 Hank Paulson threats of tanks in the streets, the populace, and dare I say, Congress, is not as apt to hand away those civil liberties.

The question is not if an ever-increasing bankrupt government will bail in retirement accounts; it is rather when. Some argue the lowest hanging fruit in the private pension industry are the government employee pensions. That is likely true. If so, the highest hanging fruit in the private pension industry would be self-directed IRAs, and furthermore IRA LLCs.

I liken this to an analogy of government confiscation of precious metals. Consider this: In the event of widespread PM confiscation, what will be the lowest hanging fruit versus the path of most resistance? I would argue the easy targets are vaults and depositories with registered and often certified holdings of PMs. Did you know the majority of IRA metal that is held by trustee is held in COMEX registered vaults? So here we have folks investing in traditional self-directed “Precious metals IRAs” to protect themselves and their savings, when in fact they are telling the regulatory bodies exactly what PMs they own and exactly where they are held.

Let’s not forget the Patriot Act changed the game as it pertains to the legalities of claim on holdings within banks, trustees, and depositories. You may think you, or your IRA, own that metal, but legally you do not, at least not in times of “national emergency.” Isn’t that when we are going to need our metals the most? That, my friends, is low-hanging fruit.

Now consider the path of most resistance– door-to-door PM confiscation. I believe that is about as likely as door-to-door gun confiscation. How many PM owners in our community are armed to the teeth? I imagine those door knocks would be met with stories of theft, loss, boating accidents, gambling, and drug addictions. The boys in government always prefer the path of least resistance.

The IRA LLC offers segregation and protection in numerous regards. It provides the ability to physically store gold and silver that is owned by your IRA, or like account. It also adds a layer of separation from banks, brokers, and thieves. You literally remove your assets from the commercial banking system. Take your retirement off grid. Protect yourself.



Pat’s Product Review: Magnum Research Desert Eagle 1911C

I’m asked, all the time by readers, and students who take some of my handgun training, what is my “favorite gun.” Well, I think most of the time, they mean “handgun” and not just “gun.” Well, I honestly can’t give a pat answer to that question…usually, whatever I have strapped on my hip is my “favorite” gun – at the moment. And, what’s right for me, may not be right for you. I can’t pick a gun for you, it’s a pretty subjective issue as far as I’m concerned.

Folks also ask me what kind of handgun they should get for “survival” – and once again, I can’t give a simple answer to that question. When you say “survival” what do you mean? Are you planning on surviving on the Plains of Africa, where there are lots of dangerous game? What about surviving in the big city? Or surviving out in the country? Or surviving an end of the world event? Once again, I’m not trying to dodge the question, there simply isn’t just one handgun for all purposes.

Now, given a choice, I always fall back on the good ol’ 1911 .45ACP – made by any number of gun companies, and in any number of configurations. Now, my favorite 1911 is a “Commander” sized 1911 – with a 4.25-inch barrel – this model just seems to balance better for me, and I can shoot it faster than I can a full-sized Government model or one of the Officers-sized compact models. I carried a Colt Combat Commander in 1976, when I was in Rhodesia (now Zimbabwe) and never once felt undergunned – it was my constant companion in a Safariland vertical shoulder holster. And, I’ve owned a lot of “Commander” sized 1911s over the years.

Enter the Magnum Research, Desert Eagle 1911C and their entry into the “Commander” sized 1911 field. A few notes on the Desert Eagle 1911C – it is made in Israel, by BUL, and they have been making 1911s for some time now, for different companies…and they manufacture some really great 1911s in my humble opinion. The Desert Eagle 1911C has a 4.33-inch long barrel – so it’s a tad longer than the Colt 4.25-inch barrel – and other makers have Commanders with barrels a little shorter and some longer…so, Desert Eagle is right in the ball park when it comes to barrel length. The 1911C has a bull barrel on it – it flares out so it is thicker on the receiving end of the gun…and it has no barrel bushing, either – nor does it need it. It has a one-piece recoil spring guide rod – and I can take or leave them, but without a barrel bushing, you have to have this type of recoil spring guide rod.

