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Planning Scenario Number One- Part 2, by ShepherdFarmerGeek

With a well-funded overthrow of the U.S. government since Trump’s election underway, there is reason to prepare for consequences that might come. In part 1 of this article, I went through some of the potential scenarios should the Liberal Left gain power and international powers react. There are also internal conflicts to consider as well. I outlined what difference all of this makes to prepping and things to consider. Let me continue.

Not Seen As A “Black Swan”

I don’t see this as a “Black Swan”; I see this as an “Unfolding Disaster”. See my previous articles (Forecasting Disaster Part 1 [1] and Part 2 [2] ). This is a disaster that’s been coming for a long time and that we’ve had a lot of warning about. Unfortunately, I don’t think that “Joe Prepper” is prepared for a worst-case scenario like this. My impression is that Joe is expecting a few weeks-to-months of scary unpleasantness and inconvenience with a gradual return to “normal” in a few months [3]. (Don’t get me wrong. This is a good article and a good start for beginners.)

I’ve read a lot of prepper fiction, to analyze their scenarios and how our family prepping stacks up. And I can’t recall anyone’s scenario approaching this, except possibly The Days of Noah [4] series by Goodwin.

Trump’s Presidential Victory A Miracle

I totally agree that Trump’s presidential victory was a miracle. The PTB/Democrats/Liberals/Commies held all the cards– the electoral fraud, the illegal alien vote, the media lying and faking poll data, and half the country in mindless zombie lockstep to elect “The First Woman President.” Yet, Trump won, and I celebrate and welcome that!

Why Is the Mood So Grim

So why is the mood among my friends and fellow preppers so grim? Why does it feel like we’ve just come through the first of many battles to come? What if…?

In fact, over the years of teaching and writing I’ve not emphasized the scope of what could be unfolding because I was simply afraid people would just give up and do nothing. (Remember it’s a reaction of “Flight or Fight or Freeze”…). And this scenario is almost overwhelming but not quite, especially not with God’s guidance through it! It’s survivable but only with God’s guidance and strength and protection. Isn’t that what we’ve been saying all of this time?

Waiting on God

I can not emphasize enough the importance of waiting on God. Here’s why: God has already greatly helped us by opening our eyes to the potential dangers and the options He has put in our lives to survive. However, what eventually happens is likely not going to be what any of us were expecting, and the severity could be stunning. I’m just sayin’ if we simply watch the crises roll in, we could freeze up. “Men’s hearts failing them…” (Lk.21:26), et cetera.

Surely once we un-freeze, we would react! However, if we’ve been totally focused on watching the alternative news for indications of trouble and we start to see threats building, it’s possible that we will have waited too long to act! We watch and watch and try to guess when we need to head out (if bugging out is your option). Trying to figure it out is mesmerizing, fascinating, and a manly challenge! It sure takes our focus off of listening and watching for God’s Providential guidance.

Something God Shows Us

I want to propose that the signal to “Go” might not be something we “figure out” but something God shows us. What we need is a right relationship with God, one of listening, of studying, worshiping, and serving. That’s what will lead us to safety, not merely seeing the approaching danger and having piles of stuff. Timing is everything, and the only person who actually knows the timing is God.

Without this guidance from God, we may not act in time. We may be too late. We may be swept up in a sudden turn of events that sucks us into a crisis we could have avoided had we acted just a few hours or days earlier. Learn to hear His still small voice. Learn to recognize when He is providentially arranging your circumstances or supernaturally getting your attention. It’s not something you can learn overnight…

Walk With God Now

Walk with God now. Get in the Bible, pray, wait on Him, worship, share, and give. Stop giving in to those temptations that are sabotaging your relationship with Him. “Trust in the Lord with all your heart, and lean not on your own understanding; In all your ways acknowledge Him, And He shall direct your paths.” (Prov.3:5-6)

How do you “acknowledge Him” in “all your ways”? Frequently, throughout the day, bring your concerns and thoughts to Him, ask Him for guidance and solutions to the daily challenges, include God in your day! (And as a reminder, here’s that classic on the subject: The Practice of the Presence of God [5]. Trust Him with everything in your life, every aspect, every problem, every person, every need, and every blessing. And He (the One in the universe who knows what’s coming next) has promised to guide you!

Then, if God says “Go”, you need to go. Go right then, no arguing. No whining. Just suck it up and go. Then trust Him!

Struggle Coming

Steel your minds, good men and women. A struggle is coming. Surviving will be a miracle (Mt. 24:22), but I believe in miracles! A “hopeless” scenario might be just the thing to make one hold on tightly to the God of all hope.

“You cannot allow any of your people to avoid the brutal facts. If they start living in a dream world, it’s going to be bad.” – General James Mattis (ret.)

