The Daily Web Log for Prepared Individuals Living in Uncertain Times.
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8 Comments
It’s tempting to believe that because stock prices are at all time highs the market must be in a bubble. I do not think one necessarily follows from another. In bubbles everyone is investing in the asset. There’s no money left on the sidelines, and investors believe the asset will never go down. We are not in this situation yet!
I believe we are in a rising market that will eventually become a bubble — at heights we cannot imagine. We may have a 10-15% correction along the way, but that’s normal stuff. We probably (a guess, because it’s the future, folks) have 12-18 months of uptrend left, after which the likelihood of a significant drop will increase dramatically.
Ideally one would want to stay in until somewhere around the peak, get out, and buy back in at the depth of despair. Unfortunately, predicting the peak is impossible. The use of training stop loss orders (kept private, not in the market) can help in this regard. There are websites out there that can track stock prices and stop loss orders.
trailing stop loss orders (oops)
I tend to agree with both John Galt and former Reagan Budget Director David Stockman as to what is coming. But neither have explained satisfactorily the timing of the thing. Why August – October?
I love the katana. How about more info. on carbon steel blades. Can you recommend a few locations to buy well made katana not as an antique but as a well make good quality or high quality sword. In my point of view it is the quality of the workmanship that matters. Identification marks are important also, to help you know what you buy. These katana are a beautiful work or art.
Looking forward to read some more about this.
Cold Steel (the same folks that made the special edition Rawles XL Voyager) makes some surprisingly good Japanese Style modern swords. I particularly like their Wakazashi length.
I wish they still made USMC NCO sabre it may not have been regulation but it was by all accounts a usable weapon instead of a cheap wall hanger.
I took a look at that reference you just gave. I assume these sword are considered functional. Is that correct? I also assume they do shipping world wide.
Thank you for answering this post so fast. I am sword shopping among other things.
I was reading the description of the Cold Steel Rawles Voyager XL Folding Pocket Knife 5.5″ Serrated Tanto Point CTX XHP Steel Blade Griv-Ex Handle OD Green. That’s a mean knife. I like it.
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It’s tempting to believe that because stock prices are at all time highs the market must be in a bubble. I do not think one necessarily follows from another. In bubbles everyone is investing in the asset. There’s no money left on the sidelines, and investors believe the asset will never go down. We are not in this situation yet!
I believe we are in a rising market that will eventually become a bubble — at heights we cannot imagine. We may have a 10-15% correction along the way, but that’s normal stuff. We probably (a guess, because it’s the future, folks) have 12-18 months of uptrend left, after which the likelihood of a significant drop will increase dramatically.
Ideally one would want to stay in until somewhere around the peak, get out, and buy back in at the depth of despair. Unfortunately, predicting the peak is impossible. The use of training stop loss orders (kept private, not in the market) can help in this regard. There are websites out there that can track stock prices and stop loss orders.
trailing stop loss orders (oops)
I tend to agree with both John Galt and former Reagan Budget Director David Stockman as to what is coming. But neither have explained satisfactorily the timing of the thing. Why August – October?
I love the katana. How about more info. on carbon steel blades. Can you recommend a few locations to buy well made katana not as an antique but as a well make good quality or high quality sword. In my point of view it is the quality of the workmanship that matters. Identification marks are important also, to help you know what you buy. These katana are a beautiful work or art.
Looking forward to read some more about this.
Cold Steel (the same folks that made the special edition Rawles XL Voyager) makes some surprisingly good Japanese Style modern swords. I particularly like their Wakazashi length.
I wish they still made USMC NCO sabre it may not have been regulation but it was by all accounts a usable weapon instead of a cheap wall hanger.
I took a look at that reference you just gave. I assume these sword are considered functional. Is that correct? I also assume they do shipping world wide.
Thank you for answering this post so fast. I am sword shopping among other things.
I was reading the description of the Cold Steel Rawles Voyager XL Folding Pocket Knife 5.5″ Serrated Tanto Point CTX XHP Steel Blade Griv-Ex Handle OD Green. That’s a mean knife. I like it.