Weight of the 1911C is 33.9-ounces, a slight bit heavier than similar sized guns, but that comes from the bull barrel. On the slide we have hi-profile sights, and this is one of my minor complaints. Us old guys need three dot sights on our combat or self-defense handguns. Still, the sights are very useable, and I like the rear sight – very non-drag in nature. I applied some white paint to the front sight, and placed a dot of orange paint in the center of the white paint on the front sight. On the rear sight, I applied two drops of orange paint to the rear of the sight – on either side of the rear sight notch – and it works just great for me. The rear sight is adjustable for windage only, but I didn’t have to make any adjustments. However, when I get a few bucks ahead, I’m going to have either 3-dot white sights installed on this gun, or night sights. The slide also has slanted and deeply grooved grasping grooves on the rear of the slide. The ejection port is also flared and lowered, for sure ejection of empty brass, as well as loaded rounds. Make sure you carry gun will cleanly eject a loaded round – don’t wait to test it when you “need” to remove a round that didn’t fire and find out, the round won’t eject cleanly – it happens.

On the frame, you’ll find a skeletonized combat type trigger, and my sample broke cleanly at 3.5-pounds. In the past, you’d pay a gunsmith $100+ to put a trigger job on your 1911 as nice as this trigger pull was. We also have a skeletonized speed hammer, and beavertail grip safety, that is stainless steel – the balance of the gun is matte blue in color. The main spring housing is metal and checked. The magazine release is slightly extended compared to standarned buttons, but I’m going to replace it with one a little bit longer. The 1911C also came with a beautifully checkered pair of wood grips. And, once again, one minor complaint here, while I loved the beautiful wood grips, there were just a little bit too thick for my liking. I replaced them with a pair of my designed “Code Zero” 1911 grips from www.mil-tac.com – which I prefer to all other 1911 grips.

The thumb safety is an extended combat style and it clicked on and off with authority – fitted perfectly. The slide release is standard, and I like it that way. Folks who put on extended slide releases are only asking for their slide to lock open during a gun fight – avoid them!

The slide to frame fit was exacting on my sample, no up and down play between the slide and frame, and no side-to-side play. However, after more than 500-rds testing, there is ever so slightly a little movement between the slide and frame. Yes, I shot this gun a lot…it was addicting, to say the least. Right out of the box, the gun functioned without a hitch, and no matter what ammo I fed it, or if I mixed the ammo in different brands of magazines, the gun just ran without any problems at all. The 1911C also comes with two magazines, too – made in Israel. The magazine well is ever so slightly beveled to aid in reloading those empty magazines faster, too.

During the on-going ammo shortages, and higher prices, I’ve been trying to limit my firearms testing to about 200-rds. However, this Desert Eagle just keeps calling out to me, wanting me to shoot it. So, I fired more than 500-rds of ammo through it in my testing. From Black Hills Ammunition www.black-hills.com I only had their 230-grain FMJ and their 200-gr SWC loads – which were outstanding in the accuracy department. From Buffalo Bore Ammuniton www.buffalobore.com I had a good assortment of ammo to test. I had their fairly new 160-gr standard velocity Barnes All-Copper hollow point load, as well as their 160-grain load in +P – same Barnes All-Copper hollow point bullet. I had their 200-grain JHP +P load, their 185-grain JHP +P load, and their 230-grain FMJ FN +P load. I’m growing very fond of the Buffalo Bore 160-grain standard velocity Barnes loading…it gets you back on-target fast, and it will penetrate deeply and it stays together and will expand at velocities as low as 750-FPS. Of course, Tim Sundles, at Buffalo Bore, had to come out with the same bullet, at +P velocities, so I’m still playing around with this load, but I’m starting to lean towards it – heavily – as my carry load. From Winchester Ammunition www.winchester.com I had their USA brand 230-gr FMJ load, and I’ve found this load to be a great range, or target load, and use a lot of it for my function testing or when breaking-in a new 1911 in .45ACP.

My accuracy testing was done from 25-yards, with a sleeping bag rolled-up, and resting on the hood of my SUV… With most loads, I was getting 3-4 inches – about average. However, the Black Hills 200-grain SWC load was giving me 2-inch groups, and I believe the gun is capable of even better accuracy than that – with that load. During a good number of range sessions, we had rain and fog, and the weather was not the best for getting the most accuracy out of the 1911C. The Buffalo Bore 230-gr FMJ FN +P load broke the 3-inch group mark a few times for me, if I did my part.

I carried the Desert Eagle 1911C for more than a month, during my testing. And, “yes” I really do carry the handguns that I test-fire, to see how they ride and conceal. I was using a Blackhawk Products http://www.blackhawk.com/product/SERPA-CQC-wMatte-Finish,1145,1410.htm SERPA concealment holster. I like this product, because it not only allows the gun to ride high and close to your body, it also has the SERPA locking mechanism. This allows the gun to automatically lock in the holster, every time you holster the gun. And, to release the gun, during a natural draw, your index finger automatically slides right on the release button, and a simple push, on the button, releases the gun as your draw it. I place a small tab of skate board tape on the release button, so I know my finger is right on the button. I also carried the 1911C with a spare mag, in a Blackhawk Products spare mag carrier on my left side – if you carry for self-defense, PLEASE carry a spare magazine!