“For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and to provide for it.” – Patrick Henry

Trust God. Be prepared. We must do both! The Morning is coming, but first comes the Night (Mt.24:29-31).

Be strong!
We are not here to play, to dream, to drift,
We have hard work to do, and loads to lift.
Shun not the struggle; face it. ‘Tis God’s gift.

Be strong!
Say not the days are evil, – who’s to blame?
And fold not the hands and acquiesce, – O shame!
Stand up, speak out, and bravely, in God’s name.

Be strong!
It matters not how deep entrenched the wrong,
How hard the battle goes, the day, how long.
Faint not, fight on! Tomorrow comes the song.

– Maltbie D. Babcock [6]

See Also:

SurvivalBlog Writing Contest

This has been part two of a two part entry for Round 79 of the SurvivalBlog non-fiction writing contest [8]. The nearly $11,000 worth of prizes for this round include:

First Prize:

  1. A $3000 gift certificate towards a Sol-Ark Solar Generator from Veteran owned Portable Solar LLC. The only EMP Hardened Solar Generator System available to the public.
  2. A Gunsite Academy Three Day Course Certificate. This can be used for any one, two, or three day course (a $1,095 value),
  3. A course certificate from onPoint Tactical for the prize winner’s choice of three-day civilian courses [9], excluding those restricted for military or government teams. Three day onPoint courses normally cost $795,
  4. DRD Tactical is providing a 5.56 NATO QD Billet upper [10]. These have hammer forged, chrome-lined barrels and a hard case, to go with your own AR lower. It will allow any standard AR-type rifle to have a quick change barrel. This can be assembled in less than one minute without the use of any tools. It also provides a compact carry capability in a hard case or in 3-day pack (an $1,100 value),
  5. Two cases of Mountain House freeze-dried assorted entrees [11] in #10 cans, courtesy of Ready Made Resources (a $350 value),
  6. A $250 gift certificate good for any product [12] from Sunflower Ammo,
  7. American Gunsmithing Institute (AGI) is providing a $300 certificate good towards any of their DVD training courses [13].

Second Prize:

  1. A Model 175 Series Solar Generator provided by Quantum Harvest LLC (a $439 value),
  2. A Glock form factor SIRT laser training pistol and a SIRT AR-15/M4 [14] Laser Training Bolt, courtesy of Next Level Training, which have a combined retail value of $589,
  3. A gift certificate for any two or three-day class from Max Velocity Tactical (a $600 value),
  4. A Three-Day Deluxe Emergency Kit from Emergency Essentials (a $190 value),
  5. RepackBox is providing a $300 gift certificate to their site, and
  6. Two 1,000-foot spools of full mil-spec U.S.-made 750 paracord [15] (in-stock colors only) from www.TOUGHGRID.com (a $240 value).

Third Prize:

  1. A Royal Berkey water filter, courtesy of [16] Directive 21 (a $275 value),
  2. A large handmade clothes drying rack, a washboard, and a Homesteading for Beginners DVD, all courtesy of The Homestead Store, with a combined value of $206,
  3. Expanded sets of both washable feminine pads and liners, donated by Naturally Cozy (a $185 retail value),
  4. Two Super Survival Pack seed collections [17], a $150 value, courtesy of Seed for Security, LLC,
  5. Mayflower Trading is donating a $200 gift certificate for homesteading appliances.

Round 79 ends on November 30th, so get busy writing and e-mail [18] us your entry. Remember that there is a 1,500-word minimum, and that articles on practical “how to” skills for survival have an advantage in the judging.

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Comments Disabled To "Planning Scenario Number One- Part 2, by ShepherdFarmerGeek"

#1 Comment By sirlancelot On October 28, 2018 @ 1:41 pm

Okay I’ll be the turd in the Punchbowl. While very happy that a lot of people in the survival movement have a strong faith in the Bible those of us who have seen too much ( or at least myself ) have a hard time wrapping our heads around ” the good book ”

Not that I don’t believe in a creator. Obviously someone or something made us and the things around us. It’s this entity that I pray to going out the door every day and thanking at night.

Organized or man-made religion I find to be dubious. There’s an army of third world salvages that think it’s completely okay to kill in the name of their religion.

And it’s starting to become obvious another group of very influential people has infiltrated the media / finance and thinks exploiting others is okay because of their religion or victim status.

Even so-called well-meaning Christians have facilitated the importation of low IQ Invaders. History has taught us these people will not assimilate and only expand the ghettos.

Again have no axe to grind with individuals I meet and get along with. However would not leave my children alone with someone just because they were a man of the cloth.

Too many of my irish-catholic friends were abused as children and have never been the same.

