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  1. A few things to consider- and I am not a financial expert, I am just an average Joe who pays attention to the news.
    >In 2009, the M2 money supply was approximately $8.3 Billion. Today it is $14.5 Billion, diluting the currency by about 43%. https:fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2
    >Federal Debt to Gross Domestic Product ratio in 2009 77.3% 2019 105%
    (conventional wisdom says anything over 90% is too much debt to EVER be repaid without default or a drastic devaluation/hyperinflation event.)
    These numbers are not confined to the US. alone. China added approximately $1Trillion to it’s money supply IN JANUARY ALONE to stimulate its economy !
    >The velocity of money in 2013 was about 5.4, bottomed out at about 2.5 in January 2017, and is now a little above 3 .
    >As noted by Mr.Rawles, the yield curve is again inverted, signalling a coming recession, as are the recent announcements of retail store closings and layoffs.
    >Derivatives have not gone away. They are likely a ticking time bomb, as I understand them.
    >Much of the repatriated money that U.S. corporations brought back from overseas was used, despite Trump’s warnings, for stock buybacks. Now many of those companies are having trouble meeting their debt obligations on loans and their bonds that are coming due.
    >A record 7 million Americans are 90 or more days behind on their auto loan payments, according to a study from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. That number is a million higher than the total at the end of 2010, a time when unemployment rates hit 10% and “delinquency rates were at their worst” notes the Fed. http://fortune.com/2019/02/12/americans-late-on-car-payments/
    >Recent floods in the midwest have destroyed crops, killed livestock, prevented farmers from planting their crops, and destroyed much of the grain that was being stored from last year’s crop. I know this first hand. Expect higher food prices.

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