Magnum Research teamed with BUL in Israel, to come up with a full-featured 1911, with many of the features you’d want on a carry gun, and nothing you don’t want. Some of these features would easily cost you $500+ if you had a gunsmith fit and install them on a basic plain Jane 1911. The Desert Eagle 1911C has a full-retail of $874 and it can often be found for quite a bit less than that. As always, I try to get the most for my hard-earn bucks…and if you’re in the market for a new 1911, or you’re a first-time buyer looking for a 1911, take a close look at the Desert Eagle 1911C and if you want a full-sized model, check out their 1911G model. Now, as usual, I have to justify keeping this sample…which means coming up with the money to buy it – but buy it I will – it’s not going back to the company…it’s a great buy, in a full-featured 1911 “Commander” sized gun in my book. – SurvivalBlog Field Gear Editor Pat Cascio



Pat’s Product Review: 750 & 550 Parachute Cord From 5 Col Survival Supply

I get contacted by SurvivalBlog readers daily, and I take the time to answer each e-mail, and I have to keep my replies short, because my time is limited. I’m often asked, “what should I carry in my BOB?” and I can’t really give a definitive answer to that. It depends on where you live, you age, your own personal requirements, when do you plan to bug out to, and other factors. Many readers send me a list of all the things they have packed in their BOB, and most are pretty well equipped for many different emergencies. One item that is often missing, is Paracord – and I’m using this in a generic term.

There are many different types of Paracord, some better than others, and some really cheaply made – so to be clear, not all Paracord is the same in quality. And, if you don’t have a good 25 or 50 foot hank of Paracord in your BOB, shame on you! This is one of the handiest items you can pack in your BOB, and it doesn’t take up much room, either.

I received some different types of Paracord from 5Col Survival Supply for testing, and to put it bluntly, they aren’t making junk – like you might find at the big box stores. As I said, not all Paracord is the same. First of all, 5Col Survival Supply sells only military grade Paracord, conforming to Mil-C5040H and the newer pia-c-5040 specifications. Now, while this might not mean anything to you, but if your about to make a jump from a plane, you want to know that, your parachute has the best Paracord you can get attached to the canopy. Additionally, all their Paracord is manufactured in the USA!

The folks at 5Col Survival Supply, are a family run business, and I like to send business the way of small companies like this, for some reason. They keep extremely busy, and I understand they are growing, too. They sent me Type IV 750 and Type III 550 Paracord samples for testing, along with hanks of different colored Paracord – and they have a nice selection, so you don’t have to settle for OD green or black when you place an order. Needless to say, the Type IV 750 Paracord is thicker and capable of holding more weight than the Type III 550 Paracord – so you have to decide which one you want to carry – personally, I’d just go with the Type IV 750 for my needs. The Type IV has 11 core strands, and all core strands are 3-ply – heavy duty! And, as the name suggests, it has a minimum breaking strength of 750 pounds. The outside diameter is 3/16th of an inch, and a pound of it is about 165 feet in length, so it doesn’t weigh much at all.

So, what are the uses for Paracord? Well, there are many, and this is just a partial list of suggestions. You can use it to help build a shelter, traps for small game, snares, rigging, trot lines, gill nets, wraps, braids and many other survival purposes. I’ve tried Paracord in the past as fishing line – you have to take it apart, and use the thin inner strands, but it works quite well – very strong. It’s great for lashing gear to your body or your pack, too. I have a friend, who is a former US Army Ranger, and he said whenever he went on a jump, he took inner strands of the Paracord and used them to lash down his gear, so it wouldn’t go flying off his body – and hit him in the face, good idea if you ask me. You can also use it to fasten a knife to a pole, for an improvised weapon or for spearing fish. The uses are almost unlimited when it comes to Paracord. I’ve used Paracord on more than one occasion when a shoe lace broke – and there is no better substitute for a shoe or boot lace, than Paracord.