#2 Comment By Charles K. On October 28, 2018 @ 10:28 pm

Just start. Don’t be put off by the actions of men (or women). If one is a pedophile, he doesn’t represent Christ or God, that person represents the great Satan. Pick up a good bible, a good concordance, and maybe a good set of commentaries. JWR recommended one in his recommendations of the week, a few days ago. Maybe more than one bible, certainly a KJV and maybe a modern english version, I wouldn’t have any idea which one. Maybe someone could recommend one.

God isn’t about a specific church or a specific sect. God is about faith. I’ve walked out of more than one church because of the actions and words of the people or the actions and words of the preacher. I even walked out in the middle of a sermon once. If you know what you are hearing is wrong, just act. Even if you never set foot inside a church, read and let God and Christ be your guide, you really can’t go wrong with that.

This from a guy that hasn’t set food inside of a church in decades, except for weddings and funerals.

#3 Comment By ShepherdFarmerGeek On October 29, 2018 @ 12:32 am

SirLancelot, this isn’t the place to debate the existence of God or the failure of organized religion. Here’s what I propose: there is a God, he does in fact occasionally communicate with people, he can communicate with you and will if you seek him out (he made a promise to that effect).

In an impossible-to-predict situation that rapidly changes we can try to keep up but the likelihood of our failure is pretty high. We’re not giving up the idea of watching for trends and patterns and warnings, but we recognize that by the time we realize what’s happening it – could – be too late. Our only hope – only – out of that quandry is to get God’s help. Do you see any other possibility? And if you wait until the S is already hitting the F to reach out to God then you’re fooling yourself.

And if you don’t want to do it then that’s your choice and you’re free to do the best you can do. But there are tens of thousands of us who read SB who know that God has guided us, and no one’s going to talk us out of what we simply know is true. You’ll never know for yourself if you don’t seek Him out! 🙂

#4 Comment By Roger D On October 28, 2018 @ 1:57 pm

One of the most ‘liberating’ moments for this constitutionalist was accepting that all republics fall and Lincoln’s republic is nearing its end. Its time to stop wringing my hands and just accept reality. After that I’ve found studying the fall and creation of republics very helpful. Something will fill its void.

I believe hope lies in new free and independent republics with new borders. Imagine regaining liberty again. Say what you want about South Carolina and secession but imagine how they felt when they penned, “the State of South Carolina has resumed her position among the nations of the world, as a separate and independent State”. Have you ever felt this sense of liberty?

#5 Comment By Charles K. On October 28, 2018 @ 10:33 pm

LIncoln’s Republic. That is a bad joke. He destroyed the framers republic in favor of the all powerful leviathan state. The totalitarian/authoritarian state we live under today started with the acts of “father Abraham” (what the neocons lovingly call Lincoln.

#6 Comment By Stephen Taylor On October 28, 2018 @ 2:31 pm

I personally take comfort in the doctrines and teachings of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, with respect to the coming of the Lord. Both Joseph Smith and Brigham Young taught that in the last days, the Constitution of the United States would “hang by a thread” by the attacks of those seeking to tear it down, but would be restored, and Harold B. Lee taught that the American Flag would still be flying over this nation when Christ comes again. On a side note, I’ve recently read that life is beginning to return to the Dead Sea, which is a fulfillment of Biblical prophecy.

#7 Comment By Nigel Harris On October 28, 2018 @ 3:07 pm

Stephen. Well said, Brother.

#8 Comment By Anonymous On October 28, 2018 @ 2:42 pm

Trump Entering the ASSASSINATION ZONE?
(YouTube Video)
Black Pigeon Speaks
Published on Oct 26, 2018
[19]
Duration 10:19

#9 Comment By Tom On October 28, 2018 @ 2:44 pm

“Lincoln’s Republic” Lincoln was an unconstitutional jerk who laid the foundation for the overbearing federal government we have today. Before you call me a slavery loving racist please educate yourself. Lincoln didn’t care about slavery until he thought the issue benefitted him. He called for all blacks to be returned to Africa. He widely stated he didn’t care about slavery, only keeping the US together. He ordered the attack on the south. His emancipation proclamation didn’t free all slaves, only the ones in the southern states that had seceded. The north still had slaves. Grant owned slaves, Lee didn’t. I hate to see everyone hold Lincoln up like some hero he wasn’t. His actions largely got us to the mess we have today. Slavery was already ending and would have ended without a civil war and the Constitutional abuses we still live with today.

#10 Comment By Dan On October 29, 2018 @ 7:16 pm

Not to mention “martial law” and the treatment of US citizens in the south after the war (worse than any enemy of the US was ever treated).

#11 Comment By Anonymous On October 28, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

The Boom

Sir lancalot

Amen brother. Couldn’t have said it better myself. A relationship with God is andshould be, a personal thing.