I used some of the Paracord samples sent to me, and tied the ends together, and let my big ol’ German Shepherds play tug-o-war with it, and it never broke – and my dogs are very strong, to say the least. I even let my dogs chew on the Paracord, until the outer cover was chewed through, and then let them play tug-o-war some more and the cord still didn’t break. I keep some in my e-box in my car, and on more than one occasion I’ve used it for some sort of emergency. Recently, I went to the dog groomer, and forgot a leash, well, I used a piece of Paracord for an improvised leash – my main male German Shepherd hates having his nails done and won’t get out of the car – so a leash is needed to “motivate” him at times.

5Col Survival Supply 750 and 550 Paracord is certified, and that’s why it is rated for military use – and if you’ve ever done any business with any government agency, you know what a hassle it is, meeting specifications, especially military specs! I know I wouldn’t want our troops using anything but the best of the best. And, if I were jumping out of a plane, I’d want to be assured that the Paracord holding my chute on, wasn’t going to break because it was some cheap commercial grade stuff – that hasn’t been tested and certified.

If you’re serious about Prepping, or you’re in the military, you honestly have to have some Paracord in your kit or BOB. And, it doesn’t take-up much room at all – heck you can even lash it to the outside of your pack, if you don’t have room inside the pack. And, as an aside, make sure you have matches or some way of burning the ends of your Paracord when you cut it to the length you need it – you don’t want it coming apart – so burning the ends is a must do.

So, go through your kit or BOB, and if you don’t have some Paracord in there, give the nice folks at 5Col Survival Supply a call and order-up some genuine mil-spec certified Paracord, and it’s not that expensive, so there’s no excuse for not having some in your emergency supplies. – SurvivalBlog Field Gear Editor Pat Cascio



Recipe Of The Week: Arizona Cowgirl’s Potato Sausage Skillet

Arizona Cowgirl’s Potato Sausage Skillet Recipe. We really enjoy this dish, and it’s a delicious ‘comfort’ food on a cold wintry day!

Ingredients are:

  • 4 large baking potatoes, peeled & sliced thin.
  • 1/2 diced sweet onion
  • 1/4 Red or green Bell Pepper, diced

Combine the above veggies in a large 12″ skillet with cooking oil. Cook covered on low heat, stirring occasionally.

While these cook, add the following ingredients as you prep them:

  • 1 whole smoked kielbasa sausage, sliced thin.
  • 1 small can of diced green chilies.
  • Fresh cut Broccoli, as much as you like.
  • Salt and pepper to taste.

Continue cooking covered over low heat until all the veggies are done. Then cover with 1/2 lb. shredded cheddar until melted.

Total prep/cooking time about 30 minutes.

Serves 4 hungry folk. Enjoy! – M.W.

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Do you have a favorite recipe that would be of interest to SurvivalBlog readers? Please send it via e-mail. Thanks!



Letter Re: American Made Tools And Tool Boxes?

Greetings,

As always, thank you for the survival blog. It is a wonderful resource.

I remember seeing a link or list of American made products, but I can’t find it on the site. I’m starting tool boxes for my young children for either DIY home projects or for survival on the homestead after the SHTF. Do you have any suggestions for quality American made tool boxes and hand tools? Thanks – JR

HJL Replies: JWR posted a list of companies that sell American made gear and tools last year. If our readers are aware of any others, we would be happy to add them to the list.



Economics And Investing:

E.B. – Looks like the fed leadership is introducing the idea of inflation as a “solution”. I don’t think this is a mistake nor a spur of the moment idea. This was probably a planned comment. Fed may need to let inflation run hot to meet goals: Evans

Items from The Economatrix:

Yellen Repeats Fed Likely To Keep Trimming Asset Purchases

Viedeo: RED ALERT VIDEO! RUN, DON’T WALK FROM THE U.S. STOCK MARKET. By Gregory Mannarino

Is This Time Bomb Going To Implode The Economy?

The Coming Global Monetary Reset



Odds ‘n Sods:

K.G. sent this link in on wood choping: Less effort, more wood and safer too. Something that could be built by just about any reader here.

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H.L. sent in this link on 11 sure signs you’ve been hacked. In today’s threatscape, antivirus software provides little piece of mind. In fact, anti-malware scanners on the whole are horrifically inaccurate, especially with exploits less than 24 hours old. After all, malicious hackers and malware can change their tactics at will. Swap a few bytes around, and a previously recognized malware program becomes unrecognizable.

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In light of the current events in Ukraine, JFJ sent this article in: Forward with the statement “Don’t doubt for one iota that this or a variance wouldn’t be used here if feasible.”

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R.K.F. sent in a link with some neat information on Homes Made from Old Cargo Containers.

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War’s New Frontier: DOD presses for EMF spectrum used by cell phones for next generation weapons





Notes from HJL:

It looks like things are beginning to move quickly in Ukraine. This came in yesterday: US issues travel warning as armed men seize two Crimean airports. Per Spetsnaz military doctrine, airports are always the first objective. This establishes what the U.S. military calls an “airhead”, thus bypassing border defenses. Then today, Putin asked for and recieved permission from parliment to use the military in Ukraine. The parliament apparently also wants their ambassador pulled from Washington DC.

Of course, the U.S. is apparently hamstrung. Despite warnings from Obama, Russia is moving forward with their plans. We knew clear back in 2008 that this would happen.

It is still not clear, at this time, whether the protests are being egged on by Russian Spetsnaz or a true grass roots movement from the people. What is clear is that the Russian government does not trust the current Ukraine government as it appears to be leaning towards the west.

Let’s keep those families in prayer during this time of crises.

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Today we present another entry for Round 51 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest. The $11,000+ worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate, good for any one, two, or three course (a $1,195 value),
  2. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical. This certificate will be for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses. (Excluding those restricted for military or government teams.) Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  3. Two cases of Mountain House freeze dried assorted entrees in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  4. A $300 gift certificate from CJL Enterprize, for any of their military surplus gear,
  5. A 9-Tray Excalibur Food Dehydrator from Safecastle.com (a $300 value),
  6. A $300 Gift Certificate from Freeze Dry Guy,
  7. A $250 gift certificate from Sunflower Ammo,
  8. A roll of $10 face value in pre-1965 U.S. 90% silver quarters, courtesy of GoldAndSilverOnline.com, (currently valued at around $180 postpaid),
  9. Both VPN tunnel and DigitalSafe annual subscriptions from Privacy Abroad (a combined value of $195),
  10. KellyKettleUSA.com is donating both an AquaBrick water filtration kit and a Stainless Medium Scout Kelly Kettle Complete Kit with a combined retail value of $304,
  11. APEX Gun Parts is donating a $250 purchase credit, and
  12. TexasgiBrass.com is providing a $300 gift certificate.

Second Prize:

  1. A gift certificate worth $1,000, courtesy of Spec Ops Brand,
  2. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training. Together, these have a retail value of $589.
  3. A FloJak EarthStraw “Code Red” 100 foot well pump system (a $500 value), courtesy of FloJak.com,
  4. $300 worth of ammo from Patriot Firearms and Munitions. (They also offer a 10% discount for all SurvivalBlog readers with coupon code SVB10P .),
  5. A $250 gift card from Emergency Essentials,
  6. A full set of all 26 books published by PrepperPress.com (a $270 value),
  7. Two cases of Meals, Ready to Eat (MREs), courtesy of CampingSurvival.com (a $180 value),
  8. EP Lowers, makers of 80% complete fiber composite polymer lowers for the AR-15 rifles, is donating a $250 gift certificate,
  9. Autrey’s Armory – specialists in AR-15, M4s, parts, and accessories is donating a $250 gift certificate,
  10. Dri-Harvestfoods.com in Bozeman, Montana is providing a prize bundle with Beans, Buttermilk Powder, Montana Hard Red Wheat, Drink Mixes, and White Rice, valued at $333,
  11. TexasgiBrass.com is providing a $150 gift certificate, and
  12. Organized Prepperis providing a $500 gift certificate.

Third Prize:

  1. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  2. A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard, and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206,
  3. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections, a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security,
  5. A MURS Dakota Alert Base Station Kit with a retail value of $240 from JRH Enterprises,
  6. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances, and
  7. Ambra Le Roy Medical Products in North Carolina is donating a bundle of their traditional wound care and first aid supplies, with a value of $208.

Round 51 ends on March 31st, so get busy writing and e-mail us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.



Staying Warm In An LP/OP, by M.E.

Hugh, recently B.B. wrote asking for readers’ input on how a listening post/observation post (LP/OP) occupant can stay warm during extremely cold weather. His letter, and your reply, generated some self-reflection as I begin retirement in a few months after a 30+ year Army career, which spanned both active duty and National Guard service. During that time I served on active duty as an artillery forward observer to both Infantry and Armor companies and was branched Infantry for most of my National Guard service.

I suspect that B.B. will find that his biggest problem will not be one of staying warm, but it will rather be one of staying awake. I have been constantly amazed over my three decades, while watching both my soldiers and those of other units as well as those of other countries that I have served with, at how misused and misunderstood the monitoring of sleep is. People are hard-wired to sleep at night and be up during the day. More importantly, to be functional they need a minimal amount of sleep. Put them in a situation outside their normal routine, and their body will shut down. The bottom-line is: Don’t make shifts too long because sleep is a double-edged weapon. They will be worthless the next day, either for driving, security, or doing simple farm work.