#12 Comment By fixer On October 28, 2018 @ 5:08 pm

I also believe our faith is a personal thing. I derive great strength from my daily prayers and study of the scriptures. Our faith should be in God and not in a church. But uniting with those of a similar faith and belief also strengthens me. And this is where church worship and fellowship come in. We are ultimately responsible for our own faith and spirituality, but sharing and caring with like minded believers strengthens me.

I too feel that the country and the world are accelerating towards the great crowning event of the world created by God. Those with spiritual sensitivity will see the signs, those who are not spiritually sensitive will be caught unaware, or realize what IS , happening, as it happens. Too little, too late.

#13 Comment By Charles K. On October 28, 2018 @ 10:54 pm

One of the things I really like about SurvivalBlog is the quality and the nature of the Christians who frequent and comment on this site. Even the Mormons are really old school Christians, something I had not realized until I had been on this site for some time.

God is very libertarian. Throughout the bible, it’s God first, then the individual. I’m no thoughtful Christian scholar, I certainly don’t read enough. But I know the Truth when I read it. The bible isn’t perfect, no product of man ever is, even a product that is “divinely inspired” as the bible surely is. But it’s the best we have, and it is as close as we get to the true word of God, so it is worth having faith in.

#14 Comment By Deb On October 28, 2018 @ 11:40 pm

You cannot trust in man. Only in the God of the Bible . He will show the way and be our Rock. Great article!

#15 Comment By Skip On October 29, 2018 @ 1:48 am

Read Revelations and you will find out how mankind’s rule ends.
It’s not a mystery and you are blessed just by reading it.

Just an FYI, all your preps, remote bug out location, will not save you.

Only Jesus Christ the Creator of all things and the King of Kings and Lord of Lords will reign.

#16 Comment By Wheatley Fisher On October 29, 2018 @ 5:31 am

When I did a little research I quit using King James. After all, he was an earthly king. Instead I use the Geneva Bible, which predates the KJV. King James commanded all Geneva Bibles to be burned. He hated the notes by translators, among other things and he disrepected all those translators and preachers martyred by the English crown in the century prior to his reign.

The pilgrims brought the Geneva Bible with them.

My pastor is a member of the Black Robe Regiment. We stand firmly against the antichrist false religion known as Statism and the God-haters who worship globalism.

#17 Comment By gman On October 29, 2018 @ 5:51 pm

“I don’t think that “Joe Prepper” is prepared for a worst-case scenario like this.”

joe prepper is ready for a grid-down collapse where he can run around with his big bad rifle, not a grid-up hostile coup that has more guns than he does.

“So why is the mood among my friends and fellow preppers so grim?”

because our culture and country have been so easily and efficiently subverted and poisoned.

“What we need is a right relationship with God, one of listening”

well … my experience has been that if you start listening for voices, you start hearing them ….

#18 Comment By jwinch On October 29, 2018 @ 7:17 pm

read the “Last Stand” by William Weber
interesting concept of where the United States can go…

Spoiler alert
in any collapse – I expect Russia/China/North Korea to be on our shores in a couple weeks…. too ripe to avoid picking….

#19 Comment By gman On October 29, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

“in any collapse – I expect Russia/China/North Korea to be on our shores in a couple weeks”

of course. in fact (the rulers of) seattle, san francisco, and los angeles will actively call on the chinese for troops and money to help sustain their (power over their privately-owned) welfare city-states. china will immediately park an army group and air wing in each urban area, and then begin expanding. heh – they won’t find a rifle behind every blade of grass, they’ll find a welfare-dependent.

not to mention mexico ….

#20 Comment By Old John On October 29, 2018 @ 11:16 pm

Just curious, how many of you are preping for the Great Tribulation of Revelations? Also, if you believe in the Rapture do you think it will happen before, during, or after the Tribulation?

#21 Comment By Skip On October 29, 2018 @ 11:44 pm

The wrath of God is for unbelievers in the End Times, not believers.
Scripture is clear belivers are not judged.
So believers are removed from this world.
And the unbelievers are going to find hell on Earth with the wrath of God poured out in a series of judgements

We will not be able to hide.
And the Book of Revelations shows exactly how it plays out.

#22 Comment By jima On October 30, 2018 @ 12:47 am

My reading indicates that Christians will be martyred during the Tribulation…so the Rapture would be mid-Trib at best.

#23 Comment By Old John On October 30, 2018 @ 10:41 pm

Thanks Skip & Jima, this was not an antagonistic question. I am sincerely interested in peoples beliefs on this. It would seem vital in determining how and for whom to prep. Preps for the Tribulation would need to be very different than for other hard times.