Let’s start with B.B.’s initial question, keeping in mind that most people will utilize LP/OPs in two settings: Permanent and temporary, with temporary being what most would think of as patrol bases. Let’s deal with the patrol base, or temporary halt, LP/OP. You simply can’t put a person out in the dark for a long length of time and expect them to function well the next day. You have to balance a number of things, including exactly how cold it is, how exposed to the wind the location is, and how many people are available for duty. In reasonably temperate temperatures with a limited number of people, I think two hours is the absolute limit you should have someone on duty. They will need to function the next day and any longer will degrade their mental and physical abilities. In really cold weather one option is to put him in a chair inside a sleeping bag. If he wears a pair of sneakers (or even moccasins), it will help keep the bag clean, yet allow him to maintain mobility and the ability to quickly fight back. We never did this in the military; however, many of my friends do this on the deer stand, especially those with children hunting for the first time. The children stay warm, thus don’t take an immediate dislike to hunting, yet it remains a simple thing to unzip the bag enough to shoot. Interestingly, the German army has a sleeping bag, still available at Army surplus stores, that has a quick opening slit in the back designed for you to put your feet out and run. It even has arm sleeves and a hood so you can fight from it. I have had one for about 20 years. While it is not the warmest bag I own, it will keep you comfortable enough for an hour or two in the harshest weather. Be sure the chair isn’t metal or it will sap the warmth right out of everything it touches. We would take pieces of thick carpet and put on the floor of our tracked vehicles, otherwise in winter the cold metal would quickly turn your feet into blocks of ice.

We have a saying in the Army, “Soldiers don’t do what you expect; they do what you inspect.” There is no higher calling than standing guard over your buddies while they are asleep and defenseless. Yet, soldiers are also human and will succumb to things like discomfort due to cold and sleepiness. That is why close supervision is paramount. Rarely will a single LP be able to cover your entire area, thus a radio watch or sergeant of the guard to manage the entire perimeter is important. When you first stop at a location, do a thorough analysis of the location. The goal is to have as few LP/OPs as possible, while still maintaining security. I remember once, as a young Lieutenant, waking up late (after daylight) because a sentry had gotten tired of waiting on his replacement and simply gone back to sleep. When my very irate platoon sergeant looked into it, he found that our SOP needed a little tweaking. It called for only one LP/OP, which was to rotate every hour. We had enough soldiers that you only had to stand guard at night once every couple of days, insuring you got a reasonable amount of sleep. The problem, however, arose when the outgoing sentry would wake his replacement, who would need a few minutes to get dressed and ready. Many times, since they were both junior soldiers and there was no “adult” to insure prompt compliance, they would lay back down “for a few minutes to get their thoughts together.” Needless to say, they would go back to sleep, generating a return visit by the outgoing sentry. Over the course of the night we found each tour got progressively longer, until some of the sentries had pulled double their allotted time in a single night watch. My platoon sergeant’s answer, after a thorough reaming out by the first sergeant, was to confiscate one sleeping bag from the collective platoon, meaning that the outgoing sentry couldn’t get warm until he got in the sleeping bag of the soldier who replaced him. Although we were in Germany at the time, it wasn’t winter. So, although it did get chilly at night it wasn’t dangerously cold. The first time someone was slow in getting up they were quickly reminded by a boot to get up so the outgoing guy could crawl in. Perhaps it was not the most hygienic of answers, but it worked. Remember, this was during peacetime maneuvers whose purpose was primarily to ensure we got up on time the next morning, as well as to keep thieves (yes, the military has them) from coming in and stealing anything they could find. During TEOTWAWKI you will probably not want to trust your life or the lives of your family to a single point of failure. Later in my career, after three mobilizations, we never used only one person. The Romans realized the importance of this and made it a death penalty for any sentries who fell asleep. The sentence was carried out immediately (the same day) and by his own unit, who were the very people he was charged with guarding. Obviously, you aren’t going to do this to a family member or close friend, but it does show the importance of putting extra thought into it. Another answer, had we needed more than one guard, would have been to add a radio watch or sergeant of the guard. Their job is to be sure everyone stays awake, are focused, and to stay in touch with your higher element. During Desert Storm, my unit was short-handed. Every night I took both the first and last radio watch. That allowed my platoon sergeant a bit more sleep and allowed me some quiet time to write out operation orders and do other paperwork. After several months in the desert, before the war even began, we were all pretty exhausted, but you have to maintain a balance of security with work performance. During TEOTWAWKI you are going to have a multitude of daily tasks, including dealing with food procurement, and will require a clear mind. The task is to balance the two. You just have to put some thought into it.

On another train-up for a mobilization, we solved the problem another way. We were not yet in an active war zone, so having only one sentry wasn’t a life or death situation. I had one soldier, from the deep southern woods, who was terrified of the desert to the point he couldn’t sleep at night. This was made worse by the fact that when we first got to Fort Irwin and hadn’t become acclimated to the local conditions (one of which was the local coyote population), he has a late night visitor. He had eaten his dinner and put his paper plate down beside his head before laying down to sleep. He woke about an hour later and opened his eyes only to see a coyote eating his leftovers from about 12 inches away. He woke the whole platoon up screaming and wouldn’t leave the top of his tracked vehicle at night for the entire time we were at Fort Irwin. Every night my platoon sergeant gave him a pair of night observation devices with fresh batteries, and he stood watch over us until morning. He took countless catnaps during the day and somehow continued to function for the three months we were there. Once again, a solution that isn’t really optimal, but you have to find solutions that fix your unique situation.

Optimally, your LP/OP will hunker down in total silence and hear anyone approaching from a long distance. Sometimes, however, they will be required to move around, once again perhaps if you don’t have enough people. This is not really a good idea as it makes you much more visible but is necessary at times. . If you don’t have enough people to have a radio watch designee, the LP/OP may have to wake up their replacement. A special note about safety: During the peacetime in the Army, we always lost more soldiers to accidents than any other thing. We were always careful where we parked the vehicles, especially the tanks and tracked vehicles that required cranking several times at night to maintain battery charge, especially if the radios were running. If possible, you don’t move a vehicle, even a few feet, at night for fear of crushing someone. This happened several times to neighboring units while I was stationed in Germany. The same will be a concern in TEOTWAWKI. Night vehicular traffic will be dangerous from both an ambush and blackout driving considerations. When you laager up (camp in a defensive encirclement), it might be a good idea to park with an eye on not only safe, easy, movement in the dark if you have to move, but also in such a way that it facilitates the sentry in locating someone in the dark when noise discipline is paramount. One friend of mine had rivets welded to the right side of his track, to which he snapped his pup tent. That way everyone always knew where to find him.

LP/OPs for more permanent locations, such as I believe B.B. is talking about, have additional concerns. One is that it will be very difficult to completely camouflage your LP/OP. In snowy conditions, there is really no way around the obvious path through the snow to and from the location. The less you move back and forth the less obvious it will be, but there is no way to make it completely hidden in snow. One option is to dig it in so he can move around at least a little to stay warm. Although not a cold weather concern, we got around this in Iraq by draping camo nets over our guard towers. The Iraqis knew what and where they were, but couldn’t tell if or when they were occupied, much the way deer can’t tell if an enclosed deer stand has a hunter in it. While not all a retreat’s LP/OP locations can be from an elevated building, it is worth the effort to strategically locate your positions in such a way that the occupant can move around some to stay warm, but not in such a way as to give away that someone is actually in it. You also need to stay away from taking coffee to it. Not only do smells carry at night, but the added heat makes it easier to pick up if the bad guys have a thermal imaging device. I never realized this until one of the tankers I was supporting invited me into his tank after dark to scan the local area with his thermals. It was amazing to go from pitch black darkness to actually being able to tell small details, including someone who was obviously drinking coffee from a canteen cup and another who was urinating off the top of his tank. If we were near a German town, you could even tell which cars had people in them, even if the motor was not on, due to the glow through the windows. It was amazing the difference the devices made.

Not all aids have to be high tech. If the LP/OP is at ground level, take a dog with you. Not only can they be used as a large, warming device (just ask any duck/goose hunter), they are much more likely to detect something out of the ordinary. I know that during my year in Iraq many of our nighttime raids on suspected insurgent hideouts were ruined by common untrained dogs giving the warning something wasn’t right.

In closing, I see the answer to B.B.’s question as not a simple technological fix. Rather, it is a matter of balancing multiple ideas: proper location of the LP/OP itself, the amount of time each person spends in it, risk in its being detected versus facilitating the job of providing early warning, and, yes, whatever tricks you need to use to stay warm.



Letter Re: Ammunition Shortages

The article on ammunition, shortages, and government purchases was very informative and well written. Here is a very simple way to look at the shortages that occur from a mathematical perspective.

Assume that 20 million rounds of .22 are available every single day. That would be 40,000 boxes of 500 rounds each. Fifty states get 800 boxes each. Fifty retailers per state get 16 boxes each. I cannot tell you how much ammo the U.S. can manufacture or import, but I do not think it is anywhere near the level of demand created by our current government’s stance on the 2nd Amendment.

Thanks, BamaMan

o o o

Shalom

I am assuming that the article about bulk government purchases was written by Hugh. Since these stories have been hitting the web we have seen all sorts of explanations given for the requests. Responses have ranged from the uber-conspiratorial to the brain-dead parroting of official government propaganda.

We are all aware that buying in bulk saves money. We also are comfortable with the idea that large contracts allow our agencies to retain these bulk price rates. This is common sense.

The real question then IMHO is, are these purchases in line with previous purchases, or do they stand out as extraordinary? We shouldn’t be asking how many or what type of bullets could or should our agents be using, but what is the norm?

My webfu is pretty strong and my googling technique superior to most, yet I cannot find any data from past years to compare, nor has anyone apparently gone out of their way to examine this issue.

I’m a cigarette smoker. My wife knows it and knows my purchase habits. If I go from buying three packs a week to 30 packs a week and try and explain it away as saving money in bulk purchase, I’m going to be in the doghouse.

Let’s see some hard data on purchase habits.

o o o

Just as a matter of interest, here in Austria we have started to experience a shortage of ammunition as well. There seem to be reasonable quantities of the normal hunting rifle calibers floating around (and after all, you don’t really need a lot of ammunition for hunting). I have seen boxes of 0.22 on offer, so it really seems to be only 9 mm Parabellum that is affected.

I generally buy the boxes of 250 from S&B, but there have been none available to the dealers for the past two or three months. One dealer that I regularly go to has a stock of them still, but that is a result of buying a huge amount last year.

Our local dealer was telling me that they had been bought out by an American company that was now shipping all the product to the U.S., but I can see no record of that. In fact, they are owned by CBC, which is a Brazilian company, better known to you, probably, as Magtech. I can see no sign of American ownership there.

So, maybe they are shipping everything to the U.S., but it is not due to North American ownership.

Still, he sold me 1000 rounds of Geco pistol food for the same price as the bigger boxes from S&B, so I am not complaining too much.

Simon

o o o

HJL Adds: This link was sent in to SurvivalBlog by a reader: Making Money From the American Ammo Shortage. This quote shows just what kind of demand we as consumers are putting on the system.

“I had a report yesterday of a fistfight in a sporting goods store, people trying to get rimfire ammunition off the shelf,” said Alliant Chief Executive Mark DeYoung on an analysts’ call after the company reported forecast-beating third quarter profits on Thursday. “So there is still demand and customers are still very anxious to get product.”



Letter: Timing of Collapse

Sir:
There has been some debate as to whether ‘the Collapse’ will precipitate quickly or not. I think it will depend on the immediate cause of the collapse. I was in the Ba’ath Party Headquarters in Baghdad in 2003 a couple of days after our cruise missiles hit it, starting the war. It was though Saddam Hussein was there watching a movie, but he was not. I walked through the Headquarters, and saw blood and brain tissue on the walls. I found a cruise missile fan blade on the roof. All the carpets, vases, pictures, furniture, et cetera had been stolen, virtually overnight. The system collapsed almost instantly, and it was “each man for himself.” In a military attack or coup d’état, I believe the collapse would be quick. If the collapse is precipitated by a economic depression, on the other hand, which I believe it will be, it will probably be a slow motion collapse. The Weimar Republic, Germany (1919-1933) slowly sank into total economic collapse. People kept thinking that the government knew what it is doing and would correct the problems. Of course, it did not know what to do, and in fact, did precisely the wrong thing (print money), as our government is doing. We are sinking into a big black abyss, as in a slow macabre dance, and the vast majority of people are completely clueless. It is interesting that the Founding Fathers– the very ones who wrote the Declaration of Independence, the Bills of Rights, our Constitution, who were the first Presidents, Senators, Congressmen– were the very ones who most distrusted the government. Now everyone is expected to trust the government, or they will be called a fascist or racist. Do you trust the IRS or the NSA? I sure don’t. I don’t trust them as far as I can throw an elephant. Anyone who does trust them is just being astonishingly naïve. “Pray and pass the ammo.” – Pastor Dave